in-stat, we provide numbers the digital entertainment ecosystem broadband speeds by technology...
TRANSCRIPT
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In-Stat, we provide Numbers
• The Digital Entertainment Ecosystem
• Broadband Speeds by Technology
• Broadband penetration versus Pay-TV and Free TV services
• The Race for VOD and HD-VOD
• How many PEOPLE are in the mix?
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Broadband Speeds: How Much is Enough?
Broadband Access Technologies: Average Speeds
Downstream Speed (Mbps)
Upstream Speed (Mbps)
Cable Modem 4.90 Mbps 1.17 MbpsDSL 2.08 Mbps 0.56 MbpsFTTH 8.82 Mbps 2.81 MbpsFixed Wireless 0.92 Mbps 0.49 MbpsSatellite Broadband 1.08 Mbps 0.25 MbpsOther 2.28 Mbps 1.04 MbpsAverage: All Access Technologies 3.80 Mbps 0.98 MbpsSource: In-Stat, 12/07
• 2 Gigabyte file takes 30 minutes to download on FTTH
• 12 Gigabyte HDTV files will take three hours on FTTH
• Concurrency (many simultaneous users) slows this downUS Residential Broadband Speeds
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Service Penetration in US Households
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Broadband
Digital Cable
Satellite
Analog Cable
Over-the-air
TelcoTV
Source: In-Stat, 10/08
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The Race for HD VOD• By 2012, 45% of US HHs will have VOD, 35% will have HD-VOD
• By 2012, about 35% of US HHs will have Broadband > 10 Mb/s
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
50%
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Broadband HHs w ith 10 Mb/s service
TV HHs w ith Digital VOD service
TV HHs w ith HDTV VOD service
Source: In-Stat, 10/08
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Entertainment
Voice and SMS
Computing
•iPod
•Feature phone
•iTouch
•Mobile Internet Device
•Portable Media Player
Multimedia phone
•Cellphone Ultra-Mobile PCBlackBerry
Cellular Devices
Portable Entertainment
Devices
Ultra Mobile Devices
•Personal Nav Device
•iPhone
Portable Digital/SatRadio Receiver
Smartphone
Mobile Boundaries are Blurring
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How Many People Are Involved?
• By 2012, 250 Million People in the US will be accessing Content for use with TV, PC, Mobile or Portable Devices
0
50,000,000
100,000,000
150,000,000
200,000,000
250,000,000
300,000,000
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
<14 15-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+Source: In-Stat, 10/08
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Conclusions
• We need Peer-to-Peer Networks to deliver all this stuff economically
• Distributed Networks need to be:– Efficient and well-mannered– Managed to control applications– Secure to protect content, transactions and users
• Finally, need to create revenues !
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http://www.in-stat.comElaine Potter, ManagerTel: [email protected]
Gerry Kaufhold, Principal AnalystVoice: 520 [email protected]