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Incentives for Participation and Abstention in Probabilistic Social Choice Johannes Hofbauer AAMAS 2015, Istanbul, Turkey May 8, 2015 Felix Brandt Johannes Hofbauer Florian Brandl

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Page 1: Incentives for Participation and Abstention in Probabilistic Social …dss.in.tum.de/files/brandt-research/partlott_slides.pdf · 2015-05-20 · Incentives for Participation and Abstention

Incentives for Participation and Abstention in Probabilistic Social Choice

Johannes Hofbauer

AAMAS 2015, Istanbul, Turkey May 8, 2015

Felix Brandt Johannes HofbauerFlorian Brandl

Page 2: Incentives for Participation and Abstention in Probabilistic Social …dss.in.tum.de/files/brandt-research/partlott_slides.pdf · 2015-05-20 · Incentives for Participation and Abstention

Incentives for Participation and Abstention in Probabilistic Social Choice Johannes Hofbauer

Two Voting Paradoxes

• Downs paradox: Individual vote might have no influence on the outcome

‣ all reasonable non-probabilistic choice functions affected

‣ does probabilistic social choice offer a way out?

• No-show paradox: Not voting might yield a preferred outcome

‣ first observed by Fishburn and Brams (1983)

‣ immunity to no-show paradox called participation by Moulin (1988)

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Page 3: Incentives for Participation and Abstention in Probabilistic Social …dss.in.tum.de/files/brandt-research/partlott_slides.pdf · 2015-05-20 · Incentives for Participation and Abstention

Incentives for Participation and Abstention in Probabilistic Social Choice Johannes Hofbauer

Preliminaries

• Social decision scheme (SDS) ff : 𝓡𝓕(𝓝) → ∆(A)

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• An SDS is majoritarian if its outcome only depends on the majority relation

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Page 4: Incentives for Participation and Abstention in Probabilistic Social …dss.in.tum.de/files/brandt-research/partlott_slides.pdf · 2015-05-20 · Incentives for Participation and Abstention

Incentives for Participation and Abstention in Probabilistic Social Choice Johannes Hofbauer

Stochastic Dominance

• How can we extend preferences over alternatives to preferences over lotteries?

‣ p is SD-preferred over q if the expected utility for p is at least as large as that for q for every vNM utility function

‣ p ≳ q iff ∑x≿y p(x) ≥ ∑x≿y q(x) for all y∈A

• p is SD-dominated by q if all agents SD-prefer q over p

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Page 5: Incentives for Participation and Abstention in Probabilistic Social …dss.in.tum.de/files/brandt-research/partlott_slides.pdf · 2015-05-20 · Incentives for Participation and Abstention

Incentives for Participation and Abstention in Probabilistic Social Choice Johannes Hofbauer

Degrees of Efficiency

• Unanimity: unique common top choice has to be selected uniquely

• Ex post efficiency: Pareto-dominated alternatives receive probability zero

• SD-efficiency: no SD-dominated lotteries selected

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‣ ½🍏+½🍓 SD-dominates ¼🍏+¼🍌+¼🍇+¼🍓

Page 6: Incentives for Participation and Abstention in Probabilistic Social …dss.in.tum.de/files/brandt-research/partlott_slides.pdf · 2015-05-20 · Incentives for Participation and Abstention

Incentives for Participation and Abstention in Probabilistic Social Choice Johannes Hofbauer

Degrees of Participation

• Participation: voting is never worse than abstaining

‣ f(R-i) ≻i f(R) for no R ∈ 𝓡𝓕(𝓝)

• Strong participation: voting is always at least as good as abstaining

‣ f(R) ≿i f(R-i) for all R ∈ 𝓡𝓕(𝓝)

• Very strong participation: voting is always better than abstaining

‣ f(R) ≻i f(R-i) for all R ∈ 𝓡𝓕(𝓝) (whenever this is possible)

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Page 7: Incentives for Participation and Abstention in Probabilistic Social …dss.in.tum.de/files/brandt-research/partlott_slides.pdf · 2015-05-20 · Incentives for Participation and Abstention

Incentives for Participation and Abstention in Probabilistic Social Choice Johannes Hofbauer

A Tradeoff Between Efficiency and Participation?

• Random serial dictatorship (RSD) satisfies very strong SD-participation and ex post efficiency.

• The uniform lottery over all Borda winners (BOR) satisfies strong SD-participation and SD-efficiency.

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ex post efficiency

SD-efficiency

very strong SD-part.

strong SD-part.

RSD

BOR

&

&

Page 8: Incentives for Participation and Abstention in Probabilistic Social …dss.in.tum.de/files/brandt-research/partlott_slides.pdf · 2015-05-20 · Incentives for Participation and Abstention

Incentives for Participation and Abstention in Probabilistic Social Choice Johannes Hofbauer

Majoritarian SDSs

• Three impossibility theorems:

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very strong SD-part.

strong SD-part.

SD-part.

no efficiency

unanimity

ex post efficiency

&

* holds even when preferences are required to be linear

&

&

*

*

Page 9: Incentives for Participation and Abstention in Probabilistic Social …dss.in.tum.de/files/brandt-research/partlott_slides.pdf · 2015-05-20 · Incentives for Participation and Abstention

Incentives for Participation and Abstention in Probabilistic Social Choice Johannes Hofbauer

Summary and Conclusions

• Very strong participation can be satisfied (ex ante) by probabilistic functions

• Further results concerning

‣ pairwise functions

‣ group-participation

• Interesting open problems

‣ Is there an SDS satisfying SD-efficiency and very strong SD-participation?

‣ Is there a Condorcet extension satisfying strong SD-participation?

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