INCORPORATING A NEW BODY

OF DISASTER KNOWLEDGE IN

EM HI-ED COURSES

A MAJOR CHALLENGE

DR. WALTER HAYS

THE QUESTION

WHAT CAN YOU AND YOUR INSTITUTION AND

COMMUNITY DO TO IMPROVE EM HI-ED?

Window Switcher.lnk

YOUR YOUR COMMUNITYCOMMUNITY

YOUR YOUR COMMUNITYCOMMUNITY

DATA BASES DATA BASES AND INFORMATIONAND INFORMATIONDATA BASES DATA BASES AND INFORMATIONAND INFORMATION

HAZARDS: GROUND SHAKING GROUND FAILURE SURFACE FAULTING TECTONIC DEFORMATION TSUNAMI RUN UP AFTERSHOCKS

•HAZARD MAPS•INVENTORY•VULNERABILITY•CAPACITY

EM MANAGEMENTEM MANAGEMENT

RISK

ACCEPTABLE RISK

UNACCEPTABLE RISK

HIGHER EDUCATION HIGHER EDUCATION

•PREPAREDNESS•MITIGATION•MONITORING•EM RESPONSE•RECOVERY & RECONST.

PENETRATING SOCIETYPENETRATING SOCIETY

SEVEN KINDS OF NOTABLE NATURAL DISASTERS

AND THE CALIFORNIA SHAKEOUT EARTHQUAKE SCENARIOS

2008’S NEW BODY OF KNOWLEDGE

2008’S NEW BODY OF DISASTER KNOWLEDGE 2008’S NEW BODY OF DISASTER KNOWLEDGE 2008’S NEW BODY OF DISASTER KNOWLEDGE 2008’S NEW BODY OF DISASTER KNOWLEDGE

CYCLONE NARGIS

WENCHUAN EARTHQUAKE

FLOODING IN MIDWESTERN USA

TROPICAL STORMS AND HURRICANES

WILDFIRES IN CALIFORNIA

ERUPTION OF VOLCANO CHAITEN

NEW OPPOR-TUNITIES TO IMPROVE EM HI-ED

NEW OPPOR-TUNITIES TO IMPROVE EM HI-ED

NEW KNOWLEDGE FOR NEW KNOWLEDGE FOR MAKING COMMUNITIES MAKING COMMUNITIES DISASTER RESILIENTDISASTER RESILIENT

NEW KNOWLEDGE FOR NEW KNOWLEDGE FOR MAKING COMMUNITIES MAKING COMMUNITIES DISASTER RESILIENTDISASTER RESILIENT

GLOBAL CLIMATE CHANGE

INTEGRATE 2008’S KNOWLEDGE WITH EXISTING INTEGRATE 2008’S KNOWLEDGE WITH EXISTING KNOWLEDGE KNOWLEDGE

INTEGRATE 2008’S KNOWLEDGE WITH EXISTING INTEGRATE 2008’S KNOWLEDGE WITH EXISTING KNOWLEDGE KNOWLEDGE

THE KNOWLEDGE BASE

Best Practices for Mitigation Adaptation and Monitoring

Gateways to a Deeper Understanding

Real and Near- Real Time Monitoring

Hazard, Vulnerability and Risk Characterization

Anticipatory Actions for all Events and Situations

Situation Data Bases

Interfaces with all Real- and Near Real-Time Sources

Cause & Effect Relationships

APPLICATIONS

Implement Modern Codes and Lifeline Standards

Relocation/Rerouting of Cities and City Lifelines

Use Hazard Zonation as a Policy Tool

Introduce New Technologies

Move Towards A Disaster Intelligent Community

CONTINUING EDUCATION

Involve Partners in Integrating Experiences

Enlighten Communities on Their Risks

Build Equity Through “PMA” Scenarios

Multiply Capability by International Twinning

Update Knowledge Bases After Each Disaster

ANNUAL OPPORTUNITIES FOR EM HI-ED EVRYWHEREANNUAL OPPORTUNITIES FOR EM HI-ED EVRYWHEREANNUAL OPPORTUNITIES FOR EM HI-ED EVRYWHEREANNUAL OPPORTUNITIES FOR EM HI-ED EVRYWHERE

STRATEGIES FOR CHANGING HUMAN BEHAVIOR AND

IMPROVING EM HIGHER EDUCATION

A SCENARIO FOR YOUR COMMUNITY

IMPROVE EM HI-ED

IMPROVE EM HI-ED

EM HI-ED IS AN INCREMENTAL PROCESS

CONFORMITY OF THINKING &

ACTION

CONFORMITY OF THINKING &

ACTION

VISUALIZE SOLUTIONS

VISUALIZE SOLUTIONS

REVISIT & CLARIFY GOALS

REVISIT & CLARIFY GOALS

INTEGRATIONSTRATEGIES

INTEGRATIONSTRATEGIES

ELEMINATE UNIVERSAL BARRIERS

ELEMINATE UNIVERSAL BARRIERS

ADD 2008’S KNOWLEDGEADD 2008’S KNOWLEDGE

FOUR STRATEGIES THAT WORK

• MAKE THE GOAL CLEAR

• MAKE THE GOAL EASY TO VISUALIZE

• MAKE THE GOAL POPULAR

• MAKE THE GOAL A MANDATE FOR ADOPTING AND IMPLEMENTING A HIGHER-POWER STRATEGY

STEP 1: PROVIDE CLEAR INFORMATION ABOUT THE GOAL AND THE BARRIERS THAT PREVENT PEOPLE, INSTITUTIONS, AND COMMUNITIES FROM REACHING IT.

THE GOAL

• BUILDING EQUITY AND PENETRATING SOCIETY,…

• ADDING NEW DISASTER KNOWLEDGE TO THE BODY OF EXISTING KNOWLEDGE!

FOUR UNIVERSAL BARRIERS BETWEEN YOU AND THE GOAL

• IGNORANCE

• APATHY

• DISCIPLINARY BOUNDARIES

• LACK OF POLITICAL WILL

STEP 2: VISUALIZE SOLUTIONS THAT WILL OVERCOME HUMAN, INSTITUTIONAL, AND COMMUNITY INERTIA.

VISUALIZE SUCCESSFUL EM HI-ED VISUALIZE SUCCESSFUL EM HI-ED VISUALIZE SUCCESSFUL EM HI-ED VISUALIZE SUCCESSFUL EM HI-ED

EDUCATION: PENETRATE SOCIETY

IGNORANCE TO ENLIGHTENMENT

APATHY TO EMPOWERMENT

BOUNDARIES TO NETWORKS

POLITICAL ENABLEMENT

BUILDING EQUITY

AND

PENETRATING SOCIETY

BUILDING EQUITY

AND

PENETRATING SOCIETY

STEP 3: PROMOTE CONFORMITY OF THINKING AND ACTING BECAUSE PEOPLE, INSTITUTIONS, AND COMMUNITIES WILL DO WHAT THEY THINK OTHERS ARE DOING.

SIX THINKING HATS FOR CREATING AN INTEGRATING STRATEGY

SOCIAL (ARE THE PEOPLE AWARE OF WHAT THEY NEED?)

COMMUNITYCOMMUNITY

TECHNICAL (IS THE STATE OF KNOWLEDGE AND PRACTICE BEING

APPLIED?)

ADMINISTRATIVE (WHO IS RESPONSIBLE AND ACCOUNTABLE?)

POLITICAL (ARE PUBLIC POLICIES RELEVANT IN TERMS OF THE

THREAT?)

LEGAL (ARE EXISTIN LEGAL MANDATES ENFORCED?)

ECONOMIC (WILLINGNESS AND CAPACITY TO PAY FOR SAFETY?)

GOAL: COMMUNITY DISASTER RESILIENCE

SOCIAL SYSTEMS

SOCIAL SYSTEMS

STAPLE FACTORSSTAPLE FACTORS

SIX ACTION SHOES FOR CREATING AN INTEGRATING STRATEGY

SIX ACTION SHOES F0R CREATING AN INTEGRATING STRATEGY

• BROWN BROGUE: FINDING THE RIGHT PARTNERS/PEOPLE FOR EACH HI-ED COURSE!

• WHITE SNEAKERS: GATHERING THE FACTS!• NAVY BLUE SHOES: CREATING STRATEGIC AND

TACTICAL PLANS THAT PROVIDE EQUITY FOR EVERYONE!

• ORANGE RUBBER GUM SHOES: DOING WHAT IS NEEDED WHEN IT IS NEEDED!

• TAN HOUSE SHOES: CREATING TURNING POINTS FROM A SENSE OF URGENCY!

• PURPLE RIDING BOOTS: LEADING TO ATTAIN THE GREATER GOOD IN GLOBAL PERSPECTIVE !

STEP 4: MANDATE THE IMPLEMENTATION OF A STRATEGY THAT HAS A HIGHER POWER THAN THE ONE YOU ARE USING NOW (I.E., AN INTEGRATING STRATEGY).

EXAMPLES OF INTEGRATING STRATEGIES

• 1 + 1 > 2• 1 + 1 + 1 + …+ 1 > n• 1 + 1 >> ANYTHING

FACILITATING ADOPTION OF INTEGRATING FACILITATING ADOPTION OF INTEGRATING STRATEGIESSTRATEGIES

FACILITATING ADOPTION OF INTEGRATING FACILITATING ADOPTION OF INTEGRATING STRATEGIESSTRATEGIES

EXPERIENCES WITH PREPAREDNESS

EXPERIENCES WITH MONITORING AND WARNING

EXPERIENCES WITH DISASTER SCENARIO PLANNING

EXPERIENCES WITH RECOVERY AND RECONSTRUCTION

EXPERIENCES WITH PREVENTION, MITIGATION, AND ADAPTATION

INTEGRATE GLOBAL EXPERIENCES WITH LOCAL EXPERIENCES

INTEGRATE GLOBAL EXPERIENCES WITH LOCAL EXPERIENCES

VOLCANO CHAITEN ERUPTS IN CHILE: JAN, 2008

PATH OF CYCLONE NARGIS: MAY 2-3, 2008

t

GLOBAL CLIMATE CHANGE: A CONTINUING PROBLEM ON 2008

• Small European glaciers are melting.

• Larger glaciers, Greenland, and Antarctica are also melting, but much slower.

• Average global temperature is rising.

• Sea level is rising.

ADVANCE PLANNING SO THAT CALIFORNIA WILL BE READY WHEN THE INEVITABLE “BIG ONES” RECUR

Source: US Geological Survey

BOOK OF

BOOK OF

KNOWLEDGE

KNOWLEDGE

- Perspectives

- Perspectives

On Science, Policy,

On Science, Policy,

And Change

And Change