increased sensitivity of sugar maple to precipitation to precipitation
TRANSCRIPT
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INCREASED SENSITIVITY OF SUGAR MAPLE TO
PRECIPITATIONCarolyn A. Copenheaver – Virginia
TechKetia L. Shumaker – University of West AlabamaSophan Chhin – Michigan State UniversityGlenn P. Juday – University of Alaska – FairbanksSaskia van de Gevel – Appalachian State UniversityMargaret E.K. Evans – University of Arizona
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Overall Project Objective• Use dendroclimatology and forecast models to predict the
resilience of ten tree species to climate change scenarios• Black spruce• Douglas-fir• Eastern hemlock• Alaska birch• Pinyon pine• Ponderosa pine• Sugar maple• Quaking aspen• White bark pine• White oak
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Overall Project Objective• Use dendroclimatology and forecast models to predict the
resilience of ten tree species to climate change scenarios• Black spruce• Douglas-fir• Eastern hemlock• Alaska birch• Pinyon pine• Ponderosa pine• Sugar maple• Quaking aspen• White bark pine• White oak
Strong competitor Tolerates shade Mature forests Moist sites Fertile soil 200-300 year life span
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Methods – core sugar maple trees
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Methods – prepare sugar maple cores
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Methods – date and measure tree rings
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Methods – Tree rings and climate• Entriken, Pennsylvania• Ridgeway, Pennsylvania• Ceres, New York• Pelham, Ontario• McGrath, Minnesota (International Tree-Ring Data
Bank)• Plymouth, Minnesota (International Tree-Ring Data
Bank)• Edwards, Ontario
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Results - precipitationLocation Number of months with significant correlations
between ring width and precipitationPre-1950 Post-1950
Pennsylvania 0 4New York 1 4Ontario 2 4Minnesota 2 4
Sugar maple growth becoming more sensitive to precipitation
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Results - temperatureLocation Number of months with significant correlations
between ring width and temperaturePre-1950 Post-1950
Pennsylvania 3 0New York 0 1Ontario 0 3Minnesota 7 6
Less clear pattern – need more study sites
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Future work• Sugar maple in North Carolina - sample in February• Identify the years when precipitation became more important to
sugar maple growth (does this vary by site?)• Forecast modeling to predict future growth of sugar maple under
different climate change scenarios
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Acknowledgements• USDA AFRI NIFA Award 2015-08461• Dr. Susan Stout and Ms. Collin Sheppard, Allegheny National Forest• Advisory Board Members:
• Ms. Shannon McCabe – Virginia Forestry Association• Dr. Greg Nowacki – US Forest Service• Mr. Michael Smalligan – Michigan DNR
• Dr. Michael Pisaric , Brock University