india equities - dec 2012 - ifast financial · over time, we have built an extensive platform of...
TRANSCRIPT
December 2012
India Equities
P t d B
Huzaifa HusainHead - EquitiesPineBridge Investments, India
Presented By:
This material must be read in conjunction with the Disclosure Statement.
Distributed byy
ContentsI. Firm Overview
II. Assessment of the present economic and market conditions
III. Our Equity Philosophy
IV. Positioning of PineBridge Infrastructure & Economic R f F d ( d d it h )Reform Fund (an open ended equity scheme)
V. Appendix
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I. Firm Overview
PineBridge Investments is an independent asset manager with broad investment capabilities and established track records.
EQUITIESEmerging Markets Global, Regional and CountryDeveloped Markets Global and Specialized
ALTERNATIVE INVESTMENTS
Hedge Fund Solutions Fund of Funds Customized Solutions
FIXED INCOMEEmerging and International Markets Sovereign Local Currency
AUM BY ASSET CLASSUS $69.4 Billion
Fixed IncomeUS $25.0 B
AlternativeInvestmentsUS $20 4 B Global and Specialized
CountryQuantitative Equities Research Enhanced Merger Arbitrage Socially Responsible
Customized Solutions Seed InvestingDirect Private Equity Emerging Markets Developed Markets Private Equity Fund of Funds
P i I t t
y CorporateLeveraged Finance Leveraged Loans High Yield Distressed US Investment Grade
36%29%
23%
US $20.4 B
12%
Extensive network of professionals
Primary Investments Secondary InvestmentsStructured Capital Buyouts, Recapitalizations and
Special Situations
US Investment Grade Credit Core and Core Plus Securitized Products Inflation Protection Preferred Securities Multi Strategy
EquitiesUS $16.0 B
Other1US $8.0 B
Extensive network of professionals
Employee ownership
Relationship-driven approach
Multi-Strategy Strategic Bond
ASSET ALLOCATION Balanced Funds Manager/Fund Selection
Target Risk Target Return
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AUM and data as of 30 September 2012. Due to rounding totals are approximate. Past performance is not indicative of future results.1 Other includes balanced, asset allocation and other multi-product strategies.
Strong Execution Capabilities Worldwide
PineBridge is a global organization with approximately 230 investment pp yprofessionals located in core geographies, supported by world-class infrastructure1
A t li K S th KAustraliaBahrainBrazilChileChinaEngland
KenyaLuxembourgMalaysiaMexicoPolandRomania
South KoreaSwedenSwitzerlandTaiwanThailandTurkey
Hong KongIndiaIrelandJapan
RussiaSingaporeSouth Africa
UAEUgandaUSA
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As of 30 September 2012. 1 Investment professionals include portfolio managers, traders and research analysts.
15 Years Of Serving Clients Globally
Over time, we have built an extensive platform of listed equity, fixed income and alternative investment capabilities to meet client needs.
1960s – 1980s 20121990s – 2000s
PineBridge TodayExpanding the Global PlatformOur Foundation An independent, multi-strategy
asset manager owned by Pacific Century Group and PineBridge employees
Advised by an independent Board
1996 – Consolidated AIG’s institutional asset management activities into AIG Investments to manage assets for external clients
Developed a strong network that
1960s - Provided private equity capital and investment advice to family-owned businesses in Asia
of Directors to strengthen the firm’s strategy, governance and risk management
Focused on high-alpha strategies
captures local market knowledge and identifies opportunities around the world
1988 – Launched Multi-Manager Hedge Fund of Funds
1989 - Created first Dublin-domiciled UCITS
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II. Assessment of the present economic andmarket conditions
Drivers of our economic growth rate
GDP Consumption Investment Inflation X-M*Change in 10 Yr yield
Sensex
2000 -2008 7.1 6.2 11.5 5.2 (2.8) -283 bps 210%
20082008 -2012 7.1 7.1 5.8 7.6 (6.9) +58 bps 10%
Growth Rates - % (per annum); * as a % of GDP
Imperative to improve investment growth rates…
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Source: Central Statistical Organization (http://mospi.nic.in/) Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation, Government of India. Estimates of GDP and other aggregates at constant (2004 - 2005) prices. Data as of 31 March 2012. We are not soliciting or recommending any action based on this material. Source – Reserve Bank of India Date – 30 June 2012, Bloomberg; values for change in 10 year yield and sensex returns are as of March end for the respective years
To grow investments we need to save more…
40.00%
25 00%
30.00%
35.00%
DP
15.00%
20.00%
25.00%
Sav
ings
(%) t
o G
D
5.00%
10.00%
-5.00%
0.00%2000 2008 2011
Government Corporate Household
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Source – Reserve Bank of India ; Central Statistical Organization (http://mospi.nic.in/) Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation, Government of India Date – 30 Sept 2012We are not soliciting or recommending any action based on this material
Recent Reforms
Fiscal RationalizationSubsidy rationalization
Natural resource pricing, Disinvestment, etc.Disinvestment, etc.
Improving Investment Climate
FDI, NIB, Presidential reference to Supreme Court
Tax proposals etcTax proposals, etc.
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Energy Availability at Various Prices
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20
Imported Gas$ 17/mmtbu
Crude Oil$ 20/mmtbu
10
15
$/mmbtu
5Domestic Gas
00 5000 10000 15000 20000 25000
TBTUs
Domestic coal$ 1.4/mmtbu
Imported coal$ 3.1/mmtbu
$ 4.2/mmtbu
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Source – Ministry OF Coal; Ministry of Petroleum & Natural Gas; Bloomberg Date – 30 Oct 2012www.coalindia.in. We are not soliciting or recommending any action based on this material
Risks
I. Geopolitical / global commodity prices – price of a calorie!
115125135 COAL (USD per MT)
130150 CRUDE (USD per bbl)
5565758595
105115
30507090
110
450500550600650
UREA (USD per MT)
10121416 INDIA LNG IMPORT PRICES (USD per mmbtu)
200250300350400450
2468
II. Stress on bank balance sheets
III Political – can politics really operate by ignoring economic
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III. Political – can politics really operate by ignoring economic implications?
Source – Federal Energy Regulatory Committee & Bloomberg Date – 30 Oct 2012We are not soliciting or recommending any action based on this material
III. Our Equity Philosophy
Equity Philosophy
Our objective is to deliver reasonably good performance
vis-a-vis the relevant index over the long term by using a
b tt h d i i i i i k bbottom up research process and minimizing risks by
investing in companies with a strong business, good
management and reasonable valuations.
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Equity Process - Highlights
Business Franchise Management Quality
Brand - Hero Motorcorp.
Capital allocationWhen researching companies, we concentrate on the following dimensions to find good investment opportunities:
FUNDAMENTAL PROGRESS
Monopoly & dominant market share – Indraprastha Gas
Capital allocation
- Jindal Steel & Power
Conservative accounting
- Infosys & HDFC Bank Ltd.Low cost producer -
Hindustan Zinc
Annual reports
Quarterly result analysisEXTENSIVE RESEARCH Company visits and
management meets
Sell side research
RESEARCH THROUGH
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For illustrative purposes only. We are not soliciting or recommending any action based on this material. There is no assurancethat any security shown is held in a portfolio.
IV P iti i fIV. Positioning of PineBridge Infrastructure & Economic Reform Fund
(an open ended equity scheme)(an open ended equity scheme)
PineBridge Infrastructure & Economic Reform Fund (an open ended equity scheme)
Infrastructure(Definition of Planning
Commission)
Resource based companies
Coal India, GMDC, Petronet LNG
Developers
Builders
JSPL, NBCC
L&T, Sadbhav Engineering
ProductsShree Cements, Ambuja Cement, AIA Engg,
Ingersoll Rand, Thermax, Krloskar Pneumatic, Titagarh Wagons, Cummins India, Timken, KBIL
Others Powergrid, REC, Concor, IGL
Economic Reforms(Reducing Fiscal Deficit)
Fertilizer Coromandel
Oil & Gas
PSU Banks
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For illustrative purposes only. We are not soliciting or recommending any action based on this material. There is no assurance that any security shown is held in a portfolio. Diversification does not insure against market loss.
Thank You
V. Appendix
India Equities Team
Qualifications Sectors Covered
Huzaifa Husain Head of Equities PGDM - IIM Bangalore PharmaceuticalsHuzaifa HusainMumbai, IndiaJoined May 2004 | 15 Yrs Exp.
Head of Equities PGDM IIM Bangalore
B. Tech - Institute of Technology, Banaras Hindu University
Pharmaceuticals
Deepak JoshiMumbai, IndiaJoined Jan 2007 | 20 Yrs Exp.
Dealer Masters in Financial Management, Mumbai University
B h l f C M b i U i it
-
| p Bachelor of Commerce, Mumbai University
Sameer KalraMumbai, IndiaJoined Dec 2011
Analyst MBA, IMT, Dubai
Bachelor of Commerce, Pune
FMCG, Auto Ancillary, Mid Caps
Sayantan Bhowmick, CFAMumbai India
Analyst PGDM - IIM Ahmedabad Financials, ConstructionMumbai, IndiaJoined June 2008 B.E. Computer Sc. & Engg. , PESIT, Bangalore
Nisha JainMumbai, IndiaJoined June 2005
Investment Advisor PGDBM- Xavier Labour Relations Institute (XLRI)
CA, CS
Power, Real Estate, Metals, Fertilizer & Agrichemicals, Capital Goods
Bachelor of Commerce - Kolkata University
Gopi Krishna. KMumbai, IndiaJoined June 2008
Investment Advisor PGDM - IIM Ahmedabad
B-Tech - IIT Kanpur
Oil & Gas, Auto, Media, IT
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As on 30 Sept 2012
Investment Philosophy
Over the long term, neither growth nor value
investment styles will dominate the returns of
EXCEPTIONALGROWTH
HIGH STABLE GROWTH
HIGH CYCLICAL GROWTH
MATURE COMPANIES
MATURE COMPANIES
investment styles will dominate the returns of
the other
W t i th i di t
Sun PharmaAdvanced Research
Infosys Torrent PowerHindustan Zinc - Turnaround
- Cyclical We categorize the companies according to
where they are in their respective life cycles
Soundness ofBusiness Plan
Growth at a Reasonable PriceTimeliness of Investment
Value with a Trigger
Cyclical- Defensive
Categorization determines how companies
are analyzedCategorizing companies allows our analysts to concentrate
Business Plan Timeliness of Investment Trigger
on fundamentals that are relevant to a particular stage of growth
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We are not soliciting or recommending any action based on this material. There is no assurance thatany security shown is held in a portfolio.
Investment Process - Operationalization
Step : 1 Projecting 3 years future earnings
Step : 2 Categorization of companies basis economic growth rates
Answer three questions
Step : 3 1 - Fundamental Progress2 - Fundamental Revision3 - Valuations
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We are not soliciting or recommending any action based on this material.
Equity Investment Platform
In-house intranet-based knowledge system
Ensures analysis of all companies in a
common format
Access to 10 Year historical data of
companies
Eliminates “ad-hoc decision making”; helps
reduce self generated biases
Latest sell side analyst estimates Recording of company visits
“Speak the same language”Speak the same language
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We are not soliciting or recommending any action based on this material.
Portfolio Construction
Investible universeIn- depth fundamental
analysisPortfolio
construction
Opportunity set of approx. 500 companies, index and non-index ideas Screen for liquidity
Free float and daily
Typically 30 – 40 companies
Continuous company review Weekly meeting Target price updates
Qualitative assessment according to growth category (approx. 200 company meetings per year)
Business franchisetrading volume
Ongoing idea generation Sell-side ideas IPOs Analyst input Brainpools
Earning revision alerts Timely follow-up research Sell discipline
Risk monitoring/control
Management quality
Relative valuations
Investment case and Brainpools
Quantitative analysis and growth categorization of approximately 290 companies Earnings growth
est e t case a drecommendation Stock note Valuation model Stocks ranked from 1 – 5 1 = strong buy
5 strong sell Earnings growth Price-to-cash flow Return on equity Dividend discount model Price-to-book Return on assets
5 = strong sell Team discussion
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Price-to-earnings EV / EBITDA
Stock numbers and ranking scale may change based on criteria decided by the Investment Manager or depending on market conditions. Therecan be no assurance that any stated ranges can be met. Any objectives stated are subject to change.
Risk Management is integral to the process
Stock risk
• In-depth due diligence – site visits, management meetings, peer group comparison• Equity platform for investment – access to earnings forecasts, company notes, company
visit logs, ratings and valuations• Ensures fund manager discipline as no company can be bought if not covered
Buy & sell discipline
• Stocks rated “sell” cannot be bought in the fund• If an analyst gives a sell recommendation, the stock is sold • Complete audit trail is maintained
25We are not soliciting or recommending any action based on this material.
Disclosures
PineBridge Investments is a group of international companies that provides investment advice and markets asset management products and services to clients around the world. PineBridge Investments is a registered trademark proprietary to PineBridge Investments IP Holding Company Limited.
Readership: This document is intended solely for the addressee(s). Its content may be legally privileged and/or confidential.
Opinions: The views have been expressed by Mr. Huzaifa Husain, Head – Equities, PineBridge Investments, India. Any opinions expressed in this document may be subject to change without notice. We are not soliciting or recommending any action based on this material.
Past results are not indicative of future results. We are not soliciting or recommending any actiong g ybased on this material. Neither the asset management company nor any person connected with itaccepts any liability arising from the use of this information. The views expressed in the document, ifany, should not be construed as investment advice to any party. Recipients of the informationcontained herein should exercise due care and caution and read all the scheme related documents(including , if necessary, obtaining the advice of tax / legal / accounting / financial / other
f i l ) f ll i t t ki d i i ti itti t t th b i f thprofessionals) carefully prior to taking any decision, acting or omitting to act, on the basis of theinformation contained herein. The recipient of this material should rely on their investigations and taketheir own professional advice.
Mutual Fund investments are subject to market risks, read all scheme related documentscarefully
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carefully.
PineBridge Investments Web Address: www.pinebridge.com