industry 4.0 and its effects on urban...

© Fraunhofer · Slide 1

INDUSTRY 4.0 AND ITS EFFECTS ON URBAN LOGISTICS Martin Stockmann | Witten, 06.09.2017


Digitalization is an Important Driver for Retail Logistics …with Exponential Growth Rates

Technologies

►Digital devices such as smartphones, tablets, for identification and communication

Information / Big Data

►Information, availability, and transparency

Mobile

►Enables the fusion of the physical and virtual world

Social

►Networking in new dimensions and high impact


The Impact in Logistics is EnormousThe World is Moving: Physically and Virtually

Pictures: Fraunhofer IML


Retail Logistics 4.0

Pioneer USA: Digital interactions affect 65% of all sales

On- and Offline merge together and must be handled uniformly!

At the same time, new technologies only slowly find application in logistics



Urbanization in Europe and Germany

Today, almost 80% of the European population live in cities

Europe does not have mega cities in the extent of Tokyo or Mexico City but…

…there exist urban areas around the large cities, which form

»metropolitan regions«

Europe: 120 metropolitan regions each with more than 500,000 inhabitants

Germany: 11 metropolitan regions with a total population of 44 million – more than half of the total population


What are the Consequences of this Development for Urban Areas?

Increasing individualization of production and trade logistics

Omnichannel, changes in structures, renaissance of the inner city

Smaller-scaled deliveries

Growing customer requirements also of an aging population

Crowd delivery services in the city

►How do these developments change the traffic in a city?


Impact of eCommerce on Traffic in Urban Areas Example of Bochum

What impact does eCommerce have on traffic?

How does changed customer traffic affect the volume of traffic?

How does the delivery traffic of the stationary retailers change the traffic volume?

What are the burdens of the road infrastructure network in and around the »Innenstadtring« of Bochum?

Pictures: IHK, Fraunhofer IML

On behalf of


Approach of the Study

Pictures: [email protected];bochum.ihk.de * Verkehrsmodell Stadtplanungs- und Bauordnungsamt der Stadt Bochum

eCommerce displaces the stationary retailers from the city

Scenario 1

Online and stationary retailers vitalize the city

Scenario 2

Estimation of factors for traffic development by 2019 and 2025

Calculation of possible vehicle passages in the two scenarios

Real traffic data: Car transits in 24h *

Passenger car data were updated in July 2015, the truck values in 2008

Study has adjusted truck values based on current development figures

Traffic Model Bochum

Company Questionnaires

»Retailers create delivery traffic which become more frequent and smaller-scaled«

Citizen Questionnaires

»The majority of Bochum citizens will also continue to shop in the future«

Study Research

»Current studies confirm thequestionnaires«


Results of the Scenario Approach

Online and stationary retailers vitalize the city

Scenario 2

By 2019 car trips are reduced by about -13.684 per 24 hours

By 2025, the traffic volume will be reduced by -27,800 cars per 24 hours

► Even if private car traffic is declining, supply traffic will rise

►Qualitative requirements for transport infrastructure will not be significantly reduced

In scenario 2, an increase of 8,531 cars per 24 hours will occur by 2019

By 2025, the traffic volume will increase by + 23.941 cars per 24 hours

► In addition to the growth in private traffic, the supply traffic also increases, so does the need for urban transport infrastructure

eCommerce displaces the stationary retailers from the city

Scenario 1

© Fraunhofer · Slide 10Pictures: Fraunhofer IML

Hybrid goods transfersystems

Cooperation in the last mile

Stationary and virtualassortments

Hybrid retail and customer delivery

Urban Logistics Solutions of the Future


Urban Retail Logistics



Motivation Behind the Project

Increasing traffic load

Increase in delivery frequencies

Change of the vehicle mix due to lower quantities delivered

Congestion

Increase in diesel price

Use of alternative vehicles (electric trucks)



Results of Cost Simulation for Future Scenarios 2020 and 2030

►Given future conditions, the existing supply system will become increasingly expensive

►Delivery via »Urban Hub« will also be economically competitive in the long term

Delivery from DC

Delivery from Urban Hub


Aim of the Project

Developing a service based logistics concept to reduce noise pollution, traffic, and congestion

Shifting transports into nighttime

Using electronical commercial vehicles and low-noise loading aids in order to observe strict noise limits

8am

4am►Investigating acceptance by direct

integration of residents, employees, and communities

►Technical feasibility has been proven


Urban Logistics Offers a Range of Solutions to theFuture of Cities

Digital commerce will significantly change the cities and thus traffic

The stationary retailer has a great influence on its own role and position in eCommerce

Logistics concepts and approaches help shape the cities of the future

All actors (industry, trade, LSPs, municipalities, citizens, etc.) must cooperate

►In the end every city has to design urban logistics for its individual needs!


Thank you very much for your kind attention!

Martin Stockmann [email protected]

industry 4.0 and its effects on urban...

Documents