infocom world conference 2017 · ftth/ b penetration by country source: idate for ftth council...

PLACE & DATE

INFOCOM WORLD CONFERENCE 2017

Jan SchindlerWednesday 25 October 2017 Athens, Divani Caravel

19th InfoCom World Conference | Athens, Divani CaravelOctober 2017

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Agenda

Why OF is booming?

Market overview


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A Snapshot of Prysmian Group

HQ + HQ R&D

Plant

Plant + R&D

Office

140 years of history

82plants

21,000employees

7,6 billion sales in 2016

17 R&D centres

50countries

Global trends in the Telecom market

http://www.google.it/url?sa=i&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=images&cd=&ved=0ahUKEwjq_K6ag7_PAhWEJMAKHVwNAkkQjRwIBw&url=http://telecoms.com/opinion/engineering-network-transformation-getting-telcos-ready-to-face-the-21st-century/&bvm=bv.134495766,d.ZGg&psig=AFQjCNEHd9VU7aoMUckJrw8kmqv_693wlQ&ust=1475597320753727


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Digital Service Revolution is under way

Connected people(WW population of

7,4bln): from 9bln up to 10,5bln in 2021

Connected machines (IoT will

surpass mobile phones as largest category in 2018): from 4,6bln up to 15,7bln in 2021

Increase of new services and apps

(Virtual Reality, connected/driverless cars, etc.) that will

require more bandwidth and lower latency

Increase of screen devices per

home: from 6,5 up to 20 in 2020

Video streaming vsbroadcasting

(killer application for bandwidth):

crossover in 2015

New video technologies like 4k UHD and future 8K that requires more

bandwidth (25Mbps)

Hyper connectivity (connected anytime-anywhere-

anydevice)

http://www.google.cat/url?sa=i&rct=j&q=what+is+happening+internet+60+seconds+2016&source=images&cd=&ved=0ahUKEwj1p-HQk67MAhWBEBQKHZRpDJ8QjRwIBw&url=http://www.excelacom.com/resources/blog/2016-update-what-happens-in-one-internet-minute&bvm=bv.120551593,d.ZGg&psig=AFQjCNH29JlEYLRY3f9PC3qE-GDfdA5W1g&ust=1461823590185108

http://www.google.it/url?sa=i&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=images&cd=&cad=rja&uact=8&ved=0ahUKEwisueOduJ3NAhWFHxoKHc1WDRwQjRwIBw&url=http://webscripts.softpedia.com/blog/google-wants-you-to-paint-its-self-driving-cars-485263.shtml&bvm=bv.124088155,d.ZGg&psig=AFQjCNHQZ0G4Fg_z7Kyfdjv-0uEPSOYViw&ust=1465647392571783

http://www.google.it/url?sa=i&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=images&cd=&cad=rja&uact=8&ved=0ahUKEwif8bDpuJ3NAhXG2BoKHYIIBNoQjRwIBw&url=http://www.bhphotovideo.com/c/product/1116545-REG/zeiss_2125_968_vr_one_virtual_reality.html&bvm=bv.124088155,d.ZGg&psig=AFQjCNHdCOWVGPjQDiAmA-3J2lnOVrO6yg&ust=1465647551766830


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Digitalization of our life

Change of habits of

personal and business communication (social

media, apps, digitalization of everything): BB creates

dependence

Hungriness for data: data

traffic will grow 10 folds till 2021

Millennials & Generation Z to drive

demand for more fibre as a direct result of their lifestyles and spending trends (multitasking –

multiscreen)

Digitalization of our life: towards the Digital Society,

Network Society, Gigabit Society

Voice is dead: Long life to the Data. Towards a

totally asynchronous

communication

Smart Cities

Smart homes

Smart factories (Industry 4.0)

Cloud of Things “we’re moving to the point where we

will have a parallel digital

world that mirrors the

analogue world” (world of avatars)

http://www.google.it/url?sa=i&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=images&cd=&cad=rja&uact=8&ved=&url=http://www.buffalotech.com/blog/2014/07/&bvm=bv.124088155,d.ZGg&psig=AFQjCNG2StHPkMxhSsL-wuujiIYjQ2l3-g&ust=1465651581303373

http://www.google.es/url?sa=i&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=images&cd=&cad=rja&uact=8&ved=0ahUKEwjqlabD9JPNAhVJthoKHSZdAUsQjRwIBw&url=http://www.insperity.com/blog/millennials-in-charge-how-theyre-changing-the-workplace/&bvm=bv.123664746,d.d2s&psig=AFQjCNHEvxaB8xBiL_JjDyb_UrbQ5KDKZg&ust=1465319885712787

http://www.google.it/url?sa=i&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=images&cd=&cad=rja&uact=8&ved=0ahUKEwiKrMTMtJ3NAhXLvRoKHfUEDEMQjRwIBw&url=http://www.microwavejournal.com/articles/print/8716-deployment-and-link-planning-of-adaptive-coding-and-modulation-radio-networks&psig=AFQjCNHIbPR0oiFsn2yQ93KDM1k6p0twEw&ust=1465646385594164

http://www.google.it/url?sa=i&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=images&cd=&cad=rja&uact=8&ved=0ahUKEwjOrpSGyp3NAhXBXBoKHTL9CpwQjRwIBw&url=http://www.business-standard.com/article/technology/lucknow-youngsters-are-the-new-ruler-of-digital-habits-114062500714_1.html&bvm=bv.124088155,d.ZGg&psig=AFQjCNH6Lje06J2Bh2lo77Kmu-dBmBIRuw&ust=1465652163583573

http://www.google.it/url?sa=i&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=images&cd=&cad=rja&uact=8&ved=0ahUKEwiykZnLyp3NAhXE1hoKHVoVBCsQjRwIBw&url=http://clout-project.eu/&bvm=bv.124088155,d.ZGg&psig=AFQjCNEeFcQfGhn4_-AF3cLTjcQzHnURiw&ust=1465652270577299

https://www.google.it/url?sa=i&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=images&cd=&cad=rja&uact=8&ved=0ahUKEwjGgZem053NAhVCGhQKHXLhApkQjRwIBw&url=https://www.paessler.com/blog/2014/05/22/other/monitoring-of-things-exploring-a-new-world-of-data&bvm=bv.124088155,d.ZGg&psig=AFQjCNFh4pr_QLbKqu5rjwQBVnGJ7dcV4Q&ust=1465654745390290

DigiWorld Summit Montpellier, November 2016

Towards a European Gigabit Society


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Digital Agenda for Europe

Source: Idate September 2016

Objectives set by the Digital Agenda for Europe for 2020 set in 2010

1. 2013…..100% broadband coverage2. 2020…..100% coverage for 30 Mbps+ (SFB)3. 2020…… 50% of customers with access to a 100 Mbps+ connection (UFB)

Broadband (BB): Any technology that provides a continuous connection of more than 144 Kbps, using ADSL, mobile or satellite.

Superfast broadband (SFB) connectivity: Coverage for connections in excess of 30 Mbps: at minimum a next generation access (NGA) technology: VDSL, FTTH, FTTB, FTTx, Cable Docsis 3.0, providing the advertised speed

Ultrafast broadband (UFB) connectivity > 100 Mbps: Subset of SFB technologies enabling connection speeds of 100 Mbps and up Essentially two groups of technologies: FTTH/B and FTTx/Cable Docsis 3.0*


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Digital Agenda for Europe Objective 2: > 30 Mbps SFB coverage

76 % of Europe’s 220 million households have access to an NGA superfast broadband connection

National coverage figures vary dramatically, ranging from below 50 % to 100%.

Only six countries are below the European average.

Top countries Malta remained 100% coverage for NGA Switzerland, Belgium, Netherlands,

Iceland and Portugal about 95%. Low levels in France & Greece 45%

Source: Broadband Coverage in Europe, a study by IHS Markit and Point Topic for the European Commission – September 2017


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Digital Agenda for Europe

EU as whole reached the Digital Agenda goal by mid-2016

Big differences among individual countries, e.g. 99.4% in Malta to virtually no connections being able to support at least 100 Mbps speeds in Greece

Source: Broadband Coverage in Europe, a study by IHS Markit and Point Topic for the European Commission – September 2017

Objective 3: > 50% 100 Mbps coverage


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New Digital Agenda for Europe

Source: European Commission : September 2016

Three strategic connectivity objectives for 2025

All main socio-economic drivers, such as schools, universities, research centres, transport hubs, all providers of public services such as hospitals and administrations, and enterprises relying on digital technologies, should have *access to Gigabit connectivity (1Gbps download/upload)*

New digital targets: All European households, rural or urban, should have access to connectivity offering a download speed of at least 100Mbps, which can be upgraded to Gigabit speeds

All urban areas as well as major roads and railways should have uninterrupted 5G coverage. As an interim target, 5G should be commercially available in at least one major city in each EU Member State by 2020.

Idate , December 2016

FTTH at Sep 2016


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Global FTTH Panorama

Source: FTTH Global Alliance, Feb 2017

23,5 M 20,8 M

2,8 M4.3 M

16 M

218 M


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EU 39: FTTH/B figures at end September 2016

Source: Idate for FTTH Council Europe, December 2016

New Homes passed

Spain 7.630.000 Russia 2.600.000 France 2.327.000 UK 1.175.000 Portugal 1.000.000 Poland 947.000

44 M FTTH/B subscribers and 150 M FTTH/B Homes Passed in EU39 at September 2016


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FTTH Forecast 2019


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The Race to “FTTH Maturity”*


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FTTH/ B Penetration by country

Source: Idate for FTTH Council Europe, December 2016

Fiber will be essential for 5G as it is desirable for backhauling of small cells.Therefore, those countries where FTTH is quite advanced will be in a better positionto deploy 5G.

CRU July 2017

Optical Cable Market


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Optical Cable market EvolutionS

ou

rce:

CRU

July

2017

Compound annual growth rate ‘14-’18

EMEA 7% (8%)NA 14% (6%)SA 5% (23%)APAC 8% (2%)China 13% (30%)

Global optical cable deployment has reached 425 million f-km, a 11,2% y-o-y

64% global demand from China


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Europe: Optical Cable S-M million f-kmS

ou

rce:

CRU

July

2017

Gigabit Society to promote fibre deployments in EU


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Conclusions

Network transformation

CAPEX

EU Digital Agenda 2025

Fiber/Cable manufacturers: TCO

Digital Revolution5

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Thank You!

infocom world conference 2017 · ftth/ b penetration by country source: idate for ftth council...

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