infrasonic measurements of the carancas, peru meteorite fall p. brown 1, w.n. edwards 1, a. le...

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Infrasonic Measurements of the Carancas, Peru Meteorite Fall P. Brown 1 , W.N. Edwards 1 , A. Le Pichon 2 , K. Antier 2 , D.O. ReVelle 3 , G. Tancredi 4 , S. Arrowsmith 3 1 Dept. of Physics and Astronomy, U. of Western Ontario, London, ON, Canada N6A 3K7 2 Commissariat à l’Energie Atomique, Centre DAM - Ile de France, Département Analyse Surveillance Environnement, Bruyères-le-Châtel, 91297 Arpajon Cedex, France 3 EES-17, Geophysics Group – Earth and Environmental Science Division, Los Alamos National Laboratory, P.O. Box 1663, MS D401, Los Alamos, NM 87545 USA 4 Dpto. Astronomía, Fac. Ciencias, Iguá 4225, 11400 Montevideo, Uruguay. Infrasound Technology Workshop - 2008

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Page 1: Infrasonic Measurements of the Carancas, Peru Meteorite Fall P. Brown 1, W.N. Edwards 1, A. Le Pichon 2, K. Antier 2, D.O. ReVelle 3, G. Tancredi 4, S

Infrasonic Measurements of the Carancas, Peru Meteorite Fall

P. Brown1, W.N. Edwards1, A. Le Pichon2, K. Antier2, D.O. ReVelle 3, G. Tancredi4, S. Arrowsmith 3

1Dept. of Physics and Astronomy, U. of Western Ontario, London, ON, Canada N6A 3K7

2Commissariat à l’Energie Atomique, Centre DAM - Ile de France, Département Analyse Surveillance Environnement, Bruyères-le-Châtel, 91297 Arpajon

Cedex, France

3EES-17, Geophysics Group – Earth and Environmental Science Division, Los Alamos National Laboratory, P.O. Box 1663, MS D401, Los Alamos, NM 87545

USA

4Dpto. Astronomía, Fac. Ciencias, Iguá 4225, 11400 Montevideo, Uruguay.

Infrasound Technology Workshop - 2008

Page 2: Infrasonic Measurements of the Carancas, Peru Meteorite Fall P. Brown 1, W.N. Edwards 1, A. Le Pichon 2, K. Antier 2, D.O. ReVelle 3, G. Tancredi 4, S

What happened?• 15/9/2007 – ~ 11:45 LT (16:45 UT) a bright fireball was

observed in the sky near the Peru/Bolivia border, leaving behind a smoke trail. Strong explosions lasting several seconds were heard in an area of several tens of km.

• A ground-level explosion was observed as well as the formation of a thick cloud of dust like a mushroom cloud.

• The shock wave of the ground level explosion produced vibration in several houses and some animals were knocked down due to the shock wave. The roof of a shed was impacted by ejecta.

• At the site where the explosion and the dust cloud was observed, the local people found a ~14m crater. The crater was half-fill by underground water. The water was bubbling and noxious fumes were coming out the water.

• Several pieces of atypical material was collected from inside and outside the crater.

• Several persons got sick.

Page 3: Infrasonic Measurements of the Carancas, Peru Meteorite Fall P. Brown 1, W.N. Edwards 1, A. Le Pichon 2, K. Antier 2, D.O. ReVelle 3, G. Tancredi 4, S

Photo of the smoke trail

Page 4: Infrasonic Measurements of the Carancas, Peru Meteorite Fall P. Brown 1, W.N. Edwards 1, A. Le Pichon 2, K. Antier 2, D.O. ReVelle 3, G. Tancredi 4, S
Page 5: Infrasonic Measurements of the Carancas, Peru Meteorite Fall P. Brown 1, W.N. Edwards 1, A. Le Pichon 2, K. Antier 2, D.O. ReVelle 3, G. Tancredi 4, S

Crater: diameter 14m

Page 6: Infrasonic Measurements of the Carancas, Peru Meteorite Fall P. Brown 1, W.N. Edwards 1, A. Le Pichon 2, K. Antier 2, D.O. ReVelle 3, G. Tancredi 4, S

Carancas crater

Page 7: Infrasonic Measurements of the Carancas, Peru Meteorite Fall P. Brown 1, W.N. Edwards 1, A. Le Pichon 2, K. Antier 2, D.O. ReVelle 3, G. Tancredi 4, S

Carancas meteorites

Photo José Ishitsuka

Photo Hernando Nuñez

Page 8: Infrasonic Measurements of the Carancas, Peru Meteorite Fall P. Brown 1, W.N. Edwards 1, A. Le Pichon 2, K. Antier 2, D.O. ReVelle 3, G. Tancredi 4, S

Puzzles presented by this event• What happened to the original meteorite?

Was it fragmented and totally dispersed during the impact?

• How was it possible that a chondritic meteorite of just a few meters in size could get through the atmosphere without being completely disrupted?

• Under what conditions could this event happen again?

Page 9: Infrasonic Measurements of the Carancas, Peru Meteorite Fall P. Brown 1, W.N. Edwards 1, A. Le Pichon 2, K. Antier 2, D.O. ReVelle 3, G. Tancredi 4, S

From Bland and Artemieva (2003)

This figure portrays the ratio of final mass to initialmass for stoney meteorites (top) and irons (bottom)

From Hills and Goda (1998)

Page 10: Infrasonic Measurements of the Carancas, Peru Meteorite Fall P. Brown 1, W.N. Edwards 1, A. Le Pichon 2, K. Antier 2, D.O. ReVelle 3, G. Tancredi 4, S

Constraints on the explosion energyThe explosion produced by the impact of the meteorite with the

ground was witnessed by several people. The explosion created an expanding cloud of dust and debris and a shock wave.

Local blast constraints:• A man standing ~400m from the crater site saw the expanding

dust cloud, heard the explosion but did not suffer any injury, nor did he fall down.

• A man riding a bicycle ~100m from the crater fell down and he felt a bit dizzy due to the explosion, but his eardrums were not ruptured. He was riding in a direction orthogonal to the line connecting to the crater.

• A bull similar to the Lidia bull-fighting breed was at ~200m from the crater. It fell down and broke one of its horns. The bull weighed ~500 kg.

• A mud shed with metal roof at ~120m was not seriously damaged. The shed has no glass windows. It was hit by ejecta from the crater that bent a metal sheet of the roof.

Page 11: Infrasonic Measurements of the Carancas, Peru Meteorite Fall P. Brown 1, W.N. Edwards 1, A. Le Pichon 2, K. Antier 2, D.O. ReVelle 3, G. Tancredi 4, S

Pressures for1 & 3 ton TNT

Page 12: Infrasonic Measurements of the Carancas, Peru Meteorite Fall P. Brown 1, W.N. Edwards 1, A. Le Pichon 2, K. Antier 2, D.O. ReVelle 3, G. Tancredi 4, S

Cratering Energetics from Holsapple and Housen (2007)

Page 13: Infrasonic Measurements of the Carancas, Peru Meteorite Fall P. Brown 1, W.N. Edwards 1, A. Le Pichon 2, K. Antier 2, D.O. ReVelle 3, G. Tancredi 4, S

Cratering Energetics from Holsapple and Housen (2007)

Page 14: Infrasonic Measurements of the Carancas, Peru Meteorite Fall P. Brown 1, W.N. Edwards 1, A. Le Pichon 2, K. Antier 2, D.O. ReVelle 3, G. Tancredi 4, S

Available Instrumental Data

• Infrasound:– IS08 (Bolivia): Two strong airwave arrivals

associated with the event (80.3 km range)– IS41PY (Paraguay): Very weak signal (1663 km

range)

• Seismic:– Bolivian Short-period seismic stations (BBOD,

BBOE, BBOK, BBOB)• Detect impact directly (Pg waves) and airwave

arrivals

– LPAZ (Bolivia): Pg arrival (106 km)

Page 15: Infrasonic Measurements of the Carancas, Peru Meteorite Fall P. Brown 1, W.N. Edwards 1, A. Le Pichon 2, K. Antier 2, D.O. ReVelle 3, G. Tancredi 4, S
Page 16: Infrasonic Measurements of the Carancas, Peru Meteorite Fall P. Brown 1, W.N. Edwards 1, A. Le Pichon 2, K. Antier 2, D.O. ReVelle 3, G. Tancredi 4, S
Page 17: Infrasonic Measurements of the Carancas, Peru Meteorite Fall P. Brown 1, W.N. Edwards 1, A. Le Pichon 2, K. Antier 2, D.O. ReVelle 3, G. Tancredi 4, S

Time from 16 40 UT

Am

plitude (nm)

Am

plitude (Pa)

1 2

Page 18: Infrasonic Measurements of the Carancas, Peru Meteorite Fall P. Brown 1, W.N. Edwards 1, A. Le Pichon 2, K. Antier 2, D.O. ReVelle 3, G. Tancredi 4, S

Arrival Angle ~ 14°Arrival Azimuth ~ 228 °

Arrival Angle ~ 19°Arrival Azimuth ~ 215 °

Bp 0.3 – 8 Hz

Page 19: Infrasonic Measurements of the Carancas, Peru Meteorite Fall P. Brown 1, W.N. Edwards 1, A. Le Pichon 2, K. Antier 2, D.O. ReVelle 3, G. Tancredi 4, S

Zonal Wind Speed (m/s)-40 -20 0 20 40

Hei

ght (

km)

0

20

40

60

80

100

Meridional (m/s)

-40 -20 0 20 40

Hei

ght (

km)

0

20

40

60

80

100

Atmosphere

Page 20: Infrasonic Measurements of the Carancas, Peru Meteorite Fall P. Brown 1, W.N. Edwards 1, A. Le Pichon 2, K. Antier 2, D.O. ReVelle 3, G. Tancredi 4, S

Pg waves from Crater Formation

16 40 00 UT +

Dis

plac

emen

t (n

m)

Crater formation time = 16 40 14.5 ± 0.4 UTPg wave velocity = 5.1 ± 0.1 km/s

Page 21: Infrasonic Measurements of the Carancas, Peru Meteorite Fall P. Brown 1, W.N. Edwards 1, A. Le Pichon 2, K. Antier 2, D.O. ReVelle 3, G. Tancredi 4, S

Trajectory• Possible Trajectory hypotheses to explain double signal:

1. Airshock from ballistic arrival and airwave from crater production

2. Airshock from ballistic arrival and fragmentation event

3. Double fragmentation events

• Additional constraining data for fireball direction:

1. South of IS08

2. Consistent with eyewitnesses near crater describing E->W path

3. Crater ejecta concentrated to SW and SSW

Trajectory azimuth confined to ~easterly radiant azimuths

Page 22: Infrasonic Measurements of the Carancas, Peru Meteorite Fall P. Brown 1, W.N. Edwards 1, A. Le Pichon 2, K. Antier 2, D.O. ReVelle 3, G. Tancredi 4, S

Quasi - Ballistic Wave Model• Use timing for crater

formation as constraint and minimize residuals from line source– Free parameters are

azimuth and altitude of radiant and velocity

• Allow ray deviations up to ~20° from perpendicular

NO

N-B

AL

LIS

TIC

NO

N-B

AL

LIS

TIC

NO

N-B

AL

LIS

TIC

NO

N-B

AL

LIS

TIC

QUASI-BALLISTIC

QUASI-BALLISTIC

QUASI-BALLISTIC

QUASI-BALLISTIC

BA

LL

IST

ICB

AL

LIS

TIC

V

Page 23: Infrasonic Measurements of the Carancas, Peru Meteorite Fall P. Brown 1, W.N. Edwards 1, A. Le Pichon 2, K. Antier 2, D.O. ReVelle 3, G. Tancredi 4, S

Quasi - Ballistic Wave - Solutions• Assuming first arrival from IS08 is

associated with crater formation AND is associated with major arrival at other stations get celerities from 0.31 – 0.33 km/s clustered around 0.33 km/s (plausible)

• Second arrival at IS08 and secondary arrivals at seismic stations are taken to be ballistic arrival

• Solutions have possible azimuths from 75 – 125 and steep elevations (>60 degs)

Page 24: Infrasonic Measurements of the Carancas, Peru Meteorite Fall P. Brown 1, W.N. Edwards 1, A. Le Pichon 2, K. Antier 2, D.O. ReVelle 3, G. Tancredi 4, S

Point Source Solutions• Several arrival combinations possible –

associations uncertain• Main Result – Point source solutions for all

combinations cluster from 80 -110° az and entry angles from 32° – 60° with heights clustering at 20 ± 3 km and 30 ± 2 km for all solutions

• Best fit presuming both main arrivals are fragmentation related and forced to fit IS08 backazimuths is az ~ 90° and 35° elevation

Page 25: Infrasonic Measurements of the Carancas, Peru Meteorite Fall P. Brown 1, W.N. Edwards 1, A. Le Pichon 2, K. Antier 2, D.O. ReVelle 3, G. Tancredi 4, S

Rad

ian

t A

zim

uth

Entry Angle Entry Angle

IS08 2nd arrival azimuth fit with 1st arrival crater airwave

Line Source Model – differing signal picks

From Le Pichon et al (2008)

Page 26: Infrasonic Measurements of the Carancas, Peru Meteorite Fall P. Brown 1, W.N. Edwards 1, A. Le Pichon 2, K. Antier 2, D.O. ReVelle 3, G. Tancredi 4, S

Crater Energetics – IS08

• From airwave at IS08 can apply empirical yield relations to estimate source energy (presuming first airwave arrival at IS08 is from crater or very late stage fragmentation event)

– Davidson and Whitaker (1992): Es = 4.5 tons TNT

96.4log2log47.1log RPE cSAP hkv

c 10

Signal Property Wavetrain #1 Wavetrain #2

Zero – Peak Amplitude (Pa) 0.76 ± 0.21 0.59 ± 0.14

Peak-Peak Amplitude (Pa) 1.91 ± 0.51 1.19 ± 0.25

Period at Max Amplitude (sec) 0.52 ± 0.03 0.62 ± 0.20

Summary of IS08 airwave arrival data:

Page 27: Infrasonic Measurements of the Carancas, Peru Meteorite Fall P. Brown 1, W.N. Edwards 1, A. Le Pichon 2, K. Antier 2, D.O. ReVelle 3, G. Tancredi 4, S

• Airwave data from I41PY:

• Energy Estimations:

Crater Energetics – I41PYSignal Property Value

Zero – Peak Amplitude (Pa) 0.03 ± 0.01

Peak-Peak Amplitude (Pa) 0.04 ± 0.02

Period at Max Amplitude (sec) 1.2 ± 0.2

58.2log34.32log

PES

62.10log52.3log2log RPES

bb

kva

S AREh 3

33

10

Source Relation Energy (tons of TNT)

ReVelle (1997) ; US Nuclear TestsAFTAC (period at max amplitude)

Blanc et al (1997) ; French Nuclear Tests (amplitude + range)

Edwards et al (2006) ; Comparison of bolide infrasound and satellite data(amplitude, winds and range)

10 ± 5

4 ± 3

5 ± 2

Page 28: Infrasonic Measurements of the Carancas, Peru Meteorite Fall P. Brown 1, W.N. Edwards 1, A. Le Pichon 2, K. Antier 2, D.O. ReVelle 3, G. Tancredi 4, S

Seismic Energies/Efficiencies

• From seismic arrivals, the crater explosion produced an equivalent local seismic magnitude ~ ML = 1.3 ± 0.1

• Corresponds to seismic energy of ~106 J

• Event energy ~3 tons TNT ~1010 J

• Seismic efficiency ~10-4

• Shishkin (2007) theory predicts ~10-5 to 10-6

Page 29: Infrasonic Measurements of the Carancas, Peru Meteorite Fall P. Brown 1, W.N. Edwards 1, A. Le Pichon 2, K. Antier 2, D.O. ReVelle 3, G. Tancredi 4, S

Modelling• Entry modelling (two

separate models)• Orbital solutions limit initial

v < 17 km/s to have aphelia inside Jupiters orbit

• Assumption is no major fragmentation Height (km)

10 20 30 40 50 60

Mas

s (k

g)

2000

3000

4000

5000

6000

7000

8000

9000

10000

2000

3000

4000

5000

6000

7000

8000

9000

10000

Vo=12km/s, = 0.004Vo=17km/s, = 0.008Vo=12km/s, = 0.004Vo=17kms, 0.004

Height (km)0 10 20 30 40 50

Vel

ocit

y (k

m/s

)

0123456789

101112131415161718

Page 30: Infrasonic Measurements of the Carancas, Peru Meteorite Fall P. Brown 1, W.N. Edwards 1, A. Le Pichon 2, K. Antier 2, D.O. ReVelle 3, G. Tancredi 4, S

Summary : Conclusions• Initial mass of meteoroid 4 000 – 12 000 kg

– Initial radius is 0.6 – 1 m

– Most probable near lower end of range

• Initial velocity 12 – 17 km/s– Initial energy ~0.1 – 0.4 kT TNT

• Impacting velocity @ ground ~1.5 – 4 km/s (model dependent); PDFs suggest 3-6 km/s

• Impactor mass at ground 2 000 – 5 000 kg (model dependent)

• Impact energy ~a few tons TNT • Seismic Impact Efficiency ~10-4

Page 31: Infrasonic Measurements of the Carancas, Peru Meteorite Fall P. Brown 1, W.N. Edwards 1, A. Le Pichon 2, K. Antier 2, D.O. ReVelle 3, G. Tancredi 4, S

Working Hypothesis• The Carancas meteoroid was unusually strong, with

few stress cracks (Y ~ 15 MPa)

• It did not fragment significantly and therefore did not loose all of its pre-encounter cosmic velocity (having a ~few percent of its pre-encounter KE upon impact).

• Models based on average properties miss important details

“The enemy of the conventional wisdom is not ideas but the march of events” – J. K. Galbraith