infrastructure outlook 2030 market assessment report sample - cg/la infrastructure llc

8/8/2019 Infrastructure Outlook 2030 Market Assessment Report Sample - CG/LA Infrastructure LLC

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Global 2030 Snapshot

Audience: The Market 2030 Report is designed for a high-level audience in both the public and private sectors. For private sector executives - E&C firms, technology

producers, equipment manufacturers, strategists, board of directors - the Report provides essential material for strategic decision-making. For public sector officials - government

and multilateral bank executives, industrial policy thinkers - the Report provides a view of the most likely future in their sector or region, suggesting areas of major action and

attention.

The Report: The Report focuses on 30 countries around the world, individually and aggregated geographically, projecting and assessing infrastructure demand for the next 20

years. The product is delivered in 10 decks, with explanatory text, Regions included are: The Drive: The thrust of the report is to give high level decision makers a birds eye view of the global infrastructure market. Where the opportunities are, the impediments,

market size and how they can better position themselves based on current and historic trends. The Global Infrastructure Outlook 2030 should serve as your shorthand for what

markets you want to penetrate and the lay of the land in them.



0

100000

200000

300000

400000

500000

2001-05 2006-10 2011-15 2016-20 2021-25 2026-30

Asia Without China

Power Generation Power Transmission Water/WasteHighways/Bridges Rail Urban Mass TransitAirports Ports & Logistics

Infrastructure Spending by Sector(Average per year)

Investment by Sector in Asia

US MMInvestment by sector follows the expected trend for a region on plein development with the electricity and highway sectors representing over

50% of the overall investment in the region. However, it is veryinteresting to note the China effect in both magnitude and order. China’s

aggressive plan for rebuilding and connecting the country, will makehighways the sector the highest with a share of investment of 40.6% in

2030.

Investments in electricity will be a high priority for sustaining economic

growth in the region. As a consequence, Asia will duplicate its generationpower and significantly improve its transmission system investing and

average of roughly US$60 billions per year in the coming two decades.

Trade is vital for Asian development and as consequence, we foresee an

annual investment growth within the range of 3-5% for Ports & Logistics,and well over 10% for Airports that have recently lacked significant

improvement. The overall investment in these three sectors will increasefrom an average of US$56 billion in 2010 to US$85 billion in 2030.

Following the urbanization wave seen in other regions in the world,Urban Mass Transit will see a significantly increase in the coming years

duplicating its current average of US$21 billions a year. The growth inthis sector will be also pushed by the great technology-oriented countries

such as Japan, South Korea and China.

Finally, the water sector will represent an average of 7-8% of the total

regional investment with annual growth in the range of 2-3%.

0

300000

600000

900000

1200000

1500000

Asia With China

10.6%

23.3%

8.7%

28.3%

6.5%

10.8%

5.6%

6.7%

22.6%

11%

7.7%

40.6%

4.3%

6.4%

3.0%4.3%



Argentina2011-2030

Summary: Argentina has enormous problems with the externalfinancing community, and significant problems of internalcorruption surrounding every type of infrastructure project.Argentina is a large and rich economy, with total GDP of $356billion - 22% larger than Colombia, but only about onequarter the size of neighboring Brazil. Argentine GDPdeclined by 3.5% last year, but will increase this year by

nearly 7%, and then will average growth in the 3.5% rangethrough 2030.

In terms of the three scenarios that we have built for Argentinathe low scenario suggests an unsustainably low infrastructureinvestment level of $3 billion/year, - a level that we believewill hold through at least 2015. It should be kept in mind thatthe country’s needs - including pent-up demand - are at leastfour times that amount.

Sectors with potentially higher growth rates are: electricitygeneration, highways and urban mass transportation. There is

a small chance for an increase in freight railways construction.Power generation and transmission will remain the largestsectors in the portfolio, accounting for 20% of their totalinvestment.

Challenge: Corruption is the greatest challenge that Argentinafaces in infrastructure, as well as in the rest of the economy;the public sector is also extremely weak.

0

1

2

3

2011-15 2016-20 2021-25 2026-30

0

375

750

1,125

1,500

1.07 1.09 1.11 1.16

Average of Infrastructure Spending in Argentina

by Sector and Total Investment as % GDP

Power Gen Power T&D Water Dis tribution Wastewater Treatment

Roads/Highways Bridges Rail UMT

Airports Ports %GDP

%



For More Infromation Contact:CG/LA Infrastructure LLC

[email protected]

infrastructure outlook 2030 market assessment report sample - cg/la infrastructure llc

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