innovation, strategic alliances and...
TRANSCRIPT
Innovation, Strategic Alliances and Networks
Nicolas Jonard
DIMETIC Strasbourg, March 30, 2009
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BackgroundWe have seen, over the past 2 decades, a changing perspective on firms:
From firms as atomistic, autonomous agents competing in the anonymous marketplace To firms as embedded in a rich network of horizontal and vertical relationships with other organizational actors
Lasting, strategic relations tie firms to suppliers, customers, competitors and other entities, across and within industries and countriesIs the conduct and performance of firms affected by the network of relationships in which they are embedded?
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Strategic alliances and networksAlliance: Voluntarily initiated cooperative agreement between firms that involves exchange, sharing or co-development and can include contributions by partners of capital, technology or firm-specific assets
Strategic network as a set of alliances
Firms engaging in alliances are relationally and structurally embedded
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Neither markets nor hierarchiesMake or buy depending on contracting hazard and transaction costs
Market exchange is better when contracts are readily written and enforced, and transaction costs are low
Hierarchies are better when opportunism is likely and transaction costs are high
Alliances (and networks) make sense in between: when transaction costs are not so high that they require hierarchical control but not so low that market exchange is simple
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The resource-based viewEnduring competitive advantage originates in the firm holding inimitable and non-substitutable resources (INSRs)
Networking is a strategy for reaching beyond the boundaries of the firm for complementary INSRs: knowledge and information, labor, capital, goods and services, access to further resources,…
A firm's network attributes themselves constitute INSRs (and constraints...), providing a possible answer to the question of the origin of resources
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Social capitalTransactions/ties are embedded in a history of interaction/ties
Alliances do not exist in a vacuum, but in a larger network of alliances
Social capital theories tell us that there is value from social network position
Do firms differ in their conduct and profitability because they hold different network positions?
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Relational embeddednessEvidence that firms go back over and over to their past partners
Value of strong/repeated ties: Exchange of high-quality information and tacit knowledge: deeper understanding of the partner, shared goals and representations,…Part of a social control mechanism: trust facilitates interaction, mitigates appropriation concerns (thus perhaps implies simpler and less costly contracts): knowledge-based trust
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Structural embeddednessLocal structure beyond neighbours: indirect tiesValue from closure (Coleman):
Clustered neighbourhoods imply shared information about others' trustworthiness, capabilities, objectives (ex ante) and induce good behaviourDeterrence-based trust from reputational concerns
Value from holes (Burt):Optimizing knowledge flows implies maintaining structural holes to avoid redundanciesConnect distant parts of the network for rapid access to resources and informationInsurance against technological surprises unforeseeable from local cluster
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ImplicationsA network perspective can help understanding the nature of competition/degree of profitability/barriers to entry across industriesA network perspective can help understanding intra-industry differences, groups (cliques) and barriers to mobility across groupsNetwork characteristics (density, holes, structural equivalence, core vs. periphery,…) matter:
Dense networks can be conducive to tacit or explicit oligopoly coordination, implying increased profitabilityStructural holes can confer power through control, implying increased profitability
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V={1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8}
NetworksVertices
Edges
Neighbourhood
Distance
Clustering
Betweenness
4 2
5 6
1
7 8
3
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g={12,13,24,25,26,37,38,
45,46,56,78}
NetworksVertices
Edges
Neighbourhood
Distance
Clustering
Betweenness
4 2
5 6
1
7 8
3
12
N2(g)={1,4,5,6}
NetworksVertices
Edges
Neighbourhood
Distance
Clustering
Betweenness
4 2
5 6
1
7 8
3
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d(2,i;g)=1 ∀ i∈N2(g)
d(2,7;g)=3
NetworksVertices
Edges
Neighbourhood
Distance
Clustering
Betweenness
4 2
5 6
1
7 8
3
14
NetworksVertices
Edges
Neighbourhood
Distance
Clustering I
Betweenness
4 2
5 6
1
7 8
3
3
3x2/2c4= =1
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NetworksVertices
Edges
Neighbourhood
Distance
Clustering II
Betweenness
4 2
5 6
1
7 8
3
4x3/2
3c2= =1/2
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NetworksVertices
Edges
Neighbourhood
Distance
Clustering III
Betweenness
4 2
5 6
1
7 8
3
2x1/2
0c1= =0
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NetworksVertices
Edges
Neighbourhood
Distance
Clustering
Betweenness I
4 2
5 6
1
7 8
3
b4= 0
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NetworksVertices
Edges
Neighbourhood
Distance
Clustering
Betweenness II
4 2
5 6
1
7 8
3
b1= 4x3 = 12
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Innovation networksInnovation networks: networks emerging from firms' decisions to form strategic alliances aimed at learning and producing new knowledge
R&D collaborative agreement, research joint ventures,…
Purpose: reaching beyond the boundaries of the firm for complementary knowledge resources in order to gain competitive advantage
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Innovation in alliancesInnovation as knowledge recombination
Firms heterogeneous in their knowledge endowments
Properties of the innovation process:Inverted-U relationship between “distance” and the likelihood of successIncreased post-alliance overlap: learning from partners makes partners less attractive
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Properties of innovation networks
Sparse
Clustered
Low diameter
Asymmetric degree distribution
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Small worldsAre innovation networks small-world networks?
Small worlds are ubiquitous:6 degrees of separation
Board membership and ownership networks
Power grid US
Neural network of worm
Kevin Bacon game
Scientific co-authorship
Biotech alliances
...
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Standard explanationsSparse: costs of link formation
Skewed link distribution:Heterogeneity in attributes and goalsPreferential attachment
Clustered:Relational and structural embeddedness, social capital, trust and controlAgglomeration effects (innovation in the air, industrial districts, labor, face-to-face interactions, tacit knowledge,…)
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But…Empirical studies emphasize the causal role of network-oriented structural and strategic motives in partner selection
Very little (static), if any consideration at all of partner complementarity in alliance formation
Is partner complementarity or embeddedness causal (spurious…)?
What about the relationship between firm position and firm performance?
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A simple modelFirms located in a knowledge space, holding distinct endowments
Strategic alliances form with partners neither too similar nor too dissimilar
Alliances permit learning: similarity ↑
Alliances permit innovation: similarity ↓
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Alliance decisionKnowledge space: K=[0,1]×[0,1]
Address of firm i: (xi,yi), with 0≤xi,yi≤1
Distance between i and j in knowledge space is standard Euclidean distance
Alliance partners must be both similar and complementary: δ1≤di,j(k)≤δ
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Alliance decision
Consider the red vertex:
Vertices in the white area satisfy the similarity constraint
Vertices in the white area satisfy the complementarity constraint
The red vertex forms only 2 links 1
y
0
δ
δ1
x
1
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Alliance decision
All firms behave in a symmetric manner
A network of strategic alliances forms
This one has 2 singletons and 2 connected components
1
y
0 x
1
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EquilibriumThe strategic alliance game is a simultaneous link formation game
Firms’ incentives to form (or not to form) a partnership are symmetric
There is a unique equilibrium network g*={ij: δ1≤dij(k)≤δ}
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Knowledge dynamicsTwofold purpose of joint R&D activities:
Absorb existing knowledge (learning)
Produce new knowledge (innovation)
Learning increases the overlap of the technological portfolios of the partnering firms
Firms move closer to each other in K (partial linear adjustment): xi(t+1)=αxj(t)+ (1−α)xi(t)
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Knowledge dynamicsInnovation causes a random reorganization of the knowledge space and partnering possibilities
Dislocation for any firm is determined by:Where in knowledge space the innovation takes place
How disruptive it is
Formally, the (expected) shock on any firm is:Decaying with the distance to the innovating partnership
Scaled by an industry-wide disruptiveness parameter θ
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Knowledge dynamics
The relationship between the range of dislocation and the distance d from the firm to the innovators:
Disruptive: black
Incremental: red
y
0
d
1/2
0
-1/2
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Numerical experimentAt each time step firms form all possible alliances
Firms learn from and move towards partners
With small probability one innovation occurs, imposing a relocation on all firms in the industry
Settings:Industry size n=75 firms
Similarity and complementary constraints: δ=0.2, δ1=0.06
Absorptive capacity α=0.01 (speed of partial adjustment)
History length: 1,500 periods
25 replications
θ varies from 1/20 to 1
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Snapshot results I (t=500)
Industry network
Incremental innovation
Component sizes 32, 42
Average degree 12.7
Density 0.17
Clustering0.56
Rescaled clustering 3.2
Average distance 2.01
Rescaled distance 1.02
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Snapshot results II (t=500)
Industry network
Disruptive innovationComponent size 75
Average degree 7.01
Density 0.095
Clustering0.52
Rescaled clustering 5.5
Average distance 4.05
Rescaled distance 1.67
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Snapshot results III (t=500)
Industry network
Radical innovationComponent size 75
Average degree 5.01
Density 0.067
Clustering0.40
Rescaled clustering 5.9
Average distance 7.80
Rescaled distance 2.76
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Time series results IAverage number of partners per firm (moving average)
Time runs from 0 to 1,500
3 levels of disruptiveness
Outbursts and collapses in network activity
1 201 401 601 801 1001 1201Time
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
20
Ave
rage
deg
ree
θ = 0.05 θ = 0.1 θ = 1
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Time series results IIAverage clustering coefficient (moving average)
Time runs from 0 to 1,500
3 levels of disruptiveness
Persistent fluctuations in network organization
1 201 401 601 801 1001 1201Time
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.7
Clu
ster
ing
θ = 0.05 θ = 0.1 θ = 1
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Time series results IIIDistance among reachable pairs (moving average)
Time runs from 0 to 1,500
3 levels of disruptiveness
Persistent fluctuations in network organization
1 201 401 601 801 1001 1201Time
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Ave
rage
dis
tanc
e
θ = 0.05 θ = 0.1 θ = 1
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Aggregate results IRelationship between average degree and the disruptiveness of the innovation regime
Display the range and central tendency over the set of replications
Lowest for intermediate disruptiveness
0.05 0.08 0.14 0.22 0.37 0.61 1.00θ
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
Deg
ree
Median 25%-75%
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Aggregate results IIRelationship between rescaled weighted clustering and disruptiveness of innovation regime
Rescaling with respect to random benchmark
Always > 1, strongest for intermediate disruptiveness
0.05 0.08 0.14 0.22 0.37 0.61 1.00θ
1
2
3
4
5
Res
cale
d w
eigh
ted
clus
terin
g
Median 25%-75%
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Aggregate results IIIRelationship between rescaled weighted distance and disruptiveness of innovation regime
Rescaling with respect to random benchmark
Always > 1, strongest for intermediate disruptiveness
0.05 0.08 0.14 0.22 0.37 0.61 1.00θ
1.0
1.2
1.4
1.6
1.8
2.0
2.2
2.4
Res
cale
d w
eigh
ted
dist
ance
Median 25%-75%
43
ImplicationsHigh clustering and low characteristic path length as produced by the model are the defining features of small worlds
Results so far suggest that small worlds arise from the conjunction of randomness in innovation and the short-term quest for suitable partners
No sophisticated attempts from firms to strategically manipulate their network, no social capital value to specific positions
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Position and performance IPerformance: total disruption imposed on other firms
Relation between degree (number of partners) and performance?
Always positive, strongest for intermediate disruptiveness
0.05 0.08 0.14 0.22 0.37 0.61 1.00θ
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.7
Cor
rela
tion
of d
egre
e an
d pe
rform
ance
Median 25%-75%
45
Position and performance IIRelation between weighted clustering (density of ego-network) and performance?
Positive for incremental regimes: constraint is good
Negative for disruptive regimes: holes are good
0.05 0.08 0.14 0.22 0.37 0.61 1.00θ
-0.2
-0.1
0.0
0.1
0.2
Cor
rela
tion
of w
eigh
ted
clus
terin
g an
dpe
rform
ance
Median 25%-75%
46
Position and performance IIIRelation between betweenness (centrality) and performance?
Negative for incremental regimes: holes are bad
Positive for disruptive regimes: holes are good 0.05 0.08 0.14 0.22 0.37 0.61 1.00
θ
-0.3
-0.2
-0.1
0.0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
Cor
rela
tion
of b
etw
eenn
ess
and
perfo
rman
ce
Median 25%-75%
47
ImplicationsThe relative benefits of structural holes and cliques are contingent on industry life-cycles and the extent to which innovation is disruptive
Similar findings in the literature: cf. steel (incremental) vs. semi-conductor (more disruptive) industries
Firms perform no sophisticated calculation in order to optimize their network position:
No attempt to span holes in order to be insured against “distant” innovationsNo considerations of social capital such as partner referrals or returning to known partners
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ConclusionsA network approach can help understand persistent differences in the conduct and performance of firms
Allegedly, learning, social capital and network-oriented strategic motives materialize in partner selection
A simple model has replicated all the conduct (repeated ties and transitivity) and properties (clustering and short distances) characteristic of observed alliance networks
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ConclusionsSpecifically, cliques enhance performance when innovation is incremental; structural holes enhance performance when innovation is disruptive
Moderately disruptive innovation yields pronounced small world features and no impact of position on performance
Consistent with the small world view of cliques and structural holes as complementary factors jointly enhancing network efficiency in moving resources
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ConclusionsResults stems from:
Complementarity in the knowledge space, combined with learning, generates inertia and transitivity in firms’partnering decisions
Discontinuities in knowledge endowments resulting from innovations generate ties spanning cliques in disconnected regions of the network
Incorporating time-varying measures of partner complementarity could allow to identify the real effects of network position