integrated ecological economic modeling of ecosystem services from brazil's amazon rainforest by...

Integrated Ecological Economic Modeling of Ecosystem Services from Brazil's Amazon Rainforest

By

Rosimeiry Portela

At

Conservation International

Washington, DC

July, 2005

Introduction

The Amazon tropical rain forest: Largest tract of tropical forest on Earth with half of the species of the world.
Vegetation: Regional pattern of precipitation and radiation and and regulation of GHGs.Plant animal interactions and nutrient cycling.
UC Davis

Legal Amazon, Brazil

To try to understand the structure and function of (the Amazon) is comparable to composing a mosaic picture.

www.bbcnews.com

www.bbcnews.com

www.bbcnews.com

www.bbcnews.com

www.redjellyfish.com

gustavofonseca

Sioli, H. 1984

RUMBA: Integrating functions of the ecosystem to human economy and social interactions

with the main focus on the contribution of the ecosystem goods and functions to human economy and welfare.

RUMBA: Scenarios

www.bbcnews.com

www.bbcnews.com
Baseline: Historical trends;Scenario 1: Increased investment in BC with regions own financial resources;Scenario 2: Increased investment in BC with regions and external financial resources;Scenario 3: Increased investment in NC with regions own financial resources;Scenario 4: Increased investment in NC with regions and external financial resources.

Research Results: Annual Deforestation Rates
Baseline and Alternative Scenarios
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1SCENARIO 2SCENARIO 3SCENARIO 4DATAYearKm2*yr-111296.0426289.6529058.723161.4725051.552100012349.526684.3730188.5623230.4925665.591777013300.8226794.230408.9423447.326204.031373014147.0826852.6630400.1123672.5626643.821103014900.5326920.1330356.7223873.5926998.741378615576.1827009.9530334.124045.9227285.551489616187.5927121.8330345.0124192.127518.141489616743.2227251.8130388.8124315.8427707.142905917257.227395.3330460.7924420.4727860.591816117735.627547.7430554.7224508.7427984.541322718185.5327705.1230664.6724582.828083.571738318613.427863.8230784.8624644.3528161.221725919023.3328020.8630910.2724694.7128220.21822619418.2628173.931036.7524734.9328262.651816519800.428320.7931160.5324765.8528290.242547620171.3928459.9931278.7124788.1128304.2820532.528590.1831388.8524802.2528305.8320884.6628710.1431488.7924808.728295.7521228.5428819.1131577.0424807.828274.7221564.6228917.5631653.5624799.8528243.321893.229004.9631717.2724785.0828201.9922214.4729080.1731766.6224763.728151.1622528.529142.6831800.8424735.928091.1422835.2829192.2231819.4424701.8328022.223140.1729228.6331822.1524661.627944.6323453.3229251.8231808.824615.3527858.6723763.529261.7431779.3324563.1827764.5724067.6929256.8431732.124505.2127662.5324364.729239.8531670.0224441.5627552.7624653.8629210.0231592.3324372.3427435.4924934.6629167.4531499.2124297.6627310.8925185.4329112.1631390.7724217.6227179.1725423.6929044.3131267.2624132.3627040.5325651.5928964.4431129.3424041.9726895.1725869.6528872.7130977.3123946.5726743.326077.9528769.1730811.3123846.2926585.1226276.3828654.0530631.7323741.2226420.8126464.8128527.5830438.9223631.5126250.626643.128390.0830233.3423517.2626074.726811.1128241.8330015.4323398.625893.2926968.6928083.1529785.6423275.6625706.5927115.7127914.3129544.3923148.5525514.8227252.0727735.6529292.1623017.425318.1627377.6427547.4729029.4122882.3425116.8427492.362735028756.4822743.3724910.8927596.1327142.5828472.8322600.1724700.0327688.9126927.1828180.6622453.8624485.6327770.6526703.7927880.0922304.2724267.5127841.3226472.727571.5322151.4624045.8127900.9326234.2827255.4721995.5223820.6927949.4825988.8326932.3421836.5823592.362798725736.7826602.7121674.7623361.0328013.525478.3926266.9721510.1823126.852802925214.0925925.6421342.9622890.0228033.5724944.1925579.1621173.2322650.7228027.324669.052522821001.122409.1428010.324389.0224872.6220826.722165.4527982.6824104.8724513.820650.1521919.8527944.5423817.3324152.5320471.5621672.5127896.0423525.9923788.420291.0521423.627837.3223230.9523421.6120108.7521173.327768.5322932.4723052.519924.7520921.7627689.8622630.8522681.4419739.1820669.1727601.4922326.3822308.8219552.1520415.6627503.6122019.3721935.4619363.7620161.427396.4421710.121561.5819174.1319906.5527280.1621398.8821187.3518983.3619651.2627155.0221085.9720813.0118791.5619395.6527021.2420771.6820438.8918598.8219139.8926879.0420456.2620065.2918405.2518884.1126728.6720140.2519692.4918210.9518628.4326570.3819823.9419320.8118016.011837326404.419507.4118950.5117820.5318117.9326230.9819190.8318581.8617624.5917863.3526050.2318874.4118215.1417428.317609.3825861.8918558.3717850.5817231.7317356.1325667.418242.9217488.4317034.9817103.9925466.6717928.2917128.9116838.1316852.9125259.8617614.6516772.2416641.2616602.9125047.2217302.2316418.6316444.4516354.0724828.9916991.1916068.2716247.7816106.4824605.4416681.7315721.3416051.3215860.2124376.8216374.0215378.0215855.1515615.3524143.3916068.2315038.4715659.3415371.9823905.4515764.5114702.8515463.9615130.1823663.2315463.0314371.2915269.0714890.0223416.9615163.9214043.9315074.7514651.5723166.8914867.3313720.8914881.214414.922913.2914573.3913402.2914688.4314180.0822656.3914282.2213088.2214496.4613947.1622396.4513993.9412778.7914305.3113716.2122133.713708.6612474.0714115.0313487.2821868.3813426.4812174.1513925.6613260.4321600.7313147.5111879.0813737.2613035.721330.9712871.8311588.9413549.8712813.1321059.3312599.5311303.7813363.5412592.7820786.0420511.320235.3319958.3419680.5319402.119123.2318844.1218565.2118286.6118008.3817730.6417453.5317177.1816901.7416627.3616354.1716082.2915811.8615542.9815275.7915010.3814746.8714485.3614225.9413968.7113713.7513461.1413210.9713548.54ECOSERV (km2)PLOTTED ON 091904RECREATIONDIST REG KM2GAS REG KM2SOIL FORM KM2CLIMATE REG KM2PNU KM2AMF, NEAMF, AGAMF, PAAMF, NEAMF, AGAMF, PAAMF, NEAMF, AGAMF, PA36.6216.5117.644.170.910.9419755,577.9017.1818.4123,181.16713.93765.01812.53366.25391.36649.1769.3377.5336.7216.4217.74.170.910.9419764641.7914.4815.3623,356.80728.39772.99812.53363.33391.56667.3370.7277.9736.8116.3617.74.170.910.9419774067.7612.7713.4823,517.90738.43779.38812.53361.06390.60684.2871.8478.6136.8916.317.674.170.910.9419783696.8111.6612.2723,665.44746.73785.26812.53359.05389.24700.1872.8579.4036.9716.2517.634.170.910.9419793445.9610.9211.4523,800.22754.28791.00812.53357.12387.59715.1173.8480.2937.0316.1917.584.170.910.9419803269.4710.4110.8923,922.98761.48796.69812.53355.21385.77729.1374.8181.2437.0916.1317.524.170.910.9419813140.8810.0410.4924,034.43768.46802.34812.53353.30383.86742.3075.7782.2237.1416.0617.464.170.910.9419823044.289.7810.1924,135.25775.22807.94812.53351.43381.93754.6776.7183.2037.1816.0017.394.170.910.9419832969.749.589.9724,226.10781.76813.46812.53349.60380.01766.3077.6284.1637.2115.9317.324.170.910.9419842910.879.449.8124,307.60788.01818.80812.53347.84378.13777.2378.5085.0937.2415.8617.254.170.910.9419852863.399.329.6824,380.38793.96823.94812.53346.17376.34787.5179.3285.9837.2615.8017.184.170.910.9419862824.399.249.5824,445.02799.58828.84812.53344.59374.63797.1980.1086.8237.2715.7417.114.170.910.9419872791.839.179.524,502.07804.87833.49812.53343.10373.01806.3080.8387.6237.2815.6817.054.170.910.9419882764.229.129.4324,552.06809.82837.87812.53341.70371.49814.8981.5188.3637.2915.6216.984.170.910.9419892740.509.079.3824,595.50814.44842.00812.53340.40370.07822.9882.1589.0637.2915.5616.924.170.910.9419902719.859.049.3424,632.86818.77845.86812.53339.18368.74830.6182.7489.7037.2815.5116.864.170.910.9419912701.689.019.3124,664.59822.80849.49812.53338.04367.49837.8283.2990.3137.2715.4616.804.170.910.9419922685.528.999.2824,691.10826.57852.88812.53336.98366.33844.6383.8190.8837.2515.4016.754.170.910.9419932671.028.979.2524,712.79830.09856.06812.53335.99365.24851.0784.2991.4037.2315.3516.694.170.910.9419942657.878.969.2324,730.03833.38859.04812.53335.06364.22857.1684.7491.9037.2115.3016.644.170.910.9419952645.888.949.2224,743.16836.47861.84812.53334.19363.26862.9385.1692.3637.1815.2616.584.170.910.9419962634.848.939.224,752.50839.37864.47812.53333.38362.36868.4085.5592.8037.1515.2116.534.170.910.9419972624.628.939.1924,758.35842.09866.94812.53332.61361.52873.5985.9293.2137.1215.1616.484.170.910.9419982615.118.929.1824,760.99844.66869.27812.53331.89360.72878.5186.2793.5937.0815.1116.434.170.910.9419992606.208.929.1724,760.69847.09871.47812.53331.21359.97883.2086.6093.9537.0415.0716.384.170.910.9420002597.828.919.1724,757.71849.37873.54812.53330.56359.27887.6686.9294.3036.9915.0216.334.170.910.9420012589.918.919.1624,752.35851.52875.49812.53329.96358.60891.9187.2194.6236.9514.9816.284.170.910.9420022582.408.919.1624,744.83853.55877.33812.53329.38357.97895.9787.4894.9236.9014.9316.234.170.910.9420032575.268.919.1524,735.36855.47879.07812.53328.84357.38899.8687.7495.2036.8414.8916.184.170.910.9420042568.448.919.1524,724.12857.30880.73812.53328.33356.82903.5787.9995.4836.7914.8416.134.170.910.9420052561.928.919.1524,711.28859.05882.30812.53327.84356.28907.1388.2395.7336.7314.8016.084.170.910.9420062555.668.919.1524,697.00860.72883.80812.53327.37355.77910.5588.4695.9836.6714.7516.034.170.910.9420072549.648.919.1424,681.31862.35885.26812.53326.92355.28913.8288.6896.2236.6114.7115.994.170.910.9420082543.838.919.1424,664.34863.91886.65812.53326.48354.81916.9688.8996.4536.5414.6615.944.170.910.9420092538.228.919.1524,646.20865.43888.00812.53326.05354.35919.9989.1096.6736.4814.6215.894.170.910.9420102532.798.929.1524,627.00866.89889.29812.53325.64353.91922.9089.3096.8836.4114.5715.844.170.910.9420112527.538.929.1524,606.85868.31890.54812.53325.24353.48925.7189.4997.0936.3414.5315.794.170.910.9420122522.438.929.1524,585.85869.67891.74812.53324.85353.07928.4189.6797.2936.2714.4915.744.170.910.9420132517.468.939.1524,564.08870.99892.90812.53324.48352.68931.0389.8597.4836.2014.4415.704.170.910.9420142512.648.939.1524,541.61872.27894.02812.53324.12352.30933.5690.0397.6636.1314.4015.654.170.910.9420152507.938.939.1624,518.54873.51895.10812.53323.77351.93936.0190.2097.8436.0614.3515.604.170.910.9420162503.348.949.1624,494.91874.71896.14812.53323.44351.57938.3890.3698.0135.9814.3115.554.170.910.9420172498.878.949.1624,470.79875.87897.15812.53323.11351.23940.6890.5298.1835.9114.2715.514.170.910.9420182494.498.959.1624,446.24877.00898.13812.53322.79350.90942.9290.6798.3435.8314.2215.464.170.910.9420192490.218.959.1724,421.30878.09899.07812.53322.49350.58945.1090.8298.4935.7614.1815.424.170.910.9420202486.018.969.1724,396.03879.15899.98812.53322.19350.27947.2290.9698.6435.6814.1415.374.170.910.9420212481.918.969.1724,370.45880.19900.87812.53321.89349.97949.2891.1098.7935.6114.0915.324.170.910.9420222477.888.979.1824,344.61881.20901.72812.53321.61349.67951.2991.2498.9335.5314.0515.284.170.910.9420232473.928.979.1824,318.54882.18902.56812.53321.33349.39953.2591.3799.0635.4614.0115.244.170.910.9420242470.038.989.1924,292.25883.14903.36812.53321.06349.12955.1791.5099.2035.3813.9715.194.170.910.9420252466.208.999.1924,265.79884.08904.15812.53320.80348.85957.0491.6399.3235.3113.9315.154.170.910.9420262462.448.999.1924,239.16884.99904.91812.53320.54348.59958.8791.7699.4535.2413.8915.114.170.910.9420272458.739.009.224,212.38885.89905.65812.53320.29348.34960.6691.8899.5735.1613.8515.064.170.910.9420282455.079.009.224,185.46886.76906.36812.53320.05348.10962.4292.0099.6935.0913.8115.024.170.910.9420292451.469.019.224,158.42887.62907.06812.53319.80347.86964.1492.1199.8035.0113.7714.984.170.910.9420302447.899.019.2124,131.27888.46907.74812.53319.57347.63965.8292.2399.9134.9413.7314.944.170.910.9420312444.379.029.2124,104.00889.28908.40812.53319.34347.40967.4792.34100.0234.8713.6914.904.170.910.9420322440.889.029.2224,076.63890.08909.05812.53319.11347.18969.0992.45100.1334.8013.6614.864.170.910.9420332437.429.039.2224,049.14890.87909.68812.53318.89346.97970.6892.55100.2334.7313.6214.824.170.910.9420342434.009.039.2224,021.55891.65910.29812.53318.67346.76972.2492.66100.3334.6613.5814.784.170.910.9420352430.599.049.2323,993.85892.41910.88812.53318.45346.56973.7892.76100.4334.5913.5514.754.170.910.9420362427.229.059.2323,966.02893.16911.46812.53318.24346.37975.2892.86100.5234.5213.5114.714.170.910.9420372423.869.059.2323,938.07893.90912.02812.53318.04346.17976.7692.96100.6134.4613.4814.674.170.910.9420382420.529.069.2423,909.99894.63912.57812.53317.83345.99978.2193.06100.7034.3913.4414.644.170.910.9420392417.199.069.2423,881.76895.34913.11812.53317.63345.80979.6393.16100.7934.3313.4114.604.170.910.9420402413.879.079.2523,853.38896.04913.63812.53317.43345.63981.0393.26100.8834.2613.3814.574.170.910.9420412410.569.079.2523,824.82896.74914.14812.53317.24345.45982.4093.35100.9634.2013.3514.534.170.910.9420422407.259.089.2523,796.08897.42914.64812.53317.04345.28983.7593.44101.0434.1413.3114.504.170.910.9420432403.949.089.2623,767.15898.10915.12812.53316.85345.12985.0893.53101.1234.0813.2814.474.170.910.9420442400.639.099.2623,738.00898.76915.60812.53316.67344.96986.3893.62101.2034.0213.2514.444.170.910.9420452397.319.099.2623,708.61899.42916.06812.53316.48344.80987.6593.71101.2733.9713.2214.414.170.910.9420462393.989.109.2723,678.98900.07916.51812.53316.30344.65988.9093.80101.3533.9113.1914.384.170.910.9420472390.649.119.2723,649.07900.72916.95812.53316.12344.50990.1393.89101.4233.8613.1614.354.170.910.9420482387.299.119.2723,618.87901.35917.38812.53315.94344.36991.3393.98101.4933.8013.1414.324.170.910.9420492383.929.129.2823,588.36901.98917.79812.53315.76344.21992.5194.06101.5633.7513.1114.294.170.910.9420502380.529.129.2823,557.52902.61918.20812.53315.59344.07993.6694.15101.6233.7013.0814.274.170.910.9420512377.109.139.2823,526.31903.22918.60812.53315.41343.94994.7994.23101.6933.6513.0614.244.170.910.9420522373.669.139.2823,494.72903.84918.99812.53315.24343.81995.8994.31101.7533.6113.0314.224.170.910.9420532370.189.149.2923,462.73904.44919.37812.53315.07343.68996.9794.39101.8133.5613.0114.194.170.910.9420542366.679.149.2923,430.30905.05919.74812.53314.90343.55998.0294.48101.8733.5212.9814.174.170.910.9420552363.129.159.2923,397.43905.65920.10812.53314.73343.43999.0594.56101.9333.4812.9614.144.170.910.9420562359.539.159.323,364.08906.24920.46812.53314.56343.311000.0594.64101.9933.4412.9414.124.170.910.9420572355.909.169.323,330.22906.84920.80812.53314.39343.191001.0394.72102.0533.4012.9214.104.170.910.9420582352.239.169.323,295.84907.43921.14812.53314.23343.081001.9894.80102.1033.3612.8914.084.170.910.9420592348.509.179.323,260.90908.01921.47812.53314.06342.971002.9094.88102.1633.3212.8714.064.170.910.9420602344.729.179.3123,225.37908.60921.79812.53313.90342.861003.8094.96102.2133.2912.8514.044.170.910.9420612340.899.189.3123,189.24909.18922.10812.53313.73342.751004.6795.04102.2633.2512.8314.024.170.910.9420622337.009.189.3123,152.47909.76922.41812.53313.57342.651005.5195.12102.3133.2212.8114.014.170.910.9420632333.049.199.3123,115.04910.34922.71812.53313.41342.541006.3295.19102.3633.1912.8013.994.170.910.9420642329.039.199.3223,076.92910.92923.01812.53313.25342.451007.1095.27102.4133.1612.7813.974.170.910.9420652324.949.209.3223,038.08911.50923.29812.53313.08342.351007.8695.35102.4533.1412.7613.964.170.910.9420662320.799.209.3222,998.49912.08923.57812.53312.92342.251008.5995.43102.5033.1112.7513.944.170.910.9420672316.569.219.3222,958.12912.65923.85812.53312.76342.161009.2895.51102.5433.0912.7313.934.170.910.9420682312.259.219.3222,916.96913.23924.11812.53312.59342.071009.9595.59102.5933.0712.7113.924.170.910.9420692307.879.229.3322,874.96913.81924.38812.53312.43341.981010.5995.66102.6333.0512.7013.904.170.910.9420702303.409.229.3322,832.10914.39924.63812.53312.27341.891011.1995.74102.6733.0312.6913.894.170.910.9420712298.849.239.3322,788.36914.98924.88812.53312.10341.811011.7795.82102.7133.0112.6713.884.170.910.9420722294.209.249.3322,743.71915.56925.13812.53311.94341.731012.3195.90102.7532.9912.6613.874.170.910.9420732289.479.249.3322,698.11916.15925.37812.53311.77341.641012.8395.98102.7932.9812.6513.864.170.910.9420742284.649.259.3422,651.54916.74925.60812.53311.61341.561013.3196.06102.8332.9612.6413.854.170.910.9420752279.729.259.3422,603.98917.33925.83812.53311.44341.491013.7596.14102.8732.9512.6213.854.170.910.9420762274.699.269.3422,555.40917.93926.06812.53311.27341.411014.1796.22102.9032.9412.6113.844.170.910.9420772,269.579.269.3422,505.76918.53926.28812.53311.10341.331014.5596.30102.9432.9312.6013.834.170.910.9420782,264.339.279.3422,455.05919.13926.50812.53310.93341.261014.9096.39102.9732.9312.5913.834.170.910.9420792,258.999.289.3422,403.25919.86926.71812.53310.76341.191015.2196.47103.0132.9212.5813.824.170.910.9420802,253.549.289.3522,350.31920.66926.92812.53310.59341.121015.5096.55103.0432.9212.5813.824.170.910.9420812,247.989.299.3522,296.24921.47927.12812.53310.41341.051015.7496.64103.0832.9112.5713.814.170.910.9420822,242.309.309.3522,240.99922.29927.32812.53310.24340.981015.9696.72103.1132.9112.5613.814.170.910.9420832,236.509.319.3522,184.55923.12927.52812.53310.06340.911016.1396.80103.1432.9112.5513.814.170.910.9420842,230.599.319.3522,126.89923.96927.71812.53309.88340.851016.2896.89103.1732.9112.5513.804.170.910.9420852,224.559.329.3522,068.00924.80927.90812.53309.70340.791016.3996.98103.2032.9212.5413.804.170.910.9420862,218.399.339.3622,007.85925.65928.09812.53309.52340.721016.4697.07103.2332.9212.5313.804.170.910.9420872,212.109.349.3621,946.42926.52928.27812.53309.34340.661016.5097.15103.2632.9312.5313.804.170.910.9420882,205.689.359.3621,883.68927.39928.45812.53309.15340.601016.5197.24103.2932.9312.5213.804.170.910.9420892,199.139.369.3621,819.63928.27928.63812.53308.96340.541016.4897.33103.3232.9412.5213.804.170.910.9420902,192.459.369.3621,754.24929.16928.80812.53308.77340.481016.4197.43103.3532.9512.5113.804.170.910.9420912,185.639.379.3621,687.49930.06928.98812.53308.58340.421016.3197.52103.3832.9612.5113.814.170.910.9420922,178.689.389.3621,619.37930.97929.15812.53308.38340.361016.1797.61103.4132.9712.5113.814.170.910.9420932,171.589.399.3621,549.85931.90929.31812.53308.19340.311016.0097.71103.4332.9912.5013.814.170.910.9420942,164.359.409.3721,478.94932.83929.48812.53307.99340.251015.8097.80103.4633.0012.5013.824.170.910.9420952,156.989.419.3721,406.60933.78929.64812.53307.78340.191015.5597.90103.4933.0212.5013.824.170.910.9420962,149.479.429.3721,332.83934.73929.80812.53307.58340.141015.2898.00103.5133.0312.5013.834.170.910.9420972,141.819.439.3721,257.62935.70929.96812.53307.37340.091014.9698.10103.5433.0512.4913.834.170.910.9420982,134.019.449.3721,180.96936.68930.12812.53307.16340.031014.6298.20103.5633.0712.4913.844.170.910.9420992,126.069.459.3721,102.83937.68930.28812.53306.95339.981014.2498.30103.5933.0912.4913.844.170.910.9421002,117.979.469.3721,023.23938.68930.43812.53306.73339.931013.8298.41103.622,514.309.329.5123,551.76879.56896.37812.53322.14351.46943.4590.9698.0234.8213.8115.074.170.910.94SERVICE/KM2RCGRCRDRNCOSFOREST2,514.30812.5334.8223,551.764.17943.45AGRICULTURE9.32322.1413.81879.560.9190.96PASTURE9.51351.4615.07896.370.9498.02ECOSERV (km2)000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000AMF/NEAMF/AGAMF/PAYearTon C*SCI-1*Km-2Recreation and Cultural, All LCLU000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000FOREST ECOSERV PRICE $ UNIT000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000AMF/NEAMF/AGAMF/PAYearTon C * km-2 *yr-1Gas Regulation, All LCLU000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000ECOSERV Forest, Ag, Pasture 000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000AMF/NEAMF/AGAMF/PAYearMegaTon*oC-1*yr-1, Land CoverClimate Regulation, Forest000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000ALL ECOSERV000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000AMF/NEAMF/AGAMF/PAYearTon C * Km-2Disturbance Regulation, Forest00000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000WELFARE000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000AMF/NEAMF/AGAMF/PAYearTon N *km-2* yr-1Nutrient Uptake, Forest000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000C UPTAKE&RELEASE000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000AMF/NEAMF/AGAMF/PAYearTon C * km-2 * yr-1Organic Soil Formation,Forest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earRecreation and Cultural (US$ 2001 (Ton C * SCI-1))Gas Regulation (US$ 2001 ((Ton C yr-1)-1)Climate Regulation (us$20001 (Celsius/Ton C yr-1)-1)Disturbance Regulation ((US$ 2001 ((Ton C)-1))Waste Assimilation Potential ((US$ 2001 ((Ton C yr-1)-1))Nutrient Cycling ((US$ 2001 ((Ton N yr-1)-1))Organic Soil Formation ((US$ 2001 ((Ton C yr-1)-1))YearRecreation and Cultural (US$ 2001 (Ton C * SCI-1))Gas Regulation (US$ 2001 ((Ton C yr-1)-1)Climate Regulation (us$20001 (Celsius/Ton C yr-1)-1)Disturbance Regulation ((US$ 2001 ((Ton C)-1))Waste Assimilation Potential ((US$ 2001 ((Ton C yr-1)-1))Nutrient Cycling ((US$ 2001 ((Ton N yr-1)-1))Organic Soil Formation ((US$ 2001 ((Ton C yr-1)-1))YearRecreation and Cultural (US$ 2001 (Ton C * SCI-1))Gas Regulation (US$ 2001 ((Ton C yr-1)-1)Climate Regulation (us$20001 (Celsius/Ton C yr-1)-1)Disturbance Regulation ((US$ 2001 ((Ton C)-1))Waste Assimilation Potential ((US$ 2001 ((Ton C yr-1)-1))Nutrient Cycling ((US$ 2001 ((Ton N yr-1)-1))Organic Soil Formation ((US$ 2001 ((Ton C yr-1)-1))YearRecreation and Cultural (US$ 2001 (Ton C * SCI-1))Gas Regulation (US$ 2001 ((Ton C yr-1)-1)Climate Regulation (us$20001 (Celsius/Ton C yr-1)-1)Disturbance Regulation ((US$ 2001 ((Ton C)-1))Waste Assimilation Potential ((US$ 2001 ((Ton C yr-1)-1))Nutrient Cycling ((US$ 2001 ((Ton N yr-1)-1))Organic Soil Formation ((US$ 2001 ((Ton C yr-1)-1))YearRecreation and Cultural (US$ 2001 (Ton C * SCI-1))Gas Regulation (US$ 2001 ((Ton C yr-1)-1)Climate Regulation (us$20001 (Celsius/Ton C yr-1)-1)Disturbance Regulation ((US$ 2001 ((Ton C)-1))Waste Assimilation Potential ((US$ 2001 ((Ton C yr-1)-1))Nutrient Cycling ((US$ 2001 ((Ton N yr-1)-1))Organic Soil Formation ((US$ 2001 ((Ton C 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8.72958.231.4316.681,628.399.0920967.1383.541,191.441.8120.182,076.1111.9620978.2493.601,342.172.0822.532,367.2513.7720979.54105.391,527.062.3925.252,732.1416.17209711.48120.171,767.612.8228.923,236.6419.7820975.6269.02961.871.4516.741,641.429.1920977.2683.891,195.651.8420.252,092.8512.1120988.4094.051,347.912.1122.632,388.6313.9620989.73105.921,533.952.4325.382,757.9616.4209811.70120.721,774.602.8629.063,265.8720.0620985.7269.32965.431.4816.81,654.439.2920987.3984.231,199.741.8720.322,109.5112.2520998.5694.501,353.512.1422.732,409.9014.1420999.92106.441,540.642.4725.52,783.6216.63209911.93121.261,781.352.9129.213,294.8320.3520995.8269.62968.911.5016.851,667.409.420997.5284.561,203.711.8920.42,126.0912.3921009.1599.491,424.132.2823.922,547.6415.01210010.12106.961,547.142.5125.622,809.1116.86210012.17121.791,787.862.9629.353,323.5120.6321005.9269.91972.311.5216.911,680.349.521007.6584.891,207.571.9220.472,142.5712.54WASTE19754.844.844.844.844.8419765.25.25.25.25.219775.525.525.525.525.5219785.815.815.815.815.8119796.086.086.086.086.0819806.346.346.346.346.3419816.586.586.586.586.5819826.826.826.826.826.8219837.047.047.047.047.0419847.267.267.267.267.2619857.487.487.487.487.4819867.687.687.687.687.6819877.897.897.897.897.8919888.098.098.098.098.0919898.298.298.298.298.2919908.488.488.488.488.4819918.678.678.678.678.6719928.878.878.878.878.8719939.069.069.069.069.0619949.249.249.249.249.2419959.439.439.439.439.4319969.629.629.629.629.6219979.89.89.89.89.819989.999.999.999.999.99199910.1710.1710.1710.1710.17200010.3510.3510.3510.3510.35200110.5310.5310.5310.5310.53200210.7110.7110.7110.7110.71200310.8910.8910.8910.8910.89200411.0711.0711.0711.0711.07200511.2511.491210.810.96200611.4212.0412.6310.6610.81200711.612.1812.8710.8211200811.7812.3113.0410.9811.17200911.9512.4513.2211.1311.33201012.1212.613.411.2711.47201112.312.7613.611.3911.6201212.4712.9313.8111.5111.72201312.6413.1214.0211.6211.84201412.8113.3114.2511.7311.95201512.9913.5114.4811.8312.05201613.1613.7214.7111.9312.16201713.3313.9214.9412.0312.26201813.4914.1415.1812.1212.35201913.6614.3515.4212.2112.45202013.8314.5615.6612.312.5420211414.7815.912.3912.63202214.171516.1112.4812.72202314.3315.2216.3212.5712.81202414.515.4416.5212.6512.9202514.6715.6516.7212.7412.99202614.8315.8716.9112.8213.0720271516.0917.1112.9113.16202815.1616.3117.312.9913.24202915.3216.5317.4913.0713.33203015.4916.7517.6813.1613.41203115.6516.9717.8713.2413.5203215.8117.1818.0513.3213.58203315.9817.418.2313.413.66203416.1417.6218.4113.4813.74203516.317.8318.5913.5613.83203616.4618.0218.7713.6413.91203716.6218.218.9513.7213.99203816.7818.3819.1213.814.07203916.9418.5519.313.8814.15204017.118.7219.4713.9614.23204117.2618.8819.6414.0414.31204217.4219.0419.8114.1214.39204317.5819.2119.9814.1914.47204417.7319.3720.1514.2714.55204517.8919.5320.3214.3514.63204618.0519.6920.4814.4314.71204718.2119.8520.6514.514.79204818.3620.0120.8214.5814.86204918.5220.1620.9814.6514.94205018.6620.3221.1414.7315.02205118.7820.4721.314.815.1205218.9120.6321.4614.8815.17205319.0320.7821.6314.9615.25205419.1420.9321.7915.0315.33205519.2621.0821.9515.1115.4205619.3721.2322.115.1815.48205719.4921.3822.2615.2615.56205819.621.5322.4215.3315.63205919.7121.6822.5815.415.71206019.8321.8322.7415.4815.78206119.9421.9822.8915.5515.86206220.0522.1323.0515.6315.93206320.1722.2823.2115.716.01206420.2822.4323.3715.7716.08206520.3922.5823.5315.8516.16206620.522.7323.6815.9216.23206720.6122.8823.8415.9916.31206820.7323.032416.0716.38206920.8423.1824.1616.1416.46207020.9523.3324.3216.2116.53207121.0723.4824.4816.2816.61207221.1823.6324.6416.3616.68207321.323.7924.8116.4316.75207421.4223.9424.9716.516.83207521.5324.125.1316.5716.9207621.6524.2525.316.6516.98207721.7724.4125.4616.7217.05207821.8824.5725.6316.7917.1220792224.7225.7916.8617.2208022.1224.8825.9616.9417.27208122.2425.0426.1317.0117.34208222.3625.226.317.0817.42208322.4825.3626.4717.1517.49208422.625.5226.6417.2217.57208522.7225.6826.8117.317.64208622.8425.8426.9817.3717.71208722.962627.1517.4417.79208823.0826.1627.3217.5117.86208923.226.3227.4917.5817.93209023.3326.4927.6617.6617.99209123.4526.6527.8417.7318.05209223.5726.8128.0117.818.12209323.6926.9828.1917.8718.18209423.8227.1528.3717.9518.24209523.9427.3128.5418.0218.31209624.0727.4828.7218.118.37209724.227.6528.918.1718.44209824.3227.8229.0818.2518.5209924.4527.9929.2718.3218.57210024.7228.1629.4518.418.63ECOSERVICES VALUE, FORESTBASELINESCENARIO 1SCENARIO 2SCENARIO 3SCENARIO 4197576.576.576.576.576.5197682.9682.9682.9682.9682.96197788.8788.8788.8788.8788.87197894.3394.3394.3394.3394.33197999.3799.3799.3799.3799.371980104.07104.07104.07104.07104.071981108.48108.48108.48108.48108.481982112.67112.67112.67112.67112.671983116.66116.66116.66116.66116.661984120.5120.5120.5120.5120.51985124.21124.21124.21124.21124.211986127.83127.83127.83127.83127.831987131.37131.37131.37131.37131.371988134.84134.84134.84134.84134.841989138.26138.26138.26138.26138.261990141.64141.64141.64141.64141.641991145.04145.04145.04145.04145.041992148.57148.57148.57148.57148.571993152.13152.13152.13152.13152.131994155.7155.7155.7155.7155.71995159.28159.28159.28159.28159.281996162.88162.88162.88162.88162.881997166.48166.48166.48166.48166.481998170.1170.1170.1170.1170.11999173.72173.72173.72173.72173.722000177.35177.35177.35177.35177.3520011811811811811812002184.66184.66184.66184.66184.662003188.33188.33188.33188.33188.332004192.01192.01192.01192.01192.012005195.7206.61230.37180.85196.682006199.4212.1242.1182.79203.472007203.11214.91246.12186.21209.862008206.83217.32248.41189.74215.592009210.56219.87250.57193.11220.742010214.31222.46253.01196.31225.432011218.06225.27255.83199.36229.782012221.82228.33259.02202.28233.862013225.6231.63262.56205.1237.732014229.38235.13266.4207.85241.442015233.17238.82270.51210.53245.022016236.97242.65274.84213.16248.512017240.78246.61279.37215.75251.912018244.6250.67284.06218.31255.252019248.42254.82288.88220.85258.542020252.26259.05293.81223.37261.792021256.1263.34298.83225.87265.012022259.95267.68303.93228.36268.212023263.81272.07309.09230.84271.392024267.68276.5314.32233.31274.562025271.55280.96319.6235.78277.722026275.43285.45324.92238.25280.872027279.33289.98330.27240.71284.012028283.22294.55335.65243.18287.152029287.13299.15341.05245.64290.292030291.04303.77346.46248.1293.432031294.95308.41351.9250.57296.562032298.87313.05357.32253.03299.72033302.8317.71362.77255.49302.832034306.73322.38368.23257.96305.972035310.66327.05373.71260.42309.12036314.6331.74379.19262.89312.242037318.55336.43384.68265.36315.382038322.5341.13390.18267.83318.522039326.46345.84395.7270.3321.662040330.42350.55401.22272.77324.812041334.38355.27406.74275.24327.952042338.35360412.28277.72331.12043342.32364.73417.81280.19334.262044346.3369.47423.36282.67337.412045350.29374.21428.91285.15340.572046354.27378.96434.47287.63343.732047358.26383.71440.03290.12346.92048362.25388.47445.59292.6350.062049366.21393.19451.11295.05353.182050370.2397.97456.66297.53356.342051374.2402.79462.23300.02359.512052378.21407.63467.8302.51362.692053382.23412.48473.38305365.862054386.24417.35478.96307.49369.042055390.27422.24484.56309.99372.232056394.29427.14490.15312.49375.422057398.32432.05495.75314.99378.62058402.36436.97501.36317.49381.82059406.39441.8506.98320384.992060410.44446.61512.6322.5388.192061414.48451.41518.23325.01391.392062418.53456.22523.87327.52394.592063422.58461.05529.54330.04397.82064426.64465.9535.23332.55401.012065430.71470.75540.93335.07404.232066434.78475.6546.63337.59407.442067438.84480.45552.33340.11410.662068442.92485.31558.04342.63413.882069446.99490.17563.75345.15417.12070451.07495.03569.47347.67420.322071455.15499.9575.19350.2423.552072459.23504.77580.92352.72426.782073463.31509.64586.66355.254302074467.4514.51592.42357.78433.232075471.49519.39598.18360.31436.472076475.59524.27603.95362.84439.72077479.68529.16609.72365.37442.942078483.78534.04615.5367.91446.172079487.88538.94621.28370.44449.412080491.98543.84627.07372.97452.652081496.08548.75632.87375.51455.892082500.19553.67638.66378.05459.132083504.3558.59644.46380.58462.382084508.42563.52650.27383.12465.622085512.55568.45656.08385.66468.872086516.68573.38661.89388.2472.132087520.82578.31667.71390.74475.392088524.95583.25673.53393.28478.662089529.09588.19679.35395.82481.922090533.24593.14685.17398.37485.192091537.38598.08691400.91488.462092541.53603.03696.84403.47491.742093545.68607.99702.67406.02495.022094549.84612.95708.52408.59498.312095554.01617.92714.37411.16501.612096558.19622.9720.25413.74504.922097562.38627.89726.13416.32508.242098566.58632.9732.03418.92511.562099570.8637.92737.95421.53514.92100602.96642.95743.88424.14518.25Monetary ValuationGas RegulationClimate Regulation197535.3120.6197638.2922.34197741.0223.93197843.5425.4197945.8626.75198048.0328.02198150.0729.2119825230.33198353.8431.41198455.6132.44198557.3333.4419865934.42198760.6335.37198862.2336.3198963.8137.22199065.3738.13199166.9439.05199268.5740199370.2140.96199471.8641.92199573.5242.88199675.1743.85199776.8444.82199878.5145.79199980.1846.77Population amazonPer CapitaWorld PopulationGlobal ValueAll Services200081.8647.75129.61211000006142.654028436610000000037470189573459.7177.35200183.5448.73200285.2349.7281.86211000003879.6208530806610000000023665687203791.5200386.9250.7200488.6251.69200590.3252.69200692.0353.68200793.7454.68200895.4655.69200997.1856.69201098.9157.72011100.6458.712012102.3859.722013104.1260.742014105.8761.762015107.6262.782016109.3763.82017111.1364.832018112.8965.852019114.6666.882020116.4367.922021118.268.952022119.9869.992023121.7671.032024123.5472.072025125.3373.112026127.1274.162027128.9275.22028130.7276.252029132.5277.32030134.3278.362031136.1379.412032137.9480.472033139.7581.522034141.5782.582035143.3883.642036145.284.72037147.0285.762038148.8586.832039150.6787.892040152.588.962041154.3390.032042156.1691.09204315892.162044159.8393.242045161.6794.312046163.5195.382047165.3596.462048167.1997.532049169.0298.62050170.8699.672051172.71100.752052174.56101.832053176.41102.912054178.27103.992055180.12105.072056181.98106.162057183.84107.242058185.7108.332059187.57109.412060189.43110.52061191.3111.592062193.17112.682063195.04113.772064196.91114.872065198.79115.962066200.67117.052067202.54118.152068204.42119.252069206.3120.342070208.19121.442071210.07122.542072211.95123.642073213.84124.742074215.72125.842075217.61126.942076219.5128.042077221.39129.142078223.28130.252079225.17131.352080227.07132.462081228.96133.562082230.86134.672083232.75135.772084234.66136.882085236.56137.992086238.47139.112087240.38140.222088242.29141.332089244.2142.452090246.11143.562091248.02144.682092249.94145.82093251.85146.912094253.77148.032095255.7149.162096257.63150.282097259.56151.412098261.5152.542099263.44153.682100278.29162.34CLIMATE VARIABLES000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000BASELINESCENARIO 1SCENARIO 2SCENARIO 3SCENARIO 4YearUS$ (2001)*(Ton*SCI-1)-1RC000.140.140.14000.190.190.19000.240.240.24000.280.280.28000.320.320.32000.360.360.36000.390.390.39000.420.420.42000.450.450.45000.480.480.48000.510.510.51000.530.530.53000.560.560.56000.580.580.58000.60.60.6000.630.630.63000.650.650.65000.680.680.68000.70.70.7000.720.720.72000.750.750.75000.770.770.77000.80.80.8000.820.820.82000.850.850.85000.880.880.88000.90.90.9000.930.930.93000.960.960.96000.990.990.99001.20.941.03001.270.961.07001.310.991.12001.341.021.16001.361.051.2001.391.081.24001.421.111.28001.451.131.32001.491.161.35001.531.191.39001.571.211.42001.611.241.46001.651.271.49001.71.291.53001.751.321.56001.81.351.6001.851.381.64001.91.41.67001.951.431.71002.011.461.75002.071.491.78002.121.521.82002.181.551.86002.251.581.9002.311.621.94002.371.651.99002.441.682.03002.511.712.07002.571.752.11002.641.782.16002.721.812.2002.791.852.25002.861.892.3002.941.922.34003.021.962.39003.122.44003.182.032.49003.262.072.54003.352.112.6003.442.152.65003.522.192.7003.622.242.76003.712.282.81003.82.322.87003.92.362.930042.412.99004.12.453.05004.22.53.11004.32.553.17004.412.593.23004.522.643.3004.632.693.36004.742.743.43004.862.793.5004.982.843.57005.12.93.64005.222.953.71005.3433.78005.473.063.85005.63.123.93005.743.174.01005.873.234.08006.013.294.16006.153.354.24006.293.414.32006.443.474.41006.593.544.49006.743.64.58006.93.674.67007.053.734.75007.213.84.85007.383.874.94007.543.945.03007.714.015.13007.884.085.22008.064.165.32008.244.235.42008.424.315.52008.64.395.63008.794.465.73008.984.545.84009.174.635.95009.364.716.06009.564.796.17009.764.886.28009.974.976.40010.175.056.510010.385.146.630010.65.246.750010.815.336.880011.035.4270011.255.527.130011.485.627.260011.75.727.390011.935.827.520012.175.927.65COMPENSATION AVOIDED DEF0000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000BASELINESCENARIO 1SCENARIO 2SCENARIO 3SCENARIO 4YearUS$ (2001)*(Ton*yr-1)-1GR000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000Sheet1000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000BASELINESCENARIO 1SCENARIO 2SCENARIO 3SCENARIO 4YearUS$ 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1SCENARIO 2SCENARIO 3SCENARIO 4YearUS$ (2001)*(Ton*yr-1)-110.9934.6338.5230.2532.912.2135.5840.630.6434.1113.3336.1541.4531.2535.2614.3536.6541.9831.8936.2915.2837.1742.4732.5137.2316.1337.7443.0133.138.116.9238.3643.633.6638.9117.6739.0244.2734.2139.6718.3839.7144.9934.7340.4119.0640.4445.7735.2541.1119.7241.246.5935.7541.7920.3641.9847.4636.2542.462142.7848.3636.7443.1221.6343.649.2937.2243.7622.2544.4250.2537.7144.422.8745.2651.2238.1845.0323.4946.1152.2138.6645.6624.1146.9753.2239.1346.2824.7347.8454.2339.646.925.3648.7155.2640.0747.5125.9949.5856.2940.5348.1326.6250.4657.344148.7427.2551.3558.3941.4749.3427.8952.2459.4441.9349.9528.5553.1260.4942.3950.5529.2254.0161.5542.8551.1529.9154.9162.6143.3151.7530.6155.7963.6743.7752.3531.3156.6864.7344.2352.9432.0257.5865.7944.6853.5432.7358.4766.8445.1454.1333.4359.3667.945.5954.7234.1360.2568.9646.0455.334.8461.1470.0146.4955.8935.5462.0371.0746.9456.4736.2562.9172.1247.3957.0536.9663.873.1647.8457.6237.6864.6874.2148.2858.238.3965.5675.2548.7258.7739.1266.4476.2849.1659.3439.8467.3277.3249.659.9140.5768.1978.3450.0460.4741.369.0679.3750.4861.0342.0369.9280.3850.9161.5842.7770.7881.3951.3362.1343.571.6382.3951.7662.6844.2472.4983.3952.1963.2344.9873.3484.3852.6163.7745.7274.1885.3653.0464.3146.4775.0286.3453.4664.8447.2175.8687.3253.8765.3747.9576.6988.2854.2965.948.777.5189.2454.766.4349.4578.3490.1955.1266.9550.1979.1591.1455.5267.4750.9479.9792.0755.9367.9851.6880.779356.3468.4952.4381.5793.9256.746953.1782.3794.8457.1469.553.9283.1695.7457.5369.9954.6683.9596.6557.9370.4955.4184.7497.5458.3270.9856.1585.5198.4258.7171.4656.8986.2899.359.0971.9457.6387.05100.1659.4872.4258.3687.81101.0259.8672.8959.188.56101.8760.2473.3659.8389.3102.7160.6173.8260.5690.04103.5460.9874.2861.2990.76104.3661.3574.7362.0291.49105.1761.7275.1862.7492.2105.9762.0875.6263.4692.91106.7662.4476.0664.1893.61107.5362.876.564.8994.31108.363.1676.9365.5994.99109.0663.5177.3566.395.67109.863.8677.7867.0196.34110.5364.278.1967.7197111.2664.5578.6168.4197.66111.9764.8979.0269.198.3112.6765.2279.4269.7998.94113.3665.5679.8270.4799.57114.0365.8980.2171.15100.19114.766.2180.671.83100.8115.3566.5480.9972.5101.41115.9966.8681.3773.17102116.6267.1881.7473.84102.59117.2467.4982.1174.49103.17117.8567.882.4875.15103.73118.4568.1182.8475.8104.29119.0368.4283.1976.44104.84119.668.7283.5477.08105.39120.1769.0283.8977.72105.92120.7269.3284.2378.35106.44121.2669.6284.5678.97106.96121.7969.9184.8979.5980.280.8181.4182.0182.683.1883.7684.3384.985.4686.0286.5787.1187.6588.1888.7189.2389.7490.2490.7491.2491.7292.292.6893.1493.694.0594.599.49000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000BASELINESCENARIO 1SCENARIO 2SCENARIO 3SCENARIO 4YearBillion US$ (2001)*yr-1000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000PLOTTED ON 091404PLOTTED ON 091404PLOTTED ON 091404PLOTTED ON 091404PLOTTED ON 091404FORESTFORESTFORESTFORESTFORESTBASELINE/BIOPHYSICAL AMOUNTSSCENARIO 1/BIOPHYSICAL AMOUNTSSCENARIO 2/BIOPHYSICAL AMOUNTSSCENARIO 3/BIOPHYSICAL AMOUNTSSCENARIO 4/BIOPHYSICAL AMOUNTSYearRecreation and Cultural (MegaTon * SCI)Gas Regulation (MegaTon C yr-1)Climate Regulation (0C/MegaTon C yr-1)Disturbance Regulation (MegaTon C)Waste (Mega Ton C)Nutrient Cycling (MegaTon C yr-1)Organic Soil Formation (MegaTon N yr-1)YearRecreation and Cultural (MegaTon * SCI)Gas Regulation (MegaTon C yr-1)Climate Regulation (0C/MegaTon C yr-1)Disturbance Regulation (MegaTon C)WasteNutrient Cycling (MegaTon C yr-1)Organic Soil Formation (MegaTon N yr-1)YearRecreation and Cultural (MegaTon * SCI)Gas Regulation (MegaTon C yr-1)Climate Regulation (0C/MegaTon C yr-1)Disturbance Regulation (MegaTon C)WasteNutrient Cycling (MegaTon C yr-1)Organic Soil Formation (MegaTon N yr-1)YearRecreation and Cultural (MegaTon * SCI)Gas Regulation (MegaTon C yr-1)Climate Regulation (0C/MegaTon C yr-1)Disturbance Regulation (MegaTon C)WasteNutrient Cycling (MegaTon C yr-1)Organic Soil Formation (MegaTon N yr-1)YearRecreation and Cultural (MegaTon * SCI)Gas Regulation (MegaTon C yr-1)Climate Regulation (0C/MegaTon C yr-1)Disturbance Regulation (MegaTon C)WasteNutrient Cycling (MegaTon C yr-1)Organic Soil Formation (MegaTon N yr-1)197521,262.183,097.26139.688,363.33978.2015.912,474.561975197519751975197617,641.393,088.08139.5688,768.97981.3815.862,536.241976197619761976197715,409.543,078.04139.4589,090.69974.3015.812,592.191977197719771977197813,955.113,067.23139.2789,334.71967.0915.762,643.121978197819781978197912,959.383,055.73139.0289,506.64961.6115.702,689.361979197919791979198012,246.913,043.61138.7189,611.68957.3715.642,731.211980198019801980198111,716.313,030.95138.3489,654.64953.9915.572,768.971981198119811981198211,306.663,017.80137.9289,639.90951.2315.502,802.901982198219821982198310,980.073,004.19137.4589,571.58949.1015.432,833.241983198319831983198410,712.162,990.16136.9489,453.37947.0515.362,860.251984198419841984198510,486.662,975.75136.3889,288.74945.2115.292,884.121985198519851985198610,292.472,960.97135.7889,080.86943.6715.212,905.061986198619861986198710,121.822,945.85135.1488,832.65942.2915.132,923.26198719871987198719889,969.142,930.39134.4688,546.83941.0315.052,938.88198819881988198819899,830.372,914.61133.7588,225.90939.8714.972,952.09198919891989198919909,702.462,898.52133.0187,872.21938.7914.892,963.03199019901990199019919,583.162,882.14132.2387,487.93937.7814.812,971.85199119911991199119929,470.712,865.46131.4387,075.08936.8314.722,978.66199219921992199219939,363.772,848.49130.686,635.56935.9414.632,983.59199319931993199319949,261.292,831.24129.7486,171.12935.0914.542,986.75199419941994199419959,162.442,813.73128.8585,683.44934.2814.452,988.25199519951995199519969,066.562,795.94127.9485,174.04933.5114.362,988.18199619961996199619978,973.122,777.90127.0184,644.37932.7714.272,986.64199719971997199719988,881.702,759.60126.0684,095.80932.0714.182,983.70199819981998199819998,791.952,741.06125.0883,529.59931.4014.082,979.45199919991999199920008,703.592,722.26124.0982,946.89930.5913.982,973.96200020002000200020018,616.372,703.21123.0782,348.66929.5313.892,967.31200120012001200120028,530.062,683.91122.0481,735.91928.5513.792,959.53200220022002200220038,444.522,664.37120.9981,109.62927.6313.692,950.71200320032003200320048,359.622,644.58119.9280,470.70926.7613.592,940.89200420042004200420058,275.262,624.56118.8379,820.05925.9413.482,930.1320058,275.262,624.56118.8379,820.05925.9413.482,930.1320058,275.262,624.56118.8379,820.05925.9413.482,930.1320058,275.262,624.56118.8379,820.05925.9413.482,930.1320058,275.262,624.56118.8379,820.05925.9413.482,930.1320068,191.372,604.32117.7379,158.49925.1713.382,918.4720068,201.772,603.22117.6579,145.52931.0413.372,918.4720068,199.022,600.97117.5179,119.00927.4413.362,918.4720068,181.422,605.76117.8279,175.47918.6413.392,918.4720068,179.552,604.22117.7279,157.37918.0913.382,918.4720078,107.902,583.87116.6178,487.03924.4413.272,905.9720078,126.502,581.55116.4678,458.60932.4713.262,905.3920078,118.672,576.46116.1378,396.29932.1113.242,904.2320078,092.312,586.89116.8178,524.16917.9313.292,906.7120078,085.952,583.38116.5878,481.23917.6213.272,905.9220088,024.802,563.22115.4877,806.46923.7313.172,892.6720088,050.482,559.79115.2677,763.18931.2913.152,891.4020088,037.072,551.77114.7577,662.38931.0413.112,888.6020088,005.422,567.86115.7877,864.75917.6413.192,894.3420087,993.892,562.11115.4177,792.78917.2113.162,892.4120097,942.042,542.40114.3477,117.51923.0713.062,878.6320097,973.992,537.99114.0677,060.60930.0613.042,876.6520097,955.002,527.08113.3776,920.69929.5112.982,872.0720097,920.162,548.64114.7477,197.64917.2613.092,881.2920097,903.332,540.48114.2277,093.54916.7713.052,878.0120107,859.592,521.39113.276,420.89922.4412.952,863.8820107,897.082,516.13112.8676,351.52928.9712.932,861.2420107,872.682,502.44111.9976,172.52928.1812.862,854.7920107,836.302,529.26113.776,523.58916.8712.992,867.5920107,814.202,518.56113.0176,384.89916.3412.942,862.7920117,777.412,500.22112.0475,717.23921.8512.842,848.4720117,819.782,494.20111.6675,636.36928.0112.812,845.2120117,790.142,477.81110.6275,418.48927.0212.732,836.8420117,753.672,509.74112.6475,843.37916.4912.892,853.2820117,726.422,496.41111.875,668.05915.9412.822,846.8120127,695.482,478.89110.8775,007.17921.2812.732,832.4320127,742.102,472.19110.4574,915.50927.1612.72,828.5720127,707.392,453.18109.2574,658.96926.0212.62,818.2620127,672.152,490.10111.5875,157.74916.1212.792,838.4020127,639.882,474.07110.5774,944.09915.5412.712,830.1320137,613.792,457.41109.774,291.30920.7412.622,815.7920137,664.032,450.06109.2474,189.30926.4112.592,811.3720137,624.422,428.51107.8973,894.30925.1512.482,799.0820137,591.602,470.36110.5274,467.37915.7712.692,823.0020137,554.452,451.58109.3374,213.96915.1712.592,812.8120147,532.312,435.78108.5273,570.17920.2312.512,798.5920147,585.612,427.83108.0373,458.12925.7312.472,793.6120147,541.212,403.78106.5373,124.81924.3812.352,779.3420147,511.942,450.54109.4573,772.91915.4412.592,807.1120147,470.032,428.97108.173,478.50914.8212.482,794.9120157,451.042,414.02107.3472,844.32919.7512.402,780.8720157,506.842,405.47106.8172,722.34925.1212.362,775.3320157,457.782,378.98105.1772,350.82923.6912.222,759.0420157,433.072,430.65108.3873,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