integrated land use modelling · african livestock futures realizing the ix'tential of...
TRANSCRIPT
Integrated land use modelling
Petr Havlí[email protected]
Environmental Resources and Development Group (ERD)Ecosystems Services and Management Program (ESM)
International Symposium:“Integrated Science for Sustainable Transitions”
IIASA, Laxenburg, April 29, 2015
The devil in the detail: Livestock production systems (LPS)
Havlik et al. 2014, PNASHerrero et al. 2013, PNAS
Sectors integration without compromises
Energy:MESSAGEPOLESWITCH
Agricultural sector model
AgMIP, OECD, FAO
Forest sector model
EC, US EPA, Sweden
GHG emissions
EC, WB, US EPA, Brazil, Congo Basin…
Other environmental aspects
Everywhere…
GLOBIOM
Earth System Model: IPSL‐CM5
Spatial integration: From global to local and backStakeholder process
Regional scenariosModel improvement
Output/Impact?
Work in progress
Grasslands: The unknown quarter of the land
Fish: The new big cow
Crossing the timescales: From decades to years…
People: Smallholders and urban dwellers
What next?