interim results july 2012. agenda business update david bellamy financials andrew croft outlook...

61
INTERIM RESULTS July 2012

Upload: nathaniel-goodman

Post on 08-Jan-2018

223 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

DESCRIPTION

Total new business by quarter APE (Annual premiums plus 10% of single premiums) 2009 over %-10%+3%+38% 2010 over %+46%+30%+15% 2011 over %+12%+13%+0% 2012 over %+13%

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: INTERIM RESULTS July 2012. Agenda Business Update DAVID BELLAMY Financials ANDREW CROFT Outlook DAVID BELLAMY Q&A

INTERIM RESULTSJuly 2012

Page 2: INTERIM RESULTS July 2012. Agenda Business Update DAVID BELLAMY Financials ANDREW CROFT Outlook DAVID BELLAMY Q&A

Agenda

Business UpdateDAVID BELLAMY

FinancialsANDREW CROFT

Outlook DAVID BELLAMY

Q&A

Page 3: INTERIM RESULTS July 2012. Agenda Business Update DAVID BELLAMY Financials ANDREW CROFT Outlook DAVID BELLAMY Q&A

Total new business by quarterAPE (Annual premiums plus 10% of single premiums)

2009 over 2008

-5% -10% +3% +38%

2010 over 2009

+42% +46% +30% +15%

2011 over 2010

+18% +12% +13% +0%

2012 over 2011

-3% +13%

Page 4: INTERIM RESULTS July 2012. Agenda Business Update DAVID BELLAMY Financials ANDREW CROFT Outlook DAVID BELLAMY Q&A

Single investment by quarter

2009 over 2008

-6% -8% +12% +51%

2010 over 2009

+57% +54% +32% +16%

2011 over 2010

+16% +13% +14% -4%

2012 over 2011

-2% +4%

Page 5: INTERIM RESULTS July 2012. Agenda Business Update DAVID BELLAMY Financials ANDREW CROFT Outlook DAVID BELLAMY Q&A

Pensions new business by quarterAPE (Annual premiums plus 10% of single premiums)

2009 over 2008 +7% -9% -14% +16%

2010 over 2009 +19% +31% +32% +18%

2011 over 2010

+16% +22% +21% +19%

2012 over 2011

+15% +28%

Page 6: INTERIM RESULTS July 2012. Agenda Business Update DAVID BELLAMY Financials ANDREW CROFT Outlook DAVID BELLAMY Q&A

Strong retention of funds

• Retention 95%• Net inflows + £1.51 bn

Page 7: INTERIM RESULTS July 2012. Agenda Business Update DAVID BELLAMY Financials ANDREW CROFT Outlook DAVID BELLAMY Q&A

Funds under management

-6%+34%

+20%+29%

+25%+18%

-10%

+31%

+26%

+8%+6%

£30.9bn

June

Page 8: INTERIM RESULTS July 2012. Agenda Business Update DAVID BELLAMY Financials ANDREW CROFT Outlook DAVID BELLAMY Q&A

Growth in number of Partner numbers

+8%+7%

+9%+6%

+3.2%+6%

Page 9: INTERIM RESULTS July 2012. Agenda Business Update DAVID BELLAMY Financials ANDREW CROFT Outlook DAVID BELLAMY Q&A

Partner Qualification

• 91% Partners qualified• 6% require one or two exams

Page 10: INTERIM RESULTS July 2012. Agenda Business Update DAVID BELLAMY Financials ANDREW CROFT Outlook DAVID BELLAMY Q&A

Highlights

• APE growth +5% (Q2 +13%)• New Single Investments - £2.76 bn• Net inflows - £1.51 bn• FUM up £2.4 bn to £30.9 bn• Partner numbers up to 1,702• Dividend increase +33%

Page 11: INTERIM RESULTS July 2012. Agenda Business Update DAVID BELLAMY Financials ANDREW CROFT Outlook DAVID BELLAMY Q&A

ANDREW CROFTChief Financial Officer

Page 12: INTERIM RESULTS July 2012. Agenda Business Update DAVID BELLAMY Financials ANDREW CROFT Outlook DAVID BELLAMY Q&A

Introduction

• Challenging market during first six months of the year

• Strong operating performance in all financial measures

• Of particular note is the continuing growth in the cash emergence of the business

• Resulting in a 33% increase in the interim dividend

• Capital and solvency position remains strong

Page 13: INTERIM RESULTS July 2012. Agenda Business Update DAVID BELLAMY Financials ANDREW CROFT Outlook DAVID BELLAMY Q&A

Analysis of EEV operating profit

£’m H1 2012 H1 2011New business contribution 120.6 127.7Profits from existing business– expected 48.9 59.1– experience variance 3.7 2.8– operating assumption

changes - -Investment income 1.4 2.2Life & unit trust operating profit 174.6 191.8Distribution 2.0 -Other (8.8) (8.2)Operating profit 167.8 183.6

Page 14: INTERIM RESULTS July 2012. Agenda Business Update DAVID BELLAMY Financials ANDREW CROFT Outlook DAVID BELLAMY Q&A

New business margin

H1 2012 H1 2011

PVNBP 4.3% 4.4%

Manufactured APE 40.1% 41.1%

Total APE 34.1% 38.1%

Page 15: INTERIM RESULTS July 2012. Agenda Business Update DAVID BELLAMY Financials ANDREW CROFT Outlook DAVID BELLAMY Q&A

Non – manufactured business

• Manufactured proportion 85% compared with 93% in 2011

• In 2nd quarter one large £21 million APE group pension case

• Excluding this case manufactured proportion would be 90%

• This is a one-off nice to have but distorts the total margin

• This is most definitely not a trend or anything to be concerned about

Page 16: INTERIM RESULTS July 2012. Agenda Business Update DAVID BELLAMY Financials ANDREW CROFT Outlook DAVID BELLAMY Q&A

Analysis of EEV operating profit

£’m H1 2012 H1 2011New business contribution 120.6 127.7Profits from existing business– expected 48.9 59.1– experience variance 3.7 2.8– operating assumption

changes - -Investment income 1.4 2.2Life & unit trust operating profit 174.6 191.8Distribution 2.0 -Other (8.8) (8.2)Operating profit 167.8 183.6

Page 17: INTERIM RESULTS July 2012. Agenda Business Update DAVID BELLAMY Financials ANDREW CROFT Outlook DAVID BELLAMY Q&A

Analysis of EEV pre-tax result

£’m H1 2012 H1 2011Operating profit 167.8 183.6Investment variance 54.9 0.9Economic assumption change (2.2) (1.9)Pre-tax result 220.5 182.6

Page 18: INTERIM RESULTS July 2012. Agenda Business Update DAVID BELLAMY Financials ANDREW CROFT Outlook DAVID BELLAMY Q&A

Analysis of funds under management

£’bn 30 June 2012

UK equities 9.4European equities

3.5North American equities

4.3Asia & Pacific equities

3.6Property 0.8Fixed Interest 4.4Alternative Investments 1.1Cash

2.5Other

1.3Total 30.9

Page 19: INTERIM RESULTS July 2012. Agenda Business Update DAVID BELLAMY Financials ANDREW CROFT Outlook DAVID BELLAMY Q&A

Analysis of EEV pre-tax result

£’m H1 2012 H1 2011Operating profit 167.8 183.6Investment variance 54.9 0.9Economic assumption change (2.2) (1.9)Pre-tax result 220.5 182.6

Page 20: INTERIM RESULTS July 2012. Agenda Business Update DAVID BELLAMY Financials ANDREW CROFT Outlook DAVID BELLAMY Q&A

EEV net asset value per share

pence H1 2012 H1 2011

Net asset value per share 414.6 379.6

Page 21: INTERIM RESULTS July 2012. Agenda Business Update DAVID BELLAMY Financials ANDREW CROFT Outlook DAVID BELLAMY Q&A

IFRS profit before shareholder tax

£’m H1 2012 H1 2011

Life 52.6 49.1Unit trust 13.1 14.4

65.7 63.5Distribution 2.0 -

Other (8.8) (8.2)Profit before shareholder tax 58.9 55.3

Page 22: INTERIM RESULTS July 2012. Agenda Business Update DAVID BELLAMY Financials ANDREW CROFT Outlook DAVID BELLAMY Q&A

Pre- tax IFRS profit

£’m H1 2012 H1 2011

Pre-tax profit 58.9 55.3

Shareholder tax (12.8) (7.7)Post- tax profit 46.1 47.6

Effective tax rate 21.7%

13.9%

Page 23: INTERIM RESULTS July 2012. Agenda Business Update DAVID BELLAMY Financials ANDREW CROFT Outlook DAVID BELLAMY Q&A

£’m H1 2012 H1 2011

Expected 13.7 15.0

Market related impacts 3.1 (2.5)Other (0.3) (1.0)Change in corporation tax rate (3.7) (3.8)Total tax charge 12.8 7.7

Expected effective tax rate 23.3% 27.0%

Analysis of shareholder tax charge

Page 24: INTERIM RESULTS July 2012. Agenda Business Update DAVID BELLAMY Financials ANDREW CROFT Outlook DAVID BELLAMY Q&A

IFRS net asset value per share

pence H1 2012 H1 2011

Net asset value per share 141.7 127.4

Page 25: INTERIM RESULTS July 2012. Agenda Business Update DAVID BELLAMY Financials ANDREW CROFT Outlook DAVID BELLAMY Q&A

Analysis of post tax cash result

£’m H1 2012 H1 2011Arising on in force business 75.7 62.0 +22%

Arising from new business (33.8)

(34.0) +0%

Underlying cash result 41.9

28.0 +50%

Variances 3.0 2.8Post tax cash result 44.9 30.8 +46%

Page 26: INTERIM RESULTS July 2012. Agenda Business Update DAVID BELLAMY Financials ANDREW CROFT Outlook DAVID BELLAMY Q&A

£’m H1 2012 H1 2011Estimated business not yet generating positive cash (£’bn)*

10.6 9.5

Associated annual post tax cash (£’m)* c80.0 66.3

* Ignores stock market movements and outflows since the date of the original client investment

Analysis of EEV pre-tax result

Page 27: INTERIM RESULTS July 2012. Agenda Business Update DAVID BELLAMY Financials ANDREW CROFT Outlook DAVID BELLAMY Q&A

Analysis of post tax cash result

£’m H1 2012 H1 2011Arising on in force business 75.7 62.0 +22%

Arising from new business (33.8)

(34.0) +0%

Underlying cash result 41.9

28.0 +50%

Variances 3.0 2.8Post tax cash result 44.9 30.8 +46%

Page 28: INTERIM RESULTS July 2012. Agenda Business Update DAVID BELLAMY Financials ANDREW CROFT Outlook DAVID BELLAMY Q&A

Return on the investment in new business

£’m H1 2012 H1 2011

Cost of investment (£’m) 33.8 34.0Post tax EEV profit (£’m) 94.8 96.9Cash payback period (yrs) 5 4

IRR (net of tax) 21.0% 23.6%As a % of gross inflows 1.3% 1.3%

Page 29: INTERIM RESULTS July 2012. Agenda Business Update DAVID BELLAMY Financials ANDREW CROFT Outlook DAVID BELLAMY Q&A

Analysis of post tax cash result

£’m H1 2012 H1 2011Arising on in force business 75.7 62.0 +22%

Arising from new business (33.8)

(34.0) +0%

Underlying cash result 41.9

28.0 +50%

Variances 3.0 2.8Post tax cash result 44.9 30.8 +46%

Page 30: INTERIM RESULTS July 2012. Agenda Business Update DAVID BELLAMY Financials ANDREW CROFT Outlook DAVID BELLAMY Q&A

Post-tax cash result

34%

Double Half Year*Investment in new business

* For illustration purposes

Page 31: INTERIM RESULTS July 2012. Agenda Business Update DAVID BELLAMY Financials ANDREW CROFT Outlook DAVID BELLAMY Q&A

£’m 2012 2008

Average closing daily FTSE 100

5,691 5,933 (4%)

Cash result for first six months (£’m) 44.9

12.2 x3.68

Growth in cash result

Page 32: INTERIM RESULTS July 2012. Agenda Business Update DAVID BELLAMY Financials ANDREW CROFT Outlook DAVID BELLAMY Q&A

Unbroken dividend growth

+16%

+18%

+2%

+33%

+2.5%

+33%

+33%

* Plus special dividend of 6.35 pence

Interim

Page 33: INTERIM RESULTS July 2012. Agenda Business Update DAVID BELLAMY Financials ANDREW CROFT Outlook DAVID BELLAMY Q&A

Expenses

• Establishment expense growth for the half year was 4.2%

• We will maintain pressure on these costs but will continue to invest in the business where appropriate (eg Partner recruitment)

• Development costs were £4.0 million in the first six months and we anticipate a similar spend in the second half of the year

• Our full year contribution to the FSCS levy to be some £6-7 million (double last year)

Page 34: INTERIM RESULTS July 2012. Agenda Business Update DAVID BELLAMY Financials ANDREW CROFT Outlook DAVID BELLAMY Q&A

Capital position

• Total group solvency assets at 30 June 2012 were £368.2 million

• Solvency remains strong• Holding a £35.0 million dividend reserve• Investment policy for solvency assets

continues to be prudent

• Solvency II

Page 35: INTERIM RESULTS July 2012. Agenda Business Update DAVID BELLAMY Financials ANDREW CROFT Outlook DAVID BELLAMY Q&A

DAVID BELLAMYChief Executive

Page 36: INTERIM RESULTS July 2012. Agenda Business Update DAVID BELLAMY Financials ANDREW CROFT Outlook DAVID BELLAMY Q&A

‘Trust’ in financial services at an all time low

• Scandal surrounding LIBOR fixing• Product failures

– Key Data; Arch Cru; MF Global etc.• Regulatory sanctions• Increasing FSCS levies• Corporate culture & trust – never more

important

Page 37: INTERIM RESULTS July 2012. Agenda Business Update DAVID BELLAMY Financials ANDREW CROFT Outlook DAVID BELLAMY Q&A

Business momentum

Driven by:-•Dedicated team•Focused on delivering good outcomes for clients•Partner development•Quality of new recruits•New funds & fund managers

Page 38: INTERIM RESULTS July 2012. Agenda Business Update DAVID BELLAMY Financials ANDREW CROFT Outlook DAVID BELLAMY Q&A

Predictability

38

Partner Numbers

Total new Investments

2010 +6% £4.7 bn

2011 +6% £5.2 bn

2012 – Year to date +3% £2.7 bn

(Straight line projection) (+6%) (£5.4 bn)

Page 39: INTERIM RESULTS July 2012. Agenda Business Update DAVID BELLAMY Financials ANDREW CROFT Outlook DAVID BELLAMY Q&A

USP’s

• The Partnership• Our Investment approach• Our Culture

‘Relationship based business’

39

Page 40: INTERIM RESULTS July 2012. Agenda Business Update DAVID BELLAMY Financials ANDREW CROFT Outlook DAVID BELLAMY Q&A

2012 Awards

40

Page 41: INTERIM RESULTS July 2012. Agenda Business Update DAVID BELLAMY Financials ANDREW CROFT Outlook DAVID BELLAMY Q&A

Annual Company meeting

41

Page 42: INTERIM RESULTS July 2012. Agenda Business Update DAVID BELLAMY Financials ANDREW CROFT Outlook DAVID BELLAMY Q&A

Foundation Fund Raising

Target

Page 43: INTERIM RESULTS July 2012. Agenda Business Update DAVID BELLAMY Financials ANDREW CROFT Outlook DAVID BELLAMY Q&A

Growth in Partner numbers

+8%+7%

+9%+6%

+3.2%+6%

Page 44: INTERIM RESULTS July 2012. Agenda Business Update DAVID BELLAMY Financials ANDREW CROFT Outlook DAVID BELLAMY Q&A

Advice marketplace

Page 45: INTERIM RESULTS July 2012. Agenda Business Update DAVID BELLAMY Financials ANDREW CROFT Outlook DAVID BELLAMY Q&A

Adviser Community

• Over 400 Advisers

45

Page 46: INTERIM RESULTS July 2012. Agenda Business Update DAVID BELLAMY Financials ANDREW CROFT Outlook DAVID BELLAMY Q&A

New Advisers

Page 47: INTERIM RESULTS July 2012. Agenda Business Update DAVID BELLAMY Financials ANDREW CROFT Outlook DAVID BELLAMY Q&A

Adviser Community

• Over 400 Advisers• Average experience 10yrs• Average age 44• 156 Partners formerly advisers• 30 ‘second generation’

47

Page 48: INTERIM RESULTS July 2012. Agenda Business Update DAVID BELLAMY Financials ANDREW CROFT Outlook DAVID BELLAMY Q&A

Academy

• Two intakes• Average earnings c£100,000• Average age 39• Second generation later this year

48

Page 49: INTERIM RESULTS July 2012. Agenda Business Update DAVID BELLAMY Financials ANDREW CROFT Outlook DAVID BELLAMY Q&A

Professional Qualifications

• 91% qualified• 6% - 2 exams or less• Over 2,000 qualified individuals• 100 Chartered Planners – many more to

come

49

Page 50: INTERIM RESULTS July 2012. Agenda Business Update DAVID BELLAMY Financials ANDREW CROFT Outlook DAVID BELLAMY Q&A

SRA

50

Page 51: INTERIM RESULTS July 2012. Agenda Business Update DAVID BELLAMY Financials ANDREW CROFT Outlook DAVID BELLAMY Q&A

51

Dr Mohamed El-Elrian

Dr Vineer Bhansali

Curtis Mewbourne

Page 52: INTERIM RESULTS July 2012. Agenda Business Update DAVID BELLAMY Financials ANDREW CROFT Outlook DAVID BELLAMY Q&A

52

Kenneth Buntrock

Page 53: INTERIM RESULTS July 2012. Agenda Business Update DAVID BELLAMY Financials ANDREW CROFT Outlook DAVID BELLAMY Q&A

Global Equity Income Fund

53

Paul Boyne Doug McGraw

Page 54: INTERIM RESULTS July 2012. Agenda Business Update DAVID BELLAMY Financials ANDREW CROFT Outlook DAVID BELLAMY Q&A

Diversified Portfolios

Page 55: INTERIM RESULTS July 2012. Agenda Business Update DAVID BELLAMY Financials ANDREW CROFT Outlook DAVID BELLAMY Q&A

Diversified Portfolios

Page 56: INTERIM RESULTS July 2012. Agenda Business Update DAVID BELLAMY Financials ANDREW CROFT Outlook DAVID BELLAMY Q&A
Page 57: INTERIM RESULTS July 2012. Agenda Business Update DAVID BELLAMY Financials ANDREW CROFT Outlook DAVID BELLAMY Q&A
Page 58: INTERIM RESULTS July 2012. Agenda Business Update DAVID BELLAMY Financials ANDREW CROFT Outlook DAVID BELLAMY Q&A

58

Page 59: INTERIM RESULTS July 2012. Agenda Business Update DAVID BELLAMY Financials ANDREW CROFT Outlook DAVID BELLAMY Q&A

Resilient & Predictable Results

Growth in Partner numbers

Growth in new business

Growth in FUM

Growth in shareholder value

Page 60: INTERIM RESULTS July 2012. Agenda Business Update DAVID BELLAMY Financials ANDREW CROFT Outlook DAVID BELLAMY Q&A

Summary

• APE growth +5%• New single investments of £2.76bn• New inflows of £1.51bn• FUM £30.9bn• Partnership growth of 3.2% to 1,702• EEV operating profit £167.8 million• IFRS profit £58.9 million• Interim dividend up 33%

60

Page 61: INTERIM RESULTS July 2012. Agenda Business Update DAVID BELLAMY Financials ANDREW CROFT Outlook DAVID BELLAMY Q&A