international education: a world of opportunity...uk occupational trends, 1982-2012 (‘000s of...
TRANSCRIPT
International Education:A world of opportunity
17 November 2008
Forward-looking statements
Except for the historical information contained herein, the matters discussed in this presentation include forward-looking statements. In particular, all statements that express forecasts, expectations and projections with respect to future matters, including trends in results of operations, margins, growth rates, overall market trends, the impact of interest or exchange rates, the availability of financing, anticipated costs savings and synergies and the execution of Pearson's strategy, are forward looking statements. By their nature, forward looking statements involve risks and uncertainties because they relate to events and depend on circumstances that will occur in future. There are a number of factors which could cause actual results and developments to differ materially from those expressed or implied by these forward looking statements, including a number of factors outside Pearson's control. These include international, national and local conditions, as well as competition. They also include other risks detailed from time to time in the company's publicly-filed documents. Any forward looking statements speak only as of the date they are made, and Pearson gives no undertaking to update forward-looking statements to reflect any changes in its expectations with regard thereto or any changes to events, conditions or circumstances on which any such statement is based.
International Education:A world of opportunity
17 November 2008
Agenda
Overview John Fallon
Global English Bill Anderson
The UK Rod Bristow & Jerry Jarvis
Southern Africa Fathima Dada
Q&A
“Every country that sustained high growth
for long periods put substantial effort into schooling its citizens
and deepening its human capital.”
Commission on Growth & Development
Our power and promise
Scale and leadership
Global capabilities and local presence
Favourable global trends
Sales (£m) Operating profit (£m)
International Education
Margin 2.8% 5.6% 9.1% 11.4% 12.5%
CAGR: 14% CAGR: 66%
431484
559
640
735
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
12
27
51
73
92
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
Sustained investment
Bolt-on acquisitionsOrganic investment
The leading international education company
Cengage Learning
Sanoma WSOY
Infinitas Learning
McGraw-Hill
Prisa
Lagardere
Pearson*
0.3
0.4
0.4
0.7
0.8
1.6
0.2
#1 in Intl education publishing & servicesLargest education publisher ex-US (US$ revenue in billions, 2007)
Source: Pearson, Company Accounts, Analyst estimates * Pro forma including Harcourt International
The Vision
Personalised learning and effective education
+Content Assessment Technology+
Global trends in education
Participation and investment
Effectiveness
English
Technology
Global trends: Participation Number of pupils (m)
Source: UNESCO, World Bank
Primary
Secondary
Tertiary
317
50368
132
598 687
1991 2004
Global trends: Participation
Education enrolments and participation rates in China
240
250
260
270
280
290
300
310
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008E19%
20%
20%
21%
21%
22%
22%
23%Education enrolments, m (LHS) Participation rates, % (RHS)
Source: National Statistical Bureau of China; Pearson estimates
Global trends: Participation Enrolments in India (millions)
Source: UNESCO
Primary
Secondary
Tertiary
71
92
139114
9
13
2000 2006
Shift from unskilled to skilledUK occupational trends, 1982-2012 (‘000s of employees)
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
1982 1985 1988 1991 1994 1997 2000 2003 2006 2009 2012
Managers Professionals Assoc. Profs.Personal Servs. Sales Occs Admin, Clerical, SecSkilled Trades Trans & Machine Ops Elementary Occs
Source: DFES, Working Futures, National Report 2003-04
Global trends: Investment
Increase in public expenditure on education, 1991 - 2005 (1991=100)
118152 153 169
214253
320
547
UnitedStates
UnitedKingdom
UnitedArab
Emirates
India SouthKorea
Mexico Poland Indonesia
Source: World Bank
427
507
701
2006 2007 2008
Global trends: Investment
5
17
4551
6571
8190
103
118
136
1990
1995
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
E
2008
E
China: Private education expenditure & related services in urban areas($bn)
China: expenditure on Private Language Schools*($m)
Source: National Statistical Bureau of China; Pearson estimates* Top 36 schools
Global trends: Investment
87%
77%
71%
66%
93%
95%
93%
99%
93%
% parents in China willing to pay extra for:
% thinking essential/important
69%
Source: CLT, BDA
Teacher quality
Results
Ongoing assessment
Homework
Classroom technology
Global trends: Effective education
“One place to start is measurement.The abilities of students – their literacy and
numeracy – need to be gauged far more widely around the world.”
Commission on Growth & Development
Global trends: Effective education
Percentage of students at each proficiency level in science
Note: Countries are ranked in descending order of percentage of 15-year-old at Levels 2, 3, 4, 5, and 6. Above the zero line one finds the proportion of students in the country that has higher ratings than level 1. Below the zero line, one finds the proportion of students with level 1 and below.Source: PISA, 2007
Global trends: Effective education
“Our education system must be reformed.
One size fits all, government-led, uniform curriculums and an education system that is
locked only into the college entrance examination are not acceptable.
We must accept global standards and instil a spirit of self discipline, and then let the fresh
wind of creativity into our classrooms.”
President Lee Myung-bak, President of the Republic of Korea
Growth of vocational education
171 202 257 293 309619
66
157246
94
114
141
71852931
34
38
46
19
1513
28
33
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
BTEC FE BTEC Schools NVQ
BTEC Employers BTEC International
Number of students taking BTEC qualifications, ’000
Source: Pearson
Global trends: English
Projected number of English learners (m)
970
1,300
2,000
1995 2005 2010
Source: British Council
Global trends: Technology
MyLab registrations (outside North America)
26,000
130,000
194,000
20,000
2005 2006 2007 YTD 2008
Source: Pearson
Broad geographic spread
UK
EuropeMiddle East
Asia
Latin America
Pro forma sales including full year impact of 2008 transactions
Revenue by geography
Africa
Other
Our strategic priorities
To be the world leader in:
Helping people learn English
Applying technology to enhance learning
Measuring student performance
Providing educational solutions
Agenda
Overview John Fallon
Global English Bill Anderson
The UK Rod Bristow & Jerry Jarvis
Southern Africa Fathima Dada
Q&A
English Language Teaching
Bill AndersonPresident
Global English Language Teaching
The world’s leading English Language Teaching company
Cambridge
Professional development
Technology
Assessment
Content
ETSMacmillanOUPPearsonMarket presence
970
1,300
2,000
1995 2005 2010
Global trends: English
Projected number of English learners (m)
Source: British Council
Our global reach
y
New opportunities: Assessment
Academic tests of English taken worldwide (m)
1.7 1.81.6
2006 2007 2008
Source: Pearson
China
Korea SE Asia
North America
India
ROW
Middle East/Africa
Japan
Australia/NZ
Academic test volumes by country
The influence of European Enlightenment ideals on American political institutions may have dwindled
in the nineteenth and twentieth centuries. However, a more general respect for the secular, liberal
humanism of the founding fathers - and for the spirit of scientific enquiry __ ___ by
Benjamin Franklin, who was extravagantly _____ by the French Enlightenment philosopher
Turgot as a liberating hero who “__ fire from the heavens and the sceptre from the
tyrant's hand”- __ __ far beyond the lifetime of Thomas Jefferson.
In the text below some words are missing. Drag words from the box below to the appropriate place in the text. To undo an answer choice, drag the word back to the box below the text.
depicted
suggested realisedendured
believed
seized
embodied
Pearson Test of English: Sample Test Question
The text boxes in the left panel have been placed in a random order. Restore the original order by dragging the text boxes from the left panel to the right panel.
Modern usage of the term is much broader.
However, in the contemporary English-speaking academic world, the term refers implicitly to analytic philosophy and, in non-English speaking countries, it often refers to a European strain, continental philosophy.
The concept of philosophy encompasses all of knowledge and all that can be known, including the means by which such knowledge can be acquired.
Both as a subject matter and an activity, philosophy has almost as many definitions as there have been philosophers yet no simple definition can do it justice.
The word is derived from the ancient Greek words philo-, to love or to befriend, and -sophia, wisdom.
Pearson Test of English: Sample Test Question
Look at the map above. In 25 seconds, please speak into the microphone and describe in detail what the map is showing. You will have 40 seconds to give your response.
25242322212019181716151413121110090807060504030201Recording
Pearson Test of English:Sample Candidate Performance
The world leader in English language education
Strong growth trends
Unique global/ local publishing model
Unrivalled scale, investment, geographic reach
New opportunities in technology, assessment, solutions
United Kingdom
Rod BristowPresident
School, Higher Education & Professional EMEA
Jerry JarvisManaging Director
Edexcel
UK trends: Investment
91.586.181.9
76.270.767.562.959.0
52.949.744.440.838.737.4
1997-98
1998-99
1999-00
2000-01
2001-02
2002-03
2003-04
2004-05
2005-06
2006-07
2007-08B
2008-09B
2009-10B
2010-11B
Expenditure on education in England, £bn
Source: HM Treasury
UK trends: Technology
741
611594540
409
249199
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
Government funding for ICT in schools, £m
Source: BECTA
UK trends: Technology
7.9 7.36.5
5.4 4.94.1 3.6
6.26.77.57.9
10.111.8
12.6
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
Primary Secondary
Number of pupils per computer used for learning and teaching
Source: BECTA
UK trends: Technology
6055
52 50 49 49
4138
34 3430 28
UK NL Slovenia Poland Norway Denmark Germany EU av. Italy Finland Ireland Sweden
% of teachers with access, competence and motivationto use the internet and computers in classroom situations
Source: BECTA
UK trends: Focus on Outcomes
8%
29%25%
23%
School HigherEducation
Assessment
3%
28%
School HigherEducation
Assessment
2002 2007Source: Pearson
Pearson Education UK: Harcourt and Edexcel transform strength and breadth
The UK’s leading education company
High Stakes assessment
Professional development
RM
Formative assessment
Curriculum content
Learning management
School enterprise software
Infrastructure
Capita
Publishers e.g.Nelson
ThornesPearsonMarket presence
Harcourt on track to deliver Benefits
Source: Management estimates
Full integration brings significant savings
As market leader we
1. Are applying our technology lead on a much larger scale
2. Are building assessment for learning solutions with Edexcel
3. Have unrivalled sales and marketing reach
NorthernIreland
Wales
UnitedKingdom
Vocational education
171 202 257 293 309619
66157
246
7185
94
114
14138
46
2931
34
33
28
19
1513
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
BTEC FE BTEC Schools NVQ
BTEC Employers BTEC International
Number of students taking BTEC qualifications, ’000
Source: Pearson
“We have a 21st century, internationally celebrated qualification - the A-Level -
underpinned by a 19th century cottage industry in which workers are paid piece rates and24 million scripts move about the country
at the whim of the Post Office."
Ken Boston, Chief Executive of the QCA (2002)
“A Victorian Cottage Industry”
On-screen marking in the UK
24%
66% 69%76%
87%
Jun-04 Jun-05 Jun-06 Jun-07 Jun-08
% of scripts marked online
Source: Edexcel
“…the English system now has some of the most sophisticated technology in the world…
I would suggest that it was Pearson’s acquisition of Edexcel… that has had the most powerful
effect in terms of driving modernisation.”
Simon Lebus, Group Chief Executive,Cambridge Assessment (2007)
“A Victorian Cottage Industry”…transformed
New opportunities:Diagnostics
3,588
5,431
8,541
11,785
Feb '08 May '08 Aug '08 Nov '08
No of teachers using ResultsPlus (ytd)
Source: Pearson
New opportunities:Assessment for Learning
Source: Pearson
89,150
38,166
19,803
2006 2007 2008
Student Registrations
The UK’s leading education company
UK is a leader in education technology; highly focussed on learning outcomes
Our business transformed through acquisitions of Edexceland Heinemann UK
Unique opportunity to improve attainment across school, further and higher education
Leader in work-related training; opportunities for international expansion
Southern Africa
Fathima DadaPresident
Maskew Miller Longman, South Africa
Morocco, Algeria, Tunisia, Libya, Egypt are part of Pearson’s Middle East Division
Teacher training and professional development
Full solutions and support
Assessment and testing
Academic textbooks
Vocational qualifications
Vocational textbooks
Home learning
School elearning product
School textbooks
CompetitorsPearson
SA
Southern Africa’s leading education company
Africa trends: Millennium development goals
54 5871
80 83 8898 97 96
1991 2000 2006
Sub-Saharan Africa Developing regions Developed regions
Total net enrolment ratio in primary education * 1990/91, 1999/2000, 2000/06 (%)
Source:UNESCO
Africa trends: Participation
Enrolments in Sub Saharan Africa (m)
Source: UNESCO
80.8109.7
21.3
33.1
8.35.1
2.1
3.5
1999 2005
Early childhood
Tertiary
Secondary
Primary
32.8m
42.4m
1999 2005
Africa trends: Participation
Out-of-school children (primary), Sub Saharan Africa
Source: UNESCO
Africa trends: Class sizes
Teacher/student ratio in Sub Saharan Africa
41
25
45
28
primary secondary
1999 2005
Source: UNESCO
Africa trends: Investment
105.0
92.084.0
76.071.0
62.056.051.047.046.045.0
1997-98 1998-99 1999-00 2000-01 2001-02 2002-03 2003-04 2004-05 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08
Expenditure on education & training in South AfricaRbn
Source: Stats SA
Africa trends: Effective education
International TIMSS and PIRLS studyOutstanding 4%
Achieved 8% Not achieved 81%Partly achieved 7%
Mathematics
Outstanding 14%
Achieved 14%Not achieved
63%
Partly achieved 9%
Literacy
Source: Department of Education findings : RSA
4045Total Participants
46%4041%45South Africa
50%3960%40Morocco
62%3663%34Indonesia
77%72%International AV
83%1776%20New Zealand
83%1277%18England
83%1178%15United States
87%178%12Russian Fed
87%290%3Hong Kong
--91%2Korea, Republic
86%393%1Singapore
%Rank%RankCountry
LiteracyNumeracyResults
Pearson Southern Africa
Majority ownership of SA’s leading education company
Integrate Maskew Miller Longman, Heinemann & Edexcel
Integrate Higher Ed, Vocational Publishing and back office
Maintain two distinct School publishing operations
Invest in assessment and school improvement
Create continental Centre of Excellence for educational services and solutions
US
60%
US
60%
New opportunities: Job creation and vocational education
p g
Southern Africa’s leading education company
Significant growth in enrolments and investment; urgent need for more effective education
Successful record of growth in publishing
Transformed by acquisitions of Heinemann SA & MML minority; launch of Edexcel
Creation of regional hub for assessment, technology, teacher development, solutions
Model for Pearson’s emerging market strategy
Driving profitability and cash
Improving the gross marginShare global platforms / content / best practicePublish more for less, more quicklyInstil greater rigour in our pricingUse our scale in purchasing
Managing overheadsStreamline management and organisationCentralise back office functionsBenchmark key activities
Maximising cash generationGrow subscription/registration activitiesEngage more directly with customersModernise distribution/customer serviceManage plant and inventory more tightly
Diverse product mix
School
Higher EducationEnglish Language Teaching (ELT)
Academic Assessment
& Testing
Vocational Assessment &
Testing
Source: Pearson
Revenue by channel
Pro forma sales including full year impact of 2008 transactions
Sales (£m) Operating profit (£m)
Our financial goals
Margin 2.8% 5.6% 9.1% 11.4% 12.5%
CAGR: 14% CAGR: 66%
431484
559
640
735
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
12
27
51
73
92
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
“Every country that sustained high growth
for long periods put substantial effort into schooling its citizens
and deepening its human capital.”
Commission on Growth & Development
International Education:A world of opportunity