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INTERREG IVA 2 Mers Seas Zeen Crossborder Cooperation Programme 2007-2013 Part-financed by the European Regional Development Fund (ERDF) Green: Going Green: Carbon reduction through nature CaRe-Lands Cluster event June, 25th 2014 Slide 2 INTERREG IVA 2 Mers Seas Zeen Crossborder Cooperation Programme 2007-2013 Part-financed by the European Regional Development Fund (ERDF) Will Day Slide 3 Going Green: Carbon reduction through nature Will Day Grandhotel ter Duin June 2014 Slide 4 Slide 5 The Economy Slide 6 Slide 6 Slide 7 Slide 8 New Scientist 2008 from Steffen et al 2004 Northern Hemisphere average surface temperature Population Motor vehicles Species extinctions 1750 1850 1950 GDPForeign investment The great acceleration Slide 9 With a population of 8.3 billion people by 2030, well need 35% more food 50% more energy 40% more water Source: OECD; Dan Hammer, Center for Global Development Slide 10 The Food-Water-Energy Nexus FoodEnergy Water Land Slide 11 Scarce resources Slide 12 Slide 13 Slide 13 Worsening per capita water availability Slide 14 Slide 15 To meet the increasing demand from a growing population, we will need to produce more food in the next 40 years than has been produced in the previous 8,000 years. Jason Clay, Senior Vice President WWF Slide 16 There is less land than you think Land area of all countries, in billions of acres 37.1 Total 3.5 Arable land Source: Center for Sustainability and the Global Environment, University of Wisconsin Slide 17 Philippe Rekacewicz, UNEP/GRID-Arendal Slide 18 ++ Food production is very energy intensive Food Energy Available Source: University of Michigan study by Hellar and Keoleian done in 2000 Fossil Energy we put in Food Energy we get out! Household Storage & Preparation Commercial Food Service Food Retail Packaging Material Processing Industry Transportation Agricultural Production Food Energy Available Slide 19 Slide 20 Expected growth in biofuel demand Slide 21 000,000?No000,000?No 7,200,000,000? Slide 22 This interactive visualisation depicts dramatic population changes, based on data released by the UN Department of Economic and Social Affiars/Population Division for 1950 2010 and a projection for 2100. Country population: past, present, future Slide 23 Slide 24 Slide 24 Slide 25 Slide 26 Slide 27 Slide 27 Stern Review Slide 28 Slide 29 Slide 29 Slide 30 TRUT Trust in institutions to operate in societys best interest Slide 31 Slide 32 What can we expect? Changing rainfall and weather patterns Sea level rise Loss of habitat Loss of biodiversity Increasing extreme weather Migration Slide 33 What is the impact? Growing global demand for food production Requirement for renewable energy Shorter supply chains Africa as the worlds bread basket? Massive urban growth Slide 34 Crops bad, trees good? Need to understand the science Cities bad, countryside good? cant be competition Costa Rica Land use change on its own insufficient - Reducing emissions in the land use sector cannot compensate for a lack of reduction in industrial emissions. Its not as simple as we might think Slide 35 Who does what best? Government Environment Minister, Regulators, Planning authorities, Protected areas Market Commercial agriculture, Rural economies. Green growth NGOs/civil society lobby, advocate, consume, vote, educate Slide 36 Technology? Slide 37 Why Sustainable Development? Not sustained Should be common sense Joined up economics, politics, environment, social Chinese Vice-Minister the most important conversation Helps think beyond short term commercial and political timetables Politically inconvenient Slide 38 Imperatives.. Decarbonise the global economy vital and urgent Recognise the true value of nature and of the services we derive from it health, water, food, fibre, fuel Protect our threatened biodiversity Appreciate the need for successful rural economies Make better informed planning decisions Help legislators and citizens understand why land use, and the longer term, matters Work together Slide 39 Thank you Dank u william.day@phonecoop.coop