intro to economics - markets
TRANSCRIPT
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Markets
Dr. Katherine Sauer
A Citizen¶s Guide to Economics
ECO 1040
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Overview
I. The Invisible Hand
II. Two Key Economic Assumptions
III. Prices and the MarketA. demand
B. supply
C. equilibrium
D. price controls
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I. The Invisible Hand
Adam Smith (1723 ± 1790) is often referred to as the founder of
modern economics.
He was actually a Scottish philosopher of morality who got famous
for writing The Theory of Moral Sentiments (1759).- when confronted with moral decisions, people imagine
an ³impartial spectator´
- this spectator carefully considers the decision and advises
accordingly
- people decide using sympathy, not just selfishness
The concept of the ³invisible hand´ appeared in this book before
appearing his now more famous work, An Inquiry into the Nature
and Causes of the Wealth of Nations (1776).3
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He also studied astronomy and liked the idea that even though
planets moved in their own orbit, there was a natural harmony with
the rest of the planets.
He thought that people could also move in different paths and yet
³harmonize´ with one another.
³ It is not from the benevolence of the butcher, the brewer, or the baker, that we expect our dinner, but from their regard to
their own interest.́ - from the Wealth of Nations
Smith doesn¶t say that people are motivated ONLY by self-interest.
He says that self-interest motivates more powerfully and consistently
than things like kindness or altruism.
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He said that if each person seeks to promote their self-interest, then
society prospers.
³« he intends only his own gain, and he is in this, as in
many other cases, led by an invisible hand to promote an
end which was no part of his intention.´
Smith never took nor taught an economics course.
ECONOMICS DIDN¶T EXIST!!!!
Until the 19th century, academics considered economics a part of
philosophy.
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II. Two Key Economic Assumptions
Assumption 1:Individuals act to make themselves as well off as possible.
- not limited to material well-being
Economists define the term utility to be the happiness or
satisfaction from an action.- different preferences
- different utility
Individuals will strive to maximize their utility.
Why did the chicken cross the road?
To maximize her utility.
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Maximizing utility isn¶t simple.
- tradeoffs
- weigh benefits and costs (not just monetary)
- constraints
All actions have a tradeoff and an opportunity cost.
People don¶t always make well thought out decisions.
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In-Class Activity: Think about your day today.
- What actions are you choosing to take today?
- What are the tradeoffs you are facing because of your actions?
- What are the constraints you are facing?
- Given the constraints and the tradeoffs that exist, are you
maximizing your utility today?
- What if you had forgotten that you have a big chemistryexam tomorrow, you haven¶t started studying yet and you
just remembered it now? How would you change your
actions to maximize your utility?
- Or perhaps your boss calls and asks you to come in to
work this evening? How would you change your actions to
maximize your utility?
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Assumption 2:
Firms attempt to maximize profits.
revenue ± costs = profits
Firms take inputs (land, labor, capital) and combine them in a way
that adds value.
In a market economy, the firms decidewhat to produce
how to produce it
where to produce it
how much to produce
how much to charge
Why did the entrepreneur cross the road?
To make a profit.9
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III. Prices and the Market
How does an economy face the task of allocating scarce resourcethat have alternative uses?
A market economy is coordinated by prices.
- Each economic actor (consumers, producers, landlords,
workers, retailers, «) makes transactions with otherson mutually agreeable terms.
[ you might not LIKE the terms, but the transaction
itself is voluntary ]
- Prices convey the terms.
Prices convey information and play a crucial role in determining
how resources get used.
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An example:
In the past decade Americans have really taken a liking to sashimituna.
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http://www.cheflorenagarcia.com/page/sesame-crusted-sashimi-tuna
So it is ordered more often at restaurants.
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R estaurants begin placing larger orders with their wholesalers.
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Tsukiji fish market ± Tokyo, Japanhttp://www.trekearth.com/gallery/Asia/Japan/Kanto/Tokyo/Ginza/photo317680.htm
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In the language of economics we¶d say that the demand for tuna has
increased .
The reason for the increase in demand is a change in people¶s
preferences for tuna.
What do you predict will happen to the price of tuna as it becomes
more popular?
Intuitively, we understand that the price of tuna will probably
rise.
We can build a simple but powerful economic model that
will predict this.
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A simple model of the market:
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Price
Quantity
Supply
Demand
From the buyers point of
view, as the price of
something falls, thequantity they want to
purchase rises« so the
demand curve slopes
downward.
From the sellers point of
view, as the price of
something rises, thequantity they supply
rises« so the supply
curve slopes upward.Q1
P1
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Price
Quantity
Supply
Old Demand
When the demand for
tuna increases, the
demand curve shifts tothe right.
The price rises.
The quantity also rises.
But how are there
³magically´ more fish
being caught?
Q1
P1
New Demand
Q2
P2
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R emember that prices convey information.
When the price of tuna increases, this is a signal to fishermen.
They will be getting paid more for their catch.
- keep boat in water longer
- some switch from salmon fishing to tuna fishing
The quantity of tuna caught rises.
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http://www.abc.net.au/news/stories/2007/11/21/2096670.htm?site=news
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III. Demand, Supply, and the Market:
A. Demand
The Law of Demand says that there is an inverse relationship
between price and quantity demanded (ceteris paribus).- as price rises, the quantity demanded falls
- as price falls, the quantity demanded rises
This is why (in general) the demand curve slopes downward.
Demand represents consumers¶ willingness and ability to pay for a
good or service.
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Demand will shift if there is a change in:
1. number of buyers
2. income
- For normal goods when income increases, demand shifts right.
- For inferior goods when income increases, demand shifts left.
3. preferences/ tastes
4. price of related goods
- When the price of a substitute rises, demand for its substitute
rises (shifts right).- When the price of a complement rises, demand for its
complement falls (shifts left).
5. expectations about the future18
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B. Supply
The Law of Supply says that there is a positive relationship
between price and quantity supplied (ceteris paribus).
- as price rises, the quantity supplied rises
- as price falls, the quantity supplied falls
This is why (in general) the supply curve slopes upward.
Supply represents producers¶ production costs.
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Supply will shift if there is a change in:
1. number of sellers
2. price of inputs
- As input prices rise, supply shifts left.
- As input prices fall, supply shifts right.
3. production technology
- An advancement in technology will increase supply.
4. expectations about the future
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Price
Quantity
Supply
Demand
Q*
P*
If the price were lower than equilibrium: P2
Qd > Qs
shortage
price will rise
P2
Qs Qd
shortage
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Price
Quantity
Supply
Demand
P*
Surpluses put downward
pressure on price.
Shortages put upward
pressure on price.
At P*
Qd = Qsno shortage
no surplus
price is stable
³equilibrium´ price
Qd=Qs
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example:
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The Market for Opium:
Price
Quantity
Supply
Demand
Q1
P1
Favorable weather
conditions resulted in a bumper crop of opium.
This would shift the
supply curve to the right.
The price of Opium falls
and the quantity rises.
Supply 2
P2
Q2
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The Market for Heroin:
Price
Quantity
Supply
Demand
Q1
P1
Opium is an input to
Heroin.
Since the price of Opium
fell, the supply of Heroin
will rise.
The supply curve for
Heroin shifts right.
The price of Heroin fallsand the quantity rises.
Supply 2
P2
Q2
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D. Price Controls
What happens if prices aren¶t allowed to equate Supply and
Demand?
Ex: In the former Soviet Union, prices were set, raised, and
lowered by central planning. The government was responsible for
over 20 million prices.
The government decided to increase the price for moleskins.
- hunters increased their hunting of moles
- state purchases of moleskins increased
- the distribution centers were filled with pelts
- industry was unable to use all the pelts and they rotted
When a government tries to control all the prices, the result is a
surplus of some items and a shortage of others.
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In the US (and many other market economies), the government
doesn¶t try to control ALL the prices, but does control some of
them.
There are 2 basic types of price controls:
price ceilings ± prevent the price from going ³too high´ price floors ± prevent the price from falling ³too low´
- making sure the price is ³fair´
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Price
Quantity
Supply
Demand
Q*
P*
Pc
Qs Qd
shortage
Price ceiling
1. Price Ceilings are legally binding maximum prices.
To be effective, they must be placed below the equilibrium
price.
Price ceilings areimplemented in order to
help out buyers of a good
or service.
They cause shortages.
They often cause a
reduction in quality.
They sometimes lead to
black markets.
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Ex: R ent control
Proponents of rent control often argue that rents need to becontrolled so that people who begin renting an apartment cannot
be forced to move out of the apartment as a result of increases in
rent (e.g. fixed income retirees).
R ent control is considered a big success politically.
In the short run, the shortage is small because the supply of
housing is fixed.
In the long run, the shortage grows larger.
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Price
Quantity
SR Supply
Demand
Qs1
P*
Pc
Qs2 Qd
shortage
SR
Price ceiling
In the short run, the supply of housing is fixed.
A price ceiling will create a shortage.
The shortage gets larger over time.
LR Supply
shortage
LR
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New York City is a famous example.some results:
- low turnover of rent-controlled housing
- abandoned buildings (1,000s taken over by the
government and yet the city still has a homeless problem)
San Francisco (2001 study): 75% of rent controlled housing was
at least 50 years old.
Santa Monica 1979: building permits for apartments fell to onetenth of previous
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Ex: Price controls on gasoline
Price
Quantity
Supply
Demand
Q*
P*
PcPrice ceiling
In the early 1970s, the Arab
Oil Embargo reduced the
supply of gasoline into theUS.
This caused the price of
gasoline to rise.
To reduce the effect, the US
government implemented
price controls (1973-74).
The price ceiling caused a
shortage of gasoline.
Supply 2
Q2
P2
Qs Qd
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People waited in line for hours to fill up their tanks.
Waiting in line is a non-price rationing mechanism
(i.e. first come first served/allocated).
To prevent the long lines, California had the following policy tohelp ration the gas: Vehicle owners with a license plate number
ending in an odd (even) digit could only buy gas on odd
(even) dates of the month.
Are non-price rationing mechanisms more fair than the pricerationing mechanisms?
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Important note: A shortage is not the same thing as scarcity.
Shortages are price phenomena.
Scarcity can exist without a shortage.Shortages can exist without scarcity.
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Price
Quantity
Supply
Demand
Q*
P*
Pf
Qd Qs
surplus
Price floor
2. Price Floors are legally binding minimum prices.
To be effective, they must be placed above the equilibrium
price.
Price floors areimplemented in order to
help out sellers of a good
or service.
They cause surpluses.
They often lead to
additional government
actions.
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Ex: agricultural goods
During the Great Depression there were price floors manyagricultural goods.
The higher price caused a surplus of food.
But hunger was a problem for many Americans.
1933 the US government bought 6 million hogs and destroyed
them.
Farmers poured milk into the sewers to keep prices up.
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http://emsnews.wordpress.com/2009/10/16/crying-over-spilt-milk-in-world-trade/
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Ex: the minimum wage
wage
Quantity of Labor
SLabor
DLabor
Q*
w*
wm
Qd Qs
Surplus
of people
wanting
to work
Minimum
wage
In the labor market, the
supply curve is the workers
wanting to work.
The demand curve is firms
hiring.
The market clearing wage isdeemed to be ³too low´ so a
minimum wage is
implemented.
What is the result?
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What do economists think about price controls?
Generally economists are not in favor of them.
Economists aren¶t totally against government intervention in the
market .
If governments intervene in the market, do it in a way where
prices still signal information.
ex: give a voucher or income transfer to the group youwant to help