Introduction of MAIRS Activities

The 2nd CORDEX South Asia Science and Training Workshop, 27-30 August 2013, Kathmandu

Ailikun

International Program OfficeMonsoon Asia Integrated Regional Study

(MAIRS)

Monsoon Asia Integrated Regional Study

The vision of MAIRS is “To significantly advance understanding of the interactions

between the human-natural components of the overall environment in the monsoon Asian

region, and implications for the global earth system, in order to support strategies for

sustainable development. “

MAIRS Themes

Multiple stresses in high mountain zones

Vulnerable systems in dryland zones

Rapid transformation in coastal Urban zones

Rapid development of urban zones

Modelling and observations

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Observation network in dryland east Asia

Drought Impact on Rangeland Herders in Inner Mongolia

- Study by Xiaoyi Wang, CASS

- Pastoral village of 80 households

- 10,000 livestock

- Decade-long drought & rising temperature affected pasture & water availability

- Herders' incomes significantly reduced

- But there are social factors

Social Factors interacting with Drought Impacts

Xiaoyi Wang, CASS

Impact of Warming on Precipitation

S. Liu et al. (2009)

Comparison of precipitation intensity in Taiwan for the two coolest years (blue) and two warmest years (red) over the period 1961-2005

Find similar result for GPCP data

Response is larger than expected from Clausius-Clapeyron

TokyoOsaka

Seoul

Beijing

Shanghai

Guangzhou

Primary pollutant concentrations are expected to increase as:

C ~ N

where N: population

Air Pollution in Mega-Cities

Parrish and Zhu, 2009, Science

IGBP/IGAC Program

Going to deeper water ---New Nansha Harbour (100KM from city central)

Fresh water supply of Nansha is rely on upstream Xijiang river

Influence of sea level rise and coastal erosion

Future scenario of cyclone and urban flood in Pearl River Delta

Mountain

City

Field

Sea

Expanding of GuangzhouExpanding of Guangzhou---Urban Case study ---Urban Case study

Nansha

AusAID Public Sector Linkages Program AusAID Public Sector Linkages Program (PSLP)(PSLP)

Working towards improving resilience and adaptive capacity to climate change in the Hindu Kush-Himalayan (HKH) Region (China, Bangladesh, India & Nepal).

PI: Lance Heath, Climate change Institute, ANUPI: Lance Heath, Climate change Institute, ANUTime: 2013-2015Time: 2013-2015

AusAID Public Sector Linkages Program AusAID Public Sector Linkages Program (PSLP)(PSLP)

Working towards improving resilience and adaptive capacity to climate change in the Hindu Kush-Himalayan (HKH) Region (China, Bangladesh, India & Nepal).

PI: Lance Heath, Climate change Institute, ANUPI: Lance Heath, Climate change Institute, ANUTime: 2013-2015Time: 2013-2015

This project will use a number of approaches to identify the risks, vulnerabilities and opportunities of climate change impacts on small downstream communities in Bangladesh and upstream communities in Nepal and India.

Build the local capacity to help communities cope better with those risks and vulnerabilities identified.

A key outcome resulting from this project is the development of a climate change adaptation toolkit.

Asian Dryland Model Intercomparison Project (ADMIP)

- Led by Jun Asanuma and Dennis Ojima

- Support from APN, MAIRS and MEXT-JSPS

- Few observations and relatively poor performance of LSM in Asian drylands

- Data from sites at Tongyu, China; Kherlen Bayan Ulaan, Mongolia (AsiaFlux)

- 7 LSMs and 7 TEMs from Japan, China, Korea, USA, Australia

Model performance at dryland

2010/7/11 ADMIP Kickoff, Beijingfigures made by Dr. Yorozu at Kyoto Univ.in reference to Guo, and Dirmeyer (2002) JGR, Vol.111, D22S02

correlation between GSWP2 (multi model analysis) and GSMDB(obs.)

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lower model reproducibility of soil moiture

Goals of ADMIP

Evaluating & improving land surface models (LSM, energy and water) & terrestrial ecosystem model (TEM, carbon) through offline model intercomparison using data obtained at Asian dryland

but not to improve a model/models specific to Asian dryland

Better reproduction/prediction of landsurface state at Asian dryland using improved models

2010/7/11 ADMIP Kickoff, Beijing14

RMIP Simulation Design

Integration Domain: (45-165E, 0-45N)Resolution: 60KM (for whole area, downscaling to 30KM in some key areas)Participating Countries: China, Japan, Korea, Australia, US Regional Models: 6 models in RMIP II, and 9 models in RMIP IIISimulation Periods: 1978-2000 for control, 2038-2070 for projection, A 2-year spin-up time is applied to both control and projection runs

Shuyu Wang, Nanjing University

RMIP Activities

- Regional projections for 2040-2070 with uncertainties

- Data sharing

- Development of integrated assessment tool for urban policy and planning (UrbanCLIM – Yinpeng Li)

- High-resolution precipitation events

- High-resolution urban simulations

- High-resolution mountain simulations (WCRP CORDEX south Asia, ICIMOD)

Training workshop on remote sensing and regional land surface processes

Date: 16-20 Sep. 2013

Location: Institute of Atmospheric Physics, CAS

Sponsors: UNESCO, MAIRS, NSFC, CARRI/CAS

Jointly organized by CARRI/CAS, MAIRS

To provide the knowledge required for societies in the world

to face risks posed by global environmental change and to seize opportunities in a transition

to global sustainability

Future Earth: A New Initiative by ICSU/ISSC

Objectives:To report the latest research on integrated studies in Asia-Pacific regionTo promote the research of both natural and social scientistsTo promote the research by young scientists from the regionTo promote multi-disciplinary studies and the new ICSU-ISSC Future Earth in Asia-Pacific regionTo discuss the implementation of the Future Earth initiative