invasion dynamics of amur honeysuckle in southwest ohio · rings counted by 2-3 persons 689 shrubs;...

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Invasion Dynamics of Amur Honeysuckle in Southwest Ohio David L. Gorchov, Dept. of Biology Mary C. Henry, Dept. of Geography Miami University, Oxford, OH

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Page 1: Invasion Dynamics of Amur Honeysuckle in Southwest Ohio · Rings counted by 2-3 persons 689 shrubs; >1200 stems . 8 16 16 16 12 19 15 18 15 12 8 211112 7 13 8 14 13 13 14 9 8 7 19

Invasion Dynamics of Amur Honeysuckle in Southwest Ohio

David L. Gorchov, Dept. of BiologyMary C. Henry, Dept. of GeographyMiami University, Oxford, OH

Page 2: Invasion Dynamics of Amur Honeysuckle in Southwest Ohio · Rings counted by 2-3 persons 689 shrubs; >1200 stems . 8 16 16 16 12 19 15 18 15 12 8 211112 7 13 8 14 13 13 14 9 8 7 19

Lonicera maackii• Native to east Asia• Introduced to U.S. in 1897; naturalized in 24 eastern states• Partly self-compatible (Goodell and Iler 2007)• Seeds dispersed by birds (Bartuszevige & Gorchov 2006) &

deer (Castellano & Gorchov 2013, Guiden unpubl.)• Seedlings establish in sun or shade (Luken & Goessing 1995)• Extended leaf phenology (can find all individuals)

Page 3: Invasion Dynamics of Amur Honeysuckle in Southwest Ohio · Rings counted by 2-3 persons 689 shrubs; >1200 stems . 8 16 16 16 12 19 15 18 15 12 8 211112 7 13 8 14 13 13 14 9 8 7 19

1. Importance of stand invasibility vs. propagule pressure in invasions

Page 4: Invasion Dynamics of Amur Honeysuckle in Southwest Ohio · Rings counted by 2-3 persons 689 shrubs; >1200 stems . 8 16 16 16 12 19 15 18 15 12 8 211112 7 13 8 14 13 13 14 9 8 7 19

40 woodlots in agricultural landscape

Darke and Preble counties, OH

Page 5: Invasion Dynamics of Amur Honeysuckle in Southwest Ohio · Rings counted by 2-3 persons 689 shrubs; >1200 stems . 8 16 16 16 12 19 15 18 15 12 8 211112 7 13 8 14 13 13 14 9 8 7 19

Lonicera maackii cover weakly correlated with some woodlot measures

Correlation coeff. (r)

Stand age -0.40

tree cover in 1938 aerial photo -0.38

tree cover in 1962/63 aerial photo -0.37

Woodlot area

Perimeter : area ratio

Tree basal area

Page 6: Invasion Dynamics of Amur Honeysuckle in Southwest Ohio · Rings counted by 2-3 persons 689 shrubs; >1200 stems . 8 16 16 16 12 19 15 18 15 12 8 211112 7 13 8 14 13 13 14 9 8 7 19

Woodlot L. maackii cover correlated with land cover in 1500 m buffer

land cover in 1500 m buffer r

% Crops -0.69

% Developed 0.44

% Forest 0.62

%Pasture 0.68

% Recreational Grass

% Water 0.36L. maackii cover not correlated with road density, latitude, or composition of woodlot perimeter in 1938 or 1962/3

Page 7: Invasion Dynamics of Amur Honeysuckle in Southwest Ohio · Rings counted by 2-3 persons 689 shrubs; >1200 stems . 8 16 16 16 12 19 15 18 15 12 8 211112 7 13 8 14 13 13 14 9 8 7 19

Stepwise regression of woodlot L. maackii cover on predictors: % crop in 1500 m buffer was first predictor to enter; no other variable improved fit

Page 8: Invasion Dynamics of Amur Honeysuckle in Southwest Ohio · Rings counted by 2-3 persons 689 shrubs; >1200 stems . 8 16 16 16 12 19 15 18 15 12 8 211112 7 13 8 14 13 13 14 9 8 7 19

1. ConclusionsLandscape, more than woodlot characteristics, determine cover of this invaderPropagule pressure more important than stand invasibilityL. maackii invasion impeded by cropland

Absence of propagule sources?Deterrent to movement of seed dispersers?

Page 9: Invasion Dynamics of Amur Honeysuckle in Southwest Ohio · Rings counted by 2-3 persons 689 shrubs; >1200 stems . 8 16 16 16 12 19 15 18 15 12 8 211112 7 13 8 14 13 13 14 9 8 7 19

2. Relative importance of diffusion vs. long-distance dispersal in invasion of exotic species

Fragmented habitat (forested patches in agricultural matrix)

Page 10: Invasion Dynamics of Amur Honeysuckle in Southwest Ohio · Rings counted by 2-3 persons 689 shrubs; >1200 stems . 8 16 16 16 12 19 15 18 15 12 8 211112 7 13 8 14 13 13 14 9 8 7 19

Diffusion (expanding front)

Page 11: Invasion Dynamics of Amur Honeysuckle in Southwest Ohio · Rings counted by 2-3 persons 689 shrubs; >1200 stems . 8 16 16 16 12 19 15 18 15 12 8 211112 7 13 8 14 13 13 14 9 8 7 19

Diffusion: subsequent recruitment from outside the patch

propagule pressure

Page 12: Invasion Dynamics of Amur Honeysuckle in Southwest Ohio · Rings counted by 2-3 persons 689 shrubs; >1200 stems . 8 16 16 16 12 19 15 18 15 12 8 211112 7 13 8 14 13 13 14 9 8 7 19

Long-distance dispersal

Page 13: Invasion Dynamics of Amur Honeysuckle in Southwest Ohio · Rings counted by 2-3 persons 689 shrubs; >1200 stems . 8 16 16 16 12 19 15 18 15 12 8 211112 7 13 8 14 13 13 14 9 8 7 19

Long-distance dispersal

Page 14: Invasion Dynamics of Amur Honeysuckle in Southwest Ohio · Rings counted by 2-3 persons 689 shrubs; >1200 stems . 8 16 16 16 12 19 15 18 15 12 8 211112 7 13 8 14 13 13 14 9 8 7 19

Long-distance dispersal

Page 15: Invasion Dynamics of Amur Honeysuckle in Southwest Ohio · Rings counted by 2-3 persons 689 shrubs; >1200 stems . 8 16 16 16 12 19 15 18 15 12 8 211112 7 13 8 14 13 13 14 9 8 7 19

Long-distance dispersal: Subsequent recruitment from within patch

Founder effect

Page 16: Invasion Dynamics of Amur Honeysuckle in Southwest Ohio · Rings counted by 2-3 persons 689 shrubs; >1200 stems . 8 16 16 16 12 19 15 18 15 12 8 211112 7 13 8 14 13 13 14 9 8 7 19

Understanding of dispersal can inform management of invasives

• Diffusion: target edge of current range• Long-distance dispersal: patrol for colonists

X

X

X

Page 17: Invasion Dynamics of Amur Honeysuckle in Southwest Ohio · Rings counted by 2-3 persons 689 shrubs; >1200 stems . 8 16 16 16 12 19 15 18 15 12 8 211112 7 13 8 14 13 13 14 9 8 7 19

Age structure of 28 populations in s. Darke Co.14 pops.: all shrubs or 30 largest X-sections of stemsRings counted by 2-3 persons689 shrubs; >1200 stems

Page 18: Invasion Dynamics of Amur Honeysuckle in Southwest Ohio · Rings counted by 2-3 persons 689 shrubs; >1200 stems . 8 16 16 16 12 19 15 18 15 12 8 211112 7 13 8 14 13 13 14 9 8 7 19

8

1616

121619

15

151812

8121121

713

81314

13

14

9

8

7

19

1113

13

Oldest shrub in each woodlot

Long-distance dispersal, followed by diffusion

Page 19: Invasion Dynamics of Amur Honeysuckle in Southwest Ohio · Rings counted by 2-3 persons 689 shrubs; >1200 stems . 8 16 16 16 12 19 15 18 15 12 8 211112 7 13 8 14 13 13 14 9 8 7 19

4428500

4429500

4430500

4431500

4432500

4433500

4434500

4435500

4436500

689000 690000 691000 692000 693000 694000 695000 696000 697000

1992

1992

• X and Y axes correspond to UTM coordinates of woodlot centers in south-central Darke County Size of bubble corresponds to # of L. maackiishrubs in a woodlot in a given year

Page 20: Invasion Dynamics of Amur Honeysuckle in Southwest Ohio · Rings counted by 2-3 persons 689 shrubs; >1200 stems . 8 16 16 16 12 19 15 18 15 12 8 211112 7 13 8 14 13 13 14 9 8 7 19

4428500

4429500

4430500

4431500

4432500

4433500

4434500

4435500

4436500

689000 690000 691000 692000 693000 694000 695000 696000 697000

1997

1997

Long-distance dispersal, followed by diffusion

Page 21: Invasion Dynamics of Amur Honeysuckle in Southwest Ohio · Rings counted by 2-3 persons 689 shrubs; >1200 stems . 8 16 16 16 12 19 15 18 15 12 8 211112 7 13 8 14 13 13 14 9 8 7 19

4428500

4429500

4430500

4431500

4432500

4433500

4434500

4435500

4436500

689000 690000 691000 692000 693000 694000 695000 696000 697000

2002

1997

2002

Long-distance dispersal, followed by diffusion

Page 22: Invasion Dynamics of Amur Honeysuckle in Southwest Ohio · Rings counted by 2-3 persons 689 shrubs; >1200 stems . 8 16 16 16 12 19 15 18 15 12 8 211112 7 13 8 14 13 13 14 9 8 7 19

Early phase of invasion: long distance dispersal

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

3500

4000

4500

5000

1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004

Dis

tanc

e to

clo

sest

sour

cec

(m)

Establishment Year

Closest pop. ≥ 4 yrs older

after ~ 8 yrs: diffusion

Page 23: Invasion Dynamics of Amur Honeysuckle in Southwest Ohio · Rings counted by 2-3 persons 689 shrubs; >1200 stems . 8 16 16 16 12 19 15 18 15 12 8 211112 7 13 8 14 13 13 14 9 8 7 19

Who is dispersing L. maackii seeds 4 km?

Peter Guiden, MS thesis (Miami U)

Page 24: Invasion Dynamics of Amur Honeysuckle in Southwest Ohio · Rings counted by 2-3 persons 689 shrubs; >1200 stems . 8 16 16 16 12 19 15 18 15 12 8 211112 7 13 8 14 13 13 14 9 8 7 19

Do later-establishing pops. to grow faster? (expected if diffusion important)

Year pop. established

Σ oldest 9 years

NO

Page 25: Invasion Dynamics of Amur Honeysuckle in Southwest Ohio · Rings counted by 2-3 persons 689 shrubs; >1200 stems . 8 16 16 16 12 19 15 18 15 12 8 211112 7 13 8 14 13 13 14 9 8 7 19

Age structure expected under diffusion vs. long-distance disperal

predicted age structure

age

num

ber o

f ind

ivid

uals

N(long)

N(short)

Page 26: Invasion Dynamics of Amur Honeysuckle in Southwest Ohio · Rings counted by 2-3 persons 689 shrubs; >1200 stems . 8 16 16 16 12 19 15 18 15 12 8 211112 7 13 8 14 13 13 14 9 8 7 19

Immigration rate for a population (xi)# shrubs in oldest 3 age classes / 3

Agex145=0.67/yr

Page 27: Invasion Dynamics of Amur Honeysuckle in Southwest Ohio · Rings counted by 2-3 persons 689 shrubs; >1200 stems . 8 16 16 16 12 19 15 18 15 12 8 211112 7 13 8 14 13 13 14 9 8 7 19

Mean of xi for 28 pops. used as ‘global’ immigration rate X = 0.87/yr

Regression of pop. imm. rate vs. year of establishment not sig.

xi

Page 28: Invasion Dynamics of Amur Honeysuckle in Southwest Ohio · Rings counted by 2-3 persons 689 shrubs; >1200 stems . 8 16 16 16 12 19 15 18 15 12 8 211112 7 13 8 14 13 13 14 9 8 7 19

yi = ni - X

Recruitment from parents within the population assumed to equal total recruitment - immigration

Age

For pop. 145, within pop. recruitment accounts for 34% of recruits in years 5-7 and 83% in years 8-9 On avg. (14 pops.), within-pop. recruitment accounts for 46% of recruits in years 5-7 and 77% in years 8-9

yrs 5-7yrs 8-9

Page 29: Invasion Dynamics of Amur Honeysuckle in Southwest Ohio · Rings counted by 2-3 persons 689 shrubs; >1200 stems . 8 16 16 16 12 19 15 18 15 12 8 211112 7 13 8 14 13 13 14 9 8 7 19

Early growth of new populations is due to both immigration (propagule pressure) and reproduction within the pop., but after 8 years is due mostly to within-pop. recruitment

Page 30: Invasion Dynamics of Amur Honeysuckle in Southwest Ohio · Rings counted by 2-3 persons 689 shrubs; >1200 stems . 8 16 16 16 12 19 15 18 15 12 8 211112 7 13 8 14 13 13 14 9 8 7 19

2. ConclusionsLong-distance dispersal important early in invasionImmigration rates are low, and soon exceeded by recruitment from within pop.

• Management: patrol for colonists

X

Page 31: Invasion Dynamics of Amur Honeysuckle in Southwest Ohio · Rings counted by 2-3 persons 689 shrubs; >1200 stems . 8 16 16 16 12 19 15 18 15 12 8 211112 7 13 8 14 13 13 14 9 8 7 19

Thanks!• USDA NRI Competitive Grants Program, Mary

Henry (MU) & Oscar Rocha (Kent State), co-PIs• Peter Frank, Steve Castellano, Doug Noe, Sujan

Khanal, Holly Andrews, Charlotte Freeman