investor day - non-standard finance plc/media/files/n/non-standard... · 2018-01-22 · overview 3...
TRANSCRIPT
Investor day 1 November 2016
1
John van Kuffeler Founder and Executive Chairman
NON-STANDARD FINANCE – INVESTOR DAY, 1 NOVEMBER 2016
Agenda
2
09.30 Introduction John van Kuffeler, Executive Chairman and Founder, NSF plc
09.45 Everyday Loans Danny Malone, CEO Everyday Loans
10.45 Loans at Home Mark Bardsley, CEO Loans at Home
11.45 Break
12:00 Trusttwo Richard Sharp, Managing Director, Trusttwo
12.30 Market review Miles Cresswell-Turner, Executive Director, NSF plc
12.45 Funding and accounting Nick Teunon, CFO NSF plc
13.00 Summary John van Kuffeler
Lunch
NON-STANDARD FINANCE – INVESTOR DAY, 1 NOVEMBER 2016
Overview
3
In February 2015 we set out our investment case to build a sizeable player in the non-standard finance sector
20 months later we have three significant businesses with 80 offices and over 140,000 customers
Our thesis also remains on-course:
- Sector is growing with no sizeable new entrants
- Structural and regulatory change means that each of our chosen segments has strong growth potential
- There is regulator support for a well-managed, well-capitalised group like NSF
- Further opportunities may be presented through a second wave of M&A/consolidation due to:
- Further regulatory constraint
- Lack of available funding
- Change in risk appetite from current owners
NON-STANDARD FINANCE – INVESTOR DAY, 1 NOVEMBER 2016
We continue to make good progress towards our goal:
overall loan book growth of 20% per annum and
20% return on assets in each of our operating businesses
Overview - our three divisions
4
Branch-based lending Home credit
Guaranteed loans
NON-STANDARD FINANCE – INVESTOR DAY, 1 NOVEMBER 2016
Overview – each division has strong growth potential
Branch-based lending
• Market:
• £5bn of receiveables withdrawn post 2007/8
• Closure of over 400 branches post-crisis
- Welcome (183)
- HFC (135)
- Citifinancial (90)
- London Scottish Bank (52)
• Barriers to entry:
• Branch network
• Skilled management team
• Proven underwriting capability and scorecard
• Everyday Loans
• National coverage via 39 branches
• Experienced management team
• Proven and scaleable infrastructure
5
Home collected credit
• Market:
• Structural shift at market leader:
- Shed nearly 1m customers
- Consequent reduction in agents
- Focused on opportunities outside home credit
• #2 focused on other opportunities
• Low income earners are better off and under-borrowed
• Barriers to entry:
• Agent network
• Skilled management team
• Funds to invest in growth and technology
• Loans at Home:
• National coverage, clear #3
• Experienced management team
• Yet to reap benefits from technology investment
Guaranteed loans
• Market:
• First launched in 2006
• Market leader dominates with 80% share
• No clear #2 has yet emerged
• Complex product, poorly understood by consumers
• Attractive features for customers and regulator
• Barriers to entry:
• Back-office and associated infrastructure
• Significant investment in marketing required
• Trusttwo:
• Proven and scaleable infrastructure
• New MD hired
• Financial backing of well-capitalised parent
NON-STANDARD FINANCE – INVESTOR DAY, 1 NOVEMBER 2016
Overview – our key risks and how we manage them
6 NON-STANDARD FINANCE – INVESTOR DAY, 1 NOVEMBER 2016
Conduct
Training
Quality assurance and internal audit
Regulation
Building strong relationship with FCA
Active regulatory affairs programme
Credit
Proven scorecard, continuous improvement
Strong MI and KPI monitoring
Meeting the customers face-to-face
Business strategy and operations
Experienced management
Strong Board oversight
Liquidity
Committed debt facilities in place until 2018 and 2019
Exploring other options to diversify our source of funding
Brexit – threat or opportunity? GDP growth much better than
expected in 3 months post-June
Nissan to invest in Sunderland,
securing jobs and the local economy
Income for bottom fifth of earners up 6.2% in April 2016
But…
Inflation expected to rise following fall in Sterling
Our current view
Customers on low incomes are better-off than they have
been for many years
Food/petrol price rises will have an impact for customers,
but this will be relatively small
If impairments do start to rise, loans are short-term and we
can adjust our scorecard to compensate
If economy worsens, pool of potential customers should
expand
We do not expect a material impact from Brexit
Overview – progress to-date
7
Phase one of our plan is now complete:
NSF is a significant player in the non-standard segment:
- #1 in branch-based unsecured lending
- #3 in home credit
- Over 140,000 customers
- Over 80 branches
- Over 500 employees
- Combined loan book of £147m at 30 June 16 (£169m after fair
value adjustments)
H1 16 saw strong loan book growth in all three businesses:
- Everyday Loans +17%
- Loans at Home +19%
- Trusttwo +28%
NON-STANDARD FINANCE – INVESTOR DAY, 1 NOVEMBER 2016
Loans at Home branch
Everyday Loans branch
Overview – future plans
8
Phase two will see us:
Grow Everyday Loans:
- More branches planned for 2017 and 2018
- Develop new and complementary products
- Manage loan book growth with appropriate control of impairment
Grow Loans at Home:
- More measured pace of growth will reduce rate of impairment and temporary agent commissions
- Full roll-out of hand-held technology:
o Collections app being implemented before December 2016
o Lending app during H1 2017
Grow Trusttwo:
- Position Trusttwo as an attractive alternative to the market leader
- Expand in-house team
- Invest in marketing
Put in place longer-term funding as part of a broader financial strategy
NON-STANDARD FINANCE – INVESTOR DAY, 1 NOVEMBER 2016
everydayloans for everydayliving
Everyday Loans
Group
Danny Malone CEO
everydayloans for everydayliving
1. Introduction
Page 10
everydayloans for everydayliving
Agenda
1. Introduction
2. History
3. Management team
4. Regulation
5. Everyday Loans business model
6. The lending process
7. Collections
8. Impairments
9. Market overview/competitive landscape
10. Strategy for growth
11. Summary
Page 11
everydayloans for everydayliving
• Everyday Loans is the UK’s largest branch-based lender of unsecured loans to sub-prime borrowers
• It has a network of 39 national branches (36 full branches, including Central, and three satellite branches)
- Preston, Reading and Derby have opened since H1
- Manchester and Walsall scheduled to open in Q4
• By using a face-to-face model, our USP is being able to lend profitably to those customers that others can’t or won’t
• Our loans are unsecured and distributed through three main channels:
- Brokers 35%
- Direct to brand 27%
- Own book renewals and former borrowers 38%
1. Introduction - overview
Page 12
everydayloans for everydayliving
Vision To be the most effective and easy to deal with consumer finance business in the UK Mission To double the size of the business - Everyday Loans and Trusttwo – within three - four years Values Respect for each other as employees Outstanding customer service and outcomes Total commitment and effort Attractive returns for our shareholders
1. Introduction – vision, mission and values
Page 13
everydayloans for everydayliving
Financial crisis • Large numbers of consumer
finance businesses exited the
market including:
o Black Horse
o Citifinancial
o HFC/Beneficial
o Welcome
o London & Scottish
• Everyday Loans was the only
remaining branch based
consumer lender (not high cost,
short-term) in the UK
Founded in 2006;
initial £30m from
Alchemy/
management
8 June 2012
Purchased by
Secure Trust Bank
in June 2012 for
£72m (£34m equity
/ sub debt and
£38m of bank debt)
26
13 April
2016
Acquisition
completed
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2006
21 June 2016
Full FCA
Licence granted
27 32 36 34 36^ 26 26 No. of
branches
2. History - timeline
26 30
^ As at 30 June 2016, incl 3 Satellites
4 Dec 2015
Sold to NSF
for £235m
(£170m equity
and £65m debt)
60 67 78 105 89 114^ 54 47 Receivables (£m) 41 27
Page 14
everydayloans for everydayliving
30 26 26 26 26 27 31 31 33 33
136
104 106 104 108 118
129 141 145 148
0
50
100
150
200
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 H1 2016
Full branches and employees
Branches (Full) Branch Employees
35% 33% 33%
36% 35% 36% 37%
42% 43% 45%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 H12016
Interest revenue as % of average net receivables
27.1 40.9 47.3 53.7 60.5 67.4
77.9 88.9
105.2 114.4
11.8
16.6 19.9
22.9 24.8 25.3 29.0
34.3 35.5 37.2
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
£0m
£20m
£40m
£60m
£80m
£100m
£120m
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 H1 2016
Unsecured receivables and customer numbers
Unsecured Receivables (£m)
Customer numbers (RH scale) (000)
2. History - timeline
28 25 24 24 29 30 35 44 46
25
7 16 11 15 15 19
23
29
49
26
0
20
40
60
80
100
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 H12016
Unsecured loan volumes (£m)
Existing and former unsecured volume (£m)
New borrower unsecured volume (£m)
Page 15
everydayloans for everydayliving
Danny Malone
CEO
Mark Ridlington
COO
Jason Bovington
Credit Risk
Andrew Wayland
Marketing
Steven White
CFO
Angela Bascombe-McCarthy
Compliance
Richard Sharp
Trusttwo
Danny Malone:
25 years’ experience in Financial Services industry
Co-founder of Everyday Loans in 2006
Previously CEO of Citifinancial UK and Future Mortgages and CFO of
Citifinancial Europe
Chartered Accountant ICAEW
Steven White:
25 years’ experience in Financial Services industry
Arthur Andersen, UBS & Deutsche Bank
Previously at Link Financial UK
Chartered Accountant ICAEW
Andrew Wayland:
Helped set up Everyday Loans as Head of Marketing in 2006
Business owner Columbell Communications for 5 years
Previously Head of Commercial Development Tech start-up
Mark Ridlington:
35 years’ experience in Financial Services Industry
14 years’ experience as Senior Manager in Financial Services
Co-founder of Everyday Loans in 2006
Previously COO of Citifinancial UK and Future Mortgages Ltd
Jason Bovington:
Helped set up Everyday Loans as Head of Risk in 2006.
20 years’ Financial Services experience
Previously Head of Risk HFC Bank PLC
Angela Bascombe-McCarthy:
37 years’ experience in Financial Services industry
Joined Everyday Loans in March 2016
Previously Head of Compliance Future Mortgages and NS&I
Also worked for FCA
Richard Sharp:
15 years’ sector experience
Joined Everyday Loans in July 2016
Previously GE, DFC Global & Cattles
3. Management – a highly experienced team
Page 16
everydayloans for everydayliving
• FCA replaced the OFT in April 2014 and is now responsible for over 50,000 consumer credit companies
• Thematic reviews:
• Incentives and remuneration
• Guarantor loans
• Early stage collections
• New guarantor loan default process introduced in April 2016 following an apparent shift in opinion by the FCA
• Everyday Loans (including Trusttwo) received its full FCA licence in June 2016 and is also a member of The Finance and Leasing Association
• FOS complaints – very few complaints are upheld
4. Regulation
Page 17
everydayloans for everydayliving
• Branches offer full service and do their own lending and collecting
• Off-high street retail premises and first floor offices in town centres.
• Majority of customers live within five miles or 30 minutes of branch (location, location, location)
• Customers are able to establish/repair credit history and branches provide “money management” service for financially unsophisticated customers
• All loans are unsecured with homeowners making up approximately 20%-25% of customers.
• Risk based pricing allows true full-spectrum lending for the right loan amount at the correct price.
• Customers are focused on payment, not rate:
• £1,000 to £15,000
• 24% APR to 299% APR
• 24 months to 60 months (no high cost, short term credit)
5. Everyday Loans business model
Page 18
everydayloans for everydayliving
• Over 75% of unique applications are screened out
• Duplicates
• They fail initial criteria or minimum credit score
• Detailed evaluation of customer circumstances includes existing debt coverage, income, expenditure and affordability with the customer.
• Managers will frequently decline a loan which has passed credit score.
• Face to face contact significantly enhances credit segmentation, facilitates collections and allows relationship building.
• Over 85% of qualifying applications to branches get declined following branch review
• Full, verified affordability checks undertaken in branches
• Loan is provided over the shortest term that suits the customer. This means we can adapt the loan to changing customer needs. Our average balance on new customer loans is low by industry standards
• For customers wishing to renew, previous loan repayment history will be considered, however they will still be required to go through a full underwrite for the new loan including the same affordability calculation as new customers
Page 19
5. Everyday Loans business model - the added value of our branch network
everydayloans for everydayliving
Page 20
6. The lending process
everydayloans for everydayliving
6. The lending process - typical loan and customer profile
• Customers must be in employment or have verified self employment, have a bank account and three years’ address history in the UK
• Average loan size is £3,000-£4,000; 63% of loans being £4,000 or less
• Over 57% are under the age of 40
• 45% are single
• 68% earn more than £1,500 per month, 40% earn more than £2,000 per month (i.e. close to national average)
• Typically a C/D-type customer
• 48% of loans are at an interest rate of less than 50%
• 63% have no dependents
• 43% rent; 25% are homeowners; 23% live with parents
• 69% have been at the same address for more than three years
• 75% have been at their job for more than three years
Page 21
everydayloans for everydayliving
• Branches have full service responsibility for lending and collecting.
• Incentives are based on a balanced scorecard between lending and collections, with strong controls over both supported by proven management information systems providing timely alerts on a range of different performance metrics
• All loans are set-up with electronic payment method, preferably direct debit
• Customers in default or arrears difficulties are treated sympathetically; with forbearance and due consideration
• Forbearance is shown to those who need it. Central approval of all account modifications prevents misuse
• Our control environment is best in class:
• Deferments - for those with past short-term payment issue, but have demonstrated ability and intent to repay contractual payment ongoing. A number of full contractual payments are required before deferment in order to defer arrears
• Re-schedules - for those with demonstrated intent to repay, but lack of ability to make full payments, due to change in circumstances. All re-schedules require a full income & expenditure review as well as monthly payment of revised amounts before reschedule and without follow-up, in order to qualify
• All accounts are collected locally until the account charges off. All accounts 180 days + contractual delinquency at month-end are charged-off
Page 22
7. Collections
everydayloans for everydayliving
• This is an independently hosted review site. In addition to the very high ratings, The comments are very supportive of the customer journey
Anonymous Customer comment
The most friendly helpful staff I have ever dealt with, it was so personal, I felt I actually knew the persons I was talking to.
Everything was done securely and professionally, I would recommend everyday loans to anyone.
Page 23
7. Collections – customer feedback
everydayloans for everydayliving
• An internal review of FCA guidelines led a change in collections procedures in December 2015
• Removal of STB’s restrictions under NSF ownership, has led to a small increase in impairment but is more than
compensated for by increased yield and has a net positive impact on EBIT.
• Delinquency continues to receive management focus as we strive to optimise growth.
• Collection policies and procedures are being continually revised and updated to take into account experiences
learned.
8. Impairments
16% 16%
18%
10% 10% 8% 8% 8% 7% 8%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 H1 2016
Impairments as % of average net receivables
Page 24
everydayloans for everydayliving
• Transfer from the OFT to the FCA has significantly shaken-up the consumer credit market
• New sub-segment - High Cost Short Term Credit (HCSTC) - has replaced payday sector and has fundamentally changed this part of the market
• We have increased minimum loan term from 13 months to 24 months
• We may consider applying for a HCSTC licence in order to offer 12 month loans to existing profile of customers
• FCA is focused on a number of areas including:
• the guarantor lending market • affordability • financial incentives • advertising • collection processes • data protection
• Technology is a key enabler to gaining competitive advantage in the lending space
• Current conditions remain favourable but if capital markets become more buoyant, increased competition is anticipated in all market segments
• We are exploring new product segments that would sit comfortably on our platform and provide further operating leverage
Page 25
9. Market overview
everydayloans for everydayliving
9. Market overview
Page 26
everydayloans for everydayliving
• Invest in our branch network
• Three new branches opened in 2016: Preston, Reading and Derby
• Two further branches in Q4 16: Walsall and Manchester
• Additional branches planned for 2017 and also in 2018
• Rolling programme of renewal or relocation of branches
• Invest in our supporting infrastructure
• New IT Infrastructure & Data Centre just installed
• Introduction of paperless Direct Debits and Faster Payments
• Operational focus on expansion
• Product development
• New scorecard introduced February 2016
• Return to higher APR segments (A9)
• New pricing introduced April 2016 to compensate for higher cost of funds
• New complementary products under development
10. Strategy for growth
Page 27
everydayloans for everydayliving
• Clear market leader in unsecured branch-based lending
• Highly experienced management team
• Scaleable lending platform
• Well-funded with debt facilities from RBS, Shawbrook and Secure Trust Bank
• Full FCA licences received in June 2016
• Strong H1 2016
• New scorecard introduced February 2016
• New pricing introduced April 2016
• Return to higher APR segments (A9)
• 17% loan book growth in H1 16
• Increased yield on new business from 51% to 56%
• Clear strategy for growth
• Expand our branch network
• Invest in our supporting infrastructure
• Expand our product offering
11. Summary
Page 28
Mark Bardsley
CEO
Agenda
• Introduction
• History and highlights
• The opportunity
• Agent value proposition
• Customer value proposition and lending and collecting
• Post-acquisition actions
• Summary
30
Introduction
• Home credit lender established in 1938, with over 77 years of experience in the Home Credit market
• Business acquired by NSF from S&U in August 2015 for £82.4m in cash
• Operates from 44 branches throughout England, Wales and Scotland; has over 300 employees and
c.800 self-employed agents
• National infrastructure and platform for future growth and business development
• Loans at Home operating under interim permissions (as are Provident and Morses)
• Products are fixed-term loans from 24 to 75 weeks mostly repaid weekly in home
• No default fees or default interest applied to the any loans – customers appreciate certainty of cost
• Agents visit customer in home to issue loan and usually collect weekly repayments in home.
Personal contact and understanding of circumstances appreciated by customer
• Provident and Morses are largest competitors with Loans at Home with third largest market share
History and highlights
32
A highly experienced management team
Mark
Bardsley
CEO
Lindsay
Banbridge
Risk
Director
Paul Gill
Chief Risk
Officer
Jono
Gillespie
CFO
Chris
Graham
Commercial
Director
David
Thompson
National
Operations
Manager
Jonathan
Hague
Head of
Credit Risk
Sam
Beardsley
Head of
Operational
Risk
Manjeet
Bhogal
Management
Accountant
Chris
Pearson
Head of FPA
Jamie Place
Head of IT
Kat Hackett
Head of
Marketing
Christine
Rangeley
Head of
HR
Compliance
Manager
Customer care &
compliance
managers
Marketing
Products
Acquisitions
Corp Comms
Strategy
Central Operations
Business Change
6 Regional Managers
24 Area Managers
120 Business Managers
c.800 Agents
Sarah Day
Company
Secretary
33
• Around 3 million regular users of which 1.5m to 2.0m borrow at any one time.
• Customer incomes approximately £10,000 to £15,000 in C2, D and E socio-economic groups.
• Customers by market participant:
•
• Typical loan size £200 to £1,000.
• Weekly collections from the customer's home.
• Regulated by the FCA from 1st April 2014 (formerly OFT).
UK home credit market
c.0.8m
c.0.2m
c.0.1m
c.0.5m Others
34
Products
All loans issued in cash in customer’s home
No default fees or default interest charged on any loans
Term in Weeks Charges
per £100 Total Payable Weekly Rate APR
24 £60 £160 £6.67 732.70%
33 £65 £165 £5 433.40%
45 £80 £180 £4 340.00%
75 £87.50 £187.50 £2.50 163.80%
35
Customer profile
• 95% have a mobile phone
• 88% have online access
• 86% have a bank account
• 22% overdraft facility
• 15% have direct debit loan
• 19% have goods on credit
• 20% use other home credit
• c.80% aged 21-50
• c.70% female
• c.95% C2DE
• c.50% have employed person in household
• 89% rent
• 61% receive benefits excl. child benefit
• Average annual household income £14,500 pa
36
Customer profile
Use of loan
• 27% home improvement
• 26% presents
• 9% holidays
• 5% car expenses
• 5% baby/child expenses
37
Customer satisfaction
93
94
95
96
97
98
99
100
Very/Quite Satisfied Use next Time Need to Borrow
%
Customer Satisfaction
Source: Customer research undertaken by PCP Market Research among 400 customers
Other NPS scores taken from Satmetrix.com – UK consumer net promoter benchmark
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
Loans at Home First Direct Santander(credit card)
Prudential(health ins.)
Net Promoter Score
38
Regulation
• Of the 576 home credit companies applied for full permission from the FCA:
- 403 authorised
- 22 withdrawn
- 31 withdrawn from home credit
- 2 refused
• None of the top three lenders yet fully authorised though on-going dialogue with FCA
• Key areas for regulator:
- Agent oversight - put in place business assurance calls and document checking processes
- Affordability - reviewed procedures and documentation
- Arrears and Collections Activity - review of field and central collections activity underway
- Financially vulnerable customers - process in place to support, product is naturally helpful for those financially vulnerable
- Staff remuneration - on-going review
• Mobile technology facilitates improvements in compliance
39
The opportunity
The opportunity
• Alternative lending is the domain of specialists with mainstream providers lacking expertise, experience and appetite
• Home credit typically serves lower socio-economic group customers smaller value loans - £200 to £1,000. These customers and their needs are often neglected by mainstream lenders
• While the overall market for home credit is not growing, there is an opportunity to take share
• Each of the major competitors are pursuing different strategies creating an opportunity to grow Loans at Home through recruiting new agents and increasing customer density
• To succeed, we need to:
1. Expand the agent network; and
2. Attract profitable customers
41
Agent Value Proposition
Why agents choose us At Loans at Home we really value agents. We know that they are key to our long term success. We believe
that we’re the best home credit company that an agent can work with. Here are some reasons why:
• Highly experienced management team - over 175 years’ experience in Home Credit.
• Exciting and ambitious growth plans - we’re looking to build and grow our business; not just rationalise and cut costs.
• We’re investing - attracting new agents as well as installing new technology to support our agents and allow them to maximise their earning potential
• Competitive and easy to understand reward structure - we pay flat commission based on what is collected providing agents with certainty regarding their income, avoiding any nasty surprises
• All size of journeys and agencies are welcome - an agent doesn’t have to have hundreds of customers to be a good agent. We want our agents to have successful businesses but we also know that one size doesn’t fit all
• We’re committed to great customer service - being fair and clear to our customers, our agents and our people lies at the centre of what we do
43
Agent profiles
• All agents self-employed
• Majority are female – reflecting customer base
• Many have come to us from competitors
• All agents DBS checked and credit searched
• Rigorous 12-week induction programme with support from existing agents and managers
• Additional ongoing training via Learning Management System
• Agents earn 10% of collections (8% on card payments) – no commission is paid on sales
• Earn reward for new customers – reflecting time and cost involved
• Weekly meetings with managers to discuss and support
• Managers undertake dual visits
44
Customer Value Proposition
Why customers use us
• Customers like accessible and inclusive nature of product
• Like to deal with people who take time to understand their circumstances and treat them as an
individual
• Product gives customers total control – unlike problems people sometimes encounter with revolving
credit
• No default fees or default interest give customers certainty and means they have no fear of spiralling
debt
• Ability to budget weekly means repayments affordable
• Home service is convenient
• Customers grew from 87k in August 2015 to 92k in February 2016 and are expected to be around
95k at the end of 2016
46
Customer recruitment
Ag
en
t ac
tivity
Rec
om
me
nd
atio
n
On
line
47
Digital plans and new website
• Complete redesign of website
• New site is fully responsive
• Paid search and search engine optimisation in development
• Developing relationships with third parties to further drive customer reach
• We will start slowly and build over time – tracking and refining marketing and credit decisions
48
New website
49
Customer recruitment
Agent generates
lead
Agent calls contact
centre with
customer details
Decision in principle
Agent visits
customer, assesses
affordability, final
decision
Customer calls
contact centre
Decision in principle
Lead allocated to
agent
Agent visits
customer, assesses
affordability, final
decision
Customer applies
online
Decision in principle
Lead allocated to
agent
Agent visits
customer, assesses
affordability, final
decision
AGENT TELEPHONE ONLINE
Customer
generates lead
Agent calls contact
centre with
customer details
Decision in principle
Agent visits
customer, assesses
affordability, final
decision
RECOMMEND
50
Decision in principle process
1) Collect customer name,
address, date of birth
2) Check against internal
data:
Current/previous customer
Previous write off
Out of area
3) Callcredit data pull
4) Scorecard + check for
bankruptcy, sequestration,
DMA, IVA
5) Decision in principle
• Decision engine produces result in seconds
• Continual process of scorecard improvement
• Affordability and sustainability assessment involves individual income and expenditure check
which is validated and documented
6) Affordability
assessment by agent in
home
51
Customer Application Waterfall – H2 to date
AIP = Approval in Principle
In H2 c.25% of new customers sourced online
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
WebAppplications
AIP Customers
Web Application Waterfall
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Agent Applications AIP Customers
Agent Generated Application Waterfall
52
Further lending to current customers
• Most customers visited weekly by agents
• 75% of lending to existing customers
• Opportunity to discuss any needs
• Customer must meet strict payment performance criteria to receive a further loan
• Behavioural scoring will be introduced to further support agent decisions
• Affordability assessment is documented and validated for every loan
• Agent always makes final decision – company may say ‘no’, but never ‘yes’
53
Collections
• Loans collected weekly in cash by agents at customers’ homes. In some circumstances card payments may be accepted
• Agents receive 10% of cash collected as commission (8% on cards)
• Agents attend weekly meetings with managers to discuss customer performance and compliance
• If customer misses a payment there are no additional charges and there is no default interest – built-in forbearance
• If a customer is identified as suffering financial difficulty e.g. missing multiple payments or telling an agent their circumstances have changed, a new affordability assessment will be undertaken and a formal payment arrangement made
• Home credit is uniquely positioned to identify and understand vulnerable customers. Loans at Home has clear vulnerable customer policies and procedures and all staff and agents are trained in identifying and managing vulnerable customers
54
Post-acquisition actions
and performance
Post-acquisition actions
• New management team recruited (see appendix)
• Revised accounting policy implemented
• Reviewed all regulatory and compliance matters with extensive revisions/structural changes:
• Newly appointed Chief Risk Officer
• Committed to ensuring Risk & Compliance resources and processes keep pace with regulatory needs and growth of the business
• Business Improvement project underway
• Risk & Compliance committee working well
• Branch assurance and thematic reviews commenced
• Three lines of defence model embedded in business, key focus on first line controls
• Compliance reporting developed including business assurance calls and document checking
• Transfer of complaint handling and reporting to Customer services
• Document checking and Business Assurance calls underway
• Policy review
• Developed a long-term strategic plan and clear vision for the business
• Began a recruitment drive to increase number of agents and customers – fill the void left by PFG
• Established a programme of investment in hand-held technology, systems and training 56
Mobile technology developments
Stage 1 – Collections All collections will be keyed directly into central
systems by agents via mobile device
Increased efficiency
Instant access to customer status – quicker decisions
Reduce manual errors
Remove paper collecting lists
Stage 2 - Balancing Centralisation of remaining administrative
tasks in Customer Service Centre
Reduction/removal of unnecessary balancing and reconciliation tasks currently undertaken
in Head Office
Stage 3 - Lending Ability to lend via mobile device
Electronic agreements, request to call forms and affordability assessment forms
Greatly enhanced agent and customer experience
Processes built to ensure regulatory compliance
Integration All fully integrated with new application
process via website, brokers and Customer Service Centre
Decision engine rules built into new application process
57
Mobile technology examples
58
Sharon Stone
41 Tommy Ave, Widnester, WA9 OTB
Mick Mouse
H1 16 performance
• Substantial growth in:
• new agencies;
• loan book; and
• customers
• Growth metrics much higher than major competitors
• But, greater than expected rate of growth resulted in additional costs:
• Temporary period of fixed commissions for new, experienced agents
• Increased impairments as we added a large number of new customers
While operational KPIs were strong,
costs and impairments impacted
financial performance in H1 16
59
Post-H1 16 actions
• Adjusted management reporting structure
• Enhanced management information has enabled increased focus on:
• Rigorous early care of new customers
• Detailed monitoring of new agent performance – not all agents succeed, even with experience
• Recruiting agents with home credit experience
• Those customers eligible for additional credit where customer demand exists
• Embedded refined compliance procedures into day-to-day operations
• Consolidated a number of newly opened, sub-scale agencies
• Reduce admin costs
• Improve operational efficiency
• Reduce vacancies
• Continued development of scorecard based on customer data since change of control
• Commenced hand-held technology trial in a number of branches
60
Experienced agents deliver better performance
50
55
60
65
70
75
80
85
90
95
100
Agents with HC Experience Agents Without HC Experience
New customer collection performance after 20 Weeks (indexed)
61
HC experience refers to agents who have previously worked in the home credit industry
Experienced customers deliver better performance
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
Impairment % of revenue New versus existing customers (indexed)
New Existing
-
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
H2 2016 New Customers Expected Collections After 4 Weeks
HC Experience No HC Experience
HC experience refers to customers who have previously used home credit
62
Improved recent collections performance
Actions taken to improve collections has started to reduce impairment
ahead of the important seasonal lending period
70
100
6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37
Ind
ex
Co
llect
ion
s
Week
New customer early collection performance* (indexed)
* Collections to maturities at 5 weeks for new customers on 5 week rolling
63
Summary
• Growth thesis unchanged – significant opportunity for Loans at Home
• Rapid growth in H1 – pace of agent recruitment and customers incurred temporary additional costs
• Remedial actions taken are having a positive effect
• Focus for the rest of 2016 and into 2017:
• Continue to recruit new agents
• Less aggressive pace of growth in order to better select agents and target support payments
• Agent recruitment will focus on those with previous experience
• Customer recruitment will continue to be driven by agents with increasing numbers coming from online channels
• Further embedding of regulatory good practice will be supported by the introduction of new technology
• New technology will drive operational efficiencies, improved customer service, better lending decisions and improved collections capability
64
Coffee break
65 NON-STANDARD FINANCE – INVESTOR DAY, 1 NOVEMBER 2016
everydayloans for everydayliving
Richard Sharp Managing Director
everydayloans for everydayliving
Guarantor loans – UK market dynamics
Overview
• Total outstanding receivables of around £350m
• Annual new loans of £250-300m
• Growing market, in part driven by product expansion
• Attractive risk-adjusted returns
• No sign of margin compression
• FCA supportive of the product (greater customer choice
at a lower cost), whilst also requiring a small change in
collections methodology
• Significant long-term potential
• Amigo dominates (85-90% share) and is continuing to
innovate under new management
• Number of other players but few have the capacity to grow
Key success factors:
• Scaleable infrastructure (Amigo, Trusttwo and Glo – although
Glo not currently writing new loans)
• Ability to lend across most of the credit spectrum
• Multiple fulfilment options and products
• Access to low cost funding
• Easy customer journey and sales process
• Strong marketing campaigns
Page 67
everydayloans for everydayliving
• Trusttwo makes loans that are secured by guarantee, to those who either cannot obtain an unsecured loan by
themselves or cannot get the amount they require by themselves
• A guarantor can be a family member, friend or work colleague, but not spouse / partner
• 90% of guarantors are family e.g. parent, sister, uncle
• The customer base is sub-prime, often at the bottom end or below of Everyday Loans customer range
• Guarantors tend to be prime or near prime
• As the APR is lower, due to credit enhancement from Guarantor, affordability can be better than unsecured loan.
• Loans are fulfilled online with any customer interaction from a centralised lending operation in Bourne End
• The main channels for applications are:
• Internet (direct to brand)
• Brokers and lead generators
• Declines and referrals from the Everyday Loans branch network
• Collections are by direct debit from the borrower’s account, or in the event of default, that of the guarantor
Page 68
Guarantor loans - market dynamics
everydayloans for everydayliving
1. Customer applies on Trusttwo website
2. Customer is asked for password and given
access to a ‘My account’ area
3. Customer then sends unique link/URL to
preferred Guarantor which is highlighted in the ‘My account’ area
4. Guarantor clicks link and is taken into ‘My
account’ area to complete their details
5. Credit search is undertaken on the
Guarantor & Applicant
6. If successful, Operations team
contact both Guarantor and Applicant to
undertake Affordability and ID Review
7. If successful, Guarantor is then asked
electronically sign their loan agreement
8. Applicant then electronically signs their
agreement
9. Funds are then disbursed through to the
Guarantor’s bank account who transfers it
to the borrower
Guarantor loans – the lending process
Page 69
everydayloans for everydayliving
Operational changes already made
• Organisational restructure to aid focus, efficiency and customer experience
• Richard Sharp has joined as Managing Director
• Branch referral scheme rolling out to Everyday Loans branch network
• Significant increase in overall conversion in Q2/3
• Implementation of additional automated fraud checks
• Improvements to web, allowing an easier application journey for customers
• Enhanced default procedures introduced following new FCA rules on enforcing guarantees on guarantor loans
that resulted in a temporary increase in impairments that are now starting to reduce
Strong H1 16 performance
• 28% loan book growth in H1 16 vs H1 15
• Fully automated credit and affordability engine being designed utilising Call Credit as a CRA
• Pricing, product features and full customer journey overhaul
• Significant opportunity to grow loan book
• Well-capitalised parent to fund loan book growth and integrated marketing plans
• Well-positioned to become the clear ‘number two’ in the market
• Excellent relationships with financial brokers
• Referrals from branch network
Trusttwo update
Page 70
71
Miles Cresswell-Turner Executive Director
NON-STANDARD FINANCE – INVESTOR DAY, 1 NOVEMBER 2016
72 NON-STANDARD FINANCE – INVESTOR DAY, 1 NOVEMBER 2016
• Note: *Outstanding balances contain a proportion of lending at rates below 20% APR
• Source: L.E.K. analysis of company accounts; Bank of England Credit Union accounts; Competition commission – Home credit, 2013; OFT payday lending compliance review 2013; FLA News
Sub-prime consumer finance – market overview
-
-
?
-
Sub-prime unsecured consumer finance – market overview Loan Size
APR
£500
£1000
£5000
30% 50% 75% 100% 200% 1000%
73 NON-STANDARD FINANCE – INVESTOR DAY, 1 NOVEMBER 2016
High cost, short-term Lower cost, short-term
Larger amount, longer-term
Sub-prime unsecured consumer finance – market overview Loan Size
APR
£500
£1000
£5000
30% 50% 75% 100% 200% 1000%
74 NON-STANDARD FINANCE – INVESTOR DAY, 1 NOVEMBER 2016
(Lift)
HCSTC price cap
75
Nick Teunon Chief Financial Officer
NON-STANDARD FINANCE – INVESTOR DAY, 1 NOVEMBER 2016
Future funding strategy
76
We have committed funds of £95m with an
opportunity to extend to up to £120m with
banks’ consent
At 30 September 2016:
- Gross debt was £77.6m
- Cash at bank of £2.8m
- Committed undrawn facilities of £15.4m
In 2017 we are considering a number of
options to broaden our capital structure:
- Additional bank finance
- Bond issue
- Retail bond
- Mezzanine
- Zero dividend preference shares
- Private placement
NON-STANDARD FINANCE – INVESTOR DAY, 1 NOVEMBER 2016
M&A – acquisition criteria
77
M&A not required to achieve growth targets
We continue to monitor developments across a number of sub-sectors
Areas of interest include
Unsecured, non-standard consumer lending
High barriers to entry
Face-to-face preferred
Ability to grow loan book by 20% per annum
Target 20% ROA over the medium-term
NON-STANDARD FINANCE – INVESTOR DAY, 1 NOVEMBER 2016
Accounting - revenue
78
Calculate EIR, or Effective Interest Rate (IRR on anticipated loan repayments)
Apply to loan balance weekly/monthly which reduces as cash collected
Revenues are front-end loaded – impact more pronounced in Loans at Home given high levels of lending in November
and December
Can also generate revenue in excess of amount due if loan runs over term as keep accruing at EIR – offset by matching
impairment – the “gross up”
NON-STANDARD FINANCE – INVESTOR DAY, 1 NOVEMBER 2016
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
1 4 7 10 13 16 19 22 25 28 31
£ p
er
week
33-week loan of £100; repayment of £5 per week
Cash Revenue
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29 31 33
Value of loan pre-impairment
Accounting - impairment
79
When evidence of impairment, we calculate NBV of expected cash flows using EIR and impair loan balance to that NBV
Loans at Home: payments missed over past 13 weeks (start at two missed for new customers and four for existing)
Everyday Loans and Trusttwo: number of days overdue
Then apply EIR to reduced loan balance
Reassess at end of next week/month
NON-STANDARD FINANCE – INVESTOR DAY, 1 NOVEMBER 2016
Same Loans At Home loan:
• pay 4 weeks at £5
• miss 2 payments
• expect to pay £3.50 for next 35
weeks – so £142.50 of cash and
profit of £42.50 not £65.00
0
20
40
60
80
100
1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29 31 33 35 37 39 41
Valu
e o
f lo
an
on
b
ala
nce s
heet
80
John van Kuffeler Founder and Executive Chairman
NON-STANDARD FINANCE – INVESTOR DAY, 1 NOVEMBER 2016
The next phase in our development:
81
Phase I complete; future growth will be driven by
Everyday Loans – additional yield; expanding the branch network; and launch of new products
Loans at Home – measured growth in agents and customers in a wide-open market
Trusttwo – commencement of growth after completing investment in infrastructure
Key focus on profit and dividends
M&A not required to achieve growth targets
Market background remains positive; any change will be carefully managed through scorecard
Our businesses have a history of robust performance in economic downturns
NON-STANDARD FINANCE – INVESTOR DAY, 1 NOVEMBER 2016
We continue to make good progress towards our goal:
overall loan book growth of 20% per annum and
20% return on assets in each of our operating businesses
Investor day 1 November 2016