investor day presentation 18 may 2015 a world leading ... · investor day presentation 18 may 2015...
TRANSCRIPT
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Investor Day Presentation 18 May 2015
A World Leading Natural Rubber Player
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Disclaimer
Certain forward looking statements may be made in the course of the presentation. These forward-
looking statements generally can be identified by use of statements that include words or phrases such
as STA or We or our management “believe”, “expect”, “anticipate”, ”intend”, ”plan”, ”foresee”, ”project”,
”may”, “will”, “shall”, or other similar words or phrases. Similarly, statements that describe STA’s
objectives, plans or goals also are forward-looking statements. These statements involve known and
unknown uncertainties and risks that could differ materially from actual results, performance or events.
The forward-looking statements contained in the slides are not and should not be constructed as
representations of the future performance of STA and that such statements are an expression of the
Company’s reviews based on its current view and certain assumptions including, but not limited to,
prevailing economic and market conditions and currently available information. The reader or the
listener is cautioned to not unduly rely on these forward-looking statements. We do not undertake any
duty to publish any update or revision of any forward-looking statements.
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Our Directors Present for the Investor Day 2015
Dr. Viyavood Sincharoenkul
Chairman & Managing Director
Kitichai Sincharoenkul
Executive Director
Paul Sumade Lee
Executive Director
Founding member of Sri Trang and
appointed as Chairman in 2010
28 years of experience in the natural
rubber industry
Joined Sri Trang in 1988 and has served
as a Director since 1995
25 years of experience in the natural
rubber industry
Joined Sri Trang in 2004 and appointed
as a Director in 2010
10 years of experience in the natural
rubber industry
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Prakob Visitkitjakarn
Chairman of Audit Committee
Neo Ah Chap
Independent Director
Appointed as an independent director
since 1993
Appointed as an independent director
since 2010
Veerasith Sinchareonkul
Chairman of Risk Management Committee
Appointed as a Director since 2010
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I. Sri Trang Business Highlights
II. Natural Rubber Industry Snapshot
III. Financial Highlights
AGENDA
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Finished Products Rubber Plantation Processing Sales & Distribution
Fully Integrated and Globally Natural Rubber Supply Chain
• Having our own rubber
plantation in Thailand
• World leading capacity at
1.35 million tons per annum
in Thailand and Indonesia
• Cover full range of products
from RSS, TSR and
Concentrated Latex
• Largest glove manufacturer
in Thailand
• Produce both latex and
nitrile examination gloves
• Having trading and
distribution centers in key
strategic countries
Note: Information as of 31 March 2015
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Sri Trang’s Strengths
Fully-integrated NR supply chain business model 1
Plantation
Gain direct access to supply
information
Ability to control the quality of
supply
Sales & Distribution
First-hand understanding of
customer requirements
Quick access to reliable market
information
Processing
Be flexible to any market
conditions and able to manage
production and position
efficiently
Cost efficiency High quality product Well-managed
operation
High productivity High performance
Enhance
profitability
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Sri Trang’s Strengths (cont’d)
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TSR RSS Con. Latex
• Capture all possible market segments with full
range of Natural Rubber products
• Benefit from economies of scale
• Balance the bargaining power with suppliers and
customers
• Enhance accessibility to different sources of fund
to support operation and expansion
A world largest NR processing Company (10% market share) 2
Having production base in major NR producing countries 3
• Excellent diversification
• Advantage in secure raw material as Thailand
and Indonesia collectively contributed about 60%
of global production
• Well-balanced seasonal management
Thailand Indonesia
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• Led by a group of seasoned managements with almost 3-decade of experience in natural rubber industry
• Cover all class of customers to serve all demand from every corner of the word
• Good risk diversification as no single customer accounts more than 8% of our total sale volume
• Get direct access to end-users to gain demand flow and market sentiment
Well-balanced portfolio for coverage of sales and distribution 4
Sri Trang’s Strengths (cont’d)
Expand upstream to rubber plantation business
Continually expand business to the new territories
• Emphasize on cost leading position
• Enhance profitability and reduce volatility in earning
• Pinpoint strategic locations for midstream factories in the future
• A newly established company in Vietnam will enable us to expand market
coverage in Indochina and gain direct access to Vietnam, the world’s third
largest Natural Rubber producer
• Having a block rubber factory in Myanmar will create a business opportunity in
highly growing country for Natural Rubber
6
5
Captained by highly experienced managements 7
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I. Sri Trang Business Highlights
II. Natural Rubber Industry Snapshot
III. Financial Highlights
AGENDA
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7.9 8.7
9.2 9.7 10.1 10.2 9.3
10.8 11.0 11.0 11.4 11.9 12.3
8.1 8.8 9.0
9.9 10.1 10.1 9.7 10.4
11.2 11.6 12.2 11.8
12.4
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015f
152 100
(194)
269
(81) (89)
434
(370)
219
568
831
(45)
77
(600)
(400)
(200)
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015f
Demand Supply Supply Surplus
Supply deficit due to
the falling NR prices
lowered tapping &
delayed replanting
Unit : million tons
Unit : ‘000 tons
World Natural Rubber Balance
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World Major NR Producing and Consuming Countries
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4,170
3,101
1,097 946 811 667
0.0% 0.0% 0.6%
8.6%
10.8%
-4.9%
-6.0%
-4.0%
-2.0%
0.0%
2.0%
4.0%
6.0%
8.0%
10.0%
12.0%
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
4,000
4,500
Thailand Indonesia Vietnam China India Malaysia
NR Production (tons) %growth from 2014
2015 NR production forecast 2015 NR consumption forecast
Major suppliers of Natural Rubber Major consumers of Natural Rubber
Indonesia 27%
Thailand 35%
China 7%
Malaysia 6%
Vietnam 8%
India 6%
Others 12%
(by tonnage) (by tonnage)
China 38%
USA 8%
Europe 9%
India 9%
Japan 6%
Thailand 5%
Others 26%
Source: IRSG,
4,669
1,148 1,069 988 674 567
3.9%
1.6%
5.4%
4.3%
-0.6%
4.0%
-1.0%
0.0%
1.0%
2.0%
3.0%
4.0%
5.0%
6.0%
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
4,000
4,500
5,000
China Europe India USA Japan Thailand
NR consumption (tons) %growth from 2014
Note: Information of year 2014
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Lower Supply Surplus
Unit : ‘000 tons
NR planting area of main producers Significant drop in supply surplus
Area for rubber plantation Global natural rubber production by country
Source: IRSG, ANRPC,
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
4,000
4,500
5,000
Malaysia Indonesia Thailand India
PRC Vietnam Other
Unit : 000’Hectares
8,500
9,000
9,500
10,000
10,500
11,000
11,500
12,000
12,500
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
New planting (LHS)
Replanting (LHS)
Total area (RHS)
219
568
831
-45 77 51 85 73 71 95 86 71 75
(200)
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
Unit : 000’ tons
Lower supply surplus due to smaller new
planting area from 2009 onwards
3,016 2,755
720 650 575 473
115 115
640
62
428 429 405
341
247 25
3,656
2,817
1,148 1,079 980 814
362 140
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
4,000 Immature area (000' Hectares)
Tapped area (000' Hectares)
Yield per hectare (Kg.)
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-15%
-10%
-5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
-1%
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
6% GDP (LHS) NR consumption (RHS)
NR mainly used in tyre industry
Global tyre production trend (Million units)
NR demand mainly driven by world activities
Global vehicle trend (Million units)
NR Demand Driven by Tyre Industry
(by tonnage)
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
6%
0
300
600
900
1,200
1,500
1,800
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
Vehicles in use (LHS)Vehicles production (LHS)%Growth vehicles in use (RHS)%Growth vehicles production (RHS)
Source: IRSG, IMF
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
6%
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
Tyre production (LHS) %Growth (RHS)
Tyre 69%
Non-tyre 31%
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Natural Rubber Price Interaction
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NR price VS. fundamental demand/supply NR price VS. Oil price
NR price VS. global stock Key Factors Affected NR Prices
(Un
it : ‘00
0 to
ns) (U
SD
pe
r to
ns)
(Un
it : ‘00
0 to
ns) (U
SD
pe
r to
ns) • World economic conditions as it is directly affected
automobile industry and tyre industry
• The magnitude of demand and supply
• Exchange rate fluctuation especially US dollar, Japanese
Yen, and natural rubber exporting currencies such as Thai
Baht and Indonesian Rupiah as natural rubber is mainly
traded in US Dollars
• Oil price since natural rubber and synthetic rubber, which is
derivatives of crude oil, are substitute products
(400)(300)(200)(100)0100200300
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
Jan
-07
Jul-
07
Jan
-08
Jul-
08
Jan
-09
Jul-
09
Jan
-10
Jul-
10
Jan
-11
Jul-
11
Jan
-12
Jul-
12
Jan
-13
Jul-
13
Jan
-14
Jul-
14
Supply surplus / (deficit) (RHS)
SICOM price (TSR20) (LHS)
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
Jan
-07
Jul-
07
Jan
-08
Jul-
08
Jan
-09
Jul-
09
Jan
-10
Jul-
10
Jan-1
1
Jul-
11
Jan
-12
Jul-
12
Jan
-13
Jul-13
Jan
-14
Jul-
14
Total stock (RHS)
SICOM price (TSR20) (LHS)
-100%
-50%
0%
50%
100%
150%
200%
Brent Crude oil Butadiene-Rubber Natural Rubber
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I. Sri Trang Business Highlights
II. Natural Rubber Industry Snapshot
III. Financial Highlights
AGENDA
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* Adjusting for (reversal) allowance of inventory, realised forex gains /(losses), and realised rubber futures gains/(losses)
(THB million) FY’13 FY’14 %YoY Q1’14 Q1’15 %YoY Q4’14 %QoQ
Revenue 92,185 75,530 ▼18% 22,765 14,512 ▼36% 17,543 ▼17%
Sale volume
(tons) 1,126,463 1,204,342 ▲7% 308,456 268,892 ▼13% 326,095 ▼18%
Avg. selling price
(Baht per ton) 79,600 60,583 ▼24% 71,777 48,265 ▼33% 51,665 ▼7%
Gross profit 5,198 3,348 ▼36% 599 1,040 ▲74% 1,130 ▼8%
Adj. gross profit* 6,049 4,642 ▼23% 1,708 1,077 ▼37% 1,343 ▼20%
EBITDA 3,747 2,568 ▼31% 708 788 ▲11% 413 ▲91%
Net profit 1,820 1,038 ▼43% 402 297 ▼26% 13 ▲2228%
Adj. GP margin* 6.6% 6.1% ▼50bps 7.5% 7.4% ▼10bps 7.7% ▼30bps
Net profit margin 2.0% 1.4% ▼60bps 1.8% 2.0% ▲20bps 0.1% ▲190bps
Financial Highlights
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100
200
300
400
01/0
2/1
3
02/0
2/1
3
03/0
2/1
3
04/0
2/1
3
05/0
2/1
3
06/0
2/1
3
07/0
2/1
3
08/0
2/1
3
09/0
2/1
3
10/0
2/1
3
11/0
2/1
3
12/0
2/1
3
01/0
2/1
4
02/0
2/1
4
03/0
2/1
4
04/0
2/1
4
05/0
2/1
4
06/0
2/1
4
07/0
2/1
4
08/0
2/1
4
09/0
2/1
4
10/0
2/1
4
11/0
2/1
4
12/0
2/1
4
01/0
2/1
5
02/0
2/1
5
03/0
2/1
5
04/0
2/1
5
05/0
2/1
5
SIC
OM
Pri
ce
Mo
ve
me
nt
Cru
de
Oil
Pri
ce
Mo
ve
me
nt
RSS
TSR
(US
Cen
t / K
g)
2Q13 3Q13 4Q13 1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 4Q14
40
60
80
100
120
01/0
2/1
3
02/0
2/1
3
03/0
2/1
3
04/0
2/1
3
05/0
2/1
3
06/0
2/1
3
07/0
2/1
3
08/0
2/1
3
09/0
2/1
3
10/0
2/1
3
11/0
2/1
3
12/0
2/1
3
01/0
2/1
4
02/0
2/1
4
03/0
2/1
4
04/0
2/1
4
05/0
2/1
4
06/0
2/1
4
07/0
2/1
4
08/0
2/1
4
09/0
2/1
4
10/0
2/1
4
11/0
2/1
4
12/0
2/1
4
01/0
2/1
5
02/0
2/1
5
03/0
2/1
5
04/0
2/1
5
05/0
2/1
5
TH
B/U
SD
Mo
ve
me
nt
28
30
32
34
01/0
1/1
3
02/0
1/1
3
03/0
1/1
3
04/0
1/1
3
05/0
1/1
3
06/0
1/1
3
07/0
1/1
3
08/0
1/1
3
09/0
1/1
3
10/0
1/1
3
11/0
1/1
3
12/0
1/1
3
01/0
1/1
4
02/0
1/1
4
03/0
1/1
4
04/0
1/1
4
05/0
1/1
4
06/0
1/1
4
07/0
1/1
4
08/0
1/1
4
09/0
1/1
4
10/0
1/1
4
11/0
1/1
4
12/0
1/1
4
01/0
1/1
5
02/0
1/1
5
03/0
1/1
5
04/0
1/1
5
05/0
1/1
5
(US
D /
Bb
l)
1Q15
SICOM - Oil Prices - FX
1Q13
▼30% YoY
▼32% YoY
FY13 Avg.
279
251
FY14 Avg.
196
171
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560,570 574,932
427,070 500,647
84,363
75,534 50,356 52,350 4,102
879 1,126,462
1,204,343
FY 2013 FY 2014
PRC ASIA (Ex. PRC) USA Europe Others
157,286 132,735 126,780 158,131
111,016
115,432 120,441 128,958
135,816
123,848
21,577 17,648 17,617
18,692
20,024
13,813 13,693 11,388
13,457
13,843
348 396 134
0
161
308,456 284,913 284,877
326,095
268,892
Q1 2014 Q2 2014 Q3 2014 Q4 2014 Q1 2015
PRC Asia (Ex PRC) USA Europe Others
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Sales Volume – Yearly (tons) Sales Volume – Quarterly (tons)
-12.8% -17.5%
+6.9%
Sale Volume Breakdown by Geography (Tons)
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12,846 9,819
70,774
57,512
6,047
5,631
2,519
2,567
92,185
75,530
FY 2013 FY 2014
RSS TSR Con. Latex Others
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Revenue – Yearly (THB mm) Revenue – Quarterly (THB mm)
-36.3% -17.3%
-18.1%
3,069 2,700 2,200 1,851 1,328
17,373
13,852 12,666 13,620
10,503
1,698
1,254 1,303 1,377
1,147
625
838 643
696
1,534
22,765
18,644 16,812
17,543
14,512
Q1 2014 Q2 2014 Q3 2014 Q4 2014 Q1 2015
RSS TSR Con. Latex Others
Revenue Breakdown by Product
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6,049
4,642
6.6%
6.1%
0.0%
2.0%
4.0%
6.0%
8.0%
10.0%
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
FY 2013 FY 2014
1,708
462
1,129
1,343
1,077
7.5%
2.5%
6.7%
7.7% 7.4%
0.0%
2.0%
4.0%
6.0%
8.0%
10.0%
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
1,600
1,800
Q1 2014 Q2 2014 Q3 2014 Q4 2014 Q1 2015
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Adjusted Gross Profit – Yearly (THB mm) Adjusted Gross Profit – Quarterly (THB mm)
Margin % THB mm Margin % THB mm
-37.0% -19.8%
-23.3%
* Adjusting for (reversal) allowance of inventory, realised forex gains /(losses), and realised rubber futures gains/(losses)
Adjusted GP and GPM*
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2,520
1,155
496
535
3,016
1,690
FY 2013 FY 2014
402
189
507
57
486
103
150
154
128
68 505
339
661
185
554
Q1 2014 Q2 2014 Q3 2014 Q4 2014 Q1 2015
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EBIT – Yearly (THB mm) EBIT – Quarterly (THB mm)
Share of profits from associates & a Joint Venture
Operating profits
% of profits from
associates & a Joint
Venture to PBIT
-44.0%
Share of profits from associates & a Joint Venture
Operating profits
16.4% 31.7%
% of profits from
associates & a Joint
Venture to PBIT
+9.6% +199.0%
69.2% 23.3% 44.2% 20.4% 12.3%
EBIT
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628363-027
Net Profit – Yearly (THB mm) Net Profit – Quarterly (THB mm)
Net profit Net profit margin %
-43.0%
Net profit Net profit margin %
-26.0% +2,228.0%
1,820
1,038
2.0%
1.4%
0.0%
0.5%
1.0%
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
0
400
800
1,200
1,600
2,000
FY 2013 FY 2014
402
167
456
13
297
1.8%
0.9%
2.7%
0.1%
2.0%
0.0%
0.5%
1.0%
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
500
Q1 2014 Q2 2014 Q3 2014 Q4 2014 Q1 2015
Net profit and Net profit margin
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628363-027
ROA ROE
3.36% 3.59%
4.50%
2.53%
FY2011 FY 2012 FY 2013 FY 2014
9.19%
7.46%
9.37%
5.11%
FY2011 FY 2012 FY 2013 FY 2014
Debt / equity Net debt / equity
1.22
0.94
1.21
0.84
FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014
1.10
0.86
1.12
0.73
FY2011 FY2012 FY 2013 FY 2014
Interest Coverage
3.74
4.00
3.48
3.87
FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014
Cash Cycle
64.1
75.2 78.3 83.3
FY2011 FY 2012 FY 2013 FY 2014
Financial Ratios
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Q&A
628363-027