investor presentation - macquarie group · 2013-12-02 · 2 the following presentation has been...
TRANSCRIPT
Investor Presentation November 2013
2
The following presentation has been prepared by E-Commerce China Dangdang Inc. (the “Company”) solely for informational purposes and is not an offer to buy or sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security or instrument or to participate in any trading strategy, nor shall it or any part of it forms the basis or be relied on in connection with any contract, commitment or investment decision in relation thereto. The information included herein was obtained from various sources, including certain third parties, and has not been independently verified. No representation or warranty, express or implied, is made and no reliance should be placed on the accuracy, fairness or completeness of the information or sources presented or contained in these materials. By viewing or accessing the information contained in these materials, you hereby acknowledge and agree that neither the Company, nor any of its directors, officers, employees, agents, affiliates, advisors or representatives accepts any responsibility for or makes any representation or warranty, express or implied, with respect to the truth, accuracy, fairness, completeness or reasonableness of the information contained, and omissions from, these materials and that neither the Company nor any of its directors, officers, employees, agents, affiliates, advisers or representatives accepts any liability whatsoever for any loss howsoever arising from any information presented or contained in these materials. The information presented or contained in these materials is subject to change without notice and its accuracy is not guaranteed.
NOTHING HEREIN CONSTITUTES AN OFFER TO SELL OR THE SOLICITATION OF AN OFFER TO BUY THESE SECURITIES IN ANY STATE OR JURISDICTION
These materials are highly confidential, are being given solely for your information and may not be copied, reproduced, redistributed or passed on, directly or indirectly, to any other person in any manner. By viewing or accessing the information contained in these materials, you hereby acknowledge this fact and agree to keep the contents of these materials confidential. No part of these materials may be retained following this presentation.
This presentation may contain forward-looking statements made under the “safe harbor” provisions of the U.S. Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Statements that are not historical facts, including statements about the Company’s future financial or business performance, strategies or expectations, are forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements can be identified by terminology such as “will,” “expects,” “anticipates,” “future,” “intends,” “plans,” “believes,” “estimates,” “confident” and similar statements. These forward-looking statements are made only as of the date of this presentation and are based on estimates and information available to the Company at the time of this presentation. The Company cautions that forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and are subject to numerous assumptions, risks and uncertainties, which change over time and may be beyond the Company’s control, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. A number of factors could cause actual results to differ materially from those contained in any forward-looking statement, including but not limited to the following: The Company’s growth strategies; its future business development, results of operations and financial condition; its ability to attract and retain new customers and to increase revenues generated from repeat customers; its expectations regarding demand for and market acceptance of our products and services; trends and competition in China’s business-to-consumer e-commerce market; changes in its revenues and certain cost or expense items; the expected growth of the Chinese business-to-consumer e-commerce market; Chinese governmental policies relating to the Company’s industry and general economic conditions in China. The Company assumes no duty to and does not undertake to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statements except as required by applicable law.
Disclaimer
83%
60% 51% 53%
43%
17%
40% 49% 47%
57%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
2010 2011 2012 3Q'12 3Q'13
Book & Media Overall General Merchandise
3
Dangdang At a Glance Overview
Note: 1. Data as of 3Q13 2. GMV of third-party marketplace
Relentless Focus on Balanced Growth Healthy Revenue Mix Leading B2C e-commerce brand in China
Integrated online shopping platform offering a broad selection of products: — Continued dominance in media B2C:
~930k SKUs for books and media — Significant sales from general merchandise
~1,130k SKUs for general merchandise — Rapidly expanding third-party marketplace
RMB 970MM GMV in 3Q13
Key categories Books & media Fashion & Apparel Baby, Children and Maternity Home & Life style Beauty & personal care Home Appliances
(7.6%) (7.4%) (5.3%) (4.1%) (1.6%)
15.0%
13.0%
17.0%
17.0%
17.6%
-10%
-5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
3Q'12 4Q'12 1Q'13 2Q'13 3Q'13
Improving Financial Performance
Gross Margin Non-GAAP Net Margin
Dangdang’s Integrated e-Commerce Platform
4
8.4MM active customers (1)
2.9MM new customers(1)
15.7MM orders(1)
Over 2MM SKUs(1) (2) RMB970MM of GMV for Marketplace(1)
Notes: 1. As of 3Q’13;
2. Including SKUs in Media, self-procurement general merchandise and marketplace
Third-party merchants Dangdang self-procurement
Strong Supply Chain
Nationwide Logistic Centers
Best-in-class Fulfillment
Service
Various Payment Solution
Unified Customer Service
Tailor-made Storefront
92% 86%
75% 70%
65% 59%
54%
8% 14%
25%
30%
35%
41%
46%
263 461
785
1,303
1,850
2,450
2.0%
2.9%
4.3%
6.2%
7.7%
9.0%
10.0%
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013E 2014E 2015E
5
Tremendous Opportunities Online Chinese Internet Population MM Internet Users
384 457 513 564 610 645 675
29% 34%
38% 42% 45% 48% 50%
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
0
300
600
900
1,200
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013E 2014E 2015E
Source CNNIC, 2013, for actual numbers; Euromonitor, 2012, for estimated numbers.
Internet User As a % of Total Population
Notes: 1. Online buyers refers to total unique internet users who have made at least one purchase online in the related period
43%
68% 71% 74% 76%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
China Canada U.S. Germany U.K.
Source CNNIC for China data (as of 2013); IDC for other countries (as of 2H2012)
Online Buyers as % of Internet Population(1)
Substantial Growth Potential(2)
RMB Bn
Source iResearch, August 2013
C2C B2C Online Retail GMV As % of Total Retail Trade in China
Unique Opportunity in China’s E-Commerce Market
Chinese Online Retail Market Size
+
Investment Highlights
Robust Integrated Platform with Rapid Growth
A Solid Customer Base
Best-In-Class Fulfillment Management Expertise
Advanced Technologies
Seasoned Management Team
7
Investment Highlights
1
2
3
4
5
60% 51%
53% 43%
27%
28%
25% 17%
13%
21%
22% 40%
4.1
6.4
1.6
2.4
0
2
4
6
8
2011 2012 3Q12 3Q13
General Merchandise Third-Party Marketplace
Robust Integrated Platform with Rapid and Growth
8
1
0.5
1.4
0.3
1.0
0.0
0.4
0.8
1.2
1.6
2011 2012 3Q'12 3Q'13
GMV from Third-Party Marketplace
Third-party Marketplace (RMB Bn)
Note: 1. Including self-procurement revenue and third-party marketplace GMV
GMV Breakdown by Categories
Gross Revenue(1) (RMB Bn)
Exceeded Media
Media
From media-focused to multi-category Opening our platform to third parties
9
A Solid Customer Base
79% 70% 72% 74% 75%
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
4Q'10 4Q'11 4Q'12 3Q'12 3Q'13
1.3 1.9
3.1 2.6
3.5
0
1
2
3
4
2010 2011 2012 3Q'12 3Q'13
(MM)
4.7
6.6
8.6
2.4 2.9
0
2
4
6
8
10
2010 2011 2012 3Q'12 3Q'13
8.6
12.2
15.7
7.0 8.4
0
5
10
15
20
2010 2011 2012 3Q'12 3Q'13
Notes: 1. 2012 and onward active customers and new customers include both self-procurement business and third-party marketplace; 2010 – 2011 data only includes the self-procurement business 2. Repeat customers refers to any customers who have purchased from Dangdang at least once prior to the respective quarter
New Customers(1)
Active Customers(1) Average Daily Unique Visitors
% Sales to Repeat Customers(2)
(MM) (MM)
2
2
10
29.4 40.7
54.2
13.9 15.7
0
15
30
45
60
2010 2011 2012 3Q'12 3Q'13
(MM)
Number of Orders(1)
262 332
408
227 289
100
200
300
400
500
2010 2011 2012 3Q'12 3Q'13
Contribution Per Customer(2)(3)
(RMB)
Order Size(2)(3)
(RMB)
Note: 1. 2012 and onward orders includes both self-procurement business and third-party marketplace; 2010 – 2011 data only include the self-procurement business 2. 2010 contribution per customer and order size data only includes Dangdang’s self-procurement business (calculated as revenue from self-procurement business divided by number of active customers (or orders) of self procurement business) 3. 2011 and 2012 and onward data includes both self-procurement business and third-party marketplace (calculated as revenue from self-procurement business plus GMV of third-party marketplace divided by total number of active customers (or orders)
A Solid Customer Base
In-Pocket Customer Service,Real-time Status Check, Accurate Product Recommendation better serve our middle to high end customers
Mid-to-high-end customer base: mostly female, well educated customer group with higher disposable income – appealing to third party merchants
Highly sticky user base / superior repeat ratio
Rich destination categories to target at our customer base
77 100
118 114
0306090
120150
2010 2011 2012 3Q'12 3Q'13
155
SHENYANG
WUXI
TIANJIN
FUJIAN
JINAN
11
Best-In-Class Fulfillment Management Expertise
Nationwide fulfillment network
― 19 logistic centers in 10 cities across China
― 400,000 m2 of warehousing area
Solid cash-on-delivery network in more than
1,600 cities and towns in China
Nationwide delivery network consisting of
approximately 100 inter-city transportation and
local courier companies
Same-day delivery in 21 cities, and next-day
delivery in 158 cities
Door-to-door return and exchange service in
578 cities
Recent investment in 100,000 m2 warehouse
in Tianjin.
Distribution Center Headquarters
3
Nationwide Fulfillment Centers
Warehouse Snapshot
12
Advanced Technologies 4
Personal recommendation system
Mobile apps
In pocket customer service
E-readers and E-reader apps
High click-through rate
High conversion ratio
Efficient fulfillment
Tailor-made Storefront
For Dangdang and Merchants For Users
Big data analytics
Promotion and advertisement push
Technological integration with third party logistics providers
13
Seasoned Management Team 5
Guoqing Li Co-Founder, Director and CEO Reputable figure in China Internet space
Extensive experience in China publishing and e-commerce businesses
Peggy Yu Yu Co-Founder, Executive Chairwoman Extensive experience in China publishing
sector and corporate finance activities Previously held key positions at Beijing
Science & Culture Publishing, UPS, Garrick, Babcock & Wilcox in US and China
MBA from New York University
Jun Zou CFO 10+ years of experience in finance functions
in China, US and Sweden Previously CFO of Xunlei, China BAK Battery
(Nasdaq: CBAK) and GCL Silicon Previous managerial positions at Huawei and
Ericsson
Danqian Yao SVP 20 years of experience in supply chain
management and publishing Previously held key positions at Beijing Kewen
Cambridge Book and Beijing Huaqing Automation
Yue Wang VP 16 years of experience in China publishing
business
Justin Changqing Xiong Head of Technology Veteran in China’s Internet sector Previously COO at Et-China, CEO of
Yoee.com, CTO of Joyo.com EMBA from China Europe International
Business School
Financial Overview
Strong Execution Evidenced by Sustained Growth
Improving Margin Structure
Effective Working Capital Management
15
Financial Highlights
16
Strong Execution Evidenced by Sustained Growth
1,863 2,457
3,253
850 1,046
392
1,094
1,768
397 422
26
67
173
40 58
2,282
3,619
5,194
1,288 1,526
0
1,500
3,000
4,500
6,000
2010 2011 2012 3Q'12 3Q'13
(RMB MM)
Media General Merchandise Third-party Marketplace and Advertising
2013 Y/Y % Growth Media: 23% General Merchandise: 6% 3rd party Marketplace & Ad 44%
Net Revenue by Segment
481 773
1,202
298 309
21% 22% 24% 23% 20%
2010 2011 2012 3Q'12 3Q'13
506 501
724
196 268
22%
14% 14% 15%
18%
2010 2011 2012 3Q'12 3Q'13
(RMB MM) (RMB MM)
Gross Profit Operating Expenses (Non-GAAP)(1)
Gross Profit % Margin
Note: 1. Excludes share-based compensation 2. 2010-2011 cost per order in fulfillment and new customer acquisition cost only includes Dangdang’s self-procurement business and 2012 and onward data includes both self-procurement business and third-party marketplace (calculated as fulfillment expenses divided by number of orders and marketing expenses divided by number of new customers)
Improving Margin Structure
17
41
(217)
(433)
(97)
(25) 2%
(6%) (8%) (8%)
(2%)
2010 2011 2012 3Q'12 3Q'13
(RMB MM)
Net Income (Non-GAAP)(1)
Net Income % Margin
Cost per Order in Fulfillment(2)
10 12 14 13 11
2010 2011 2012 3Q'12 3Q'13
(RMB)
1.1% (7.5%) (9.2%) (7.9%) (2.7%)
Opex % Revenue Non-GAAP OP Margin
Operating Expenses as % of Revenue
481
773
1,202
298 309
2010 2011 2012 3Q'12 3Q'13
Fulfillment MarketingTechnology and content General and administrativeGovernment grants
(0.2%)
12.5% 3.3% 2.8% 2.6%
13.1%
(0.4%) (0.2%) (0.4%) (0.4%)
4.1% 2.4% 2.1%
14.1%
3.8% 2.9% 2.5%
14.4% 3.6% 3.2% 2.4%
3.8% 2.9% 2.2%
11.7%
18
Effective Working Capital Management
Inventory Days
Accounts Receivable Days
Accounts Payable Days
135
101
0
50
100
150
200
3Q'12 3Q'13
5 4
0
2
4
6
8
10
3Q'12 3Q'13
157 145
0
50
100
150
200
3Q'12 3Q'13
Cash Flow from Operations
(106)
158
(200)
(100)
0
100
200
300
3Q'12 3Q'13
(RMB MM)
19
Key Financial Summary
2010 2011 2012 3Q’12 3Q’13
Total Net Revenue 2,281.7 3,619.0 5,193.8 1,287.6 1,525.9
Growth %(1) 56.5% 58.6% 43.5% 41.7% 18.5%
Gross Profit 505.8 500.6 724.4 196.2 268.4
Margin % 22.2% 13.8% 13.9% 15.2% 17.6%
Non-GAAP Operating Income(2) 25.2 (272.9) (478.1) (101.8) (40.6)
Margin % 1.1% (7.5%) (9.2%) (7.9%) (2.6%)
GAAP Operating Income 14.9 (284.3) (489.3) (104.6) (43.3)
Margin % 0.7% (7.9%) (9.4%) (8.1%) (2.8%)
Non-GAAP Net Income(2) 41.1 (217.0) (432.7) (97.3) (25.2)
Margin % 1.8% (6.0%) (8.3%) (7.6%) (1.6%)
GAAP Net Income 30.8 (228.5) (443.9) (100.1) (27.9)
Margin % 1.3% (6.3%) (8.5%) (7.8%) (1.8%)
Selected Income Statement Items
Note: 1. Compares to the same period in previous year 2. Exclude share-based compensation
(RMB MM)
20
Balance Sheet
2011 2012 3Q’13 Assets Current Assets
Cash and Cash Equivalents(1) 1,392 1,635 1,433 Inventories 1,583 1,486 1,404 Accounts Receivable 67 56 76 Other Current Assets 143 203 257
Total Current Assets 3,185 3,380 3,170 Total Assets 3,286 3,583 3,466 Liabilities and Shareholders' Equity Liabilities
Accounts Payable 1,486 1,564 2,100 Short-term Bank Loan 150 600 -
Total Liabilities 2,128 2,844 2,909 Shareholders' Equity 1,158 739 557 Total Liabilities and Shareholders' Equity 3,286 3,583 3,466
Inventory Days 143 124 101 Accounts Receivable Days 4 4 4 Accounts Payable Days 136 123 145
Note: 1. Includes term deposits, held-to-maturity investments and restricted cash
Selected Balance Sheet Items (RMB MM)
21
2013 Mission and Focus
Undertake More Business Initiatives to Drive Growth of Marketplace
Ensure Customers with Rich Selections, Competitive Pricing and Seamless Shopping Experience
Improve Financial Performance while Maintaining Strong Market Positions in Target Categories and Marketplace
22
4Q 2013 Guidance
4Q’13 Total Net Revenue 4Q’13 Marketplace GMV
Total net revenue are expected to be around RMB1,937.8 million, around 20% of year-over-year growth
GMV from marketplace are expected to grow at a rate of 150% year-over-year
1,614.8
1,937.8
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
4Q12 4Q13E
(RMB MM) (RMB MM)
548.3
1,370.8
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
1,600
4Q12 4Q13E
Thank you [email protected] ir.dangdang.com