investors speak their mind on jack bogle’s legacy · the investing public values jack bogle’s...
TRANSCRIPT
Investors Speak Their Mind on
Jack Bogle’s Legacy
January 16, 2020
1
Purpose & Approach
• In the finance and mutual fund industry, Vanguard founder John C. (Jack) Bogle, who passed away January 16, 2019, was well known. He was highly respected by many business and political leaders. What is not known is how widely known and well regarded among investors -- 19 years after stepping down from Vanguard.
• The Institute for the Fiduciary Standard seeks to document the legacy of Jack Bogle through the eyes of those he sought to serve – ordinary investors. This survey of both Vanguard investors and the investing public set out to do so. This survey sought to measure investor attitudes regarding: Jack Bogle and other successful leaders in finance and business; Vanguard and other financial services firms; and their awareness of and respect for the basic investment tenets on which Jack Bogle built Vanguard and espoused throughout his life.
• Rockland Dutton Research & Consulting fielded an online survey among investors in the United States. The survey
was completed by 500 Vanguard investors and 500 investors among the general public, all ages 25 and older, with at
least $100k in invested assets, in the first two weeks of October 2019. Vanguard investors who participated in the
survey were pre-screened on the basis that Vanguard is one of their primary funds. It should be noted that with the
general public investors, some have or do hold Vanguard funds consistent with their prevalence among investors
throughout the U.S.
• The data collection was subcontracted to Research Now/SSI, now called Dynata.
2
What This Study Found About
Jack Bogle’s Legacy
1. Jack Bogle is not, as Bloomberg noted, a household name by the investing public. However, to those who do know him, his reputation is stellar, consistent with the country’s better known and hugely successful investor, Warren Buffett, and Bill Gates, arguably the most successful and prominent business executive of the past 40 years. In comparison, both Steve Jobs and Chuck Schwab lag behind Bogle, Buffett and Gates.
2. The investing public views the reputations of Apple and Vanguard similarly -- at about 41% in this survey in terms of being very high. Microsoft, Schwab, Merrill Lynch follow at 36%, 32% and 25% respectively.
3. The investing public hears and understands the principles Jack Bogle espoused. This survey finds that investors value low cost and diversified index mutual funds for the long term. Index funds are widely seen as very positive. They offer lower costs, eliminate certain risks, improve returns, and enhance transparency. While the investing public values Jack Bogle’s investing principles, Vanguard investors do so even more.
4. For the investing public, Bogle’s legacy is best described as, “Investing in the entire market with low cost index funds is better than stock picking.” The second place legacy theme speaks to Jack Bogle’s passion to help investors make better decisions. Investors return the compliment saying, he “Made investing understandable.”
3
The Reputation of Jack Bogle
4
Among the General Investing Public more than 35% Know Jack Bogle
General Investing Public Vanguard Investors
5
10.6%, A lot
23.2%, Some
24.0%, Only a little
18.6%, Have just heard the
name
23.8%, Never heard of him
Knowledge of Jack Bogle
Q19. How much do you know about Jack Bogle, the founder and former chairman of Vanguard?
9.0%, A lot
13.4%, Some
13.8%, Only a little
13.0%, Have just heard the
name
50.8%, Never heard of him
Knowledge of Jack Bogle
• Nineteen years after exiting Vanguard, half of the investing public has heard of Jack Bogle;
this compares with 76% of Vanguard investors
Of Those Who Know of Him Among the Public, Views of Jack Bogle are Widely
Favorable, 60.5% to 0.3% -- and 38% Neutral
Vanguard Investors
6
36.6%, Extremely favorable
40.1%, Mostly favorable
23.0%, Neutral
Extremely unfavorable
0.3%
View of Jack Bogle
0% selected “Mostly unfavorable”
Q20. Is your view of Jack Bogle…?
28.0%, Extremely favorable
32.5%, Mostly favorable
38.2%, Neutral
Mostly unfavorable
0.3%
View of Jack Bogle
0% selected “Extremely
unfavorable”
General Investing Public
Among the Investing Public, Jack Bogle’s General Familiarity is Far Lower Than
Luminaries such as Warren Buffett and Bill Gates General Investing Public Vanguard Investors
7
34.7%
36.5%
62.3%
73.5%
76.4%
77.0%
79.6%
81.0%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
Jack Bogle
Chuck Schwab
Michael Bloomberg
Mark Zuckerberg
Warren Buffett
Steve Jobs
John McCain
Bill Gates
Very/Somewhat Familiar
Very/Somewhat Familiar
20.0%
38.4%
53.6%
66.4%
66.8%
67.6%
71.0%
72.4%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80%
Jack Bogle
Chuck Schwab
Michael Bloomberg
Warren Buffett
Steve Jobs
Mark Zuckerberg
John McCain
Bill Gates
Very/Somewhat Familiar
Very/Somewhat Familiar
Q8. How familiar are you with each of the following individuals – very familiar, somewhat familiar, only a little familiar, have only just heard
the name, or have never heard of this person?
Very
40.4%
38.4%
33.2%
36.0%
32.0%
25.8%
15.8%
9.4%
Very
37.1%
39.!%
32.7%
34.1%
29.9%
24.8%
12.8%
16.8%
Jack Bogle’s familiarity with the public is overshadowed by business leaders whose name is inseparable from their firm’s name
Yet, Jack Bogle Ranks at the Very Top with Warren Buffett and Bill Gates for his Excellent
Reputation among the General Investing Public who are Familiar with his Name
General Investing Public Vanguard Investors
8
9.1%
20.3%
23.4%
29.1%
38.4%
46.6%
54.2%
60.3%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80%
Mark Zuckerberg
Michael Bloomberg
Chuck Schwab
Steve Jobs
John McCain
Bill Gates
Warren Buffett
Jack Bogle
Very High Reputation (9-10 Responses)
Very High Reputation (9-10)
19.1%
26.0%
31.1%
38.7%
42.4%
51.0%
51.3%
51.7%
0% 20% 40% 60%
Mark Zuckerberg
Michael Bloomberg
Chuck Schwab
Steve Jobs
John McCain
Bill Gates
Warren Buffett
Jack Bogle
Very High Reputation (9-10 Responses)
Very High Reputation (9-10)
Q9. On a scale of 1 to 10, where 1 is poor and 10 is excellent, to the best of your knowledge how would you rate the reputation of each of
these individuals? Asked of those very, somewhat or a little familiar with Jack Bogle.
Avg.
8.0
8.2
8.2
7.5
7.7
7.5
6.7
5.7
Avg.
8.4
8.3
8.1
7.4
7.4
7.2
6.7
5.2
The More Familiar Investors are With Jack Bogle, The More They Respect Him
General Investing Public Vanguard Investors
9
47.9%, Promoters (9-10 responses)
37.2%, Passives (7-8 responses)
15.0%, Detractors (1-6 responses)
Respect for Jack Bogle
Q22. How much do you respect Jack Bogle as a knowledgeable, authoritative voice for investing, on a scale of 1 to 10 where 1 is no
respect at all and 10 is great respect?
42.3%, Promoters (9-10 responses)
29.3%, Passives (7-8 responses)
28.5%, Detractors (1-6 responses)
Respect for Jack Bogle
This question differs slightly from Question 8 which is about familiarity, but the results are highly comparable
For Those Who Know Jack Bogle, Keeping Investment Costs Low and Long Term Investing are
The Most Important Principles He Advanced:
Vanguard Investors See all His Principles Even More Favorably
General Investing Public Vanguard Investors
10
45.0%
50.5%
51.0%
56.5%
68.6%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
Risks and costs of market timingreduces returns
Diversify investments by buyingentire market
Indexing is better than activemanagement
Buy and hold investments long-term
Keep investing costs as low aspossible
A great deal
Q23. How much was Jack Bogle a leader in the mutual fund industry for advancing these principles? – a great deal, some, not much or
not at all.
37.4%
38.2%
39.8%
47.2%
47.6%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
Indexing is better than activemanagement
Risks and costs of market timingreduces returns
Diversify investments by buyingentire market
Buy and hold investments long-term
Keep investing costs as low aspossible
A great deal
• Among the general public, those who responded not much or not at all ranged from 9-13% and for Vanguard investors 3-7%
Company Reputations
11
Familiarity with Vanguard Similar to Schwab and Merrill Lynch Among the
Investing Public
General Investing Public Vanguard Investors
12
42.1%
49.5%
50.7%
75.2%
78.6%
81.6%
97.6%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
Berkshire Hathaway
Merrill Lynch
Charles Schwab
Apple
Microsoft
Vanguard
Very/Somewhat Familiar
Very/Somwhat Familiar
35.0%
50.6%
52.4%
54.2%
73.4%
73.6%
74.0%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
Berkshire Hathaway
Charles Schwab
Merrill Lynch
Vanguard
Apple
Microsoft
Very/Somewhat Familiar
Very/Somwhat Familiar
Q4. How familiar are you with each of the following companies – very familiar, somewhat familiar, only a little familiar, have only just heard the
name, or have never heard of this company?
Very
43.6%
45.6%
45.4%
26.0%
22.6%
26.8%
15.2%
Very
80.4%
43.5%
43.5%
44.1%
19.8%
17.0%
16.0%
High Familiarity and High Reputation Ratings Are Not Always Related
General Investing Public Vanguard Investors
13
16.3%
22.3%
43.3%
72.7%
49.5%
50.7%
42.1%
97.6%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
Merrill Lynch
Charles Schwab
BerkshireHathaway
Vanguard
Reputation vs. Awareness
Very/Somewhat Familiar Very High Reputation (9-10)
24.8%
31.5%
40.7%
46.9%
52.4%
50.6%
54.2%
35.0%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
Merrill Lynch
Charles Schwab
Vanguard
BerkshireHathaway
Reputation vs. Awareness
Very/Somewhat Familiar Very High Reputation (9-10)
Q5. On a scale of 1 to 10, where 1 is poor and 10 is excellent, to the best of your knowledge how would you rate the reputation of each of the following
companies?
For the Investing Public, When It Comes to Putting Customer Interests First
Vanguard is at the Top while Merrill Lags Behind
General Investing Public Vanguard Investors
14
16.3%
22.3%
72.7%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
Merrill Lynch
Charles Schwab
Vanguard
Respect as Customer-First Investment Company
Very High Respect (9-10)
25.6%
32.9%
36.9%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
Merrill Lynch
Charles Schwab
Vanguard
Respect as Customer-First Investment Company
Very High Respect (9-10)
Q7. How much do you respect each of the following as an investment company that puts customers’ interests first, on a scale of 1 to 10
where 1 is no respect at all and 10 is great respect?
Among the Investing Public, Vanguard’s Reputation Parallels that of Apple and is
Higher than Charles Schwab and Merrill Lynch
General Investing Public Vanguard Investors
15
8.6%
16.3%
22.3%
32.4%
38.7%
43.3%
72.7%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80%
Merrill Lynch
Charles Schwab
Microsoft
Apple
Berkshire Hathaway
Vanguard
Very High Reputation (9-10 Responses)
Very High Reputation (9-10)
18.3%
24.8%
31.5%
35.9%
40.7%
40.8%
46.9%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80%
Merrill Lynch
Charles Schwab
Microsoft
Vanguard
Apple
Berkshire Hathaway
Very High Reputation (9-10 Responses)
Very High Reputation (9-10)
Q5. On a scale of 1 to 10, where 1 is poor and 10 is excellent, to the best of your knowledge how would you rate the reputation of each of
the following companies?
Avg.
8.0
7.9
7.9
7.8
7.6
7.1
5.6
Avg.
9.0
8.0
7.6
7.5
7.1
6.5
5.1
For the general public investors, Berkshire Hathaway is on top; Vanguard’s reputation outranks Charles Schwab and Merrill Lynch
Principles Jack Bogle Espoused
16
Importance of Jack Bogle’s Investment Principles are Ranked High*
General Investing Public Vanguard Investors
17
32.5%
39.3%
40.9%
63.7%
63.9%
69.5%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80%
Researching individual companies
Past performance
Keeping it simple
Minimizing costs
Diversifying
Investing long term
Very Important to Investing In Mutual Funds(9-10 Responses)
32.6%
35.0%
39.0%
46.2%
53.2%
57.4%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80%
Researching Individual Companies
Keeping it simple
Past performance
Minimizing costs
Diversifying
Investing long term
Very Important to Investing In Mutual Funds (9-10 Responses)
Q11. Now, using a scale of 1 to 10, where 1 is not important at all and 10 is very important please rank the importance of each of these
factors to you when it comes to investing in mutual funds. If you don’t know enough to say, please indicate that by checking N/A.
Avg.
8.5
8.5
8.1
8.0
7.7
7.4
Avg.
9.0
8.8
8.7
8.0
7.8
7.2
*Green refers to what Jack Bogle encouraged, Red are things he discouraged
Investment Priorities Ranked by Those Who Are Knowledgeable
About Jack Bogle
18
General Investing Public Vanguard Investors
OverallKnow A
lot/Some About
Jack Bogle
Know a
little/only heard
name/never
heard of
OverallKnow A
lot/Some About
Jack Bogle
Know a
little/only heard
name/never
heard of
Investing long term 57.4% 70.5% 53.6% 69.5% 72.2% 68.1%
Diversifying 53.2% 62.5% 50.5% 63.9% 69.2% 61.1%
Minimizing costs 46.2% 67.0% 40.2% 63.7% 71.6% 59.6%
Keeping it simple 35.0% 64.3% 26.5% 40.9% 47.9% 37.3%
Past performance 39.0% 52.7% 35.1% 39.3% 30.2% 44.0%
Researching individual companies 32.6% 58.0% 25.3% 32.5% 37.3% 30.1%
Q11. Now, using a scale of 1 to 10, where 1 is not important at all and 10 is very important please rank the importance of each of these
factors to you when it comes to investing in mutual funds. If you don’t know enough to say, please indicate that by checking N/A.
• Vanguard Investors More Knowledgeable
And More Correct About Ignoring Past
Performance
Diversifying, Investing for the Long-term and Minimizing Costs Increasingly
Important to Investors Today
General Investing Public Vanguard Investors
19
71.5%
65.1%
63.3%
65.7%
60.7%
61.9%
11.6%
15.8%
8.2%
5.2%
5.8%
4.4%
17.0%
19.2%
28.5%
29.1%
33.5%
33.7%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70%
Past performance
Researching individual companies
Keeping it simple
Investing long term
Diversifying
Minimizing costs
Increased Decreased Stayed the Same
Q12. Has your emphasis on each of these factors increased, decreased, or stayed the same in the last 10 years?
67.6%
63.8%
63.0%
63.8%
62.0%
59.6%
12.0%
12.6%
12.2%
8.2%
9.0%
7.8%
20.4%
23.6%
24.8%
28.0%
29.0%
32.6%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70%
Past performance
Researching individual companies
Keeping it simple
Minimizing costs
Investing long term
Diversifying
Increased Decreased Stayed the Same
Index Funds
20
Knowledge of Mutual Funds is High; Higher among Vanguard Investors
General Investing Public Vanguard Investors
21
12.8%, Extremely
29.9%, Very
47.5%, Somewhat
8.8%, Not very
1.0%, Not at all
Knowledge of Mutual Funds
12.8%, Extremely
21.6%, Very
41.8%, Somewhat
17.2%, Not very
6.6%, Not at all
Knowledge of Mutual Funds
Q10. How would you rate your knowledge of investing in mutual funds? Are you…?
Investing Public and Vanguard Investors Report Being Knowledgeable About
Index Funds
General Investing Public Vanguard Investors
22
11.6%, Extremely
24.0%, Very
39.7%, Somewhat
18.4%, Not very
6.4%, Not at all
Knowledge of Index Funds
Q13. How would you rate your knowledge of index funds, specifically? Are you…
Extremely, 9.2%
Very, 20.2%
Somewhat, 29.6%
Not very, 22.8%
Not at all , 18.2%
Knowledge of Index Funds
• Vanguard Investors say they feel more knowledgeable (somewhat, very, extremely) about index funds (75.3%) as compared to the
general investing public (59.0%).
Index Funds Generally Seen as Having a Positive Impact in Investing
General Investing Public Vanguard Investors
28.7%, Very positive
57.1%, Somewhat
positive
6.4%, Somewhat negative
1.4%, Very negative
6.4%, Not at all
Impact of Index Funds on an Individual’s Investments
Q14. Passively managed index funds are funds that track a group or bucket of stocks and/or bonds. For example, index funds designed to
track the Standard and Poor’s 500 mirror the risk and return of the entire stock market at a very low cost. What kind of impact do you think
index funds have had on the way individuals invest, if any?
19.0%, Very positive
54.4%, Somewhat
positive
10.8%, Somewhat negative
0.4%, Very Negative
15.4%, Not at all
Impact of Index Funds on an Individual’s Investments
Respondents were provided the following statement and then asked the question: Passively managed index funds
are funds that track a group or bucket of stocks and/or bonds. For example, index funds designed to track the
Standard and Poor’s 500 mirror the risk and return of the entire stock market at a very low cost.
Wide Agreement on Views of Index Funds Benefits
24
Q15. When it comes to index funds, how much do you agree or disagree with each of the following statements?
General Investing Public Vanguard Investors
Agree Neutral Disagree Agree Neutral Disagree
Index funds are for amateur investors who lack the
expertise to beat the market. 40.2% 41.6% 18.2% 32.4% 32.1% 35.6%
Index funds are more transparent about their investing
strategy and costs. 46.6% 47.0% 6.4% 57.9% 37.1% 5.0%
Index funds could distort prices and exacerbate
market turbulence.30.0% 52.8% 17.2% 25.6% 42.5% 32.0%
Index funds get better returns than actively managed
funds over the long term. 38.4% 52.8% 8.8% 48.5% 44.3% 7.2%
Index funds that represent the entire market eliminate
risks associated with individual companies, market
sectors and stock picking. 51.8% 38.8% 9.4% 64.5% 26.7% 8.8%
Index funds that represent the entire market have
lower costs and less risk than actively managed funds
that pick certain stocks.52.8% 41.8% 5.4% 66.4% 29.5% 4.0%
Describing Jack Bogle’s Legacy
25
How the General Public Remembers Jack Bogle: In Their Own Words
26
He's the only good investment guy
He never pretended to know how the market would perform unlike most talking heads on tv
Worked for the average investor - not greedy
Has done great things for the average investor
Great man with great vision and financial wisdom
..Because my investments have done remarkably well with Vanguard
Solid investor looking out for the investor
Q21. What is that? (Open-end) [FOLLOW-UP TO Q20. Is your view of Jack Bogle…?]
How Vanguard Investors Remember Jack Bogle: In Their Own Words
27
Stellar reputation and a pioneer in Index Funds
He has made Vanguard a very reputable company who puts it's customers first, long history of transparency, offers a multitude of investment opportunities
He is a pioneer for the average investor to get into the market
I think Jack Bogle has had a clear vision for Vanguard and has created a company that is innovative, stable, and has an excellent reputation within the investment industry
The man seemed to pioneer the industry, while his friends and foes pocketed billions, he put billions into others hands at the cost of his own wealth
He is the pioneer of Indexing and has made Vanguard the great and best investment company it is today
Founder of vanguard. Smart. Trustworthy. Visionary
Q21. What is that? (Open-end) [FOLLOW-UP TO Q20. Is your view of Jack Bogle…?]
Phrases that Describe Jack Bogle’s Legacy: General Investing Public(Respondents Allowed Three Choices)
28
15.0%
16.4%
26.2%
27.2%
32.4%
45.4%
59.8%
0% 20% 40% 60%
Democratized investing.
Vanguard clients also own the company.
Forget finding the needle; buy the entire haystack.
The best friend a small investor ever had.
Vanguard’s priority is to put investors first.
Made investing understandable.
Investing in the entire market with low cost index funds isbetter than stock picking.
Describing Jack Bogle’s Contributions
% Agree
Phrases that Describe Jack Bogle’s Legacy: Vanguard Investors(Respondents Allowed Three Choices)
29
15.8%
22.0%
28.5%
30.9%
43.3%
51.5%
66.5%
0% 20% 40% 60%
Democratized investing.
Vanguard clients also own the company.
Forget finding the needle; buy the entire haystack.
The best friend a small investor ever had.
Made investing understandable.
Vanguard’s priority is to put investors first.
Investing in the entire market with low cost indexfunds is better than stock picking.
Describing Jack Bogle’s Contributions
% Agree
General Public
59.8%
32.4%
45.4%
27.2%
26.2%
16.4%
15.0%
Investors Speak Their Mind on
Jack Bogle’s Legacy
January 3, 2020
30