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Ionosphere Scintillation Mapping Beacon Satellite Symposium, Bath, 8 – 12 july 2013 Y. Béniguel, P. Hamel, IEEA, Paris, France C. Sambou, M. Darces, M. Hélier, UPMC, Paris, France

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Ionosphere Scintillation Mapping

Beacon Satellite Symposium, Bath, 8 – 12 july 2013

Y. Béniguel, P. Hamel, IEEA, Paris, France

C. Sambou, M. Darces, M. Hélier, UPMC, Paris, France

Contents

• Calculation technique

• Input Data

Beacon Satellite Symposium, Bath, 8 – 12 july 2013

• Conclusion

• Algorithm

• Examples of results

Calculation Technique

Kriging technique

• Well suited to random data processing

Beacon Satellite Symposium, Bath, 8 – 12 july 2013

• Accuracy increases with the number of data

• Allows to produce a map and the corresponding error map

Input Data

50 Hz receivers Monitor Project

Beacon Satellite Symposium, Bath, 8 – 12 july 2013

1 Hz IGS Data

Simulated GISM

Monitor Network50 Hz receivers

Beacon Satellite Symposium, Bath, 8 – 12 july 2013

Scintillation indices at 50 Hz (top panel)vs 1 Hz (IGS data: bottom panel)

Beacon Satellite Symposium, Bath, 8 – 12 july 2013

Modelling(GISM) MPS model

Inputs

Geophysical Parameters

Scenario

The model includes an orbit generator (GPS, Glonass, Galileo, …)

Intermediate calculation : LOS, Ionisation along the LOS

Beacon Satellite Symposium, Bath, 8 – 12 july 2013

Outputs

Intermediate calculation : LOS, Ionisation along the LOS

Scattering function

Time series, Scintillation indices, Correlation Distances

Béniguel Y., P. Hamel, “A Global Ionosphere Scintillation Propagation Model for Equatorial Regions”, Journal of Space Weather Space Climate, 1, (2011), doi: 10.1051/swsc/2011004

0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1

-40 -20 0 20 40 60 80 100

S4 all satellitesCayenne days 314 to 319 : year 2006

PRN2PRN13PRN10PRN4PRN24PRN28PRN17PRN12PRN8PRN29PRN26PRN9PRN6PRN23

S4

Samples with S4 < 0.2 were ignored (noise level)

Modelling vs Measurements(Intensity)

Measurements

Beacon Satellite Symposium, Bath, 8 – 12 july 2013

LT

0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1

18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25

Cayenne day 314 / 2006GISM

132327817284102429226596

S4

LT

Modelling

0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1

-40 -20 0 20 40 60 80 100

Sigma Phi all satellitesCayenne, days 314 to 319 / year 2006

PRN2PRN13PRN10PRN4PRN24PRN28PRN17PRN12PRN8PRN29PRN26PRN9PRN6PRN23

Sig

ma

Phi

(ra

dian

)

LT

The phase RMS value is slightly lower than the S4 valueSome samples exhibit high

Modelling vs Measurements(Phase)

Measurements

Beacon Satellite Symposium, Bath, 8 – 12 july 2013

0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1

18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25

Cayenne day 314 / 2006G ISM

132327817284102429226596

Sig

ma

phi

LT

Some samples exhibit high values (both measurements and modelling) due to the phase jumps

Modelling

Comparison with MeasurementsYear 2011 / Guiana / Novatel Measurements

0.6

0.8

1

S4 Calculated (GISM) in CayenneLatitude 4°8 Longitude 37°6 year 2011

0.7

0.8

0.9

1

S4 Measurement in CayenneLatitude 4°8 Longitude 37°6 year 2011

Beacon Satellite Symposium, Bath, 8 – 12 july 2013

0.2

0.4

0.6

0 50 100 150 200 250 300Doy

0.2

0.3

0.4

0.5

0.6

0 50 100 150 200 250 300

Doy

Kriging Algorithm

Beacon Satellite Symposium, Bath, 8 – 12 july 2013

Kriging Algorithm

) , f ( ) f ( m ) , f ( Y ωω Γ+=

Y the observable, f a vector of factors (location, …)

Y is the sum of a mean value and a random part

Kriging Random Variables

Beacon Satellite Symposium, Bath, 8 – 12 july 2013

) f ( a ) f ( m i

M

1i ϕ∑=

)h ( c ) , f ( ) , f ( ) f , f ( c jiji =ΓΓ= ωω

Covariance function

Covariance Function

� Few data points

� Many data points

Computation of the experimental covariance

Beacon Satellite Symposium, Bath, 8 – 12 july 2013

� Few data points

Choice of the covariance function among known models.

Kriging Interpolation Technique

) , f ( Y *Y j

N

1 j ωλ∑=

A linear estimator is built with all data points

The outcome at f0 is linear

Beacon Satellite Symposium, Bath, 8 – 12 july 2013

The estimator gives an exact value at the data points

(Lagrange multipliers)

) f ( Y ) c , f , (f ) f ( *Y N

1jj0 j 0 ∑= λ

Variance Minimization

2

0 Y *Y −• Minimizing the variance

• Taking the inverse of the covariance matrix

Y w ) f ( *Y T=

Beacon Satellite Symposium, Bath, 8 – 12 july 2013

Y w ) f ( *Y T0 =

• It is an exact interpolator : no errors at data points

• Gives an estimate of the accuracy of the Kriged estimates

2Min

2 Y *Y Min σ=−

Variogram Estimation

0.014

0.016

0.018

0.02

0.022

GISM Variogram (Cayenne input data scenario)

0.016

0.017

0.018

0.019

Variogram using Measurements in Cayenne

Beacon Satellite Symposium, Bath, 8 – 12 july 2013

r r h ji −=

) r ( Y ) r ( Y )h ( 2

j i −=γ

0.006

0.008

0.01

0.012

0 2000 4000 6000 8000 1 104

Distance (km)

0.012

0.013

0.014

0.015

0 2000 4000 6000 8000 1 104

Distance (km)

Variograms Estimated on a Reduced Time Duration

Experimental variograms based on GISM calculations

Beacon Satellite Symposium, Bath, 8 – 12 july 2013

S4 variogram variogramϕσ

Covariance Function

)h ( T )h ( C γ−= 4 10 4.7 T −=with

Beacon Satellite Symposium, Bath, 8 – 12 july 2013

range

T

Reference data Kriged data

Beacon Satellite Symposium, Bath, 8 – 12 july 2013

Results of S4 data kriging

Reference data

Kriging data

Kriged data

Cut at Latitude 6°

Beacon Satellite Symposium, Bath, 8 – 12 july 2013

Cut at Latitude - 3°

Beacon Satellite Symposium, Bath, 8 – 12 july 2013

Cut at Latitude – 3°

Beacon Satellite Symposium, Bath, 8 – 12 july 2013

Cut at Longitude - 44°

Beacon Satellite Symposium, Bath, 8 – 12 july 2013

Cut at Longitude - 44°

Beacon Satellite Symposium, Bath, 8 – 12 july 2013

Cut at Longitude - 36°

Beacon Satellite Symposium, Bath, 8 – 12 july 2013

Coupe de SigmaPhi pour

une longitude de -36°

Cut at Longitude - 36°

Beacon Satellite Symposium, Bath, 8 – 12 july 2013

Kriging Over a Whole Year

Beacon Satellite Symposium, Bath, 8 – 12 july 2013

The covariance function used was

deduced from GISM calculationsLima 2012

Dip Lat. 0°65

Conclusion

Analysis of scintillations using the IGS network

Improve the calculation of the variogram

(Comparison to 50 Hz data)

Beacon Satellite Symposium, Bath, 8 – 12 july 2013

Improve the calculation of the variogram

(Time as an additionnal factor)

Produce the error maps

Thank you

Beacon Satellite Symposium, Bath, 8 – 12 july 2013