ipaa 2004 oil & gas investment symposium april 21, 2004 forest oil corporation
TRANSCRIPT
IPAA 2004 Oil & Gas Investment Symposium
April 21, 2004
Forest Oil Corporation
FOREST OIL PROFILE
Market Capitalization (as of 4/16/04) $1.4 Billion
Enterprise Value $2.3 Billion
Headquartered Denver, Colorado
Business Units Gulf Coast, Western U.S.,Alaska, Canada and International
NORTH AMERICAN OPERATIONAL PROFILE
Significant PositionGulf Coast
Significant PositionGulf Coast
ExplorationExploration
Steady ProductionSteady Production
12/31/03 Reserves (Bcfe)2003 Prod. (MMcfe/d)Natural Gas Production (%)
Alaska132
580
Canada162
5167
12/31/03 Reserves (Bcfe)2003 Prod. (MMcfe/d)Natural Gas Production (%)
Western389
6168
12/31/03 Reserves (Bcfe)2003 Prod. (MMcfe/d)Natural Gas Production (%)
Gulf Coast
613239
79
12/31/03 Reserves (Bcfe)2003 Prod. (MMcfe/d)Natural Gas Production (%)
Consolidated
1,296409
65
12/31/03 Reserves (Bcfe)2003 Prod. (MMcfe/d)Natural Gas Production (%)
2004 Exploitation2003 Acquisitions
2004 Exploration
THE “4-POINT” GAME PLAN
1. Continued reduction in costs
– Achieving higher margins is equivalent to drilling“no cost” wells
2. Acquisitions will be an integral part of our investment program
– Acquisitions will compete for capital with drilling
3. Lower exposure to frontier exploration
– Shift investment emphasis toward low-risk exploitation and development
4. Maintain strong balance sheet
– Prudent capital structure and financial flexibility are critical to act quickly and optimize investment returns
1. CONTINUED REDUCTION IN COSTS
Maintain savings in lease operating expenses achieved in 2003
Reduce general and administrative expenses by greater than 5%
Reduce interest expense through fixed/floating % and debt reduction
Capex budget adherence with improved drilling efficiencies
Create a Culture of Cost Discipline
Per Per2002 Unit 2003 Unit
Direct / Workover 131 .91 125 .84Severance / Ad Valorem 13 .09 20 .13Transportation 14 .10 9 .06
Total 158 1.10 154 1.03
Aggressive cost reduction on acquired fields– Oxy-Permian monthly LOE reduced by over 40%
Concentrated effort on high-cost non-operated fields
1. CONTINUED REDUCTION IN COSTS - LOE
$ millions
1. CONTINUED REDUCTION IN COSTS – G&A
Reduce general and administrative expenses by a
minimum of 5%
Costs have steadily decreased since August 2003
Employee costs have increased 10% due to
significant acquisitions and reduction of contractors
Target legal, insurance and occupancy costs
2002 2003 2004e2002 2003 2004e
Lease Operating Expense General and Administrative Expense
Interest/Current Tax Expense Total Cash Costs
$1.03 / Mcfe$1.03 / Mcfe$0.21 / Mcfe$0.21 / Mcfe
2002 2003 2004e2002 2003 2004e
$0.29 / Mcfe$0.29 / Mcfe
$0.35 / Mcfe$0.35 / Mcfe
$1.14 / Mcfe$1.14 / Mcfe$0.24 / Mcfe$0.24 / Mcfe
$1.60 / Mcfe$1.60 / Mcfe$1.64 / Mcfe$1.64 / Mcfe
$1.10 / Mcfe$1.10 / Mcfe $0.27 / Mcfe$0.27 / Mcfe
$0.33 / Mcfe$0.33 / Mcfe$1.72 / Mcfe$1.72 / Mcfe
1. CONTINUED REDUCTION IN COSTS – Total Cash Costs
2% Annual Reduction
7.3
9.1
7.36.4
7.5
5.9
3.92.9
4.6 4.3
AK-2 AV-1 AW-1 AY-1 Avg AA-1 AA-2 AX-1 AX-2 Avg
2003 Program2000 – 2001 Program
(Gross $MM)Offshore South Africa
7.1
11.8
8.5
6.4
ST 72 #16 ST 72 #20 AVG ST 72 #21
2003 Program2000 – 2001 Program
South Timbalier
$C4.6$C5.4$C5.6$C6.0
$C7.6
2000 AVG 2001 AVG 2002 AVG 2003 AVG 2004 AVG
Alberta Foothills
1. CONTINUED REDUCTION IN COSTS – Drilling
2000 – 2002 Program 2003 – 2004 Program
2. ACQUISITION PROGRAM
Very active last 6 months of 2003 – 216% annual reserve replacement at $1.22 per Mcfe
Acquisition opportunities to compete for capital with drilling activities– Employ 2004 free cash flow– Capital markets will be accessed to fund large
acquisitions
Continued disposition of non-strategic assets– High cost properties– Non-performing assets, plants, and pipeline
2. ACQUISITION PROGRAM – 2003 Activity
South Bonus $ 5.8 2 5 $1.07 50,000 32,000 6.4 n/aMcAllen 12.5 5 12 1.06 15,000 13,000 2.6 $ .81Oxy-Permian 33.0 9 34 .97 26,000 - - .97Unocal 218.8 66 141 1.55 252,000 93,000 15.9 1.41New Permian 112.9 25 109 1.04 32,000 5,000 - 1.00Others 8.4 3 21 .40 - - - .27
Total $391.4 110 322 $1.22 375,000 143,000 24.9 $1.14
Total F&D cost of $1.22 on 322 Bcfe of reserves w/o allocation, $1.14 w/ allocation
Production per Mcfe/d acquired at $3,558 with R/P of 8 years Plants, pipelines and other assets included
Purchase Trans. ReservePrice Production ReservesAmount Per Net Undevel. Other Amount(mm) (MMcfe/d) (Bcfe) Mcfe/Res. Acreage Acreage Assets Per Mcfe
2. ACQUISITION PROGRAM - Oxy-Permian
Investment PV10 Reserves
($MM) ($MM) (Bcfe) $/Mcfe ROCE %
Original Acquisition 33.0 33.0 34.0 0.97 10.4
Production/cash flow (5.2) (5.2) (1.4) 3.72
Pump Out Sub-Total 27.8 27.8 32.6 0.85
Reserve adds/Revisions 0.0 9.4 0.3 -
Remaining Investment 27.8 37.2 32.9 0.84 14.0
PV increase due to increased production and decreased LOE
Potential offset drilling at Sand Dunes field
16% of original investment paid out with 97% of reserves remaining
PV 10 on same price deck is now 113% of original purchase price
2. ACQUISITION PROGRAM – Unocal
Terminated operating contracts in December 2003 Current net production ahead of plan Identified plants and pipelines for divestiture
UNOCAL ACQ. - West White Lake
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
11/1
/2003
11/8
/2003
11/1
5/2
003
11/2
2/2
003
11/2
9/2
003
12/6
/2003
12/1
3/2
003
12/2
0/2
003
12/2
7/2
003
1/3
/2004
1/1
0/2
004
1/1
7/2
004
1/2
4/2
004
1/3
1/2
004
2/7
/2004
2/1
4/2
004
2/2
1/2
004
2/2
8/2
004
3/6
/2004
3/1
3/2
004
3/2
0/2
004
MM
CF
D (
Gro
ss)
0
500
1000
1500
2000
BO
PD
(G
ross)
MMCFD
MMCFED
BOPD
Waterflood
Drilling
Oxy-Permian FieldsExisting FST Fields
SAGANew Permian Fields
37 wells planned 4 waterflood installations 3D mapping to evaluate
potential development– Wolfcamp– Devonian– Delaware– Spraberry
Focus on costs and production optimization
2. ACQUISITION PROGRAM – 2004 Permian Basin Activity
2004 Drilling Inventory 6 Frio wells (100% WI) 2 Yegua wells (100% WI) 7 Wilcox wells (53-75% WI) 1 Vicksburg well (100% WI)
McAllen AcquisitionExisting FST Fields
South Bonus AcquisitionNew Permian Acquisition
Texas
Katy
South BonusBonus
Houston
Guerra
McAllen Ranch
2. ACQUISITION PROGRAM – 2004 South Texas Activity
2. ACQUISITION PROGRAM – South Texas
Took over operations immediately and acquired 3-D seismic (175 sq. miles) Drilled 11 shallow Frio wells (91% success rate) Increased gross production from 4 MMcfe/d to 19 MMcfe/d Completed first Yegua well – Beard #1 (7 MMcfe/d) and the McMillian #2 well (3 MMcfe/d) Currently drilling first Deep Wilcox well
BONUS/WEST WHARTON PRODUCTION
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
1/1
/03
3/1
/03
5/1
/03
7/1
/03
9/1
/03
11/1
/03
1/1
/04
3/1
/04
MC
FD
(G
ros
s)
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
BO
PD
(G
ros
s)
BA 542A-1ST, A-4ST
BA 491#4
DiabloMI 666 #1
LonewolfGAA-98 #1
HI A-467A-16
HI A-469A-4ST Twin
CrossbowHI 53 #4
ChaChaHI 116
SM 6A-22
GrasshopperWC 226
HI A-416B-1ST
SidewinderSM 76 B-15ST
VegaWC 111/112
VR 14I-3 Loc
VR 102A-2, A-3
JavlinSM 105 A-5
RoadrunnerSM 115
Crystal C-1STC6, C7 SMI 149/150
PhoenixEI 273/284
BlackbirdEI 281
EI 43 #1ST
ST 211A-1ST
SpitfireST 72 #22 & #8ST
PanhandleST 288
StarfishCA 26
MackeralMP 98/99
McAllenRanch
Bonus
KatySweetLake
Twin Island
2. ACQUISITION PROGRAM – 2004 Gulf of Mexico Activity
21 Wells planned: – 17 Shelf
– 3 Deep Shelf
– 1 Sub-Salt
Attack Unocal acquisition properties Installation of two new production facilities New discoveries at VR 102, WC 112, and Eugene Island 273
3. LOWER EXPOSURE TO FRONTIER EXPLORATION
Allocate 5 - 10% of invested capital to frontier exploration compared with historical 20%
Fewer frontier areas Reinvest capital in “traditional areas” Evaluate significant acreage position for leverage,
trades or monetization (saved $45 mm in 2003)
The purpose of Exploration is…. Production!
2003 by Category
58%Acquisitions
3. LOWER EXPOSURE TO FRONTIER EXPLORATION
2004 by Category
2003 by Business Unit
2004 by Business Unit
14%Exploration
28%Development
28%Exploration
72%Development
9%Alaska
57%Gulf Coast
6%Canada
27%Western
1%Int’l
11%Alaska
53%Gulf Coast
11%Canada
18%Western
7%Int’l
Frontier 14%
Frontier 9%
$300 MM
$729 MM
3. LOWER EXPOSURE TO FRONTIER EXPLORATIONProduction Growth Profile – Bcfe
Gulf Coast Western Alaska Canada Total
81 87
23 22
20 21
20 144
104
28
16
18
19
166
149
2002 2003 2004e 2002 2003 2004e 2004e2003 2004e20032002 2002 2003 2004e2002
• South Timbalier #72– 19,025’ total depth– 90 days from spud to
initial sales– Tested 2,000 Bbls/d and
1.4 MMcf/d at 5,500 psi
Deep Shelf Performance
3. LOWER EXPOSURE TO FRONTIER EXPLORATION
• West Cameron #112– 15,325’ total depth– On-line in 3Q 2004– Tested 15.4 MMcf/d and
322 Bbls/d at 10,475 psi
3. LOWER EXPOSURE TO FRONTIER EXPLORATION
Increased production from zero to 28 MMcfe/d in approximately 1 year Completed 3 wells (100% success rate) Identified 2 additional locations to drill in 2004
Vermilion 102 - Shelf (100% Working Interest)
VR 102
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
01-J
an-0
3
20-J
an-0
3
08-F
eb-0
3
27-F
eb-0
3
3/1
8/2
003
4/6
/2003
4/2
5/2
003
5/1
4/2
003
6/2
/2003
6/2
1/2
003
7/1
0/2
003
7/2
9/2
003
8/1
7/2
003
9/5
/2003
9/2
4/2
003
10/1
3/2
003
11/1
/2003
11/2
0/2
003
12/9
/2003
12/2
8/2
003
1/1
6/2
004
2/4
/2004
2/2
3/2
004
3/1
3/2
004
4/1
/2004
MM
CF
D (
Gro
ss
)
0
250
500
750
1000
1250
1500
BO
PD
(G
ros
s)
MMCFD
MMCFED
BOPD
3. LOWER EXPOSURE TO FRONTIER EXPLORATION
Achieved record production in 2004 Produces in excess of 20% of Canada’s net total production Acquired additional 3-D seismic in 1Q 2004 Currently completing two wells Drilling costs reduced significantly in field
Narraway Field, Canada
4. MAINTAIN STRONG BALANCE SHEET
Maintain liquidity to allow flexibility for acquisitions– Plan to generate in 2004 $200 million of excess cash
from operations and divestitures
Debt : Book capitalization target of 30-40% Manage debt portfolio to reduce refinancing risks
and minimize cost of capital Access public capital markets to fund larger
opportunities as appropriate Actively manage commodity price and interest rate
risks
INTERIM 6 MONTH “REPORT CARD”
Ahead of schedule: – Cost reductions– Acquisition initiatives– Production growth
On schedule: – Capital expenditure reallocation – Strengthening of balance sheet– Leadership/culture changes
Behind schedule on reserve growth
SUMMARY – Disciplined People, Disciplined Action
Costs are being reduced across the board Acquisition program has been successfully
“kicked-off” Capital is being allocated to traditional areas ROCE and free cash flow is being rewarded Balance sheet is strengthening Attractive valuation reflects early stage of
turnaround
CAUTIONARY STATEMENTS
The United States Securities and Exchange Commission permits oil and gas companies, in their filings with the SEC, to disclose only proved reserves that a company has demonstrated by actual production or conclusive formation tests to be economically and legally producible under existing economic and operating conditions. We use the terms “probable” and “possible” reserves, reserve “potential” or “upside” or other descriptions of volumes of reserves potentially recoverable through additional drilling or recovery techniques that the SEC’s guidelines strictly prohibit Forest from including in filings with the SEC. These estimates are by their nature more speculative than estimates of proved reserves and accordingly are subject to substantially greater risk of being actually realized by us. Investors are urged to consider closely the disclosure in Forest’s Form 10-K for fiscal year ended December 31, 2003, available from Forest at 1600 Broadway, Suite 2200, Denver, CO 80202, Attention: Investor Relations. You can also obtain this form from the SEC by calling 1-800-SEC-0330.
This presentation may include forward-looking statements within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933 and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934. Although the Company believes that its expectations are based on reasonable assumptions, it can give no assurances that expected results will be achieved. Important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those in the forward-looking statements herein include the timing and extent of changes in commodity prices for oil and gas, operating risks, regulatory changes and other risk factors as described in the Company’s 2003 Annual Report on Form 10-K as filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission.