ISSUES IN PSYCH RESEARCH

Identify each of the following as

1. Hindsight Bias2. Illusory Correlation

3. Overconfidence Bias4. Confirmation Bias

5. False Consensus Effect

Every time we have a test, I forget a #2 pencil.

Illusory Correlation

“That guy who shot all of those people was in my

class. I knew he was going to go on a shooting rampage someday”

Hindsight Bias

Whenever I wear my South Cobb class shirt, we win

the game.

Illusory Correlation

When asked if they are a “better than average”

driver, over 80% of respondents said they

were. The reality was, that of that 80%, 60% had

enough accidents to be “below average”

Overconfidence Bias

I believe that Homer Simpson is a drunk,

therefore I notice and remember how much

Homer drinks and how often he is at the bar, but I don’t recognize the time

he spends with his family.

Confirmation Bias

All Asians are smart.

Illusory Correlation

“Of course everyone believes in our right to protect ourselves and carry a gun, right?”

False Consensus

“I knew she was going to give us a test today”

Hindsight Bias

“Every time a black cat crosses my path I have

bad luck”

Illusory Correlation

“I am certain that I scored at least a 90 on that

project”

Overconfidence Bias

“I can’t believe that vote passed, no one wants

alcohol sales on Sunday”

False Consensus

How can each of the following affect our research in psych?

Hindsight Bias?

Illusory Correlation?

Overconfidence Bias?

Confirmation Bias?

False Consensus

Let’s review and then move on to statistics… woo hoo!!!!

As we read the following, add to your notes to further explain anything that you do not understand. Remember, an FRQ from the Research Unit has the most chance of appearing on the AP exam in May so we want to BE SURE we have it down… even if it feels like “overconfidence bias”

http://www.appsychology.com/Book/ResearchM/researchhome.htm