it is time to welcome you once again to a...

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1 Student Profiles 3 TISS New Faces XIV 4 Honor Student Dinner 6 Faculty Seminar 7 Energy and Security Iniave 8 American Grand Strategy 10 Execuve Educaon 11 Outreach 12 Duke University Peter Feaver, Director Henry (Hal) Brands University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill Wayne Lee Karen Hagemann Patricia Sullivan North Carolina State University William Boecher John Mangly North Carolina Central University Rolin Mainuddin Carolyn Pumphrey Associate Director Alexandra Pfadt, AGS/TISS Program Coordinator Jennifer Akin Program Coordinator, Execuve Educaon Programming 132 Rubenstein Hall Box 90316 302 Towerview Drive Duke University Durham, NC 27708-0316 Telephone: 919-613-9280 ss-nc.org This was a year in which our campus partners took the lead in programming while TISS central devoted the lion’s share of our scarce resources, me and energy, to preparing for possible major expansions and new partnerships. Some of these efforts came to fruion. We have just learned that TISS has been selected to be an Intelligence Community Center of Academic Excellence. We will have more to report soon on this major new iniave. For now, it suffices to say that it promises to be one of the most ambious, excing, and rewarding ventures TISS has pursued in years. Although we elected not to host a spring conference this year, we did connue other core programs and signature events. We hosted the Fourteenth Annual New Faces Conference, and once again engaged in lively debates at the cung edge of scholarship. We got a peek at what the next generaon of scholars might look like with the undergraduate honors thesis night. We heard from a young professor, Miguel La Serna, about his excing interdisciplinary research into the Shining Path. And we welcomed back an “old face,” Ole Hols, Professor Emeritus at Duke University, for a vigorous discussion on the lessons of the Iraq War. We hosted an Army War College team who led us in a challenging crisis simulaon that focused on the current conflict between South China Sea claimant states of the People's Republic of China, Vietnam and the Philippines. And TISS members shared the results of their research through our Speakers Bureau, which provided some 16 speakers for local and regional groups to talk about these “interesng mes” in which we live. On a lighter note, this year we had the first and possibly the first- annual TISS basketball challenge between the UNC-TISS Military Fellows and the Duke Counterterrorism and Public Policy Fellows. The teams consisted of four military fellows plus one faculty captain. Alas, the Duke team was hobbled by having me as the captain – a handicap no amount of energy and team spirit could overcome. The rest of our exceponally lively program came through our increasingly valuable partnerships on our core campuses and is well documented in the newsleer. I hope reading it whets your appete to join us in this coming year, which is shaping up to be even livelier.

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Page 1: It is time to welcome you once again to a newtiss-nc.org/wp-content/uploads/2014/12/TISS_Newsletter2014.pdf · AGS/TISS Program oordinator ... Maureen “Mo” Hartney | is a first-year

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Student Profiles 3 TISS New Faces XIV 4 Honor Student Dinner 6 Faculty Seminar 7 Energy and Security Initiative 8 American Grand Strategy 10 Executive Education 11 Outreach 12

Duke University Peter Feaver, Director Henry (Hal) Brands

University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill Wayne Lee Karen Hagemann Patricia Sullivan

North Carolina State University William Boettcher John Mattingly

North Carolina Central University Rolin Mainuddin

Carolyn Pumphrey Associate Director

Alexandra Pfadt, AGS/TISS Program Coordinator

Jennifer Akin Program Coordinator, Executive Education Programming

132 Rubenstein Hall Box 90316 302 Towerview Drive Duke University Durham, NC 27708-0316 Telephone: 919-613-9280

tiss-nc.org

This was a year in which our campus partners took the lead in programming while TISS central devoted the lion’s share of our scarce resources, time and energy, to preparing for possible major expansions and new partnerships. Some of these efforts came to fruition. We have just learned that TISS has been selected to be an Intelligence Community Center of Academic Excellence. We will have more to report soon on this major new initiative. For now, it suffices to say that it promises to be one of the most ambitious, exciting, and rewarding ventures TISS has pursued in years.

Although we elected not to host a spring conference this year, we did continue other core programs and signature events. We hosted the Fourteenth Annual New Faces Conference, and once again engaged in lively debates at the cutting edge of scholarship. We got a peek at what the next generation of scholars might look like with the undergraduate honors thesis night. We heard from a young professor, Miguel La Serna, about his exciting interdisciplinary research into the Shining Path. And we welcomed back an “old face,” Ole Holsti, Professor Emeritus at Duke University, for a vigorous discussion on the lessons of the Iraq War.

We hosted an Army War College team who led us in a challenging crisis simulation that focused on the current conflict between South China Sea claimant states of the People's Republic of China, Vietnam and the Philippines. And TISS members shared the results of their research through our Speakers Bureau, which provided some 16 speakers for local and regional groups to talk about these “interesting times” in which we live.

On a lighter note, this year we had the first and possibly the first-annual TISS basketball challenge between the UNC-TISS Military Fellows and the Duke Counterterrorism and Public Policy Fellows. The teams consisted of four military fellows plus one faculty captain. Alas, the Duke team was hobbled by having me as the captain – a handicap no amount of energy and team spirit could overcome.

The rest of our exceptionally lively program came through our increasingly valuable partnerships on our core campuses and is well documented in the newsletter. I hope reading it whets your appetite to join us in this coming year, which is shaping up to be even livelier.

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It is time to welcome you once again to a new academic year and to provide you with a brief report on developments of the past year. The Triangle Institute for Security Studies, we are happy to say, is flourishing.

From an administrative point of view, very little changed this past year. We did streamline our office, and our staff now have rather clearer lines of responsibility than in previous years – Jennifer Akin runs our Executive Education Program, Alexandra Pfadt runs Duke’s Program in American Grand Strategy, and Carolyn Pumphrey runs what Peter Feaver refers to as “TISS Central” – all of course, under his continued guidance.

Academic year 2013-14 was an important one for us because we sought renewed commitments from two of our three constituent universities – Duke and UNC-Chapel Hill. Our thanks go to the Provost’s Office and the Dean’s office at UNC and to the Provost’s Office, Office of Global Strategy and Programs, and Arts and Sciences at Duke for their warm response to our requests.

Our financial position was also strengthened this year through a number of awards. Both Bradley and Earhart offered support for New Faces and we were able to roll over Bradley funds to FY16. The NCSU Kenan Institute for Engineering, Technology, and Science has agreed to renew support for our Energy and Security Initiative in the coming year. And the School of Public and International Affairs and the TISS Energy and Security Initiative will receive some additional support out of a grant from National Nuclear Security Administration. We owe this to John Mattingly, who made us partners in a proposal to advance research and development in enabling capabilities for nonproliferation. AGS continues to benefit from the generosity of Duke alums. Finally, we were successful in our bid for a federal grant to support the development of the study of intelligence and security. The award of $1.86 million will be shared among UNC-CH (the lead-school in this effort), Duke, NCSU, and NCCU. The focus of this program will be on the development of new courses which will provide a deeper understanding of the intelligence process and its relevance to security. Funding will also be used to support speaker series, an annual colloquium, and other educational opportunities.

From a programmatic standpoint we were quite busy this year, though we deliberately chose not to

host a spring conference to allow time for institutional development. The events we held were evenly distributed across our three campuses. At North Carolina State University, we focused on issues related to energy and security and/or nuclear non-proliferation. On the Duke campus, Grand Strategy dominated the conversation. Among the exciting events were a lecture by GEN David Petraeus (US Army, Retired) and a debate over the Snowden leaks between General Michael V. Hayden and Prize-winning journalist Barton Gellman. Chapel Hill was the venue for our flagship events – New Faces (for graduate students) and the honor student presentations.

We also organized a number of seminars and visits to classrooms and, through sponsorship of the Richard Krasno Lecture Series, the Gender, War and Culture Series, and History of the Military, War, and Society standing seminars ensured that our members would continue to enjoy first-class presentations by diplomatic and military historians. As has been true for the last few years, TISS and its partnering programs (ESI and AGS) invested in experiential education, taking students to visit Oak Ridge National Laboratory and to Washington DC to get first- hand experience of some key government organizations. We also organized several simulations.

Our partnership with the military and our service to the general public continue to be of central importance to us. Our intellectual lives were again enriched by the presence on our campus of the national security fellows. Thanks in good measure to the energy of an “old” New Face, Carolyne Davidson, we are developing ever closer ties with NDU’s Fort Bragg campus – to our mutual benefit. As always, we welcomed interested members of the general public to our events. And as always, members of our Speakers Bureau stood ready to speak to civic groups, teachers, and educators about compelling security challenges of the day.

Over the course of the year we have tried to improve our ability to keep our members informed of what we are doing and to increase the visibility of TISS. Our “bundling” efforts have met with mixed response – we have not found the perfect formula as yet. We hope, however, that some other measures will eventually result in providing you with enough, but not too much information. Two UNC students have helped us move into the twenty-first century with a Twitter account and we are in the midst of a website revamp which should come complete with an Continues…

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Continued… integrated calendar to keep viewers current on upcoming events. We expect this to go live some time this Fall.

Thanks to all of you for your support. We look forward to seeing you in the coming year.

Maureen “Mo” Hartney | is a first-year Masters of Public Policy candidate at Duke's Sanford School. She spent six years as an Active Duty Air Force Intelligence Officer prior to attending Duke. She is running our outreach program this year.

Meet two UNC undergraduates who have pitched in to help keep students and others informed about TISS events. Mary Frances and Emily have created a twitter site and a Facebook site for us and will be maintaining it for us in their senior year.

| is a senior majoring

in Journalism and Peace, War & Defense with a minor in French. This past summer she interned at McKinney, an advertising agency in Durham. Although she's a Virginia native, Buoyer has kept herself busy during her time in North Carolina as a former member of the

executive board of Camp Kesem North Carolina, a strategist for Heelprint Communications, and a reporter for the Daily Tar Heel.

| is a senior Peace, War &

Defense and Spanish major with a minor in Biology. She interned at the International Institute for Strategic Studies (IISS), a global think-tank on military conflict and international security in Washington, DC after her junior year. She is currently developing a senior honors thesis on Pakistani nuclear doctrine. Emily also spent six months at the University of

Sevilla, is on the UNC Waterski team and is a three-year committee member for UNC Dance Marathon.

| TISS interest in climate change as a security problem dates back to its 2007

conference on the “National Security Implications on Global Climate Change.” The issue has a natural tie in with our focus on energy and we have been developing ever closer ties with the SE Climate Science Center. This summer, to our great good fortune, Paige Breen, a rising junior at Yale University, who was interning with the Center, generously volunteered to work with us also. When not helping our colleagues enter data into the Global Change Monitoring Portal, she was compiling a data base for TISS on scholars and practitioners who study the intersection of climate change and security. This will be invaluable to us as we move forward. We are in her debt.

Founded by a TISS fellow over a decade ago, invites you to log on and sample their articles: www.unc.edu/depts/

diplomat/

We are happy to say that the very successful UNC Richard H. Krasno Lecture Series, organized by Klaus

Larres, will continue this year. Sponsored by TISS they have been

drawing large crowds and videos are posted online at https://

www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLctYgE-cUDs6b1jAyz3d8V_ie7JSDaE7c

HWMS programs will be suspended for the coming year, but the Gender and

War series will continue. For information on upcoming events: http://events.unc.edu/event/duke-unc-gender

-war-and-culture-series/

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The Fourteenth Annual TISS New Faces Conference, generously funded by the Bradley Foundation, was held on 20-21 September 2013 at the Friday Center in Chapel Hill, North Carolina. Eighty eight people registered as speakers, discussants, and attendees.

In contrast to some years, we had nearly as many historians as political scientists apply as speakers, resulting in a more balanced program. Discussants, too, were drawn from more disciplines than ever before: history, political science, communication studies, sociology, psychology, anthropology, and law, ensuring very lively interdisciplinary exchange. We also received applications from a wider variety of universities than in the past: represented at the conference were UNC-Chapel Hill, Duke University, the University of California at San Diego, MIT, Ohio State University, Columbia, Michigan, and the University of Wisconsin – Madison.

Speakers are chosen on the strength of their proposals, their academic achievements, and letters of recommendations. The selection committee does not let the desire for thematic unity govern their decision. Despite this, the conference had considerable coherence.

Though they approached the issue from a variety of perspectives and disciplines, three speakers dealt in one form or another with domestic “repression.” Historian Mary Beth Chopas (whose training in law clearly informed her work) focused on how federal agencies created restrictions on Italians in the United States during WW II. Her study provided a lens through which to think about the ongoing challenge of balancing national security interests and the need to preserve civil liberties. Sameer Lalwani and Christopher Sullivan, both political scientists, focused on repression in Asia and Latin America. Relying on unique data collected from the confidential records of Guatemalan National Policy, Sullivan showed how government forces employed coercion to subvert challenges by directing repression against radical mobilization. Sameer Lalwani examined the strategic constraints and incentives that help explain the variation among strategies employed to deal with rebellion.

Historians Oliver Murphey and Scott Mobley both provided a richly nuanced view of the nature of U.S. foreign policy and the forces that shape it. Murphey focused on the relationship between the United States and Latin America during the Cold War. The Eisenhower Administration, though often perceived as hardline anti-communist, provided foreign aid to Bolivia, and in so doing supported a government that had had a violent revolution. This suggests, he said that American policymakers were less driven by anti-communist ideology and more malleable than is usually thought. Mobley drew attention to the role played by the navy in influencing American foreign policy in the twentieth century. He attributed this to the development (1873-1923) of a strategy-centered navy, which in turn was influenced by the progressive movement.

Political scientists Jonathan Markowitz and Danielle Lupton both considered the role of leaders in foreign policy. Markowitz asked when and why leaders project power. He concluded that political interests and institutions both play a role. To illustrate his theory, he discussed the reaction of neighboring powers when ice-melt in 2007 led to the sudden exposure of Arctic energy resources. Lupton asked whether or not individual leaders can develop a

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reputation for resolution independent from the state. She concluded that they can – a thesis that has strong implications for the study of state conflict behavior and accentuates the relative importance of leaders in shaping the direction of international relations. Finally, Eleonora Mattiacci, also a political scientist, sought to impress upon the audience the significance of volatility as an explanation for conflict. Defining this as inconsistent shifts between cooperative and conflictual actions, and distinguishing it from unstable foreign policy, she argued that volatile relations breed violence by increasing states’ uncertainty over the likelihood of conflict recurrence, which in turn increases the probability of conflict.

The conference ended with the reflections of Professor Timothy McKeown. He focused on suggesting some of the ways in which security studies scholarship had changed over the decades. First, in contrast to scholars of the eighties and nineties, he noted, discussion was no longer dominated by high theory. This year’s New Faces speakers focused on how domestic politics and processes, whether organizational or psychological, interacted with the state’s position in the international environment. Second, the New Faces gave their studies a clear explanatory center, but at the same time were first and foremost concerned to find a good answer to a question. This search transcended devotion to discipline. Third, all the presentations were marked by relaxed and non-sectarian views and were not

driven by a desire to show off a method. The speakers showed an interest in and awareness of other viable methodologies. Good connections were made across disciplinary boundaries. Fourth, most, if not all of the papers, were responsive to current policy problems. These can all be regarded as healthy developments in the field. He then moved on to offer some nuggets of wisdom to those entering the job field, and concluded by expressing the hope that these students would resist the temptation to remain insulated from other disciplines. Overall, this was a very successful event, intellectually rigorous and rewarding for both audience and participants. The substantive and challenging discussions were interspersed by ample breaks which provided everyone with a chance to do some informal networking. The welcoming reception at the Aloft Hotel Bar on Thursday night gave New Faces a chance to get to know one another and, in some cases, meet their discussant before presenting. On Friday evening, participants met at an Italian restaurant - 411 West - in downtown Chapel Hill to continue the day’s conversation over an excellent meal. The two day event ended with a traditional Carolina Barbeque at the Friday Center which was open not just to speakers but to attendees. The Junior and Interdisciplinary Conference established in 2000

has by now come to be seen as one of the flagship programs of the Triangle Institute for Security Studies. We know that faculty members across the United States encourage their best students to apply and that old New Faces attribute their success in no small measure to the experience gained at this event. Many among our own community (myself included) rank this as one of their favorite events of the year. New Faces XIV maintained and even exceeded expectations. We are deeply grateful to the Bradley Foundation for its ongoing support.

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The memory of conflict in the forging of Jewish identity in Uganda. Cyber-warfare in Georgia and the Ukraine in the first decade of the twenty-first century. The source of trade disputes between the United States and China. The rejection of multilateral treaties by the U.S. Senate. These were the richly varied topics we were introduced to at the Tenth Annual Honor Student Dinner on 15 April, 2014. The speakers were four extraordinarily gifted young men and women: Hannah Nemer and Julia Nething from UNC-Chapel Hill, Ethan Ruby, from Duke University, and Julia Schast, from Elon University.

As in previous years, the speakers chosen to address the TISS audience at the very end of their undergraduate careers already stand out for their remarkable achievements in a variety of arenas – some fluent in multiple languages, others winners of multiple awards, others dedicated to community service. All are headed for an interesting future. Hannah is pursuing a career in the making of film documentaries and Julia Schast a career in law. Julia Nething is entering the world of cyber security and Ethan Ruby private industry.

The evening began with Ethan Ruby, who majored in Public Policy Studies and Asian and Middle Eastern Studies with a concentration in Chinese, and minored in Economics. His honors thesis bore the stamp of first –hand experience in Beijing where he interned for the China fund of a major American venture capital firm, working closely with several Chinese internet start-ups. He discussed how misconceptions by the American public concerning the importance of manufacturing in the U.S. economy, political rhetoric, and fear of China’s rise led the United States to implement a series of economically ill- advised protectionist tariffs on Chinese goods. These tariffs in turn led to an increase in WTO disputes between the United States and China. Given the severe economic consequences and the

growing importance of Sino-American trade relations, Ethan argued, it is imperative the United States actively seeks to curb protectionism and reduce trade disputes with China. Next came Hannah Nemer, who double majored in Peace, War, and Defense and International American Studies. Like Ethan, Hannah’s project was enriched by global experience. She spent the summer after her sophomore year conducting ethnographic research on conflict memory in Uganda's minority Abayudaya Jewish community. She kept her audience spellbound with a passionate introduction to this group, which self-converted to Judaism in 1919 and then suffered repression when Idi Amin (1971-1979), banned the practice of Judaism in that country. Hannah showed how, since the 1979 overthrow of Amin, the community has worked to strengthen its communal religious identity while solidifying its place within Judaism’s transnational

imagined community, often though narrating the community's collective history of conflict. Julia Nething, who majored in Peace, War, and Defense and minored in Computer Science and Russian Culture at

UNC Chapel Hill, followed Hannah at the podium. Her research, which focused on a newly emerging security concern, and took good advantage of her STEM skills, led her into challenging new territory. Under what conditions, she asked, might a state might decide to resort to cyber-warfare? In the absence of a large data base, Julia turned to the 2007 Estonian attacks and the 2008 Georgian attacks for insights. Both of these are believed to have been perpetrated by the Russian Federation. She concluded that are three conditions for cyber warfare: when the state wants to utilize

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Each year, TISS likes to highlight the research of one or more of our junior faculty members. This year, it was our special delight to attend a lecture by Miguel la Serna, an Assistant Professor of History at UNC-Chapel Hill. The author of a number of highly regarded works on Peruvian history, Dr. La Serna is currently working on a study that explores the ways in which MRTA guerrillas and the Peruvian state used historical memory and nationalist symbolism to promote, achieve, and thwart revolutionary change in late-twentieth-century Peru. His talk was cosponsored by the Institute for the Study of the Americas and so, rather than invite a small group of researchers to offer focused criticism of his work in progress, we decided to open the talk - Fire in The Andes - to a general audience.

We saw many faces in the room that we had not seen before at TISS events and even received a very warm thank you letter from an enthusiastic middle-school student. The lecture was held in the lovely and airy room at the top of the Fed Ex Global Education Center. Everyone feasted happily beforehand on authentic Peruvian food including tilapia ceviche. We then were treated to a remarkable presentation that blended scholarship with a beguiling candor. La Serna helped us understand not only the nature of conflict in the Andes, but the fun and the challenges of scholarship. He is blazing new trails, exploiting methodologies of not just historians but also anthropologists, trying to get a deeper understanding of events in the face of sometimes intractable sources, and working to gain the trust of reticent individuals. I think I am not alone in eagerly awaiting his next publication.

ambiguity or surprise, when the state lacks commitment to resources, or when the state wants to commit a war on all fronts (both cyber and physical).

The last speaker was Julia Schast, an International Studies major with minors in History, Political Science, and Criminal Justice Studies, headed for law school. With remarkable command of detail – she spoke without notes or slides – Julia made a compelling case as to why multilateral treaties face delay and defeat in the United States Senate. She concluded that the most significant factors in obstructing ratification are the lack of active presidential advocacy, the impact of partisanship on the relationship between the President and the Senate, and the influence of individual senators holding key leadership positions who oppose ratification.

It was truly a wonderful evening – a Platonic blend of intellectual stimulation, excellent companionship, and really tasty food. The four speakers did credit to themselves and to their programs. All clearly had engaged in scholarly research of the highest standards, all were deeply engaged with their material, and all answered questions from the eclectic audience with poise and confidence. As always, this is an event profoundly gratifying to all of us who teach and to all of us who recognize the vital importance of security studies. Thanks, Ethan, Hannah, Julia, and Julia and best of luck to you in your future!

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Interdisciplinary discussions of Energy and Security continue: Our group meets once a month during the regular academic year in the 1911 building to discuss key challenges in energy and security. This year’s offerings were: Matthew Veal, NCSU Biological and Agricultural Engineering speaking on the security implications of biofuels (September), John Mattingly, NCSU Nuclear Engineering, speaking on the security vulnerabilities of the Nuclear Fuel Cycle (October), Andrew Binder, NCSU Communication speaking on Risk Perceptions and Energy Choices (November), Adam Terando and Michael Cobb doing a joint presentation on Climate Science (January); Tana

Johnson, Duke discussing international energy policy in general and her experiences with the Global Governance Futures program (February); Lada Kochtcheeva, NCSU on domestic energy challenges (March); and Kyle Beardsley, who closed the season leading a discussion on nuclear

weapons and the security dilemma. The meetings quite deliberately all featured local talent. They have served our mission by bringing together scholars in different fields who share an interest in energy, but whose paths have not necessarily crossed. These luncheons also provided a forum for the first joint meeting by the members of ESI and the members of the

Climate Change Center - a group with which we expect to build an enduring relationship .

| On October 10-11, 2013 ten students traveled with Professors Caddell and Pumphrey to Oak Ridge National Laboratory in Oak Ridge, TN. Oak Ridge is the Department of Energy’s largest multiprogram science and energy laboratory with scientific and technical capabilities ranging from basic to applied research. TISS was able to provide transportation and lodging for the students, nine of whom were enrolled in Joseph Caddell’s Nuclear Security in the 21st Century course, one of whom was a student of Bill Boettcher (NCSU). “It was phenomenal to be able to learn from people actively participating in the United States strategic defense,” said sophomore political science major Joseph Natt. By visiting Oak Ridge, we gained insight into practical applications relevant to the course.” The students attended a series of lectures delivered by a wide range of top employees from Oak Ridge. The speakers, ranging from ranging from scientists to political theorists spoke about the differing issues surrounding nuclear security. “Oak Ridge not only showed me how people in defense apply their knowledge, but it also gave me the chance to see there are many diverse careers in the defense community,” said sophomore business major Austin Jackson. T tour of X-10, the world’s first reactor designed and built for continuous operation in 1942 complemented the lecture series. Photos (top): Graphite X2 Reactor—control room; log book noting when the reactor first went critical, reactor face, students attending the workshop.

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As you know, the TISS/NCSU Energy and Security

Initiative is linked to a program on nuclear security and non-proliferation. These are overlapping, though not necessarily coincidental, concerns and, while our efforts are rooted at NCSU, we work closely with students and faculty at UNC-CH and Duke.

Over the course of academic year 2013-14, we organized a number of nuclear-related talks as part of this broad effort. Two of our energy luncheons focused on this issue - the first was given by John Mattingly, a nuclear engineer at NCSU, who spoke on the vulnerabilities of the nuclear fuel cycle; and the third was given by Kyle Beardsley, a political scientist at Duke , who addressed the nuclear security dilemma.

We organized a number of nuclear-focused events specifically designed for students. In the fall of 2013, with the help of Lisa Marshall, we took students from UNC and NCSU on a tour of NCSU’s pulstar reactor as we have done in previous years. This time, we were treated to the gold plated tour and our students were invited to look into the cooling pond – to their obvious delight. We also accompanied another group of students to Oak Ridge Nuclear Laboratory for a day long workshop on nuclear security. As in the past, this was a great success.

In addition, we brought in a number of guest speakers from outside the Triangle. In October, Lawrence Grinter, a prolific author and expert just retired from the US Air War College gave a talk on Chinese nuclear weapons and policies on the UNC campus and one on Kim Jong Un and North Korean nuclear policy at NCSU. In November, Jim Walsh, a

research associate at MIT, who has directly dealt with the leadership of both countries, spoke to a class at UNC and at NCSU on the Iranian and North Korean nuclear programs. And in April, Neil Joeck former national intelligence officer and expert on proliferation on South Asia, gave a public talk on non-proliferation in South Asia and spoke to a class at UNC-Chapel Hill on nuclear intelligence.

Our programs are growing – so too are the number of experts in the area who can contribute to the intellectual formation of the growing body of students eager to learn about the field. Robert Reardon, who holds his doctorate from MIT, and who will join the Political Science faculty at North Carolina State University this fall, is engaged in research that focuses on the use of coercion and positive inducements in nuclear nonproliferation policy. He also works on the effects of the innovation and diffusion of dual-use technologies in international security. Kathleen Vogel, the new director of the NCSU’s science, technology and society program has interests in nuclear energy, energy security, and weapons of mass destruction (both nuclear and biological) and will likewise play a key role in developing our Energy and Security Initiative. At Duke, Kyle Beardsley comes at the nuclear issues from a somewhat different angle – its tie in to international conflict resolution. He will be teaching a class on nuclear weapons and non-proliferation this fall. Meanwhile, Joe Caddell’s class on nuclear security at UNC is increasing in size. We are also grateful to note a number of our most talented students continuing their studies in this field after graduation. We think, in short, that we are approaching the critical mass needed to really make this effort take off.

Our National Security Fellows are available to talk on the following subjects. For a full list of TISS Speakers, visit our website or contact Maureen Hartney ([email protected]).

Colonel Kevin C. Leahy: Military Leadership; Security Issues in Central Africa; Unconventional Warfare; U.S. Military Support to Foreign Internal Defense (The Role of a Military Advisor) Colonel Colin Tuley: Leadership (Easily adapted to different audiences); Leading in Combat; Developing, Leading, and Caring for Soldiers

and Families; For ROTC, specifically: Being a Future Platoon Level (or any other Army-specific topic)

Colonel John Reim: Leadership; Defense Acquisition; Capability Requirements Generation; Resourcing (Year of execution and Program Objective Memorandum development); System Development (RDTE, contracting, testing, fielding, life cycle

sustainment); Program Management (cost, schedule, performance, and politics)

Lieutenant Colonel Naumann: Response Force; Special Operations; Army Leadership; Surviving Cancer

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AGS is an interdisciplinary program that blends education and scholarship. Our mission is to raise future leaders by having students study past strategists and engage with current leaders. Through workshops, distinguished lectures, and courses, participants in AGS have the opportunity to interact with leaders from the world of policy as well as the best scholars writing on these topics today. At Duke we have distinctive strengths in political science and public policy, including a diversity of experience across the partisan divide, as well as a rich tradition of close collaboration with

military and diplomatic history. AGS is a signature program for Duke students interested in national security policymaking.

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This past year, AGS had a year of a great deal of growth. AGS hosted a range of distinguished speakers from former director of the CIA, General David Petraeus (US Army, Retired), to the former US Ambassador to Afghanistan, Karl Eikenberry, along with Pulitzer Prize-winning journalist Barton Gellman and former director of the NSA and CIA, General Michael Hayden (USAF, Retired). Boasting a full schedule, AGS hosted ten distinguished visitors in addition to those listed and co-sponsored 16 topical programs and conferences.

Our students traveled to Gettysburg National Battlefield for a staff ride, assessed Operation Anaconda in Afghanistan in a virtual staff ride attended by Master Chief Britt Slabinski who actually participated in the operation, and networked with officials in the State Department, White House, and Pentagon while on a trip to DC. AGS continues to provide its students with an opportunity to engage outside of the classroom through these and other experiential learning activities.

AGS also expanded its efforts of linking up alumni with existing students, hosting several career panels at Duke and happy hour events in DC. AGS is partnering with the Duke in DC offices along with other organizations related to international affairs to develop new networking opportunities for students.

For more information on upcoming AGS events for the 2014-15 year, or to see more about previous events visit us online at http://www.agsduke.com.

|Over the course of two weeks this past June, I ventured from RDU to Heathrow, across the English Channel, walked the beaches of Normandy, and pushed ahead to Paris. My abbreviated version of the Allied invasion of France happened to coincide with the 70th anniversary of the D-Day. My travels were in anticipation of AGS’s greatest new undertaking: an international staff ride. Next March, we intend to travel with a group of approximately 40 students, alumni, and program supporters to map out the planning phases, invasion, and implications of D-Day. Each participant will be assigned a role for the staff ride, ranging from Rommel and Eisenhower to British paratroopers and French resistance fighters, which they will research and present on during the trip. A staff ride is an experiential learning tool intended to better understand leadership and decision-making, as it relates to military history. The group in March will follow a path laid out nearly 70 years ago by the Allied commanders, and I retraced several months ago. My mission differed quite greatly from the original invaders, as I focused on planning the group’s itinerary, investigating travel options, and scouting out local venues.

Model of Eisenhower and troops at Airborne Museum.

(Top) Amb Eikenberry meeting with fellows; (middle) Peter Baker, New York Times White House correspondent with students; (below) Gen. Petraeus delivers the Ambassador Dave and Kay Phillips Family International lecture on 9/11/14.

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One of TISS’ hallmarks has always been to explore innovative

approaches to studying and bridging the civil-military gap. Now entering its fourth year of administering the UNC-TISS National Security Fellowship program, it is only fitting to reflect on how this past year’s Fellows were able to work toward that goal.

The NSFP is a Senior Service School equivalent program administered on behalf of the U.S. Army War College through the University of North Carolina. It was envisioned as a way to pull senior Army officers out of the traditional military school house, and place them in civilian universities. While here, they pursue research interests of strategic import, and take time to reflect on their careers and experience within the broader strategic context. This past year, UNC and TISS hosted COL Rich Menhart, COL Chuck Masaracchia, COL Mike Copenhaver, and COL Bob Curris. Collectively, they interacted with over 300 students, 150 cadets/midshipmen, and 20 Faculty members at UNC, Duke, and NCSU. They took part in various public panels and lectures across the campuses, engaged with ROTC units in the area, and presented as guest lecturers in several courses, and met with visiting military and civilian policy and decision-makers.

As a capstone to their time at UNC, the Fellows organized a culminating conference where they presented their own research to an academic and military audience. Topics included:

“The Integration of Minorities into Special Operations: How Cultural Diversity Enhances Operations” – COL Mike Copenhaver

“Interdependence: A Requirement for Success” – COL Chuck Masaracchia “SOF: The ‘Smart’ Choice for Soft Power” – COL Bob Curris

We hope you will join us in congratulating the 2013-2014 UNC-TISS National Security Fellows on the completion of the Fellowship program. Additionally, we ask that you welcome the 2014-2015 UNC-TISS Fellows into the TISS community: COL Kevin Leahy, COL Colin Tuley, COL John Reim, and LTC(P) Scott Naumann.

Additional information on the UNC-TISS National Security Fellowship Program, as well as biographies of current and former Fellows, can be found on our website (nsfp.web.unc.edu) or by Jennifer Akin ([email protected]).

|As each of us head off to write the next chapter of our military careers, we depart with many additional "tools in

our kit bag" from this program. We'll head off to places like the Pentagon, Brigade Command and Army Service Component Headquarters much better having the opportunity to complete this National Security Fellows Program. We've had an opportunity to participate in multiple lecture series events, seminars and exercises. I'd like

to highlight the Crisis Negotiation Exercise, "Operation Anaconda" simulation, Veterans Day Ceremony and the Air Force ROTC Air Force, Eastern Region Silver Wings Society Dining In as just a few of the opportunities that we participated in during our time with the program. I'd be remiss if I didn't mention the 1st annual UNC vs. Duke Fellows basketball challenge. It was a great event for the fellows and academic advisors (Dr. Wayne Lee and Dr. Peter Feaver). It was a win for everyone as we all left the court uninjured! Thanks again to everyone who played a part in making the Triangle Institute for Security Studies Fellowship Program a lasting and memorable experience. Army Strong!

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National Defense University’s College of International Security Affairs, Ft. Bragg enjoyed a significantly closer relationship with TISS for the 2013-14 academic year. All 41 Joint Special Operations MA (JSOMA) students attended a minimum of six TISS events and enjoyed participating in an array of workshops and discussions. The closer civilian-military interaction TISS events afforded our students provoked deeper debate on a host of issues and enriched classroom discussion as a consequence. Additionally, TISS-JSOMA links were strengthened with participation in a negotiation exercise and the JSOMA strategic studies symposium.

From 19 to 21 May 2014, JSOMA held its first annual Strategic Negotiation and Crisis Resolution Exercise. This year's exercise was built around a scenario in which US and NATO forces had entirely withdrawn from Afghanistan after 2014. In 2016, teams representing the Government of the Islamic Republic of Afghanistan (GIRoA), Iran, India, Pakistan, and the Taliban engaged in three days of negotiation concerning regional security, but political and security considerations were sometimes eclipsed by legal and economic factors driven largely by some surprising changes in both the legitimate and illegal markets for Afghanistan's massive opium production. The exercise website, at http://www.jsoma.org/SNCRex14/index.htm, has been archived and includes large amounts of video of the event. This exercise was entirely designed

and run by the highly experienced NCOs, Warrant Officers, and Field-Grade Officers who make up JSOMA's student body. Its primary purpose was to allow the JSOMA faculty to observe how students integrated the lessons of the school's graduate curriculum into their own unique organizational culture. The students, however, had found great value in their interactions with other graduate students in various TISS programs and were eager to gain their participation in this exercise. To ease the participation of civilian TISS students, the exercise was held on the campus of Fayetteville Technical Community College (FTCC). In this first experiment, several graduate students from UNC and Duke University were fully integrated into various country teams, but the goal for next year is to expand TISS participation not only in the exercise itself but also into the Spring semester exercise design elective course that produced it.

Several TISS students also presented their research at the 2nd Annual JSOMA Strategic Studies Symposium event at the end of May. The Symposium differs from typical academic conferences by embracing commentary from both faculty and practitioners based at Ft. Bragg. The panels included an exciting array of papers varying from those focused on women and religion in unconventional warfare to the role of economics and honor in international relations. Next year’s symposium will be held May 14 -15, 2015 and we look forward to welcoming TISS students and faculty at Ft. Bragg in the spring. Next year JSOMA also hopes to facilitate the deeper discussion many of the papers provoke and include several roundtables of civilian and military students and practitioners.

The TISS Speakers Bureau continues to serve the general public and help inform discussion about key issues of national and international security. This year sixteen of our speakers were asked to give one or more talks. As reflects the increasing diversity of our organization, they were drawn from a variety of different backgrounds – political science, history, anthropology, communication, and business. They spoke on a range of topics: humanitarian intervention, energy independence/security, empire, trade-policies, international terrorism, communications and social media’s response to disasters. Some focused on the US, others on other countries – South Africa, Israel, Russia, China, and Japan among them. We are, as always, grateful to those members of our community who sign on as members of this long-standing and very successful program.

Speakers Bureau Members who gave one or more talks :

Peter Redfield, UNC-CH Peter Feaver, Duke University

Richard H. Kohn, UNC-CH Ken Vickery, NCSU

Safia Swimelar, Elon University Vikram Rao, RTEC

Roger Cliff, Independent Author Gerhard Weinberg, UNC-CH Joseph W. Caddell, UNC-CH Christian Lundberg, UNC-CH

Curtis Jones, US State Department, Retired David McNelis, UNC-CH

Klaus Larres, UNC-CH Timothy McKeown, UNC-CH

Andrew Binder, NCSU Robin Dorff, Kennesaw State University

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