j .p. mor ga n avia tion & tr a n spor ta tion con fer en...
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J .P . Mo r ga n Av ia t io n & Tr a n sp o r t a t io n Co n fe r e n c e Ma r c h 1 3 , 2 0 1 2
Forward-Looking Information
Cautionary Statement Regarding Forward-Looking Statements:
This presentation contains ―forward-looking statements‖ that may involve many risks and uncertainties. Forward-looking statements reflect our current
expectations or forecasts of future events. Forward-looking statements generally can be identified by the use of forward-looking terminology such as ―may,‖
―will,‖ ―should,‖ ―expect,‖ ―anticipate,‖ ―intend,‖ ―estimate,‖ ―believe,‖ ―project,‖ ―continue,‖ ―plan,‖ ―forecast,‖ or other similar words, or the negative thereof,
unless the context requires otherwise. These statements reflect management’s current views with respect to future events and are subject to risks and
uncertainties, both known and unknown. Our actual results may vary materially from those anticipated in forward-looking statements. We caution investors not
to place undue reliance on any forward-looking statements. Important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those reflected in such
forward-looking statements and that should be considered in evaluating our outlook include, but are not limited to, the following: our ability to continue to grow
our business and execute our growth strategy, including the timing, execution and profitability of new programs; our ability to perform our obligations and
manage costs related to our new commercial and business aircraft development programs and the related recurring production; margin pressures and the
potential for additional forward-losses on aircraft development programs; our ability to accommodate, and the cost of accommodating, announced increases in
the build rates of certain aircraft, including, but not limited to, the Boeing B737, B747, B767 and B777 programs, and the Airbus A320 and A380 programs; the
effect on business and commercial aircraft demand and build rates of the following factors: continuing weakness in the global economy and economic
challenges facing commercial airlines, a lack of business and consumer confidence, and the impact of continuing instability in global financial and credit
markets, including, but not limited to, any failure to avert a sovereign debt crisis in Europe; customer cancellations or deferrals as a result of global economic
uncertainty; the success and timely execution of key milestones such as deliveries of Boeing’s new B787 and first flight, certification and first delivery of
Airbus’ new A350 XWB aircraft programs, receipt of necessary regulatory approvals, and customer adherence to their announced schedules; our ability to
enter into profitable supply arrangements with additional customers; the ability of all parties to satisfy their performance requirements under existing supply
contracts with Boeing and Airbus, our two major customers, and other customers and the risk of nonpayment by such customers; any adverse impact on
Boeing’s and Airbus’ production of aircraft resulting from cancellations, deferrals or reduced orders by their customers or from labor disputes or acts of
terrorism; any adverse impact on the demand for air travel or our operations from the outbreak of diseases or epidemic or pandemic outbreaks; returns on
pension plan assets and impact of future discount rate changes on pension obligations; our ability to borrow additional funds or refinance debt; competition
from original equipment manufacturers and other aerostructures suppliers; the effect of governmental laws, such as U.S. export control laws and U.S. and
foreign anti-bribery laws such as the Foreign Corrupt Practices Act and United Kingdom Bribery Act, environmental laws and agency regulations, both in the
U.S. and abroad; the cost and availability of raw materials and purchased components; our ability to successfully extend or renegotiate our primary collective
bargaining contracts with our labor unions; our ability to recruit and retain highly skilled employees and our relationships with the unions representing many of
our employees; spending by the U.S. and other governments on defense; the possibility that our cash flows and borrowing facilities may not be adequate for
our additional capital needs or for payment of interest on and principal of our indebtedness; our exposure under our existing senior secured revolving credit
facility to higher interest payments should interest rates increase substantially; the effectiveness of our interest rate and foreign currency hedging programs;
the outcome or impact of ongoing or future litigation, claims and regulatory actions; and our exposure to potential product liability and warranty claims. These
factors are not exhaustive and it is not possible for us to predict all factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those reflected in our
forward-looking statements. These factors speak only as of the date hereof, and new factors may emerge or changes to the foregoing factors may occur that
could impact our business. As with any projection or forecast, these statements are inherently susceptible to uncertainty and changes in circumstances.
Except to the extent required by law, we undertake no obligation to, and expressly disclaim any obligation to, publicly update or revise any forward-looking
statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. You should review carefully the sections captioned ―Risk Factors‖ in our 2011
Form 10-K filed February 23, 2012 for a more complete discussion of these and other factors that may affect our business.
2
• Transformation & Growth
• Strategic Programs
• Financial Performance
• Summary
Agenda
3
Division of $67B company
Controlling some of the costs
100% Boeing supplier
Part of a duopoly
Cost center
Cost manager
Independent ~$5.2B Company
Controlling all of the costs
Global industry partner
Multiple customers
Multiple competitors
Profit maker
Low-cost leader
From To
June 2005 2012
Focused on Execution, Growth and Diversification
4
Transformation & Growth
Strong Long-Term Growth
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030
RP
Ks
(tr
illio
n)
20-year global
traffic growth
CAGR 4.9%
Forecast: 2x
air traffic in 15
years
Source: Airline Monitor, Spirit analysis
5
Air Traffic Growth
Source : Boeing 2011 Commercial Market Outlook
6
Strong Demand for Replacements & Growth Airplanes
7
Well Positioned for Long-Term Value Creation
• Long-cycle business
• 737 in production since 1968
» 737 Classic 1968-1999 — 31 years
» 737NG since 1998 — 14 years
» 737 MAX EIS 2017 —? years
• 747 in production since 1970
» 747 1970-2009 — 39 years
» 747-8 since 2009 — 3 years
• 767 since 1982 — 30 years
• 777 since 1995 — 17 years
• 757 1982-2005 — 23 years
• 78 percent of backlog is not yet in
production or has been in
production for <15 years
B73744%
B78719%
A35011%
B77711%
A3208%
B7473%
A3801%
B7671%
Other2%
2244
Total Backlog: $31.8 Billion
Based on Boeing and Airbus Firm Order
Backlog as of 12/31/11.
Spirit’s Order Backlog
Well Positioned on Best Selling Commercial Airplanes
B737 B747
B777
B767
A320 A380
= Spiri t Responsibility
8
Spirit’s Core Business
Delivered forward fuselage unit #60 to Charleston, SC
Excellent overall product quality
The 787-9 activities are progressing
Continuing to work with supply base in preparation for production ramp-up
Focused on cost reduction initiatives
787
787 Forward Fuselage Cockpit = Spirit Responsibility
787 Forward Fuselage
Successfully Expanding Our Capabilities
9
Growth with Boeing
A350 XWB
Design and build A350 XWB Section 15 and wing front spar in new state-of-the-art composites facility
Initial fabrication of production units underway
Shipped first production center fuselage panels from our North Carolina facility to our Saint-Nazaire, France facility for assembly in 2011, delivered to the customer in the first quarter
Shared investment between Spirit, Airbus, suppliers and local governments
Foundation for future composites expansion
Saint-Nazaire, France
Kinston, North Carolina
= Spirit Responsibility
Leveraging Our Design and Build Capability to New Customers
10
Growth with Airbus
Partnering With Market Leaders
Gulfstream G280
Gulfstream G650 Mitsubishi Regional Jet (MRJ)
Bombardier CSeries
Sikorsky CH-53K
Boeing P-8A Poseidon
Business / Regional Jets Military
= Spiri t Responsibility
11
Diversification Platforms
~ 1,300 HARDWARE PRODUCTION & DESIGN SUPPLIERS
Spirit Worldwide Operations / Aftermarket
Worldwide Supply Base
Successful Management of Global Supply Chain
~ 1,400 Hardware Production & Design
Suppliers
12
Global Resources
Global Customers, Global Competition, Global Supply Base
1313
Extending the Life of Successful Platforms
737 MAX
Entry into Service 2017
Substantially the same content as 737 NG
68-inch fan diameter — improved operating efficiencies
Feb 2012 - To date, the 737 MAX has orders and commitments for more than 1,000 airplanes from 15 customers
= Spirit Responsibility
737 MAX 9
737 MAX 8
Extending Our Core Business Into the Future
14
One time Impacts
Annual Revenues
(1.8)%
10.9% 10.8%
7.4%
8.6%
7.3%
-2%
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
14%
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Operating Margin
$0.14
$2.13 $1.91
$1.37 $1.55
$1.35
$2.00-$2.15
$-
$0.50
$1.00
$1.50
$2.00
$2.50
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012F
EPS (Fully Diluted)
One time impacts
Core Business and 787 Growth
Guidance
Guidance
$3,208
$3,861 $3,772 $4,079 $4,172
$4,864
$5,200-$5,400
$-
$1,000
$2,000
$3,000
$4,000
$5,000
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012F
In M
illio
ns
Financial Results
Volume Driven Growth — Development Efforts Impacting Earnings 14
15
* Partial Year Results… Spirit began operations on June 17, 2005
$224
$274
$180
$211
($14)
$125
($47)
>$300
($50)
$0
$50
$100
$150
$200
$250
$300
$350
2005* 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012F
In M
illio
ns
Cash Flow from Operations Capital Expenditures
$145
$343
$288
$236 $228
$288
$250 ~$250
$0
$50
$100
$150
$200
$250
$300
$350
2005* 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012F
In M
illio
ns
Guidance
Guidance
Strong Cash Flow From Core Business — Reinvesting for Growth
Strong core business cash flow
Customer Advances Advance Repayments
New Program Investments
Volume Increase Dri
vers
New Program Investments
Capacity
Expansion
Maintenance Capital
Dri
vers
Financial Results
16
Solid Balance Sheet to Support Diversification, Growth and Cyclicality
* Partial Year Results… Spirit began operations on June 17, 2005
$722 $618 $595 $588
$894
$1,197 $1,201
$241 $184
$133 $217
$369
$482
$178
$-
$200
$400
$600
$800
$1,000
$1,200
2005* 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
In M
illio
ns
Debt Cash
Cash/Debt Balances Net Debt to Capital
Customer Advances Advance Repayments
Bond Issuancse
Credit-line
$650M
IPO and Customer Advances Stand Alone Financing
Dri
vers
60%
34%
27%
22%25%
28%
34%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
2005* 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Financial Results
17
Strong Customer Demand Demonstrated Quality, Capability, Reliability and Partnership
In-Service Support
Integrated Supply
Chain Management
Product
Design
Carbon Fiber
Fight Deck
Forward
Fuselage
Delivery
Fully integrated supply chain
World class production
Large-Scale
Automation and
Manufacturing
From design using
base materials…
To fully installed,
operational flight
deck…
To reliable delivery
and support
Spirit’s Industry Leading Capability
• Strong long-term market…Captured growth
• Strategically positioned on best programs in commercial aerospace…New program investment peaking
• Moving to positive cash flow
• Looking Forward…
– Focused on productivity and efficiency
– More modest investment environment… Product refresh
– Be more selective on “clean sheet” design opportunities
– Financially strong
18
18 Executing Our Strategy
Summary