japan transport research institute symposium7 cruise capacity share by region 2016* asia * albd =...

30
Japan Transport Research Institute SYMPOSIUM November 30 2016

Upload: others

Post on 13-Sep-2020

1 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: Japan Transport Research Institute SYMPOSIUM7 Cruise Capacity Share by Region 2016* Asia * ALBD = Available Lower Bed Days. Assumes double occupancy per cabin for sale by revenue producing

Japan Transport Research Institute

SYMPOSIUM

November 30 2016

Page 2: Japan Transport Research Institute SYMPOSIUM7 Cruise Capacity Share by Region 2016* Asia * ALBD = Available Lower Bed Days. Assumes double occupancy per cabin for sale by revenue producing

DAVID GOHCLIA AsiaSecretary General

Page 3: Japan Transport Research Institute SYMPOSIUM7 Cruise Capacity Share by Region 2016* Asia * ALBD = Available Lower Bed Days. Assumes double occupancy per cabin for sale by revenue producing

AGENDA•State of Asia Cruise Industry•Attractiveness of Japan as a Destination

• Looking Forward

Page 4: Japan Transport Research Institute SYMPOSIUM7 Cruise Capacity Share by Region 2016* Asia * ALBD = Available Lower Bed Days. Assumes double occupancy per cabin for sale by revenue producing

August 2016August 2016

Page 5: Japan Transport Research Institute SYMPOSIUM7 Cruise Capacity Share by Region 2016* Asia * ALBD = Available Lower Bed Days. Assumes double occupancy per cabin for sale by revenue producing

State of AsiaCruise Industry

5

Asia Cruise Trends

2016 Big Picture

Page 6: Japan Transport Research Institute SYMPOSIUM7 Cruise Capacity Share by Region 2016* Asia * ALBD = Available Lower Bed Days. Assumes double occupancy per cabin for sale by revenue producing

6

Number of Cruise Ships in Asia+12% CAGR

Number of Cruises & Voyages+22% CAGR

Number of Operating Days+14% CAGR

Passenger Capacity (million)+29% CAGR

201343

201660

2013861

20161,560

20134,307

20167,918

20131.51

20163.1

CAGR = Compound Annual Growth Rate

Page 7: Japan Transport Research Institute SYMPOSIUM7 Cruise Capacity Share by Region 2016* Asia * ALBD = Available Lower Bed Days. Assumes double occupancy per cabin for sale by revenue producing

13.8%

2.8%

4.1%

6.1%

9.2%

11.6%

18.7%

33.7%

All Other

South America

Alaska

Australia/New Zealand/Pacific

Europe w/o Med

Mediterranean

Caribbean

7

Cruise Capacity Share by Region2016*

Asia

* ALBD = Available Lower Bed Days. Assumes double occupancy per cabin for sale by revenue producing operating days

Page 8: Japan Transport Research Institute SYMPOSIUM7 Cruise Capacity Share by Region 2016* Asia * ALBD = Available Lower Bed Days. Assumes double occupancy per cabin for sale by revenue producing

8* Percentage Point Change

1.7%

32.9%

19.2%

2.8%

8.7%

2.0%5.3%

-1.4%

Capacity Share Changes by Region(Percentage Point Change/ALBDs* 2015 vs 2016)

Page 9: Japan Transport Research Institute SYMPOSIUM7 Cruise Capacity Share by Region 2016* Asia * ALBD = Available Lower Bed Days. Assumes double occupancy per cabin for sale by revenue producing

774,536

2,080,998

9

Passenger Source Volume – Asia

40%*

*Compound Annual Growth Rate

2012 2015

Page 10: Japan Transport Research Institute SYMPOSIUM7 Cruise Capacity Share by Region 2016* Asia * ALBD = Available Lower Bed Days. Assumes double occupancy per cabin for sale by revenue producing

2016 BIG PICTURE

10

Page 11: Japan Transport Research Institute SYMPOSIUM7 Cruise Capacity Share by Region 2016* Asia * ALBD = Available Lower Bed Days. Assumes double occupancy per cabin for sale by revenue producing

11

Active Cruise Line BrandsIn Asian Waters

Scheduled Port Calls in Asian Countries

Asian Destinations Potential PassengerDestination Days (millions)

201631

20165,500

2016204

201610.9

2016 Big Picture in Asia

Page 12: Japan Transport Research Institute SYMPOSIUM7 Cruise Capacity Share by Region 2016* Asia * ALBD = Available Lower Bed Days. Assumes double occupancy per cabin for sale by revenue producing

12

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%

2016

Length of Cruises & Voyages Offered 2016

Voyages

20+

15‐19 nights

14  nights

11‐13 nights

8‐10 nights

7 nights

4‐6 nights

2‐3 nights

Page 13: Japan Transport Research Institute SYMPOSIUM7 Cruise Capacity Share by Region 2016* Asia * ALBD = Available Lower Bed Days. Assumes double occupancy per cabin for sale by revenue producing

13

60

2

15

21

16

6

Total Mega Large Mid-size Small Expedition

Ships in Asia by Size 2016

Page 14: Japan Transport Research Institute SYMPOSIUM7 Cruise Capacity Share by Region 2016* Asia * ALBD = Available Lower Bed Days. Assumes double occupancy per cabin for sale by revenue producing

14

87

1,473

1,560

Voyages

Asia-Asia

Total

Cruises Offered by Type, 2016

Page 15: Japan Transport Research Institute SYMPOSIUM7 Cruise Capacity Share by Region 2016* Asia * ALBD = Available Lower Bed Days. Assumes double occupancy per cabin for sale by revenue producing

2016 ASIA CRUISETRENDS

15

Page 16: Japan Transport Research Institute SYMPOSIUM7 Cruise Capacity Share by Region 2016* Asia * ALBD = Available Lower Bed Days. Assumes double occupancy per cabin for sale by revenue producing

More Short Sailings 16

Asian Exploration

Attracting Asian TravelersDestinations in Demand

Chinese Cruisers Under 40 Cruisers

Page 17: Japan Transport Research Institute SYMPOSIUM7 Cruise Capacity Share by Region 2016* Asia * ALBD = Available Lower Bed Days. Assumes double occupancy per cabin for sale by revenue producing

17

47.4%

11.0%

8.8%

8.6%

6.1%

6.0%

3.0%

1.9%

1.7%

1.7%

1.6%

1.2%

0.9%

China

Taiwan

Singapore

Japan

Hong Kong

India

Malaysia

Indonesia

Other Asia *

South Korea

Philippines

Thailand

Vietnam

Passenger Volume by Source Market 2015

Page 18: Japan Transport Research Institute SYMPOSIUM7 Cruise Capacity Share by Region 2016* Asia * ALBD = Available Lower Bed Days. Assumes double occupancy per cabin for sale by revenue producing

MORE THAN 4 OUT OF 10 PASSENGERS ARE UNDER 40.

18

Page 19: Japan Transport Research Institute SYMPOSIUM7 Cruise Capacity Share by Region 2016* Asia * ALBD = Available Lower Bed Days. Assumes double occupancy per cabin for sale by revenue producing

19

MORE THAN 8 OUT OF 10Asian passengers cruise within Asia

Page 20: Japan Transport Research Institute SYMPOSIUM7 Cruise Capacity Share by Region 2016* Asia * ALBD = Available Lower Bed Days. Assumes double occupancy per cabin for sale by revenue producing

2013 2016

20

802Asia to Asia Cruises

1,473Asia to Asia Cruises

1.4Mpassenger capacity

3.1Mpassenger capacity

Page 21: Japan Transport Research Institute SYMPOSIUM7 Cruise Capacity Share by Region 2016* Asia * ALBD = Available Lower Bed Days. Assumes double occupancy per cabin for sale by revenue producing

.5%

.5%

1.1%

1.3%

2.5%

8%

12%74%

Asia Passenger Volume Beyond AsiaShare of Asian Source Passenger Volume by International Destination, 2015

21

Mediterranean, Baltic, UK and Ireland

Caribbean, Western US, Hawaii

Alaska, Canada, New England

South Pacific, Australia, New Zealand

Panama Canal, South America

Transatlantic

World Cruises & Voyages (excl. in Asia)

Africa, Middle East

Page 22: Japan Transport Research Institute SYMPOSIUM7 Cruise Capacity Share by Region 2016* Asia * ALBD = Available Lower Bed Days. Assumes double occupancy per cabin for sale by revenue producing

204 DESTINATIONS ACROSS 17 COUNTRIES

22

Page 23: Japan Transport Research Institute SYMPOSIUM7 Cruise Capacity Share by Region 2016* Asia * ALBD = Available Lower Bed Days. Assumes double occupancy per cabin for sale by revenue producing

23

391

SINGAPORE

291

THAILAND

234

TAIWAN

185

HONG KONG

172

INDONESIA

1526

JAPAN

850

CHINA

745

SOUTH KOREA

466

VIETNAM

422

MALAYSIA

2016 Total Port Calls by Destination

Page 24: Japan Transport Research Institute SYMPOSIUM7 Cruise Capacity Share by Region 2016* Asia * ALBD = Available Lower Bed Days. Assumes double occupancy per cabin for sale by revenue producing

2015 Most Visited Asia PortsNine Most Visited

24

Singapore

SINGAPORE

1

South Korea

JEJU ISLAND

2

China

HONG KONG

3

China

SHANGHAIBaoshan

4

Malaysia

PENANG

5

Thailand

PHUKET

6

Malaysia

KUALA LUMPURPort Klang

7

Taiwan

TAIPEIKeelung

8

Vietnam

HO CHI MINH CITYPhu My

9

Page 25: Japan Transport Research Institute SYMPOSIUM7 Cruise Capacity Share by Region 2016* Asia * ALBD = Available Lower Bed Days. Assumes double occupancy per cabin for sale by revenue producing

30%50%

19%

2-3 nights 4-6 nights 7-13 nights

2015 SHORT SAILINGS

25

Asian Passengers Favor Short Duration Cruises

Page 26: Japan Transport Research Institute SYMPOSIUM7 Cruise Capacity Share by Region 2016* Asia * ALBD = Available Lower Bed Days. Assumes double occupancy per cabin for sale by revenue producing

LUXURIOUS EXPERIENCES

HIGH-END SHOPPING

TRADITIONALMENU

OPTIONS

26

Page 27: Japan Transport Research Institute SYMPOSIUM7 Cruise Capacity Share by Region 2016* Asia * ALBD = Available Lower Bed Days. Assumes double occupancy per cabin for sale by revenue producing

CONTRIBUTING SUCCESS FACTORS IN JAPAN

Contributing Factors

• More activities for entertainment and relaxation under one roof

• Off the beaten track• Hassle‐free• Value of money

Opportunities to Improve

• Language barriers• Lack of cultural experience

Page 28: Japan Transport Research Institute SYMPOSIUM7 Cruise Capacity Share by Region 2016* Asia * ALBD = Available Lower Bed Days. Assumes double occupancy per cabin for sale by revenue producing

World Heritage Sites

World Heritage Sites Cultural Experiences Unique Local 

Offerings

Page 29: Japan Transport Research Institute SYMPOSIUM7 Cruise Capacity Share by Region 2016* Asia * ALBD = Available Lower Bed Days. Assumes double occupancy per cabin for sale by revenue producing

JAPAN CONSIDERATION

Page 30: Japan Transport Research Institute SYMPOSIUM7 Cruise Capacity Share by Region 2016* Asia * ALBD = Available Lower Bed Days. Assumes double occupancy per cabin for sale by revenue producing

30