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TRANSCRIPT
Income: Clarity, Relevance and Solutions
Stuart Podmore
Head of Strategic Alliances and Academy Sales
January 2013
For Professional Clients only – not for use by or distribution to retail investors
Investment challenges: Clarity, Relevance, Solutions
Starved for income: Low yields on traditional fixed income and cash necessitate a more diverse approach to generating income.
A new era for bond investing: With interest rates in many countries at historic lows, fixed income investors must adopt a more sophisticated, flexible approach to buying bonds.
Invest in companies, not economies: Investor attitudes have caused many to miss the opportunities presented by healthy companies.
Diversification works: A well-balanced investor might have earned 100% over the most recent ten years despite a tumultuous market.
Why do ‘rejectors’ reject?
Free information deters advice Q: Why have you never used a professional financial adviser? (open response)
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Source: J.P. Morgan Asset Management/Ledbury Research. Base: All who have never used a professional financial adviser (498).
39%
26%
10%
8%
8%
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45%
Can get all the information I need myself for free
Never thought about it/never had the need to
Don't have sufficient savings to require advice
Deterred by cost of advice
Don’t trust the quality of advice available
% of non-users of financial advice
Uncertainty has been a tax on the global economy… but for investors, uncertainty equals opportunity.
If it were just about information, it would be simple…
EURO
DEBT
OIL TAXES
CHINA
IRAN ?
When you wait for certainty, you miss opportunity
S&P 500 Index
Dec 08 Dec 09 Dec 10 Dec 11
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
1,600
25-Nov, 2008: TALF
11-Mar, 2011: Japan tsunami
5-Aug, 2011: US downgraded by
S&P
27-Apr, 2009: S&P downgrades Greek
debt
15-Sep, 2008: Lehman
3-Oct, 2008: TARP
20-Apr, 2010: Gulf oil spill
Feb-27: Chile
earthquake
21-Nov, 2010: EFSF package for
Ireland
Jul-21: Dodd-Frank law
signed
9-Mar, 2009: Market low
6-May, 2010: “Flash crash”
25-Jan, 2011: Egyptian revolution
begins
2-May, 2011: Bin Laden killed
23-Aug, 2011: Gaddafi overthrown
31-Oct, 2011: Kim Kardashian files for
divorce
15-Feb, 2012: unemployment hits
17-yr high in UK
6-May, 2012: Anti-austerity party in
Greece wins
9-Jun, 2012: $125 bn for Spanish banks
30-Sep, 2012: US loses Ryder Cup to
Europe
26-Oct, 2012: Super-storm Sandy
20-Aug, 2011: Kim Kardashian marries Chris Humphreys
26-Jul, 2012: Draghi bumble-bee speech
QE, MEP, Twist, etc.
Source: Standard & Poor’s, www.historyorb.com, J.P. Morgan Asset Management
How investors see the economy shapes the way they invest
My home value is down
The unemployment rate is high
Petrol prices are high
There is too much debt
I don’t want to invest!
What’s on clients’ minds?
Dominant financial planning concerns and aspirations Percentage ‘concerned’ or ‘very concerned’ about the following financial planning issues
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Source: J.P. Morgan Asset Management/Ledbury Research. Base: All respondents (2,028).
39%
31%
26%
18%
10%
11%
10%
7%
39%
44%
45%
37%
29%
20%
14%
14%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90%
Enjoying a comfortable retirement
Getting a decent return on savings
Making the most of my investments
Tax paid on savings & investments
Getting the right insurance/protection
Paying off the mortgage
Affording a good education for my children
Managing debt
Very concerned Concerned
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Handsome yields and low volatility
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Emerging Markets Income…
Source: ZHEJIANG, China (REUTERS) - A road was built around a solitary house in China after an elderly couple refused to sign an agreement to allow their house to be demolished. They say that compensation offered is not enough to cover rebuilding costs, according to local media. Their house is the only building left standing on the road, which was paved through their village.
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Helping you meet these Investment challenges for your clients
Starved for income: Low yields on traditional fixed income and cash necessitate a more diverse approach to generating income.
A new era for bond investing: With interest rates in many countries at historic lows, fixed income investors must adopt a more sophisticated, flexible approach to buying bonds.
Invest in companies, not economies: Investor attitudes have caused many to miss the opportunities presented by healthy companies.
Diversification works: A well-balanced investor might have earned 100% over the most recent ten years despite a tumultuous market.
Client understanding, expertise and knowledge, with a strong focus on income, retirement planning, investments and taxation.
J.P. Morgan Asset Management
For Professional Clients only – not for Retail use or distribution.
This document has been produced for information purposes only and as such the views contained herein are not to be taken as an advice or recommendation to buy or sell any investment or interest thereto. Reliance upon information in this material is at the sole discretion of the reader. Any research in this document has been obtained and may have been acted upon by J.P. Morgan Asset Management for its own purpose. The results of such research are being made available as additional information and do not necessarily reflect the views of J.P.Morgan Asset Management. Any forecasts, figures, opinions, statements of financial market trends or investment techniques and strategies expressed are unless otherwise stated, J.P. Morgan Asset Management’s own at the date of this document. They are considered to be reliable at the time of writing, may not necessarily be all-inclusive and are not guaranteed as to accuracy. They may be subject to change without reference or notification to you. Both past performance and yield may not be a reliable guide to future performance and you should be aware that the value of securities and any income arising from them may fluctuate in accordance with market conditions. There is no guarantee that any forecast made will come to pass.
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Issued in Continental Europe by JPMorgan Asset Management (Europe) Société à responsabilité limitée, European Bank & Business Centre, 6 route de Trèves, L-2633 Senningerberg, Grand Duchy of Luxembourg, R.C.S. Luxembourg B27900, corporate capital EUR 10.000.000.
Issued in the UK by JPMorgan Asset Management (UK) Limited which is authorised and regulated by the Financial Services Authority. Registered in England No. 01161446. Registered address: 25 Bank St, Canary Wharf, London E14 5JP, United Kingdom.
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Stuart Podmore, Head of Strategic Alliances and UK Academy Sales +44 (0) 20 7742 9413 [email protected]