jpm registry provider survey report march 2012

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  • 7/30/2019 JPM Registry Provider Survey Report March 2012

    1/33www.morganmarkets.c

    Australia Equity Research05 March 2012

    Australian Registry ServiceProvider Survey 2012

    A Value Adding Proposition?

    Diversified Financials

    Russell GillAC

    (61-2) 9220-1525

    [email protected]

    Ismar Tuzovic

    (612) 9220-1375

    [email protected]

    J.P. Morgan Securities Australia Limited

    See page 31 for analyst certification and important disclosures, including non-US analyst disclosures.J.P. Morgan does and seeks to do business with companies covered in its research reports. As a result, investors should be aware ththe firm may have a conflict of interest that could affect the objectivity of this report. Investors should consider this report as only a singfactor in making their investment decision.

    The J.P. Morgan and Chartered Secretaries AustraliaAustralian RegistryService Provider Survey 2012provides an overview of the current stateof the Australian registry services industry, the future direction andcompetitive dynamics within the industry.

    The report collates data from surveys of companies in the S&P/ASX200conducted from December 2011 to February 2012.

    The key findings from the survey were:

    The expertise of the registry service provider remains the most

    important factor in the decision to outsource the registry systemmaintenance. Significantly, fewer respondents indicated cost as areason for outsourcing, which now ranks third below quality ofproduct as one of the reasons for outsourcing. Further, 70% ofrespondents believe that share registry providers add value to theirbusiness, up from 55% in last years survey.

    Movement in shareholder numbers has been stagnant in the past 6months, with two-thirds of companies reporting flat or decreasingshareholder numbers, and only ~2% of new shareholders addedthrough IPOs and demergers.

    The customer base remains extremely sticky with only 24% of

    respondents putting the registry contract out to a competitive tenderupon expiry. Additionally, only ~2% of the net Australian market haschanged hands over the last 3 years due to direct competition.

    Computershare received a higher percentage of positive responses foroverall performance than Link (100% vs 85%). In addition, Linkreceived 2 responses indicating its performance had declined over thelast 2 years compared to zero for Computershare.

    Computershare, the largest listed registry service provider, generates~20% of group revenue in Australia.

    Table 1: Australia Registry Services Providers Market Share (No. of Shareholders Administered)

    Registry Service Provider S&P/ASX20* S&P/ASX100* S&P/ASX200*

    Computershare Investor Services 55% 57% 59%Link Market Services 45% 42% 39%Other 0% 1% 2%

    Source: Bloomberg, ASX, Company reports.

    * S&P/ASX Indices as at January 2012.

    Shareholders based on number of registered shareholders at the time of publication of the companys last annual report where available.

    # Included as registry when white-labeled or provided on a bureau basis.

    Chartered Secretaries Australia

    Judith Fox

    (61-2) 9223-5744

    [email protected]

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    Australia Equity Research05 March 2012

    Russell Gill(61-2) [email protected]

    Survey Description...................................................................3Executive Summary .................................................................4

    Industry Overview ....................................................................5

    Competitors ............................................................................................................6

    Reasons for Outsourcing Registry Services..............................................................7

    Adding Value Function?..........................................................................................8

    Contract Length & Pricing Structure........................................................................9

    Contract Negotiations............................................................................................11

    Movement in Shareholder Numbers.......................................................................13

    Competitor Analysis...............................................................15

    Overall Performance .............................................................................................15Cost ......................................................................................................................18

    Future Considerations ...........................................................20

    Appendix .................................................................................21

    Competitor Profiles ............. ............. ............. ............. ............. .............. ............. ...21

    Contract Changes..................................................................................................22

    Initial Public Offerings (IPOs)...............................................................................24

    Secondary Raisings...............................................................................................26

    Share Registry Providers Competition Analysis - Major Markets ............. ............. .28

    J.P. Morgan Australian Registry Services Survey 2012 ............ .............. ............. ...29

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    Australia Equity Research05 March 2012

    Russell Gill(61-2) [email protected]

    Survey Description

    The J.P. Morgan and Chartered Secretaries AustraliaAustralian Registry Service

    Provider Survey 2012provides an overview of the current state of the Australian

    registry services industry, the future direction and competitive dynamics within the

    industry.

    The reasons this survey was conducted:

    Limited specific information released by listed players in the industry and

    currently no specific registry services survey existing for the Australian industry.

    Assist in analysing the impact of current market events on shareholder numbers, a

    key driver of revenue for registry service providers.

    Provide an insight into the key issues that listed companies consider indetermining which registry service provider to use.

    Provide an insight into the non-uniform approach to industry pricing and contract

    structure.

    Provide an insight into the development and implementation of technology

    platforms and cross-sell of products offered by registry service providers.

    Provide an update on activity in the registry service provider space in Australia in

    2011 including contract changes and IPOs.

    This report also contains commentary from J.P. Morgan on the findings from the

    survey and J.P. Morgans forecasts for future company and industry developments.

    Source of Information

    Outside of publicly available information, all the data in this report is sourced from a

    survey of listed companies in the S&P/ASX200. The surveys were conducted from

    December 2011 to January 2012. A copy of the survey appears in the Appendix to

    this report.

    We have not provided a list of the companies that participated in the survey as it was

    conducted on the basis that the participants individual details and responses remain

    anonymous.

    Table 2: ASX Listed Companies Surveyed

    S&P/ASX20* S&P/ASX100* S&P/ASX200*

    Responses received 18 57 87Responses representationNo. companies 90% 57% 44%No, shareholders 91% 78% 72%Market capitalisation 81% 69% 63%

    * S&P/ASX indices as at January 2012

    # Based on number of registered shareholders at the time of publication of the companys last annual report where available.

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    Australia Equity Research05 March 2012

    Russell Gill(61-2) [email protected]

    Executive Summary

    The key findings from the J.P. Morgan and Chartered Secretaries Australia

    Australian Registry Services Provider Survey 2012 are:

    Stable duopoly structure to remain. With the two main competitors contracted

    to ~88% of the companies in the S&P/ASX200 (and more importantly

    representing ~98% of shareholders), the scale and cost advantages over a smaller

    competitor or company internalising the registry function are too significant.

    Market share stable and unlikely to change. With only 24% of registry service

    provider contracts put out to a competitive tender process, and only ~2% of the

    net market changing hands in the last 3 years due to direct competition,

    incumbency is extremely important to market structure. Consequently, large

    IPOs and demergers/spinoffs are important source of potential net growth.However, the frequency and size can vary significantly year on year, with only

    less than 2% of new shareholder accounts created in 2011.

    Computershare vs Link. Computershare received a higher percentage of

    positive responses for overall performance than Link (100% vs 85%). Link

    received 3 responses indicating average overall performance and 1 response

    indicating overall poor performance compared to Computershare where indicated

    performance was rated good or better. Link received 2 responses indicating its

    performance had declined over the last 2 years compared to zero for

    Computershare. Both companies received similar number of responses indicating

    improved overall performance (Computershare 4, Link 5).

    Shareholder numbers remain stagnant. Movement in shareholder numbers

    has been stagnant in the past 6 months with 45% of respondents having seen nochange in shareholder numbers and only 33% respondents witnessing an increase

    in shareholder numbers. This is in line with the results in the 2011 Survey.

    A tougher year for registry service providers. Secondary raisings in 2011

    were much more subdued with only ~A$33bn in secondary equity capital raised

    (2010: ~A$31m 2009: ~A$99bn, 2008: ~A$60bn). Additionally, only 8

    companies in the S&P/ASX200 raised capital in 2011 through rights issues or

    share purchase plans, well down on the prior years (2010: 6, 2009: 20, 2008: 19).

    Additionally, the IPO activity in 2011 was subdued, with the activity mainly

    focused in the smaller resources space with a generally limited number of new

    shareholder accounts (we estimate a total only ~5,000 in the largest 6 IPOs in

    2012).

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    Australia Equity Research05 March 2012

    Russell Gill(61-2) [email protected]

    Industry Overview

    The Australian share registry industry has evolved significantly in the last two

    decades from an internally performed function to a fully outsourced model. Due to

    the scale advantages for outsourced models and specialised systems that the function

    requires, it was too costly for companies to continue to perform the function

    internally. Additionally, growth in share ownership as well as the listing of

    government and mutual organisations with large shareholder bases saw the

    outsourcing model evolve over time.

    While initially the outsourced function was provided by accounting firms which

    already had relationships with companies (mainly through the audit process),

    industry consolidation started to occur when specialised outsourcing companies

    (mainly with an IT focus) started to build scale.

    Notable industry consolidation in the last decade in Australia includes:

    KPMG Registry (Jul-97) Computershare

    Ernst & Young Registry (Jul-97) Computershare

    Coopers & Lybrand Registry Services (Sep-98)Link Market Services

    BT Registries (Aug-01) Computershare

    Pitcher Partners Registry (Apr-04)Link Market Services

    Following years of consolidation, the registry services market has been reduced to

    two dominant players focused on companies listed in the ASX/S&P200. While a

    number of other registry service providers exist in the market, the scale of theiroperations limits these providers to only a few large companies and the small end of

    the market which only require a basic, and cheaper, service offering.

    In December 2009, Link Market Services made an offer to acquire Newreg Pty Ltd,

    the parent company of Registries Limited, the #3 player in the Australian registry

    service provider market. However, in March 2010, the ACCC announced that it

    would oppose the proposed transaction having formed the view that the acquisition

    would be likely to have the effect of substantially lessening competition in the

    national market for the provision of securities registration and related services.

    Registries Limited was subsequently purchased by one of its major shareholders, and

    rebranded to the parent companys name, Boardroom Limited.

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    Australia Equity Research05 March 2012

    Russell Gill(61-2) [email protected]

    Competitors

    Following a decade of industry consolidation, the Australian registry services

    industry now acts as a basic duopoly with the services of 89% of the companieslisted in the S&P/ASX200 contracted to either Computershare Limited (CPU.ASX)

    or Link Market Services Limited (previously ASX Perpetual Registrars Limited,

    unlisted).

    Table 3: Australia Registry Services Providers - Market Share (No. of Contracts Administered

    Company S&P/ASX20 S&P/ASX100 S&P/ASX200Computershare Investor Services 60 60% 61%Link Market Services 40 34% 29%Other 0 5% 11%

    Boardroom 0 4% 4%Security Transfer Registrars 0 0% 3%Advanced Share Registry 0 1% 5%

    Source: Bloomberg, ASX, Company reports.

    * S&PASX Indices as at January 2012.

    However, looking solely at the number of contracts in determining market share is

    not a true representation of the market structure given the significant skew in

    registered shareholder numbers to specific companies (eg. larger companies,

    particularly demutualised businesses). Additionally, with most contracts in the

    industry based on a cost per shareholder or shareholder transactions basis, the

    number of shareholders administered is a better proxy for the revenue pool available

    to market participants.

    As the table below suggests, on a shareholders administered basis, the two major

    competitors provide registry services for ~98% of the shareholders in the

    S&P/ASX200.

    Table 4: Australia Registry Services Providers - Market Share (No. of Shareholders Administered)

    Company S&P/ASX20* S&P/ASX100* S&P/ASX200*

    Computershare Investor Services 55% 57 59%Link Market Services 45% 42 39%Other 0% 1 2%

    Boardroom 0% 1 1%Security Transfer Registrars 0% 0 0%Advanced Share Registry 0% 0 1%

    Source: Bloomberg, ASX, Company reports.

    * S&P/ASX Indices as at January 2012.

    Shareholders based on number of registered shareholders at the time of publication of the companys last annual report in 2011 where

    available.

    A brief summary of the key competitors within the Australian industry appears in the

    Appendix at the back of this report.

    Figure 1: Australia Registry

    Services Providers - S&P/ASX200Market Share (No. of Contracts)

    Source: ASX, Company reports.

    Figure 2: Australia RegistryServices Providers - S&P/ASX200Market Share (No. of Shareholders)

    Source: ASX, Company reports.

    CPU60%

    Link29%

    Other11%

    CPU59%

    Link39%

    Other2%

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    Australia Equity Research05 March 2012

    Russell Gill(61-2) [email protected]

    Reasons for Outsourcing Registry Services

    Similarly to the previous years, the majority of respondents (~84%) indicated that the

    expertise of registry service providers was the primary reason for outsourcing thecompanys registry function.

    Figure 3: Reasons for Outsourcing Registry Services

    Source: J.P. Morgan and Chartered Secretaries Australia Australian Registry Services Provider Survey 2012.

    Similar to previous years, the responses indicate that the use of an external company

    to manage their registry improved efficiency, with fewer responses indicating cost as

    the reason for outsourcing registry services (34% vs 49% in 2011 Survey).

    The fact that the cost associated with outsourced services is not the key consideration

    in choosing to outsource the registry services function is not a surprise given:

    The cost of outsourcing registry services to the company is small compared to the

    companys total corporate overhead costs. Additionally, the cost of the service

    provided appears to become less of an issue as the size of the company declines

    (presumably in line with the number of shareholders on the register).

    Following years of consolidation, the scale of the two main competitors in the

    industry means the gap between the cost of the services provided by the

    outsourcing companies and the cost for a company to perform the same tasks

    internally remains significant.

    Interestingly, a number of respondents commented that the global coverage of the

    registry service provider was also a key reason for outsourcing. This has been a

    significant advantage for Computershare over a number of years given its dominant

    presence in other major markets [see Appendix].

    0%

    20%

    40%

    60%

    80%

    100%

    Cost Quality of Product Service Provider Expertise Risk Deferral

    S&P/ASX20 S&P/ASX100 S&P/ASX200

    Registry service provider

    expertise remains the keyreason why the function isoutsourced

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    Australia Equity Research05 March 2012

    Russell Gill(61-2) [email protected]

    Adding Value Function?

    Much of the revenue growth opportunities available for registry services companies

    exists in their ability to cross-sell other products or services to their clients. One ofthe key methods in driving this cross-sell opportunity is through impressing on the

    client the value add that the provider can contribute to the client in understanding

    their shareholder base.

    Figure 4: Does Your Registry Service Provider "Add Value" to the Company?

    Source: J.P. Morgan and Chartered Secretaries Australia Australian Registry Services Provider Survey 2012.

    With regards to the chart above, we note the following:

    In comparison with the 2011 Survey, the number of companies surveyed that

    indicated the registry service provider added value to their business increased

    from 55% to 70%.

    A meaningful number of companies (14% of respondents in the S&P/ASX200)do not expect the registry service provider to add value to their business, with

    similar response across small and large companies.

    This is a positive result for registry providers, who are faced with a market with

    limited potential for future growth in shareholder numbers. By shifting the company

    perception of being seen as a necessary cost to a value adding service provider, the

    registry service provider may open up opportunities to provide additional services,

    particularly given the captive client base.

    0%

    20%

    40%

    60%

    80%

    Yes No N/A - Not Expected

    S&P/ ASX20 S&P/ASX100 S&P/ ASX200

    Overall, 70% of respondents

    indicated the registry serviceprovider added value to theirbusiness

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    Australia Equity Research05 March 2012

    Russell Gill(61-2) [email protected]

    Contract Length & Pricing Structure

    Contract Length

    The length of registry contracts across the industry varies significantly, particularly

    when based on the size of the company and the registry services provider.

    Figure 5: How Often Are Registry Services Contracts Negotiated?

    Source: J.P. Morgan and Chartered Secretaries Australian Australia Registry Services Provider Survey 2012.

    The vast majority of contracts (62%) in the industry are negotiated every 3-5 years,

    with the remainder of contracts following similar trends to the findings of surveys in

    previous years.

    Overall, the general industry feedback suggests a 3 year contract as the most

    common.

    Contract Pricing Structure

    As with the length of contracts across the industry, the pricing structure of contracts

    varies greatly between companies.

    Most contracts in the industry are negotiated on two levels 1) basic registry

    maintenance (includes annual processes including dividend disbursement), and 2)

    additional registry services (i.e. corporate actions).

    As the chart below suggests, only a small number of basic registry maintenance

    contracts in the industry are fixed price contracts (i.e. an annual base fee). The

    majority of contracts are either on a fee per shareholder or a combination of fee per

    shareholder and fixed price, with no discernible trend by company size.

    0%

    20%

    40%

    60%

    80%

    100%

    Annual 1-2 years 3-5 years >5 years

    S&P/ASX20 S&P/ASX100 S&P/ASX200

    Most registry services contractsare negotiated every 3-5 years

    Contract pricing across the

    industry remains varied,

    however, pricing continues toremain mainly linked to

    shareholder numbers for the

    base registry services product

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    Australia Equity Research05 March 2012

    Russell Gill(61-2) [email protected]

    Figure 6: Basic Registry Maintenance Pricing Structure

    Source: J.P. Morgan and Chartered Secretaries Australia Australian Registry Services Provider Survey 2012.

    It is important to note that one of the key difficulties in comparing service offerings

    across the market is that almost every registry service contract is different given 1)

    number of shareholders, 2) length and terms of contract, 3) types of services

    required/employed, and 4) service level requirements.

    In comparison to the base registry service fee, for additional registry services there is

    a noticeable shift from fee per shareholder towards the use of a combination of

    pricing methodologies compared to responses received in previous years.

    Figure 7: Additional Registry Services Pricing Structure

    Source: J.P. Morgan and Chartered Secretaries Australia Australian Registry Services Provider Survey 2012.

    0%

    20%

    40%

    60%

    80%

    Annual Fee Fee Per Shareholder Combination

    S&P/ ASX20 S&P/ASX100 S&P/ ASX200

    0%

    20%

    40%

    60%

    80%

    Annual Fee Fee Per Shareholder Combination

    S&P/ ASX20 S&P/ASX100 S&P/ ASX200

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    Australia Equity Research05 March 2012

    Russell Gill(61-2) [email protected]

    Contract Negotiations

    The key measures used to assess the competitiveness of any industry are pricing and

    market share changes. As we found in last years survey, market share changes haveremained relatively stagnant (see Appendix) and respondents have indicated minimal

    changes to pricing (see Cost section).

    Similar to the previous year, the majority of companies (68%) took a negotiated

    contract term and price with the incumbent registry service provider upon the expiry

    of their existing contract with only 24% of companies indicating their contracts are to

    be put out to competitive tender (down on the 31% of response in the survey last

    year).

    Figure 8: Contact Negotiations - Does Your Company Put the Registry Contract Out To Tender?

    Source: J.P. Morgan and Chartered Secretaries Australia Australian Registry Services Provider Survey 2012.

    Competitor Comparison

    Given the surprisingly low number of respondents that put the registry service

    contract out to a competitive tender process, the chart below aggregates the same

    data on a registry service provider basis.

    Figure 9: Contact Negotiations - Does Your Company Put the Registry Contract Out To Tender?

    Source: J.P. Morgan and Chartered Secretaries Australia Australian Registry Services Provider Survey 2012.

    While the results are similar to last year, however, we note the following:

    Only 14% of respondents with Computershare as the share registry provider

    indicated that the contract is put out to a competitive tender process. While this is

    0%

    20%

    40%

    60%

    80%

    Yes No, But Considered No, Never Considered

    S&P/ ASX20 S&P/ASX100 S&P/ ASX200

    0%

    20%

    40%

    60%

    80%

    Yes No, But Considered No, Never Considered

    Computershare Link Market Serv ices Other

    Incumbency is extremely

    important to market structure,with only 24% of registry serviceprovider contracts in the market

    put out to a competitive tender

    process

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    Russell Gill(61-2) [email protected]

    only 4% below the 2011 Survey figure, it is almost half the number compared to

    major competitor Link (31%).

    A meaningful number of companies indicated that they have never consideredputting the contract out to a competitive tender process (Computershare 14%,

    Link 15%).

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    Russell Gill(61-2) [email protected]

    Movement in Shareholder Numbers

    The majority of registry services contracts have a fee per shareholder transaction

    component, and so the change in company shareholder numbers is a significantdriver of revenue for the service providers.

    Given the significant decline in returns in the Australian equity market for a number

    of quarters, we expected that overall, shareholder numbers would have declined, or at

    most, remained relatively flat.

    Figure 10: S&P/ASX200 Accumulation Index - Average Quarterly Returns

    Source: Bloomberg.

    Over the Last 2 Years

    The majority of companies surveyed have seen an increase in the number of

    shareholders on the register over the last 2 years. However, this year sees a greater

    polarisation among companies, with only 12% of companies having flat shareholdernumbers over the previous two years.

    Figure 11: Change in Shareholder Numbers Over Previous 2 Years

    Source: J.P. Morgan and Chartered Secretaries Australia Australian Registry Services Provider Survey 2012.

    -20%

    -15%

    -10%

    -5%

    0%

    5%

    10%

    15%

    4Q06 1Q07 2Q07 3Q07 4Q07 1Q08 2Q08 3Q08 4Q08 1Q09 2Q09 3Q09 4Q09 1Q10 2Q10 3Q10 4Q10 1Q11 2Q11 3Q11 4Q11

    0%

    20%

    40%

    60%

    80%

    Increasing Flat Decreasing Not sure

    S&P/ ASX20 S&P/ASX100 S&P/ ASX200

    Most companies have seen an

    increase in the number of

    shareholders on the register in

    the last 2 years

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    Russell Gill(61-2) [email protected]

    Over The Last 6 Months

    Figure 12: Change in Shareholder Numbers Over Previous 6 Months

    Source: J.P. Morgan and Chartered Secretaries Australia Australian Registry Services Provider Survey 2012.

    Overall only 33% of respondents witnessed an increase in shareholder numbers,

    similar to the level seen in the survey last year but well below the 48% of

    respondents from 2010 survey. However, surprisingly 47% (24% in 2011) of the top

    S&P/ASX20 companies experienced an increase in shareholder numbers, while only

    18% (29% in 2011) experienced a decrease.

    We add the caveat to this analysis that shareholder numbers is not a specific metric

    that respondents to the survey may be analysing on a constant basis, and as such, the

    data set may not be completely accurate.

    0%

    10%

    20%

    30%

    40%

    50%

    Increasing Flat Decreasing Not sure

    S&P/ ASX20 S&P/ASX100 S&P/ ASX200

    Results suggest that companies

    have seen a noticeable decrease

    or at most stagnant shareholder

    numbers over the past 6 months.

    This is in line with our

    expectations, given the relatively

    anaemic returns from the equity

    market over the same time

    period

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    Australia Equity Research05 March 2012

    Russell Gill(61-2) [email protected]

    Competitor Analysis

    As the table below indicates, the respondents to our survey provide a good

    representation of the make-up of the S&P/ASX200 index, with no significant bias in

    sample size to any particular competitor.

    Table 5: Australian Registry Service Providers - S&P/ASX200

    Registry Service Providers Market Share Survey Responses

    Computershare 61% 54%Link Market Services 29% 37%Other 11% 9%

    Source: ASX, J.P. Morgan and Chartered Secretaries Australia Australian Registry Services Provider Survey 2012.

    Overall Performance

    While it is difficult to compare registry service providers in terms of performancegiven the survey is not relative and does not produce results that could make this

    possible, we note the following:

    The current overall performance is strong across all registry providers, with

    Computershare receiving higher percentage (100%) of positive responses than

    Link (85%).

    No respondent indicated that overall performance was outstanding, despite this

    being one of the options, while 20% of Computershare customers indicated above

    expectations performance compared to 12% of Link customers.

    Figure 13: Overall Performance - Current

    Source: J.P. Morgan and Chartered Secretaries Australia Australian Registry Services Provider Survey 2012.

    0%

    20%

    40%

    60%

    80%

    100%

    Computershare Link Market Services Other

    Above Expecta tions Good Average Poor

    While it is difficult to directlycompare the performance ofregistry service providers given

    the structure of the survey,

    Computershare received a

    marginally higher percentage of

    positive responses than Link,

    with Link receiving 3 average

    responses and 1 poor

    response

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    Australia Equity Research05 March 2012

    Russell Gill(61-2) [email protected]

    With regards to the change in overall performance over the past 2 years,

    responses were relatively consistent across the market, with the majority of

    respondents indicating that there has been no meaningful change in performance. However, 2 respondents indicated that Links overall performance had declined

    over the last year, while Computershare received no negative responses regarding

    the change in its performance over the last 2 years.

    Figure 14: Overall Performance - Over Previous 2 Years

    Source: J.P. Morgan and Chartered Secretaries Australia Australian Registry Services Provider Survey 2012.

    It is important to highlight that the strong performance of the smaller competitors

    should be taken in the context of the relatively small sample size. Additionally, the

    expectations of clients of these service providers are usually more limited, with only

    the basic registry maintenance function required.

    Value Add?

    As we detailed earlier, one of the key revenue opportunities for incumbent registryservice providers is to sell additional products and services into the client base. The

    chart below compares responses across registry service providers.

    Figure 15: Does Your Registry Service Provider "Add Value" to the Company?

    Source: J.P. Morgan and Chartered Secretaries Australia Australian Registry Services Provider Survey 2012.

    When analysing the responses based on registry service provider, we note the

    following:

    Computershare received better response with 75% of clients indicating that the

    share registry added value to their business, compared to 62% of Link clients.

    0%

    20%

    40%

    60%

    80%

    Computershare Link Market Services Other

    I mproved N o Change Worsened

    0%

    20%

    40%

    60%

    80%

    100%

    Yes No N/A - Not Expected

    Computershare Link Market Services Other

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    Russell Gill(61-2) [email protected]

    This is an improvement for both Computershare and Link compared to the

    previous survey (53% and 54% respectively).

    Both Computershare and Link had less respondents than in previous yearsindicating that they dont expect their share registry services to add value.

    All responses from clients of Other registry providers was that they expected their

    registry service providers to add value to their business, however, we note the

    small sample size (only 5 respondents).

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    Cost

    The majority of surveyed respondents had not seen any material change to contract

    prices over the last two years, however, this is not surprising given the averagecontract length is ~3 years.

    The most significant change relative to the 2011 survey is the reduction in the

    number of responses indicating that the cost of Computershares and Link's services

    had improved over the last two years (reduced from 20% and 17% to 9% and 8% of

    respondents respectively). As such, we note that the response profiles are now more

    consistent across the different registry providers as seen below.

    Figure 16: Cost - Change Over Previous 2 Years

    Source: J.P. Morgan and Chartered Secretaries Australia Australian Registry Services Provider Survey 2012.

    Note - This data should be assessed with the caveat that the cost for the company may be a factor of a change in shareholder

    numbers given that the majority of contracts are priced on a fee per transaction basis. As such, the above chart may not be indicative

    of the actual price changes negotiated by the registry service provider.

    While it may be surprising that only a small percentage (8%) of overall responses

    indicated that the cost of the service had increased over the last 2 years, we believe

    there may be a couple of reasons why the survey did not produce more negative

    responses:

    Decreasing shareholder numbers & low company activities. Most companies

    are experiencing decreasing shareholder numbers due to the poor performance of

    the share market. Also with less corporate actions in the second half of 2011, a

    number of companies may be facing lower overall costs for shareholder registry

    maintenance.

    Small overall cost of service. The cost of the registry services function is

    relatively small in the overall cost of corporate overhead for most of the

    companies in the S&P/ASX200. As such, a ~5% increase in pricing is unlikely to

    make a significant impact on the companys costs or an impression on the survey

    respondent.

    Cost out opportunities. Much of the profitability for registry services providers

    over the last decade has been through 1) increased scale, 2) the standardisation of

    forms and processes, and 3) the rollout of IT platforms, reducing manual and

    costly processes. As such, there is less pressure of the registry service provider to

    push through increased prices to increase underlying profitability.

    Given the structure of the industry and the limited change in contracts through

    competition (only ~2% of the net market has changed hands in 3 years - see

    0%

    20%

    40%

    60%

    80%

    Computershare Link Market Services Other

    Improved No Change W ors ened

    The survey indicates a

    consistent trend in pricingacross the market, with 72% ofrespondents indicating they had

    not seen any material change to

    contract prices over the last twoyears

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    Appendix), we believe it is unlikely the cost of registry functions for listed

    companies in Australia will decline over the coming years.

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    Future Considerations

    The survey asked companies to rate how important certain factors would be if they

    were considering changing registry service providers in the future.

    Figure 17: Future Considerations Considered Critical

    Source: J. P. Morgan AustraliaAustralian Registry Services Provider Survey 2011.

    Quality of product/service. The quality of the product and service was the most

    critical factor for all surveyed companies, with 61% of companies classifying this as

    critical. Not surprisingly, this was a critical factor for 71% of respondents from

    larger organisations.

    Account management relationship. The relationship between the company and

    registry service provider was classified as critical for 48% of all companies surveyed.

    Interestingly, there is a skew towards large cap companies with a number ofrespondents also commenting that cultural fit and customer service are important

    future considerations.

    Cost. The cost of using a registry service provider was not considered as important

    as other factors, but was seen as more important for smaller companies.

    Additional Services. An overwhelming number of companies did not see this as an

    important future consideration in determining registry service providers.

    0%

    20%

    40%

    60%

    80%

    Quality of Product/Service Account MangementRelationship

    Cost Additional Services

    S&P/ASX20 S&P/ASX100 S&P/ASX200

    The quality of product/service

    remains the most important

    factor in choosing a registry

    service provider, well ahead of

    the cost of the service

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    Appendix

    Competitor Profiles

    Computershare Investor Services (CPU.AX)

    Computershare is a provider of registry and financial services to companies in

    Australia, Asia, North America, Europe and Africa. Computershare provides

    services to over 100 million security holders worldwide, and holds a dominant

    position in the Australian market. Australia contributes ~20% to overall group

    revenue.

    Link Market Services

    Link Market Services Limited is a provider of registry and financial services to

    companies in Australia, New Zealand, South Africa and India. The company was

    previously a JV between the Australian Stock Exchange Limited and PerpetualLimited before being acquired by Pacific Equity Partners in 2005 for A$132m.

    Other

    Boardroom

    Boardroom Limited is a provider of securities management and voting services to

    Australian companies. Boardroom has over 20 years experience providing registry

    services, and primarily services small to medium sized firms.

    Security Transfer Registrars

    Security Transfer Registrars is a provider of share registry services to Australian

    companies with a small market capitalisation. Security Transfer Registrars has been

    operating in Australia since 1983.

    Advanced Share Registry Limited (ASW.AX)

    Advanced Share Registry Limited is a provider of share registry services to over 170

    clients located throughout Australia and in a select number of overseas markets.

    Advanced Share Registry Limited has been operating since 1996 and primarily

    services small to medium sized resource companies. In July 2010, Washington H

    Soul Pattinson and Company Limited (SOL.AX) took a placement of two million

    shares in the company and purchased a further two million shares from the founder

    and major shareholder. SOL now holds 10.1% of share capital in the company.

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    Contract Changes

    As we detailed earlier in this report, companies very infrequently switch registry

    service providers. The main reasons for the high level of retention are two-fold:

    Perceived risk and difficulty. A number of companies (particularly larger

    companies) are under the impression that changing registry service providers is

    difficult, costly and may lend to data loss.

    However, in most other major markets, while it is still not commonplace,

    switching of registry service providers at companies with large and complex

    shareholder bases does still occur.

    Cost. The overall cost of the registry service provider generally pales in

    significance when compared to overall corporate costs and overhead, particularly

    for larger oganisations and as such, any lower cost from a competing registry

    service provider is not perceived to necessarily have a significant financialbenefit.

    Generally speaking, changes in registry service providers at larger companies

    (>10k registered shareholders) has mainly been driven by a breakdown in the

    relationship between the company and the registry service provider (eg. poor

    service etc.) rather than through reduction of overall costs to the firm.

    A summary of contract changes in the Australian ASX listed market (outside of

    M&A activity, IPOs and company dissolution) appears below:

    Table 6: ASX Listed Share Registers - Change in Listed Company Contracts Administered (All Ordinaries)

    No. of contracts

    2009 2010 2011 CY2009-11Registry Services Provider New Lost Net New Lost Net New Lost Net New Lost NetComputershare 8 (32) (24) 18 (34) (16) 14 (23) (9) 40 (89) (49)Link Market Services 11 (7) 4 18 (3) 15 19 (2) 17 48 (12) 36Others 32 (12) 20 28 (27) 1 21 (29) (8) 81 (68) 13

    Source: Company reports.

    Where active contracts have changed hands (excludes changes due to M&A, IPOs and company dissolution).

    As the table above suggests, particularly in the last couple of years, there has been a

    large move of contracts away from Computershare to Link and other registry

    service providers, with Computershare losing a net 49 contracts over the last 3 years.

    Additionally, as the table below suggests, these have not just been small accounts,

    with Computershare losing a ~238k shareholder accounts.

    Table 7: ASX Listed Share Registers - Change in Number of Shareholders Administered#000s of shareholders

    2009 2010 2011 CY2009-11Registry Services Provider New Lost Net New Lost Net New Lost Net New Lost NetComputershare 79 (157) (78) 110 (230) (120) 31 (70) (40) 219 (458) (238)Link Market Services 123 (102) 20 176 (28) 148 90 (4) 86 389 (134) 254Other 91 (33) 58 94 (121) (27) 49 (96) (47) 234 (250) (16)

    Source: Company reports.

    Where active contracts have changed hands (excludes changes due to M&A, IPOs and company dissolution).

    # Number of shareholders is based on the last number of shareholders stated in the prior Annual Report where available.

    However, given the All Ordinaries has more than 14 million registered shareholders

    the change in registry service providers over the last 3 years has only led to ~2% of

    There has been very little

    change in market structure,particularly with respect tolarger clients, with only ~2% of

    the net market changing hands

    through direct competition overthe last 3 years

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    the net market changing hands. As such, the transfer of registry service providers by

    companies has not been a significant driver of change in market share or in the

    current structure of the market.

    Demergers/Spin-Offs

    The much larger (and more uncertain) driver of market share change in shareholders

    numbers administered has historically been through corporate activity.

    As the table below indicates, 2011 saw a number of demerger/spin-offs from listed

    entities, essentially creating additional contracts (and more shareholders to

    administer.

    Table 8: Demergers/Spin-offs in 2011

    Parent Company NewCoTicker

    NewCo Name Listing Date Market Cap (A$m) Registry Services Provider No. of New Shareholders

    Telecom NZ CNU Chorus Limited 21/11/2011 963 Computershare 37,269Tabcorp EGP Echo Entertainment Group Ltd 6/06/2011 2,958 Link 137,503Fosters TWE Treasury Wine Estates Ltd 10/05/2011 2,537 Computershare 104,836

    Source: Company reports.

    Through demergers and the creation of new listed entities in 2011, Computershare

    witnessed an increase in shareholder accounts to administer of ~142k, largely

    offsetting the decline in the companys shareholder account base seen through direct

    competition over the last 3 years (~238k). Link secured the EGP share registry

    contract, the biggest spinoff in 2011 with ~137k new shareholders.

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    Initial Public Offerings (IPOs)

    Ongoing volatility and uncertainty regarding the economic situation in Europe saw

    IPO activity in Australia remain relatively subdued for most of 2011. Activityhowever did pick up towards the end of the year, with a number of smaller mining

    companies listing on the ASX.

    Figure 18: ASX Listings & Delistings

    Source: ASX.

    Table 9: ASX - Listings and Delistings

    2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011New Listings 245 314 93 62 127 133De-Listings (104) (119) (79) (104) (92) (127)Net Listings 141 195 14 (42) 35 6Total Listings 2,014 2,209 2,223 2,181 2,216 2,222

    IPO Proceeds (A$m) 17,023 19,897 2,458 7,509 25,048 15,493

    Source: ASX.

    With opportunities limited, the largest IPO of the year was the ~A$202m listing of

    Collins Foods. However, the total number of new shareholders in the top 5 IPOs was

    only 5,105, compared to 82,634 last year largely drive by the QR National listing.

    Table 10: Top 5 IPOs in 2011 - IPO Proceeds/No. of Shareholders Administered

    Name Ticker Listing Date IPO Proceeds (A$m) Registry Services Provider No. of Shareholders*Collins Foods Ltd CKF 4/08/2011 201.8 Link Market Services 567Royal Wolf Holdings Limited RWH 31/05/2011 91.5 Link Market Services 647GI Dynamics Inc GID 8/03/2011 80.0 Link Market Services 522Alliance Aviation Services Limited AQZ 2/12/2011 74.4 Link Market Services 443

    Onthehouse Holdings Limited OTH 6/05/2011 53.5 Link Market Services 2,306Source: Company reports, Bloomberg.

    * Approx. number of shareholders at the time of the IPO as detailed by the company in initial listing documentation.

    However, it is important to note that similar to most regions around the world,

    profitability of IPOs in Australia can be hit or miss for the registry service

    provider.

    Given most registry contracts are structured on a per shareholder basis, registry

    providers must try to forecast the number of shareholder upon the float of the

    company when pricing the initial contract.

    -60

    -30

    0

    30

    60

    90

    120

    -60

    -30

    0

    30

    60

    90

    120

    4Q07 2Q08 4Q08 2Q09 4Q09 2Q10 4Q10 2Q11 4Q11

    New L istings De-Listings Net L istings

    2011 was a quiet year for IPOs,

    with no large listings in terms ofIPO proceeds or number ofshareholders

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    For larger transactions, the retail take-up of the offer can be difficult to forecast

    leading to some variability in profitability in the IPO process for the registry service

    provider.

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    Secondary Raisings

    Following an unprecedented year for secondary raisings in 2009 and the majority of

    corporate balance sheets being repaired, raisings in 2011 were much more subduedwith only ~A$33bn in secondary equity capital raised, similar to the level raised in

    2010.

    Table 11: ASX - Secondary Capital Raised

    A$ i n mi llions

    2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

    Secondary Capital Raised 44,444 62,528 60,019 98,629 31,428 33,101% Change on pcp 101.7% 40.7% -4.0% 64.3% -68.1 5.3%

    Source: ASX.

    # All secondary capital raised on the listed market in the year (incl. DRPs).

    Only 2 companies in the S&P/ASX50, Origin Energy and Leighton Holdings, raised

    capital in 2011 through rights issues or share purchase plans which is well down onthe prior years (2010: 6, 2009: 20, 2008: 19).

    Table 12: Rights Offerings and Share Purchase Plans in 2011 - S&P/ASX100

    Ticker Company Name Offering Type Entitlement Date Registry Service Provider TSE Transfield Services Rights 17/01/2011 ComputershareDOW Downer EDI Rights 2/03/2011 ComputershareORG Origin Energy Rights 17/03/2011 Link Market ServicesLYC Lynas Corp Share Purchase Plan 27/03/2011 Registries LimitedLEI Leighton Holdings Rights 12/04/2011 ComputershareDUE Duet Group Rights 7/08/2011 ComputershareGFF Goodman Fielder Rights 30/09/2011 Link Market ServicesBSL Bluescope Steel Rights 24/11/2011 Link Market Services

    Source: ASX.

    In 2011, 57% of the S&P/ASX200 companies had an active dividend reinvestmentplan, down from 62% in 2010.

    Dividend Re-Investment Plans (DRPs)

    Figure 19: S&P/ASX200 - Dividend Reinvestment Plan Status (No. of Companies)

    Source: ASX, Company reports.

    0%

    20%

    40%

    60%

    80%

    Active Suspended None

    S&P/ ASX20 S&P/ASX100 S&P/ ASX200

    Secondary raisings in 2011

    remained subdued, with only~A$33bn in secondary equitycapital raised (2010: ~A$31bn,

    2009: ~A$99bn). Additionally,

    only 2 companies in theS&P/ASX50 raised capital in

    2011 through rights issues or

    share purchase plans, well downon the prior years (2010: 6, 2009:

    20)

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    Table 13: S&P/ASX200 - DRP Breakdown (No. of Shareholders Administered)

    Active

    Discount No Discount Suspended NoneS&P/ASX200 26 32% 19% 24%

    Computershare 18 18% 6% 17%Link Market Services 7 13% 12% 6%Other 0 0% 0% 1%

    Source: ASX, Company Reports.

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    Share Registry Providers Competition Analysis - Major Markets

    Source: Company reports, J.P. Morgan estimates.

    10 YEARS AGO

    Australia Hong Kong United Kingdom United States Canada

    Computershare HKEx Lloy ds Bank of New York Montreal Trust Stock Transfer

    Perpetual Computershare Computershare Mellon CIBC Mellon

    BT Registries Tricor Serv ices Capita Computershare Pacific Corporate Trust

    Pitcher Partners Registry IRG Equiserv e National Bank Trust

    Ex change Registrars Wells Fargo

    Northern Registrars American Stock Transfer

    Sun Trust

    Fifth Third Bancorp

    National City

    NOW

    Australia Hong Kong United Kingdom United States Canada

    Computershare Computershare Equiniti Computershare Computershare

    Link/PEP Tricor Serv ices Computershare Wells Fargo CST/PEP

    Capita AST/PEP

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    J.P. Morgan Australian Registry Services Survey 2012

    Your company's name: Your name:

    Phone number (optional):

    Registry service provider:

    Computershare

    Link Market Services

    Other, please specity:

    Part 1: Shareholder Breakdown

    1. Approximate number of shareholders on your register?

    2. What has been the trend in thenumber of shareholders in your company:

    Last 2 Years?

    Increasing Flat Decreasing Not sure

    Last 6 months

    Increasing Flat Decreasing Not sure

    3. Approximate shareholder register breakdown % (shares on issue, not number of shareholders):

    i) Retail ii) Domestic

    Institutional International

    Corporate/Other Corporate/Other

    Not sure or N/A Not sure or N/A

    Part 2: Current Registry Provider

    1. What are the key reasons why registry services are outsourced at your company (mark as many as apply)?

    Cost Quality of product/service Expertise of service provider

    Risk deferral Other, please specify :

    2) How often is your registry service contract negotiated?

    Every year 2 years 3 years

    4 years 5+ years Not sure

    3) Upon contract expiry, do you put the registry contract out to a tender process?

    Yes No - but have considered No - and never considered

    4) What is your contract pricing structure Annual fee $ Fee per shareholder Combination

    a) Standard registry maintenance?

    b) One-off transactions (eg. rights issues)?

    c) Additional comments:

    5) How much does your company spend each year on outsourced registry services?

    $5m Not sure/Prefer not to disclose

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    6. How do you rate the performance of your current registry service provider?

    Outstanding Above Expectations Good Below Expectations Poor

    i) Account Management relationship?

    ii) Quality of product/service?

    iii) Cost?

    iv) Additional services offered?

    v) Overall?

    7. How has the performance of your current registry provider changed in the last 12 months (mark as many as apply)?

    Improved No change Worsened N/A

    i) Account Management relationship?

    ii) Quality of product/service?

    iii) Cost?

    iv) Additional services offered?

    v) Overall?

    8. Do you think your registry service provider "adds value" to your business?

    Yes No - but we would them to add value No - and we don't expect them to add value

    Part 3: Future Considerations1. If you were to change registry providers in the future, how important would the following be in the decision process?

    Critical Important Not important at all

    i) Account Management relationship?

    ii) Quality of product/service?

    iii) Cost?

    iv) Provision of additional services?

    v) Other (please specify)?

    Part 4: Additional Comments

    1. Please provide any additonal comments/feedback

    Considered,

    but not important

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    individually certifies, with respect to each security or issuer that the research analyst covers in this research) that: (1) all of the viewsexpressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about any and all of the subject securities or issuers; and (2) no part ofany of the research analyst's compensation was, is, or will be directly or indirectly related to the specific recommendations or viewsexpressed by the research analyst(s) in this report.

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    Australia Equity Research05 March 2012

    Russell Gill(61-2) [email protected]

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