jsm - american statistical association · 2018. 6. 18. · fundamentals of nonparametric bayesian...
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JSM
The American Statistical Association* • Institute of Mathematical Statistics* • International Biometric Society (ENAR and WNAR)*International Chinese Statistical Association • International Indian Statistical Association • International Society for Bayesian AnalysisInternational Statistical Institute • Korean International Statistical Society • Statistical Society of Canada* • Royal Statistical Society
(*indicates the founding societies of JSM)
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Cambridge University Press
Cambridge Series in Statistical and Probabilistic Mathematics
Fundamentals of Nonparametric Bayesian InferenceSubhashis Ghosal Aad van der Vaart
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van d
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param
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“Probabilistic inference of massive and complex data has received much attention in statistics and machine learning, and Bayesian nonparametrics is one of the core tools. Fundamentals of Nonparametric Bayesian Inference is the first book to com-prehensively cover models, methods, and theories of Bayesian nonparametrics. Readers can learn basic ideas and intuitions as well as rigorous treatments of under-lying theories and computations from this wonderful book.”
– Yongdai Kim, Seoul National University
“Bayesian nonparametrics has seen amazing theoretical, methodological and com-putational developments in recent years. This timely book gives an authoritative account of the current state of the art by two leading scholars in the field. They masterfully cover all major aspects of the discipline, with an emphasis on asymp-totics, and achieve the rare feat of being simultaneously broad and deep, while preserving the utmost mathematical rigor. This book is, without doubt, a must-read for PhD students and researchers in statistics and probability.”
– Igor Prünster, Bocconi University
“Worth waiting for, this book gives a both global and precise overview on the fun-damentals of Bayesian nonparametrics. It will be extremely valuable as a textbook for Masters and PhD students, along with more experienced researchers, as the authors have managed to gather, link together, and present with great clarity a large part of the major advances in Bayesian nonparametric modeling and theory.”
– Judith Rousseau, Université Paris-Dauphine
Explosive growth in computing power has made Bayesian methods for infinite-di-mensional models – Bayesian nonparametrics – a nearly universal framework for inference, finding practical use in numerous subject areas. Written by leading researchers, this authoritative text draws on theoretical advances of the past 20 years to synthesize all aspects of Bayesian nonparametrics, from prior construction to computation and large sample behavior of posteriors. Because understanding the behavior of posteriors is critical to selecting priors that work, the large sample theory is developed systematically, illustrated by various examples of model and prior combinations. Precise sufficient conditions are given, with complete proofs, that ensure desirable posterior properties and behavior. Each chapter ends with historical notes and numerous exercises to deepen and consolidate the reader’s understanding, making the book valuable for graduate students and researchers alike in statistics and machine learning, as well as application areas such as econo-metrics and biostatistics.
CAMBRIDGE SERIES IN STATISTICAL AND PROBABILISTIC MATHEMATICS
Editorial Board:Z. Ghahramani, Department of Engineering,
University of CambridgeR. Gill, Mathematical Institute, Leiden UniversityF. P. Kelly, Department of Pure Mathematics and
Mathematical Statistics, University of CambridgeB. D. Ripley, Department of Statistics, University of
OxfordS. Ross, Department of Industrial and Systems
Engineering, University of Southern CaliforniaM. Stein, Department of Statistics, University of
Chicago
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Cambridge Series in Statistical and Probabilistic Mathematics
Predictive StatisticsAnalysis and Inference beyond Models
Bertrand S. Clarke Jennifer L. Clarke
Clarke
and
Clarke
Predictive Statistics
“Prediction, one of the most important practical applications of statistical analysis, has rarely been treated as anything more than an afterthought in most formal treatments of statistical inference. This important book aims to counter this neglect by a wholehearted emphasis on prediction as the primary purpose of the analysis. The authors cut a broad swathe through the statistical landscape, conducting thor-ough analyses of numerous traditional, recent, and novel techniques, to show how these are illuminated by taking the predictive perspective.”
– Philip Dawid, University of Cambridge
“The prime focus in statistics has always been on modeling rather than prediction; as a result, different prediction methods have arisen within different subfields of statistics, and a general, all-encompassing account has been lacking. For the first time, this book provides such an account and, as such, it convincingly argues for the primacy of prediction. The authors consider a wide range of topics from a predic-tive point of view and I am impressed by both the breadth and depth of the topics addressed and by the unifying story the authors manage to tell.”
– Peter Grünwald, CWI and Leiden University
This bold treatise outlines a fully predictive approach to statistical problems based on studying predictors; the approach does not require predictors to correspond to a model, although this important special case is included. Throughout, the point is to examine predictive performance before considering conventional inference. These ideas are traced through five traditional subfields of statistics, helping readers to refocus and adopt a directly predictive outlook. The book also considers prediction via contemporary “black box” techniques and emerging data types and methodol-ogies where conventional modeling is so difficult that good prediction is the main criterion available for evaluating the performance of a statistical method. Well-documented open-source R code in a Github repository allows readers to replicate examples and apply techniques to other investigations.
CAMBRIDGE SERIES IN STATISTICAL AND PROBABILISTIC MATHEMATICS
Editorial Board:Z. Ghahramani, Department of Engineering,
University of CambridgeR. Gill, Mathematical Institute, Leiden UniversityF. P. Kelly, Department of Pure Mathematics and
Mathematical Statistics, University of CambridgeB. D. Ripley, Department of Statistics, University of
OxfordS. Ross, Department of Industrial and Systems
Engineering, University of Southern CaliforniaM. Stein, Department of Statistics, University of
Chicago
The focus of this book is on the two major areas of risk
theory: aggregate claims distributions and ruin theory. For
aggregate claims distributions, detailed descriptions are given
of recursive techniques that can be used in the individual
and collective risk models. For the collective model, the book
discusses different classes of counting distribution, and
presents recursion schemes for probability functions and
moments. For the individual model, the book illustrates the
three most commonly applied techniques. Beyond the classical
topics in ruin theory, this new edition features an expanded
section covering time of ruin problems, Gerber–Shiu functions,
and the application of De Vylder approximations.
Suitable for a first course in insurance risk theory and
extensively classroom tested, the book is accessible to readers
with a solid understanding of basic probability. Numerous
worked examples are included and each chapter concludes
with exercises for which complete solutions are provided.
David Dickson is Professor of Actuarial Studies at the
University of Melbourne. His main research interest is ruin
theory, and he has published many papers in the leading
international actuarial journals. He is a Fellow of the Institute
and Faculty of Actuaries in the UK and the Institute of Actuaries
of Australia, and has twice been awarded the H.M. Jackson
Prize of the Institute of Actuaries of Australia, most recently for
the first edition of this book. He is also a co-author of Actuarial
Mathematics for Life Contingent Risks, the recommended text
for the Society of Actuaries MLC exam.
Modelling M
ortality with Actuarial
Macdonald,
Richards and Currie
International Series on Actuarial Science
Angus S. Macdonald, Stephen J. Richards and Iain D. Currie
Modelling Mortality with Actuarial Applications
Cover designed by Hart McLeod Ltd
Bayes-frequentist controversy • p-values vs posteriors • confirmation vs falsification • probabilism vs performance vs probativeness • Jeffreys-Lindley paradox • behavio-ral vs evidential interpretation • popperian falsification vs carnapian confirmation • problem of induction • significance test controversy • type I and type II errors • power: pre-data vs post-data • statistical science and philosophy of science • cherry-picking, data dredging, multiple testing • estimation vs testing • objectivity vs subjectivity •
Savage forum • subjective vs non-subjective priors • stopping rules: relevant or irrelevant? • statistical crisis in science • Bayes boost vs likelihood ratios • replication para-
-
-ors • confirmation vs falsification • probabilism vs performance vs probativeness • Jeffreys-Lindley paradox • behavioral vs evidential interpretation • popperian falsification
vs carnapian confirmation • problem of induction • significance test controversy • type I and type II errors • power: pre-data vs post-data • statistical science and philos-ophy of science • cherry-picking, data dredging, multiple testing • estimation vs testing • objectivity vs subjectivity • Savage forum • subjective vs non-subjective priors •
stopping rules: relevant or irrelevant? • statistical crisis in science • Bayes boost vs likelihood ratios • replication paradox • Fisher vs Neyman • relevance of outcomes other than observed • preregistration • Duhem’s problem • one-sided vs two-sided • p-values vs error probabilities • model testing vs model selection • calibration: actual vs hy-
pothetical • likelihood principle vs error probabilities • significance tests vs confidence intervals • frequentist, fiducial, bayesian unification • Bayes factors exaggerate evi-dence • significance vs substantive significance • bayes factors vs bayesian posteriors • performance vs probabilism vs probativism • probability: epistemic vs variability •
science vs pseudoscience • causality vs correlation • Fisher-Bayes disagreement • conditional vs unconditional inference • no evidence against vs evidence for • behavioral vs evidential • test bans • prediction vs explanation • bootstrapping • randomized vs observational • false discovery rates vs positive predictive values • adequacy vs truth • corroboration vs falsification behavioral vs evidential interpretation • popperian falsification vs carnapian confirmation • problem of induction • significance test controver-sy • type I and type II errors • power: pre-data vs post-data • statistical science and philosophy of science • cherry-picking, data dredging, multiple testing • estimation vs testing • objectivity vs subjectivity • Savage forum • subjective vs non-subjective priors • stopping rules: relevant or irrelevant? • statistical crisis in science • Bayes boost vs likelihood ratios • replication paradox • Fisher vs Neyman • relevance of outcomes other than observed • preregistration • Duhem’s problem • one-sided vs two-sided •
p-values vs error probabilities • model testing vs model selection • calibration: actual vs hypothetical • likelihood principle vs error probabilitie• significance tests vs confi-dence intervals • frequentist, fiducial, bayesian unification • Bayes factors exaggerate evidence • significance vs substantive significance • bay
ity vs correlation • Fisher-Bayes disagreement • conditional vs unconditional inference • no evidence against vs evidence for • behavioral vs evidential • test bans • predic-tion vs explanation • bootstrapping • randomized vs observational • false discovery rates vs positive predictive values • adequacy vs truth • corroboration vs falsification • p-values exaggerate evidence • Bayes-frequentist controversy • p-values vs posteriors • confirmation vs falsification • probabilism vs performance vs probativeness • Jef-freys-Lindley paradox • behavioral vs evidential interpretation • popperian falsification vs carnapian confirmation • problem of induction • significance test controversy •
type I and type II errors • power: pre-data vs post-data • statistical science and philosophy of science • cherry-picking, data dredging, multiple testing • estimation vs test-ing • objectivity vs subjectivity • Savage forum • subjective vs non-subjective priors • stopping rules: relevant or irrelevant? • statistical crisis in science • Bayes boost vs
likelihood ratios • replication paradox • Fisher vs Neyman • relevance of outcomes other than observed • preregistration • Duhem’s problem • one-sided vs two-sided • p-val-ues vs error probabilities • model testing vs model selection • calibration: actual vs hypothetical • likelihood principle vs error probabilities • significance tests vs confidence
intervals • frequentist, fiducial, bayesian unification • Bayes factors exaggerate evidence • significance vs substantive signifi
vs evidential • test bans • prediction vs explanation • bootstrapping • randomized vs observational • false discovery rates vs positive predictive values • adequacy vs truth • corroboration vs falsification behavioral vs evidential interpretation • popperian falsification vs carnapian confirmation • problem of induction • significance test controversy • type I and type II errors • power: pre-data vs post-data • statistical science and philosophy of science • cherry-picking, data dredging, multiple testing • estimation vs testing • objectivity vs subjectivity • Savage forum • subjective vs non-subjective priors • stopping rules: relevant or irrelevant? • statistical crisis in science • Bayes boost vs likelihood ratios • replication paradox • Fisher vs Neyman • relevance of outcomes other than observed • preregistration • Duhem’s problem • one-sided vs two-sided •
vs evidential • test bans • prediction vs explanation • bootstrapping • randomized vs observational • false discovery rates vs positive predictive values • adequacy vs truth • corroboration vs falsification behavioral vs evidential interpretation • popperian falsification vs carnapian confirmation • problem of induction • significance test controversy • type I and type II errors • power: pre-data vs post-data • statistical science and philosophy of science • cherry-picking, data dredging, multiple testing • estimation vs testing • objectivity vs subjectivity • Savage forum • subjective vs non-subjective priors • stopping rules: relevant or irrelevant? • statistical crisis in science • Bayes boost vs likelihood ratios • replication paradox • Fisher vs Neyman • relevance of outcomes other than observed • preregistration • Duhem’s problem • one-sided vs two-sided •
vs evidential • test bans • prediction vs explanation • bootstrapping • randomized vs observational • false discovery rates vs positive predictive values • adequacy vs truth • How to Get Beyond the Statistics Wars
ors • confirmation vs falsification • probabilism vs performance vs probativeness • Jeffreys-Lindley paradox • behavioral vs evidential interpretation • popperian falsification vs carnapian confirmation • problem of induction • significance test controversy • type I and type II errors • power: pre-data vs post-data • statistical science and philosophy of science • cherry-picking, data dredging, multiple testing • estimation vs testing • objectivity vs subjectivity • Savage forum • subjective vs non-subjective priors •
stopping rules: relevant or irrelevant? • statistical crisis in science • Bayes boost vs likelihood ratios • replication paradox • Fisher vs Neyman • relevance of outcomes other than observed • preregistration • Duhem’s problem • one-sided vs two-sided • p-values vs error probabilities • model testing vs model selection • calibration: actual vs hy
pothetical • likelihood principle vs error probabilities • significance tests vs confidence intervals • frequentist, fiducial, bayesian unification • Bayes factors exaggerate evidence • significance vs substantive significance • bayes factors vs bayesian posteriors • performance vs probabilism vs probativism • probability: epistemic vs variability •
science vs pseudoscience • causality vs correlation • Fisher-Bayes disagreement • conditional vs unconditional inference • no evidence against vs evidence for • behavioral vs evidential • test bans • prediction vs explanation • bootstrapping • randomized vs observational • false discovery rates vs positive predictive values • adequacy vs truth •
ors • confirmation vs falsification • probabilism vs performance vs probativeness • Jeffreys-Lindley paradox • behavioral vs evidential interpretation • popperian falsification vs carnapian confirmation • problem of induction • significance test controversy • type I and type II errors • power: pre-data vs post-data • statistical science and philosophy of science • cherry-picking, data dredging, multiple testing • estimation vs testing • objectivity vs subjectivity • Savage forum • subjective vs non-subjective priors •
stopping rules: relevant or irrelevant? • statistical crisis in science • Bayes boost vs likelihood ratios • replication paradox • Fisher vs Neyman • relevance of outcomes other than observed • preregistration • Duhem’s problem • one-sided vs two-sided • p-values vs error probabilities • model testing vs model selection • calibration: actual vs hy
pothetical • likelihood principle vs error probabilities • significance tests vs confidence intervals • frequentist, fiducial, bayesian unification • Bayes factors exaggerate evidence • significance vs substantive significance • bayes factors vs bayesian posteriors • performance vs probabilism vs probativism • probability: epistemic vs variability •
science vs pseudoscience • causality vs correlation • Fisher-Bayes disagreement • conditional vs unconditional inference • no evidence against vs evidence for • behavioral vs evidential • test bans • prediction vs explanation • bootstrapping • randomized vs observational • false discovery rates vs positive predictive values • adequacy vs truth •
than observed • preregistration • Duhem’s problem • one-sided vs two-sided • p-values vs error probabilities • model testing vs model selection • calibration: actual vs hypothetical • likelihood principle vs error probabilities • significance tests vs confidence intervals • frequentist, fiducial, bayesian unification • Bayes factors exaggerate evidence • significance vs substantive significance • bayes factors vs bayesian posteriors • performance vs probabilism vs probativism • probability: epistemic vs variability •
science vs pseudoscience • causality vs correlation • Fisher-Bayes disagreement • conditional vs unconditional inference • no evidence against vs evidence for • behavioral vs evidential • test bans • prediction vs explanation • bootstrapping • randomized vs observational • false discovery rates vs positive predictive values • adequacy vs truth •
than observed • preregistration • Duhem’s problem • one-sided vs two-sided • p-values vs error probabilities • model testing vs model selection • calibration: actual vs hypothetical • likelihood principle vs error probabilities • significance tests vs confidence intervals • frequentist, fiducial, bayesian unification • Bayes factors exaggerate evidence • significance vs substantive significance • bayes factors vs bayesian posteriors • performance vs probabilism vs probativism • probability: epistemic vs variability •
science vs pseudoscience • causality vs correlation • Fisher-Bayes disagreement • conditional vs unconditional inference • no evidence against vs evidence for • behavioral vs evidential • test bans • prediction vs explanation • bootstrapping • randomized vs observational • false discovery rates vs positive predictive values • adequacy vs truth • How to Get Beyond science vs pseudoscience • causality vs correlation • Fisher-Bayes disagreement • conditional vs unconditional inference • no evidence against vs evidence for • behavioral How to Get Beyond science vs pseudoscience • causality vs correlation • Fisher-Bayes disagreement • conditional vs unconditional inference • no evidence against vs evidence for • behavioral vs evidential • test bans • prediction vs explanation • bootstrapping • randomized vs observational • false discovery rates vs positive predictive values • adequacy vs truth • How to Get Beyond vs evidential • test bans • prediction vs explanation • bootstrapping • randomized vs observational • false discovery rates vs positive predictive values • adequacy vs truth •
STATISTICAL INFERENCE as
SEVERE TESTING
vs likelihood ratios • replication paradox • Fisher vs Neyman • relevance of outcomes other than observed • preregistration • Duhem’s problem • one-sided vs two-sided • p-values vs error probabilities • model testing vs model selection • calibration: actual vs hypothetical • likelihood principle vs error probabilitie• significance tests vs confi
dence intervals • frequentist, fiducial, bayesian unification • Bayes factors exaggerate evidence • significance vs substantive significance • bay ity vs correlation • Fisher-Bayes disagreement • conditional vs unconditional inference • no evidence against vs evidence for • behavioral vs evidential • test bans • prediction vs explanation • bootstrapping • randomized vs observational • false discovery rates vs positive predictive values • adequacy vs truth • corroboration vs falsification • p-values exaggerate evidence • Bayes-frequentist controversy • p-values vs posteriors • confirmation vs falsification • probabilism vs performance vs probativeness • Jeffreys-Lindley paradox • behavioral vs evidential interpretation • popperian falsification vs carnapian confirmation • problem of induction • significance test controversy •
vs likelihood ratios • replication paradox • Fisher vs Neyman • relevance of outcomes other than observed • preregistration • Duhem’s problem • one-sided vs two-sided • p-values vs error probabilities • model testing vs model selection • calibration: actual vs hypothetical • likelihood principle vs error probabilitie• significance tests vs confi
dence intervals • frequentist, fiducial, bayesian unification • Bayes factors exaggerate evidence • significance vs substantive significance • bay ity vs correlation • Fisher-Bayes disagreement • conditional vs unconditional inference • no evidence against vs evidence for • behavioral vs evidential • test bans • prediction vs explanation • bootstrapping • randomized vs observational • false discovery rates vs positive predictive values • adequacy vs truth • corroboration vs falsification • p-values exaggerate evidence • Bayes-frequentist controversy • p-values vs posteriors • confirmation vs falsification • probabilism vs performance vs probativeness • Jeffreys-Lindley paradox • behavioral vs evidential interpretation • popperian falsification vs carnapian confirmation • problem of induction • significance test controversy •
vs likelihood ratios • replication paradox • Fisher vs Neyman • relevance of outcomes other than observed • preregistration • Duhem’s problem • one-sided vs two-sided • p-values vs error probabilities • model testing vs model selection • calibration: actual vs hypothetical • likelihood principle vs error probabilitie• significance tests vs confi
dence intervals • frequentist, fiducial, bayesian unification • Bayes factors exaggerate evidence • significance vs substantive significance • bay ity vs correlation • Fisher-Bayes disagreement • conditional vs unconditional inference • no evidence against vs evidence for • behavioral vs evidential • test bans • prediction vs explanation • bootstrapping • randomized vs observational • false discovery rates vs positive predictive values • adequacy vs truth • corroboration vs falsification • p-values exaggerate evidence • Bayes-frequentist controversy • p-values vs posteriors • confirmation vs falsification • probabilism vs performance vs probativeness • Jeffreys-Lindley paradox • behavioral vs evidential interpretation • popperian falsification vs carnapian confirmation • problem of induction • significance test controversy •
DEBORAH G. MAYO
STRUCTURAL ANALYSIS IN THE SOCIAL SCIENCES
Exploratory Social Network Analysis
with Pajek
46
Revised and expanded edition foR Updated softwaRe
Wouter de Nooy, Andrej Mrvar and Vladimir Batagelj
THIRD EDITION
Mehri
Exploratory Social Netw
ork Analysis
Lectures on the Poisson ProcessLectures on
the Poisson Process
Günter Last and Mathew Penrose
Last and Pen
rose
TextbooksInstitute of Mathematical Statistics Textbooks
Editorial Board:
D. R. Cox (University of Oxford)
B. Hambly (University of Oxford)
S. Holmes (Stanford University)
X.-L. Meng (Harvard University)
The Poisson process, a core object in modern probability, enjoys a richer theory
than is sometimes appreciated. This volume develops the theory in the setting of
a general abstract measure space, establishing basic results and properties as well
as certain advanced topics in the stochastic analysis of the Poisson process. Also
discussed are applications and related topics in stochastic geometry, including
stationary point processes, the Boolean model, the Gilbert graph, stable allocations,
and hyperplane processes. Comprehensive, rigorous, and self-contained, this text is
ideal for graduate courses or for self-study, with a substantial number of exercises for
each chapter. Mathematical prerequisites, mainly a sound knowledge of measure-
theoretic probability, are kept in the background, but are reviewed comprehensively
in the appendix. The authors are well-known researchers in probability theory;
especially stochastic geometry. Their approach is informed both by their research
and by their extensive experience in teaching at undergraduate and graduate levels.
Günter Last is Professor of Stochastics at the Karlsruhe Institute of Technology. He
is a distinguished probabilist with particular expertise in stochastic geometry, point
processes and random measures. He coauthored a research monograph on marked
point processes on the line as well as two textbooks on general mathematics. He has
given many invited talks on his research worldwide.
Mathew Penrose is Professor of Probability at the University of Bath. He is an
internationally leading researcher in stochastic geometry and applied probability
and is the author of the infl uential monograph Random Geometric Graphs.
He received the Friedrich Wilhelm Bessel Research Award from the Humboldt
Foundation in 2008, and has held visiting positions as guest lecturer in New Delhi,
7
Data science has now fi rmly moved from computer science and engineering to the disciplines of the social sciences, where scholars are harnessing the insight-ful power of ever larger and more complex data sets. This volume provides a clear introduction for social scientists and policy researchers into the use of R and Python, including best practice of working with data fi les, command fi les, and outputs. The step-by-step approach with real-world examples will be of great value to students, scholars, and practitioners engaged in data analytic approaches to social problems.” – Todd Landman, Professor of Political Science and Pro Vice Chancellor, Faculty of Social Sciences, University of Nottingham
“The irruption of big data and the need to comply with high standards of research reproducibility require social scientists and policy analysts to be con-versant in data collection and management techniques. Unfortunately, even those with sophisticated methodological training often lack the necessary tools to take on these requirements. Magallanes Reyes’s book at long last collects and organizes a large amount of information and useful advice on how to curate data for scientifi c analysis. Through agile narrative and compelling examples, he walks the reader through the use of open-source tools of data science such as R, Python, and Github. The book is an invaluable resource for students and scholars at different levels of profi ciency, from neophytes to advanced users.” – Guillermo Rosas, Washington University in St. Louis
“This new, practical, reader-friendly how-to manual on computational social data analysis is both long overdue and a must-have for analysts and research-ers. The range of problem-solving strategies and demonstrations is impressive. While eminently practical, Magallanes Reyes’s contribution is also rigorous and true to its scientifi c aims, which will please both basic and applied scientists and practitioners.” – Claudio Cioffi -Revilla, Professor of Computational Social Science and Director, Center for Social Complexity, George Mason University, and founding President, Computational Social Science Society of the Americas
“Magallanes Reyes’s excellent book on data science for researchers and policy analysts is an accessible yet thorough introduction to data management and analyses in R and Python. It has a broad coverage of the techniques required to capture, clean, and process complex information. It is the perfect companion for sophisticated policy analysts and researchers that are ready to take advantage of the wealth of data that is available to skilled computer scientists.” – Ernesto Calvo, University of Maryland
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INTRODUCTION TO
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JOSE MANUEL MAGALLANES REYES
Collecting and Organizing Data with R and Python
Cover image courtesy of © Westhoff / E+ / Getty Images
Cover design by Holly Johnson
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Cover image: Capitol Hill with US flag. Copyright © franckreporter/iStockphoto.com
Cover design by ALICE SOLOWAY
What are the risk of terrorism and what are their consequences and economic impacts? Are we safer from terrorism today than before 9/11? Does the government spend our homeland security funds well? These questions motivated a twelve-year research program of the National Center for Risk and Economic Analysis of Terrorism Events (CREATE) at the University of Southern California, funded by the Department of Homeland Security. This book showcases some of the most important results of this research and offers key insights on how to address the most important security problems of our time.
Written for homeland security researchers and practitioners, this book covers a wide range of methodologies and real-world examples of how to reduce terrorism risks, increase the efficient use of homeland security resources, and thereby make better decisions overall.
ali e. abbas is Professor of Industrial and Systems Engineering and Professor of Public Policy and Management at the University of Southern California. He also serves as the director of the Center for Interdisciplinary Decisions and Ethics (DECIDE). His research interests focus on all aspects of decision making under uncertainty broadly defined. He is author of two books, two edited volumes, and has more than 100 refereed publications. He has organized numerous workshops on decision making in large-scale systems with NASA Langley, the Transportation Security Administration (TSA), the Department of Homeland Security, and the National Science Foundation.
milind tambe is Professor of Computer Science and Professor of Industrial and Systems Engineering at the University of Southern California. He is a founding co-director of the USC Center on Artificial Intelligence in Society. Among his pioneering contributions in Artificial Intelligence is the security games framework that has been deployed by agencies such as the US Coast Guard, Federal Air Marshals Service, and various nongovernmental organizations, for which he has received several commendations. He is a fellow of the Association for Advancement of Artificial Intelligence (AAAI) and Association for Computing Machinery (ACM).
detlof von Winterfeldt is Professor of Industrial and Systems Engineering and Professor of Public Policy and Management at the University of Southern California. His research interests are in the foundation and practice of decision and risk analysis. In 2004, he co-founded the National Center for Risk and Economic Analysis of Terrorism Events (CREATE) and serves as its current director. He is the author of two books, three edited volumes, and more than 100 refereed articles and chapters. He is a fellow of the Institute for Operations Research and the Management Sciences (INFORMS) and of the Society for Risk Analysis.
ImprovIng Homeland SecurIty DecIsIonsedited by Ali e. Abbas, milind Tambe and Detlof von Winterfeldt
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For advanced students of network data science, this compact account covers both well-established methodology and the theory of models recently introduced in the graphical model literature. It focuses on the discrete case where all variables involved are categorical and, in this context, it achieves a unified presentation of classical and recent results.
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About the series:SemStat Elements is the exclusive vehicle for short monographs prepared by the invited lecturers at the Seminaires Européens de Statistiques (SemStat). SemStat is known for high-quality courses of expository lectures on important new developments in statistics delivered at a biennial meeting to an audience of advanced PhD students. Each meeting is organized around a particular theme by the European Regional Committee of the Bernoulli Society, and the Bernoulli Society sponsors the SemStat Elements series.
Graphical Models for Categorical Data
Alberto Roverato
ISSN 2398-404X (online)ISSN 2514-3778 (print)
Series editor:
Ernst Wit
Chair of Statistics and Probability at the University of Groningen
SemStat
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E C O N O M E T R I C S O C I E T Y M O N O G R A P H S
Random Sets in Econometrics
Ilya Molchanov Francesca Molinari
This snapshot of the current frontier of statistics and network analysis focuses on the foundational topics of modeling, sampling, and design. Primarily for graduate students and researchers in statistics and closely related fields, emphasis is not only on what has been done, but on what remains to be done.
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About the series:SemStat Elements is the exclusive vehicle for short monographs prepared by the invited lecturers at the Seminaires Européens de Statistiques (SemStat). SemStat is known for high-quality courses of expository lectures on important new developments in statistics delivered at a biennial meeting to an audience of advanced PhD students. Each meeting is organized around a particular theme.
Topics at the Frontier of Statistics andNetwork Analysis
Eric D. Kolaczyk
ISSN 2398-404X (online)ISSN 2514-3778 (print)
Series editor:
Ernst Wit
Chair of Statistics and Probability at the University of Groningen
SemStat
(Re)Visiting the Foundations
Top
ics at the Fro
ntier o
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Netw
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Tijms
PROBABILITY: A LIVELY INTRODUCTION
9781108407847: Tijms: Cover: C M
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Henk Tijms
A LIVELY INTRODUCTION
Probability has applications in many areas of modern science, not to mention in our daily life, and its importance as a mathematical discipline cannot be overrated. This engaging book, with its easy to follow writing style, provides a comprehensive, yet concise, introduction to the subject. It covers all of the standard material for undergraduate and first-year-graduate-level courses, as well as many topics that are usually not found in standard texts – such as Bayesian inference, Markov chain Monte Carlo simulation, and Chernoff bounds.
The student-friendly text has the following additional features:
• Is the result of many years of teaching and feedback from students• Stresses why probability is so relevant and how to apply it• Offers many real-world examples to support the theory• Includes more than 750 problems with detailed solutions of the
odd-numbered problems• Gives students confidence in their own problem-solving skills
Henk Tijms is Professor Emeritus at the Vrije University in Amsterdam. He is the author of several textbooks and numerous papers on applied probability and stochastic optimization. In 2008 Henk Tijms received the prestigious INFORMS Expository Writing Award for his publications and books. His activities also include the popularization of probability for high-school students and the general public.
Cover image: EyesWideOpen/Getty ImagesCover design: Andrew Ward
Online Resourceswww.cambridge.org/TijmsProbability
Solutions manual with answers to odd and even-numbered problems for instructorsPowerpoint slides of figures
Research Methods and Statistics
Bernard C. Beins ••• Maureen A. McCarthy
Cambridge Series in Statistical and Probabilistic Mathematics
High-Dimensional ProbabilityAn Introduction with Applications in Data Science
Roman Vershynin
Cover credit: Terrace chairs © Bryce Richter / University of Wisconsin-MadisonCover designed by Zoe Naylor.
9781108415859 An
derso
n et al. PPC
C M
Y K
INTRODUCTION TO PROBABILITY
David F. Anderson | Timo Seppäläinen | Benedek Valkó
MATHEMATICAL TEXTBOOKSCAMBRIDGE
INTRODUCTION TO PROBABILITYANDERSON, SEPPÄLÄINEN AND VALKÓ
This classroom-tested textbook is an introduction to probability theory with the right balance between mathematical precision, probabilistic intuition, and concrete applications. Introduction to Probability covers the material precisely, while avoiding excessive technical details. Intended for students with a calculus background, the text teaches not only the nuts and bolts of probability theory and how to solve specifi c problems, but also why the methods of solution work.
FEATURES• Presented in full color and written in an accessible
way, the text provides a comprehensive and well-balanced introduction to probability.
• Pedagogical features include numerous examples to illustrate concepts and theory, over 600 exercises of varying levels, and separate Finer Points sections for technical details.
“The authors have carefully chosen a set of core topics, resisting the temptation to overload the reader. They tie it all together with a coherent philosophy. Knowing the authors’ work, I would expect nothing less. I predict that this text will become the standard for beginning probability courses.”– Carl Mueller, University of Rochester
“This is an excellent book written by three active researchers in probability that combines both solid mathematics and the distinctive style of thinking needed for modeling random systems. It also has a great collection of problems. I expect it to become a standard textbook for undergraduate probability courses at least in the US.”– Gregory F. Lawler, University of Chicago
David F. Anderson is a Professor of Mathematics at the University of Wisconsin-Madison.
Timo Seppäläinen is the John and Abigail Van Vleck Chair of Mathematics at the University of Wisconsin-Madison.
Benedek Valkó is a Professor of Mathematics at the University of Wisconsin-Madison.
Instructor’s Manual with solutions to selected problems
asv
www.cambridge.org/JSM2018
37961.indd 1 23/04/2018 14:33
The JSM Quick Guide, introduced in 2017, is back! As JSM has grown and attendees have increasingly turned to their smart phones and tablets for information, we realized a new JSM Quick Guide would help you more quickly find the general information you’re looking for, such as floor plans, featured events, and the overall JSM schedule. The complete program can be found in the online program and JSM app, where you can build a custom schedule and find up-to-date details for JSM’s more than 600 sessions. By developing each medium with its strengths and weaknesses in mind, we aim to offer attendees a more useful print and online program.
* Ticketed event (additional fees apply)
INSIDE THE JSM APPTake a closer look at the JSM app on Page 5.
JSM2018SMMMMMMMMM22MM22MMMMMMMM2MMMMM200
APP SPONSOR
JSM QUICK GUIDEJS
M S
CHED
ULE
AT
A G
LAN
CE
SATURDAYJuly 28, 2018 Registration 7:30 a.m. – 6:00 p.m.
Professional Development *8:00 a.m. – 6:30 p.m.
Career Service* 9:00 a.m. – 5:00 p.m.Pre-registered attendee badge pick-up and onsite registration only
SUNDAYJuly 29, 2018 Registration 7:30 a.m. – 8:30 p.m.
Professional Development* 8:00 a.m. – 5:00 p.m.
First-Time Attendee Orientation and Reception12:30 p.m. – 2:00 p.m.
EXPO 2018 1:00 p.m. – 6:00 p.m. 8:30 p.m. – 10:30 p.m.
Career Service* 1:00 p.m. – 6:00 p.m.
Technical (Paper and Panel) Sessions2:00 p.m. – 5:50 p.m.
ASA Awards Celebration and Editor Appreciation 7:30 p.m. – 8:30 p.m.
JSM Opening Mixer and Invited Poster Session 8:30 p.m. – 10:30 p.m.
MONDAYJuly 30, 2018 A.M. Roundtable Discussions* 7:00 a.m. – 8:15 a.m.
Registration 7:30 a.m. – 6:00 p.m.
Professional Development *8:00 a.m. – 5:00 p.m.
Career Service*8:00 a.m. – 5:30 p.m.
Technical (Paper, Panel, and Poster) Sessions 8:30 a.m. – 3:50 p.m.
EXPO 2018 9:00 a.m. – 5:30 p.m.
P.M. Roundtable Discussions* 12:30 p.m. – 1:50 p.m.
President’s Invited Speaker 4:00 p.m. – 5:50 p.m.
TUESDAYJuly 31, 2018 A.M. Roundtable Discussions* 7:00 a.m. – 8:15 a.m.
Registration 7:30 a.m. – 6:00 p.m.
Professional Development* 8:00 a.m. – 5:00 p.m.
Career Service*8:00 a.m. – 5:30 p.m.
Technical (Paper, Panel, and Poster) Sessions 8:30 a.m. – 3:50 p.m.
EXPO 2018 9:00 a.m. – 5:30 p.m.
P.M. Roundtable Discussions*12:30 p.m. – 1:50 p.m.
Deming Lecture 4:00 p.m. – 5:50 p.m.
ASA President’s Address and Founders & Fellows Recognition 8:00 p.m. – 9:30 p.m.
JSM Dance Party9:30 p.m. – 12:00 a.m.
WEDNESDAYAugust 1, 2018 A.M. Roundtable Discussions* 7:00 a.m. – 8:15 a.m.
Registration 7:30 a.m. – 4:30 p.m.
Career Service* 8:00 a.m. – 2:30 p.m.
Professional Development* 8:00 a.m. – 5:00 p.m.
Technical (Paper, Panel, and Poster) Sessions 8:30 a.m. – 3:50 p.m.
EXPO 2018 9:00 a.m. – 2:30 p.m.
P.M. Roundtable Discussions* 12:30 p.m. – 1:50 p.m.
COPSS Awards and Fisher Lecture 4:00 p.m. – 5:50 p.m.
THURSDAYAugust 2, 2018 Registration7:30 a.m. – 10:30 a.m.
Technical (Paper and Panel) Sessions 8:30 a.m. – 12:20 p.m.
2018 SPONSORS
PLATINUM
GOLD
SILVER
VANCOUVER, BRITISH COLUMBIA, CANADA 5
!!!JSM APP
Download the official JSM 2018 app (sponsored by IBM) to see last-minute updates, create your own schedule, play the
JSM Challenge for prizes, and more. Available on Google Play and the App Store; free.
002 -The Deep Learning-
Revolution
003 -Remembering Stephen E. Fienberg
ility004 -Transparency, Reproduciband Replicability in Work withSocial and Economic Data
2:00 PM
ALL
Looking for the complete JSM program schedule
and abstracts? Just click the Program
icon in the JSM app! Scroll through all JSM
sessions, the Professional Development program,
business and committee meetings, and JSM hours
and events by day.
Trying to find something specific? Search for a speaker and find an abstract via keyword or session title. You can even filter your search for specific sponsors or session type!
Want to read a speaker’s abstract before attending a certain session? Tap on the session title and you will see all the speaker abstracts for the session, including their start times.
Need to know when speed sessions
are taking place? Simply select
“Contributed Speed” from the filter
options—and voila! Not sure where a room is located? Just hit the “Map It” icon and the app will show you.And don’t forget to leave
feedback about the presentations you see.
Just click the “thumbs-up” icon above the abstract text.
AVAILABLE ON GOOGLE PLAY AND THE APP STORE.FREE
6 JSM2018
!!!JSM CHALLENGETake the JSM Challenge via the JSM 2018 app! Earn points for each question and task you complete to win prizes at the end of the week. The JSM Challenge runs Saturday through Wednesday, with new questions each day. You’ll be working together for a special prize that will light up this year’s Dance Party. What are you waiting for? Get glowing! (Don’t worry—if you’re the competitive type, our four top-scoring participants will also receive individual prizes.)
Don’t miss out on the
opportunity to have fun and
win great prizes! Download the JSM app from
Google Play or the App
Store. For all other devices, a web version is available at
ww2.amstat.org/meetings/
jsm/2018/jsmapp.
Fairmont Waterfront (HQ) (604) 691-1991
Days Inn Vancouver (604) 681-4335
Delta Vancouver Suites (604) 689-8188
Fairmont Vancouver (604) 684-3131
Four Seasons Hotel Vancouver
(604) 689-9333
Hampton Inn & Suites (604) 602-1008
Hyatt Regency Vancouver (604) 683-1234
JW Marriott Parq Vancouver (604) 676-0888
Pan Pacific Hotel Vancouver (604) 662-8111
Pinnacle Hotel Harbourfront (604) 689-9211
Sheraton Wall Centre (604) 331-1000
Sheraton Vancouver Airport (604) 273-7878
The Douglas, Autograph Collection Vancouver
(604) 676-0889
Vancouver Marriott Pinnacle Downtown
(604) 684-1128
Westin Bayshore Vancouver (604) 682-3377
WIFISPONSORED BY
AbbVie
Network: JSM2018
Password: abbvie2018
SOCIAL MEDIA
Join the Joint Statistical Meetings conversation by using #JSM2018 on social media. Also follow the official ASA social media accounts for news, pictures, and last-minute updates.
• www.facebook.com/AmstatNews
• www.twitter.com/AmstatNews
• www.instagram.com/AmstatNews
• community.amstat.org
CONVENTION HOUSING
VANCOUVER, BRITISH COLUMBIA, CANADA 7
!!!
Emergency Telephone MessagesIn case of emergency, messages may be left during registration hours by calling (778) 331-7615. We will attempt to contact the registrant using the contact information provided in their registration.
Assistance for Those with DisabilitiesPlease contact a staff member at the Help Desk in the registration area if you have a disability that may impede your participation.
Child CareKiddie Corp is the official child care provider for JSM 2018. Arrangements should have been made in advance. Please contact Kiddie Corp at (858) 455-1718 or [email protected] for any questions or possible availability.
PoliciesElectronic DevicesAll cell phones, pagers, and other electronic devices should be silenced before attending any session or meeting.
SmokingSmoking is not permitted at any JSM function, unless the event is held outside.
RecyclingPlease use the paper, plastic, and aluminum trash containers located throughout the convention center. Also, participating in the towel and linen programs at area hotels makes a significant difference in the amount of energy and water used. Finally, place JSM badges and badge holders in one of the designated bins when leaving.
JSM ProceedingsEligibility guidelines and author instructions for
JSM 2018 presenters are available at ww2.amstat.org/meetings/jsm/2018/submissions.cfm. The submission site will open August 28, 2018, and close September 29, 2018 (11:59 p.m. EDT).
Meetings Conduct Policy*As a professional society, the American Statistical Association (ASA) is committed to providing an atmosphere that encourages the free expression and exchange of ideas. Consistent with this commitment, it is the policy of the ASA that all participants in ASA activities will enjoy a welcoming environment free from unlawful discrimination, harassment, and retaliation. All participants in ASA activities also agree to comply with all rules and conditions of the activities, which are subject to change without notice.
DOCENT PROGRAMQuestions? New to JSM? Find a JSM docent to help you learn the ropes. JSM docents are experienced JSM attendees wearing an orange button (pictured) who can help you make the most of your experience.
*Please read thecomplete ConductPolicy at www.amstat.org/meetings/jsm/2018/conductpolicy.cfm.
2018
JSM PROCEEDING
SS
ASA • EN
AR • W
NAR • IMS • SSC • ICSA • IISA • KISS •
ISBA
• RS
S •
ISI
8 JSM2018
!!!HOURS OF OPERATIONRegistration and ASA Membership/ Help Desk/Press DeskCC-West Ballroom FoyerJSM registration includes the JSM Quick Guide; access to the exhibit hall; and admission to the Opening Mixer, Student Mixer (students only), and JSM Dance Party.
Saturday 7:30 a.m. – 6:00 p.m.
Sunday 7:30 a.m. – 8:30 p.m.
Monday – Tuesday 7:30 a.m. – 6:00 p.m.
Wednesday 7:30 a.m. – 4:30 p.m.
Thursday 7:30 a.m. – 10:30 a.m.
Speaker Management Room Sponsored by AbbVieCC-West 103/104Speakers are required to check in four hours prior to their presentations to upload their materials to the speaker management system or confirm their materials were uploaded correctly. Session chairs also should check in to confirm all speakers have uploaded their materials.
Sunday 9:00 a.m. – 7:00 p.m.
Monday – Wednesday 7:00 a.m. – 6:00 p.m.
Thursday 7:00 a.m. – 10:30 a.m.
Career ServiceCC-West Hall A
Saturday
9:00 a.m. – 5:00 p.m. (Pre-registered attendee badge pick-up and onsite registration only)
Sunday 1:00 p.m. – 6:00 p.m.
Monday – Tuesday 8:00 a.m. – 5:30 p.m.
Wednesday 8:00 a.m. – 2:30 p.m. (onsite registration closes at noon)
JSM Luggage Storage CC-West Ballroom Foyer
Wednesday 8:00 a.m. – 6:30 p.m.
Thursday 8:00 a.m. – 1:00 p.m.
EXPO 2018CC-West Hall BVisit publishers, software companies, and recruiters. See state-of-the-art products designed for the statistical community. Make sure to check out the coffee, refreshment, and lunch options available each day, as well.
Sunday 1:00 p.m. – 6:00 p.m., 8:30 p.m. – 10:30 p.m.
Monday – Tuesday 9:00 a.m. – 5:30 p.m.
Wednesday 9:00 a.m. – 2:30 p.m.
Cyber CenterCC-West Ballroom FoyerSend email, print boarding passes, and check the JSM online program using available computers and printers.
Saturday 7:30 a.m. – 6:00 p.m.
Sunday 7:30 a.m. – 8:30 p.m.
Monday – Tuesday 7:30 a.m. – 6:00 p.m.
Wednesday 7:30 a.m. – 4:30 p.m.
Thursday 7:30 a.m. – 10:30 a.m.
ASA Store (inside EXPO 2018)CC-West Hall B, Booth #401The ASA Store is the place for your official JSM 2018 T-shirt and other JSM and ASA souvenirs.
Sunday 1:00 p.m. – 6:00 p.m., 8:30 p.m. – 10:30 p.m.
Monday – Tuesday 9:00 a.m. – 5:30 p.m.
Wednesday 9:00 a.m. – 2:30 p.m.
Vancouver Restaurant & Tourism Information Center CC-West Ballroom Foyer Operated by Tourism Vancouver, this center provides extensive information about and referrals for restaurants and sightseeing. Stop by the desk and pick up maps and travel information.
Saturday – Wednesday 10:00 a.m. – 5:00 p.m.
VANCOUVER, BRITISH COLUMBIA, CANADA 9
!!!
SPECIAL EVENTS
JSM First-Time Attendee Orientation and ReceptionSunday, July 29, 12:30 p.m. – 2:00 p.m.CC-West Ballroom DJoin fellow first-timers at this orientation reception and learn how to become involved in JSM. Hear about the benefits of membership and get tips about the conference.
JSM Opening Mixer & Invited Poster Session, sponsored by Eli Lilly & CompanySunday, July 29, 8:30 p.m. – 10:30 p.m.CC-West Hall BAll conference attendees are encouraged to come together for the kick-off social event of JSM.
ASA Awards Celebration and Editor AppreciationSunday, July 29, 7:30 p.m. – 8:30 p.m.CC-West 211The Sunday night awards ceremony recognizes retiring editors and honorees of annual ASA awards, section awards, and scholarships.
JSM Student MixerMonday, July 30, 6:00 p.m. – 8:00 p.m.CC-West Ballroom DThe Student Mixer provides an opportunity for students to join their contemporaries for a fun-filled time.
ASA Longtime Member Reception (by invitation only), Sponsored by WestatMonday, July 30, 6:30 p.m. – 7:30 p.m.CC-West 201This annual reception is held to honor ASA members who have shown dedication to the association for 35 or more years.
JSM Dance PartyTuesday, July 31, 9:30 p.m. – 12:00 a.m.CC-West Ballroom DA fun highlight of JSM, the dance party is held right after the ASA President’s Address and Founders & Fellows Recognition. There are snacks, a cash bar, and music!
FIRST TIMER
The JSM Opening Mixer is in the EXPO! Sunday from 8:30 p.m.–10:30 p.m. Some exhibitors will have refreshments. Look for more information inside the EXPO.
10 JSM2018
Sunday, July 291:00 p.m.Spotlight Vancouver Kick-OffSwing by and kick off JSM with samples of area specialties like wild salmon sliders, porcini mushroom tarts, and BBQ duck spring rolls. Enjoy while they last!
Join us for featured events throughout the week that give you a little taste of the city. Check out the schedule and stop by Spotlight to see more!
VANCOUVERInterested in giving back
while in Vancouver? Connect with other JSM attendees while making blankets (no sewing involved) to be donated to those in need. Just drop by Spotlight Monday through Wednesday between 11:30 a.m. and 1:00 p.m. to participate.
!!!
VANCOUVER
SPOTLIGHT
3:30 p.m. Tasty Vancouver Fruit TartelettesNo time to venture to Granville Island? No matter. Enjoy fresh samples of fruit tartelettes made from local fruit and berries (while supplies last) and mingle with other attendees.
8:30 p.m. Opening Mixer Popcorn, Sponsored by NetflixEnjoy a pick-me-up with a traditional
popcorn break.
VANCOUVER, BRITISH COLUMBIA, CANADA 11
Monday, July 309:00 a.m. Vancouver Insider TipsWhether you seek tips for activities and food nearby or the variety of options surrounding lovely Vancouver and whether you have been to Vancouver before or need a rundown for your first time in the city, Tourism Vancouver is here to guide you.
3:30 p.m. Vancouver Microbrew Tasting, Sponsored by RTI InternationalStop by to taste a variety of Vancouver microbrews (while supplies last).
Tuesday, July 3110:00 a.m.Get Your JSM Energy Fix
Come power up with fresh fruit and yogurt smoothie samples (strawberry, mango, or blueberry) and energy bars.
1:30 p.m. Popcorn Break,
Sponsored by NetflixEnjoy an afternoon
pick-me-up with a traditional popcorn break.
3:30 p.m. Experience B.C. WinesDon’t miss this chance to taste local wines. Sample a variety of red and white wines from B.C.’s famous Okanagan Valley (while supplies last).
Wednesday, August 310:00 a.m. JSM Coffee HouseRefresh with a cup of coffee or tea from Vancouver’s local organic, fair-trade coffee maker, Moja Coffee. Enjoy the featured house blend, Rainforest Alliance Sumatra, or choose from a variety
of imported teas.
10:00 a.m. JSM Coffee HouseRefresh with a cup of coffee or tea from Vancouver’s local organic, fair-trade coffee maker, Moja Coffee. Enjoy the featured house blend, Rainforest Alliance Sumatra, or choose from a variety of imported teas.
11:00 a.m. – 3:00 p.m. JSM Photo Booth, Sponsored by Cytel, Inc.Stop by to create memories with your friends using fun props.
1:30 p.m. Popcorn Break, Sponsored by XLSTATEnjoy an afternoon pick-me-up with a traditional popcorn break.
Explore the art in data art with the JSM exhibit featuring data artists located on the EXPO floor!
DATA ART
12 JSM2018
FEATURED SPEAKERS
IMS Medallion Lecture I2:00 p.m.CC-West 109Statistical Inference for Complex Extreme EventsAnthony Davison, Ecole Polytechnique Fédérale de Lausanne
SUNDAY
TUESDAY
ASA President’s Invited Address4:00 p.m.CC-West Ballroom BCLaura Evans, The New York Times
MONDAY
JSM Public Lecture7:00 p.m.CC-West Ballroom ABorn on Friday the Thirteenth: The Curious World of ProbabilitiesJeffrey Rosenthal, University of Toronto
ASA Deming Lecture4:00 p.m.CC-West Ballroom BCImproving the Quality and Value of Statistical Information: 14 Questions on ManagementJohn L. Eltinge, US Census Bureau
ASA President’s Address and Founders & Fellows Recognition8:00 p.m. CC-West Ballroom BCChoose to LeadLisa LaVange, The University of North Carolina
VANCOUVER, BRITISH COLUMBIA, CANADA 13
Sunday, July 29, 2:00 p.m.CC-West Ballroom ASession 2 – The Deep Learning Revolution
Sunday, July 29 4:00 p.m.CC-West 301Session 42 – Examining What and How We Teach at All Levels: Key Ideas to Ensure the Progress and Relevance of Statistics
Monday, July 30 8:30 a.m.CC-West Ballroom ASession 95 – Leading Data Science: Talent, Strategy, and Impact
Monday, July 30 10:30 a.m.CC-West Ballroom ASession 137 – Multivariate Data Modeling with Copulas
Tuesday, July 31 8:30 a.m.CC-West Ballroom ASession 271 – Reproducibility, Efficient Workflows, and Rich Environments
Wednesday, August 1, 8:30 a.m.CC-West Ballroom ASession 448 – The Statistical and Data Revolution in the Social Sciences
INTRODUCTORY OVERVIEW LECTURES
LATE-BREAKING SESSIONSMonday, July 30, 2:00 p.m.CC-West Ballroom ASession 211 – Addressing Sexual Misconduct in the Statistics Community
Tuesday, July 31, 10:30 a.m.CC-West Ballroom ASession 316 – Statistical Issues in Application of Machine Learning to High-Stakes Decisions
IMS Medallion Lecture II2:00 p.m.CC-West Ballroom AStatistical Analysis of Large TensorsMing Yuan, Columbia University
COPSS Awards & Fisher Lecture4:00 p.m.CC-West Ballroom BCThe Future: Stratified Micro-Randomized Trials with Applications in Mobile HealthSusan Murphy, Harvard University
WEDNESDAY
14 JSM2018
RESTROOMS
CONCESSIONS
DATAART
SHOW
VANCOUVER
SPOTLIGHT
527
525
530
528
526
531
529
505
503
501
504
502
500
405
403
508
506
409
407
401
404
402
400
305
303
408
406
309
307
301
304
302
300
205
203
308
306
209
207
201
509
507
204
202
200
208
206
226
224
230
228
238
236
240
524
431
429
427
425
539
537
540
538
541
536
441
439
437
330
328
326
324
231
229
227
225
340
338
336
241
239
237
440
438
436
341
339
337
CHARGING STATIONS
EXH
IBIT
OR
CHEC
K IN
ePOSTERS
ESCALATORS TO MAIN LEVEL
POSTERS
EXHIBITOR LOUNGE
West Exhibition LevelHall B
ENTRANCE
VANCOUVER, BRITISH COLUMBIA, CANADA 15
Exhibitor Name Booth Number
Advanced Clinical 441
American Statistical Association 400, 402
Aptech Systems, Inc. 330
ASA Store 401,403,405
Barrington James 509
Berry Consultants 324
Bureau of Economic Analysis 506
Cambridge University Press 202, 204
Cengage 239
CITI Program, a division of BRANY 507
Clindata Insight 427
Covance / Chiltern 228
CRC Press/Taylor & Francis Group 337,436,438
Cytel 524, 425
Exploristics Ltd 541
FDA 237
FDA 336
Frontline Systems Inc. 230
H2O.ai 236
IBM 530
Institute of Mathematical Statistics (IMS) 407
JMP a software from SAS 300,302,304
JSM 2019: Denver, CO 404
Jump Trading 537
Lyft 539
Maplesoft 526
Minitab 500,502,504
National Center for Education Statistics (NCES) 227
National Center for Health Statistics 241
National Science Foundation 326
National Security Agency 529, 531
NCSS 200
Netflix 525
NISS 341
nQuery 328
Oxford University Press 505
Pearson 231
Penfield Search Partners, LLC 226
Penn State University World Campus 206
PRA Health Sciences 440
Predictive Analytics Group 527
Responsive Survey Design: A Research Education Pro 408
RStudio Inc. 536
SAGE Publishing 508
Sandia National Labs 538
SAS EDU Practice 207, 209
SAS PUBS 306, 308
SAS R&D 201, 203, 205
SIAM 406
Springer 307, 309
StataCorp LLC 301,303,305
Statgraphics Technologies, Inc. 501
STAT-HAWKERS 224
Statistical Society of Canada (SSC) 409
Takeda Pharmacetical Co. 208
The Lotus Group, LLC 437
TWO SIGMA 503
University of Kansas Dept. of Biostat 338
Wiley 429, 431
Xiaoju Science and Technology Limited 229
XLSTAT 225
Zillow Group 528
Exhibitor Name Booth Number
The JSM Opening Mixer is in the Expo! Sunday from 8:30 p.m. – 10:30 p.m. Some exhibitors will have refreshments. Look for more information inside the EXPO.
16 JSM2018
ESCALATOR
STAIRS
ELEVATOR
RESTROOMS
KEY
NORTH ▲
SEAWALLPATHWAY
SPEAKERMANAGEMENT
ROOM
ROUNDTABLES FIRST-TIME ATTENDEE ORIENTATION AND RECEPTIONDANCE PARTY
JSM CHILD CARE
JSM REGISTRATION
VANCOUVER RESTAURANTS &
TOURISM DESK
CYBER CENTER
BALLROOM D
BALLROOM BC
BALLROOM BC
BALLROOM A
BURRARDSTREETENTRANCE
TWITTER WALL
THURLOW STREETENTRANCE
101 102 103/104
114 115
122 121
120 119
118
116 117
105/106
113 112 111
107 108
110
109
TO/FROM LOBBY & HARBOUR CONCOURSECONNECTOR TO EAST BUILDING
TO/FROM LEVEL 2
TO/FROM LEVEL 2
TO/FROMEXPO (Hall B) AND CAREER SERVICE (Hall A)
TO/FROMEXPO (Hall B) ANDCAREER SERVICE (Hall A)
TO/FROMLEVEL 2
TO/FROMENTRANCE
• Roundtables• Fellows Reception• Dance Party
• Plenary Sessions• Speaker Management• Cyber Center
• First-Time Attendee Orientation and Reception• Access to Exhibit Hall and Level 2
CONVENTION CENTRE • WEST LEVEL 1CC-West
NURSING ROOMS
AND FIRST AID
VANCOUVER, BRITISH COLUMBIA, CANADA 17
ESCALATOR
STAIRS
ELEVATOR
RESTROOMS
KEY
NORTH ▲
CO
MM
ITTE
E TA
BLES
SPEAKERLUNCHEONS
TERRACELIVING ROOF
224 223
222 221
220
215/216
214
202 203 204 205 206 207209
208
213 212
211
210201
217 218 219
BEEHIVES
STAIRSTO LEVEL 1
TO/FROM LEVEL 3
TO/FROM LEVEL 1
• Business and Committee Meetings
• Committee Tables
• Speaker Luncheons
• Access to Level 1
• Access to Level 3 (Living Roof)
CONVENTION CENTRE • WEST LEVEL 2CC-West
18 JSM2018
LIVING ROOF
CONVENTION CENTRE • WEST LEVEL 3CC-West• Business and Committee Meetings• Access to/from Level 2
301
306305/304 303 302
VANCOUVER, BRITISH COLUMBIA, CANADA 19
ESCALATOR
STAIRS
ELEVATOR
RESTROOMS
KEY
PARK VIEWTERRACE
SOUTHFOYER
TO/FROM LEVEL 2 & LOBBY
TO/FROMDELEGATE CONCOURSE
TO PAN PACIFIC HOTEL
STAIRS TO GROUND LEVEL
STAIRS TO GROUND LEVEL
2
3
4 5
7 8 9
1516
20
19 18
17
10
11
12
13
14
6
1
• Professional Development• Technical Sessions
• Business and Committee Meetings
• Access to Ground Level, Pan Pacific Hotel
TO/FROMWEST BUILDING CONNECTORUNDERGROUND
CONNECTOR TO/FROM WEST BUILDING
UNDERGROUND CONNECTOR TO
FOOD COURT & HOTELTO/FROMFOOD COURT & HOTEL
TO/FROM MEETING LEVEL & HOTEL
TO/FROM MEETING LEVEL
CONVENTION CENTRE LOBBY
CONVENTION CENTRE • EAST GROUND LEVELCC-East
CONVENTION CENTRE • EAST LEVEL 1CC-East
20 JSM2018
CANADA PLACEWAY ENTRANCE
MAIN ENTRANCE
MALASPINA FOYER
MACKENZIE
FOYER
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CONCOURSE LEVEL
TO SKYTRAIN, SEABUS, CONVENTION CENTRE, AND MALL
TO/FROM LOBBY LEVEL
PLAZA ENTRANCE
HOWE STREETENTRANCE
FAIRMONT WATERFRONT
WATERFRONT FOYER
LOBBY
WATERFRONT BALLROOM
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VANCOUVER, BRITISH COLUMBIA, CANADA 21
FAIRMONT WATERFRONT TERRACE LEVEL
TERRACE ROOM
HEALTH CLUB
ESCALATOR
STAIRS
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RESTROOMS
KEY
RESTAURANT AND LOUNGE
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22 JSM2018
Jane Doe@
Would you like to explore career opportunities with top statistical employers? The 2018 Career Service, located in Hall A of the Vancouver Convention Centre, will give you the opportunity to research job postings and contact employers. Access is for registered applicants and employers only and interviews are by appointment.
To register, visit the main JSM registration area and ask to add the Career Service to your registration.
• East China Normal University• Exponent• Ford Motor Company• Jump Trading• Lawrence Livermore
National Laboratory• Mayo Clinic
• National Security Agency• School of Statistics,
Southwestern University of Finance and Economics
• Two Sigma Vertex Pharmaceuticals
• Westat
Executive Suite Employers
Additional Employers
CAREER SERVICE EMPLOYERS
For a current list of employers, see www.amstat.org/careerservice.
CAREER SERVICE
Candidate FeesASA Student Member $85
Student Nonmember $130
ASA Member $155
Nonmember $250
VANCOUVER, BRITISH COLUMBIA, CANADA 23
PROFESSIONAL DEVELOPMENTAll Professional Development (PD) courses are at the Vancouver Convention Centre East Building. An additional fee is charged for PD offerings. To add a course, go to the main registration desk in the Vancouver Convention Centre West Building.
COURSE TIME ROOM INSTRUCTOR(S) TITLE
CE_01C(Two-day course)
8:30 a.m. – 5:00 p.m.
East Meeting Room 1 Garrett Grolemund Master the Tidyverse: An Introduction to R
for Data Science
CE_02C 8:00 a.m. – 12:00 p.m.
East Meeting Room 11 Mine Çetinkaya-Rundel Shiny Essentials
CE_03C 8:30 a.m. – 5:00 p.m.
East Meeting Room 8
Gang Li/Robert Elashoff/Ning Li
Joint Modeling of Longitudinal and Time-to-Event Data
CE_04C 8:30 a.m. – 5:00 p.m.
East Meeting Room 12 Jim Albert Bayesian Thinking: Fundamentals,
Computation, and Multilevel Modeling
CE_05C 8:30 a.m. – 5:00 p.m.
East Meeting Room 13 Wei Pan/Haiyan Bai Propensity Score Methods: Concepts
and Applications
CE_06C 8:30 a.m. – 5:00 p.m.
East Meeting Room 2/3 Charlotte Wickham Advanced R
CE_07C 1:00 p.m. – 5:00 p.m.
East Meeting Room 11 Lawrence Moulton Introduction to the Design of Cluster
Randomized Trials
CE_01C(Two-day course)
8:30 a.m. – 5:00 p.m.
East Meeting Room 1 Garrett Grolemund Master the Tidyverse: An Introduction to R
for Data Science
CE_08C 8:00 a.m. – 12:00 p.m.
East Meeting Room 13
Curtis Huttenhower/Hongzhe Li
Statistical and Computational Methods and Software for Microbiome and Metagenomics and Applications
CE_09C 8:30 a.m. – 5:00 p.m.
East Meeting Room 8 Frank Harrell Regression Modeling Strategies
CE_10C 8:30 a.m. – 5:00 p.m.
East Meeting Room 12 Wei-Yin Loh Art and Practice of Regression Trees and
Forests
CE_11C 8:30 a.m. – 5:00 p.m.
East Meeting Room 11
Peter Müller/Byron Jones/Frank Bretz
Practical Considerations for Bayesian and Frequentist Adaptive Clinical Trials
CE_12C 8:30 a.m. – 5:00 p.m.
East Meeting Room 2/3 E. James Harner Data Science Workflows Using R and Spark
CE_13C 1:00 p.m. – 5:00 p.m.
East Meeting Room 13 Dennis Lin
Topics in Design of Computer Experiment: Recent Advances in Latin Hypercube and Uniform Designs
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PROFESSIONAL DEVELOPMENTCOURSE TIME ROOM INSTRUCTOR(S) TITLE
CE_14C 8:00 a.m. – 12:00 p.m.
East Meeting Room 13
James Wagner Adaptive Survey Design
CE_15C 8:00 a.m. – 12:00 p.m.
East Meeting Room 2/3
Ludovic Trinquart/Michael LaValley
Meta-Analysis for Biopharmaceutical and Public Health Research Using SAS
CE_16C 8:30 a.m. – 5:00 p.m.
East Meeting Room 1
Jason Roy/Michael Daniels
Introduction to Bayesian Nonparametric Methods for Causal Inference
CE_17C 8:30 a.m. – 5:00 p.m.
East Meeting Room 11
David Banks/Margaret Johnson
Nonparametric Regression and Classification for Modern Data Scientists
CE_18C 8:30 a.m. – 5:00 p.m.
East Meeting Room 12
Kenneth Lange/Hua Zhou/Janet Sinsheimer/Eric Sobel
Julia Meets Mendel: Algorithms and Software for Modern Genomic Data Analysis
CE_19C 8:30 a.m. – 5:00 p.m.
East Meeting Room 8
Pankaj Choudhary/Haikady Nagaraja
Analysis of Continuous and Categorical Method Comparison Data
CE_20C 1:00 p.m. – 5:00 p.m.
East Meeting Room 2/3
Daniel Heitjan/Gui-Shuang Ying Prediction in Event-Based Clinical Trials
CE_21C 1:00 p.m. – 5:00 p.m.
East Meeting Room 13
Christina Kendziorski/Rhonda Bacher/Mingyao Li/Nancy Zhang
Statistical Methods for Single-Cell RNA-Seq Analysis
CE_22C 8:00 a.m. – 12:00 p.m.
East Meeting Room 11 Fang Chen Practical Hierarchical Bayesian Modeling
CE_23C 8:00 a.m. – 12:00 p.m.
East Meeting Room 13 Evan Carey Health Care Analytics in the Presence of ‘Big
Data’
CE_24C 8:30 a.m. – 5:00 p.m.
East Meeting Room 8 Noah Simon Statistical Machine Learning for Biomedical
Data
CE_25C 8:30 a.m. – 5:00 p.m.
East Meeting Room 2/3
Devan Mehrotra/Alex Dmitrienko/Jeff Maca
Analysis of Clinical Trials: Theory and Applications
CE_26C 8:30 a.m. – 5:00 p.m.
East Meeting Room 12
Tze Leung Lai/Hao Zou/Ying Lu
Deep Learning, Prediction, and Validation: Innovations in Statistical Modeling and Applications to Medical/Health Big Data
CE_27C 8:30 a.m. – 5:00 p.m.
East Meeting Room 1
Alan Agresti/Maria Kateri Categorical Data Analysis
CE_28C 1:00 p.m. – 5:00 p.m.
East Meeting Room 11 Rafael Irizarry Data Science for Statisticians
CE_29C 1:00 p.m. – 5:00 p.m.
East Meeting Room 13
Rebecca Andridge/Katherine Jenny Thompson
Applications of Hot Deck Imputation Methods to Survey Data
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PROFESSIONAL DEVELOPMENTCOMPUTER TECHNOLOGY WORKSHOPSAll Computer Technology Workshops are at the Vancouver Convention Centre East Building.
COURSE TIME ROOM INSTRUCTOR(S) TITLE
CE_30T 8:00 a.m. – 9:45 a.m.
East Meeting Room 11
Pushpal Mukhopadhyay
Survey Data Imputation and Analysis Using SAS®
CE_31T 8:00 a.m. – 9:45 a.m.
East Meeting Room 12
Ruth Hummel/Clay Barker
A Thorough Course on Time-to-Event / Survival Analysis: From Descriptive Measures to Complex Modeling
CE_32T 8:00 a.m. – 9:45 a.m.
East Meeting Room 13
Cheryl Pammer/Mikhail Golovnya/Charles Harrison
Empower Your Team and Yourself: Fast-Track to Statistical and Data Science Success Using Minitab’s Predictive Modeling Capabilities
CE_33T 10:00 a.m. – 11:45 a.m.
East Meeting Room 11
Changbin Guo Advanced Methods for Survival Analysis Using SAS®
CE_34T 10:00 a.m. – 11:45 a.m.
East Meeting Room 12
Ronan FitzpatrickFormalize the Use of Bayesian Methodology in Your Clinical Trial Framework with nQuery Advanced
CE_35T 10:00 a.m. – 11:45 a.m.
East Meeting Room 13
Cheryl Pammer/Mikhail Golovnya/Charles Harrison
Optimizing Your Tuning Parameters to Quickly Achieve the Superior Model Accuracy Expected from Expert Data Scientists and Statisticians Using Minitab’s Salford Predictive Modeler
CE_36T 1:00 p.m. – 2:45 p.m.
East Meeting Room 11
Weijie Cai Generalized Additive Modeling Using SAS®
CE_37T 1:00 p.m. – 2:45 p.m.
East Meeting Room 12
Yulia Marchenko Bayesian Analysis Using Stata
CE_38T 1:00 p.m. – 2:45 p.m.
East Meeting Room 13
Cheryl Pammer/Mikhail Golovnya/Charles Harrison
Advanced Methods for Regression and Classification: Extend Your Modeling Toolkit Using Minitab’s Suite of Tools
CE_39T 3:00 p.m. – 4:45 p.m.
East Meeting Room 11
Yiu-Fai Yung Propensity Score Analysis and Causal Effect Estimation Using SAS®
PStat-, GStat-, and A.Stat- accredited members in good standing with the ASA or SSC will receive a 20% discount on Professional Devel-opment courses and workshops.
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REGISTRATION OPEN!
Early Registration Closes September 6
Hotel Reservations Close September 25
Students and mid-career and
experienced professionals all
will be represented!
Statistics and Data Science omen inis ...WelcomingInspiring EmpoweringMotivatingEye OpeningAwesome
... you.Learn more
and become involved at ww2.
amstat.org/wsds.
conferenceOctober 18-20, 2018
Cincinnati, Ohio
VANCOUVER, BRITISH COLUMBIA, CANADA 27
* Free to all attendees. No registration or ticket required.
PERSONAL SKILLS DEVELOPMENTPersonal skills development (PSD) consists of courses, workshops, and panel discussions on topics such as effective communication, collaboration, leadership, and influence. All PSDs are at the Vancouver Convention Centre East Building, with the exception of the JSM Presentation Skills Workshop, which will be held in the West Building, Meeting Room 115.
COURSE DATE TIME ROOM INSTRUCTOR(S) TITLE
CE_40P
Part I: Saturday, July 28Part II: Sunday, July 29
1:00 p.m. – 6:30 p.m.8:00 a.m. – 12:00 p.m.
East Meeting Room 15
Gary Sullivan/Bonnie LaFleur
Preparing Statisticians for Leadership: How to See the Big Picture and Have More Influence
CE_41P* Sunday, July 29 10:30 a.m. – 12:30 p.m.
West Meeting Room 115
Brian Wiens/Richard De Veaux/Scott Berry/Christopher Nachtsheim/William Li
JSM Presentation Skills Workshop (free event, no registration required)
CE_42P* Sunday, July 29 2:00 p.m. – 4:00 p.m.
East Meeting Room 10
Career Development: Equality in Leadership: Advocating and Embodying Equality in Leadership (free event, no registration required)
CE_43P
Part I: Monday, July 30 Part II: Tuesday, July 31
8:00 a.m. – 12:00 p.m.1:00 p.m. – 5:00 p.m.
East Meeting Room 15
Jennifer van Mullekom
Effective Presentations for Statisticians: Success = (PD)2
CE_44P 8:00 a.m. – 12:00 p.m.
East Meeting Room 15
Trevor Butterworth/Elisabeth Eaves
Scientific Communication: How to Write an Op-Ed
To view complete Professional Development course descriptions, visit ww2.amstat.org/jsm.
PROFESSIONAL DEVELOPMENT
28 JSM2018
For interesting discussion and a networking event that doesn’t bust your wallet, register for an A.M. roundtable discussion, offered Monday through Wednesday from 7:00 a.m. – 8:15 a.m. Tickets are just $25.
If early morning isn’t your style, P.M. roundtables also offer great discussion and networking opportunities and are held Sunday through Wednesday from 12:30 p.m. – 1:50 p.m. Tickets are $45.
Tickets for these events will be sold onsite until 2 p.m. the day before the occasion is scheduled, if the events are not already sold out.
ROUNDTABLES
Monday’s Breakfast
House-made pastries; seasonal
fruit; assorted yogurts; and a cup
of coffee, tea, or juice.
Sunday’s Lunch Grilled herb and garlic-marinated
chicken breast with roasted baby pota-toes and vegetable julienne sauté, sal-
ad, rolls with butter, and iced tea.
Chef’s choice of vegetarian menu.
Activity Number
Roundtable Number Sponsor Title Presenter,
Affiliation
SUNDAY, JULY 29Speaker with Lunch 12:30 – 1:50 p.m.(CC-West 201)
1 SL01
Statistical Partnerships Among Academe, Industry, and Government Committee
Some Thoughts on AIG from a Canadian Perspective
Nancy Reid, University of Toronto
MONDAY, JULY 30
Roundtables with Coffee 7:00 – 8:15 a.m. (CC-West Ballroom D)
88ML01
Biopharmaceutical Section
Evaluating Drug Combinations in the Discovery and Pre-Clinical Stage Jocelyn Sendecki
ML02 Composite Endpoints for Alzheimer’s Disease Clinical Trials
Steve Edland, University of California, San Diego
89 ML03Quality and Productivity Section
Dynamic Data Visualization Blanton Godfrey, North Carolina State University
90 ML04Section on Physical and Engineering Sciences
Putting the Green in Green Engineering with Data for Good
David Corliss, Peace-Work
91 ML05 Section on Risk Analysis Variability, Risk, and Data Science Aric LaBarr, Elder
Research Inc.
VANCOUVER, BRITISH COLUMBIA, CANADA 29
ROUNDTABLES
Monday’s LunchOven-roasted Pacific cod with Provencal potatoes and fresh seasonal vegetables, salad, rolls with butter, and iced tea. Chef’s choice of vegetarian menu.
Activity Number
Roundtable Number Sponsor Title Presenter,
Affiliation
A.M. Roundtable Discussions (continued)
92
ML06
Section on Statistical Consulting
Finding Your Niche as a Private Consultant
Kim Love, K. R. Love Quantitative Consulting and Collaboration
ML07 Optimization of Biostatistics Units in Health Centers
Anne-Sophie Julien, Research Centre of the CHU de Québec - Université Laval
93 ML08Section on Statistics and the Environment
Statistical Challenges in the Analysis of Distributed Remote Sensing Data
Amy Braverman, Jet Propulsion Laboratory
94 ML09Section on Statistics in Epidemiology
Interacting with a Mentor: Tips and Strategies for a Successful Relationship
Sujata M. Patil, Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center
Speaker with Lunch 12:30 – 1:50 p.m. (CC-West 201)
200 ML10 Section on Statistics in Sports
Is Joe Flacco Elite? Hierarchical Models for Player Evaluation in Team Sports
Sam Ventura, Pittsburgh Penguins
Roundtables with Lunch 12:30 – 1:50 p.m. (CC-West Ballroom D)
201
ML11
Biopharmaceutical Section
Challenges in Oncology Pragmatic Trials Using Real-World Evidence Zhe Zhang, Pfizer Inc.
ML12 Assessing Treatment Benefit in Patient-Centric Study Designs
Jagadish Gogate, Johnson & Johnson-Janssen R&D
ML13Standard Analyses and Displays for Common Clinical Trial Data: An Industry-Wide Initiative
Mercidita Navarro, Genentech
202 ML14 Committee on Professional Ethics
Philosophical and Ethical Issues in Statistics Brian Zaharatos
203 ML15 Government Statistics Section
What if We Get a Break in Series? Risk Management in the Integration of Multiple Data Sources
John L. Eltinge, US Census Bureau
30 JSM2018
Activity Number
Roundtable Number Sponsor Title Presenter,
Affiliation
P.M. Roundtable Discussions (continued)
204ML16
Health Policy Statistics Section
Strengthening Partnerships in Community-Based Participatory Research by Demystifying Experimental Design and Statistical Analysis
Thomas Belin, University of California, Los Angeles
ML17 N-of-1 Trials for Making Personalized Treatment Decisions
Christopher Schmid, Brown University
205 ML18 Mental Health Statistics Section
Statistical Challenges in Developing Data-Driven Discovery, Diagnosis, and Treatment of Psychiatric Diseases
Thaddeus Tarpey, Wright State University
206
ML19Section on Statistical Consulting
How to Teach Essential Collaboration Skills to Undergraduate Statistics Majors
Heather Smith, Cal Poly
ML20
Importance of Development of Soft Skills for Career Development for Statisticians in a Collaborative Environment
Jayawant Mandrekar, Mayo Clinic
207 ML21 Section on Statistical Graphics
Teaching Interactive Statistical Graphics
Joyce Robbins, Columbia University
208 ML22Section on Statistics and the Environment
Global Estimation of Air Quality: Methods, Challenges, and Innovations
Gavin Shaddick, University of Exeter
209 ML23Section on Statistics in Epidemiology
New Quasi-Experimental Devices for Observational Studies
Dylan Small, University of Pennsylvania
210 ML24Section on Statistics in Imaging
Software, Tutorials, and Online Courses for Medical Imaging
Ciprian Crainiceanu, The Johns Hopkins University
ROUNDTABLES
MONDAY, JULY 30 CONTINUED
To view complete roundtable descriptions, visit ww2.amstat.org/jsm.
VANCOUVER, BRITISH COLUMBIA, CANADA 31
ROUNDTABLES
Tuesday’s BreakfastHouse-made pas-tries; seasonal fruit; assorted yogurts; and a cup of coffee, tea, or juice.
Activity Number
Roundtable Number Sponsor Title Presenter,
Affiliation
TUESDAY, JULY 31Roundtables with Coffee 7:00 – 8:15 a.m. (CC-West Ballroom D)
262 TL01 Biopharmaceutical Section
Clinical Trial Data Transparency and Patient Privacy
Darcy Hille, Merck & Co., Inc.
263 TL02 Caucus for Women in Statistics
Brainstorming Strategies for Dealing with Abuses of Power in the Statistics Community
Nancy Flournoy, University of Missouri
264 TL03 Health Policy Statistics Section
Completion Rates and Considerations for Analyses of Patient-Reported Outcomes in Open-Label Cancer Trials: FDA Review of Trials, 2007–2017
Jessica K. Roydhouse, US Food and Drug Administration
265 TL04Section on Bayesian Statistical Science
Interpretable Statistical Machine Learning for Validation and Uncertainty Quantification of Complex Models
Ana Kupresanin, Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory
266 TL05Section on Physical and Engineering Sciences
Real Experiences with Experimental Design: Composite Pressure Vessel Life Predict
Anne Driscoll
267 TL06Section on Statistical Computing
Julia Versus R Paul McNicholas, McMaster University
268 TL07Section on Statistical Consulting
Becoming a Stats Star: How to Step Up and Overcome Your Fears to Lead Fruitful Collaborations
Tamar Sofer, Brigham and Women’s Hospital
269 TL08Section on Statistical Education
What’s for Breakfast? How About Empiricism?
Robert Carver, Brandeis International Business School
270 TL09
Section on the Teaching of Statistics in the Health Sciences
Teaching Meta-Analysis for Health Scientists Laila Poisson
32 JSM2018
ROUNDTABLES
Activity Number
Roundtable Number Sponsor Title Presenter,
Affiliation
Speaker with Lunch 12:30 – 1:50 p.m. (CC-West 201)
369 TL10Business and Economic Statistics Section
Through the Looking Glass: Has the Economy Turned Upside Down?
Constance L. Hunter, KPMG LLP
Roundtables with Lunch 12:30 – 1:50 p.m. (CC-West Ballroom D)
370
TL11
Biopharmaceutical Section
Bayesian Methods in Real-World Evidence for Medicinal Product Development: Can Prior Distributions Provide a Platform for Creating Real-World Evidence?
John Loewy, Dataforethought
TL12Uncertainty vs. Ambiguity in Structured Benefit-Risk (BR) Assessment Decisions
Shahrul Mt-Isa, Merck & Co., Inc.
TL13The Importance of Protocol Objectives to the Statistical Analysis
Richard McNally, Covance-Chiltern
TL14Statistical and Regulatory Issues in Combining Potency Estimates from Multiple Bioassay Runs
Stan Altan
371 TL15Committee on Applied Statisticians
How to Teach Essential Collaboration Skills
Eric Vance, LISA-University of Colorado Boulder
372 TL16 Government Statistics Section
Using the R Package: Recursive Partitioning for Modeling Survey Data (RPMS)
Daniell Toth, Bureau of Labor Statistics
373
TL17
Health Policy Statistics Section
From Theory to Practice: Applying Academic Solutions to Real-World Data
K. Blayne Easter, Depuy Synthes
TL18Exploring the Classification of the Urban-Rural Continuum: Issues and Opportunities
Jason Brinkley, Abt Associates Inc.
374 TL19 Mental Health Statistics Section
Causal Inference in the Era of Personalization: Handling Complexity with Simplicity
Kosuke Imai, Princeton University
TUESDAY, JULY 31 CONTINUED
Tuesday’s LunchGrilled herb and garlic-marinated
chicken breast with roasted baby pota-toes and vegetable
julienne sauté, salad, rolls with
butter, and iced tea. Chef’s choice
of vegetarian menu.
VANCOUVER, BRITISH COLUMBIA, CANADA 33
ROUNDTABLES
Activity Number
Roundtable Number Sponsor Title Presenter,
Affiliation
375
TL20Section on Statistical Consulting
Analytics for the Small to Medium Business
Chuck Kincaid, Experis BI & Analytics Practice
TL21 Breaking Bad: Giving Negative News Positively
Janet Wittes, Statistics Collaborative
376 TL22Section on Statistics in Epidemiology
The Role of Mobile Health in Precision Medicine
Susan Murphy, Harvard University
377 TL23Section on Statistics in Imaging
Advanced Methods in Quantitative Imaging Analysis
Hongtu Zhu, MD Anderson Cancer Center
378 TL24
Section on the Teaching of Statistics in the Health Sciences
Career Advice for Statistics Educators in the Health Sciences
Felicity Enders, Mayo Clinic
379 TL25 Survey Research Methods Section
Adaptive Design: Challenges in Practice
Michael Yang, NORC at the University of Chicago
WEDNESDAY, AUGUST 1Roundtables with Coffee 7:00 – 8:15 a.m. (CC-West Ballroom D)
439 WL01 Biopharmaceutical Section
Practical Guidelines and User-Friendly Software for Bayesian Adaptive Designs
J. Jack Lee, MD Anderson Cancer Center
440 WL02 Health Policy Statistics Section What Is Patient Experience Data? Laura Lee Johnson,
FDA
441 WL03Section on Medical Devices and Diagnostics
Actigraphy Data Within Clinical Trials: A Paradigm Shift on the Horizon?
Laura Cole, QST Consultations
442 WL04Section on Physical and Engineering Sciences
Collaboration Techniques for Successfully Identifying and Modeling Sources of Variation
Jonathan Stallings, North Carolina State University
443 WL05Section on Statistical Computing
Statistical and Computational Efficiency in Big Data Analytics
Eric Laber, North Carolina State University
444 WL06Section on Statistical Consulting
Consulting to Collaboration Roundtable
Emily Griffith, North Carolina State University
Wednesday’s BreakfastHouse-made pas-tries; seasonal fruit; assorted yogurts; and a cup of coffee, tea, or juice.
34 JSM2018
ROUNDTABLES
Activity Number
Roundtable Number Sponsor Title Presenter,
Affiliation
A.M. Roundtable Discussions (continued)
445 WL07Section on Statistical Learning and Data Science
Data Science in Marketing Research
Chen Teel, Electronic Arts
446 WL08Section on Statistics and the Environment
ENVR Mentoring Session Peter Craigmile, The Ohio State University
447 WL09
Section on the Teaching of Statistics in the Health Sciences
DataFests for Reinforcing Concepts, Challenging Students, and Creating Community in the Health Sciences
Jodi Lapidus, Oregon Health & Science University
Speaker with Lunch 12:30 – 1:50 p.m. (CC-West 201)
541 WL10 Health Policy Statistics Section
When Do We Really Need Randomized Clinical Trials?
Christopher Hane, OptumLabs
Roundtables with Lunch 12:30 – 1:50 p.m. (CC-West Ballroom D)
542
WL11
Biopharmaceutical Section
Confessions of an Independent DMC Statistician
Brian Cohen, ACI Clinical
WL12
Active Reference vs. Active Comparator: What Should We Include to Design Late-Phase Studies?
Suchitrita Rathmann, Eli Lilly & Company
WL13Multiple Comparison Procedure: Modeling (MCP-Mod) Method Discussion
Aijun Gao, Chiltern, A Covance Company
543 WL14 Caucus for Women in Statistics
Thinking Big: Creating Global and Organizational Partnerships to Advance Women in Statistics
Amanda L. Golbeck, University of Arkansas for Medical Sciences
544 WL15 Government Statistics Section
Using Open-Source Software in Government Agencies
Wendy L. Martinez, Bureau of Labor Statistics
Wednesday’s Lunch
Chicken, ricotta, and spinach
cannelloni with tomato
and Alfredo sauc-es; garden veg-
etable selection; rolls with butter;
and iced tea. Chef’s choice of
vegetarian menu.
WEDNESDAY, AUGUST 1 CONTINUED
VANCOUVER, BRITISH COLUMBIA, CANADA 35
ROUNDTABLES
Activity Number
Roundtable Number Sponsor Title Presenter,
Affiliation
545 WL16 Mental Health Statistics Section
Small Data, N-of-1 Trials, and Personalized Medicine
Naihua Duan, Columbia University
546 WL17Quality and Productivity Section
Preparing Statistician to Successfully Data Scientist in Big Data Era
Ming Li, Amazon
547 WL18Section on Physical and Engineering Sciences
Successful Implementation of Bayesian Adaptive Designs in Medical Device Clinical Studies
Zengri Wang
548 WL19 Section on Risk Analysis
Assessment of Environment, Social, and Governance Risk Data and Modeling in Businesses
Sudipta Dasmohapatra, Duke University
549WL20
Section on Statistical Consulting
Consulting for Statistics Teachers: For Payment, as a Co-Author, or Just a Good Colleague?
Richard Cleary
WL21When Nonproportional Hazards Assumption Fails: Options, Opportunities, and Obstacles
Ralph Turner
550 WL22 Section on Statistical Graphics
Visualizing Uncertainty for the General Public
Edward Mulrow, NORC at the University of Chicago
551 WL23Section on Statistics and the Environment
Building Strong Connections Among Environmental and Ecological Statisticians Working Outside of Academia
Kathryn Irvine, US Geological Survey
552 WL24Section on Statistics in Epidemiology
Analysis of Interactions: Lessons Learned and Moving Forward
Bhramar Mukherjee, University of Michigan
553 WL25 Survey Research Methods Section Nonprobability Sampling Karol Krotki, RTI
International
To view complete roundtable descriptions, visit ww2.amstat.org/jsm.
36 JSM2018
TECHNICAL SESSIONS
Abbreviation Sponsor
ACCCP ASA Advisory Committee on Climate Change Policy
ACFS Advisory Committee on Forensic ScienceASA American Statistical AssociationASIG Astrostatistics Special Interest GroupB&E Business and Economic Statistics SectionBIOM Biometrics SectionBIOP Biopharmaceutical SectionCGLCS ASA LGBT Concerns CommitteeCANSSI Canadian Statistical Sciences InstituteCAUWOM Caucus for Women in StatisticsCCD Committee on Career DevelopmentCLJS Committee on Law and Justice StatisticsCNSL Section on Statistical ConsultingCOC Council of ChaptersCOPSS Committee of Presidents of Statistical SocietiesComputing Section on Statistical ComputingDEM Deming Lectureship CommitteeEDUC Section on Statistical Education
ENAR Eastern North American Region, International Biometric Society
ENVR Section on Statistics and the EnvironmentEPI Section on Statistics in EpidemiologyETHICS Committee on Professional EthicsGM General MethodologyGOVT Government Statistics SectionGRPH Section on Statistical GraphicsHPSS Health Policy Statistics SectionICSA International Chinese Statistical AssociationIISA International Indian Statistical AssociationIMAG Section on Statistics in ImagingIMS Institute of Mathematical StatisticsISBA International Society for Bayesian AnalysisISI International Statistical InstituteJASA JASA, Theory and MethodsJASAAPP JASA, Applications and Case StudiesJSE Journal of Statistics EducationJSMPS JSM Partner SocietiesKISS Korean International Statistical SocietyLDAIG Lifetime Data Analysis Interest GroupMDD Section on Medical Devices and Diagnostics
Abbreviation Sponsor
MEM MemorialMHSS Mental Health Statistics SectionMIN Committee on Minorities in StatisticsMKTG Section on Statistics in MarketingMSR Mu Sigma RhoNOETHER Noether Award CommitteeNPAR Section on Nonparametric StatisticsPRIV Committee on Privacy and ConfidentialityQ&P Quality and Productivity SectionRISK Section on Risk AnalysisRSS Royal Statistical SocietySA Sirken AwardSAIG Statistical Auditing Interest Group
SAMSI Statistical and Applied Mathematical Sciences Institute
SBSS Section on Bayesian Statistical Science
SDNS Section on Statistics in Defense and National Security
SGG Section on Statistics in Genomics and GeneticsSLDS Section on Statistical Learning and Data ScienceSOC Social Statistics SectionSPAAC Scientific and Public Affairs Advisory Committee
SPAIG Statistical Partnerships Among Academe, Industry, and Government Committee
SPES Section on Physical and Engineering SciencesSPORTS Section on Statistics in SportsSRMS Survey Research Methods SectionSSC Statistical Society of Canada
SSPA Section for Statistical Programmers and Analysts
SWB Statistics without Borders
Stat Bus Business Analytics/Statistics Education Interest Group
SXP Statistics and Pharmacometrics Interest Group
TECH Technometrics
TSHS Section on Teaching of Statistics in the Health Sciences
TSIG Transportation Statistics Interest Group
UQSIG Uncertainty Quantification for Complex Systems Interest Group
WNAR Western North American Region, International Biometric Society
SESSION SPONSOR KEY
VANCOUVER, BRITISH COLUMBIA, CANADA 37
Vancouver Convention Centre = CC Fairmont Waterfront = F
TECHNICAL SESSIONS
SUNDAY, JULY 29Sponsor 2:00 p.m. 4:00 p.m. 5:05 p.m. 8:30 p.m.
ACCCP 52 CC-West 206/207
ACFS 53 CC-West 120
B&E 30 CC-West 209 / 33 CC-West 115 64 CC-West 117 / 70 CC-West 116 86 CC-West Hall B
BIOM 21 CC-West 217 / 27 CC-West 213 / 31 CC-West 218 / 32 CC-West 219
51 CC-West 214 / 68 CC-West 218 / 69 CC-West 219 /83 CC-West Hall B
BIOP 17 CC-West 306 / 20 CC-West 214 / 37 CC-West 304/305 44 CC-West 306 / 75 CC-West 222
CANSSI 10 CC-West 122
CNSL 49 CC-West 213
COC 8 CC-West 120
Computing 11 CC-West 206/207 / 28 CC-West 208 50 CC-West 122 / 84 CC-West Hall B
EDUC 35 CC-East 9
ENAR 13 CC-West 222 / 18 CC-West 215/216 43 CC-West 304/305
ENVR 24 CC-West 117 62 CC-West 205 / 80 CC-West 204
EPI 36 CC-West 221 45 CC-West 224
GOVT 4 CC-East 10 58 CC-East 19 / 76 CC-East 17
GRPH 55 CC-East 16
HPSS 16 CC-West 118 60 CC-West 212
ICSA 77 CC-West 223
IMAG 14 CC-East 16 / 28 CC-West 208 61 CC-East 14 / 84 CC-West Hall B
IMS 15 CC-West 109 / 34 CC-West 112 48 CC-West 109
ISI 54 CC-West Ballroom A / 66 CC-West 221
JSE 9 CC-West 202
JSMPS 2 CC-West Ballroom A 42 CC-West 301
MDD 38 CC-West 119
MEM 3 CC-West 301
MHSS 28 CC-West 208 71 CC-West 202 / 84 CC-West Hall B
MKTG 73 CC-West 208
NPAR 6 CC-West 121 56 CC-West 114 / 72 CC-West 115
Q&P 65 CC-West 210
CC = Building
30 CC-210210 = Room Number
30 = Session Number
KEY
SUNDAY, JULY 29Sponsor 2:00 p.m. 4:00 p.m. 5:05 p.m. 8:30 p.m.
SBSS 7 CC-West 110 57 CC-West 110 / 78 CC-West 112 87 CC-West Hall B
SDNS 67 CC-West 118
SGG 29 CC-West 212 / 40 CC-West 223 63 CC-West 215/216 / 81 CC-West 217 85 CC-West Hall B
SLDS 23 CC-West 205 / 39 CC-West 204 46 CC-West 121 / 79 CC-West 119
SOC 5 CC-East 19 59 CC-East 9
SPES 82 CC-West 209
SRMS 25 CC-East 14 / 41 CC-East 17 47 CC-East 10
SSC 87 CC-West Hall B
SSPA 22 CC-West 210
TSHS 26 CC-West 116 74 CC-West 203
WNAR 12 CC-West 224
TECHNICAL SESSIONSVancouver Convention Centre = CC Fairmont Waterfront = F
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JSM 2018 | Come visit us at booth #503
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VANCOUVER, BRITISH COLUMBIA, CANADA 39
TECHNICAL SESSIONSVancouver Convention Centre = CC Fairmont Waterfront = F
MONDAY, JULY 30Sponsor 8:30 a.m. 10:30 a.m. 11:35 a.m. 2:00 p.m. 3:05 p.m. 4:00 p.m.
ASA 261 CC-West Ballroom BC
B&E 109 CC-West 304/305 169 CC-East 19 221 CC-East 19
BIOM99 CC-West 211 / 123 CC-West 218
159 CC-West 219 / 162 CC-West 215/216 / 163 CC-West 212 / 168 CC-West 218
225 CC-West 219 / 233 CC-West 204 / 239 CC-West 218 / 240 CC-West 217 / 257 CC-West Hall B
BIOP
108 CC-West 214 / 110 CC-West 215/216 / 122 CC-West 219 / 129 CC-West 210
140 CC-West 211 / 174 CC-West 210
226 CC-West 214 / 228 CC-West 215/216 / 238 CC-West 209 / 247 CC-West 205 / 248 CC-West 119
CGLCS 182 CC-West Hall B
CNSL 127 CC-East 9 145 CC-West 204
Computing 131 CC-West 117
167 CC-West 114 / 176 CC-West 112
214 CC-West 110 / 253 CC-West Hall B
EDUC118 CC-West 209 / 128 CC-West 115
153 CC-West 202 / 181 CC-West Hall B / 196 CC-West Hall B
212 CC-West 109
ENAR 100 CC-West 217
138 CC-West 214
216 CC-West 206/207
ENVR96 CC-East 10 / 121 CC-West 212
144 CC-East 9 / 165 CC-West 208 / 192 CC-West Hall B
199 CC-West Hall B 251 CC-East 14 259 CC-West
Hall B
EPI 105 CC-West 206/207
164 CC-West 209 / 179 CC-West 222
227 CC-West 203 / 244 CC-West 202 / 258 CC-West Hall B
ETHICS 97 CC-West 306
GM 149 CC-West 301
CC = Building
30 CC-210210 = Room Number
30 = Session Number
KEY
40 JSM2018
Vancouver Convention Centre = CC Fairmont Waterfront = F
TECHNICAL SESSIONS
MONDAY, JULY 30Sponsor 8:30 a.m. 10:30 a.m. 11:35 a.m. 2:00 p.m. 3:05 p.m. 4:00 p.m.GOVT 130 CC-West 114 155 CC-West 203 231 CC-West 114
GRPH 104 CC-West 110 191 CC-West Hall B
HPSS119 CC-West 213 / 124 CC-East 17
161 CC-East 10 / 197 CC-West Hall B
220 CC-East 17
ICSA152 CC-West 205 / 184 CC-West Hall B
IISA 141 CC-West 306
IMAG 173 CC-West 121
243 CC-West 121
IMS 106 CC-West 222
146 CC-West 119 / 158 CC-West 120 / 170 CC-West 116 / 183 CC-West Hall B
223 CC-West 306 / 242 CC-West 304/305
ISBA 230 CC-West 223
ISI 185 CC-West Hall B
JASA 107 CC-West 301
JSMPS 95 CC-West Ballroom A
137 CC-West Ballroom A
211 CC-West Ballroom A
KISS 187 CC-West Hall B
LDAIG 113 CC-West 202
MDD 150 CC-East 17
MEM 224 CC-West 301
MHSS 111 CC-East 16 217 CC-East 16
MKTG 101 CC-West 121
NPAR
115 CC-West 221 / 120 CC-West 208 / 125 CC-West 223
171 CC-West 117 / 188 CC-West Hall B
198 CC-West Hall B
215 CC-West 224
Q&P 229 CC-East 9
RISK172 CC-East 16 / 190 CC-West Hall B
222 CC-West 116
VANCOUVER, BRITISH COLUMBIA, CANADA 41
TECHNICAL SESSIONS
MONDAY, JULY 30Sponsor 8:30 a.m. 10:30 a.m. 11:35 a.m. 2:00 p.m. 3:05 p.m. 4:00 p.m.
RSS 112 CC-West 122
SAMSI 102 CC-West 203
SBSS 98 CC-West 224
151 CC-West 224 / 166 CC-West 213 / 175 CC-West 223
234 CC-West 222 / 249 CC-West 221 / 256 CC-West Hall B
260 CC-West Hall B
SDNS 139 CC-West 109
232 CC-West 117
SGG133 CC-West 205 / 134 CC-West 204
178 CC-West 221
218 CC-West 213 / 246 CC-West 120
SLDS116 CC-West 120 / 132 CC-West 119
147 CC-West 110 / 177 CC-West 111
236 CC-West 212 / 241 CC-West 210 / 250 CC-West 111 / 254 CC-West Hall B
SOC 136 CC-West 112
157 CC-West 115
219 CC-West 118
SPES 126 CC-East 14 156 CC-East 14 / 189 CC-West Hall B
213 CC-East 10
SPORTS154 CC-West 122 / 193 CC-West Hall B
SRMS114 CC-West 109 / 135 CC-West 111
148 CC-West 118
235 CC-West 115 / 237 CC-West 208 / 252 CC-West 112
SSC143 CC-West 206/207 / 194 CC-West Hall B
245 CC-West 122
SSPA 117 CC-West 118
255 CC-West Hall B
TSHS 103 CC-East 19 180 CC-West Hall B
UQSIG160 CC-West 304/305 / 195 CC-West Hall B
WNAR 142 CC-West 217
CC = Building
30 CC-210210 = Room Number
30 = Session Number
KEY
42 JSM2018
TECHNICAL SESSIONSVancouver Convention Centre = CC Fairmont Waterfront = F
TUESDAY, JULY 31Sponsor 8:30 a.m. 9:25 a.m. 10:30 a.m. 11:35 a.m. 2:00 p.m. 3:05 p.m. 4:00 p.m. 8:00 p.m.
ACFS 291 CC-West 112
ASA
438 CC-West Ballroom BC
ASIG 334 CC-East 9
B&E 280 CC-East 19
330 CC-East 19
411 CC-West 116 / 426 CC-West Hall B
BIOM
277 CC-West 224 / 299 CC-West 212 / 302 CC-West 223
335 CC-West 221 / 337 CC-West 222 / 343 CC-West 213 / 344 CC-West 223 / 358 CC-West Hall B / 366 CC-West Hall B
399 CC-West 115 / 401 CC-West 114 / 409 CC-West 111 / 410 CC-West 112
436 CC-West Hall B
BIOP
286 CC-West 120 / 290 CC-West 301 / 301 CC-West 213 / 307 CC-West 221 / 308 CC-West 304/305
315 CC-West Hall B
336 CC-West 224 / 338 CC-West 214 / 343 CC-West 213 / 350 CC-West 304/305 / 351 CC-West 219 / 359 CC-West Hall B
368 CC-West Hall B
385 CC-West 110 / 416 CC-West 121
436 CC-West Hall B
CAUWOM327 CC-West 215/216
CLJS 284 CC-West 215/216
CNSL 328 CC-East 10
404 CC-West 211 / 430 CC-West Hall B
COC 322 CC-West 109
VANCOUVER, BRITISH COLUMBIA, CANADA 43
TECHNICAL SESSIONS
TUESDAY, JULY 31Sponsor 8:30 a.m. 9:25 a.m. 10:30 a.m. 11:35 a.m. 2:00 p.m. 3:05 p.m. 4:00 p.m. 8:00 p.m.
Computing 288 CC-West 109
353 CC-West 122
390 CC-West Ballroom A
DEM437 CC-West Ballroom BC
EDUC 287 CC-West 210
348 CC-West 112
380 CC-West 206/207
ENAR 296 CC-West 121
331 CC-West 206/207 / 360 CC-West Hall B
386 CC-West 119
ENVR 311 CC-West 114
317 CC-West 301
395 CC-West 304/305 / 423 CC-West 221
EPI
294 CC-West 122 / 300 CC-West 209 / 306 CC-West 119
349 CC-West 202
367 CC-West Hall B
383 CC-West 109
GM 272 CC-West 214
GOVT282 CC-West 211 / 298 CC-West 208
332 CC-West 114 / 365 CC-West Hall B
417 CC-West 208 / 427 CC-West Hall B
GRPH 323 CC-West 203
403 CC-West 118
HPSS 303 CC-West 115
325 CC-West 110
402 CC-West 204 / 428 CC-West Hall B
ICSA 321 CC-West 306
418 CC-East 17
IISA 391 CC-West 224
IMAG 273 CC-West 206/207
398 CC-West 205
IMS 285 CC-West 219
320 CC-West 118 / 345 CC-West 117
387 CC-West 213 / 412 CC-West 219
ISBA 421 CC-West 218
CC = Building
30 CC-210210 = Room Number
30 = Session Number
KEY
44 JSM2018
TECHNICAL SESSIONS
TUESDAY, JULY 31Sponsor 8:30 a.m. 9:25 a.m. 10:30 a.m. 11:35 a.m. 2:00 p.m. 3:05 p.m. 4:00 p.m. 8:00 p.m.
ISI 304 CC-East 17
JSMPS 271 CC-West Ballroom A
316 CC-West Ballroom A
KISS 352 CC-East 14
MDD 278 CC-West 116
364 CC-West Hall B
420 CC-West 202
MEM 392 CC-West 306
MHSS 362 CC-West Hall B
394 CC-West 203
MKTG
405 CC-West 215/216 / 432 CC-West Hall B
NPAR 305 CC-West 117
333 CC-West 116 / 346 CC-West 115
381 CC-West 212
Q&P 324 CC-East 17
396 CC-West 117 / 429 CC-West Hall B
RISK 382 CC-West 120
RSS 293 CC-East 14
SAIG 406 CC-East 10
SBSS297 CC-West 202 / 309 CC-West 203
319 CC-West 120
400 CC-West 217 / 419 CC-West 214
SGG299 CC-West 212 / 312 CC-West 218
355 CC-West 218 / 356 CC-West 217 / 366 CC-West Hall B
388 CC-West 122
Vancouver Convention Centre = CC Fairmont Waterfront = F
VANCOUVER, BRITISH COLUMBIA, CANADA 45
TECHNICAL SESSIONS
TUESDAY, JULY 31Sponsor 8:30 a.m. 9:25 a.m. 10:30 a.m. 11:35 a.m. 2:00 p.m. 3:05 p.m. 4:00 p.m. 8:00 p.m.
SLDS274 CC-West 110 / 310 CC-West 111
329 CC-West 121 / 341 CC-West 212 / 354 CC-West 119
422 CC-West 223 / 434 CC-West Hall B
SOC 326 CC-West 210
407 CC-West 210 / 424 CC-West Hall B
SPAAC 408 CC-West Hall B
SPES 289 CC-East 10
347 CC-East 16
393 CC-West 301
SPORTS 342 CC-West 209
413 CC-East 14
435 CC-West Hall B
SRMS
292 CC-West 205 / 298 CC-West 208 / 313 CC-West 204
314 CC-West Hall B
339 CC-West 205 / 340 CC-West 208 / 357 CC-West 204 / 365 CC-West Hall B
389 CC-West 209 / 425 CC-West Hall B / 433 CC-West Hall B
SSC 275 CC-East 9
342 CC-West 209
397 CC-East 19 / 414 CC-East 16
435 CC-West Hall B
SSPA 283 CC-West 118
SXP 363 CC-West Hall B
TECH 279 CC-West 306
TSHS 295 CC-West 217
TSIG415 CC-East 9 / 431 CC-West Hall B
WNAR 276 CC-West 222
318 CC-West 211 / 361 CC-West Hall B
CC = Building
30 CC-210210 = Room Number
30 = Session Number
KEY
46 JSM2018
TECHNICAL SESSIONSVancouver Convention Centre = CC Fairmont Waterfront = F
WEDNESDAY, AUGUST 1Sponsor 8:30 a.m. 10:30 a.m. 11:35 a.m. 2:00 p.m. 4:00 p.m.
B&E 480 CC-West 221 492 CC-West 222 576 CC-East 16
BIOM
467 CC-West 122 / 478 CC-West 117 / 479 CC-West 116
504 CC-West 110 / 520 CC-West 114 / 521 CC-West 112
554 CC-West 301 / 582 CC-West 223
BIOP
468 CC-West 120 / 469 CC-West 119 / 476 CC-West 212 / 483 CC-West 115 / 484 CC-West 121
511 CC-West 212 / 515 CC-West 109 / 524 CC-West 111 / 525 CC-West 209
540 CC-West Hall B
568 CC-West 118 / 590 CC-West 119
CAUWOM 557 CC-West 306
CCD 519 CC-West 210
CNSL 516 CC-West 202 560 CC-East 19
COPSS 597 CC-West Ballroom BC
Computing 486 CC-West 219 497 CC-West 121
571 CC-West 115 / 581 CC-West 114 / 593 CC-West 112
EDUC 471 CC-West 205 523 CC-West 217 558 CC-West 212
ENAR 452 CC-West 109 494 CC-West Ballroom A 556 CC-West 122
ENVR 488 CC-West 218 513 CC-West 204 559 CC-West 208
EPI474 CC-West 209 / 482 CC-West 114
505 CC-West 206/207 / 534 CC-West Hall B / 537 CC-West Hall B
555 CC-West 224
GOVT 463 CC-West 206/207 495 CC-West 224
580 CC-West 210 / 591 CC-West 213
GRPH 461 CC-West 202 588 CC-West 202
HPSS 473 CC-West 214 491 CC-West 213 583 CC-West 209
ICSA 498 CC-West 122 592 CC-East 9
IISA 464 CC-West 304/305
VANCOUVER, BRITISH COLUMBIA, CANADA 47
TECHNICAL SESSIONS
WEDNESDAY, AUGUST 1Sponsor 8:30 a.m. 10:30 a.m. 11:35 a.m. 2:00 p.m. 4:00 p.m.
IMAG518 CC-West 214 / 536 CC-West Hall B
562 CC-West 304/305
IMS 455 CC-East 16 510 CC-East 16
564 CC-West Ballroom A / 566 CC-West 215/216 / 584 CC-West 218
ISBA 472 CC-East 14 501 CC-East 19
JASAAPP 565 CC-West 109
JSMPS 448 CC-West Ballroom A
KISS 506 CC-West 304/305
MDD 527 CC-West 208 575 CC-West 214
MHSS 458 CC-West 211 517 CC-West 205
MIN 459 CC-West 118
MKTG 574 CC-East 17
MSR 567 CC-West 211
NOETHER 499 CC-West 211
NPAR 449 CC-East 10 522 CC-East 9 570 CC-West 222 / 585 CC-West 219
Q&P 481 CC-West 223
RISK 466 CC-West 222 587 CC-West 117
RSS 573 CC-West 120
SA 500 CC-West 301
SBSS470 CC-East 17 / 477 CC-West 213 / 485 CC-East 19
507 CC-East 14 / 526 CC-East 17
539 CC-West Hall B 561 CC-West 217
CC = Building 30 CC-210
210 = Room Number30 = Session Number
KEY
48 JSM2018
WEDNESDAY, AUGUST 1Sponsor 8:30 a.m. 10:30 a.m. 11:35 a.m. 2:00 p.m. 4:00 p.m.
SDNS 589 CC-West 116
SGG489 CC-West 112 / 490 CC-West 111
514 CC-West 115 / 530 CC-West 116 / 535 CC-West Hall B
595 CC-West 221
SLDS453 CC-West 215/216 / 487 CC-West 217
528 CC-West 119 / 529 CC-West 117 / 533 CC-West 120
577 CC-West 110 / 594 CC-West 111
SOC465 CC-West 204 / 475 CC-West 208
532 CC-West 223 / 538 CC-West Hall B
563 CC-West 206/207
SPES 457 CC-West 224 509 CC-West 203 586 CC-East 14
SPORTS 451 CC-West 301
SRMS 450 CC-West 203
508 CC-West 221 / 512 CC-West 219 / 531 CC-West 218
572 CC-West 203 / 578 CC-West 204 / 596 CC-West 205
SSC 493 CC-West 306
SSPA 502 CC-West 118
SWB 460 CC-West 210
Stat Bus 579 CC-East 10
TSHS 496 CC-West 215/216
TSIG 462 CC-East 9 503 CC-East 10
WNAR 454 CC-West 110 569 CC-West 121
TECHNICAL SESSIONSVancouver Convention Centre = CC Fairmont Waterfront = F
CC = Building 30 CC-210
210 = Room Number30 = Session Number
KEY
VANCOUVER, BRITISH COLUMBIA, CANADA 49
THURSDAY, AUGUST 2
Sponsor 8:30 a.m. 10:30 a.m.
B&E 605 CC-West 116 660 CC-East 17
BIOM 608 CC-West 213 / 625 CC-West 112 655 CC-West 116 / 658 CC-West 122
BIOP 614 CC-West 110 / 617 CC-West 214 / 631 CC-West 114 / 632 CC-West 115
656 CC-West 110 / 664 CC-West 118 / 673 CC-West 120 / 674 CC-West 119
CGLCS 647 CC-East 16
CNSL 607 CC-West 117 663 CC-East 19
Computing 621 CC-West 224 644 CC-West 211
EDUC 624 CC-West 210 651 CC-West 203
ENAR 603 CC-West 109 / 620 CC-West 215/216 639 CC-West 224
ENVR 619 CC-East 19 / 636 CC-East 17 661 CC-West 222 / 678 CC-West 223
EPI 606 CC-West 212 652 CC-West 109 / 672 CC-West 115
GOVT 622 CC-West 211 / 633 CC-West 208
GRPH 610 CC-West 118 671 CC-West 304/305
HPSS 626 CC-East 16 648 CC-West 215/216
ICSA 654 CC-East 9
IMAG 657 CC-West 204
IMS 602 CC-West 222 / 627 CC-West 221 645 CC-West 217 / 667 CC-West 218
ISBA 601 CC-West 122
ISI 649 CC-West 212
MDD 676 CC-West 221
MEM 599 CC-West 217 641 CC-West 306
MHSS 628 CC-East 14
NPAR 616 CC-West 219 / 629 CC-West 218 640 CC-West 206/207 / 669 CC-West 219
PRIV 612 CC-West 202
Q&P 670 CC-East 14
RISK 618 CC-West 223 665 CC-West 210
SBSS 611 CC-West 203 / 634 CC-West 204 / 638 CC-West 205 653 CC-West 213 / 666 CC-West 214
SDNS 630 CC-East 9
SGG 679 CC-West 114
TECHNICAL SESSIONS
50 JSM2018
THURSDAY, AUGUST 2Sponsor 8:30 a.m. 10:30 a.m.
SLDS 609 CC-West 301 / 635 CC-West 304/305 642 CC-West 301 / 677 CC-West 111
SOC 613 CC-West 209 650 CC-West 202
SPAIG 598 CC-West 306
SPES 646 CC-East 10
SRMS 615 CC-West 120 / 637 CC-West 119 662 CC-West 205 / 675 CC-West 208 / 680 CC-West 209
SSC 600 CC-West 121
SSPA 668 CC-West 112
SXP 659 CC-West 121
TSHS 623 CC-East 10
TECHNICAL SESSIONSVancouver Convention Centre = CC Fairmont Waterfront = F
CC = Building 30 CC-210
210 = Room Number30 = Session Number
KEY
VANCOUVER CONVENTION
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