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About REACH Initiative REACH facilitates the development of information tools and products that enhance the capacity of aid actors to make evidence-based decisions in emergency, recovery and development contexts. All REACH activities are conducted through inter-agency aid coordination mechanisms. For more information, you can write to: [email protected] or [email protected]. Visit www.reach-intiative.org and follow us @REACH_info.
ENTRY POINT MONITORING
KURDISTAN REGION OF IRAQ DATA COLLECTED: 14 – 18 SEPT. 2014 The worsening security situation in parts of northern and central Iraq has caused mass internal displacement across much of the country. In order to inform the humanitarian response, the REACH Initiative is monitoring displacement trends and intentions of Internally Displaced Persons (IDPs) crossing through some of the major entry points into the Kurdistan Region of Iraq (KRI).
Due to accessibility issues to some entry points and reductions in traffic in recent weeks in to Dohuk governorate, insufficient data was collected and therefore this factsheet is focused on Erbil and Sulaymaniyah governorates only. The analysis also makes comparisons with findings at Erbil and Sulaymaniyah governorate level from the previous assessment (7-11 September). The number assessed at each entry point is indicated in the table below.
Map 1: Entry points covered in this factsheet.
Governorate Entry point Number assessed
Erbil Sheikh Abdul Qadir 64
Erbil total 64
Sulaymaniyah
Banamaqin 47 Kaizakan 3
Kalawanan 10 Tasluja 76
Sulaymaniyah total 136 Total 200
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44% 47%
76%
25%
28-Aug 04-Sep 11-Sep 18-Sep
10%
49%53%
45%
37%
16%11% 14%
24%
7%10%
7% 7%6% 1%
28-Aug 04-Sep 11-Sep 18-SepNinewa Anbar Baghdad Salah Al DinKirkuk Diyala Babylon
IDP OVERVIEW 85% OF ASSESSED IDP HOUSEHOLDS MOVED AS 1 FAMILY ● This is on par with the previous assessment (86%) and was reported by
89% in Sulaymaniyah (a decrease of 5% from the 7 – 11 September) and 75% in Erbil (a 2% increase from last week). 28% of IDP households wanting to enter Erbil were travelling as two families, a 7% increase from 7 -11 September.
● The average household size was 4.9, down from 5.8 last week.
DISPLACEMENT AREA OF ORIGIN
45% OF THOSE ASSESSED WERE FROM THE NINEWA GOVERNORATE ● Of those from Ninewa, 93% originated from Al Hamdaniya District, 2% from
Sinjar, and 5% from Mosul. Other areas of origin included Anbar (16%), Baghdad (14%) and Kirkuk (10%).
● 99% of IDPs assessed at the Erbil entry point were from Ninewa, on par with previous assessments. While figure 1 shows a downward trend at the KRI level of Ninewa as an area of origin, the sample size at Erbil entry points has also decreased in recent weeks.
● This sharp increase of IDPs from Kirkuk is likely due to increased armed opposition group (AOG) activity in Western Kirkuk, particularly in Hawija district, where it has been reported that tribal leaders have been executed and over 50 people kidnapped between the 11th and 14th September.1
1 Institute for the Study of War, Iraq Situation Report: September 12 – 14, 2014.
Figure 1: Trend anlysis: Area of Origin. TRAVELLING WITH CHILDREN
25% REPORTED TRAVELLING WITH 3 OR MORE CHILDREN ● This is a 16% decrease from the last assessment. ● On average households were travelling with 1.7 children. ● This low figure of average household size is possibly indicative of men
leaving their wife and children behind, as it is men who are most at risk of being forcibly recruited into or being targeted by AOGs.
Figure 1: Trend anlysis: % of households travelling with 3 or more children.
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25%
5%21%
1%
37%
52%63%
18%
45%
30%
28-Aug 04-Sep 11-Sep 18-SepGo back to area of origin Go to campRetry same entry point Do not know
27%
19%
22%
1%
6%1%
6%
68%
9%
4%
30%
8%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
Erbil
Sulaymaniyah
Do not know Other Park or mosqueRent Stay in Hotel Stay with family
55%48%
19%
5%5%
15%7%
2%
8% 7%
22%
38%
21%
28-Aug 04-Sep 11-Sep 18-Sep
Rent apartment Stay in hotel Stay with family Park or mosqueOpen air Other Do not know
INTENTIONS
PLANNED ALTERNATIVE IF UNABLE TO ENTER THE KRI
OF THOSE AT SULAYMANIYAH ENTRY POINTS WHO HAD NOT YET ENTERED THE
KRI, 64% SAID THEY WOULD TRY THE SAME ENTRY POINT ANOTHER TIME. ● 30% said they did not know what they would do if they were not allowed to
enter, a 10% decrease from last week. Figure 2: Trends analysis: Alternative plans if unable to enter the KRI. PLANNED ACCOMMODATION IN THE KRI
22% DID NOT KNOW WHAT TYPE OF ACCOMMODATION
THEY WOULD STAY IN, AND 48% INTENDED TO RENT AN APARTMENT OR HOUSE IN THE KRI ● IDPS in Sulaymaniyah were far more likely to rent (68%) than those in Erbil
(6%). This can be explained by the fact that IDPs moving to Sulaymaniyah come from more varied and distant areas of origin than those in Erbil and, originating from predominantly Arab areas of origin, are less likely to have family ties in Sulaymaniyah.
Figure 3: Governorate comparison: Planned accommodation in the KRI.
Figure 4: Trends analysis: Planned accommodation in the KRI.
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77%
61%
6%3%
19%4%
24%21%
32%
23%
28-Aug 04-Sep 11-Sep 18-Sep
Own savings Employment Support from friendsCharitable donations No support
30%
30%
23%
3%
6%
34%
33%
17%
8%
16%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
Erbil
Sulaymaniyah
Do not know Less than 1 week More than 1 month 1 - 2 weeks 3 - 4 weeks
24%
35%
12%15%
22%17%
23%
38%
12%7%
36%
30%
28-Aug 04-Sep 11-Sep 18-Sep
Less than 1 week More than 1 month 1 to 2 weeks3 to 4 weeks Do not know
RESOURCES
SOURCES OF SUPPORT 61% WERE RELYING ON THEIR OWN SAVINGS AS THEIR MAIN SOURCE OF SUPPORT ● This was reported by all respondents in Erbil (consistent with 99% the
previous week and 100% the week before) and 43% in Sulaymaniyah (continuing a downward trend from 50% last week and 59% in the 31 August to 4 September assessment).
● 8% of IDPs in Sulaymaniyah reported relying on charitable donations (up from 0% the previous assessment) compared to 58% of households in Erbil.
Figure 5: Trends analysis: Forms of support.
SUSTAINABILITY OF SUPPORT MEANS
● 30% were not certain how long their form of support would continue to be sufficient, a 12% increase from the 7 – 11 September.
● 12% said it would last less than one week, 22% replied more than one month and 24% said 1 – 2 weeks.
● The high proportion of IDPs reporting they did not know how long their support means would last (30%) is perhaps related to the high percentage of IDPs drawing on their own savings (60%) and those planning to rent (48%); uncertainty of the costs of living in the KRI and how long they will be displaced for makes it difficult to estimate for how long their savings will be sufficient to support the household.
Figure 6: Governorate comparison: Sustainability of support means.
Figure 7: Trends analysis: Sustainability of support means.
Data source: Assessment - REACH InitiativeAdministrative boundaries: GADM/OCHA/HIC 2011
Projection: GCS WGS 1984Contact: [email protected]
File: IRQ_MOV_DisplEntryPoint_W10_A3_1Oct2014
Note: Data, designations and boundaries contained on this mapare not warranted to be error-free and do not imply acceptance
by the REACH partners, associates or donors mentioned on thismap.
Note: The 67% of IDPs from Kaizankan intended desitiation is not shown. This is due to the lownumber of IDPs transiting through Kaizankan.
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BanmaqinBanmaqin
Kalawanan
Tasluja
Kaizakan
SheikhAbdul Qadir
A n b a rA n b a r
B a b y l o nB a b y l o n
B a g h d a dB a g h d a d
D u h o kD u h o k
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S a l a hS a l a ha l - D i na l - D i n
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IRAN
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94
17
67
33
16
26
6
14
30
5 5
10
11
10
5
10
6
22
10
10
510
10
10
Adhamiya
Ba'quba
Falluja
Haditha
Al Hamdaniya
Hashimiya
Karkh
Al Khalis
Kirkuk
Mada'in
Mahmoudiya
Mosul
Al Muqdadiya
Ramadi Al Resafa
Samarra
ErbilCityCity
ErbilOutskirts
ErbilOutskirts
IRAN
IRAQ
SAUDIARABIA
SYRIA
TURKEY
IRAQ - Kurdistan Region of IraqArea of origin and intentions of IDPs interviewed at entry points to KRI14 to 18 September 2014
For Humanitarian Purposes OnlyProduction date: 01 October 2014
% of Households arrivingat Entry Point from District of Origin(% by Entry Point)8
!( City of origin
8
!( City of destination
% of Households at Entry Pointgoing to this Destinationif Known (% by Entry Point)8
NOTE: Only % more than 5has been represented on this map. Entry point
Country border
Governorate border
District border
KRI
Entry point No intentions declaredBanamaqin 100%Kaizakan 33%Kalawanan 100%Tasluja 100%Sheikh Abdul Qadir 0%
I R A NI R A N