kan vi få et bedre miljø med smartere kloakker?€¦ · straco kf/rk straco stoc. phys. stoc....

81
General rights Copyright and moral rights for the publications made accessible in the public portal are retained by the authors and/or other copyright owners and it is a condition of accessing publications that users recognise and abide by the legal requirements associated with these rights. Users may download and print one copy of any publication from the public portal for the purpose of private study or research. You may not further distribute the material or use it for any profit-making activity or commercial gain You may freely distribute the URL identifying the publication in the public portal If you believe that this document breaches copyright please contact us providing details, and we will remove access to the work immediately and investigate your claim. Downloaded from orbit.dtu.dk on: Aug 31, 2020 Kan vi få et bedre miljø med smartere kloakker? Vezzaro, Luca Publication date: 2019 Document Version Også kaldet Forlagets PDF Link back to DTU Orbit Citation (APA): Vezzaro, L. (Forfatter). (2019). Kan vi få et bedre miljø med smartere kloakker?. Lyd og/eller billed produktion (digital), Danmarks Tekniske Universitet (DTU).

Upload: others

Post on 16-Jul-2020

1 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: Kan vi få et bedre miljø med smartere kloakker?€¦ · STRACO KF/RK STRACO Stoc. Phys. Stoc. Phys. Pert. Roughn. Ini. cond. 1 1 6 11 16 21 Ini. cond. 2 2 7 12 17 22 Ini. cond

General rights Copyright and moral rights for the publications made accessible in the public portal are retained by the authors and/or other copyright owners and it is a condition of accessing publications that users recognise and abide by the legal requirements associated with these rights.

Users may download and print one copy of any publication from the public portal for the purpose of private study or research.

You may not further distribute the material or use it for any profit-making activity or commercial gain

You may freely distribute the URL identifying the publication in the public portal If you believe that this document breaches copyright please contact us providing details, and we will remove access to the work immediately and investigate your claim.

Downloaded from orbit.dtu.dk on: Aug 31, 2020

Kan vi få et bedre miljø med smartere kloakker?

Vezzaro, Luca

Publication date:2019

Document VersionOgså kaldet Forlagets PDF

Link back to DTU Orbit

Citation (APA):Vezzaro, L. (Forfatter). (2019). Kan vi få et bedre miljø med smartere kloakker?. Lyd og/eller billed produktion(digital), Danmarks Tekniske Universitet (DTU).

Page 2: Kan vi få et bedre miljø med smartere kloakker?€¦ · STRACO KF/RK STRACO Stoc. Phys. Stoc. Phys. Pert. Roughn. Ini. cond. 1 1 6 11 16 21 Ini. cond. 2 2 7 12 17 22 Ini. cond

DTU Environment

Kan vi få et bedre miljø med smartere kloakker?

Lektor Luca Vezzaro

København Ø, d. 29. april 2019

1

Page 3: Kan vi få et bedre miljø med smartere kloakker?€¦ · STRACO KF/RK STRACO Stoc. Phys. Stoc. Phys. Pert. Roughn. Ini. cond. 1 1 6 11 16 21 Ini. cond. 2 2 7 12 17 22 Ini. cond

DTU Environment

Lidt om mig

• Født i Padova, tæt på Venedig

• Uddannet som miljøingeniør

• Kom til Danmark som udvekslingsstudent i 2005

• PhD om modellering af miljøfremmede stoffer i regnvand (2011)

• Arbejder på DTU Miljø med styring og modellering af afløbssystemer

• Deltid ansat hos Krüger Veolia A/S (jeg tager forskning ud i ”den virkelige

verden”)

Page 4: Kan vi få et bedre miljø med smartere kloakker?€¦ · STRACO KF/RK STRACO Stoc. Phys. Stoc. Phys. Pert. Roughn. Ini. cond. 1 1 6 11 16 21 Ini. cond. 2 2 7 12 17 22 Ini. cond

Add Presentation Title in Footer via ”Insert”; ”Header & Footer”

Page 5: Kan vi få et bedre miljø med smartere kloakker?€¦ · STRACO KF/RK STRACO Stoc. Phys. Stoc. Phys. Pert. Roughn. Ini. cond. 1 1 6 11 16 21 Ini. cond. 2 2 7 12 17 22 Ini. cond

DTU Environment

Why do we have sewers?

Page 6: Kan vi få et bedre miljø med smartere kloakker?€¦ · STRACO KF/RK STRACO Stoc. Phys. Stoc. Phys. Pert. Roughn. Ini. cond. 1 1 6 11 16 21 Ini. cond. 2 2 7 12 17 22 Ini. cond

DTU Environment

Aarhus ”gamle by” – a living museum

Around 1850

Today

Page 7: Kan vi få et bedre miljø med smartere kloakker?€¦ · STRACO KF/RK STRACO Stoc. Phys. Stoc. Phys. Pert. Roughn. Ini. cond. 1 1 6 11 16 21 Ini. cond. 2 2 7 12 17 22 Ini. cond

DTU Environment

Why do we have sewers?

Ferriman, A. 2007. “BMJ Readers Choose the ‘Sanitary Revolution’ as Greatest Medical Advance since 1840.” Bmj 334 (7585): 111–11. doi:10.1136/bmj.39097.611806.DB.

Before 1800

(Western Cities)

Page 8: Kan vi få et bedre miljø med smartere kloakker?€¦ · STRACO KF/RK STRACO Stoc. Phys. Stoc. Phys. Pert. Roughn. Ini. cond. 1 1 6 11 16 21 Ini. cond. 2 2 7 12 17 22 Ini. cond

DTU Environment

Our cities when sun is shining…

Wastewater Treatment Plant

Fro

m w

ww

.ald

rigsur.

dk/v

ed

-str

an

den

Fro

m w

ww

. http://n

atm

us.d

k/m

usee

rne

/bre

de

-vae

rk/

Page 9: Kan vi få et bedre miljø med smartere kloakker?€¦ · STRACO KF/RK STRACO Stoc. Phys. Stoc. Phys. Pert. Roughn. Ini. cond. 1 1 6 11 16 21 Ini. cond. 2 2 7 12 17 22 Ini. cond

DTU Environment

…but sometimes it rains…

Wastewater Treatment Plant

Page 10: Kan vi få et bedre miljø med smartere kloakker?€¦ · STRACO KF/RK STRACO Stoc. Phys. Stoc. Phys. Pert. Roughn. Ini. cond. 1 1 6 11 16 21 Ini. cond. 2 2 7 12 17 22 Ini. cond

DTU Environment

…and it rains more…

WWTP Combined Sewer

Overflows (CSO)

Photo

by

Lin

ea S

ofie S

kov

WWTP bypass

Page 11: Kan vi få et bedre miljø med smartere kloakker?€¦ · STRACO KF/RK STRACO Stoc. Phys. Stoc. Phys. Pert. Roughn. Ini. cond. 1 1 6 11 16 21 Ini. cond. 2 2 7 12 17 22 Ini. cond

DTU Environment

…and it rains more…

WWTP Combined Sewer

Overflows (CSO)

Photo

by

Lin

ea S

ofie S

kov

WWTP bypass Pollutant contribution from

point discharges in DK (2015)

So

urc

e:

Mil

jø-

og

de

vare

min

iste

riet

Sty

rels

en

fo

r V

an

d-

og

Natu

rfo

rvalt

nin

g (

2017)

. P

un

ktk

ild

er

2015

35% 31%

21%

Page 12: Kan vi få et bedre miljø med smartere kloakker?€¦ · STRACO KF/RK STRACO Stoc. Phys. Stoc. Phys. Pert. Roughn. Ini. cond. 1 1 6 11 16 21 Ini. cond. 2 2 7 12 17 22 Ini. cond

DTU Environment

…and it rains more…

WWTP Combined Sewer

Overflows (CSO)

Photo

by

Lin

ea S

ofie S

kov

WWTP bypass Pollutant contribution from

point discharges in DK (2015)

So

urc

e:

Mil

jø-

og

de

vare

min

iste

riet

Sty

rels

en

fo

r V

an

d-

og

Natu

rfo

rvalt

nin

g (

2017)

. P

un

ktk

ild

er

2015

Page 13: Kan vi få et bedre miljø med smartere kloakker?€¦ · STRACO KF/RK STRACO Stoc. Phys. Stoc. Phys. Pert. Roughn. Ini. cond. 1 1 6 11 16 21 Ini. cond. 2 2 7 12 17 22 Ini. cond

DTU Environment

Kløakoverløb er overalt over 5,000 i hele Danmark

Source: Danmarks Miljøportal (www.miljoeportal.dk)

Page 14: Kan vi få et bedre miljø med smartere kloakker?€¦ · STRACO KF/RK STRACO Stoc. Phys. Stoc. Phys. Pert. Roughn. Ini. cond. 1 1 6 11 16 21 Ini. cond. 2 2 7 12 17 22 Ini. cond

DTU Environment

Intermittent discharges – which problems they can cause?

Effect Description Type of effect

Physical changes Flooding in urban and rural areas

Erosion

Resuspension of sediments

Acute (short time

scale)

Aesthetical pollution Toilet paper, condoms, cotton buds, etc.

hanging or settled on beaches

Hygienic pollution Diseases for humans

Diseases for animals

Physical-chemical changes in the river Oxygen depletion

High concentration of ammonia

Eutrophication Organic pollutants (BOD, COD)

Nutrients (N, P) Accumulative (long

time scale) Changes in ecological status -

Toxic and/or xenobiotics Toxicity (acute and chronic)

Persistence

Bioaccumulation

Acute/Accumulative

Arnbjerg-Nielsen, K., Johansen, N.B., 2002. Krav til regnbetingede udledninger i forhold til Vandrammedirektivet, Rapport, Spildevandskomiteen. (https://ida.dk/sites/prod.ida.dk/ files/krav_til_regnbetingede_udledninger_i_forhold_til_vandrammedirektivet_2002.pdf, tilgået 16/11/2017)

Page 15: Kan vi få et bedre miljø med smartere kloakker?€¦ · STRACO KF/RK STRACO Stoc. Phys. Stoc. Phys. Pert. Roughn. Ini. cond. 1 1 6 11 16 21 Ini. cond. 2 2 7 12 17 22 Ini. cond

DTU Environment

Once upon a time in Denmark

The good old operator

Page 16: Kan vi få et bedre miljø med smartere kloakker?€¦ · STRACO KF/RK STRACO Stoc. Phys. Stoc. Phys. Pert. Roughn. Ini. cond. 1 1 6 11 16 21 Ini. cond. 2 2 7 12 17 22 Ini. cond

DTU Environment

The good old operator

Fro

m le

go

.wik

ia.c

om

I need to optimize the performance of my system

(without building a lot of new expensive things)

Smart people from university, please

help me!

Once upon a time in Denmark

Page 17: Kan vi få et bedre miljø med smartere kloakker?€¦ · STRACO KF/RK STRACO Stoc. Phys. Stoc. Phys. Pert. Roughn. Ini. cond. 1 1 6 11 16 21 Ini. cond. 2 2 7 12 17 22 Ini. cond

DTU Environment

Many projects

Storm- and Wastewater Informatics (SWI)

Klimaspring

Prepared

AMOK

Water Smart Cities

Industrial PhDs

Industrial postdocs

Many MSc theses

Universities + research institutions + water utilities + consultants

2007-now … a range of activities

Page 18: Kan vi få et bedre miljø med smartere kloakker?€¦ · STRACO KF/RK STRACO Stoc. Phys. Stoc. Phys. Pert. Roughn. Ini. cond. 1 1 6 11 16 21 Ini. cond. 2 2 7 12 17 22 Ini. cond

DTU Environment

One option to avoid overflow…

WWTP

Detention basis

Page 19: Kan vi få et bedre miljø med smartere kloakker?€¦ · STRACO KF/RK STRACO Stoc. Phys. Stoc. Phys. Pert. Roughn. Ini. cond. 1 1 6 11 16 21 Ini. cond. 2 2 7 12 17 22 Ini. cond

Add Presentation Title in Footer via ”Insert”; ”Header & Footer”

Page 20: Kan vi få et bedre miljø med smartere kloakker?€¦ · STRACO KF/RK STRACO Stoc. Phys. Stoc. Phys. Pert. Roughn. Ini. cond. 1 1 6 11 16 21 Ini. cond. 2 2 7 12 17 22 Ini. cond

DTU Environment

Real Time Control of drainage network

Rain is not uniform we can optimize the storage across the system less overflow

WWTP doesn’t like high flows we can regulate the inlet flow to the WWTP less bypass

WWTP

Page 21: Kan vi få et bedre miljø med smartere kloakker?€¦ · STRACO KF/RK STRACO Stoc. Phys. Stoc. Phys. Pert. Roughn. Ini. cond. 1 1 6 11 16 21 Ini. cond. 2 2 7 12 17 22 Ini. cond

DTU Environment

Real Time Control of drainage network

Rain is not uniform we can optimize the storage across the system less overflow

WWTP doesn’t like high flows we can regulate the inlet flow to the WWTP less bypass

WWTP

Page 22: Kan vi få et bedre miljø med smartere kloakker?€¦ · STRACO KF/RK STRACO Stoc. Phys. Stoc. Phys. Pert. Roughn. Ini. cond. 1 1 6 11 16 21 Ini. cond. 2 2 7 12 17 22 Ini. cond

Add Presentation Title in Footer via ”Insert”; ”Header & Footer”

Page 23: Kan vi få et bedre miljø med smartere kloakker?€¦ · STRACO KF/RK STRACO Stoc. Phys. Stoc. Phys. Pert. Roughn. Ini. cond. 1 1 6 11 16 21 Ini. cond. 2 2 7 12 17 22 Ini. cond

DTU Environment

Model Predictive Control

We can forecast rainfall where and how much is going to rain even less CSO

We can forecast WWTP status how much water the WWTP can treat even less bypass

WWTP

Weather models

Radar

WWTP models

Page 24: Kan vi få et bedre miljø med smartere kloakker?€¦ · STRACO KF/RK STRACO Stoc. Phys. Stoc. Phys. Pert. Roughn. Ini. cond. 1 1 6 11 16 21 Ini. cond. 2 2 7 12 17 22 Ini. cond

DTU Environment

Model Predictive Control

We can forecast rainfall where and how much is going to rain even less CSO

We can forecast WWTP status how much water the WWTP can treat even less bypass

WWTP

WWTP models

How much water will there be in next 2 hours?

Weather models

Radar

Page 25: Kan vi få et bedre miljø med smartere kloakker?€¦ · STRACO KF/RK STRACO Stoc. Phys. Stoc. Phys. Pert. Roughn. Ini. cond. 1 1 6 11 16 21 Ini. cond. 2 2 7 12 17 22 Ini. cond

DTU Environment

Our new concept

Measurements Models Forecasts Uncertainty

The happy operator

Page 26: Kan vi få et bedre miljø med smartere kloakker?€¦ · STRACO KF/RK STRACO Stoc. Phys. Stoc. Phys. Pert. Roughn. Ini. cond. 1 1 6 11 16 21 Ini. cond. 2 2 7 12 17 22 Ini. cond

DTU Environment

The fellowship of SWI – the long journey

Control Strategy

Model

now

Model

Model

Rainfall measurements

is it going to rain?

Short-term rainfall forecasts

how much is it going to rain?

Continuously updated hydrodynamic models

how much water am I getting?

Stochastic rainfall-runoff forecast

how much can I trust those forecasts?

WWTP forecast models

can the plant take so much water?

MPC strategy addressing uncertainty

what should I do?

Measurements Models Forecasts Uncertainty

The happy operator

Page 27: Kan vi få et bedre miljø med smartere kloakker?€¦ · STRACO KF/RK STRACO Stoc. Phys. Stoc. Phys. Pert. Roughn. Ini. cond. 1 1 6 11 16 21 Ini. cond. 2 2 7 12 17 22 Ini. cond

DTU Environment

Control Strategy

Model

now

Model

Model

Measurements Models Forecasts Uncertainty

The happy operator

Rainfall measurements

Short-term rainfall forecasts

Continuously updated hydrodynamic models

Stochastic rainfall-runoff forecast

WWTP forecast models

MPC strategy addressing uncertainty

The fellowship of SWI – the long journey

Page 28: Kan vi få et bedre miljø med smartere kloakker?€¦ · STRACO KF/RK STRACO Stoc. Phys. Stoc. Phys. Pert. Roughn. Ini. cond. 1 1 6 11 16 21 Ini. cond. 2 2 7 12 17 22 Ini. cond

DTU Environment

Rainfall input Where is it raining?

And how much?

Rainfall is not easy to measure

Rain gauge

Lygten (5725) Hellerup Kirkegård (5690)

Radar

Page 29: Kan vi få et bedre miljø med smartere kloakker?€¦ · STRACO KF/RK STRACO Stoc. Phys. Stoc. Phys. Pert. Roughn. Ini. cond. 1 1 6 11 16 21 Ini. cond. 2 2 7 12 17 22 Ini. cond

DTU Environment

Rainfall input Where is it raining?

And how much?

Rainfall is not easy to measure

Volume Spatial distribution

Rain gauges √ X

Radar X √

Flow measurements ? ?

Slid

e c

ourte

sy o

f Jo

na

s

Wie

ld P

ede

rese

n

But you can combine them!

Page 30: Kan vi få et bedre miljø med smartere kloakker?€¦ · STRACO KF/RK STRACO Stoc. Phys. Stoc. Phys. Pert. Roughn. Ini. cond. 1 1 6 11 16 21 Ini. cond. 2 2 7 12 17 22 Ini. cond

Søren Thorndahl – Department of Civil Engineering Aalborg University

31

The new AAU Nowcaster The spatial resolution is 16 times higher than before

(500x500m vs 2000x2000m)

Before

After

Page 31: Kan vi få et bedre miljø med smartere kloakker?€¦ · STRACO KF/RK STRACO Stoc. Phys. Stoc. Phys. Pert. Roughn. Ini. cond. 1 1 6 11 16 21 Ini. cond. 2 2 7 12 17 22 Ini. cond

Søren Thorndahl – Department of Civil Engineering Aalborg University

Demonstration af online nowcaster (WP-3)

Slid

e c

ou

rtesy o

f Je

sp

er E

llerb

æk

Nie

lse

n

Page 32: Kan vi få et bedre miljø med smartere kloakker?€¦ · STRACO KF/RK STRACO Stoc. Phys. Stoc. Phys. Pert. Roughn. Ini. cond. 1 1 6 11 16 21 Ini. cond. 2 2 7 12 17 22 Ini. cond

DTU Environment

Radar resolution

• Which one is the good one for the urban

scale?

• Radar can are only useful to predict up to 2

hrs in the future

• What about longer horizons?

• Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) models

Thorndahl, S., Einfalt, T., Willems, P., Nielsen, J. E., ten Veldhuis, M.-C., Arnbjerg-Nielsen, K., … Molnar, P. (2017). Weather radar rainfall data in urban hydrology. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 21(3), 1359–1380.

Page 33: Kan vi få et bedre miljø med smartere kloakker?€¦ · STRACO KF/RK STRACO Stoc. Phys. Stoc. Phys. Pert. Roughn. Ini. cond. 1 1 6 11 16 21 Ini. cond. 2 2 7 12 17 22 Ini. cond

DTU Environment

What the radar can see

not so good for the radar Radar is fine

Slide courtesy of Jonas Wield Pedersen

Page 34: Kan vi få et bedre miljø med smartere kloakker?€¦ · STRACO KF/RK STRACO Stoc. Phys. Stoc. Phys. Pert. Roughn. Ini. cond. 1 1 6 11 16 21 Ini. cond. 2 2 7 12 17 22 Ini. cond

Søren Thorndahl – Department of Civil Engineering Aalborg University

Flow forecast results - Event 6: 21 – 24 January 2012

35

21-01-2012 00:00 22-01-2012 00:00 23-01-2012 00:00 24-01-2012 00:000

2

4

6

8

10

12

UTC

Flow

(m3 /s

)

Measured

Radar observed

Radar nowcast 1 h

Radar nowcast 2 h

21-01-2012 00:00 22-01-2012 00:00 23-01-2012 00:00 24-01-2012 00:000

2

4

6

8

10

12

UTC

Flow

(m3 /s

)

Measured

Weather model 6 h

Weather model 12 h

Weather model 24 h

Mean rain gauge

accum.: 8.6 mm

Mean obs. radar

accum.: 7.3 mm

Now 2 hr

Goodness of forecast

Radar NWP

Bad

Good

>10 hr

Page 35: Kan vi få et bedre miljø med smartere kloakker?€¦ · STRACO KF/RK STRACO Stoc. Phys. Stoc. Phys. Pert. Roughn. Ini. cond. 1 1 6 11 16 21 Ini. cond. 2 2 7 12 17 22 Ini. cond

DTU Environment

Hvordan er vejret i dag?

Page 36: Kan vi få et bedre miljø med smartere kloakker?€¦ · STRACO KF/RK STRACO Stoc. Phys. Stoc. Phys. Pert. Roughn. Ini. cond. 1 1 6 11 16 21 Ini. cond. 2 2 7 12 17 22 Ini. cond

DTU Environment 37

21/04

Page 37: Kan vi få et bedre miljø med smartere kloakker?€¦ · STRACO KF/RK STRACO Stoc. Phys. Stoc. Phys. Pert. Roughn. Ini. cond. 1 1 6 11 16 21 Ini. cond. 2 2 7 12 17 22 Ini. cond

DTU Environment 38

22/04

Page 38: Kan vi få et bedre miljø med smartere kloakker?€¦ · STRACO KF/RK STRACO Stoc. Phys. Stoc. Phys. Pert. Roughn. Ini. cond. 1 1 6 11 16 21 Ini. cond. 2 2 7 12 17 22 Ini. cond

DTU Environment 39

23/04

Page 39: Kan vi få et bedre miljø med smartere kloakker?€¦ · STRACO KF/RK STRACO Stoc. Phys. Stoc. Phys. Pert. Roughn. Ini. cond. 1 1 6 11 16 21 Ini. cond. 2 2 7 12 17 22 Ini. cond

DTU Environment 40

24/04

Page 40: Kan vi få et bedre miljø med smartere kloakker?€¦ · STRACO KF/RK STRACO Stoc. Phys. Stoc. Phys. Pert. Roughn. Ini. cond. 1 1 6 11 16 21 Ini. cond. 2 2 7 12 17 22 Ini. cond

DTU Environment 41

25/04

Page 41: Kan vi få et bedre miljø med smartere kloakker?€¦ · STRACO KF/RK STRACO Stoc. Phys. Stoc. Phys. Pert. Roughn. Ini. cond. 1 1 6 11 16 21 Ini. cond. 2 2 7 12 17 22 Ini. cond

DTU Environment 42

26/04

Page 42: Kan vi få et bedre miljø med smartere kloakker?€¦ · STRACO KF/RK STRACO Stoc. Phys. Stoc. Phys. Pert. Roughn. Ini. cond. 1 1 6 11 16 21 Ini. cond. 2 2 7 12 17 22 Ini. cond

DTU Environment 43

28/04

Page 43: Kan vi få et bedre miljø med smartere kloakker?€¦ · STRACO KF/RK STRACO Stoc. Phys. Stoc. Phys. Pert. Roughn. Ini. cond. 1 1 6 11 16 21 Ini. cond. 2 2 7 12 17 22 Ini. cond

DTU Environment

How weather forecasts are made? The DMI-HIRLAM-S05 model

Ensemble members STRACO KF/RK STRACO

Stoc. Phys. Stoc. Phys. Pert. Roughn.

Ini. cond. 1 1 6 11 16 21

Ini. cond. 2 2 7 12 17 22

Ini. cond. 3 3 8 13 18 23

Ini. cond. 4 4 9 14 19 24

Ini. cond. 5 5 10 15 20 25

● Horizontal resolution = 0.05° (5.5 km)

● Time Step = 1h

● Forecast length = 54h

● Forecast frequency = 4 times per day

● Members = 25

5 ≠ model structures

5 ≠

initia

l conditio

ns

Slide courtesy of Dr. Vianney Courdant

Page 44: Kan vi få et bedre miljø med smartere kloakker?€¦ · STRACO KF/RK STRACO Stoc. Phys. Stoc. Phys. Pert. Roughn. Ini. cond. 1 1 6 11 16 21 Ini. cond. 2 2 7 12 17 22 Ini. cond

DTU Environment

Context vs. Model Uncertainty what do we ask to the model?

Meteorological perspective

Weather behavior, pattern, feature

Urban hydrology perspective

Local value with high resolution

The big picture The pixel

Slide courtesy of Dr. Vianney Courdant

Page 45: Kan vi få et bedre miljø med smartere kloakker?€¦ · STRACO KF/RK STRACO Stoc. Phys. Stoc. Phys. Pert. Roughn. Ini. cond. 1 1 6 11 16 21 Ini. cond. 2 2 7 12 17 22 Ini. cond

DTU Environment

Context vs. Model Uncertainty what do we ask to the model?

Meteorological perspective Urban hydrology perspective

These weather forecast are crap

These weather forecast are great!

Slide courtesy of Dr. Vianney Courdant

Page 46: Kan vi få et bedre miljø med smartere kloakker?€¦ · STRACO KF/RK STRACO Stoc. Phys. Stoc. Phys. Pert. Roughn. Ini. cond. 1 1 6 11 16 21 Ini. cond. 2 2 7 12 17 22 Ini. cond

DTU Environment

DMI model prediction (winter)

Slide courtesy of Dr. Vianney Courdant

Page 47: Kan vi få et bedre miljø med smartere kloakker?€¦ · STRACO KF/RK STRACO Stoc. Phys. Stoc. Phys. Pert. Roughn. Ini. cond. 1 1 6 11 16 21 Ini. cond. 2 2 7 12 17 22 Ini. cond

DTU Environment

DMI model prediction (summer)

Slide courtesy of Dr. Vianney Courdant

Page 48: Kan vi få et bedre miljø med smartere kloakker?€¦ · STRACO KF/RK STRACO Stoc. Phys. Stoc. Phys. Pert. Roughn. Ini. cond. 1 1 6 11 16 21 Ini. cond. 2 2 7 12 17 22 Ini. cond

DTU Environment

DMI model prediction (summer)

Slide courtesy of Dr. Vianney Courdant

Page 49: Kan vi få et bedre miljø med smartere kloakker?€¦ · STRACO KF/RK STRACO Stoc. Phys. Stoc. Phys. Pert. Roughn. Ini. cond. 1 1 6 11 16 21 Ini. cond. 2 2 7 12 17 22 Ini. cond

DTU Environment

Control Strategy

Model

now

Model

Model

Measurements Models Forecasts Uncertainty

The happy operator

Rainfall measurements

Short-term rainfall forecasts

Continuously updated hydrodynamic models

Stochastic rainfall-runoff forecast

WWTP forecast models

MPC strategy addressing uncertainty

The fellowship of SWI – the long journey

Page 50: Kan vi få et bedre miljø med smartere kloakker?€¦ · STRACO KF/RK STRACO Stoc. Phys. Stoc. Phys. Pert. Roughn. Ini. cond. 1 1 6 11 16 21 Ini. cond. 2 2 7 12 17 22 Ini. cond

DTU Environment

Model Predictive Control with uncertainty

WWTP

Uncertainty bounds

Page 51: Kan vi få et bedre miljø med smartere kloakker?€¦ · STRACO KF/RK STRACO Stoc. Phys. Stoc. Phys. Pert. Roughn. Ini. cond. 1 1 6 11 16 21 Ini. cond. 2 2 7 12 17 22 Ini. cond

DTU Environment

Stochastic runoff forecasts

Observations

Löwe et al. (2014). J. Hydrology, 512, doi:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2014.03.027 .

1000 simulations

V [

m3

]

time

Rainfall-runoff model

Page 52: Kan vi få et bedre miljø med smartere kloakker?€¦ · STRACO KF/RK STRACO Stoc. Phys. Stoc. Phys. Pert. Roughn. Ini. cond. 1 1 6 11 16 21 Ini. cond. 2 2 7 12 17 22 Ini. cond

DTU Environment

Stochastic runoff forecasts

Observations

1000 simulations

V [

m3

]

time

90% probability Rainfall-runoff model

Löwe et al. (2014). J. Hydrology, 512, doi:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2014.03.027 .

Page 53: Kan vi få et bedre miljø med smartere kloakker?€¦ · STRACO KF/RK STRACO Stoc. Phys. Stoc. Phys. Pert. Roughn. Ini. cond. 1 1 6 11 16 21 Ini. cond. 2 2 7 12 17 22 Ini. cond

DTU Environment

Control Strategy

Model

now

Model

Model

Measurements Models Forecasts Uncertainty

The happy operator

Rainfall measurements

Short-term rainfall forecasts

Continuously updated hydrodynamic models

Stochastic rainfall-runoff forecast

WWTP forecast models

MPC strategy addressing uncertainty

The fellowship of SWI – the long journey

Page 54: Kan vi få et bedre miljø med smartere kloakker?€¦ · STRACO KF/RK STRACO Stoc. Phys. Stoc. Phys. Pert. Roughn. Ini. cond. 1 1 6 11 16 21 Ini. cond. 2 2 7 12 17 22 Ini. cond

DTU Environment

Controlling the WWTP based on energy prices the Blue Kolding example Slid

e c

ou

rtesy o

f Rasm

us F

ogtm

an

n H

alv

ga

ard

Integrated Control

€ kgN

MPC model €

Page 55: Kan vi få et bedre miljø med smartere kloakker?€¦ · STRACO KF/RK STRACO Stoc. Phys. Stoc. Phys. Pert. Roughn. Ini. cond. 1 1 6 11 16 21 Ini. cond. 2 2 7 12 17 22 Ini. cond

DTU Environment

Controlling the WWTP based on energy prices –

moving upstream Slid

e c

ourte

sy o

f Rasm

us F

ogtm

ann

Halv

gaard

and J

ulie

Evald

Bje

rg

P1

P2

Reduce CSO

Page 56: Kan vi få et bedre miljø med smartere kloakker?€¦ · STRACO KF/RK STRACO Stoc. Phys. Stoc. Phys. Pert. Roughn. Ini. cond. 1 1 6 11 16 21 Ini. cond. 2 2 7 12 17 22 Ini. cond

DTU Environment

Controlling the WWTP based on energy prices –

moving upstream Slid

e c

ourte

sy o

f Julie

Evald

Bje

rg a

nd V

ianney C

ourd

ant

P1

P2

Optimize WWTP Operations

Page 57: Kan vi få et bedre miljø med smartere kloakker?€¦ · STRACO KF/RK STRACO Stoc. Phys. Stoc. Phys. Pert. Roughn. Ini. cond. 1 1 6 11 16 21 Ini. cond. 2 2 7 12 17 22 Ini. cond

DTU Environment

Controlling the WWTP based on energy prices –

moving upstream Slid

e c

ourte

sy o

f Julie

Evald

Bje

rg a

nd V

ianney C

ourd

ant

P1

P2

Optimize WWTP Operations

Numerical Weather Prediction models are

used to switch between the two controls

Page 58: Kan vi få et bedre miljø med smartere kloakker?€¦ · STRACO KF/RK STRACO Stoc. Phys. Stoc. Phys. Pert. Roughn. Ini. cond. 1 1 6 11 16 21 Ini. cond. 2 2 7 12 17 22 Ini. cond

SMARTGRID in Kolding

Kolding WWTP 125.000 PE (1 MWh/yr for aeration)

Kolding Central PST ”forrens” 5.000 m3/h (1,5 MWh/yr)

Slid

e courte

sy Krüge

r Veolia A

/S

Page 59: Kan vi få et bedre miljø med smartere kloakker?€¦ · STRACO KF/RK STRACO Stoc. Phys. Stoc. Phys. Pert. Roughn. Ini. cond. 1 1 6 11 16 21 Ini. cond. 2 2 7 12 17 22 Ini. cond

SMARTGRID in Kolding - Sewer (3 days of full scale)

Slid

e courte

sy Krüge

r Veolia A

/S

Page 60: Kan vi få et bedre miljø med smartere kloakker?€¦ · STRACO KF/RK STRACO Stoc. Phys. Stoc. Phys. Pert. Roughn. Ini. cond. 1 1 6 11 16 21 Ini. cond. 2 2 7 12 17 22 Ini. cond

SMARTGRID in Kolding – WWTP (3 days of full scale)

Slid

e courte

sy Krüge

r Veolia A

/S

Page 61: Kan vi få et bedre miljø med smartere kloakker?€¦ · STRACO KF/RK STRACO Stoc. Phys. Stoc. Phys. Pert. Roughn. Ini. cond. 1 1 6 11 16 21 Ini. cond. 2 2 7 12 17 22 Ini. cond

DTU Environment

Control Strategy

Model

now

Model

Model

Measurements Models Forecasts Uncertainty

The happy operator

Rainfall measurements

Short-term rainfall forecasts

Continuously updated hydrodynamic models

Stochastic rainfall-runoff forecast

WWTP forecast models

MPC strategy addressing uncertainty

The fellowship of SWI – the long journey

Page 62: Kan vi få et bedre miljø med smartere kloakker?€¦ · STRACO KF/RK STRACO Stoc. Phys. Stoc. Phys. Pert. Roughn. Ini. cond. 1 1 6 11 16 21 Ini. cond. 2 2 7 12 17 22 Ini. cond

DTU Environment

Why uncertainty matters Didactical example

Detention basins Treatment

plant

Page 63: Kan vi få et bedre miljø med smartere kloakker?€¦ · STRACO KF/RK STRACO Stoc. Phys. Stoc. Phys. Pert. Roughn. Ini. cond. 1 1 6 11 16 21 Ini. cond. 2 2 7 12 17 22 Ini. cond

DTU Environment

West Town East Town

Real Time Control Objective:

Maximize storage

Page 64: Kan vi få et bedre miljø med smartere kloakker?€¦ · STRACO KF/RK STRACO Stoc. Phys. Stoc. Phys. Pert. Roughn. Ini. cond. 1 1 6 11 16 21 Ini. cond. 2 2 7 12 17 22 Ini. cond

DTU Environment

West Town East Town Model forecast

(without uncertainty)

“Traditional” MPC Objective:

Maximize future storage

Page 65: Kan vi få et bedre miljø med smartere kloakker?€¦ · STRACO KF/RK STRACO Stoc. Phys. Stoc. Phys. Pert. Roughn. Ini. cond. 1 1 6 11 16 21 Ini. cond. 2 2 7 12 17 22 Ini. cond

DTU Environment

√ ? Rainfall evolution is

uncertain

Risk-based Model Predictive Control

Page 66: Kan vi få et bedre miljø med smartere kloakker?€¦ · STRACO KF/RK STRACO Stoc. Phys. Stoc. Phys. Pert. Roughn. Ini. cond. 1 1 6 11 16 21 Ini. cond. 2 2 7 12 17 22 Ini. cond

DTU Environment

Target

Target

West Town East Town

If we do not consider uncertainty

If we consider uncertainty

Risk of overflow

Objective:

Minimize CSO risk

Risk-based Model Predictive Control

Page 67: Kan vi få et bedre miljø med smartere kloakker?€¦ · STRACO KF/RK STRACO Stoc. Phys. Stoc. Phys. Pert. Roughn. Ini. cond. 1 1 6 11 16 21 Ini. cond. 2 2 7 12 17 22 Ini. cond

DTU Environment

The Dynamic Overflow Risk Analysis (DORA)

Dynamic Overflow Risk Assessment

(DORA)

Radar-based runoff prediction

Uncertainty of forecasts

On-line

data

Optimal set-points

Vezzaro, L., & Grum, M. (2014). J. Hydrology, 515, doi:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2014.05.019.

Page 68: Kan vi få et bedre miljø med smartere kloakker?€¦ · STRACO KF/RK STRACO Stoc. Phys. Stoc. Phys. Pert. Roughn. Ini. cond. 1 1 6 11 16 21 Ini. cond. 2 2 7 12 17 22 Ini. cond

DTU Environment

The Lynetten catchment Central Copenhagen, Denmark

West Amager

(13,500 m3)

East Amager

(44,400 m3)

Kloevermarken

(27,500 m3)

Lynetten

(WWTP)

St. Anne

(8,000 m3)

Strandvaenget (basin)

(60 m3) Lersoeledning

(27,000 m3) Strandvaenget (pump)

(no storage)

Page 69: Kan vi få et bedre miljø med smartere kloakker?€¦ · STRACO KF/RK STRACO Stoc. Phys. Stoc. Phys. Pert. Roughn. Ini. cond. 1 1 6 11 16 21 Ini. cond. 2 2 7 12 17 22 Ini. cond

DTU Environment

Sensitivity of overflow recipient CSO ”price”

€ €

€ €

Page 70: Kan vi få et bedre miljø med smartere kloakker?€¦ · STRACO KF/RK STRACO Stoc. Phys. Stoc. Phys. Pert. Roughn. Ini. cond. 1 1 6 11 16 21 Ini. cond. 2 2 7 12 17 22 Ini. cond

DTU Environment

Control Strategy

Model

now

Model

Model

Measurements Models Forecasts Uncertainty

The happy operator

Rainfall measurements

Short-term rainfall forecasts

Continuously updated hydrodynamic models

Stochastic rainfall-runoff forecast

WWTP forecast models

MPC strategy addressing uncertainty

What’s next?

The fellowship of SWI – the long journey

Page 71: Kan vi få et bedre miljø med smartere kloakker?€¦ · STRACO KF/RK STRACO Stoc. Phys. Stoc. Phys. Pert. Roughn. Ini. cond. 1 1 6 11 16 21 Ini. cond. 2 2 7 12 17 22 Ini. cond

Add Presentation Title in Footer via ”Insert”; ”Header & Footer”

Page 72: Kan vi få et bedre miljø med smartere kloakker?€¦ · STRACO KF/RK STRACO Stoc. Phys. Stoc. Phys. Pert. Roughn. Ini. cond. 1 1 6 11 16 21 Ini. cond. 2 2 7 12 17 22 Ini. cond

DTU Environment

Water Quality-based control

Pollutant concentrations are not uniform we can control the system based on Water Quality (instead of water quantity)

WWTP

Page 73: Kan vi få et bedre miljø med smartere kloakker?€¦ · STRACO KF/RK STRACO Stoc. Phys. Stoc. Phys. Pert. Roughn. Ini. cond. 1 1 6 11 16 21 Ini. cond. 2 2 7 12 17 22 Ini. cond

DTU Environment

Water Quality-based control

Pollutant concentrations are not uniform we can control the system based on Water Quality (instead of water quantity)

The natural waters have not all the same status we can avoid CSO where it makes bigger damage

WWTP

Page 74: Kan vi få et bedre miljø med smartere kloakker?€¦ · STRACO KF/RK STRACO Stoc. Phys. Stoc. Phys. Pert. Roughn. Ini. cond. 1 1 6 11 16 21 Ini. cond. 2 2 7 12 17 22 Ini. cond

DTU Environment

On-line water quality data

Alferes et al. (2014), Advanced monitoring of

wastewater quality: data collection and data

quality assurance, Proceedings of 13th ICUD2014

I have thousand other

things to do!

NH

4

Page 75: Kan vi få et bedre miljø med smartere kloakker?€¦ · STRACO KF/RK STRACO Stoc. Phys. Stoc. Phys. Pert. Roughn. Ini. cond. 1 1 6 11 16 21 Ini. cond. 2 2 7 12 17 22 Ini. cond

DTU Environment

The big challenge of online water quality

measurements P

hoto

by

Lin

ea S

ofie S

kov

Photo

by

Ravi K

um

ar

Chhetr

i

Sensor Maintenance

Multivariate DQC

Software Sensors …

Fro

m w

ww

.wik

ipe

dia

.org

WHAT????

Which language is he/she talking?

Page 76: Kan vi få et bedre miljø med smartere kloakker?€¦ · STRACO KF/RK STRACO Stoc. Phys. Stoc. Phys. Pert. Roughn. Ini. cond. 1 1 6 11 16 21 Ini. cond. 2 2 7 12 17 22 Ini. cond

DTU Environment

The Ålebækken ”playground”

Slide credits: Linea S. Skov

Page 77: Kan vi få et bedre miljø med smartere kloakker?€¦ · STRACO KF/RK STRACO Stoc. Phys. Stoc. Phys. Pert. Roughn. Ini. cond. 1 1 6 11 16 21 Ini. cond. 2 2 7 12 17 22 Ini. cond

DTU Environment

How much can we trust sensors?

Slide credits: Linea S. Skov

Page 78: Kan vi få et bedre miljø med smartere kloakker?€¦ · STRACO KF/RK STRACO Stoc. Phys. Stoc. Phys. Pert. Roughn. Ini. cond. 1 1 6 11 16 21 Ini. cond. 2 2 7 12 17 22 Ini. cond

DTU Environment

The importance of involving the final users

Fro

m le

go

.wik

ia.c

om

Dear smart people from university, what wonderful tool did you

prepare for me?

With a genetic algorithm which minimizes risks you

will….

We have an Extended Kalman Filter to assimilate data and…

If you use a stochastic differential equation…

Can you please make a if-then scheme of you

advanced control?

??????

Thanks, but my system works fine as it is

Page 79: Kan vi få et bedre miljø med smartere kloakker?€¦ · STRACO KF/RK STRACO Stoc. Phys. Stoc. Phys. Pert. Roughn. Ini. cond. 1 1 6 11 16 21 Ini. cond. 2 2 7 12 17 22 Ini. cond

DTU Environment

The importance of involving the final users

Fro

m le

go.w

ikia

.com

Making a smart tool is not enough – you need somebody ready to use it

Collaboration between universities and final user is essential

Page 80: Kan vi få et bedre miljø med smartere kloakker?€¦ · STRACO KF/RK STRACO Stoc. Phys. Stoc. Phys. Pert. Roughn. Ini. cond. 1 1 6 11 16 21 Ini. cond. 2 2 7 12 17 22 Ini. cond

DTU Environment

Conclusions towards a better environment with smarter

sewer systems

We can have a better environment if we use our sewers in a smarter way

We have now new tools for on-line model-based operation of integrated urban wastewater systems (more than 10 years of research/development)

Measurements Models Forecasts Uncertainty

The happy operator

Page 81: Kan vi få et bedre miljø med smartere kloakker?€¦ · STRACO KF/RK STRACO Stoc. Phys. Stoc. Phys. Pert. Roughn. Ini. cond. 1 1 6 11 16 21 Ini. cond. 2 2 7 12 17 22 Ini. cond

DTU Environment

Thank you for listening!

An overflow expert

[email protected]

A Combined Sewer Overflow