kaplan entering chile - timothy raditya solichin

Upload: timothy-rs

Post on 06-Apr-2018

250 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

  • 8/3/2019 Kaplan Entering Chile - Timothy Raditya Solichin

    1/24

    ENTERING CHILE

    Group 8, MW 4 PM

    Kevin Song

    David Shu

    Kayla Wolonsky

    Timothy SolichinMalea Malik

    Stephanie Tong

  • 8/3/2019 Kaplan Entering Chile - Timothy Raditya Solichin

    2/24

    Table of Contents

    EXECUTIVE BRIEF 3CHILE COUNTRY ANALYSIS 4

    CHILE MARKET ANALYSIS 8COMPANY OVERVIEW 11

    ENTRY STRATEGY 14RECOMMENDATIONS 17

    APPENDIX 19

  • 8/3/2019 Kaplan Entering Chile - Timothy Raditya Solichin

    3/24

    Executive Brief

    As a global leader in English Language training, it is imperative that Kaplan have a strong

    presence in Latin America. We believe that South America has the highest potential forgrowth and revenue based on Kaplans Core Competencies. Due to the Chilean cultural

    emphasis on strong education and low barriers to entry, and due to Kaplans software-

    based teaching system, Kaplan should enter Chile as a wholly-owned, greenfield

    organization.

    Why Latin America?Certain nations within South America have significant economic growth as well as

    government stability. These key factors will allow Kaplan to penetrate the market with its

    experience in Brazil, Columbia, Panama, and Venezuela. We believe that the next Latin

    American country Kaplan should enter is Chile. Because Kaplan already has experience

    in South America, it can bring the knowledge it has from those markets to Chile, to work

    to their best advantage. Many Latin American markets are similar in many aspects, so

    the things that work in those markets will work in Chile, giving Kaplan an advantage over

    its competitors.

    Why Chile?Chilean education expenditures have increased considerably in the last 5 years, nearly

    doubling from 2001 education expenses. The country has a relatively large middle and

    upper class, and the population is young, with almost 40% of citizens under the age of

    25. A 2004 free trade agreement between the United States and Chile has fed the strong

    trade and interaction between the two countries, making English language learning

    imperative to younger generations.

    The StrategyWhile Kaplan will enter Chile as a wholly-owned institution, Kaplan will be partnering with

    local universities for classroom space and other tangible items, as it has done in other

    countries. While in Chile, Kaplan will offer ESL programs two different ways: In-classsessions with a licensed professional, and online as a form of independent study.

    |3

  • 8/3/2019 Kaplan Entering Chile - Timothy Raditya Solichin

    4/24

    CHILECOUNT

    RYANALY

    SIS

  • 8/3/2019 Kaplan Entering Chile - Timothy Raditya Solichin

    5/24

    Why Chile?Chile is an emerging economy with high level of growth potential. Chiles long-standing

    relationship with the U.S. and the governments outlook on foreign investment willallow Kaplan, as a U.S. firm, to be welcomed into Chile in offering high quality

    education services.

    Kaplans various product and service offerings will provide a high level of value toChiles growing education industry. Not only is there great economic growth potential,

    but as a fast developing nation, Chiles education industry is rapidly developing andrequires the level of sophistication in education that Kaplan offers.

    Chiles focus on improving its education sector through government subsidies willpromote education services from private firms such as Kaplan in increasing English

    Learning Programs as well as Higher Education Programs. Kaplan will also find itrelatively unproblematic in replicating its competitive advantage and business model in

    Chile which will be further discussed within the report.

    Almost 40% of the Chileanpopulation is under the ageof 25. This indicates that thenation is still a developing

    country leaning towardmanufacturing and serviceindustries1.

    Comparison Between US and ChileEducation Sector

    As Chile transitions into a developed nation, the global education standard has shown

    promising results in Chile. As Chile develops its education industry, there are similar

    characteristics between both Chile and the United States that will allow Kaplan to replicate its

    business model and competitive advantage within Chile2.

    These similarities are promising for Kaplan as they will be able to bring and build Kaplans

    business model that will resemble Kaplans business model within the United States. Despitethe subtle differences that Kaplan must initiate through adaptation, Kaplans strategy of

    entering Chile will be reinforced by the similar characteristics of the United States and Chiles

    education sector.

    Similarities between US and Chile Education Sectors

    Highly Subsidized by Government Mandatory Requirements of Primary and Secondary Levels of Education

    Highly Subsidized Public Universities High Enrollment Participation of Primary and Secondary Level of Education

    25 and under

    25 - 45

    45 and over

    |5

  • 8/3/2019 Kaplan Entering Chile - Timothy Raditya Solichin

    6/24

    Macroeconomic Attractiveness

    Close Chile-U.S. Relations

    Chiles economic ties to the United States enhancthe need for foreign language proficiency and

    boost demand for tertiary education that is alignewith international standards. The United States isboth a major supplier and major market (Exhibit1), making English vital to Chiles businessrelations.

    Market Structure

    Chile has a relatively large, educated middle clas

    GDP of $15,500 (2010 est.) Adult literacy is at 920% of the population is disadvantaged (Exhibit 3approximately 12 million people within our poten

    Market Accessibility

    86% of Chileans live in urban areas, with 40% of tlocated in Santiago. This makes the Chilean capitsite for Kaplan.3

    National Economic Growth

    Chiles annual real GDP growth rate was -1.5% inexpected to be 3.4% in 2010 as Chile rebounds freconomic downturn.4

    e

    d

    , with a per capita

    %, and less than), leavingial target market.

    he populational an ideal launch

    20094, but isom the global

    |6

  • 8/3/2019 Kaplan Entering Chile - Timothy Raditya Solichin

    7/24

    Administrative and EconomicSimilarities Will Allow for a SmoothTransition into the Chilean Market

    Using the CAGE analysis, it can be seen that the distancebetween Chile and the United States are low on all

    dimensions, making Chile a desirable destination forKaplans ESL learning programs5.

    Cultural: Medium

    Language differences exist, but thisfeeds directly into Kaplans businessmodel

    Very traditional society that placesheavy value in education and socialstatus

    Significant immigration has created aculturall and racially diverse society

    Prejudice based on class status isprevalent in the urban centers inwhich Kaplan would be enteringEducation in Chile is of high standards

    Administrative: Low

    2004's The United States-Chile FTAsignificantly decreased administrativedistance between US and Chile

    Eliminates tariffs and opens markets,reduces barriers for trade in services,provides protection for intellectualproperty, ensures regulatorytransparency, and guarantees non-discrimination in the trade of digitalproducts

    Geographic: Low

    86% of Chile's population lives inurban areas6

    Urbanization will allow Kaplan toquickly and effectively target alarge market without concern oftransportation

    Economic: Low

    The large middle and significantupper class offers Kaplan amarket income structure verysimilar to that of its other targetmarkets

    Barriers to EntryChile has had a long established relationship with the

    United States that allows for many businesses, especially

    within the services industry to enter into Chile.

    Furthermore, the Chile-United States Free Trade

    Agreement extensively covers the service industry. These

    broad ranges of coverage will be beneficial for Kaplan asthere are no administrative barriers that Kaplan faces in

    entering Chile.

    Barriers to entry in Chile for the economic sector are

    fairly low. However, there are still certain factors that

    contribute to some level of difficulty that Kaplan may

    face when entering into Chile7:

    With the lack of strong IP protection, Kaplan will face

    challenges in retaining the brands competitive

    advantage, especially within the software market. Kaplan

    must focus on offering its services through its

    ESL/Education Programs rather than in the form of

    Kaplan software programs.

    Weak enforcement of Intellectual Property(IP) Protection

    Piracy of Kaplan Products and Software Medium Level of Competition in ESL

    Programs

    |7

  • 8/3/2019 Kaplan Entering Chile - Timothy Raditya Solichin

    8/24

    CHILEMARKETANALYSIS

  • 8/3/2019 Kaplan Entering Chile - Timothy Raditya Solichin

    9/24

    0.00

    1,000,000,000.00

    2,000,000,000.00

    3,000,000,000.00

    4,000,000,000.00

    5,000,000,000.00

    6,000,000,000.00

    7,000,000,000.00

    8,000,000,000.00

    9,000,000,000.00

    10,000,000,000.00

    1970

    1973

    1976

    1979

    1982

    1985

    1988

    1991

    1994

    1997

    2000

    2003

    2006

    2009

    2012

    2015

    Chile Education Spending in US$13

    Chile education Spending in US$

    Chile Needs Kaplan to Act as a Leader in the Private Education and ESL Sector, Furthering Their

    Current Initiatives

    Education spending in Chile is largely privatized,

    with private funding making up 48% of total

    education spending8. This makes Chile a highly

    desirable market for foreign companies.

    Government spending on education is relatively low

    at 3.3% of GDP9. However, the high level of private

    funding makes total spending toward education

    6.4% of GDP, comparable to levels reported by

    Mexico10. Close to 75% of the total students in Chile

    study in private institutions.

    Chilean consumersOnly 2% of Chileans graduating from high school speak English well enough to

    pursue work or studies in English11.Within the 18-24 age range, around 38% ofChileans are enrolled in tertiary education. Of these students, 55% entered

    universities, 26% entered professional institutes, and 18% into technical trainingcenters5.

    Students from the richest 40% of households make up 70.2% of studentpopulation in universities, 51.3% in professional institutes, and 45.5% in

    technical training centers12.

    2011 6,863,317,613.00

    2012 7,345,698,983.00

    2013 7,861,984,043.00

    2014 8,414,555,678.00

    2015 9,005,964,254.00

    Projected Education

    Expenditure in Chile ($US)12

    |9

  • 8/3/2019 Kaplan Entering Chile - Timothy Raditya Solichin

    10/24

  • 8/3/2019 Kaplan Entering Chile - Timothy Raditya Solichin

    11/24

    COMPANY

    OVERVIEW

  • 8/3/2019 Kaplan Entering Chile - Timothy Raditya Solichin

    12/24

    Expanding Opportunities Worldwide

    With an increasing global demand for higher education and English language training, Kaplan International has grown to be one of thelargest providers of academic English language instruction worldwide. Kaplan International institutions give international students theopportunity to experience a Western-style education without leaving the comforts of home. Today, 20% of Kaplans total revenue comes

    from its international operations14.

    Program Offered

    - ESL In-Class- ESL Online (Independent Study)- English language Study Abroad- Test preparation services- Financial services, business and legal training

    programs

    - Undergraduate and postgraduate degrees, studyabroad

    While Kaplans financial services, business and legaltraining programs are highly regarded in Europe andin the Asia Pacific, the majority of Kaplansinternational locations focus on the teaching ofEnglish as a Second Language (ESL)15.

    |12

  • 8/3/2019 Kaplan Entering Chile - Timothy Raditya Solichin

    13/24

  • 8/3/2019 Kaplan Entering Chile - Timothy Raditya Solichin

    14/24

    E

    NTRYSTR

    ATEGY

  • 8/3/2019 Kaplan Entering Chile - Timothy Raditya Solichin

    15/24

    Target Santiago

    Over one-third of the Chilean population and 45%of Chiles GDP come from its capital, Santiago16.Therefore, Kaplan will target Santiago for entry,

    with future plans of moving into other densely

    populated cities17.

    Kaplan has used two different entry strategies in the past:

    1. GreenfieldPartnership with Educational institutions

    Kaplan would use current university infrastructure for ESL classes. This is amore cost-efficient option which also allows Kaplan to have a wide reach of

    possible students. However, because of profit sharing with the university,this will be less profitable. Also, with the sharing of computer hardware,

    there is the risk of intellectual property theft from the university.Wholly owned brick-and-mortar

    Self-owned facilities will allow Kaplan to make more profit. Also, a Kaplan-owned storefront will increase the reputation of Kaplan to Chilean consumers;

    companies that own property are seen as more reputable. A Greenfieldoperation will also be a greater investment that holds greater risk.

    2. AcquisitionWhile Kaplan has entered other international markets through acquisition inthe past, the acquisitions were focused on the entry into financial, legal and

    business training industries. The acquisition of an ESL education facility wouldnot be desirable, as ESL companies are heavily defined by intellectual capitaland educational learning programs. The costs of training and implementing a

    Kaplan-style educational program would be considerable.

    What Services to Bring

    Financial services, business and legal training programsChile does not use the US accounting method, GAAP or the USbar exams. Therefore, Kaplans financial and legal trainingprograms will prove largely irrelevant to Chile.

    Test preparation servicesDemand for US standardized test preparation (SAT, ACT, etc) is

    low; the number of Chileans who study internationally in theUSA is low.

    English language study abroadKaplan currently gives Chilean students the opportunity to studyEnglish at English-speaking campuses. However, these servicesare run out of Kaplans Brazil branch.

    ESL in-class and onlineLow English fluency and increasing demand for English-competent workers makes ESL the most desirable service toextend to Chile .

    Chile Population Distribution

    Santiago

    Valparaiso

    Concepcion

    La Serena

    Antofagasta

    Temuco

    Entry Options

    |15

  • 8/3/2019 Kaplan Entering Chile - Timothy Raditya Solichin

    16/24

    WOFEGreenfield

    Total controlAll learning

    No culture clash

    More expensiveSlowRisks

    WOFEAcquisition

    QuickerTake out rivalsTotal control

    Market Access

    RebuildingFinding the right company

    Valuation/PremiumNot a blank sheet

    Sunk costsPolitical risks

    Exporting

    Low cost

    Trade barrierTransportation costs >

    marginNo control of brand

    Licensing

    Low costsLow riskFlexible

    Access to market

    Brand Risk

    JV

    Access to marketShared riskQuicker

    Complement productlines

    Partner conflictOwnership distribution

    problem

    Finding the right partner

    Entry Options

    Looking at 5 possible methods of entry, it is best for Kaplan to enter as a WOFE Greenfield. Although it is more expensive than the other options, due to the

    industry relying more on intellectual property and staff rather than facilities, the start-up costs are mitigated.

    For the Partnership with Educational Institutions options, it would be best to target Chiles Traditional Universities, a group ofpartially government-funded institutions that hold the highest prestige within Chiles domestic universities.Of Traditional Universities that are based within Santiago, there are three choices:

    Universidad de Chile18

    - Founded in 1842, it is the oldest educationalinstitution in Chile.

    - Population: 24235 undergraduate, 6086graduate, 4128 Masters, 930 Doctorate

    - Ranked 6th in Latin-American Universities- Notable alum: 19 Chilean Presidents, Nobel

    Prize winners Gabriela Mistral and PabloNeruda

    - Facilities: 100% Wi Fi coverage and IP phonesystem in all the faculties and institutes;availability of video-conference/streaming

    Pontificia Universidad Catolica de Chile

    - Founded in 1888- Ranked 3rd in Latin America19- Population: 19040 undergraduate, 3808

    graduate, 96812 alum

    - 89% of enrolled students place in top 10%percentile in country

    - Facilities: Four campuses in Santiago, eachequipped with Wi Fi coverage and computerlabs

    Universidad de Santiago de Chile20

    - Formerly known as the State TechnicalUniversity, it is known today as a prestigioustechnical school

    - Focuses on science, technology, and artsand humanities

    |16

  • 8/3/2019 Kaplan Entering Chile - Timothy Raditya Solichin

    17/24

    R

    ECOMMEN

    DATIONS

  • 8/3/2019 Kaplan Entering Chile - Timothy Raditya Solichin

    18/24

  • 8/3/2019 Kaplan Entering Chile - Timothy Raditya Solichin

    19/24

    APPENDIX

  • 8/3/2019 Kaplan Entering Chile - Timothy Raditya Solichin

    20/24

    Assuming certain parameters, it is a realistic estimate that Kaplan can capture 1% of the ESL market from the first year of operations in Chile,

    with future projections of 20% market share in 5 years. Due to the low variable cost and ease of replication of both ESL courses and learning

    materials, Kaplan can have returns within its first year of operation. Kaplan can have $2 million net profit in its first year of operations and $35

    million net profit by the end its fifth year, with the assumption of normal economic growth and 20% market share by the end of 5 years.

    Projected Sales and Income for ESL online courses

    2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

    Market Share 1% 5% 10% 15% 20%

    Sales Volume 1370 6850 13700 20550 27400

    Unit price $1,200 $1,200 $1,200 $1,200 $1,200

    Sales $1,644,000 $8,220,000 $16,440,000 $24,660,000 $32,880,000

    Cost of

    operations

    $50 $68,500 $342,500 $685,000 $1,027,500 $1,370,000

    Excluding

    admin and

    sales

    FC $200,000 $200,000 $200,000 $200,000 $200,000

    TC $268,500 $542,500 $885,000 $1,227,500 $1,570,000

    Gross Profit $1,375,500 $7,677,500 $15,555,000 $23,432,500 $31,310,000

    Administrative

    and sales

    $30 $41,100 $205,500 $411,000 $616,500 $822,000

    Net operating

    Income

    $1,334,400 $7,472,000 $15,144,000 $22,816,000 $30,488,000

    Tax (17%) 226848 1270240 2574480 3878720 5182960

    Income after tax $1,107,552.00 $6,201,760.00 $12,569,520.00 $18,937,280.00 $25,305,040.00

    Exhibit 1: Profitability Analysis

    |20

  • 8/3/2019 Kaplan Entering Chile - Timothy Raditya Solichin

    21/24

    Assumptions on the calculation of profitability analysis:

    - Only in Santiago, population of 5,883,000- The target market is between 10-40 years of age (2,741,395)- The upper 50% of income level in Chile (1,370,697)- Only 10% have the current need and the potential ability to pay Kaplan. This is about 2.3299% of Santiago

    population (137,069 people)

    - Flat tax rate of 17% and there is no change for the next five years18- GDP per capita is adjusted to Santiago, which produces 45% of Chiles GDP- $19887 GDP PPP- Education spending annually on average is $ 1,272 which is about 6.4% of $19,887, assuming similar spending on

    half of which is spent on public institution

    - Chiles Gini index of 52.4 indicates that distribution of income is very uneven. Therefore, it is assumed that thespending capability is likely to be above $1,272

    - Kaplan would want $200 per person monthly and $1200 annually

    Parameters for Profitability Analysis

    |21

  • 8/3/2019 Kaplan Entering Chile - Timothy Raditya Solichin

    22/24

    Exhibit 2: Chiles Import and Export Partners

    Exhibit 3: Income Disparities in Latin American Countries, Compared to Extremity

    |22

  • 8/3/2019 Kaplan Entering Chile - Timothy Raditya Solichin

    23/24

    Exhibit 4: Annual Marketing Budget

    Full time marketing Staff 3*13000 39000

    Online and Print Materials 10,000 10,000

    Incentive Plan for Campus

    Representatives

    1-10 new students $5

    10-30 students $8

    more than 30 students $10

    - The total marketing budget, $50,000, is already included in the fixed cost of Kaplans total budget- Kaplan will engage in lean marketing. Print advertisements and flyers will not be utilized heavily.-

    Kaplan should offer incentive based marketing to university educators in Chile. Teachers who could bring new students toKaplan are given $5-$10 per new student, depending on the number of students

    o For up to 10 students Kaplan would pay $5 per student, for the next 50 students, $8 per student and beyond that$10 per student flat commission rate.

    o This type of incentives will bring each marketing representative $50/month, which is approximately 5% of theirmonthly income. All marketing representatives are part-time positions.

    - The incentive program is included in administrative and sales.- Kaplan will print basic materials for $10,000 annually for posters/ sales materials to be distributed to the region.- This technique is used by Kaplans JV partner in Indonesia22

    |23

  • 8/3/2019 Kaplan Entering Chile - Timothy Raditya Solichin

    24/24

    References

    1US Census Bureau: International Data Base (IDB) - http://www.census.gov/ipc/www/idb/country.php2http://www.usp.ac.fj/worldbank2009/frame/Documents/Publications_regional/324690CL0Human0resources0LCSHD078.pdf3The World Bank Urban Population (%) http://data.worldbank.org/indicator/SP.URB.TOTL.IN.ZS4The World Bank Chile Data http://data.worldbank.org/country/chile5Euromonitor International GMID: Chile Consumer Trends and Lifestyles; Economy, Finance and Trade http://www.portal.euromonitor.com/6http://www.nationsencyclopedia.com/economies/Americas/Chile.html

    7 USTR - Chile: Foreign Barriers - http://www.ustr.gov/sites/default/files/uploads/reports/2009/NTE/asset_upload_file167_15463.pdf8http://www.uis.unesco.org/template/pdf/EducGeneral/Factsheet07_No4_EN.pdf9https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook/geos/ci.html10https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-

    factbook/rankorder/2206rank.html?countryName=Mexico&countryCode=mx&regionCode=na&rank=76#mx11 On the Quality of Private and Public Education: The Case of Chile Juan-Pedro Garces - http://www.econ.uconn.edu/Graduate/CV/JP_Chile.pdf12The World Bank Tertiary Education in Chile

    13 World Bank staff estimates using data from the United Nations Statistics Division's Statistical Yearbook, and the UNESCO Institute for Statisticsonline database. http://stats.uis.unesco.org/unesco/ReportFolders/ReportFolders.aspx?IF_ActivePath=P,50&IF_Language=eng14Kaplan Corporate Brochure 201015Washington Post Company 10K16http://www.citypopulation.de/Chile-Cities.html17http://www.ibm.com/smarterplanet/us/en/smarter_cities/article/santiago.html18 Universidad de Chile official website: http://www.uchile.cl19 Pontificia Universidad Catolica de Chile website: www.uc.cl/english/prospectus/html/factsandfig.html20Universidad de Santiago de Chile: www.usach.cl21http://www.taxrates.cc/html/chile-tax-rates.html22Lilis Setiadi, Associate Director and Head of Sales, Schroder Investment Management (Indonesia)

    |24