kaplan entering chile - timothy raditya solichin
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ENTERING CHILE
Group 8, MW 4 PM
Kevin Song
David Shu
Kayla Wolonsky
Timothy SolichinMalea Malik
Stephanie Tong
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Table of Contents
EXECUTIVE BRIEF 3CHILE COUNTRY ANALYSIS 4
CHILE MARKET ANALYSIS 8COMPANY OVERVIEW 11
ENTRY STRATEGY 14RECOMMENDATIONS 17
APPENDIX 19
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Executive Brief
As a global leader in English Language training, it is imperative that Kaplan have a strong
presence in Latin America. We believe that South America has the highest potential forgrowth and revenue based on Kaplans Core Competencies. Due to the Chilean cultural
emphasis on strong education and low barriers to entry, and due to Kaplans software-
based teaching system, Kaplan should enter Chile as a wholly-owned, greenfield
organization.
Why Latin America?Certain nations within South America have significant economic growth as well as
government stability. These key factors will allow Kaplan to penetrate the market with its
experience in Brazil, Columbia, Panama, and Venezuela. We believe that the next Latin
American country Kaplan should enter is Chile. Because Kaplan already has experience
in South America, it can bring the knowledge it has from those markets to Chile, to work
to their best advantage. Many Latin American markets are similar in many aspects, so
the things that work in those markets will work in Chile, giving Kaplan an advantage over
its competitors.
Why Chile?Chilean education expenditures have increased considerably in the last 5 years, nearly
doubling from 2001 education expenses. The country has a relatively large middle and
upper class, and the population is young, with almost 40% of citizens under the age of
25. A 2004 free trade agreement between the United States and Chile has fed the strong
trade and interaction between the two countries, making English language learning
imperative to younger generations.
The StrategyWhile Kaplan will enter Chile as a wholly-owned institution, Kaplan will be partnering with
local universities for classroom space and other tangible items, as it has done in other
countries. While in Chile, Kaplan will offer ESL programs two different ways: In-classsessions with a licensed professional, and online as a form of independent study.
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CHILECOUNT
RYANALY
SIS
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Why Chile?Chile is an emerging economy with high level of growth potential. Chiles long-standing
relationship with the U.S. and the governments outlook on foreign investment willallow Kaplan, as a U.S. firm, to be welcomed into Chile in offering high quality
education services.
Kaplans various product and service offerings will provide a high level of value toChiles growing education industry. Not only is there great economic growth potential,
but as a fast developing nation, Chiles education industry is rapidly developing andrequires the level of sophistication in education that Kaplan offers.
Chiles focus on improving its education sector through government subsidies willpromote education services from private firms such as Kaplan in increasing English
Learning Programs as well as Higher Education Programs. Kaplan will also find itrelatively unproblematic in replicating its competitive advantage and business model in
Chile which will be further discussed within the report.
Almost 40% of the Chileanpopulation is under the ageof 25. This indicates that thenation is still a developing
country leaning towardmanufacturing and serviceindustries1.
Comparison Between US and ChileEducation Sector
As Chile transitions into a developed nation, the global education standard has shown
promising results in Chile. As Chile develops its education industry, there are similar
characteristics between both Chile and the United States that will allow Kaplan to replicate its
business model and competitive advantage within Chile2.
These similarities are promising for Kaplan as they will be able to bring and build Kaplans
business model that will resemble Kaplans business model within the United States. Despitethe subtle differences that Kaplan must initiate through adaptation, Kaplans strategy of
entering Chile will be reinforced by the similar characteristics of the United States and Chiles
education sector.
Similarities between US and Chile Education Sectors
Highly Subsidized by Government Mandatory Requirements of Primary and Secondary Levels of Education
Highly Subsidized Public Universities High Enrollment Participation of Primary and Secondary Level of Education
25 and under
25 - 45
45 and over
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Macroeconomic Attractiveness
Close Chile-U.S. Relations
Chiles economic ties to the United States enhancthe need for foreign language proficiency and
boost demand for tertiary education that is alignewith international standards. The United States isboth a major supplier and major market (Exhibit1), making English vital to Chiles businessrelations.
Market Structure
Chile has a relatively large, educated middle clas
GDP of $15,500 (2010 est.) Adult literacy is at 920% of the population is disadvantaged (Exhibit 3approximately 12 million people within our poten
Market Accessibility
86% of Chileans live in urban areas, with 40% of tlocated in Santiago. This makes the Chilean capitsite for Kaplan.3
National Economic Growth
Chiles annual real GDP growth rate was -1.5% inexpected to be 3.4% in 2010 as Chile rebounds freconomic downturn.4
e
d
, with a per capita
%, and less than), leavingial target market.
he populational an ideal launch
20094, but isom the global
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Administrative and EconomicSimilarities Will Allow for a SmoothTransition into the Chilean Market
Using the CAGE analysis, it can be seen that the distancebetween Chile and the United States are low on all
dimensions, making Chile a desirable destination forKaplans ESL learning programs5.
Cultural: Medium
Language differences exist, but thisfeeds directly into Kaplans businessmodel
Very traditional society that placesheavy value in education and socialstatus
Significant immigration has created aculturall and racially diverse society
Prejudice based on class status isprevalent in the urban centers inwhich Kaplan would be enteringEducation in Chile is of high standards
Administrative: Low
2004's The United States-Chile FTAsignificantly decreased administrativedistance between US and Chile
Eliminates tariffs and opens markets,reduces barriers for trade in services,provides protection for intellectualproperty, ensures regulatorytransparency, and guarantees non-discrimination in the trade of digitalproducts
Geographic: Low
86% of Chile's population lives inurban areas6
Urbanization will allow Kaplan toquickly and effectively target alarge market without concern oftransportation
Economic: Low
The large middle and significantupper class offers Kaplan amarket income structure verysimilar to that of its other targetmarkets
Barriers to EntryChile has had a long established relationship with the
United States that allows for many businesses, especially
within the services industry to enter into Chile.
Furthermore, the Chile-United States Free Trade
Agreement extensively covers the service industry. These
broad ranges of coverage will be beneficial for Kaplan asthere are no administrative barriers that Kaplan faces in
entering Chile.
Barriers to entry in Chile for the economic sector are
fairly low. However, there are still certain factors that
contribute to some level of difficulty that Kaplan may
face when entering into Chile7:
With the lack of strong IP protection, Kaplan will face
challenges in retaining the brands competitive
advantage, especially within the software market. Kaplan
must focus on offering its services through its
ESL/Education Programs rather than in the form of
Kaplan software programs.
Weak enforcement of Intellectual Property(IP) Protection
Piracy of Kaplan Products and Software Medium Level of Competition in ESL
Programs
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CHILEMARKETANALYSIS
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0.00
1,000,000,000.00
2,000,000,000.00
3,000,000,000.00
4,000,000,000.00
5,000,000,000.00
6,000,000,000.00
7,000,000,000.00
8,000,000,000.00
9,000,000,000.00
10,000,000,000.00
1970
1973
1976
1979
1982
1985
1988
1991
1994
1997
2000
2003
2006
2009
2012
2015
Chile Education Spending in US$13
Chile education Spending in US$
Chile Needs Kaplan to Act as a Leader in the Private Education and ESL Sector, Furthering Their
Current Initiatives
Education spending in Chile is largely privatized,
with private funding making up 48% of total
education spending8. This makes Chile a highly
desirable market for foreign companies.
Government spending on education is relatively low
at 3.3% of GDP9. However, the high level of private
funding makes total spending toward education
6.4% of GDP, comparable to levels reported by
Mexico10. Close to 75% of the total students in Chile
study in private institutions.
Chilean consumersOnly 2% of Chileans graduating from high school speak English well enough to
pursue work or studies in English11.Within the 18-24 age range, around 38% ofChileans are enrolled in tertiary education. Of these students, 55% entered
universities, 26% entered professional institutes, and 18% into technical trainingcenters5.
Students from the richest 40% of households make up 70.2% of studentpopulation in universities, 51.3% in professional institutes, and 45.5% in
technical training centers12.
2011 6,863,317,613.00
2012 7,345,698,983.00
2013 7,861,984,043.00
2014 8,414,555,678.00
2015 9,005,964,254.00
Projected Education
Expenditure in Chile ($US)12
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COMPANY
OVERVIEW
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Expanding Opportunities Worldwide
With an increasing global demand for higher education and English language training, Kaplan International has grown to be one of thelargest providers of academic English language instruction worldwide. Kaplan International institutions give international students theopportunity to experience a Western-style education without leaving the comforts of home. Today, 20% of Kaplans total revenue comes
from its international operations14.
Program Offered
- ESL In-Class- ESL Online (Independent Study)- English language Study Abroad- Test preparation services- Financial services, business and legal training
programs
- Undergraduate and postgraduate degrees, studyabroad
While Kaplans financial services, business and legaltraining programs are highly regarded in Europe andin the Asia Pacific, the majority of Kaplansinternational locations focus on the teaching ofEnglish as a Second Language (ESL)15.
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E
NTRYSTR
ATEGY
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Target Santiago
Over one-third of the Chilean population and 45%of Chiles GDP come from its capital, Santiago16.Therefore, Kaplan will target Santiago for entry,
with future plans of moving into other densely
populated cities17.
Kaplan has used two different entry strategies in the past:
1. GreenfieldPartnership with Educational institutions
Kaplan would use current university infrastructure for ESL classes. This is amore cost-efficient option which also allows Kaplan to have a wide reach of
possible students. However, because of profit sharing with the university,this will be less profitable. Also, with the sharing of computer hardware,
there is the risk of intellectual property theft from the university.Wholly owned brick-and-mortar
Self-owned facilities will allow Kaplan to make more profit. Also, a Kaplan-owned storefront will increase the reputation of Kaplan to Chilean consumers;
companies that own property are seen as more reputable. A Greenfieldoperation will also be a greater investment that holds greater risk.
2. AcquisitionWhile Kaplan has entered other international markets through acquisition inthe past, the acquisitions were focused on the entry into financial, legal and
business training industries. The acquisition of an ESL education facility wouldnot be desirable, as ESL companies are heavily defined by intellectual capitaland educational learning programs. The costs of training and implementing a
Kaplan-style educational program would be considerable.
What Services to Bring
Financial services, business and legal training programsChile does not use the US accounting method, GAAP or the USbar exams. Therefore, Kaplans financial and legal trainingprograms will prove largely irrelevant to Chile.
Test preparation servicesDemand for US standardized test preparation (SAT, ACT, etc) is
low; the number of Chileans who study internationally in theUSA is low.
English language study abroadKaplan currently gives Chilean students the opportunity to studyEnglish at English-speaking campuses. However, these servicesare run out of Kaplans Brazil branch.
ESL in-class and onlineLow English fluency and increasing demand for English-competent workers makes ESL the most desirable service toextend to Chile .
Chile Population Distribution
Santiago
Valparaiso
Concepcion
La Serena
Antofagasta
Temuco
Entry Options
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WOFEGreenfield
Total controlAll learning
No culture clash
More expensiveSlowRisks
WOFEAcquisition
QuickerTake out rivalsTotal control
Market Access
RebuildingFinding the right company
Valuation/PremiumNot a blank sheet
Sunk costsPolitical risks
Exporting
Low cost
Trade barrierTransportation costs >
marginNo control of brand
Licensing
Low costsLow riskFlexible
Access to market
Brand Risk
JV
Access to marketShared riskQuicker
Complement productlines
Partner conflictOwnership distribution
problem
Finding the right partner
Entry Options
Looking at 5 possible methods of entry, it is best for Kaplan to enter as a WOFE Greenfield. Although it is more expensive than the other options, due to the
industry relying more on intellectual property and staff rather than facilities, the start-up costs are mitigated.
For the Partnership with Educational Institutions options, it would be best to target Chiles Traditional Universities, a group ofpartially government-funded institutions that hold the highest prestige within Chiles domestic universities.Of Traditional Universities that are based within Santiago, there are three choices:
Universidad de Chile18
- Founded in 1842, it is the oldest educationalinstitution in Chile.
- Population: 24235 undergraduate, 6086graduate, 4128 Masters, 930 Doctorate
- Ranked 6th in Latin-American Universities- Notable alum: 19 Chilean Presidents, Nobel
Prize winners Gabriela Mistral and PabloNeruda
- Facilities: 100% Wi Fi coverage and IP phonesystem in all the faculties and institutes;availability of video-conference/streaming
Pontificia Universidad Catolica de Chile
- Founded in 1888- Ranked 3rd in Latin America19- Population: 19040 undergraduate, 3808
graduate, 96812 alum
- 89% of enrolled students place in top 10%percentile in country
- Facilities: Four campuses in Santiago, eachequipped with Wi Fi coverage and computerlabs
Universidad de Santiago de Chile20
- Formerly known as the State TechnicalUniversity, it is known today as a prestigioustechnical school
- Focuses on science, technology, and artsand humanities
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R
ECOMMEN
DATIONS
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APPENDIX
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Assuming certain parameters, it is a realistic estimate that Kaplan can capture 1% of the ESL market from the first year of operations in Chile,
with future projections of 20% market share in 5 years. Due to the low variable cost and ease of replication of both ESL courses and learning
materials, Kaplan can have returns within its first year of operation. Kaplan can have $2 million net profit in its first year of operations and $35
million net profit by the end its fifth year, with the assumption of normal economic growth and 20% market share by the end of 5 years.
Projected Sales and Income for ESL online courses
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Market Share 1% 5% 10% 15% 20%
Sales Volume 1370 6850 13700 20550 27400
Unit price $1,200 $1,200 $1,200 $1,200 $1,200
Sales $1,644,000 $8,220,000 $16,440,000 $24,660,000 $32,880,000
Cost of
operations
$50 $68,500 $342,500 $685,000 $1,027,500 $1,370,000
Excluding
admin and
sales
FC $200,000 $200,000 $200,000 $200,000 $200,000
TC $268,500 $542,500 $885,000 $1,227,500 $1,570,000
Gross Profit $1,375,500 $7,677,500 $15,555,000 $23,432,500 $31,310,000
Administrative
and sales
$30 $41,100 $205,500 $411,000 $616,500 $822,000
Net operating
Income
$1,334,400 $7,472,000 $15,144,000 $22,816,000 $30,488,000
Tax (17%) 226848 1270240 2574480 3878720 5182960
Income after tax $1,107,552.00 $6,201,760.00 $12,569,520.00 $18,937,280.00 $25,305,040.00
Exhibit 1: Profitability Analysis
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Assumptions on the calculation of profitability analysis:
- Only in Santiago, population of 5,883,000- The target market is between 10-40 years of age (2,741,395)- The upper 50% of income level in Chile (1,370,697)- Only 10% have the current need and the potential ability to pay Kaplan. This is about 2.3299% of Santiago
population (137,069 people)
- Flat tax rate of 17% and there is no change for the next five years18- GDP per capita is adjusted to Santiago, which produces 45% of Chiles GDP- $19887 GDP PPP- Education spending annually on average is $ 1,272 which is about 6.4% of $19,887, assuming similar spending on
half of which is spent on public institution
- Chiles Gini index of 52.4 indicates that distribution of income is very uneven. Therefore, it is assumed that thespending capability is likely to be above $1,272
- Kaplan would want $200 per person monthly and $1200 annually
Parameters for Profitability Analysis
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Exhibit 2: Chiles Import and Export Partners
Exhibit 3: Income Disparities in Latin American Countries, Compared to Extremity
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Exhibit 4: Annual Marketing Budget
Full time marketing Staff 3*13000 39000
Online and Print Materials 10,000 10,000
Incentive Plan for Campus
Representatives
1-10 new students $5
10-30 students $8
more than 30 students $10
- The total marketing budget, $50,000, is already included in the fixed cost of Kaplans total budget- Kaplan will engage in lean marketing. Print advertisements and flyers will not be utilized heavily.-
Kaplan should offer incentive based marketing to university educators in Chile. Teachers who could bring new students toKaplan are given $5-$10 per new student, depending on the number of students
o For up to 10 students Kaplan would pay $5 per student, for the next 50 students, $8 per student and beyond that$10 per student flat commission rate.
o This type of incentives will bring each marketing representative $50/month, which is approximately 5% of theirmonthly income. All marketing representatives are part-time positions.
- The incentive program is included in administrative and sales.- Kaplan will print basic materials for $10,000 annually for posters/ sales materials to be distributed to the region.- This technique is used by Kaplans JV partner in Indonesia22
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References
1US Census Bureau: International Data Base (IDB) - http://www.census.gov/ipc/www/idb/country.php2http://www.usp.ac.fj/worldbank2009/frame/Documents/Publications_regional/324690CL0Human0resources0LCSHD078.pdf3The World Bank Urban Population (%) http://data.worldbank.org/indicator/SP.URB.TOTL.IN.ZS4The World Bank Chile Data http://data.worldbank.org/country/chile5Euromonitor International GMID: Chile Consumer Trends and Lifestyles; Economy, Finance and Trade http://www.portal.euromonitor.com/6http://www.nationsencyclopedia.com/economies/Americas/Chile.html
7 USTR - Chile: Foreign Barriers - http://www.ustr.gov/sites/default/files/uploads/reports/2009/NTE/asset_upload_file167_15463.pdf8http://www.uis.unesco.org/template/pdf/EducGeneral/Factsheet07_No4_EN.pdf9https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook/geos/ci.html10https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-
factbook/rankorder/2206rank.html?countryName=Mexico&countryCode=mx®ionCode=na&rank=76#mx11 On the Quality of Private and Public Education: The Case of Chile Juan-Pedro Garces - http://www.econ.uconn.edu/Graduate/CV/JP_Chile.pdf12The World Bank Tertiary Education in Chile
13 World Bank staff estimates using data from the United Nations Statistics Division's Statistical Yearbook, and the UNESCO Institute for Statisticsonline database. http://stats.uis.unesco.org/unesco/ReportFolders/ReportFolders.aspx?IF_ActivePath=P,50&IF_Language=eng14Kaplan Corporate Brochure 201015Washington Post Company 10K16http://www.citypopulation.de/Chile-Cities.html17http://www.ibm.com/smarterplanet/us/en/smarter_cities/article/santiago.html18 Universidad de Chile official website: http://www.uchile.cl19 Pontificia Universidad Catolica de Chile website: www.uc.cl/english/prospectus/html/factsandfig.html20Universidad de Santiago de Chile: www.usach.cl21http://www.taxrates.cc/html/chile-tax-rates.html22Lilis Setiadi, Associate Director and Head of Sales, Schroder Investment Management (Indonesia)
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