katarzyna rybka-iwańska vistula university, warsaw jan ......jan 23rd 2018 us-china and...
TRANSCRIPT
![Page 1: Katarzyna Rybka-Iwańska Vistula University, Warsaw Jan ......Jan 23rd 2018 US-China and US-NorthKorea relations US-Russiarelations Brexit, the futureof the EU and the eurozone The](https://reader033.vdocument.in/reader033/viewer/2022051808/600b7a107870cb28e24bf418/html5/thumbnails/1.jpg)
Katarzyna Rybka-IwańskaVistula University, Warsaw
Jan 23rd 2018
![Page 2: Katarzyna Rybka-Iwańska Vistula University, Warsaw Jan ......Jan 23rd 2018 US-China and US-NorthKorea relations US-Russiarelations Brexit, the futureof the EU and the eurozone The](https://reader033.vdocument.in/reader033/viewer/2022051808/600b7a107870cb28e24bf418/html5/thumbnails/2.jpg)
� US-China and US-North Korea relations
� US-Russia relations
� Brexit, the future of the EU and the eurozone
� The war in Syria, Daesh
� Economic expansion and global activity of China ChRL
Today we will reach beyond newspaper and TV
headlines, beyond flashy titles of internet articles, and
even beyond twitter and hashtags.
Katarzyna Rybka-Iwańska http://rybkaiwanska.com 2
![Page 3: Katarzyna Rybka-Iwańska Vistula University, Warsaw Jan ......Jan 23rd 2018 US-China and US-NorthKorea relations US-Russiarelations Brexit, the futureof the EU and the eurozone The](https://reader033.vdocument.in/reader033/viewer/2022051808/600b7a107870cb28e24bf418/html5/thumbnails/3.jpg)
� Are we all going to lose our jobs soon due to robotics
and automatisation?
� Are migrating millennials changing the world for the
better?
� In what kind of cities will our children and
grandchildren (if we decide to have them) grow up and
will we develop and age?
� Will Singapur, Miami and Amsterdam sink?
� Will the world in 10, 20, 50 years be more equal and
more just?
Katarzyna Rybka-Iwańska http://rybkaiwanska.com 3
![Page 4: Katarzyna Rybka-Iwańska Vistula University, Warsaw Jan ......Jan 23rd 2018 US-China and US-NorthKorea relations US-Russiarelations Brexit, the futureof the EU and the eurozone The](https://reader033.vdocument.in/reader033/viewer/2022051808/600b7a107870cb28e24bf418/html5/thumbnails/4.jpg)
2012:- Individual empowerment- Diffusion of power- Demographic patterns- Food, water, energy nexus2017:- How people live- How people create and innovate- How people prosper- How people think- How people govern- How people fight
Katarzyna Rybka-Iwańska http://rybkaiwanska.com 4
Human-centred; individual
empowerment in fullbloom
![Page 5: Katarzyna Rybka-Iwańska Vistula University, Warsaw Jan ......Jan 23rd 2018 US-China and US-NorthKorea relations US-Russiarelations Brexit, the futureof the EU and the eurozone The](https://reader033.vdocument.in/reader033/viewer/2022051808/600b7a107870cb28e24bf418/html5/thumbnails/5.jpg)
� Growth of the global middle class
� Wider access to lethal and disruptive technologies
� Definitive shift of economic power to the East and
South
� Unprecedented and Widespread Aging
� Urbanisation
� Food and water pressures
� US energy independence
Katarzyna Rybka-Iwańska http://rybkaiwanska.com 5
![Page 6: Katarzyna Rybka-Iwańska Vistula University, Warsaw Jan ......Jan 23rd 2018 US-China and US-NorthKorea relations US-Russiarelations Brexit, the futureof the EU and the eurozone The](https://reader033.vdocument.in/reader033/viewer/2022051808/600b7a107870cb28e24bf418/html5/thumbnails/6.jpg)
� National Intelligence Council: Global Trends (2012 and 2017 editions)
� EY – The upside of disruption� PwC: Megatrends – 5 global shifts changing the way we live
and do business� World Economic Forum: Global Risk Report and other
materials� AT Kearney Year-Ahead Predictions 2018� Pew Research Center� International Migration Organisation: Migration in 2030
Agenda� Richard C. Longworth, „On Global Cities”� Time: The Optimists
Katarzyna Rybka-Iwańska http://rybkaiwanska.com 6
![Page 7: Katarzyna Rybka-Iwańska Vistula University, Warsaw Jan ......Jan 23rd 2018 US-China and US-NorthKorea relations US-Russiarelations Brexit, the futureof the EU and the eurozone The](https://reader033.vdocument.in/reader033/viewer/2022051808/600b7a107870cb28e24bf418/html5/thumbnails/7.jpg)
Katarzyna Rybka-Iwańska http://rybkaiwanska.com 7
Source: https://info.publicintelligence.net/GlobalTrends2030.pdf
![Page 8: Katarzyna Rybka-Iwańska Vistula University, Warsaw Jan ......Jan 23rd 2018 US-China and US-NorthKorea relations US-Russiarelations Brexit, the futureof the EU and the eurozone The](https://reader033.vdocument.in/reader033/viewer/2022051808/600b7a107870cb28e24bf418/html5/thumbnails/8.jpg)
� Disruption (more important than „black swans”)
� Resilience
� Agility � technology and business dominate
� Innovation
� Startups
Katarzyna Rybka-Iwańska http://rybkaiwanska.com 8
Source: http://www.ey.com/Publication/vwLUAssets/EY-the-upside-of-disruption/$FILE/EY-the-upside-of-disruption.pdf
The number of media articles mentioning „disruptive innovation” is rising
![Page 9: Katarzyna Rybka-Iwańska Vistula University, Warsaw Jan ......Jan 23rd 2018 US-China and US-NorthKorea relations US-Russiarelations Brexit, the futureof the EU and the eurozone The](https://reader033.vdocument.in/reader033/viewer/2022051808/600b7a107870cb28e24bf418/html5/thumbnails/9.jpg)
� Is the global middle class growing?
� Where will the centres of innovation be located?
� Which economies will grow fastest?
� Will people continue to get out of poverty? If so – will
this process be even and sustainable?
Katarzyna Rybka-Iwańska http://rybkaiwanska.com 9
![Page 10: Katarzyna Rybka-Iwańska Vistula University, Warsaw Jan ......Jan 23rd 2018 US-China and US-NorthKorea relations US-Russiarelations Brexit, the futureof the EU and the eurozone The](https://reader033.vdocument.in/reader033/viewer/2022051808/600b7a107870cb28e24bf418/html5/thumbnails/10.jpg)
Katarzyna Rybka-Iwańska http://rybkaiwanska.com 10
Source: https://www.dni.gov/files/documents/nic/GT-Full-Report.pdf
![Page 11: Katarzyna Rybka-Iwańska Vistula University, Warsaw Jan ......Jan 23rd 2018 US-China and US-NorthKorea relations US-Russiarelations Brexit, the futureof the EU and the eurozone The](https://reader033.vdocument.in/reader033/viewer/2022051808/600b7a107870cb28e24bf418/html5/thumbnails/11.jpg)
Katarzyna Rybka-Iwańska http://rybkaiwanska.com 11
Source: https://www.dni.gov/files/documents/nic/GT-Full-Report.pdf
![Page 12: Katarzyna Rybka-Iwańska Vistula University, Warsaw Jan ......Jan 23rd 2018 US-China and US-NorthKorea relations US-Russiarelations Brexit, the futureof the EU and the eurozone The](https://reader033.vdocument.in/reader033/viewer/2022051808/600b7a107870cb28e24bf418/html5/thumbnails/12.jpg)
Katarzyna Rybka-Iwańska http://rybkaiwanska.com 12
Source: https://info.publicintelligence.net/GlobalTrends2030.pdf
![Page 13: Katarzyna Rybka-Iwańska Vistula University, Warsaw Jan ......Jan 23rd 2018 US-China and US-NorthKorea relations US-Russiarelations Brexit, the futureof the EU and the eurozone The](https://reader033.vdocument.in/reader033/viewer/2022051808/600b7a107870cb28e24bf418/html5/thumbnails/13.jpg)
Katarzyna Rybka-Iwańska http://rybkaiwanska.com 13
Source: http://www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2015/12/14/americas-middle-class-is-shrinking-so-whos-leaving-it/
![Page 14: Katarzyna Rybka-Iwańska Vistula University, Warsaw Jan ......Jan 23rd 2018 US-China and US-NorthKorea relations US-Russiarelations Brexit, the futureof the EU and the eurozone The](https://reader033.vdocument.in/reader033/viewer/2022051808/600b7a107870cb28e24bf418/html5/thumbnails/14.jpg)
Katarzyna Rybka-Iwańska http://rybkaiwanska.com 14
Source: http://www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2015/12/14/americas-middle-class-is-shrinking-so-whos-leaving-it/
![Page 15: Katarzyna Rybka-Iwańska Vistula University, Warsaw Jan ......Jan 23rd 2018 US-China and US-NorthKorea relations US-Russiarelations Brexit, the futureof the EU and the eurozone The](https://reader033.vdocument.in/reader033/viewer/2022051808/600b7a107870cb28e24bf418/html5/thumbnails/15.jpg)
Katarzyna Rybka-Iwańska http://rybkaiwanska.com 15
Source: https://www.dni.gov/files/documents/nic/GT-Full-Report.pdf
![Page 16: Katarzyna Rybka-Iwańska Vistula University, Warsaw Jan ......Jan 23rd 2018 US-China and US-NorthKorea relations US-Russiarelations Brexit, the futureof the EU and the eurozone The](https://reader033.vdocument.in/reader033/viewer/2022051808/600b7a107870cb28e24bf418/html5/thumbnails/16.jpg)
Katarzyna Rybka-Iwańska http://rybkaiwanska.com 16
Source: https://www.mckinsey.com/global-themes/employment-and-growth/poorer-than-their-parents-a-new-perspective-on-income-inequality
![Page 17: Katarzyna Rybka-Iwańska Vistula University, Warsaw Jan ......Jan 23rd 2018 US-China and US-NorthKorea relations US-Russiarelations Brexit, the futureof the EU and the eurozone The](https://reader033.vdocument.in/reader033/viewer/2022051808/600b7a107870cb28e24bf418/html5/thumbnails/17.jpg)
� Where is the number of people growing, where is it
shrinking?
� Where do and will people migrate?
� Will the world, in foreseeable future, become equal for
men and women?
Katarzyna Rybka-Iwańska http://rybkaiwanska.com 17
![Page 18: Katarzyna Rybka-Iwańska Vistula University, Warsaw Jan ......Jan 23rd 2018 US-China and US-NorthKorea relations US-Russiarelations Brexit, the futureof the EU and the eurozone The](https://reader033.vdocument.in/reader033/viewer/2022051808/600b7a107870cb28e24bf418/html5/thumbnails/18.jpg)
Katarzyna Rybka-Iwańska http://rybkaiwanska.com 18
median 2010
Source: https://info.publicintelligence.net/GlobalTrends2030.pdf
![Page 19: Katarzyna Rybka-Iwańska Vistula University, Warsaw Jan ......Jan 23rd 2018 US-China and US-NorthKorea relations US-Russiarelations Brexit, the futureof the EU and the eurozone The](https://reader033.vdocument.in/reader033/viewer/2022051808/600b7a107870cb28e24bf418/html5/thumbnails/19.jpg)
Katarzyna Rybka-Iwańska http://rybkaiwanska.com 19
Forecastedmedian 2030
Source: https://info.publicintelligence.net/GlobalTrends2030.pdf
![Page 20: Katarzyna Rybka-Iwańska Vistula University, Warsaw Jan ......Jan 23rd 2018 US-China and US-NorthKorea relations US-Russiarelations Brexit, the futureof the EU and the eurozone The](https://reader033.vdocument.in/reader033/viewer/2022051808/600b7a107870cb28e24bf418/html5/thumbnails/20.jpg)
Katarzyna Rybka-Iwańska http://rybkaiwanska.com 20
Source: http://www3.weforum.org/docs/Migration_Impact_Cities_report_2017_HR.pdf
The biggest and the
most regular boom is
happening in Africa
![Page 21: Katarzyna Rybka-Iwańska Vistula University, Warsaw Jan ......Jan 23rd 2018 US-China and US-NorthKorea relations US-Russiarelations Brexit, the futureof the EU and the eurozone The](https://reader033.vdocument.in/reader033/viewer/2022051808/600b7a107870cb28e24bf418/html5/thumbnails/21.jpg)
Katarzyna Rybka-Iwańska http://rybkaiwanska.com 21
Source: Richard C. Longworth, „On Global Cities”
![Page 22: Katarzyna Rybka-Iwańska Vistula University, Warsaw Jan ......Jan 23rd 2018 US-China and US-NorthKorea relations US-Russiarelations Brexit, the futureof the EU and the eurozone The](https://reader033.vdocument.in/reader033/viewer/2022051808/600b7a107870cb28e24bf418/html5/thumbnails/22.jpg)
Katarzyna Rybka-Iwańska http://rybkaiwanska.com 22
Source: http://publications.iom.int/system/files/pdf/migration_in_the_2030_agenda.pdf
![Page 23: Katarzyna Rybka-Iwańska Vistula University, Warsaw Jan ......Jan 23rd 2018 US-China and US-NorthKorea relations US-Russiarelations Brexit, the futureof the EU and the eurozone The](https://reader033.vdocument.in/reader033/viewer/2022051808/600b7a107870cb28e24bf418/html5/thumbnails/23.jpg)
Katarzyna Rybka-Iwańska http://rybkaiwanska.com 23
Source: Richard C. Longworth, „On Global Cities”
![Page 24: Katarzyna Rybka-Iwańska Vistula University, Warsaw Jan ......Jan 23rd 2018 US-China and US-NorthKorea relations US-Russiarelations Brexit, the futureof the EU and the eurozone The](https://reader033.vdocument.in/reader033/viewer/2022051808/600b7a107870cb28e24bf418/html5/thumbnails/24.jpg)
Katarzyna Rybka-Iwańska http://rybkaiwanska.com 24
Source: https://www.pwc.com/gx/en/world-2050/assets/pwc-the-world-in-2050-full-report-feb-2017.pdf
![Page 25: Katarzyna Rybka-Iwańska Vistula University, Warsaw Jan ......Jan 23rd 2018 US-China and US-NorthKorea relations US-Russiarelations Brexit, the futureof the EU and the eurozone The](https://reader033.vdocument.in/reader033/viewer/2022051808/600b7a107870cb28e24bf418/html5/thumbnails/25.jpg)
Katarzyna Rybka-Iwańska http://rybkaiwanska.com 25
� Why and what for do people migrate to cities?
� What are megacities?
� What are global cities?
� Are the cities of the future the centres of opportunities or
threats?
![Page 26: Katarzyna Rybka-Iwańska Vistula University, Warsaw Jan ......Jan 23rd 2018 US-China and US-NorthKorea relations US-Russiarelations Brexit, the futureof the EU and the eurozone The](https://reader033.vdocument.in/reader033/viewer/2022051808/600b7a107870cb28e24bf418/html5/thumbnails/26.jpg)
Katarzyna Rybka-Iwańska http://rybkaiwanska.com 26
Source: https://info.publicintelligence.net/GlobalTrends2030.pdf
![Page 27: Katarzyna Rybka-Iwańska Vistula University, Warsaw Jan ......Jan 23rd 2018 US-China and US-NorthKorea relations US-Russiarelations Brexit, the futureof the EU and the eurozone The](https://reader033.vdocument.in/reader033/viewer/2022051808/600b7a107870cb28e24bf418/html5/thumbnails/27.jpg)
Katarzyna Rybka-Iwańska http://rybkaiwanska.com 27
Source: https://info.publicintelligence.net/GlobalTrends2030.pdf
![Page 28: Katarzyna Rybka-Iwańska Vistula University, Warsaw Jan ......Jan 23rd 2018 US-China and US-NorthKorea relations US-Russiarelations Brexit, the futureof the EU and the eurozone The](https://reader033.vdocument.in/reader033/viewer/2022051808/600b7a107870cb28e24bf418/html5/thumbnails/28.jpg)
Katarzyna Rybka-Iwańska http://rybkaiwanska.com 28
Source: https://info.publicintelligence.net/GlobalTrends2030.pdfRichard C. Longworth, „On Global Cities”
![Page 29: Katarzyna Rybka-Iwańska Vistula University, Warsaw Jan ......Jan 23rd 2018 US-China and US-NorthKorea relations US-Russiarelations Brexit, the futureof the EU and the eurozone The](https://reader033.vdocument.in/reader033/viewer/2022051808/600b7a107870cb28e24bf418/html5/thumbnails/29.jpg)
Katarzyna Rybka-Iwańska http://rybkaiwanska.com 29
Source: https://www.dni.gov/files/documents/nic/GT-Full-Report.pdfhttp://www.ey.com/Publication/vwLUAssets/EY-the-upside-of-disruption/$FILE/EY-the-upside-of-disruption.pdf
![Page 30: Katarzyna Rybka-Iwańska Vistula University, Warsaw Jan ......Jan 23rd 2018 US-China and US-NorthKorea relations US-Russiarelations Brexit, the futureof the EU and the eurozone The](https://reader033.vdocument.in/reader033/viewer/2022051808/600b7a107870cb28e24bf418/html5/thumbnails/30.jpg)
Katarzyna Rybka-Iwańska http://rybkaiwanska.com 30
Source: Richard C. Longworth, „On
Global Cities”;
https://www.atkearney.com/docu
ments/10192/12610750/Global+Ci
ties+2017+-
+Leaders+in+a+World+of+Disruptiv
e+Innovation.pdf/c00b71dd-18ab-
4d6b-8ae6-526e380d6cc4
![Page 31: Katarzyna Rybka-Iwańska Vistula University, Warsaw Jan ......Jan 23rd 2018 US-China and US-NorthKorea relations US-Russiarelations Brexit, the futureof the EU and the eurozone The](https://reader033.vdocument.in/reader033/viewer/2022051808/600b7a107870cb28e24bf418/html5/thumbnails/31.jpg)
Katarzyna Rybka-Iwańska http://rybkaiwanska.com 31
� Will we all lose jobs? If so – why?
� Why do humans need robots?
� What are the most demanded talents?
� Will women empowerment succeed in global labour markets?
![Page 32: Katarzyna Rybka-Iwańska Vistula University, Warsaw Jan ......Jan 23rd 2018 US-China and US-NorthKorea relations US-Russiarelations Brexit, the futureof the EU and the eurozone The](https://reader033.vdocument.in/reader033/viewer/2022051808/600b7a107870cb28e24bf418/html5/thumbnails/32.jpg)
Katarzyna Rybka-Iwańska http://rybkaiwanska.com 32
Source:
http://www3.weforum.org/docs/WEF_F
uture_of_Jobs.pdf
![Page 33: Katarzyna Rybka-Iwańska Vistula University, Warsaw Jan ......Jan 23rd 2018 US-China and US-NorthKorea relations US-Russiarelations Brexit, the futureof the EU and the eurozone The](https://reader033.vdocument.in/reader033/viewer/2022051808/600b7a107870cb28e24bf418/html5/thumbnails/33.jpg)
Katarzyna Rybka-Iwańska http://rybkaiwanska.com 33
Source:
http://www3.weforum.org/docs/WE
F_Future_of_Jobs.pdf
![Page 34: Katarzyna Rybka-Iwańska Vistula University, Warsaw Jan ......Jan 23rd 2018 US-China and US-NorthKorea relations US-Russiarelations Brexit, the futureof the EU and the eurozone The](https://reader033.vdocument.in/reader033/viewer/2022051808/600b7a107870cb28e24bf418/html5/thumbnails/34.jpg)
Katarzyna Rybka-Iwańska http://rybkaiwanska.com 34
Source: https://www.weforum.org/agenda/2018/01/the-four-superpowers-shaping-our-world/
The biggestdynamics
![Page 35: Katarzyna Rybka-Iwańska Vistula University, Warsaw Jan ......Jan 23rd 2018 US-China and US-NorthKorea relations US-Russiarelations Brexit, the futureof the EU and the eurozone The](https://reader033.vdocument.in/reader033/viewer/2022051808/600b7a107870cb28e24bf418/html5/thumbnails/35.jpg)
Katarzyna Rybka-Iwańska http://rybkaiwanska.com 35
Source:
http://www.ey.com/Publication/vw
LUAssets/EY-the-upside-of-
disruption/$FILE/EY-the-upside-of-
disruption.pdf
![Page 36: Katarzyna Rybka-Iwańska Vistula University, Warsaw Jan ......Jan 23rd 2018 US-China and US-NorthKorea relations US-Russiarelations Brexit, the futureof the EU and the eurozone The](https://reader033.vdocument.in/reader033/viewer/2022051808/600b7a107870cb28e24bf418/html5/thumbnails/36.jpg)
Katarzyna Rybka-Iwańska http://rybkaiwanska.com 36
Source:
http://www3.weforum.org/docs/WE
F_Future_of_Jobs.pdf
![Page 37: Katarzyna Rybka-Iwańska Vistula University, Warsaw Jan ......Jan 23rd 2018 US-China and US-NorthKorea relations US-Russiarelations Brexit, the futureof the EU and the eurozone The](https://reader033.vdocument.in/reader033/viewer/2022051808/600b7a107870cb28e24bf418/html5/thumbnails/37.jpg)
Katarzyna Rybka-Iwańska http://rybkaiwanska.com 37
Source:
http://www3.weforum.org/docs/WE
F_Future_of_Jobs.pdf
![Page 38: Katarzyna Rybka-Iwańska Vistula University, Warsaw Jan ......Jan 23rd 2018 US-China and US-NorthKorea relations US-Russiarelations Brexit, the futureof the EU and the eurozone The](https://reader033.vdocument.in/reader033/viewer/2022051808/600b7a107870cb28e24bf418/html5/thumbnails/38.jpg)
Katarzyna Rybka-Iwańska http://rybkaiwanska.com 38
Źródło: http://www3.weforum.org/docs/WEF_Future_of_Jobs.pdf
![Page 39: Katarzyna Rybka-Iwańska Vistula University, Warsaw Jan ......Jan 23rd 2018 US-China and US-NorthKorea relations US-Russiarelations Brexit, the futureof the EU and the eurozone The](https://reader033.vdocument.in/reader033/viewer/2022051808/600b7a107870cb28e24bf418/html5/thumbnails/39.jpg)
Katarzyna Rybka-Iwańska http://rybkaiwanska.com 39
Source:
http://www.pewsocialtrends.o
rg/2016/10/06/the-state-of-
american-jobs/
![Page 40: Katarzyna Rybka-Iwańska Vistula University, Warsaw Jan ......Jan 23rd 2018 US-China and US-NorthKorea relations US-Russiarelations Brexit, the futureof the EU and the eurozone The](https://reader033.vdocument.in/reader033/viewer/2022051808/600b7a107870cb28e24bf418/html5/thumbnails/40.jpg)
Katarzyna Rybka-Iwańska http://rybkaiwanska.com 40
Source:
http://www.pewsocialtrends.org
/2016/10/06/the-state-of-
american-jobs/
![Page 41: Katarzyna Rybka-Iwańska Vistula University, Warsaw Jan ......Jan 23rd 2018 US-China and US-NorthKorea relations US-Russiarelations Brexit, the futureof the EU and the eurozone The](https://reader033.vdocument.in/reader033/viewer/2022051808/600b7a107870cb28e24bf418/html5/thumbnails/41.jpg)
Katarzyna Rybka-Iwańska http://rybkaiwanska.com 41
Source: https://www.atkearney.com/web/global-
business-policy-council/article?/a/year-ahead-
predictions-2018
![Page 42: Katarzyna Rybka-Iwańska Vistula University, Warsaw Jan ......Jan 23rd 2018 US-China and US-NorthKorea relations US-Russiarelations Brexit, the futureof the EU and the eurozone The](https://reader033.vdocument.in/reader033/viewer/2022051808/600b7a107870cb28e24bf418/html5/thumbnails/42.jpg)
Katarzyna Rybka-Iwańska http://rybkaiwanska.com 42
![Page 43: Katarzyna Rybka-Iwańska Vistula University, Warsaw Jan ......Jan 23rd 2018 US-China and US-NorthKorea relations US-Russiarelations Brexit, the futureof the EU and the eurozone The](https://reader033.vdocument.in/reader033/viewer/2022051808/600b7a107870cb28e24bf418/html5/thumbnails/43.jpg)
http://rybkaiwanska.com
https://www.linkedin.com/in/katarzyna-rybka-iwanska/
@rybkaiwanska
Katarzyna Rybka-Iwańska http://rybkaiwanska.com 43