kone q4 2019€¦ · 1-12/2019 income statement eur 0.1 million positive impact on ebit in...
TRANSCRIPT
Q4 2019 Highlights
▪ Continued good growth in all
regions and all businesses
▪ Improved adjusted EBIT margin
▪ Important strategic milestone:
launch of DX Class elevators
▪ Dividend proposal EUR 1.70
per class B share
January 28, 2020 Results presentation for 2019 | © KONE Corporation3
SOLID SALES GROWTH AND IMPROVED MARGIN
Q4/2019 Key figures
Q4/2019 Q4/2018 ChangeComparable
change
Orders received MEUR 1,988.3 1,937.9 2.6 % 0.7 %
Order book MEUR 8,051.5 7,950.7 1.3 % -0.6 %
Sales MEUR 2,684.6 2,443.4 9.9 % 7.9 %
Operating income (EBIT) MEUR 356.4 292.5 21.8 %
Operating income margin (EBIT %) % 13.3 12.0
Adjusted EBIT MEUR 367.5 319.6 15.0 %
Adjusted EBIT margin % 13.7 13.1
Cash flow from operations
(before financing items and taxes)MEUR 385.7 331.6
0.54 0.45Basic earnings per share EUR
January 28, 2020 Results presentation for 2019 | © KONE Corporation4
SOLID EARNINGS GROWTH WITH STRONG CASH CONVERSION
1-12/2019 Key figures
1-12/2019 1-12/2018 ChangeComparable
change
Orders received MEUR 8,399.8 7,797.0 7.7 % 5.9 %
Order book MEUR 8,051.5 7,950.7 1.3 % -0.6 %
Sales MEUR 9,981.8 9,070.7 10.0 % 8.2 %
Operating income (EBIT) MEUR 1,192.5 1,042.4 14.4 %
Operating income margin (EBIT %) % 11.9 11.5
Adjusted EBIT MEUR 1,237.4 1,112.1 11.3 %
Adjusted EBIT margin % 12.4 12.3
Cash flow from operations
(before financing items and taxes)MEUR 1,549.6 1,150.1
1.80 1.63Basic earnings per share EUR
January 28, 2020 Results presentation for 2019 | © KONE Corporation5
▪ Customer focus and continued investments in
differentiation drive improved margins and value per
unit
– New services and solutions
– KONE’s reputation as a reliable partner
▪ Opening of the new factory in Chennai, India
▪ Recognition for continuous improvements in
sustainability
– CDP A
– Global 100 most sustainable corporations - Corporate
Knights
Winning with Customers is taking us towards our strategic targetsBUSINESS HIGHLIGHTS IN 2019
New equipment ordersunits
Maintenance basemillions of units
0
50 000
100 000
150 000
200 000
20122011 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
~166k ~173k
4%
0,0
0,5
1,0
1,5
2017201420122011 2013 2015 2016 2018 2019
~1.3 >1.3
5%
Growth in service
sales*, MEUR
7%
Growth in new
equipment
orders*, MEUR
6%
* At comp. FX, service sales includes maintenance and modernization
KONE DX ClassA NEW ERA FOR ELEVATORS – UPGRADEABLE SOLUTION THROUGHOUT THE LIFECYCLE OF A BUILDING
Create value with connected
people flow solutions
Connecting elevators with new
services using KONE’s digital
platform and secure APIs
Partner for
smarter buildings
Next-generation planning tools,
sustainable materials and expert
support in building smarter and
greener and keeping projects on
track
Differentiating with a
redefined user experience
Customizable, multisensory
experiences and enhancements like
anti-stain, -scratch and -bacterial
surfaces materials
January 28, 2020 Results presentation for 2019 | © KONE Corporation7
Split-adjusted dividend per class B shareEUR, 2006-2019
▪ Dividend payout in
2019: 94% of earnings
per share
▪ Effective dividend
yield, 2019: 2.9%
Adjusted for share splits in 2008 (1:2) and 2013 (1:2)* Board’s proposal
Dividend proposal: EUR 1.70 per class B share
0.330.25
1.70
1.20
2006
0.75
0.330.33
2007
1.55
2008
0.33
2009
0.45
2010
0.70
2011
0.88
0.65
2012
1.00
2013 2014
1.40
2015 2016
1.65
2017
1.65
2018 2019*
Ordinary dividend
Extraordinary dividend
+16%
January 28, 2020 Results presentation for 2019 | © KONE Corporation9
NEW EQUIPMENT MARKET GREW SLIGHTLY
New equipment market development in Q4/2019
EMEA market Asia-Pacific marketNorth American market
>2/3 of
global
market
(in units)
~20% of
global
market
(in units)
<5% of
global
market
(in units)
Stable
▪ Market was stable on a high
level
▪ Market grew slightly with mixed
development across the
different countries
▪ In China, the market grew
slightly in units
▪ In the rest of Asia-Pacific, the
new equipment market returned
to slight growth
- - - Significant decline (>10 %), - - Clear decline (5-10 %), - Slight decline (<5 %), Stable, + Slight growth (<5 %), + + Clear growth (5-10 %), + + + Significant growth (>10 %). Based on KONE’s estimate.
+ +
January 28, 2020 Results presentation for 2019 | © KONE Corporation10
CONTINUED POSITIVE DEVELOPMENT
Service market development in Q4/2019
North American market
<10% of
global market
(in units)
+ +Maintenance Modernization
>25% of
global market
(in monetary value)
EMEA market
~40% of
global market
(in units)
Maintenance
+ +
>1/3 of
global market
(in monetary value)
Modernization
Asia-Pacific market
>40% of
global market
(in units)
>15% of
global market
(in monetary value)
++ +++Maintenance Modernization
- - - Significant decline (>10 %), - - Clear decline (5-10 %), - Slight decline (<5 %), Stable, + Slight growth (<5 %), + + Clear growth (5-10 %), + + + Significant growth (>10 %). Based on KONE’s estimate.
January 28, 2020 Results presentation for 2019 | © KONE Corporation11
GOVERNMENT CONTINUES TO BALANCE BETWEEN SUPPORTING THE ECONOMY AND RESTRICTIONS IN THE RESIDENTIAL MARKET
Chinese property market in Q4/2019
▪ In units ordered, the new equipment market grew slightly y-o-y
▪ Pricing environment was fairly stable
▪ Government continued to support the economic activity through infrastructure investments
while maintaining restrictions in the residential market
▪ Construction activity stayed at a high level
▪ Improved liquidity situation in the market towards the end of the year
▪ Real estate investment +7.3% y-o-y in December
▪ Residential sales volume +0.1% y-o-y and new starts +8.3% y-o-y in Q4
▪ New home prices in the 70 biggest cities +6.8% y-o-y in December
▪ Consolidation among property developers continues
January 28, 202013
MEUR
CONTINUED CLEAR GROWTH IN THE VOLUME BUSINESS, LESS MAJOR PROJECT ORDERS IN Q4
▪ In Q4, the margin of
orders received
improved slightly
Orders received
3,000
2,000
0
5,000
1,000
4,000
7,000
6,000
8,000
9,000
2018201720112010 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
1,938
1,988
2019
Q4 growth
2.6%
37
Gro
wth
at
co
mp
. F
X
Q4
/20
18
FX
Q4
/20
19
1,938
1,988
0.7%
2019 growth
7.7%
Results presentation for 2019 | © KONE Corporation
January 28, 202014
MEUR
STRONG SALES GROWTH IN ALL BUSINESSES
KONE has applied new IFRS 15 and IFRS 9 standards from January 1, 2018 onwards and 2017 financials are restated retrospectively. Figures for 2010-2016 are not restated and thus not fully comparable.
Sales
7,000
4,000
0
5,000
8,000
1,000
3,000
2,000
6,000
9,000
10,000
2,443
20132010
2,685
2011 2012 201920152014 2016 2017 2018
Q4 growth
9.9%
44
2,685
Q4
/20
19
New
equ
ipm
ent
Q4
/20
18
Ma
inte
nan
ce
Mo
de
rniz
atio
n
FX
2,443
Growth at comp. FX
7.9%
8.7%
6.0%
9.5%
EMEA 8.0%
APAC 5.4%
Americas 12.7%
Results presentation for 2019 | © KONE Corporation
2019 growth
10.0%
January 28, 2020 Results presentation for 2019 | © KONE Corporation15
Adjusted EBIT* and adjusted EBIT marginMEUR; %
STRONG PROFITABLE GROWTH
▪ In Q4, restructuring
costs related to the
Accelerate program:
EUR 11.1 million
* Adjusted EBIT was introduced in September 2017. Adjusted EBIT excludes restructuring costs related to the Accelerate program** KONE has applied new IFRS 15 and IFRS 9 standards from January 1, 2018 onwards and 2017 financials are restated retrospectively. Figures for 2010-2016 are not restated and thus not fully comparable.KONE has adopted the new IFRS 16 effective January 1, 2019 using the modified retrospective approach and the comparative figures have not been restated..
Adjusted EBIT
320
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
0
200
600
1,200
800
400
1,400
1,000
2010 2011 2012 20192013 2014 2015 2017**2016
13.1%
2018
367
13.7%
Q4 growth
15.0%
8
Gro
wth
Q4
/20
18
Pro
fita
bili
ty
FX
IFR
S 1
6
Q4
/20
19
367
3202019 growth
11.3%
Q4 adj.
EBIT margin
0.1
January 28, 2020 Results presentation for 2019 | © KONE Corporation16
Cash flow from operations*MEUR
STRONG CASH CONVERSION
▪ Net working capital
contributed positively
to the cash flow in
1-12/2019, driven by
strong development in
advances received and
progress payments
▪ Adoption of IFRS 16
had a positive impact
of EUR 119 million on
cash flow from
operations* in
1-12/2019
* Before financing items and taxes
Cash flow
332
386
600
0
200
400
800
1,200
1,000
1,400
1,600
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
1,150
1,550
Market outlook for 2020
New equipment markets
▪ The new equipment market is expected to be relatively stable or to grow
slightly. However, the coronavirus outbreak creates uncertainty to the
outlook
▪ In China, the market is expected to be relatively stable or to grow slightly,
while in the rest of the Asia-Pacific, the market is expected to grow slightly
▪ The new equipment markets in North America and the Europe, Middle East
and Africa region are expected to be rather stable
Maintenance markets
▪ Maintenance markets are expected to see the strongest growth rate in Asia-
Pacific and to grow slightly in other regions
Modernization markets
▪ The modernization market is expected to grow slightly in North America and
in the Europe, Middle East and Africa region and to develop strongly in Asia-
PacificJanuary 28, 202018
January 28, 2020 Results presentation for 2019 | © KONE Corporation19
Sales
▪ In 2020, KONE’s sales is estimated to grow by
0–6% at comparable exchange rates as
compared to 2019
Adjusted EBIT
▪ The adjusted EBIT is expected to be in the range
of EUR 1,250–1,400 million, assuming that
foreign exchange rates would remain at the
January 2020 level. Foreign exchange rates are
estimated to impact EBIT positively by around
EUR 15 million
Business outlook for 2020
Burdening our resultBoosting our performance
Labor and
subcontracting cost
increases
Investing in our
capability to sell and
deliver digital services
and solutions
Impact of coronavirus
outbreak
Improved margin of
orders received
Services business
growth
Accelerate savings
(MEUR ~50)
Summary
▪ Strategy execution on track –
strong competitiveness
▪ Continued profitable growth
expected in 2020
▪ We continue to invest in
renewing ourselves to be able
to deliver better outcomes to
our customers every day
By business By area
January 28, 2020 Results presentation for 2019 | © KONE Corporation23
1-12/2018 figures in brackets. Figures in charts are rounded and at historical exchange rates.
1-12/2019 Sales split
53%
(53%)32%
(33%)
15%
(14%)
39%
(38%)
41%
(42%)
21%
(20%)
New equipment
Modernization
Maintenance
Asia-Pacific
EMEA (Europe, Middle East and Africa)
Americas
January 28, 2020 Results presentation for 2019 | © KONE Corporation24
IMPACT IN Q4 AND 2019
IFRS 16
Balance sheet
▪ EUR 358 million increase in the 2019
opening interest-bearing debt
▪ EUR 83 million increase in capital
expenditure on lease agreements in
1-12/2019
Income statement
▪ EUR 0.1 million positive impact on
EBIT in 10-12/2019. In 1-12/2019, the
positive impact was EUR 6 million
▪ EUR 3 million increase in financing
expenses in 10-12/2019. In
1-12/2019, the increase was EUR 11
million
Cash flow statement
▪ EUR 32 million positive impact on cash
flow from operations (before financing
items and taxes) in 10-12/2019. In 1-
12/2019, the positive impact was EUR
119 million
▪ EUR 3 million negative impact on cash
flow from financing items and taxes in
10-12/2019. In 1-12/2019, the negative
impact was EUR 11 million
▪ EUR 29 million negative impact on
cash flow from financing activities in
10-12/2019. In 1-12/2019, the negative
impact was EUR 108 million
New equipment marketNew equipment orders received in units vs. market development
China’s share of KONE’s orders received and salesMonetary value
January 28, 2020 Results presentation for 2019 | © KONE Corporation25
KONE in China
-5
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
Q2/
2019
2006-
2014
CAGR
20182015 Q3/
2019
2016 2017 Q1/
2019
Q4/
2019
>35%
<20%
<5%>5%
~-5%
<5%
~5%
<5%
>10%
<5%
>10%
<5%
-<5%
<5%
KONE
Market>30%
1-12/2018 1-12/2019
<35%<30%
1-12/2018
>25%
1-12/2019
% of sales% of orders received
~-5%
stable
The market grew slightly in units
New equipment orders declined
slightly in units and grew clearly
in monetary value
January 28, 2020 Results presentation for 2019 | © KONE Corporation26
Housing inventoriesNewly built area for sale / monthly sales 3-m MVA
Housing salesSales area growth, change Y-o-Y
E&E market
Sources: China NBS, E-house, CREIS, KONE estimates
Chinese property market
11,9%
8,9%
24,1%
0
10
20
30
40
50
Q3
18
Q1
17
Q3
15
Q1
15
Q1
16
Q3
16
Q3
19
Q3
17
Q1
18
Q1
19
Tier-1
Tier-2
sample of lower tier cities
12/2019:
-1,7%
-20
0
20
40
60
Q1
15
Q3
16
Q3
15
Q1
17
Q1
16
Q3
17
Q1
18
Q3
18
Q1
19
Q3
19
12/2019: 8,2%
-10
0
10
20
30
Q1
16
Q1
18
Q1
15
Q3
16
Q3
15
Q1
17
Q3
18
Q3
17
Q1
19
Q3
19
E&E market Y-o-Y in units
REI Y-o-Y
Q4/2019:
Sales area growth
Slight
growth
Sales by currencies 1-12/2019 Currency impact
January 28, 2020 Results presentation for 2019 | © KONE Corporation27
Currencies
Main currencies
EUR
RMB
USD
Others
MEUR Q4/2019 1-12/2019
Sales 44 153
EBIT 8 23
Orders
received37 134
2019
average
2018
average
Dec 31,
2019 spot
EUR /
RMB7.7353 7.8148 7.8205
EUR /
USD1.1214 1.1809 1.1234
EUR /
GBP0.8773 0.8861 0.8508
EUR /
AUD1.6090 1.5794 1.5995
Balance sheet – assets employed
January 28, 2020 Results presentation for 2019 | © KONE Corporation28
MEUR Dec 31, 2019 Dec 31, 2018
Assets employed
Goodwill 1,366.5 1,333.4
Other intangible assets 248.2 260.2
Tangible assets 742.2 397.4
Investments 139.2 143.3
Net working capital -856.0 -757.8
Assets employed total 1,640.0 1,376.6
Financed by
Equity 3,192.9 3,080.6
Net debt -1,552.9 -1,704.0
Equity and net debt total 1,640.0 1,376.6
The adoption of IFRS 16 increased the 2019 opening tangible assets and interest-bearing net debt by EUR 358 million
Net working capital
January 28, 2020 Results presentation for 2019 | © KONE Corporation29
MEURDec 31, 2019 Dec 31, 2018
Net working capital
Inventories 648.6 624.1
Advance payments received and deferred revenue -1,753.8 -1,562.2
Accounts receivable 2,232.3 1,988.3
Other non-interest-bearing assets 669.6 660.5
Other non-interest-bearing liabilities -1,848.0 -1,647.3
Provisions -127.1 -139.4
Accounts payable -809.8 -786.7
Net deferred tax assets / liabilities 132.1 105.0
Net working capital total -856.0 -757.8
Consolidated statement of cash flows
January 28, 2020 Results presentation for 2019 | © KONE Corporation30
MEUR 1-12/2019 1-12/2018
Operating income 1,192.5 1,042.4
Change in working capital before financing items and taxes 115.7 -11.2
Depreciation and amortization 241.5 118.9
Cash flow from operations before financing items and
taxes1,549.6 1,150.1
Financing items and taxes -279.9 -180.2
Cash flow from operating activities 1,269.7 969.8
Investing activities -121.8 -121.1
Purchase of own shares - -
Increase in equity (option rights) 37.5 23.1
Profit distribution -851.7 -849.2
Changes in non-controlling interest -3.7 -3.1
Free cash flow 330.0 19.6The adoption of IFRS 16 had a positive impact of EUR 119 million on cash flow from operations before financing items and taxes