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Land Certification in Ethiopia: Process and Evidence on Impact: Some Preliminary Findings Presentation by Stein Holden Norwegian University of Life Sciences Email: [email protected]

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Page 1: Land Certification in Ethiopia: Process and Evidence on Impact: Some Preliminary Findings Presentation by Stein Holden Norwegian University of Life Sciences

Land Certification in Ethiopia: Process and Evidence on Impact:

Some Preliminary FindingsPresentation by

Stein Holden

Norwegian University of Life Sciences

Email: [email protected]

Page 2: Land Certification in Ethiopia: Process and Evidence on Impact: Some Preliminary Findings Presentation by Stein Holden Norwegian University of Life Sciences

Background• This ongoing research is based on collaboration between

Norwegian University of Life Sciences, Mekelle University, Tigray, Ethiopia, and The World Bank.

• Panel Data Collection: Funding from Research Council of Norway, Norwegian Ministry of Foreign Affairs, NORAD, and the Norwegian Trust Fund (project with Klaus Deininger).

• I am here only able to present preliminary findings as all data from the last survey round have not been entered and cleaned yet. It is this last round that focuses explicitely on land certification, land disputes, and impacts.

• Better analyses will come in the near future.

Page 3: Land Certification in Ethiopia: Process and Evidence on Impact: Some Preliminary Findings Presentation by Stein Holden Norwegian University of Life Sciences

Ethiopia• All land is state owned

– Land used as a safety net in the past; all residents in a community had the right to get land for free, this was ensured through local land redistributions

• Individual households are given user rights– Includes rights to bequeth, inherit, rent out, invest– No right to sell– Responsibility for land conservation

• Land certification started first in Tigray in 1998 (80% completed before war with Eritrea started)

• Land certification started in 2003-2005 in other regions of Ethiopia

• Each region has its own Land Proclamation in addition to the Federal Land Proclamation

Page 4: Land Certification in Ethiopia: Process and Evidence on Impact: Some Preliminary Findings Presentation by Stein Holden Norwegian University of Life Sciences

Conceptual model for land rights projectRegional Land

Proclamation andImplementation Rules

Land Registration andCertification

Implementation

Federal Government

Regional Government

Federal Land Proclamation

DonorsResources

Community Conditions Before Land Reform

Poor People’s Individual and

Collective Assets andCapabilities

PovertyReduction

Markets

Impacts:a) Land Disputesb) Land Marketsc) Land Investmentsd) Women’s

Empowerment

Page 5: Land Certification in Ethiopia: Process and Evidence on Impact: Some Preliminary Findings Presentation by Stein Holden Norwegian University of Life Sciences

Location of fieldwork 2006

• Tigray, Ethiopia– Cooperation with Mekelle University– Build on earlier fieldswork: Panel data survey

• 400 + 260 households in 16 communities• Surveyed in 1998, 2001, 2003 and 2006

– Household and farm plot level data

– New in 2006:• Survey of woreda (district) court files related to land disputes:

– Pattern of disputes over time: number and composition

• Added two villages with more households without certificates• Physical measurement of farm plots

Page 6: Land Certification in Ethiopia: Process and Evidence on Impact: Some Preliminary Findings Presentation by Stein Holden Norwegian University of Life Sciences

Map of Ethiopia

Page 7: Land Certification in Ethiopia: Process and Evidence on Impact: Some Preliminary Findings Presentation by Stein Holden Norwegian University of Life Sciences
Page 8: Land Certification in Ethiopia: Process and Evidence on Impact: Some Preliminary Findings Presentation by Stein Holden Norwegian University of Life Sciences

Land certificates in Tigray

• Simple one-page certificates– Name of head of hh

(husband not wife usually)

– Name, size and location of plots and names of neighbours

Page 9: Land Certification in Ethiopia: Process and Evidence on Impact: Some Preliminary Findings Presentation by Stein Holden Norwegian University of Life Sciences

Implementation of land registration and certification in Tigray

• Implemented in 1998:– Focused on cultivated land only– Low-cost approach: used unexperienced students, caused

many errors due to lack of experience, these resulted in conflicts in some cases

– Revealed unclear borders: Conflict cases that had to be solved

– High speed– Implemented as a one-time exercise. Very limited

updating of registries afterwards. – New effort started in 2005 with establishment of

EPLAUA offices at woreda (district) level and Land Administration Committees at tabia (community) level

Page 10: Land Certification in Ethiopia: Process and Evidence on Impact: Some Preliminary Findings Presentation by Stein Holden Norwegian University of Life Sciences

Key Research Questions and Hypotheses 11. What are the impacts on tenure security among

farm households in Tigray? Our hypothesesa. Land certificates have improved the feeling of tenure

security.

b. Land certificates are considered to reduce the probability of losing land through land redistribution or land takings.

c. There is a positive willingness to pay for a new land certificate in case it is lost or if they do not have one.

d. There is a positive willingness to pay for a new land certificate with maps of the plots of land.

Page 11: Land Certification in Ethiopia: Process and Evidence on Impact: Some Preliminary Findings Presentation by Stein Holden Norwegian University of Life Sciences

Key Research Questions and Hypotheses 2

2. How good is the knowledge of the law?a. Specific knowledge of the law is limited, vs.

b. The level of knowledge and participation is high in Tigray.

c. Knowledge of women is poorer than that of men, vs.

d. Knowledge of women in Tigray is good as they are used to actively participate in meetings and committees.

e. Knowledge is particularly poor related to recent changes in the law.

f. Knowledge of the law is poorer when it comes to regulations that deviate from local customary rules.

Page 12: Land Certification in Ethiopia: Process and Evidence on Impact: Some Preliminary Findings Presentation by Stein Holden Norwegian University of Life Sciences

Key Research Questions and Hypotheses 3

3. What are the effects on women’s land rights and participation in the process?

a. The land certification has weakened women’s land rights because their names are not included on the land certificates, vs.

b. Women traditionally have a strong position in Tigray and their land rights are not affected negatively by their names not appearing on the certificates.

c. Women did not participate in meetings related to the land registration and certification process and women do not have positions in the local land administration committees, vs.

d. Women in Tigray are active in meetings and also participate in the local land administrative committees.

Page 13: Land Certification in Ethiopia: Process and Evidence on Impact: Some Preliminary Findings Presentation by Stein Holden Norwegian University of Life Sciences

Key Research Questions and Hypotheses 4

4. What are effects on the extent and composition of land disputes in Tigray?

a. Land registration and certification has reduced the total number of land-related disputes.

b. The land registration process has particularly reduced the amount of border disputes through better demarcation of plot borders during the process.

c. The registration process has had a larger positive effect in terms or reduced border disputes in areas where such borders were poorly demarcated from before.

d. The number of disputes will increase again as time goes from the land registration and certification took place.

Page 14: Land Certification in Ethiopia: Process and Evidence on Impact: Some Preliminary Findings Presentation by Stein Holden Norwegian University of Life Sciences

Key Research Questions and Hypotheses 5

5. How has land certification affected the land rental market?a. Land certification has reduced the transaction costs in the land

rental market.

b. Land certification has made potential landlords more willing to rent out their land because they feel more tenure secure.

c. There is a demand for more long-term land rental contracts.

d. There is a demand for registration of land rental contracts (formal written contracts).

e. There is lack of knowledge about the law regarding registration of rental contracts.

Page 15: Land Certification in Ethiopia: Process and Evidence on Impact: Some Preliminary Findings Presentation by Stein Holden Norwegian University of Life Sciences

Question Response Zone All

Central Eastern Southern WesternFear of loss of land

Yes 56 45 42 61 204

No 43 54 58 38 193Does the fear affect land management?

Yes 3 8 20 13 44

Land conflicts solved in a good way?

No 0 1 10 25 36

Violations of land use restrictions common?

Yes 0 0 4 0 4

Land tenure insecurityLand tenure insecurity

Page 16: Land Certification in Ethiopia: Process and Evidence on Impact: Some Preliminary Findings Presentation by Stein Holden Norwegian University of Life Sciences

Local perceptions in 2006 related to land certificates and tenure security

• 82% of the households stated that they would have wanted to have a land certificate if they were not having one

• Only 3% stated that they would not have wanted a certificate if they did not have one.

• 84% of the households stated that they perceived the risk of being evicted from their land to have been reduced because of the certification.

• 78% of the households stated that they thought that land certificates increased the probability of getting compensation in case of land takings.

Page 17: Land Certification in Ethiopia: Process and Evidence on Impact: Some Preliminary Findings Presentation by Stein Holden Norwegian University of Life Sciences

Willingness to pay for certificate

• If you lose your certificate, how much would you be willing to pay for a replacement?

• In Eth.Birr

• 1US$= 8.5 Eth.Birr

• Mean WTP= 10 Birr

• Median WTP=3 Birr

050

100

150

200

wtpl

ostc

ert

Page 18: Land Certification in Ethiopia: Process and Evidence on Impact: Some Preliminary Findings Presentation by Stein Holden Norwegian University of Life Sciences

Willingness to pay for improved certificate

• Would you prefer to receive a new land certificate with a map of each of your plots, with clear identification of the location and size and shape of the plot? If yes (64%), what is your maximum WTP for such a certificate?

• Mean WTP=13 Birr• Median WTP= 5 Birr0

100

200

300

wtpn

ewce

rt

Page 19: Land Certification in Ethiopia: Process and Evidence on Impact: Some Preliminary Findings Presentation by Stein Holden Norwegian University of Life Sciences

Land registration, certification and land disputes

• Border demarcation and disputes– Plot demarcations before the land registration,

• 54% of the households stated that the plot borders were clearly demarcated before the land registration,

• 18% stated that the plot borders were fairly well demarcated before the registration, and

• 21% stated that plot borders were poorly demarcated before the registration.

– 23% of the households stated that they had experienced land disputes before the land registration

Page 20: Land Certification in Ethiopia: Process and Evidence on Impact: Some Preliminary Findings Presentation by Stein Holden Norwegian University of Life Sciences

Perceptions of extent of border disputes during and after land certification

Change in disputes

During registration and certification, %

After registration and certification, %

Less disputes 61 66

No change in disputes

24 23

More disputes 8 4

Page 21: Land Certification in Ethiopia: Process and Evidence on Impact: Some Preliminary Findings Presentation by Stein Holden Norwegian University of Life Sciences

Inheritance disputes• 56% of the households perceived that the land registration

and certification process has contributed to reduce the number of inheritance disputes,

• 36% perceived there to have been no effect on inheritance disputes,

• 8% perceived that the number of inheritance disputes has increased due to land registration and certification.

• 78% of the households stated that ownership of land certificates reduced inheritance disputes.

• 25% of the households stated that they had experienced inheritance disputes themselves.

Page 22: Land Certification in Ethiopia: Process and Evidence on Impact: Some Preliminary Findings Presentation by Stein Holden Norwegian University of Life Sciences

Knowledge of the law 1Question Correct

answerMen’s responses, % correct

Women’s responses, % correct

Maximum number of years you can lease out with modern technology

20 0 0

Minimum length of contract that has to be registered, number of years

1 8 12

Is it legal to mortgage use right, 1=yes,0=no,2=dont know

0 20 27

How land is shared when divorce, 1= Has to be negotiated between those involved; 2 = Shared equally between husband and wife; 3 = Other; 4 = Don’t know

2 54 78

Page 23: Land Certification in Ethiopia: Process and Evidence on Impact: Some Preliminary Findings Presentation by Stein Holden Norwegian University of Life Sciences

Knowledge of the law 2Question Correct

answerMen’s responses, % correct

Women’s responses, % correct

What is the widow share of land when 3 children, 1=All, 2=Half, 3=A quarter, 4=Nothing, 5=Don’t know

2 49 67

If the household head is away 10 years, are the family rights of land affected, 1=yes, 0=no, 2=don’t know

0 51 71

What happens to land rights after 3 years out-migration for household, no permanent job, 1 = Can be taken over by the village irrespectively of the conditions; 2 = Can be taken over by the village if he has not transferred it to others; 3 = Nothing happens to the land; 4 = Don’t know

2 5 6

Page 24: Land Certification in Ethiopia: Process and Evidence on Impact: Some Preliminary Findings Presentation by Stein Holden Norwegian University of Life Sciences

Land certification and women

• 90% of the households stated that they perceived land certification to have had a positive effect on women.

• Women were less likely to participate in land administration committees and were less likely to participate in meetings in relation to the land registration and certification process

Page 25: Land Certification in Ethiopia: Process and Evidence on Impact: Some Preliminary Findings Presentation by Stein Holden Norwegian University of Life Sciences

Dispute resolution mechanisms

• Local variation in mechanisms• Juristiction over land disputes determined

by law when traditional mediation fails:– Border disputes to be handled by tabia

(community) social courts– Ownership disputes to be handled by woreda

(district) courts– From 2006: EPLAUA and LACs should deal

with land disputes

Page 26: Land Certification in Ethiopia: Process and Evidence on Impact: Some Preliminary Findings Presentation by Stein Holden Norwegian University of Life Sciences

What can we learn from woreda court files?

• We have collected data from woreda court files in 11 woredas over a period of 13 years, including years – Before, during and after the land registration and

certification– A subsample of land dispute cases has been selected for

more detailed data collection– A number of ongoing cases are studied by interviewing

plaintiffs and defendants while waiting at the court– These data are in the process of being entered– A summary of dispute information by year and type of

disputes from 7 woredas follows

Page 27: Land Certification in Ethiopia: Process and Evidence on Impact: Some Preliminary Findings Presentation by Stein Holden Norwegian University of Life Sciences

Tigray woreda courts: Number of land-related disputes per year

05

01

00

15

0

lan

dre

lca

se

s

19921993199419951996199719981999200020012002200320042005yeargc

Page 28: Land Certification in Ethiopia: Process and Evidence on Impact: Some Preliminary Findings Presentation by Stein Holden Norwegian University of Life Sciences

Tigray woreda (district) courts: Total number of cases per year

Page 29: Land Certification in Ethiopia: Process and Evidence on Impact: Some Preliminary Findings Presentation by Stein Holden Norwegian University of Life Sciences

Tigray woreda courts: Number of land border disputes per year

Page 30: Land Certification in Ethiopia: Process and Evidence on Impact: Some Preliminary Findings Presentation by Stein Holden Norwegian University of Life Sciences

Tigray woreda courts: Number of ownership disputes per year

Page 31: Land Certification in Ethiopia: Process and Evidence on Impact: Some Preliminary Findings Presentation by Stein Holden Norwegian University of Life Sciences

Tigray woreda courts: Number of inheritance disputes per year

Page 32: Land Certification in Ethiopia: Process and Evidence on Impact: Some Preliminary Findings Presentation by Stein Holden Norwegian University of Life Sciences

Tigray woreda courts: Number of divorce-related land disputes per year

Page 33: Land Certification in Ethiopia: Process and Evidence on Impact: Some Preliminary Findings Presentation by Stein Holden Norwegian University of Life Sciences

Tigray woreda courts: Number of land redistribution-related cases by year

Page 34: Land Certification in Ethiopia: Process and Evidence on Impact: Some Preliminary Findings Presentation by Stein Holden Norwegian University of Life Sciences

Tigray woreda courts: Number of land renting-related cases by year

Page 35: Land Certification in Ethiopia: Process and Evidence on Impact: Some Preliminary Findings Presentation by Stein Holden Norwegian University of Life Sciences

How has land certification affected the land rental market?Questions to tenants and landlords

Has land registration and certification had any impact on whether you participate in the land rental market (including sharecropping)? Yes = 1 No = 0

Yes: 228

No: 267

If yes, are you more or less willing to rent in or out your land after you received the certificate?

1.More willing/able, 2.Less willing/able More: 213

Less: 16

If yes, why are you more or less willing?

1.Feel more tenure secure,

2.Easier to rent in land,

3.More difficult to rent in land, 4.Other, specify:

1: 81

2: 131

3: 3

4: 12

Page 36: Land Certification in Ethiopia: Process and Evidence on Impact: Some Preliminary Findings Presentation by Stein Holden Norwegian University of Life Sciences

Land rental market participation in 2003:

Distribution of net land leased in by own firm size -1

0-5

05

10

0 5 10 15 20ownlnd

95% CI Fitted valuesnli

Page 37: Land Certification in Ethiopia: Process and Evidence on Impact: Some Preliminary Findings Presentation by Stein Holden Norwegian University of Life Sciences

Land rental market participation in 2003:Distribution of net land leased in and

desired net land leased in-5

05

10

15

0 100 200 300 400rankid

dnlli nlli

Page 38: Land Certification in Ethiopia: Process and Evidence on Impact: Some Preliminary Findings Presentation by Stein Holden Norwegian University of Life Sciences

Land rental market participation in 2006:Distribution of net land leased in

-10

-50

51

0n

liare

a

0 100 200 300 400rankid

Page 39: Land Certification in Ethiopia: Process and Evidence on Impact: Some Preliminary Findings Presentation by Stein Holden Norwegian University of Life Sciences

Hypothesis: Land certification has made potential landlords more willing to rent out their land because they feel more tenure secure.Responses from landlords:

If you have a land certificate, does having the certificate give you any advantages in relation to your contracts with your tenants? 1.Yes, 0.No

Yes: 180

No: 41

If yes, how? 1. Improved bargaining power,

2. Contract fulfillment, 3. More tenure security,

4. More long-term contracts, 5. Better performance by tenant, 6. Other, specify:

1: 47

2: 22

3: 59

4: 10, 5: 39

If you do not have a land certificate, what are the disadvantages, if any, in relation to land renting out that you perceive? 1. No disadvantages, 2. Fear land grabbing by tenant, 3. More land disputes with tenant, 4. Harder to enforce tenant to work hard, 5. Other, specify

1: 38

2: 60

3: 86

4: 6

Page 40: Land Certification in Ethiopia: Process and Evidence on Impact: Some Preliminary Findings Presentation by Stein Holden Norwegian University of Life Sciences

Hypothesis: There is a demand for more long-term land rental contracts.Responses from tenants:Do you prefer contracts that last for more than one year? Yes = 1 No = 0

Yes: 228

No: 33

If yes, why do you prefer longer-term contracts? 1. I can invest more in the land, 2. I can apply more inputs, 3. I do not have to search for other partners so often, 4. Other, specify:

1: 175

2: 24

3: 31

Do you have any renting/sharecropping contracts that are for more than one year? Yes = 1 No =0

Yes: 227

No: 37

Duration of contracts: 1 yr: 21

2 yr: 22

3 yr: 14

>3 yr: 55

Page 41: Land Certification in Ethiopia: Process and Evidence on Impact: Some Preliminary Findings Presentation by Stein Holden Norwegian University of Life Sciences

Hypothesis: There is a demand for registration of land rental contracts (formal written contracts). Responses from tenants and landlords

Which type of contract do you prefer? 1. Oral contracts among partners only, 2. Oral with witnesses, 3. Written contract, not reported, 4. Written and reported to tabia leaders

1: 432

2: 25

3: 7

4: 28

If more than one type is preferred, explain when and why. 1.Long-term contracts preferred to be written. 2.Fixed-rent contract preferred to be written, 3.Sharecropping contracts preferred to be oral, 4.Prefer oral contracts with relatives, 5.Prefer written contracts with strangers, 6.Other, specify

1: 39

2: 15

3: 180

4: 59

5: 19

Page 42: Land Certification in Ethiopia: Process and Evidence on Impact: Some Preliminary Findings Presentation by Stein Holden Norwegian University of Life Sciences

Hypothesis: There is lack of knowledge about the law regarding registration of rental contracts.Responses from landlords and tenants:

Are you required to report longer-term contracts to the tabia/kushet administration? Yes = 1, No = 0

Yes: 144

No: 350

Are you required to report all fixed-rent contracts independent of duration of contract? Yes = 1, No = 0

Yes: 133

No: 359

Do you prefer such a reporting system? Yes: 178

No: 316

If yes, why? 1. Easier to solve land disputes, 2. Gives more contract security, 3. Prefer for long-term contracts, 4.Prefer for fixed-rent contracts, 5.Other, specify

1: 124

2: 39

3: 10

If no, why not? 1. Unnecessary, 2. Involves extra work, 3. No benefit, 4. Other, specify:

1: 216

2: 22

3: 43

Page 43: Land Certification in Ethiopia: Process and Evidence on Impact: Some Preliminary Findings Presentation by Stein Holden Norwegian University of Life Sciences

Tentative conclusions• Based on a quick descriptive analysis:

– Land registration and certification has contributed positively to tenure security in Tigray

– There is a positive but limited WTP for improved land certificates

– There is limited knowledge of the land law– The number of land disputes handled by woreda courts

have increased in recent years– Land registration and certification may have contributed

to improve the efficiency of the land rental market– The demand for formalisation of the land rental market

is small in this high-trust society

Page 44: Land Certification in Ethiopia: Process and Evidence on Impact: Some Preliminary Findings Presentation by Stein Holden Norwegian University of Life Sciences

Further Analyses• Econometric analyses of impacts

– Household level data– Plot level data– Woreda court files– Interviews of dispute parties

• Challenges– Identification problem at household and plot levels

• Few households without certificates• Reasons for no certificate have to be identified• Some communities with a large share of households without

certificates identified– Reasons for no certificate appear at least partly to be exogenous

(lack of certificates, lack of receipt books to issue certificates)