land market based interventions in lac: protierras in bolivia martín valdivia

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Land Market Based Interventions in LAC: Protierras in Bolivia Martín Valdivia

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Page 1: Land Market Based Interventions in LAC: Protierras in Bolivia Martín Valdivia

Land Market Based Interventions in LAC: Protierras in Bolivia

Martín Valdivia

Page 2: Land Market Based Interventions in LAC: Protierras in Bolivia Martín Valdivia

Protierras in Bolivia• Objective: ProTierras-DA aims at helping poor, landless get

access to land with the capacity to achieve their productive potential– Market based, even involving community land– Spatial development approach

• Program has two key components:– Land acquisition component (CAT for its initials in Spanish) –

reimbursable, not only land purchases– Supplementary investments component (CIC)

• Landless or small poor farmers need to get organized in producers´ associations (APs)– Groups are endogenously formed– By now, they average between 15-25 families

• APs are the direct beneficiaries that assume the debt for the CAT and receive/implement the CIC investment plan

Page 3: Land Market Based Interventions in LAC: Protierras in Bolivia Martín Valdivia

Protierras in Bolivia• CIC includes:

– infrastructure for water management, – commercialization infrastructure, services and others, – financing of technical assistance services

• Current programming assumes a total support per family of US $ 6,000– 40% of those funds for CAT, reimbursable– 60% for the CIC– Initial steps have shown the need to be flexible about it

• Program in pilot phase:– Work restricted to in 3 municipalities in Santa Cruz province: Mineros,

Pailón, Charagua– Program has been introduced in all municipalities and “capitanías”

through participatory workshops– 10 APs will have start receiving the money this year– Another 20 groups in the pipeline:

• Individual clearance (ID, poverty, no debts)• Legal clearance to land acquisition (titling efforts not so developed)

Page 4: Land Market Based Interventions in LAC: Protierras in Bolivia Martín Valdivia

Evaluating Protierras• Key question: What's the impact of this kind of intervention on

the different measures of welfare of beneficiaries and the intensity of land use?– Are the $ 6k per family enough to sustainably increase their

agricultural productivity and income?, compare to other income generating interventions (rural roads, specialized services such as credit, TA, etc)

– Does the program's procedures guarantee CIC to include best investment plan?

– Does strength of social ties between AP members condition the impact of the program on the productivity and welfare of beneficiaries?

• Other important questions:– Is productive land abundant in this environment so that project can

focus on truly unused land? (connection to titling project)– Does the program's eligibility criteria exclude too many of the

poor/socially excluded?– Are APs going to remain working as a unit or separate in individual

parcels? How does that decision affect the effects of the program?– What would be the effect of the program on gender equity?

Page 5: Land Market Based Interventions in LAC: Protierras in Bolivia Martín Valdivia

Methodological issues for evaluation

• Building a baseline and control group– Changes over time are not enough to establish the program's impact

– We do not have the full list of beneficiaries for the next 2 years

– Household survey is crucial for BL but not enough to capture distributional impacts

• Need village-level surveys, census-like registering of the previous situation of land involved

• Ideal situation: randomize timing of benefits among those that finish the pipeline– Treatment and control groups are likely to have same observed

characteristics, incentives, drive

– Very efficient in terms of survey costs

– Politically unfeasible

Page 6: Land Market Based Interventions in LAC: Protierras in Bolivia Martín Valdivia

Methodological issues for evaluation II

• What is feasible for evaluating the pilot?– Match intervened communities with observably equivalent

communities outside but nearby the three municipalities (census data)• Challenge 1: how to identify those families in control areas

that would have become beneficiaries?– Need to interview non-beneficiaries within treatment localities

(increasing costs)– Sampling needs to stratify among current beneficiaries, those in the

pipeline, and the rest of the community– Estimate a participation model and use it to predict those in control

areas more likely to become beneficiaries• Challenge 2: many of the most important effects come in the

long-run– Low chance to sustain a control group for too long– Demands clear and early definition of timing of expected impacts

Page 7: Land Market Based Interventions in LAC: Protierras in Bolivia Martín Valdivia

Methodological issues for evaluation III

• Opportunities– Randomize variants of the intervention even during pilot

• Specific incremental interventions associated to social capital formation, gender equity at AP level

• Not too intrusive to projects´ main goal

• Clear example of how evaluation strategy can timely help implementation

– Plan expansion consistent with an evaluation strategy:• Not too large so that we can manage pressure to intervene in control areas

• Randomize communities included in next round of expansion

• Consider more variants of the basic interventions– Provision mechanisms for technical assistance

– What to do with the organization of the APs?