latest development on modal aerosol formulation and indirect effects

18
Latest Development on Modal Aerosol Formulation and Indirect Effects X. Liu, S. J. Ghan, R. Easter, R. Zaveri (PNNL) A. Gettelman, P. Rasch, H. Morrison, J.-F. Lamarque, P. Hess, N. Mahowald, F. Vitt (NCAR) P. Cameron-Smith, C. Chuang, K. Grant (LLNL) Annica Ekman (Stockholm University)

Upload: shawn

Post on 18-Jan-2016

31 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

DESCRIPTION

Latest Development on Modal Aerosol Formulation and Indirect Effects. X. Liu, S. J. Ghan, R. Easter, R. Zaveri (PNNL) A. Gettelman, P. Rasch, H. Morrison, J.-F. Lamarque, P. Hess, N. Mahowald, F. Vitt (NCAR) P. Cameron-Smith, C. Chuang, K. Grant (LLNL) Annica Ekman (Stockholm University). - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: Latest Development on Modal Aerosol Formulation and Indirect Effects

Latest Development on Modal Aerosol Formulation

and Indirect Effects X. Liu, S. J. Ghan, R. Easter, R. Zaveri

(PNNL)A. Gettelman, P. Rasch, H. Morrison, J.-F. Lamarque, P. Hess,

N. Mahowald, F. Vitt (NCAR)

P. Cameron-Smith, C. Chuang, K. Grant(LLNL)

Annica Ekman (Stockholm University)

Page 2: Latest Development on Modal Aerosol Formulation and Indirect Effects

Bulk Aerosol Model

• External mixtures of all important aerosol types: sulfate, sea salt, dust, hydrophobic and hydrophilic OC & BC

• Prescribed size distribution Sulfate number not proportional to sulfate mass

• Coupled to 2-moment cloud microphysics• Tuned to produce an acceptable climate

Page 3: Latest Development on Modal Aerosol Formulation and Indirect Effects

Benchmark Modal Aerosol Treatment for CAM4

Aitkennumberwatersulfateammmoniumsecondary OMsea salt

Accumulationnumberwatersulfateammoniumsecondary OMhydrophobic OMBCsea salt

Primary Carbonnumberhydrophobic OMBC

Fine Soil Dustnumberwatersoil dustsulfateammonium

Fine Sea Saltnumberwatersea saltsulfateammonium

Coarse Soil Dustnumberwatersoil dustsulfateammonium

Coarse Sea Saltnumberwatersea saltsulfateammonium

coagulationcondensation

All modes log-normal with prescribed width.

Total transported aerosol tracers: 38

Cloud-borne aerosol predicted but not transported.

Page 4: Latest Development on Modal Aerosol Formulation and Indirect Effects

Progress in Modal Aerosol (since February 2008 AMWG)

• Coupled to 2-moment cloud microphysics (CAM3.5.37)

• A simple secondary organic aerosol treatment: reversible condensation of SOA (gas)

• Tuned for cloud forcing and radiation balance (RHmin)

• Evaluated aerosol and cloud fields for 7-mode version

• A simpler version of Modal aerosol implemented (4-mode).

Page 5: Latest Development on Modal Aerosol Formulation and Indirect Effects

• Modal aerosol (1.9x2.5), 3 years- benchmark present-day (PD) simulations- benchmark pre-industrial (PI) simulations

• Bulk aerosol (1.9x2.5), 3 years, PD and PI simulations

CAM Simulations (CAM3.5.37)

• Coupled with 2-moment cloud microphysics

• Same NCAR emissions (OC, BC, DMS, SO2, SO4) for PD & PI

• Same emission schemes (dust and coarse sea salt)

- ultrafine sea salt and SOA(g) emissions for Modal aerosol

• Same oxidant fields for PD and PI (Modal and Bulk)

Page 6: Latest Development on Modal Aerosol Formulation and Indirect Effects

SO4 compared with IMPROVE data

Modal BulkModal Bulk

Page 7: Latest Development on Modal Aerosol Formulation and Indirect Effects

OC compared with IMPROVE data

Modal Bulk

Obs

Page 8: Latest Development on Modal Aerosol Formulation and Indirect Effects

SO4 compared with RSMAS data

Modal Bulk

Page 9: Latest Development on Modal Aerosol Formulation and Indirect Effects

Dust compared with RSMAS data

Modal Bulk

Page 10: Latest Development on Modal Aerosol Formulation and Indirect Effects

Zonal Mean Shortwave Cloud Forcing

-90

-80

-70

-60

-50

-40

-30

-20

-10

0

-90 -60 -30 0 30 60 90

Latitude

Ann

ual M

ean

Sho

rtw

ave

Clo

ud F

orci

ng (

W/m

2)

ERBE

CAM3 (Modal)

CAM3 (Bulk)

Page 11: Latest Development on Modal Aerosol Formulation and Indirect Effects

Modal Bulk OBS

LWP, g m-2 58.8 71.1 48 (Weng & Grody)

79 (Greenwald)

IWP, g m-2 6.8 6.9

SWCF, W m-2 -54.7 -49.6 -54.2 (ERBE)

LWCF, W m-2 26.9 27.0 30.4 (ERBE)

FSNT, W m-2 235.5 233.3

FLNT, W m-2 235.1 235.0

CLDTOT, % 63.1 59.8 67.3 (ISCCP)

CLDLOW, % 45.2 38.9 21.8/33.6 (ISCCP/SAGE)

Global Annual Means (CAM3.5.37, PD)

Page 12: Latest Development on Modal Aerosol Formulation and Indirect Effects

Aerosol Indirect Effect

Present – Past Shortwave Cloud Forcing (W/m2)

Present – Past Liquid Water Path (g/m2)

∆TOA (Wm-2) = -1.5 (bulk: -2.8)∆direct (Wm-2) = -0.4 (bulk: -0.73)∆indirect (Wm-2) = -1.1 (bulk: -2.0)

Page 13: Latest Development on Modal Aerosol Formulation and Indirect Effects

4-mode version of modal model

Total transported aerosol tracers: 24

Carry soil dust and sea salt in same coarse mode because sources are separate.Move fine dust and sea salt to accumulation mode and eliminate fine modes.

coagulationcondensation

Aitkennumberwatersulfateammoniumsecondary OCsea salt

Accumulationnumberwatersulfateammoniumsecondary OCprimary OCblack carbonsoil dustsea salt

Coarsenumberwatersoil dustsea saltsulfateammonium

Primary Carbonnumberhydrophobic OCBC

∆TOA (Wm-2) = -1.2 (7m: -1.5)∆direct (Wm-2) = -0.3 (7m: -0.4)∆indirect (Wm-2) = -0.9 (7m:-1.1)

Page 14: Latest Development on Modal Aerosol Formulation and Indirect Effects

Further simplification of the modal model

Total transported aerosol tracers: 15

Assume primary carbon is internally mixed with secondary aerosol.Neglect aerosol water transport.Assume ammonium neutralizes sulfate.

Aitkennumbersulfatesecondary OCsea salt

Accumulationnumbersulfatesecondary OCprimary OCblack carbonsoil dustsea salt

coagulationcondensation

Coarsenumbersoil dustsea saltsulfate

Page 15: Latest Development on Modal Aerosol Formulation and Indirect Effects

Timing

3 mode

Page 16: Latest Development on Modal Aerosol Formulation and Indirect Effects

Bulk vs. Modal - Summary

• Bulk aerosol – is faster– produces an acceptable indirect effect

with AEROCOM emissions• Modal aerosol

– allows size distribution to vary in a realistic manner

– treats aging to internal mixtures– produces a smaller indirect effect

Page 17: Latest Development on Modal Aerosol Formulation and Indirect Effects

Future Work

• Complete evaluation of aerosols and clouds.• Run with the AEROCOM emissions.• Add offline aerosol capability to modal

aerosol model.• 20th century bulk and modal simulations with

online aerosol and direct and indirect effects.• 20th century simulations with offline aerosol

and online aerosol effects.

Page 18: Latest Development on Modal Aerosol Formulation and Indirect Effects

THANKS!