regimes within the first aerosol indirect effect · – thi l dthin clouds—ht ?heterogeneous? •...

51
Regimes within the First Regimes within the First Aerosol Indirect Effect Mark A. Miller, Maureen Dunn Mary Jane Bartholomew Pavlos Kollias Mary Jane Bartholomew, Pavlos Kollias Brookhaven National Laboratory Thanks: Pete Daum, Mike Jensen, Andy Vogelmann, Christine Chiu, Dave Turner Dave Turner

Upload: others

Post on 21-Aug-2020

0 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: Regimes within the First Aerosol Indirect Effect · – Thi l dThin clouds—ht ?heterogeneous? • Wood: Cancellation of aerosol indirect effects through cloud thinning – Cloud

Regimes within the First Regimes within the First Aerosol Indirect Effect

Mark A. Miller, Maureen DunnMary Jane Bartholomew Pavlos KolliasMary Jane Bartholomew, Pavlos Kollias

Brookhaven National Laboratory

Thanks: Pete Daum, Mike Jensen, Andy Vogelmann, Christine Chiu,

Dave TurnerDave Turner

Page 2: Regimes within the First Aerosol Indirect Effect · – Thi l dThin clouds—ht ?heterogeneous? • Wood: Cancellation of aerosol indirect effects through cloud thinning – Cloud

Theory of the First Aerosol Theory of the First Aerosol Indirect Effect

• In an adiabatic ascent, an increase in the droplet number concentration at constant liquid water mixing ratio results in a liquid water mixing ratio results in a decrease in the average droplet radius and an increase in the reflection of incoming

li h (T 1974 1991)sunlight (Twomey, 1974, 1991).• Key issues for implementation in real

atmosphere:atmosphere:– Isolated parcel (no mass or heat exchange)– Adequate supersaturation (updraft velocity) q p ( p y)

to activate new Cloud Condensation Nuclei (CCN)

Page 3: Regimes within the First Aerosol Indirect Effect · – Thi l dThin clouds—ht ?heterogeneous? • Wood: Cancellation of aerosol indirect effects through cloud thinning – Cloud

K Q i !Key Question!

• Does the adiabatic cloud droplet nucleation process, at constant p ,liquid water path, actually determine the optical properties of p p pthe cloud?

Page 4: Regimes within the First Aerosol Indirect Effect · – Thi l dThin clouds—ht ?heterogeneous? • Wood: Cancellation of aerosol indirect effects through cloud thinning – Cloud

A Basic ExperimentA Basic Experiment

rewmax

NN

2NFOV-τ

<200 m

#/cm

3

FMWR-LAERI-L

Cloud Chamber

%supersaturation[f(wmax)]

95-GHz-wmax

Cloud Chamber

Page 5: Regimes within the First Aerosol Indirect Effect · – Thi l dThin clouds—ht ?heterogeneous? • Wood: Cancellation of aerosol indirect effects through cloud thinning – Cloud

The One-Third LawThe One-Third Law

• A reduction in the global in the global value of reby 2-μm by 2 μm would offset the doubling Liu and Daum, 2002

-indirect warming effectgof CO2 (Slingo 1990)

g

Page 6: Regimes within the First Aerosol Indirect Effect · – Thi l dThin clouds—ht ?heterogeneous? • Wood: Cancellation of aerosol indirect effects through cloud thinning – Cloud

High LWPHigh LWP

Page 7: Regimes within the First Aerosol Indirect Effect · – Thi l dThin clouds—ht ?heterogeneous? • Wood: Cancellation of aerosol indirect effects through cloud thinning – Cloud

Low LWPLow LWP

Page 8: Regimes within the First Aerosol Indirect Effect · – Thi l dThin clouds—ht ?heterogeneous? • Wood: Cancellation of aerosol indirect effects through cloud thinning – Cloud

LWP and UpwellingLWP and Upwelling

Page 9: Regimes within the First Aerosol Indirect Effect · – Thi l dThin clouds—ht ?heterogeneous? • Wood: Cancellation of aerosol indirect effects through cloud thinning – Cloud

Updraft Limitations?Updraft Limitations?

Page 10: Regimes within the First Aerosol Indirect Effect · – Thi l dThin clouds—ht ?heterogeneous? • Wood: Cancellation of aerosol indirect effects through cloud thinning – Cloud

S d C l iSummary and Conclusions• Observed LWP-dependent regimes within

the First Aerosol Indirect Effect R d th t “O thi d L ” b • Recommend that “One-third Law” be applied selectively in coastal stratus– may require modification to account for may require modification to account for

subadiabatic clouds– Otherwise, an overestimate of AIE

N d d • Need more extensive data set• New technique for number density is

promisingpromising

Page 11: Regimes within the First Aerosol Indirect Effect · – Thi l dThin clouds—ht ?heterogeneous? • Wood: Cancellation of aerosol indirect effects through cloud thinning – Cloud

THE END

Page 12: Regimes within the First Aerosol Indirect Effect · – Thi l dThin clouds—ht ?heterogeneous? • Wood: Cancellation of aerosol indirect effects through cloud thinning – Cloud

Jensen et al. (2007)5-years MODIS Terra—300x300 km boxAlgorithm to remove cloud edge pixels>30,000 data points

Page 13: Regimes within the First Aerosol Indirect Effect · – Thi l dThin clouds—ht ?heterogeneous? • Wood: Cancellation of aerosol indirect effects through cloud thinning – Cloud

LWP RegimesLWP Regimes

Page 14: Regimes within the First Aerosol Indirect Effect · – Thi l dThin clouds—ht ?heterogeneous? • Wood: Cancellation of aerosol indirect effects through cloud thinning – Cloud

Droplet Microphysics in GCMsDroplet Microphysics in GCMs“One-Third Power Law”

Liquid Water Path[PROGNOSTIC]

Shortwave Transmission

1 3L⎡ ⎤

Shortwave TransmissionDepends on re and L

eLr C

N zβ ⎡ ⎤= ⎢ ⎥Δ⎣ ⎦Light Scattering

Properties of Cloud Droplets

Cloud Droplet Number Density[Sometimes PROGNOSTICRelative

Dispersion

Cloud Droplets

[sometimes parameterized]Dispersion

(sigma/mean)[Parameterized]

Page 15: Regimes within the First Aerosol Indirect Effect · – Thi l dThin clouds—ht ?heterogeneous? • Wood: Cancellation of aerosol indirect effects through cloud thinning – Cloud
Page 16: Regimes within the First Aerosol Indirect Effect · – Thi l dThin clouds—ht ?heterogeneous? • Wood: Cancellation of aerosol indirect effects through cloud thinning – Cloud
Page 17: Regimes within the First Aerosol Indirect Effect · – Thi l dThin clouds—ht ?heterogeneous? • Wood: Cancellation of aerosol indirect effects through cloud thinning – Cloud
Page 18: Regimes within the First Aerosol Indirect Effect · – Thi l dThin clouds—ht ?heterogeneous? • Wood: Cancellation of aerosol indirect effects through cloud thinning – Cloud
Page 19: Regimes within the First Aerosol Indirect Effect · – Thi l dThin clouds—ht ?heterogeneous? • Wood: Cancellation of aerosol indirect effects through cloud thinning – Cloud

Results from GResults from G--1 Flights During MASE1 Flights During MASE

Increasing aerosol concentrations observed with increasing Increasing aerosol concentrations observed with increasing g gg gdroplet concentrations and a decrease in the effective droplet concentrations and a decrease in the effective radiusradius..

Page 20: Regimes within the First Aerosol Indirect Effect · – Thi l dThin clouds—ht ?heterogeneous? • Wood: Cancellation of aerosol indirect effects through cloud thinning – Cloud

LWP d D i lLWP and Drizzle

Page 21: Regimes within the First Aerosol Indirect Effect · – Thi l dThin clouds—ht ?heterogeneous? • Wood: Cancellation of aerosol indirect effects through cloud thinning – Cloud
Page 22: Regimes within the First Aerosol Indirect Effect · – Thi l dThin clouds—ht ?heterogeneous? • Wood: Cancellation of aerosol indirect effects through cloud thinning – Cloud

M i S lMarine Stratocumulus

J. Norris1954-1992Synoptic Ship

Observations0 10 20 30 40 50 %

Page 23: Regimes within the First Aerosol Indirect Effect · – Thi l dThin clouds—ht ?heterogeneous? • Wood: Cancellation of aerosol indirect effects through cloud thinning – Cloud

Aerosol Shortwave Indirect Aerosol Shortwave Indirect Effects

• First (or Twomey Effect): “We can with some confidence predict that clouds in the future will contain more droplets per unit volume and, other things being equal, these droplets per unit volume and, other things being equal, these droplets must become smaller” Twomey, S., 1991 Aerosols, clouds, and radiation. Atmos. Env., 25A, 2435-2442. (originally proposed in 1974)

• Second (or Albrecht Effect): “Increases in aerosol concentrations over the oceans may increase the amount of low level cloudiness through a reduction in drizzle—a process low level cloudiness through a reduction in drizzle—a process that regulates the liquid water content and energetics of shallow marine clouds” Albrecht, B.A., 1989: Aerosols, cloud microphysics, and fractional cloudiness. Science, 245, 1227-p y1230.

Page 24: Regimes within the First Aerosol Indirect Effect · – Thi l dThin clouds—ht ?heterogeneous? • Wood: Cancellation of aerosol indirect effects through cloud thinning – Cloud

Th Adi b i Cl d M d lThe Adiabatic Cloud Model

• Many past studies use an adiabatic cloud model to compute the adiabatic cloud droplet number density, which is subsequently linked to effective radius to examine the Aerosol First Indirect Effectexamine the Aerosol First Indirect Effect– Penner et al., 2005; Feingold et al., 200X;

Brengiuer et al., 2005; ect.Br ng u r t a ., 5; ct.– Assume the nucleation properties of the

aerosol particles

Page 25: Regimes within the First Aerosol Indirect Effect · – Thi l dThin clouds—ht ?heterogeneous? • Wood: Cancellation of aerosol indirect effects through cloud thinning – Cloud

Eff f MEffects of Mixing

• Homogeneous versus heterogeneous mixing– AIE impacts apparently different

Thi l d h t ?– Thin clouds—heterogeneous?• Wood: Cancellation of aerosol indirect

effects through cloud thinningeffects through cloud thinning– Cloud base height is critical factor– Zcb<400 m feedbacks cancel Twomey– Consistent with low LWP results

• SGP: New results that support homogeneous mixing in clouds with higher homogeneous mixing in clouds with higher LWP

Page 26: Regimes within the First Aerosol Indirect Effect · – Thi l dThin clouds—ht ?heterogeneous? • Wood: Cancellation of aerosol indirect effects through cloud thinning – Cloud
Page 27: Regimes within the First Aerosol Indirect Effect · – Thi l dThin clouds—ht ?heterogeneous? • Wood: Cancellation of aerosol indirect effects through cloud thinning – Cloud
Page 28: Regimes within the First Aerosol Indirect Effect · – Thi l dThin clouds—ht ?heterogeneous? • Wood: Cancellation of aerosol indirect effects through cloud thinning – Cloud
Page 29: Regimes within the First Aerosol Indirect Effect · – Thi l dThin clouds—ht ?heterogeneous? • Wood: Cancellation of aerosol indirect effects through cloud thinning – Cloud

MODIS Analyses: Effective cloud diameterMODIS Analyses: Effective cloud diameter

RiftRift

SheetSheet

Rift Rift ZonesZones

Page 30: Regimes within the First Aerosol Indirect Effect · – Thi l dThin clouds—ht ?heterogeneous? • Wood: Cancellation of aerosol indirect effects through cloud thinning – Cloud

re vs LWP response varies with air mass

Page 31: Regimes within the First Aerosol Indirect Effect · – Thi l dThin clouds—ht ?heterogeneous? • Wood: Cancellation of aerosol indirect effects through cloud thinning – Cloud

T lf d J W (1996)Telford, J.W.(1996)

Page 32: Regimes within the First Aerosol Indirect Effect · – Thi l dThin clouds—ht ?heterogeneous? • Wood: Cancellation of aerosol indirect effects through cloud thinning – Cloud

Results from GResults from G--1 Flights During MASE1 Flights During MASE

Increasing cloud droplet concentrations observed Increasing cloud droplet concentrations observed Increasing cloud droplet concentrations observed Increasing cloud droplet concentrations observed coincidently with a decrease in the drizzle coincidently with a decrease in the drizzle concentration.concentration.

Page 33: Regimes within the First Aerosol Indirect Effect · – Thi l dThin clouds—ht ?heterogeneous? • Wood: Cancellation of aerosol indirect effects through cloud thinning – Cloud
Page 34: Regimes within the First Aerosol Indirect Effect · – Thi l dThin clouds—ht ?heterogeneous? • Wood: Cancellation of aerosol indirect effects through cloud thinning – Cloud
Page 35: Regimes within the First Aerosol Indirect Effect · – Thi l dThin clouds—ht ?heterogeneous? • Wood: Cancellation of aerosol indirect effects through cloud thinning – Cloud

erHomogeneous

Mi iHeterogeneous mixing

e

erMixing

Extreme case

Secondary activation

Enhanced growth

Underlying mechanism

Faster Mixing Uniform evaporation

Nucleation Coalescence

aN and aL aN=1 aN = aL aN > aL aN < aL

Mixing function

Mixing does not change N

but reduce the sizes

Stronger mixing results

in more droplets

Stronger mixing results in less but

bigger droplets

er

er

sizes droplets,

Response of

Depending on ab and aL

independent of aL

decreases with decreasing aL

increases with decreasing aL

( )1/3e ea Lr rβα α= e ear rβα=

1/3

Le ea

N

r rβααα⎛ ⎞

= ⎜ ⎟⎝ ⎠

1/3

Le ea

N

r rβααα⎛ ⎞

= ⎜ ⎟⎝ ⎠Formula

AIE Effect ? No change More AIE effect

Less AIE effecteffect

Page 36: Regimes within the First Aerosol Indirect Effect · – Thi l dThin clouds—ht ?heterogeneous? • Wood: Cancellation of aerosol indirect effects through cloud thinning – Cloud

Impacts of Cloud Dynamics on Impacts of Cloud Dynamics on p yp yCloud MicrophysicsCloud Microphysics

re

N=288

10.1 Adiabaticity

Adiabaticity, αAdiabaticity, αα α = 1: adiabatic= 1: adiabaticα α < 1: sub< 1: sub--adiabaticadiabatic

Bins of CloudBins of CloudThicknessThickness

10.1 Adiabaticity

Blue: 50Blue: 50--600m600mGreen: 600Green: 600--1000m1000m

τ

Collaborators: B.G. Kim, Steve Schwartz10.1 Adiabaticity

Page 37: Regimes within the First Aerosol Indirect Effect · – Thi l dThin clouds—ht ?heterogeneous? • Wood: Cancellation of aerosol indirect effects through cloud thinning – Cloud

Impacts of Cloud Dynamics on Impacts of Cloud Dynamics on p yp yCloud MicrophysicsCloud MicrophysicsBins of Adiabaticity

Blue: 0.1-0.9 reGreen: 0.9-1.5

Cloud Depth100 1000Cloud Depth100

R2=0.49

R2 0 92τ R2=0.92

Collaborators: B.G. Kim, Steve Schwartz100 Cloud Depth 1000

Page 38: Regimes within the First Aerosol Indirect Effect · – Thi l dThin clouds—ht ?heterogeneous? • Wood: Cancellation of aerosol indirect effects through cloud thinning – Cloud

The Entity-Type The Entity Type Entrainment Mixing Process

J.W. Telford

Page 39: Regimes within the First Aerosol Indirect Effect · – Thi l dThin clouds—ht ?heterogeneous? • Wood: Cancellation of aerosol indirect effects through cloud thinning – Cloud

b t t d

Stage 1

subsaturated

1. Droplets evaporate into subsaturated air2 C li

cloud

2. Cooling3. Descending vortex4. Saturation

saturates

Page 40: Regimes within the First Aerosol Indirect Effect · – Thi l dThin clouds—ht ?heterogeneous? • Wood: Cancellation of aerosol indirect effects through cloud thinning – Cloud

Stage 1 Stage 2

CCN( )( )0 0c ic edV V C C n+ + +

well-mixedsaturates

1. Reduction in size and number of entrained droplets prior to saturation2. Droplets enter turbule after saturation with no change in size3. Drastic changes in number concentration from parcel to parcelg p p

Page 41: Regimes within the First Aerosol Indirect Effect · – Thi l dThin clouds—ht ?heterogeneous? • Wood: Cancellation of aerosol indirect effects through cloud thinning – Cloud

Stage 1 Stage 2

CCN( )( )0 0c ic edV V C C n+ + +

well-mixedsaturates

1 Evaporation to smaller sizes than at same pressure during undiluted ascent1. Evaporation to smaller sizes than at same pressure during undiluted ascent2. Same amount of water has to evaporate from less droplets3. Continued entrainment of larger undiluted drops adds a supply of larger drops4. Parcel contains a wide range of diameters

Stage 3

descent

Page 42: Regimes within the First Aerosol Indirect Effect · – Thi l dThin clouds—ht ?heterogeneous? • Wood: Cancellation of aerosol indirect effects through cloud thinning – Cloud

Stage 1 Stage 2

CCN( )( )0 0c ic edV V C C n+ + +

well-mixedsaturates

1 Rise to accommodate newly descending parcels1. Rise to accommodate newly descending parcels2. Few biggest droplets acquire a disproportionate fraction of new water3. Large droplets formed4. Mocks giant nuclei

Stage 3 Stage 4

descent re-ascent

Page 43: Regimes within the First Aerosol Indirect Effect · – Thi l dThin clouds—ht ?heterogeneous? • Wood: Cancellation of aerosol indirect effects through cloud thinning – Cloud

Observables Checklist• Stage 1

– Reduced reflectivity in pockets near cloud top– Considerable variability in reflectivity near cloud topConsiderable variability in reflectivity near cloud top

• Stage 2 and 3– Large variations in number density from parcel to parcel

Descent– Descent– Lower reflectivity and wider spectral width in the

downdrafts relative to the updrafts• Stage 4• Stage 4

– Possible enhanced reflectivity in some updrafts due to the presence of exceptionally large droplets.

Page 44: Regimes within the First Aerosol Indirect Effect · – Thi l dThin clouds—ht ?heterogeneous? • Wood: Cancellation of aerosol indirect effects through cloud thinning – Cloud

288 3

Continental288 cm-3Number

Density

d159 cm-3

Mean andStandardDeviation

Page 45: Regimes within the First Aerosol Indirect Effect · – Thi l dThin clouds—ht ?heterogeneous? • Wood: Cancellation of aerosol indirect effects through cloud thinning – Cloud
Page 46: Regimes within the First Aerosol Indirect Effect · – Thi l dThin clouds—ht ?heterogeneous? • Wood: Cancellation of aerosol indirect effects through cloud thinning – Cloud

At a Given Wavelength A Cloud Particle At Different Wavelengths

ar ar

At Different Wavelengthsd

to R

ada

d to

Rad

a

Ret

urne

d

Ret

urne

d

Ener

gy R

Ener

gy R

E E

Size of Cloud Particle Radar Wavelength

Page 47: Regimes within the First Aerosol Indirect Effect · – Thi l dThin clouds—ht ?heterogeneous? • Wood: Cancellation of aerosol indirect effects through cloud thinning – Cloud

F d l R l i hiFundamental Relationships

( )( )0

1/

2 1g

D Igττ↑

−=

+Shortwave Albedo

( )2 1 g τ+ −

3 L

2eQ ≈Assume

How much total liquid in the cloud?

Liquid Water Path (LWP)

32 w e

Lr

τρ

=How much total liquid in the cloud?

How much surface area does the liquid have?

Effective Radius--Mean radius for scattering

Page 48: Regimes within the First Aerosol Indirect Effect · – Thi l dThin clouds—ht ?heterogeneous? • Wood: Cancellation of aerosol indirect effects through cloud thinning – Cloud

R l f Hi h LWPResults for High LWP

Page 49: Regimes within the First Aerosol Indirect Effect · – Thi l dThin clouds—ht ?heterogeneous? • Wood: Cancellation of aerosol indirect effects through cloud thinning – Cloud

R l f Hi h LWPResults for High LWP

Page 50: Regimes within the First Aerosol Indirect Effect · – Thi l dThin clouds—ht ?heterogeneous? • Wood: Cancellation of aerosol indirect effects through cloud thinning – Cloud

Remotely Sensing the Cloud Remotely Sensing the Cloud Droplet Distribution

Mode Radius??

Width??

+Hei

ght

Width??

++R d E h

H

Particle Size+

Broadband IrradianceRadar EchoIntensity

Total Liquid Water(Micr v R di m t r)

Number Concentration??

(Solar Radiometer)

(Microwave Radiometer)

Page 51: Regimes within the First Aerosol Indirect Effect · – Thi l dThin clouds—ht ?heterogeneous? • Wood: Cancellation of aerosol indirect effects through cloud thinning – Cloud

Eff i R diEffective RadiusLight Scattering C S tiCross-Section~ r2

Mean

r2

r2-weighted

Particle Size

r weighted arithmetic mean radius