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October, 2021 This report evaluates the national climate commitments— known as Nationally Determined Contributions, or NDCs— made by signatory countries to the Paris Agreement on their goals for reducing greenhouse gas emissions in the waste sector. It further enumerates the ways in which waste reduction and sustainable management are essential to countries' greenhouse gas reduction strategies to meet the global 1.5 degree target outlined in the Paris Agreement. Wasted Opportunities: A review of international commitments for reducing plastic- and waste-sector GHG emissions www.no-burn.org

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Page 1: layout NDC scorecard

October, 2021

This report evaluates the national climate commitments—known as Nationally Determined Contributions, or NDCs—made by signatory countries to the Paris Agreement on theirgoals for reducing greenhouse gas emissions in the wastesector. It further enumerates the ways in which wastereduction and sustainable management are essential tocountries' greenhouse gas reduction strategies to meet theglobal 1.5 degree target outlined in the Paris Agreement.

Wasted Opportunities:A review of international

commitments for reducing plastic-and waste-sector GHG emissions

www.no-burn.org

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The Importance of Wasteto Climate ChangeThe solid waste sector is a significant source of greenhouse gas (GHG)emissions, particularly methane (CH4), which it emits at ratescomparable to the oil and gas sector.1 The Intergovernmental Panel onClimate Change (IPCC) identifies waste management as one of threesectors with the greatest potential to reduce surface temperaturerise in the next 10-20 years.2 Methane emissions overwhelminglyderive from organic waste buried in landfills and dumps. In addition,the incineration and open burning of waste emits carbon dioxide (CO2)and nitrous oxide, another powerful, short-term greenhouse gas (GHG).

The fastest-rising constituent of waste streams is plastic, a fossil fuelderivative that has no good end-of-life management options. Plasticproduction is currently growing at 3.5-4% per year. At this rate, plasticwill consume 13% of the 1.5°C carbon budget by 2050.3 If plastic were acountry, it would already be the fifth-largest emitter in the world.4The1.5 degree target outlined in the Paris Agreement will not beachievable without significant reductions in plastic production.Countries with plastic production facilities should target these industriesfor phaseout, along with the rest of the fossil fuel sector. Countrieswithout a plastic industry can help to reduce demand for plastic throughbans and by promoting alternative business models.5,6,7 This is anexample of how interventions in the waste sector create a ripple effectreducing emissions in other sectors like industry and land use.

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Waste Sector Solutionsfor the ClimateThrough good organics management, intensive recycling, and sourcereduction of plastic, waste management is one of the few sectors thathas the potential to generate net negative emissions.8,9These wastemanagement practices, collectively known as zero waste, are practical,affordable, and already being implemented in diverse cities around theworld.10 Diverting organic waste away from landfills and toward usefulends like compost, animal feed, or anaerobic digestion is highlyeffective at reducing CH4 emissions.11,12,13,14,15,16,17 These approaches notonly avoid CH4 emissions but also produce valuable goods and services.Recycling of paper, metals, and glass reduces emissions in the forestry,mining, and manufacturing sectors by displacing emissions-intensiveraw materials.18,19,20,21,22,23

Zero waste offers important opportunities to address poverty,environmental and social injustices, and structural inequalities.Recycling and composting generate as much as 50 times as many jobsas waste disposal (landfill and incineration).24 Zero waste offers theopportunity to fully include the informal sector, which alreadyconstitutes the backbone of the recycling system in most developingcountries. Meanwhile, closing waste disposal sites can alleviate theproblems of negative health impacts, shortened lifespans, and poorquality of life in host communities, which are generally low-income andmarginalized.25

Countries should stay away from counterproductive wastemanagement technologies like incineration and refuse-derived fuelproduction. Incinerators, which propose to convert solid waste intoenergy, emit more GHGs than the energy sources they displace, whilealso destroying material that could be usefully composted orrecycled.26,27 The co-incineration of waste, in the form of refuse-derived fuel (RDF) or plastic in cement kilns, is particularly problematicbecause of the lack of emissions control equipment and monitoring atcement kilns.

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Nationally DeterminedContributions (NDCs)As part of the 2015 Paris Agreement, national governments agreed to submit plans thatdescribe what they are doing to address climate change. These plans are calledNationally Determined Contributions, or NDCs, and include any relevant policies,infrastructure changes, or financial investments that will help a country reduce itsgreenhouse gas emissions. The Paris Agreement requires that countries submit newNDCs every five years, showing a progression compared to the previous NDC, reflectingits highest possible ambition. COP26 is the deadline for the first update since 2015.

How the NDCs Were Rated in ThisAnalysisNDCs were reviewed for their overall discussion of waste, the specific wastemanagement strategies they proposed, and their consideration for social andenvironmental justice issues in the waste sector. For plastic, which cannot beadequately managed through waste-sector interventions alone, we looked forrestrictions on production and use. NDCs were given a green (positive), yellow (mixed), orred (negative) rating for each category based on the scoring criteria described in themethodology section. Individual country ratings can be found on page 13.

Our analysis was restricted to the text of the NDCs; we did not compare NDCs withexisting waste plans, programs, or laws. NDCs are forward-looking documents,indicating a country’s plans and intentions for the next five years rather than its existingpolicies. In some cases, the plans in NDCs are conditional upon the receipt of climatefinance. For these and other reasons, there may be large discrepancies between whatcountries outline in their NDCs, and what they currently practice. For example, Chile’sNDC includes an Extended Producer Responsibility law that is supposed to “improveworking conditions and the standards of living for informal recyclers,” but has beencriticized for incentivizing competition from private companies with better access toloans, capital, and equipment, harming the livelihoods of many informal recyclers.28Comparing NDCs with current conditions was not feasible for every country, and theresults of this analysis should be considered with that in mind.

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ResultsTaken together, the 99 NDCs reviewed in this analysis

represent many missed opportunities for theinternational community to rigorously address

waste sector emissions in the coming years. MostNDCs (92) acknowledge the waste sector tosome extent, but only 71 have concrete plansto address waste-related emissions.Similarly, reducing plastic production andwaste is essential for achieving theinternational emission targets laid out in theParis Agreement, and yet only Cambodia’s NDCdiscusses the link between plastic generation

and its impact on the global carbon budget.Many countries do not include emission targets

for their waste sectors, and of those that do, onlythe Republic of the Congo proposes a zero emissions

goal for the waste sector.** Namibia has set a goal of net zero methane emissions in the waste sector by 2050.

The NDCs reveal a similar lack of consideration for social and environmental justice issues relatedto the waste sector. Despite the fact that landfills, open dumps, and incinerators tend to beconcentrated in marginalized communities,29,30only Myanmar’sNDC acknowledges the disproportionate exposure ofsaid communities to waste-related pollution.Similarly, over 20 million people globally earn theirliving as informal waste workers and areresponsible for a large part of recyclingworldwide.31 However, only 9 NDCs mention theinformal sector (Cambodia, Chile, Colombia,Dominican Republic, Honduras, Liberia,Morocco, Myanmar, Panama). One way forcountries to avoid blind spots like this isthrough stakeholder engagement in the NDCplanning process. However, while 65 NDCsmention multi-stakeholder processes, only twoNDCs describe a concrete structure for civil societyor community engagement in the waste sector (Antiguaand Barbuda, Tanzania).

99

65

9

Environmental justiceand civil societyengagement

99

92

71

Overall discussionof waste

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Other concerning trends arisewithin the NDCs that actuallypropose specific practices fortheir waste sectors. Thoughhalf of the NDCs (50) proposecommon and effectivestrategies for reducingwaste-related emissions,such as better separatecollection of waste, recycling,and composting, 39 of themalso include wasteincineration or refuse-derived fuel use in their plans.These carbon-intensivepractices undercut thebenefits of the zero wastestrategies proposed in thesame NDCs. Furthermore, amajority of countries fail toprioritize the best wastemanagement practices foreliminating waste sectormethane emissions: organicwaste recovery andcomposting. Only 35 countriespropose better separatecollection for organic wasteand/or composting in theirNDCs.

Beyond these “downstream”waste managementstrategies, 37 of the NDCsinclude some discussion ofcreating circular economiesor employing circulareconomic principles as partof their waste managementstrategies. Such practices,like Extended ProducerResponsibility programs,

encourage “upstream”management of waste bypromoting reuse, repair, anddesign changes that helpprevent waste generation inthe first place.

Finally, although only one NDCdiscusses the need to reduceplastic production, 11 addressplastic waste through existingor proposed bans or phase-outs of different types ofsingle-use plastics (CaboVerde, Fiji, Jamaica, Maldives,Monaco, Panama, Qatar, SãoTomé and Príncipe, Sri Lanka,Tonga, United Arab Emirates).Such bans are critical for asuccessful transition awayfrom plastic and fossil fueldependence, and othercountries should follow suit.

All in all, the internationalcommunity missed anopportunity to take effective

action for their waste sectorswith this round of NDCs. Afailure to meaningfully discussthe links between waste,plastic generation, andclimate was followed up inmany cases by proposals forcounterproductive wasteemission interventions likeincineration, or a lack ofspecific plans altogether. Theprevalence of circulareconomic goals, single-useplastic bans, composting, andother effective emission-reducing strategies, however,is encouraging, and suchproposals provide importantexamples of what all countrieswill need to do in order toeliminate waste sectoremissions and achieve theglobal goals set out in theParis Agreement.

Proposed wastemanagement practices

9950

3735

39

11

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Key Findings

• More than a quarter of countries fail to recognize the wastesector’s contribution to GHG emissions, with 21 NDCs lackingspecific plans to address waste-related emissions, and 7 missingany mention of waste at all.

• Most of the NDCs that do address waste—50 of 71—proposeappropriate actions such as increased recycling that will lower GHGemissions.

• 39 NDCs propose combustion technologies that will undermineGHG reduction efforts. Paradoxically, 32 NDCs combine combustiontechnologies with zero-waste strategies, suggesting that manygovernments lack a systems-level understanding of waste and itspotential contribution to climate change mitigation.

• Plastic waste generation is an under-addressed topic, with only11 NDCs proposing strategies to directly tackle plastic waste, andonly one NDC discussing the link between plastic production andfossil fuel dependence.

• A majority of countries fail to prioritize the waste managementpractices that could rapidly draw down waste sector methaneemissions: organic waste recovery and composting. Only 35countries propose a better separate collection system for organicwaste and/or composting in their NDCs.

• Only 12 countries discuss environmental justice, gender andequity, informal workers, or civil society engagement in the wastesector in a concrete and substantial way.

28503911

3512

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Composting

Through composting ofagricultural and marketwaste, Liberia plans to

decrease its GHG emissions,increase circularity in theagricultural economy, and

reduce the risk of fires at itslandfills.

Single-use plastic bans

Cabo Verde’s plannedroadmap for “responsible

tourism in the circulareconomy” will include a ban

on single-use plastics.

Circular economy

Panama’s governmentstates that it has partnered

with organized labor andthe private sector to create

a national CircularEconomy Center.

Better separate collection

Source separation of organicwaste, planned by

Montenegro, will allow thecountry to reduce the shareof organic municipal wastedisposed of in landfills to35% of its 2010 levels by

2033.

Recycling

The European Union has setstrong recycling goals,

requiring that 70% of allpackaging waste be recycled

by 2030, and 65% of allmunicipal waste be recycled

by 2035.

POSITIVE PLANS

CompostingSingle-use plastic bans

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“Chemical recycling”

Japan is planning for “morechemical recycling of waste

plastic at steel plants,” atechnologically challengedprocess that generates newGHG emissions while often

failing to produce newplastic.

Refuse-derived fuel incement plants

Indonesia plans to ramp-uprefuse-derived fuel use to

account for 5% of total wastevolume by 2030.

Incineration

Guinea is currently planningfor a large-scale waste-to-energy incineration plant atthe cost of USD11-17M that

could otherwise be spent onstrategies that eliminaterather than generate GHG

emissions.

DETRIMENTAL PLANS

NDCs that include waste incineration or/and use of refuse-derived fuel in cement plants (39)

Andorra, Angola, Antigua and Barbuda, Argentina, Bangladesh,Barbados, Bhutan, Burundi, Cabo Verde, Cambodia, Colombia,

Dominican Republic, Gambia, Guinea, Indonesia, Japan, Malawi,Maldives, Mauritius, Mongolia, Morocco, Myanmar, Namibia, Nepal,

Nigeria, Palestine, Republic of the Congo, Rwanda, Senegal, Seychelles,Sri Lanka, Tanzania, Thailand, Tonga, Tunisia, United Arab Emirates,

United States of America, Vanuatu, Vietnam

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ENVIRONMENTAL JUSTICE ANDCIVIL SOCIETY ENGAGEMENT

NDCs that include consideration for waste pickers (9)Cambodia, Chile, Colombia, Dominican Republic,Honduras, Liberia, Morocco, Myanmar, Panama

NDCs that include civil society or communityengagement in the waste sector (2)Antigua and Barbuda, Tanzania

Myanmar’s NDC includesinclusiveness, climate justice

and equity, and gender equalityas guiding principles; it statesthat the country will take into

account specific vulnerabilitiesof formal and informal waste

workers and exposure topollutants for low-income andmarginalized communities in

waste strategies.

Colombia’s NDC includesplans to support informal

waste workers by creating 38new waste picker

organizations, in addition tosupporting 25 existing ones.

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MethodologyAll updated NDCs submitted before October 11,2021 as well as six original NDCs submittedafter January 2020 were searched forkeywords related to municipal solid wasteproduction and management.* In order to bestrepresent the most recent and relevantcommitments of the UN countries, originalNDCs submitted before January 2020 wereexcluded. This resulted in a total of 99 NDCsrepresenting 125 countries.† The NDCs wererated on their overall discussion of theconnections between the waste sector andclimate, the types of waste management

strategies or technologies proposed, and theirdiscussion of environmental justice and civilsociety engagement measures in the wastesector. We did not compare NDCs with currentpolicies or practices in each country; NDCs areforward-looking documents that indicatecountries’ plans and intentions and wereanalyzed at face value. Similarly, this analysisis based solely on the text of the NDCs, anddoes not fully reflect other national wastepolicies or plans. For each category, NDCsreceived a green, yellow, or red score, based onthe following criteria:* Waste water management policies, technologies, andstrategies were not evaluated.†The European Union submits a single NDC on behalf ofall 27 of its member countries.

Overall discussion of waste Proposed wastemanagement practices

Environmental justice andcivil society engagement

Green(positive)

Clear discussion of wastesector with concrete plans

for waste emissionmanagement

More positive than negativepractices, withoutcombustion-based

interventions

Clear discussion ofenvironmental justice issues,

gender and equity, orinformal workers in the wastesector, OR clear process forwaste sector stakeholder

engagement

Yellow(mixed)

NDC mentions waste butdoes not discuss the topic in

depth or fails to proposeconcrete actions

Equal numbers of positiveand negative practices OR

more positive than negativepractices, but includes

combustion-basedinterventions

Simple/vague reference toenvironmental justice,gender and equity, or

informal workers in the wastesector, OR multi-stakeholder

engagement process thatdoes not address the waste

sector specifically

Red(negative)

NDC does not mention wasteat all

More negative than positivepractices

No discussion ofenvironmental justice issues,

gender and equity, orinformal workers in the waste

sector, and no stakeholderengagement process

Gray(no dataavailable)

Not used No specific practicesproposed

NDC does not mention wasteat all

Scoring Criteria for NDCs

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CATEGORY 1 Overall discussion of waste and climate. As described in the introduction, thewaste sector has an important role to play in managing global emissions, and this category aimsto score NDCs based on the level of commitment and detail with which each country addressesthe waste sector. As such, NDCs were scored based on whether or not they discussed the linkbetween waste and climate, and if so, if they proposed specific policies, technologies, orstrategies for achieving emission reductions in the sector.

CATEGORY 2 Proposed waste management practices. Each NDC that proposed specific plansfor the waste sector was assessed based on whether the proposed policies, technologies, andstrategies were positive, ambiguous, or detrimental to achieving international climate goals.

• Positive practices include upstream interventions that reduce the need for new materialproduction and waste management in the first place. These lead to the greatest reduction in GHGemissions, and include single-use plastic bans, extended producer responsibility (EPR) programs,and circular economy practices like promoting reuse and repair over new purchases. Bestpractice interventions to reduce landfill methane emissions include separate collection of wasteand composting. Other positive interventions that reduce the need for new material productioninclude recycling.

• Ambiguous practices are those such as landfill gas capture and new sanitary landfillconstruction, which can provide some climate benefits relative to current practice, but are lessimpactful than the best-in-class interventions described above. While landfill gas capture is anappropriate intervention to reduce methane emissions from existing landfills, for example,continuing to landfill organics, with or without landfill gas capture, leads to greater methaneemissions; separate collection and treatment of organic waste is a far better approach. ManyNDCs that mentioned landfill gas capture did not specify whether these would be for existinglandfills or new construction. These interventions should be used with caution, as they run the riskof supplanting the most impactful waste management practices.

• Finally, detrimental practices include incineration (with and without energy generation),refuse-derived fuel production, and burning waste in cement kilns. These combustion-basedapproaches have a negative impact on climate by turning solid waste into greenhouse gasemissions and toxic air pollution. Energy generated from waste also increasingly displaces energyfrom renewable sources.

NDCs receive one point for each positive intervention proposed, zero points for each ambiguousintervention, and lose one point for each detrimental intervention. They are then given an overallrating for this category based on whether they propose more positive or negative practices. Giventhe significant drawbacks of combustion-based treatments, NDCs that propose combustion-based interventions receive, at best, a yellow rating for this category.

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NDCs that do not propose any specific policies or technologies do not receive a ratingfor this category and are highlighted in gray. See the Appendix for a quick descriptionof each intervention, and why it has the point value that it does.

* Only one NDC (USA) mentions waste-derived green hydrogen. This implies using waste to generateelectricity, labeling that electricity renewable or low-carbon, and using it to produce hydrogen.However, electricity derived from waste has very high emissions; this is not truly green hydrogen.

† Only one NDC (Japan) mentions chemical recycling of plastics. Chemical recycling refers to a set oftechnologies, usually pyrolysis-based, that convert plastic, usually into fuel. These are high-energyprocesses with high levels of GHG emissions. See www.no-burn.org/chemical-recycling-resources formore information.

CATEGORY 3 Environmental justice and civil society engagement. NDCs were ratedon the social dimensions of their waste sector climate plans. This includes discussion ofwaste-related environmental justice issues such as the disproportionate impact ofwaste pollution on low-income communities, gender and equity considerations in thewaste sector, or recognition of informal waste workers. Ratings for this section alsoinclude any participatory processes that countries engaged in to better include civilsociety and workers, particularly the informal sector, in the development of wastesector goals discussed in their NDCs.

Positive practices (+1) Ambiguous practices to beused with caution (+0) Detrimental practices (-1)

Better separate collection Landfill gas capture and/oruse

“Waste to energy”incineration

Recycling New sanitary landfills Refuse-derived fuel incement plants

Composting "Green hydrogen”from waste*

Single-use plastic bans “Chemical plasticrecycling” †

Extended ProducerResponsibility

Programs/Laws

Reuse programs

Circular economy goals(must include specific laws,

targets, or programs)

“3R’s” principle

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AndorraAngolaAntigua and BarbudaArgentinaArmeniaAustraliaBangladeshBarbadosBelizeBhutanBosnia and HerzegovinaBrazilBrunei DarussalamBurundiCabo VerdeCambodiaCanadaChileColombiaCosta RicaCubaDominican RepublicEthiopiaEuropean UnionFijiGambiaGeorgiaGrenadaGuineaHondurasIcelandIndonesiaIsraelJamaicaJapanKenyaKyrgyzstanLaosLebanonLiberiaMalawiMalaysiaMaldivesMarshall IslandsMauritiusMexicoMonacoMongolia

123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930313233343536373839404142434445464748

Country Overall discussionof waste

Proposed wastemanagement practices

Environmental justice andcivil society engagement

COUNTRY RATINGS

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MontenegroMoroccoMyanmarNamibiaNepalNew ZealandNicaraguaNigeriaNorth KoreaNorth MacedoniaNorwayOmanPalestinePanamaPapua New GuineaParaguayPeruPhilippinesQatarRepublic of MoldovaRepublic of the CongoRussiaRwandaSaint LuciaSamoaSão Tomé and PríncipeSenegalSeychellesSierra LeoneSingaporeSolomon IslandsSomaliaSouth AfricaSouth KoreaSouth SudanSri LankaSudanSurinameSwitzerlandTanzaniaThailandTongaTunisiaUkraineUnited Arab EmiratesUnited KingdomUnited States of AmericaVanuatuViet NamZambiaZimbabwe

495051525354555657585960616263646566676869707172737475767778798081828384858687888990919293949596979899

Country Overall discussionof waste

Proposed wastemanagement practices

Environmental justice andcivil society engagement

See more detailed analysis of each NDC at: www.no-burn.org/cop26-NDCs

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AcknowledgementThis report was written and edited by John Ribeiro-Broomhead and NeilTangri. Doun Moon contributed to the analysis of NDCs with help of TiffanyHernandez. Reviewers and other contributors include Cecilia Allen, ClaireArkin, Agnes Mampusti, Yobel Novian Putra, Janek Vähk, Mariel Vilella, andMonica Wilson. It was designed by Doun Moon.

This publication has been made possible in part through funding from thePlastic Solutions Fund (PSF). The views expressed in this publication do notnecessarily reflect those of PSF. This report or its parts may be reproducedfor non-commercial purposes provided the source is fully acknowledged.Reproduction for sale or commercial purposes is prohibited without writtenpermission of the copyright holder.

Available online at: www.no-burn.org/cop26-NDCsDOI: www.doi.org/10.46556/XZHC5650

©2021 Global Alliance for Incinerator Alternatives1958 University Avenue, Berkeley, CA 94704, USA

www.no-burn.org

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AppendixPositive interventions in the waste sector

Better separate collection: Separate collection is keyto successful waste diversion from disposal. Inparticular, separate collection is critical toimplementing treatment solutions for organic waste,which produces large quantities of methane whenlandfilled. According to the Global MethaneAssessment, ending the landfilling of organic waste isa priority intervention to rapidly reduce globalmethane emissions and stabilize globaltemperatures.32 Treatment solutions for organicwaste include composting, animal feed, andanaerobic digestion. Separate collection alsofacilitates recycling which reduces the need for moreraw material production and associated emissions.

Recycling: Metal, paper, and glass recycling iseffective at recovering raw material to replace virginmaterials that would otherwise have to be mined orlogged, saving energy, resources, and carbonemissions. While plastic recycling faces economiccompetition from cheap virgin plastic and thetechnical challenge of recycling a wide variety ofcommercial plastics, it is still preferable to landfilling.

Composting: Because the majority of waste-relatedemissions are due to anaerobic decomposition oforganic matter in landfills or wastewater, separatingout and composting organic material is one of the mosteffective ways to reduce GHG emissions in the wastesector. Composting is also affordable, generates morejobs than landfilling, and turns organic waste into auseful product that can be sold to offset its operationalcosts and benefit local economies.

Reuse: Material reuse (e.g., using mugs instead ofsingle-use coffee cups) is an effective “upstream”management practice that reduces the need for newmaterial production in the first place, savingresources, energy, and carbon emissions.

Plastic bans: As an “upstream” waste intervention,bans on plastic, particularly single-use plastic items,avoid the fossil fuels, energy, and associated carbonemissions required to produce new plastic. Atransition away from fossil fuels must include areduction in the society’s dependence on plastic, andplastic bans are an important step towards that goal.

Extended Producer Responsibility (EPR): Extendedproducer responsibility laws require producers ofconsumer goods to take full lifecycle responsibilityfor their products or packaging, either by directlymanaging their products once they have reached theend of their useful lives, or by redesigning productsso that they can be better suited for reuse, repair, orrecycling. The ultimate goal of EPR is to reduce theneed for new material production, saving rawresources, energy, and greenhouse gas emissions.

Circular economy: In a “circular economy,” consumerproducts are designed for durability, reuse,remanufacturing, and recycling, in an effort togenerate value from materials that would bediscarded in traditional waste systems, with theultimate aim of eliminating waste completely. Thisreduces the need for resource extraction, newmaterial production, and downstream wastemanagement, saving energy and greenhouse gasemissions at every step. NDCs only received credit forthis topic if their plan included specific goals, laws,campaigns, or programs for circular economydevelopment. NDCs that simply stated thedevelopment of a circular economy as a goal did notreceive credit.

3R’s: The “3R’s” of waste management (reduce, reuse,recycle) are a collection of upstream and downstreaminterventions that reduce the need for new materialproduction, saving energy, natural resources, andgreenhouse gas emissions. NDCs that discuss plansto better implement “the 3R’s,” but do not providespecific details on what those plans include, receiveonly one point, rather than a point for each “R”separately.

Ambiguous interventions/interventions to use withcaution

Landfill gas capture and burning: Landfill gascontains about 50% methane from thedecomposition of organic matter buried in landfills.Globally, landfills are one of the largest sources ofanthropogenic methane emissions. While greenhousegas emissions from landfills can be reduced bycapturing and burning the methane released fromlandfills, forward-looking NDCs should ultimately relyon measures that eliminate organic waste in landfillsor prevent waste in the first place, rather thanstrategies that simply mitigate the negativeconsequences of poor organic waste management.

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While landfill gas capture does reduce GHG emissionsrelative to current practice, deeper cuts are possiblethrough better interventions.

New sanitary landfill construction: With extensivecomposting, recycling, and circular economicpolicies, the need for landfills should be greatlyreduced, and countries should be focusing on thesemore sustainable, less carbon-intensive managementstrategies. However, in many countries withoutadequate waste management systems orinfrastructure, sanitary landfills may be preferable tocurrent practices like open dumping or burning ofwaste. As zero waste measures take hold, the needfor sanitary landfills will decrease dramatically,necesitating closure and restoration.

Detrimental interventions

“Waste-to-energy” incineration: Incinerators are amajor source of greenhouse gas emissions, displacerenewable energy sources, and destroy resourcesthat could otherwise be recovered through repair,composting, or recycling. Incinerators are expensiveand rely on a continuous stream of waste to coveroperational costs, disincentivizing waste reductionand creating the need for new materials to beextracted and produced, all of which generates more,not fewer, greenhouse gas emissions. The electricitygenerated by "waste-to-energy" facilities is morecarbon-intensive than the energy it displaces, whichis increasingly generated from renewable sources.

Refuse-derived fuel: Refuse-derived fuel, likeincineration, turns waste that could otherwise bereused, composted, or recycled, into air pollution andgreenhouse gas emissions through a polluting andenergy intensive production process. It is frequentlylabeled “alternative fuel” and burned in cement kilns.

Chemical “recycling” and other thermal treatments:The heating process required to break down plasticwaste in chemical recycling and other high-temperature treatments demands large amounts ofenergy, and results in toxic air pollutants, greenhousegas emissions, and toxic waste. Furthermore, muchof the plastic material in chemical “recycling”processes is lost due to technological challenges, andvery little new plastic is actually produced. In thisway, chemical recycling does little to offset the needfor new plastic production, and perpetuatesdependence on fossil fuels.

“Green hydrogen” from waste: “Green hydrogen”refers to hydrogen fuel made from water and arenewable electricity source. Waste-to-energy is nota renewable or low-carbon source of electricity, so“waste-derived green hydrogen” is not in fact greenhydrogen at all, but a high-emissions means ofmaking hydrogen.

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Endnotes1. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC).2021. Climate Change 2021: The Physical Science Basis.Contribution of Working Group I to the SixthAssessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel onClimate Change. AR6. https://www.ipcc.ch/report/ar6/wg1.

2. IPCC 2021.

3. Azoulay, David et al. 2019. Plastic & Health: TheHidden Costs of a Plastic Planet. CIEL. https://www.ciel.org/wp-content/uploads/2019/02/Plastic-and-Health-The-Hidden-Costs-of-a-Plastic-Planet-February-2019.pdf.

4. Azoulay et al. 2019.

5. Powell, David. 2018. The Price is Right...Or is it? TheCase for Taxing Plastic. London, UK: New EconomicsFoundation. https://zerowasteeurope.eu/library/the-price-is-right-or-is-it-the-case-for-taxing-plastics.

6. Miller, Simon, Meadhbh Bolger, and Larissa Copello.2019. Reusable solutions: how governments can helpstop single-use plastic pollution. Oxford, UK: RethinkPlastic alliance and the Break Free From Plasticmovement. https://rethinkplasticalliance.eu/wp-content/uploads/2019/10/bffp_rpa_reusable_solutions_report.pdf.

7. Vilella, Mariel. 2020. New Business Models CuttingBack on Single-Use Plastic. Manchester: SustainableConsumption Institute. https://zerowasteeurope.eu/library/new-business-models-cutting-back-on-single-use-plastic.

8. Hogg, Dominic and Ann Ballinger. 2015. ThePotential Contribution of Waste Management to a LowCarbon Economy. Bristol: Eunomia Research &Consulting Ltd. https://www.eunomia.co.uk/reports-tools/the-potential-contribution-of-waste-management-to-a-low-carbon-economy.

9. Wilson, David C. et al. 2015. Global wastemanagement outlook. Vienna, Austria: United NationsEnvironment Programme. https://www.unep.org/resources/report/global-waste-management-outlook.

10. Global Alliance for Incinerator Alternatives (GAIA).2021. “Cities Around the World Are Joining the Zero

Waste Revolution.” Accessed October 12, 2021. https://zerowasteworld.org.

11. Hillman, Karl et al. 2015. Benefits of MaterialRecycling: Inventory of Average Greenhouse GasEmissions for Denmark, Norway and Sweden.Copenhagen: Nordisk Ministerråd. http://urn.kb.se/resolve?urn=urn:nbn:se:norden:org:diva-3965.

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13. Favoino, Enzo and Dominic Hogg. 2008. “ThePotential Role of Compost in Reducing GreenhouseGases.” Waste Management & Research 26 (1): 61–69.https://doi.org/10.1177/0734242X08088584.

14. Silver, Whendee, Sintana E. Vergara, and AllegraMayer. 2018. Greenhouse Gas Mitigation Potential ofComposting and Soil Amendments on California’sRangelands. CCC4A-CNRA-2018-002. Berkeley, CA:California Natural Resources Agency. https://www.energy.ca.gov/sites/default/files/2019-11/Agriculture_CCCA4-CNRA-2018-002_ADA.pdf.

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16. Morris, Jeffrey, H. Scott Matthews, and ClarissaMorawski. 2013. “Review and Meta-Analysis of 82Studies on End-of-Life Management Methods forSource Separated Organics.” Waste Management,Special Thematic Issue: Urban Mining 33 (3): 545–51.https://doi.org/10.1016/j.wasman.2012.08.004.

17. Ravishankara, A. R. et al. 2021. Global MethaneAssessment: Benefits and Costs of Mitigating MethaneEmissions. Nairobi: United Nations EnvironmentProgramme. https://www.unep.org/resources/report/global-methane-assessment-benefits-and-costs-mitigating-methane-emissions.

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23. USEPA. 2006. Solid Waste Management andGreenhouse Gases: A Life-Cycle Assessment ofEmissions and Sinks. US Environmental ProtectionAgency.

24. Ribeiro-Broomhead, John and Neil Tangri. 2021.Zero Waste and Economic Recovery: The Job CreationPotential of Zero Waste Solutions. Berkeley, CA: GlobalAlliance for Incinerator Alternatives. www.doi.org/10.46556/GFWE6885.

25. Baptista, Ana Isabel and Adrienne Perovich. 2019.U.S. Municipal Solid Waste Incinerators: An Industry inDecline. The New School Tishman Environment andDesign Center. https://www.no-burn.org/industryindecline/.

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27. Vilella, Mariel. 2019. Waste-to-Energy Is NotSustainable Business, the EU Says. Zero Waste Europe.https://zerowasteeurope.eu/library/waste-to-energy-is-not-sustainable-business-the-eu-says/.

28. Personal communications with Alejandra Parrafrom RADA and Soledad Mella from AsociaciónMovimiento Nacional de Recicladores de base Chile.

29. Cerrell Associates. 1984. Political DifficultiesFacing Waste-to-Energy Conversion Plant Siting. http://www.ejnet.org/ej/cerrell.pdf.

30. Bullard, Robert D. et al. 2007. Toxic Wastes andRace at Twenty 1987-2007. Cleveland, OH: UnitedChurch of Christ. https://www.ucc.org/wp-content/uploads/2021/03/toxic-wastes-and-race-at-twenty-1987-2007.pdf.

31. Hughes, Kristin. 2018. Waste pickers are slippingthrough the cracks. Here's how we can support theseessential workers during the COVID-19 crisis. WorldEconomic Forum. https://www.weforum.org/agenda/2020/09/waste-pickers-are-slipping-through-the-cracks-covid-19-informal-sector-essential-workers-support/.

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