lieutenant general sir nicholas carter
Upload: royal-united-services-institute-for-defence-and-security-studies
Post on 07-May-2015
603 views
DESCRIPTION
This is a presentation delivered by Lieutenant General Sir Nicholas Carter at the RUSI Land Warfare Conference 2014.TRANSCRIPT
![Page 1: Lieutenant General Sir Nicholas Carter](https://reader035.vdocument.in/reader035/viewer/2022062510/554ade11b4c9056a798b4d2f/html5/thumbnails/1.jpg)
Realising a post-campaign approach
Lieutenant General Sir Nicholas Carter KCB CBE DSO
![Page 2: Lieutenant General Sir Nicholas Carter](https://reader035.vdocument.in/reader035/viewer/2022062510/554ade11b4c9056a798b4d2f/html5/thumbnails/2.jpg)
Strengths Resilient, combat hardened, and self confident Comfortable with mission command and
decentralization Accomplished COIN tactics / equipment Air / Land integration CIED skills Dismounted close combat and targeting
operations Influence operations Tactical bases and infrastructure Materiel and personnel exploitation Combat medicine
Weaknesses Combined Arms manoeuvre and mobile
operations Unfamiliar with general phases of war (e.g.
defence, offense, transitional phases), air defence, suppression and CBRN
Unaccustomed to having to take unlimited risk in order to win – the ruthless streak?
FOB bound and averse to austerity Unrealistic expectation of resources Ability to train one’s own organization
Opportunities Time to do things properly, to be educated, to
rebuild core skills and invest in people Freedom to train more broadly Challenge of innovation and imagination Public support Forward engagement – soft use of hard power
Threats Economic pressure Post COIN political and public appetite for
‘entanglements’ and interventions Legal challenge Ever rising equipment and personnel costs
The British Army post-Afghanistan
![Page 3: Lieutenant General Sir Nicholas Carter](https://reader035.vdocument.in/reader035/viewer/2022062510/554ade11b4c9056a798b4d2f/html5/thumbnails/3.jpg)
A new post-campaign approach
• A continuum of persistent engagement in which the soft end of hard power is used to achieve effect, to establish insight and understanding, and to allow one to act with precision and agility
![Page 4: Lieutenant General Sir Nicholas Carter](https://reader035.vdocument.in/reader035/viewer/2022062510/554ade11b4c9056a798b4d2f/html5/thumbnails/4.jpg)
A new post-campaign approach
• A continuum of persistent engagement in which the soft end of hard power is used to achieve effect, to establish insight and understanding, and to allow one to act with precision and agility
• A ‘people-centric’ approach that recognizes a changed character of conflict
![Page 5: Lieutenant General Sir Nicholas Carter](https://reader035.vdocument.in/reader035/viewer/2022062510/554ade11b4c9056a798b4d2f/html5/thumbnails/5.jpg)
A new post-campaign approach
• A continuum of persistent engagement in which the soft end of hard power is used to achieve effect, to establish insight and understanding, and to allow one to act with precision and agility
• A ‘people-centric’ approach that recognizes a changed character of conflict
• A redefined divisional level of command that is scalable, integrated and which underwrites the soft use of hard power
![Page 6: Lieutenant General Sir Nicholas Carter](https://reader035.vdocument.in/reader035/viewer/2022062510/554ade11b4c9056a798b4d2f/html5/thumbnails/6.jpg)
The continuum of persistent engagement
Enduring Stabilisation
(Phase 4)
Intervention (Phase 2 & 3)
ForwardEngagement (Phase Zero)
Deterrence (Phase 1)
Post-Conflict Capacity Building
(Phase 5)
![Page 7: Lieutenant General Sir Nicholas Carter](https://reader035.vdocument.in/reader035/viewer/2022062510/554ade11b4c9056a798b4d2f/html5/thumbnails/7.jpg)
Insight and understanding
‘Every age has its follies, but the folly of our age has been an irresistible desire to change the world without first studying and understanding it.’
Antonio Giustozzi
![Page 8: Lieutenant General Sir Nicholas Carter](https://reader035.vdocument.in/reader035/viewer/2022062510/554ade11b4c9056a798b4d2f/html5/thumbnails/8.jpg)
![Page 9: Lieutenant General Sir Nicholas Carter](https://reader035.vdocument.in/reader035/viewer/2022062510/554ade11b4c9056a798b4d2f/html5/thumbnails/9.jpg)
“France has developed a deep understanding of Mali and the region through historical ties, mature OGD representation, and regionally based military forces; this allowed them to intervene without detailed plans but with a feel for what was possible.”
UK MOD Assessment
Generating precision and agility
![Page 10: Lieutenant General Sir Nicholas Carter](https://reader035.vdocument.in/reader035/viewer/2022062510/554ade11b4c9056a798b4d2f/html5/thumbnails/10.jpg)
A new post-campaign approach
• A continuum of persistent engagement in which the soft end of hard power is used to achieve effect, to establish insight and understanding, and to allow one to act with precision and agility
• A ‘people-centric’ approach that recognizes a changed character of conflict
• A redefined divisional level of command that is scalable, integrated and which underwrites the soft use of hard power
![Page 11: Lieutenant General Sir Nicholas Carter](https://reader035.vdocument.in/reader035/viewer/2022062510/554ade11b4c9056a798b4d2f/html5/thumbnails/11.jpg)
Manoeuvre is now multi-dimensional …
![Page 12: Lieutenant General Sir Nicholas Carter](https://reader035.vdocument.in/reader035/viewer/2022062510/554ade11b4c9056a798b4d2f/html5/thumbnails/12.jpg)
“The defeat of the insurgents in the military sense may assist in, but does not translate into victory for the coalition, because the interpretation of the conflict in military metrics may well be a frame of reference to which most audiences do not subscribe.”
Emile Simpson
... and perception is now the key
![Page 13: Lieutenant General Sir Nicholas Carter](https://reader035.vdocument.in/reader035/viewer/2022062510/554ade11b4c9056a798b4d2f/html5/thumbnails/13.jpg)
“The political fragmentation that characterises the Afghan conflict is likely to point to the future of contemporary conflict rather than prove an anomaly … there are endless ‘actors’ and ‘audiences’, which often overlap ... the conflict is far more of a game of musical chairs than a two-way fight.”
Emile Simpson
... involving multiple audiences
![Page 14: Lieutenant General Sir Nicholas Carter](https://reader035.vdocument.in/reader035/viewer/2022062510/554ade11b4c9056a798b4d2f/html5/thumbnails/14.jpg)
A ‘people-centric’ approach
Objective
![Page 15: Lieutenant General Sir Nicholas Carter](https://reader035.vdocument.in/reader035/viewer/2022062510/554ade11b4c9056a798b4d2f/html5/thumbnails/15.jpg)
A ‘people-centric’ approach
WarlordClan / TribeInstitutionOpponentAlly
Audience
Objective
![Page 16: Lieutenant General Sir Nicholas Carter](https://reader035.vdocument.in/reader035/viewer/2022062510/554ade11b4c9056a798b4d2f/html5/thumbnails/16.jpg)
A ‘people-centric’ approach
WarlordClan / TribeInstitutionOpponentAlly
Audience
DestroyMarginalizeReconcileProtect
Effect
Objective
![Page 17: Lieutenant General Sir Nicholas Carter](https://reader035.vdocument.in/reader035/viewer/2022062510/554ade11b4c9056a798b4d2f/html5/thumbnails/17.jpg)
A ‘people-centric’ approach
KineticsCyber / EWDynamic narrativeConversationDeceptionCoercionCash
WarlordClan / TribeInstitutionOpponentAlly
Audience
Method
DestroyMarginalizeReconcileProtect
Effect
Objective
![Page 18: Lieutenant General Sir Nicholas Carter](https://reader035.vdocument.in/reader035/viewer/2022062510/554ade11b4c9056a798b4d2f/html5/thumbnails/18.jpg)
Less about kinetics – more about soft power
![Page 19: Lieutenant General Sir Nicholas Carter](https://reader035.vdocument.in/reader035/viewer/2022062510/554ade11b4c9056a798b4d2f/html5/thumbnails/19.jpg)
Responding to the information environment
![Page 20: Lieutenant General Sir Nicholas Carter](https://reader035.vdocument.in/reader035/viewer/2022062510/554ade11b4c9056a798b4d2f/html5/thumbnails/20.jpg)
“Contemporary warfare is a form of theatre, played out by a small, separate group, orchestrated by a team of unseen directors, stage managers and lighting engineers, but watched by many more.”
Rupert Smith 2005
A form of theatre
![Page 21: Lieutenant General Sir Nicholas Carter](https://reader035.vdocument.in/reader035/viewer/2022062510/554ade11b4c9056a798b4d2f/html5/thumbnails/21.jpg)
A ‘people-centric’ approach
KineticsCyber / EWDynamic narrativeConversationDeceptionCoercionCash
RedWhiteGreenBlack
Information
WarlordClan / TribeInstitutionOpponentAlly
Audience
Method
DestroyMarginalizeReconcileProtect
Effect
Objective
![Page 22: Lieutenant General Sir Nicholas Carter](https://reader035.vdocument.in/reader035/viewer/2022062510/554ade11b4c9056a798b4d2f/html5/thumbnails/22.jpg)
A new post-campaign approach
• A continuum of persistent engagement in which the soft end of hard power is used to achieve effect, to establish insight and understanding, and to allow one to act with precision and agility
• A ‘people-centric’ approach that recognizes a changed character of conflict
• A redefined divisional level of command that is scalable, integrated and which underwrites the soft use of hard power
![Page 23: Lieutenant General Sir Nicholas Carter](https://reader035.vdocument.in/reader035/viewer/2022062510/554ade11b4c9056a798b4d2f/html5/thumbnails/23.jpg)
A redefined divisional level of command
• It will continue to be the lowest level where:– Operational art is practised– We plan and execute simultaneous tactical engagements in a
conceptual framework of deep, close and rear– We would be prepared to war fight
![Page 24: Lieutenant General Sir Nicholas Carter](https://reader035.vdocument.in/reader035/viewer/2022062510/554ade11b4c9056a798b4d2f/html5/thumbnails/24.jpg)
An illustrative division
![Page 25: Lieutenant General Sir Nicholas Carter](https://reader035.vdocument.in/reader035/viewer/2022062510/554ade11b4c9056a798b4d2f/html5/thumbnails/25.jpg)
A redefined divisional level of command
• It will continue to be the lowest level where:– Operational art is practised– We plan and execute simultaneous tactical engagements in a
conceptual framework of deep, close and rear– We would be prepared to war fight
• Increasingly we should think about it being scalable and integrated so that it can execute operations using the full range of Joint, inter-agency and wider non kinetic effects
![Page 26: Lieutenant General Sir Nicholas Carter](https://reader035.vdocument.in/reader035/viewer/2022062510/554ade11b4c9056a798b4d2f/html5/thumbnails/26.jpg)
A new post-campaign approach
• A continuum of persistent engagement in which the soft end of hard power is used to achieve effect, to establish insight and understanding, and to allow one to act with precision and agility
• A ‘people-centric’ approach that recognizes a changed character of conflict
• A redefined divisional level of command that is scalable, integrated and which underwrites the soft use of hard power
![Page 27: Lieutenant General Sir Nicholas Carter](https://reader035.vdocument.in/reader035/viewer/2022062510/554ade11b4c9056a798b4d2f/html5/thumbnails/27.jpg)