lisa and esa’s cosmic vision 2015-2025 programme · trp trl < 3 27% ctp trl > 3 38%...

7th International LISA Symposium, Barcelona, 16-June-2008

LISA and ESA’s Cosmic Vision 2015-2025 Programme

J. ClavelHead, Astrophysics Mission Division, Science Directorate of ESA


Missions in preparation

Herschel-Planck2008

Herschel-Planck2008

Lisa-Pathfinder2010

Lisa-Pathfinder2010

Corot (CNES-ESA)

2006

Corot (CNES-ESA)

2006

JWST(NASA-ESA-CSA)

2013

JWST(NASA-ESA-CSA)

2013

Gaia2011Gaia2011

Bepi-Colombo2013

Bepi-Colombo2013

Solar Orbiter

(ESA-NASA)2015

Solar Orbiter

(ESA-NASA)2015

Chandrayan(ISRO-ESA)

2008

Chandrayan(ISRO-ESA)

2008Microscope(CNES-ESA)

2010

Microscope(CNES-ESA)

2010

20072007 20082008 20102010 2012201220062006 2013201320052005 20092009 20112011 20142014 20152015 20162016 20172017


ESA’s new long term plan for space science

ESA’s new long term plan for space science


Cosmic Vision 2015-2025 process

• Call for Science Themes in Spring 2004• Responses analysed by ESA’s advisory structure in July 2004• Workshop with community in Paris in September 2004 (400 participants)• Spring 2005: the Cosmic Vision Plan was presented to the community• Plan should cover one decade, with 3 Calls for Missions planned


Four “Grand Themes” identified

1. What are the conditions for life and planetary formation?

2. How does the Solar System work?3. What are the fundamental laws of the

Universe?4. How did the Universe originate and

what is it made of?


Cosmic Vision process

• First “Call for Missions” issued in 1st Q 2007• 50 proposals received by June 2007 deadline• Selection process by advisory structure on behalf of scientific

community during summer 2007• Final recommendation from SSAC in October 2007


The ESA program is chosen by the Scientific Community…..

European Science Community

Solar SystemWorking

Group

FundamentalPhysics

Advisory Group

Astronomy WorkingGroup

Space ScienceAdvisory

Committee

Membership ofadvisory bodies is

determined by individual scientific standing

MemberStates

ESF Space Science

CommitteeX-member

ESA ExecutiveDG, D/Sci

Advice

(implementation)

Science ProgrammeCommittee

Recom

mendati

ons

(resource)


Cosmic vision process for 1st slice

• 2 launch opportunities, for 2017/2018• Currently planning 1 Medium (2017) plus 1 Large (2018) mission

– L capped ca. 650 M€, M capped ca. 300 M€ ESA cost– Payload funded separately by ESA member states– Other mixes of mission sizes possible– Programmatic to be reviewed according to budget evolution


Cosmic Vision 2015-2025Cycle 1 selection outcome

Seven missions selected for assessment over 2008-2009– Five M-class missions (ESA cost < 300 ME)

• Goal: Down-selection of 2 M-missions end 2009 and implementation of 1 M-mission in 2011, launch 2017

– Two L-class missions (ESA cost < 650 ME)• Compete with LISA• Goal: Down-selection of 2 L-Missions end 2009 and

implementation of 1 L-mission in 2011, launch 2018 – A number of science mission themes highly ranked,

requiring technology developments to enable readiness at the time of the next Call for Missions

Next Call foreseen in 2011


M class missions

Cross-ScalePlasma physics

Marco-Polo NEO sample return

in collaboration with JAXA

SPICA3.5 m IR observatory

Mission of opportunity, in collaboration with JAXAPLATO

Exoplanet detection & star characterization

EUCLID (Dark Energy)

Deep space survey


L class missions

XeusX rays observatory

ESA/JAXA/… collaboration

LISAGravitational waves measurement

ESA/NASA collaboration

Tandemmission to Saturn/Titan

Laplacemission to the Jupiter system

Outer Planet Mission, ESA/NASA/JAXA collaboration


Science Programme Implementation

Three step process from the Mission candidate selection to the launch• Assessment Phase

Nominal duration is ~ 2 years. Mission studies, Phase 0/A levelEnables mission down-selection for the Definition Phase: Mission concept, programmatic assessment, technology readiness evaluation

• Definition PhaseNominal duration is ~ 2 years. Mission studies, Phase A/B1 levelEnables mission adoption for Implementation Phase: Mission consolidation (technical & programmatic), technology readiness evaluation & preparation

• Implementation PhaseTypical duration is ~ 5-6 years,Industrial team build-up and spacecraft manufacturing, Phases B2/C/D


Mission down-selection process

AssessmentPhase

DefinitionPhase

ImplementationPhase


Payload Development Approach


Payload provision by Member States

• The traditional baseline of delivery of instruments to ESA by the Member States is maintained– Actual Member States contribution depend on the mission (payload

categories, see next viewgraph)

• ESA is in charge of technology developments for spacecraft items which will be produced through ESA Industrial Contracts

• The Member States are in charge of technology developments for payload Items which will be provided by the Member States


Payload categories

Payload = Instrument or instrument suite. Hardware from useful signal collection/detection device to digital output signal

Category CShared payloadESA + Institutes

(Herschel)

Category BPayload = Instrument suite

from science institutes(Bepi Colombo)

Category A“ESA only” Payload

(Gaia)


SPRT recommendations on Payload development

• Complete Payload Phase A/B1 before entering Implementation Phase• Move Payload selection (AO) at the beginning of Definition Phase• Perform Instrument assessment study before entering Definition Phase

Assessment Phase Definition Phase Implementation Phase~ 2 years ~ 2 years ~ 5-6 years

Mission selection

Down-selection& Payload AO

Missionadoption Launch

Assessment studies Design consolidation& pre-developments

Development

n missions two missions one mission

SpacecraftAnd

Payloadactivities

ESA /Member States

agreementsLOE MLA

Illustration for the case of M missions


Payload categories for the selected CV missions

Effective Member State provision will be first evaluated at end of the Assessment PhaseFormalisation through Instrument AO and Letters Of Endorsement (LOE) at the beginning of the Definition Phase

Mission Payload category

Member state provision As resulting from the science proposals

Marco-Polo B Instrument suite Cross-scale B Instrument suite

Laplace/Tandem B Instrument suite PLATO C Focal planes, and potentially the whole

instruments, TBC. EUCLID C Focal planes (IR and VIS), TBC. SPICA C Telescope provided by ESA. SAFARI cryo

instrument provided by science institutes under ESA management.

XEUS C Optics under ESA responsibility, cryogenic elements TBD, focal plane instruments

provided by institutes LISA A TBD


Cosmic Vision Implementation Logic and Status


Cosmic Vision Implementation

• Mission Assessment StudiesESA internal studies & industrial studies, phase 0/A levelProgrammatic inputs for down-selection processCompleted by end 2009 for M missions

• Science Instrument Assessment StudiesNational activities conducted in parallel to ESA system studiesEnable robust spacecraft definition and Technology Readiness evaluation by the end of the Assessment Phase,Enable instrument selection process (AO) at the beginning of the Definition Phase

• Technology Development PlanFor the entire spacecraft, including science instruments, aiming at TRL ≥ 5 before the Implementation PhasePayload related activities to be reviewed and endorsed by Member States


Implementation Status (1/2)

• ESA internal studies are completed for all M missions and are on going for the L missions

• ITTs for industrial studies have been issued for the four M missions and for SPICA telescope study– Industrial studies will start in July-Sept 08– Study completion mid Sept 09, compatible with down-selection end

2009• XEUS and Outer Planet mission industrial studies planned in 2009

– Internal studies will be completed by Sept 08– Down-selection of outer planet mission (choice between Tandem

and Laplace) planned in November 2008– Schedule highly dependent on international collaboration definition

progress• Technology Development Plan is elaborated and is being implemented


Implementation Status (2/2):Instrument Studies

• The Call for Declaration of Interest for Instrument studies was issued for all M missions: – SPICA/SAFARI instrument team in place– Responses expected by end June 08 for Plato, Cross-Scale and

Marco-Polo, mid-July for Euclid,– ESA evaluation will be made in July 08– Convergence with Member States expected by end Sept 08, – The instrument studies will be made in parallel with industrial studies

• XEUS and Outer Planet Call for Instrument Studies will be phased with the corresponding industrial ITTs– Expected by end 2008– Instrument studies will be made in parallel with industrial studies


Technology Development Plan Logic


ESA / Member States respective responsibilities

• Separation line between ESA and Member States needs to be defined for Payload Category C Missions

• General approach followed for the TDP elaboration– Large and complex payload elements that are strongly interleaved

with the spacecraft design remain under ESA responsibility.• This applies to XEUS telescope and LISA (TBC ?)

– Focal plane instruments are under Member States responsibility. • This applies to SAFARI (SPICA), and XEUS focal plane

instruments such as WFI or NFI. – For cryogenic instruments, the last cryogenic stage(s) which are

physically embedded in the instrument are assumed to be part of the instrument assembly


Technology Readiness needs

Strict need is TRL ≥ 5 for the whole spacecraft including the payload, before entering implementation phase

Technology readiness will be evaluated for the down-selection steps in 2009 and 2011In 2009, if TRL 5 is not met: Technical assessment for evaluating the probability to reach TRL 5 by 2011In 2011, for the Mission Adoption: Development risk assessment -schedule, cost and technology readiness – before entering the Implementation phase

TRL 5 definition: Component or breadboard validation in relevant environment


Technology Programmes

TRP TRL < 3

27%

CTPTRL > 3

38%

NationalP/L activities

35%

• Overall plan amount ~ 105 MEuros• National activities implementation scheme is TBD by Nov 2008• The Technology Development Plan will be regularly updated according

to the outcome of the system studies and to the CV plan evolution


End

lisa and esa’s cosmic vision 2015-2025 programme · trp trl < 3 27% ctp trl > 3 38%...

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