living landscape program conceptual models strategic planning at a project scale
Post on 19-Dec-2015
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TRANSCRIPT
Simple version of reality
Car moves forward
Turn key in ignition
Press foot on pedal
Put car in gear
Fuel flows to engine
Starter motorEngine starts
Release clutch
Conceptual Model
Threat (Indirect)
Threat (Direct)
Threat (Indirect)
Threat (Direct)
Threat (Indirect)
Threat (Direct)
Intervention
Intervention
Goal
Conservation Target Conservation Target
Threat (Direct)
Divide to keep simple
Threat (Indirect)
Threat (Direct)
Threat (Direct)
Intervention
Intervention
Goal
Conservation Target
Threat (Indirect)
Threat (Direct)
Threat (Indirect)
Intervention
Goal
Conservation Target
Threat (Direct)
Goal
GoalConserve wildlife and their
habitat in the Mamiraua landscape over the long-
term
GoalPreserve ecosystem function and viable
populations of all wildlife in the Apolobamba region
GoalConserve biodiversity in
Belize’s mangrove forests
Conservation Targets
Conservation TargetViable populations of black
howlers are conserved across the Peten
Conservation TargetThe density of jaguar
recovers to levels comparable to Cockscomb,
Belize
Conservation TargetForest habitat within the
park remains unfragmented
Direct Threat
Threat (Direct)Unsustainable hunting
Threat (Direct)Housing development
Threat (Direct)Unsustainable logging
Threat (Direct)Expansion of water lily
Threat (Direct)Oil spill
Habitat Loss Species depletion
Pollution Invasion of exotic species
Indirect ThreatThreat (Indirect)
No zoning regulations
Threat (Indirect)Inadequate law
enforcement
Threat (Indirect)Policy promotes road
building
Threat (Indirect)Conservation impacts
unknown
Threat (Indirect)Management needs of
wildlife unknown Management CapacityUser awareness and interest
Policies, laws, regulations
Interventions
InterventionPolicy reform
InterventionLaw enforcement
InterventionStaff training
InterventionFence repair
InterventionLand mapping & zoning
InterventionApplied research
Process
Threat (Indirect)
Threat (Indirect)
Threat (Indirect)
Goal
Conservation TargetThreat (Direct)
Threat (Direct)
Threat (Direct)
Threat (Direct)
Conservation Target
Process
Threat (Indirect)
Threat (Indirect)
Threat (Indirect)
Goal
Conservation TargetThreat (Direct)
Threat (Direct)
Threat (Direct)
Threat (Direct)
Conservation Target
Process
Threat (Indirect)
Threat (Direct)
Threat (Indirect)
Threat (Direct)
Threat (Indirect)
Threat (Direct)
Intervention
Intervention
Goal
Conservation Target Conservation Target
Threat (Direct)
Reverse Process
Threat (Indirect)
Threat (Indirect)
Threat (Indirect)
InterventionIntervention
Goal
Conservation Target Conservation Target
Threat (Direct)
Threat (Direct)
Threat (Direct)
Threat (Direct)
Intervention
Conceptual Model
GoalConserve wildlife and their habitat in the Pastaza region of Ecuador over the long-term
Conservation TargetMaintain present density of collared
peccaries in Sarayaku territory
Threat (Indirect)Hunting zones not
enforced
Threat (Direct)Overhunting by Jivaro
colonists
Threat (Indirect)Colonists unaware of overhunting, believe
shaman are hiding the game
InterventionResearch link between crop protection and hunting control
InterventionInvolve community in wildlife
population monitoring & research
InterventionOutreach to colonists to raise awareness
Threat (Indirect)Community guards not assigned to
hunting zone enforcement
Threat (Indirect)Community labor focused on crop
protection from agoutis
Threat (Direct)Pesticide and dynamite
fishing
InterventionStudy options to reduce rodent
damage to crops
Conservation TargetMaintain present abundance of armoured
catfish in the Bobonaza river within Sarayaku territory
Threat (Indirect)Decline in wild ‘barbasco’
abundance
InterventionPlant family gardens
of ‘barbasco’ fish poison
InterventionCommunity council
discussion of pesticide and
dynamite fishing
Threat (Direct)Unsustainable
hunting
InterventionEst. NP Mgmt committee
GoalConserve wildlife and their habitat in the Putumayo landscape over the long term
Conservation TargetWhite-lipped peccary populations remain
at present densities and distribution
Conservation TargetNative landcover will not decrease from present
levels within the National Park
Threat (Direct)Unsustainable
fishing
Threat (Direct)Dieoffs from oil pollution
Conservation TargetGiant otter populations expand into 50% of
all class 2 rivers by 2020
Threat (Direct)Farming and Ranching
Threat (Direct)Logging
Threat (Indirect)Oil industry unregulated
Threat (Indirect)Anarchic colonization
Threat (Indirect)Unplanned roads
Threat (Indirect)Insecure land tenureThreat (Indirect)
Park borders not marked
Threat (Indirect)Park borders not
enforced
Threat (Indirect)Weak mgmt capacity
Threat (Indirect)Unclear jurisdiction
Threat (Indirect)Lack of planning
capacity
Threat (Indirect)Lack of planning info
InterventionNP Mgmt plan
InterventionBaseline research on wildlife
InterventionMonitor human use
InterventionSocio-economic
research
InterventionID contradictions in
law
InterventionLand titling
InterventionGov. capacity
InterventionONHAE capacity
InterventionFCUNAE capacity
Working group instructions
• Working group (6-8 people)– Mix of project and non-project staff– One facilitator with experience creating conceptual models
• Help project team to model their project• Model is simpler version of reality not recreation of reality
– Focus only on key components not all components
• Be prepare to come back to the group and describe the key components of your model and to discuss whether the process was useful
• Remember this exercise is very brief and is only to brainstorm a first draft of a project conceptual model that will need to be reviewed, revised and refined over time