lme warehousing presentation at arabal conference 2013

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©2013 Novelis Inc. Nick Madden, SVP and Chief Supply Chain Officer Arabal Conference 2013

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Nick Madden, Novelis Senior Vice President and Chief Supply Chain Officer, presented his take on the recent LME warehousing issues at the 2013 Arabal Conference.

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: LME Warehousing Presentation at Arabal Conference 2013

©2013 Novelis Inc.

Nick Madden, SVP and Chief Supply Chain Officer

Arabal Conference 2013

Page 2: LME Warehousing Presentation at Arabal Conference 2013

How did this situation develop?

Three Questions

What are the key problems?

What are the potential solutions?

Page 3: LME Warehousing Presentation at Arabal Conference 2013

Novelis in One Slide!

3 Source: Novelis estimates, 2012 data

33%in 2010

50% by

2015

80% by

2020

39% in 2012

43% in 2013

80%GOAL

14%

10%

5%

4%4%

4%

57%

Novelis #1 Rolled Products Supplier Worldwide

World’s largest recycler of aluminum

Page 4: LME Warehousing Presentation at Arabal Conference 2013

4

Why has Novelis been so vocal about the LME warehousing issue?

Today we are sourcing about 3 million tonnes

of primary and recycled aluminum.

We are the world’s largest buyer of aluminum.

Page 5: LME Warehousing Presentation at Arabal Conference 2013

How did the warehousing situation develop?

5

$3300 to

$1300/t 20% decline in global consumption

Page 6: LME Warehousing Presentation at Arabal Conference 2013

Issue of Over-Supply

Consumption

Production

Australia

W. Europe

N. America

L. America

Africa

Asia China

E. Europe/CIS

Page 7: LME Warehousing Presentation at Arabal Conference 2013

7

Oswego, New York2 New Automotive

Finishing Lines

Detroit, MI

LME had rules which required the warehouse to ship a minimum of 1,500 tonnes per dayDetroit Stock Depletion and Revenue Jan/2012

Page 8: LME Warehousing Presentation at Arabal Conference 2013

8

Problem Number One: Inflated Premiums

Rise in MWP from 7c/lb to over 12 c/lb

Page 9: LME Warehousing Presentation at Arabal Conference 2013

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Problem Number Two: Supply Chain Risk

September 2011 Wait Time: 5 months

June 2013 Wait Time: 19 months

Page 10: LME Warehousing Presentation at Arabal Conference 2013

10

Consumers over paying for metal by $3 billion per year

“[Al Producers] Are Beneficiaries of Warehouse Logjam”October 24, 2013

Page 11: LME Warehousing Presentation at Arabal Conference 2013

11

What are the potential solutions?

Aluminum Users Group

There should be no queue.

There should be no queue.

Page 12: LME Warehousing Presentation at Arabal Conference 2013

12

“You consumers should be careful what you wish 

for…”-Former Senior LME Executive

blog.novelis.com

Page 13: LME Warehousing Presentation at Arabal Conference 2013

13

Competition from warehouse incentives was a significant driver of premium escalation

LME warehouses should not charge rent once a warrant is cancelled

There should be no queues