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Copyright: SIPC LNG: Demand opportunities and supply challenges Kathleen Eisbrenner Executive Vice-President, Global LNG Shell Gas & Power EIA 2008 Energy Conference Washington D.C., 7 th April 2008

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Page 1: LNG: Demand opportunities and supply challenges · Nigeria LNG: Rapidly growing capacity PLANT CAPACITY (YEAR END 100%, MTPA) 0 5 10 15 20 25 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007. Sakhalin II:

Cop

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ht: SI

PC

LNG: Demand opportunities and supply challenges

Kathleen Eisbrenner

Executive Vice-President, Global LNG

Shell Gas & Power

EIA 2008 Energy Conference

Washington D.C., 7th April 2008

Page 2: LNG: Demand opportunities and supply challenges · Nigeria LNG: Rapidly growing capacity PLANT CAPACITY (YEAR END 100%, MTPA) 0 5 10 15 20 25 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007. Sakhalin II:

The energy challenge

• Population growth

• Economic growth

• More affluent society

• End of ‘easy oil’

• Resource nationalism

• More unconventionals

• Hydrocarbons remain dominant

• CO2 consequences

1. RISING DEMAND 2. SECURITY OF SUPPLY 3. ENVIRONMENT & SOCIETY

Page 3: LNG: Demand opportunities and supply challenges · Nigeria LNG: Rapidly growing capacity PLANT CAPACITY (YEAR END 100%, MTPA) 0 5 10 15 20 25 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007. Sakhalin II:

Major economies are climbing the energy ladder

Page 4: LNG: Demand opportunities and supply challenges · Nigeria LNG: Rapidly growing capacity PLANT CAPACITY (YEAR END 100%, MTPA) 0 5 10 15 20 25 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007. Sakhalin II:

The growing role of LNG

0

1000

2000

3000

4000

2000 2006 2010 2020

TCF

Indigenous & Pipeline Imports LNG % increase over 2000

344%

53%

Sources: BP Statistical Review 2007, CERA 2006, EIA 2006

Page 5: LNG: Demand opportunities and supply challenges · Nigeria LNG: Rapidly growing capacity PLANT CAPACITY (YEAR END 100%, MTPA) 0 5 10 15 20 25 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007. Sakhalin II:

Global market developments

Shell analysis

TODAY2012

29

2012

LNG importers

# Countries

70.6%17

% increaseTODAY

.

.

.

.

.

.

.

LNG importers

LNG exporters

Page 6: LNG: Demand opportunities and supply challenges · Nigeria LNG: Rapidly growing capacity PLANT CAPACITY (YEAR END 100%, MTPA) 0 5 10 15 20 25 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007. Sakhalin II:

Supply challenges

• Growing energy demand

• Natural gas exporting countries

• Competition with exports

• Skyrocketed costs

• Construction delays

• More complex projects

• Large integrated projects

• Technical and project management challenges

1. DOMESTIC DEMAND 2. HIGH EPC COSTS 3. PEOPLE AND SKILLS

Page 7: LNG: Demand opportunities and supply challenges · Nigeria LNG: Rapidly growing capacity PLANT CAPACITY (YEAR END 100%, MTPA) 0 5 10 15 20 25 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007. Sakhalin II:

Energy sector inflation

INDEX (2000 = 100)

80

100

120

140

160

180

200

220

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008

Q3 2007

Q1 2007

Q3 2006

CERA Upstream Capital Cost Index (UCCI)

Page 8: LNG: Demand opportunities and supply challenges · Nigeria LNG: Rapidly growing capacity PLANT CAPACITY (YEAR END 100%, MTPA) 0 5 10 15 20 25 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007. Sakhalin II:

People and skills to deliver complex projects

Construction of Pearl GTL at Ras Laffan Industrial City in Qatar

Page 9: LNG: Demand opportunities and supply challenges · Nigeria LNG: Rapidly growing capacity PLANT CAPACITY (YEAR END 100%, MTPA) 0 5 10 15 20 25 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007. Sakhalin II:

Global market developments

Shell analysis

TODAY2012

18

29

2012

70.5%17LNG importers

LNG exporters

# Countries

20%15

% changeTODAY

.

.

.

.

.

.

.

LNG importers

LNG exporters

Page 10: LNG: Demand opportunities and supply challenges · Nigeria LNG: Rapidly growing capacity PLANT CAPACITY (YEAR END 100%, MTPA) 0 5 10 15 20 25 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007. Sakhalin II:

Nigeria LNG: Rapidly growing capacity

PLANT CAPACITY (YEAR END 100%, MTPA)

0

5

10

15

20

25

1999 2001 2003 2005 2007

Page 11: LNG: Demand opportunities and supply challenges · Nigeria LNG: Rapidly growing capacity PLANT CAPACITY (YEAR END 100%, MTPA) 0 5 10 15 20 25 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007. Sakhalin II:

Sakhalin II: World’s largest integrated oil and gas project

Page 12: LNG: Demand opportunities and supply challenges · Nigeria LNG: Rapidly growing capacity PLANT CAPACITY (YEAR END 100%, MTPA) 0 5 10 15 20 25 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007. Sakhalin II:

Floating LNG (FLNG)

• Unlocking stranded offshore gas accumulations

• Small environmental footprint

• No pipeline or dredging

• Limited onshore support base

• Cyclone tolerant

• Redeployable

Page 13: LNG: Demand opportunities and supply challenges · Nigeria LNG: Rapidly growing capacity PLANT CAPACITY (YEAR END 100%, MTPA) 0 5 10 15 20 25 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007. Sakhalin II:

Shell’s global LNG portfolioLeading position … and 5 new trains under construction

LNG SUPPLY:

IMPORT CAPACITY:

OPERATION CONSTRUCTION

Start up 2008

NLNG T6

Start up 2010+

Qatargas 4

Start up 2008-09

Sakhalin T1 & 2

Start up 2008

NWS T5

Start up 2010+

Pluto

Page 14: LNG: Demand opportunities and supply challenges · Nigeria LNG: Rapidly growing capacity PLANT CAPACITY (YEAR END 100%, MTPA) 0 5 10 15 20 25 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007. Sakhalin II:

The Sakhalin II Phase 2 Project The New Energy Source for ... · AGENDA • Introduction • Sakhalin Island and its Resources • The Sakhalin II PSA • Phase 1 Development •

Sakhalin Ainu

LNG Industry Outlook in Europe, 2014 - Capacity Analysis, Forecasts and Details of All Operating and Planned LNG Terminals

LONG-TERM VARIABILITY OF PELAGIC FISH SPECIES …€¦ · Sakhalin South-eastern Sakhalin Aniva Bay, La Perouse Strait South-western Sakhalin North western Species Sakhalin. Species

Shell's Sakhalin II project: upstream impact of LNG productionbankwatch.org/files/LNG_frisco.pdf · 2008. 3. 3. · Sakhalin-2 project Project’s operator: “Sakhalin Energy Investment

Sakhalin-2: A Translator’s Guideperevodman.ru/sakhalin-2.pdf · 2012-12-29 · Названия компаний на английском языке: Sakhalin Energy Investment

LNG Small scale, large potential - ConferenzaGNL · LNG: characterised by growth • Doubling of trade in LNG predicted • Liquefaction capacity in January 2016: 301.5 mtpa • Liquefaction

Yezo Group Research in Sakhalin—A Historical Review€¦ · Key words: Cretaceous, historical review, Sakhalin, Yezo Group The Cretaceous System in the Makarov Area, Southern Sakhalin,

Exhibit 3 - Home Page | City of North Bend Oregon · Shell's Sakhalin II LNG project: Impacts of LNG production 2002 project design included a LNG jetty of 1,400 m length, and around

Prospects, exports and benefits · Canada Tcf LNG exports Decrease in volume Increase in volumes Changes in Regional LNG Supply/Demand in 2025 (Tcf ) Sakhalin Former Soviet Union

Bahrain LNG enters the debt market - ceps-ech.eu · Last month’s shutdown of a Chinese ... LNG plant on Sakhalin ... schedule. If there are delays, they will incur

Toyo Engineering Corporation Annual Report 2004 · PDF fileand JGC Corporation. One is for the construction of an LNG plant in Sakhalin, Russia, our first LNG project. ... Annual Report

October 2014 2% $25.00 4% CERI Commodity Report ......LNG re-gasification capacity; while there were 17 countries exporting LNG from 86 liquefaction trains with a total capacity of

TheAPEC LNG Workshop Taipei, Taiwan 21-23 March 2005apecenergy.tier.org.tw/database/db/2005EGCFE/session2/S2-3_Vikto… · The Sakhalin-II Project: The New Strategic Energy Source

A HIGH CAPACITY FLOATING LNG DESIGN - Chicago HIGH CAPACITY FLOATING LNG DESIGN Barend Pek ... (FPSO) vessel, the ... (OPEX) and other (like owners cost and contingency)

Eni in LNG · 2019-11-13 · 3 eni in LNG In 2014 eni supplied 4.2 BSCM of feedgas to LNG plants, held 11.2 BSCM of liquefaction capacity, 16.2 BSCM of regas capacity and sold 13.3

Sakhalin Energy: Operating on Indigenous Island · • Sakhalin Energy was the only company agreed to cooperate. Engagement with Indigenous People • Sakhalin Energy started to engage

Death Over Sakhalin

Trends in LNG Markets. Global Liquefaction Capacity Forecast

Sakhalin Energy Investment Company Ltd. Public ... · Sakhalin Energy Investment Company Ltd. (Sakhalin Energy) considers regular and meaningful engagement with the public and key

A High Capacity Floating Lng Design by Barend_pek

Darwin LNG - laohamutuk.org · Darwin LNG Features • 3.7 million tonne per annum capacity • Optimized CascadeSM LNG processLNG process ... LM6000 Power LM6000 Heat Rate 50 …

Sakhalin-2 Phase 2 Project Environmental Audit of LNG Plant audit covered the Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG) plant, which forms part of the ... Document Review: Many documents were reviewed

Investment Potential of the Sakhalin Region - Invest in …investinrussia.com/.../Investment-Potential-of-the-Sakhalin-Region.pdf · 2015 Investment Potential of the Sakhalin Region

How to Develop an Economical Small Capacity Floating LNG Taking

Gate2: Strategic Edge · 2020. 9. 14. · 1985 Participated in Western Australia LNG project 1989 Participated in Qatar LNG project 1994 Signed development contracts for the Sakhalin

PT 023 Sakhalin - FreyssinetUK€¦ · Sakhalin LNG Plant, Sakhalin Island, Russia Client Sakhalin Investment Energy Co Principal Contractor Chicago Bridge & Iron Co Specialist Contractor

World LNG Database Brochure - d1owejb4br3l12.cloudfront.net · in bcm and in Mt and LNG contract duration • Total LNG Capacities: Liquefaction and/or regasification capacity by

GAZSURF brochure_eng.pdf · 2019. 6. 10. · Automated Mud Logging Unit LNG Facility. Unit development 16,800 tons per year Anivsky District, Sakhalin Region, Russia Kirinskaya Oil

SAKHALIN-1 PROJECT ENVIRONMENT PROTECTION REPORT/media/sakhalin/files/... · Sakhalin-1 Project 2 Table of Contents 1. Occupational Health safety and Environmental protection measures

The North Sakhalin Neogene Total Petroleum System of ...Sakhalin Island and most of the North Sakhalin Basin unconformably overlie Cretaceous to Paleocene deformed and metamorphosed

Map 11.1 Sakhalin Oblast - Home - Urban Sustainability ...urbansustainability.snre.umich.edu/wp-content/uploads/2011/04/RFE.11.pdf · Sakhalin Oblast 377 SAKHALIN There are 1,570

E-05 Sakhalin WIKI

Gate terminal - LNG...15,000 m³ LNG/hr •Vessel capacity up to Q-max: 265,000 m³ LNG •3 LNG tanks of each: 180,000 m³ LNG net •Send-out capacity: 1.7 mln. m³(n)/hr of gas

Appendix - Sakhalin Energy