logistical resources
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LOGISTICAL
RESOURCESPRESENTED BY:
BHUSHAN PAWARHARDEEP SINGH
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INFORMATION
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L.I.S.
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INFORMATIONFUNCTIONALITY
Logistics information systems are the threads that link
logistics
activities into an integrated process.
The integration builds on four levels of functionality:
Transaction
Management control
Decision analysis
Strategic planning
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INFORMATION FUNCTIONALITY
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PRINCIPLES OF LOGISTICSINFORMATION
A v a ila b ility
Accuracy
Tim e lin e ss
E xce p tio n b a se d LIS
Fle x ib ility A p p ro p ria te fo rm a t
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FORECASTING
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GENERAL FORECASTCONSIDERATIONS
The nature of demand.
Forecast components.
Forecast approaches.
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THE FORECAST PROCESS
ORECAST DATABASEORECAST PROCESS
ORECAST USERS
Forecast administration
Forecasttechnique
Forecast
supportsystem
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Contd.
Forecast technique.
Forecast support system.
Forecast administration.
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CRITERIA FOR EVALUATING THETECHNIQUES
Accuracy
The forecast time horizon
The value of forecasting
The availability of data
The type of data pattern The experience of the forecaster
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FORECAST TECHNIQUES
QUALITATIV
TECHNIQUES IMESERIES
ASUALTECHNIQUE
S
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A) QUALITATIVE TECHNIQUES
Rely heavily on expertise.
Quite costly and time consuming.
Require little historical data and
much managerial judgement.
Developed using surveys, panels andconsensus meetings.
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B) TIME SERIES TECHNIQUES
Moving average.
Exponential smoothing.
Extended smoothing.
Adaptive smoothing.
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C) CASUAL TECHNIQUES
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FORECAST ERRORMATRIX
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FORECAST ERROR
Error measurement.
Measurement level.
Feedback.
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InventoryInventory
DefinitionDefinition A stock of items held to meet future
demand
Inventory is a list for goods andmaterials, or those goods andmaterials themselves, heldavailable in stock by a business.
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Types of Inventory
Work inprocess
Work inproc
ess
Work inprocess
Finishedgood
s
RawMaterials
Vendors Customer
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Nature of Inventories Raw Materials Basic inputs that are
converted into finished productthrough the manufacturing process
Work-in-progress Semi-
manufactured products need somemore works before they becomefinished goods for sale
Finished Goods Completelymanufactured products ready for sale
Supplies Office and plant cleaningmaterials not directly enter production
but are necessary for production
Obj ti f I t
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Objective of InventoryManagement
To maintain a optimum size of inventoryfor efficient and smooth production andsales operations
To maintain a minimum investment ininventories to maximize the profitability
Effort should be made to place an orderat the right time with right source toacquire the right quantity at the rightprice and right quality
A ff ti i t
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An effective inventorymanagement should
Ensure a continuous supply of rawmaterials to facilitate uninterruptedproduction
Maintain sufficient stocks of raw materialsin periods of short supply and anticipateprice changes
Maintain sufficient finished goods
inventory for smooth sales operation,and efficient customer service
Minimize the carrying cost and time
Control investment in inventories andkee it at an o timum level
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An optimum inventory levelinvolves three types of costs
Ordering costs:-
Quotation or tendering
Requisitioning
Order placing
Transportation
Receiving, inspecting andstoring
Quality control
Clerical and staffStock-out cost
Loss of sale
Failure to meet deliverycommitments
Carrying costs:-
Warehousing or storage
Handling
Clerical and staff
Insurance
Interest
Deterioration,shrinkage, evaporation and
obsolescence Taxes
Cost of capital
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Dangers of Over investment
Unnecessary tie-up of firms fund andloss of profit involves opportunitycost
Excessive carrying cost
Risk of liquidity- difficult to convertinto cash
Physical deterioration of inventorieswhile in storage due to mishandlingand improper storage facilities
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Dangers of under-investment
Production hold-ups loss of laborhours
Failure to meet delivery commitments
Customers may shift to competitorswhich will amount to a permanentloss to the firm
May affect the goodwill and image ofthe firm
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Classification of inventory
ABC Classification
HML Classification
XYZ Classification
VED Classification
FSN Classification
SDF Classification GOLF Classification
SOS Classification
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ABC Classification
In most of the cases 10 to 20 % of theinventory account for 70 to 80% of theannual activity.
A typical manufacturing operation showsthat the top 15% of the line items, interms of annual rupees usage, represent
80% of total annual rupees usage. Next 15% of items reflect 15% of annual
rupees
Next 70% accounts only for 5% usage
A
B
C
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XYZ Classification
On the basis of value of inventory stored
Whereas ABC was on the basis of value of
consumption to value.
X High Value
Y Medium value
Z Least value Aimed to identify items which are
extensively stocked.
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HML Classification
O n th e b a sis o f u n it v a lu e o f ite m
There is 1000 unit of Q @ Rs. 10 and
10,000 units of W @ Rs. 5. A im e d to co n tro l th e p u rch a se o f
.ra w m a te ria ls
H High, M- Medium, L - Low
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VED Classification
Mainly for spare parts because theirconsumption pattern is differentfrom raw materials.
Raw materials on market demand
Spare parts on performance of plantand machinery.
V Vital, E Essential, D Desirable
Therefore V items has to be stocked moreand D Items has to be less stocked
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FSN Classification
According to the consumptionpattern
To combat obsolete items
F Fast moving
S Slow moving
N Non Moving
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SDF & GOLF Classification
Based on source of procurement
S Scarce, D- Difficult, E- Easy.
GOLF
G Government, O Ordinary, L Local, F Foreign.
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SOS Classification
Raw materials especially foragriculture units
S Seasonal
OS Off seasonal
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Basic EOQ Model
Assumption
Seasonal fluctuation in demand areruled out
Zero lead time Time lapsed betweenpurchase order and inventory usage
Cost of placing an order and receiving
are same and independent of theunits ordered
Annual cost of carrying the inventory is
constant
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EOQ Three Approaches
Trial and Error method
Order-formula approach Graphical approach
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EOQ & Re-order point
EOQ gives answer to
question How much toOrder
Re-order point givesanswer to question whento order
T i l & E M th d
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Trial & Error MethodAssumptions:-
Annual requirement (C)=1200 units
Carrying cost (I) = Rs.1
Ordering cost (O) =Rs.37.5
Order size Q 1200 600 400 300 240 200 150 120 100
Average inventory Q/2 600 300 200 150 120 100 75 60 50
No. of orders C/Q 1 2 3 4 5 6 8 10 12
Annual carrying costI* Q/2
600 300 200 150 120 100 75 60 50
Annual ordering costO*C/Q
37.5 75 112.5 150 187.5 225 300 375 450
Total annual cost 637.5 375 312.5 300 307.5 325 375 435 500
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Order- Formula approach 1/2 EOQ =(2CO/I)C = Annual demandO = Ordering cost per orderI = Carrying cost per unit 1/2EOQ =(2*1200*37.5/1) = 300 units
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Q
0 T1 T2 T3 T4
=Average inventory/Q 2
Time
In
ven
tor
y
le
ve
l
or
der
quan
ti
ty
Certainty case of the inventory cycle
.1 Here the negative slope from Q to T1
represents the inventory being used up.2 , , ,T1 T2 T3 T4 represents the replenishment
points.3 The inventory varies between 0 and Q
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Graphical method to find EOQ
.
Cos
t
in
R
S
Order quantity
= /Ordering cost DSQ
=/
Carrying
cost
CQ2
Total
cost
EOQ0
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Extension of basic EOQ model
This model can be extended toinclude quantity discounts, weresimple calculation for quantity
discount is added.
Non zero lead timeNon zero lead time
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Extension of basic EOQ model
Non zero lead time If the lead time is n then procurement
must be done prior to n days, i.e. T-n asshown in the figure
-T1 n -T2 n -T3 n -T4 nT1 T2 T3 T4
Time
Q
0
Reorder
point
Placement of aorder
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Probabilistic inventory model
In practical inventory managementassumption may not be strictlycorrect.
1.Demand may fluctuate over timedue to seasonal, cyclical andrandom influences.
2.Lead time may also fluctuatebecause of transportation delay,strikes or natural disaster. For such
reason most of the companies use
P b bili ti i t
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But in some cases even the safety stockbecomes ineffective to combat stockout. Like:-
Probabilistic inventorymodel contd
Reorder point
Safety stock
Placementof order
Leadtime
T1 T2 T3 T4 T5 T6
Stockout
A Review
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A Review
So we have dealt with
1.EOQ model
2.Its extension
3.Probabilistic model
4.
5.And now we will be dealing with special
inventory models S i l i t d l
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Special inventory model
Non Instantaneous replenishment
Quantity Discount
One period decision
Special inventory model
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Non Instantaneous replenishment
Special inventory model
A B C DA B C
Thus the inventory is replenished gradually than in lotsParticularly in situation were manufacturers use continues
production process
e.g. FACT makes Ammonium on a continual basis
Capacity 10 units
Special inventory model
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Discount Quantities
If discount increases with the order
quantity, then the price of inventory
is no more constant
Special inventory model
Hence a new approach is needed to find the
best lot size
Total cost Annual holding cost Annual ordering costAnnual cost of materi= + +
Special inventory model
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One period decisions
If a newspaper seller does not buy
enough papers to resell on the streetcorner, sales opportunity is lost. If
the seller buys too many, the overage
cannot be sold because nobody wantsyesterdays newspaper.
Special inventory model
Applicable to fashion goods, seasonal goods and
due to change in technology
The newsboy problem
E i t d i i t
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Emerging trends in inventorymanagement
Entering into log term contract at afixed price to reduce uncertainties
Just-in-time
Kanbans Japanese technique (Onlyproduce when demand comes)
Internet based ordering system
Supply chain management Vendor development
Investment in plant and machinery
Inventory control
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Inventory control
responsibility Purchasing naturally has vest interest in
inventories, even to the extend that in somecompanies the purchasing and stores
functions are combined. Production looks after the work in progress
Logistics plays a major role in inventory control
Inventories are economic importance to financedepartment
The fact that materials must be moved fromone place to another is of importance to
materials department
In effect the responsibility cannot be kept
on one head since inventory managementis a integrated effort
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THANK YOU