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    LOGISTICAL

    RESOURCESPRESENTED BY:

    BHUSHAN PAWARHARDEEP SINGH

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    INFORMATION

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    L.I.S.

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    INFORMATIONFUNCTIONALITY

    Logistics information systems are the threads that link

    logistics

    activities into an integrated process.

    The integration builds on four levels of functionality:

    Transaction

    Management control

    Decision analysis

    Strategic planning

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    INFORMATION FUNCTIONALITY

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    PRINCIPLES OF LOGISTICSINFORMATION

    A v a ila b ility

    Accuracy

    Tim e lin e ss

    E xce p tio n b a se d LIS

    Fle x ib ility A p p ro p ria te fo rm a t

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    FORECASTING

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    GENERAL FORECASTCONSIDERATIONS

    The nature of demand.

    Forecast components.

    Forecast approaches.

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    THE FORECAST PROCESS

    ORECAST DATABASEORECAST PROCESS

    ORECAST USERS

    Forecast administration

    Forecasttechnique

    Forecast

    supportsystem

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    Contd.

    Forecast technique.

    Forecast support system.

    Forecast administration.

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    CRITERIA FOR EVALUATING THETECHNIQUES

    Accuracy

    The forecast time horizon

    The value of forecasting

    The availability of data

    The type of data pattern The experience of the forecaster

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    FORECAST TECHNIQUES

    QUALITATIV

    TECHNIQUES IMESERIES

    ASUALTECHNIQUE

    S

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    A) QUALITATIVE TECHNIQUES

    Rely heavily on expertise.

    Quite costly and time consuming.

    Require little historical data and

    much managerial judgement.

    Developed using surveys, panels andconsensus meetings.

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    B) TIME SERIES TECHNIQUES

    Moving average.

    Exponential smoothing.

    Extended smoothing.

    Adaptive smoothing.

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    C) CASUAL TECHNIQUES

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    FORECAST ERRORMATRIX

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    FORECAST ERROR

    Error measurement.

    Measurement level.

    Feedback.

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    InventoryInventory

    DefinitionDefinition A stock of items held to meet future

    demand

    Inventory is a list for goods andmaterials, or those goods andmaterials themselves, heldavailable in stock by a business.

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    Types of Inventory

    Work inprocess

    Work inproc

    ess

    Work inprocess

    Finishedgood

    s

    RawMaterials

    Vendors Customer

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    Nature of Inventories Raw Materials Basic inputs that are

    converted into finished productthrough the manufacturing process

    Work-in-progress Semi-

    manufactured products need somemore works before they becomefinished goods for sale

    Finished Goods Completelymanufactured products ready for sale

    Supplies Office and plant cleaningmaterials not directly enter production

    but are necessary for production

    Obj ti f I t

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    Objective of InventoryManagement

    To maintain a optimum size of inventoryfor efficient and smooth production andsales operations

    To maintain a minimum investment ininventories to maximize the profitability

    Effort should be made to place an orderat the right time with right source toacquire the right quantity at the rightprice and right quality

    A ff ti i t

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    An effective inventorymanagement should

    Ensure a continuous supply of rawmaterials to facilitate uninterruptedproduction

    Maintain sufficient stocks of raw materialsin periods of short supply and anticipateprice changes

    Maintain sufficient finished goods

    inventory for smooth sales operation,and efficient customer service

    Minimize the carrying cost and time

    Control investment in inventories andkee it at an o timum level

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    An optimum inventory levelinvolves three types of costs

    Ordering costs:-

    Quotation or tendering

    Requisitioning

    Order placing

    Transportation

    Receiving, inspecting andstoring

    Quality control

    Clerical and staffStock-out cost

    Loss of sale

    Failure to meet deliverycommitments

    Carrying costs:-

    Warehousing or storage

    Handling

    Clerical and staff

    Insurance

    Interest

    Deterioration,shrinkage, evaporation and

    obsolescence Taxes

    Cost of capital

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    Dangers of Over investment

    Unnecessary tie-up of firms fund andloss of profit involves opportunitycost

    Excessive carrying cost

    Risk of liquidity- difficult to convertinto cash

    Physical deterioration of inventorieswhile in storage due to mishandlingand improper storage facilities

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    Dangers of under-investment

    Production hold-ups loss of laborhours

    Failure to meet delivery commitments

    Customers may shift to competitorswhich will amount to a permanentloss to the firm

    May affect the goodwill and image ofthe firm

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    Classification of inventory

    ABC Classification

    HML Classification

    XYZ Classification

    VED Classification

    FSN Classification

    SDF Classification GOLF Classification

    SOS Classification

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    ABC Classification

    In most of the cases 10 to 20 % of theinventory account for 70 to 80% of theannual activity.

    A typical manufacturing operation showsthat the top 15% of the line items, interms of annual rupees usage, represent

    80% of total annual rupees usage. Next 15% of items reflect 15% of annual

    rupees

    Next 70% accounts only for 5% usage

    A

    B

    C

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    XYZ Classification

    On the basis of value of inventory stored

    Whereas ABC was on the basis of value of

    consumption to value.

    X High Value

    Y Medium value

    Z Least value Aimed to identify items which are

    extensively stocked.

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    HML Classification

    O n th e b a sis o f u n it v a lu e o f ite m

    There is 1000 unit of Q @ Rs. 10 and

    10,000 units of W @ Rs. 5. A im e d to co n tro l th e p u rch a se o f

    .ra w m a te ria ls

    H High, M- Medium, L - Low

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    VED Classification

    Mainly for spare parts because theirconsumption pattern is differentfrom raw materials.

    Raw materials on market demand

    Spare parts on performance of plantand machinery.

    V Vital, E Essential, D Desirable

    Therefore V items has to be stocked moreand D Items has to be less stocked

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    FSN Classification

    According to the consumptionpattern

    To combat obsolete items

    F Fast moving

    S Slow moving

    N Non Moving

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    SDF & GOLF Classification

    Based on source of procurement

    S Scarce, D- Difficult, E- Easy.

    GOLF

    G Government, O Ordinary, L Local, F Foreign.

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    SOS Classification

    Raw materials especially foragriculture units

    S Seasonal

    OS Off seasonal

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    Basic EOQ Model

    Assumption

    Seasonal fluctuation in demand areruled out

    Zero lead time Time lapsed betweenpurchase order and inventory usage

    Cost of placing an order and receiving

    are same and independent of theunits ordered

    Annual cost of carrying the inventory is

    constant

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    EOQ Three Approaches

    Trial and Error method

    Order-formula approach Graphical approach

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    EOQ & Re-order point

    EOQ gives answer to

    question How much toOrder

    Re-order point givesanswer to question whento order

    T i l & E M th d

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    Trial & Error MethodAssumptions:-

    Annual requirement (C)=1200 units

    Carrying cost (I) = Rs.1

    Ordering cost (O) =Rs.37.5

    Order size Q 1200 600 400 300 240 200 150 120 100

    Average inventory Q/2 600 300 200 150 120 100 75 60 50

    No. of orders C/Q 1 2 3 4 5 6 8 10 12

    Annual carrying costI* Q/2

    600 300 200 150 120 100 75 60 50

    Annual ordering costO*C/Q

    37.5 75 112.5 150 187.5 225 300 375 450

    Total annual cost 637.5 375 312.5 300 307.5 325 375 435 500

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    Order- Formula approach 1/2 EOQ =(2CO/I)C = Annual demandO = Ordering cost per orderI = Carrying cost per unit 1/2EOQ =(2*1200*37.5/1) = 300 units

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    Q

    0 T1 T2 T3 T4

    =Average inventory/Q 2

    Time

    In

    ven

    tor

    y

    le

    ve

    l

    or

    der

    quan

    ti

    ty

    Certainty case of the inventory cycle

    .1 Here the negative slope from Q to T1

    represents the inventory being used up.2 , , ,T1 T2 T3 T4 represents the replenishment

    points.3 The inventory varies between 0 and Q

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    Graphical method to find EOQ

    .

    Cos

    t

    in

    R

    S

    Order quantity

    = /Ordering cost DSQ

    =/

    Carrying

    cost

    CQ2

    Total

    cost

    EOQ0

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    Extension of basic EOQ model

    This model can be extended toinclude quantity discounts, weresimple calculation for quantity

    discount is added.

    Non zero lead timeNon zero lead time

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    Extension of basic EOQ model

    Non zero lead time If the lead time is n then procurement

    must be done prior to n days, i.e. T-n asshown in the figure

    -T1 n -T2 n -T3 n -T4 nT1 T2 T3 T4

    Time

    Q

    0

    Reorder

    point

    Placement of aorder

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    Probabilistic inventory model

    In practical inventory managementassumption may not be strictlycorrect.

    1.Demand may fluctuate over timedue to seasonal, cyclical andrandom influences.

    2.Lead time may also fluctuatebecause of transportation delay,strikes or natural disaster. For such

    reason most of the companies use

    P b bili ti i t

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    But in some cases even the safety stockbecomes ineffective to combat stockout. Like:-

    Probabilistic inventorymodel contd

    Reorder point

    Safety stock

    Placementof order

    Leadtime

    T1 T2 T3 T4 T5 T6

    Stockout

    A Review

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    A Review

    So we have dealt with

    1.EOQ model

    2.Its extension

    3.Probabilistic model

    4.

    5.And now we will be dealing with special

    inventory models S i l i t d l

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    Special inventory model

    Non Instantaneous replenishment

    Quantity Discount

    One period decision

    Special inventory model

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    Non Instantaneous replenishment

    Special inventory model

    A B C DA B C

    Thus the inventory is replenished gradually than in lotsParticularly in situation were manufacturers use continues

    production process

    e.g. FACT makes Ammonium on a continual basis

    Capacity 10 units

    Special inventory model

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    Discount Quantities

    If discount increases with the order

    quantity, then the price of inventory

    is no more constant

    Special inventory model

    Hence a new approach is needed to find the

    best lot size

    Total cost Annual holding cost Annual ordering costAnnual cost of materi= + +

    Special inventory model

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    One period decisions

    If a newspaper seller does not buy

    enough papers to resell on the streetcorner, sales opportunity is lost. If

    the seller buys too many, the overage

    cannot be sold because nobody wantsyesterdays newspaper.

    Special inventory model

    Applicable to fashion goods, seasonal goods and

    due to change in technology

    The newsboy problem

    E i t d i i t

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    Emerging trends in inventorymanagement

    Entering into log term contract at afixed price to reduce uncertainties

    Just-in-time

    Kanbans Japanese technique (Onlyproduce when demand comes)

    Internet based ordering system

    Supply chain management Vendor development

    Investment in plant and machinery

    Inventory control

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    Inventory control

    responsibility Purchasing naturally has vest interest in

    inventories, even to the extend that in somecompanies the purchasing and stores

    functions are combined. Production looks after the work in progress

    Logistics plays a major role in inventory control

    Inventories are economic importance to financedepartment

    The fact that materials must be moved fromone place to another is of importance to

    materials department

    In effect the responsibility cannot be kept

    on one head since inventory managementis a integrated effort

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    THANK YOU