mainstreet - alberta october b

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  • 8/20/2019 Mainstreet - Alberta October B

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    Mainstreet surveyed a random sample of 3,258 Albertans by Smart IVR™ on October 1st, 2015. A mixtof landlines and cell phones were surveyed. Margin of Error: +/- 1.71%, 19 times out of 20. Regional

    margins of error: Edmonton: +/- 3.2%; Calgary +/-2.75%; Rest of Alberta : +/-3.02% 19 times out20. Results were weighed by age and gender based on the 2011 Canadian Census.

    ALBERTA ISSUES[OCTOBER 2015]

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    "Exclusive Mainstreet/Postmedia polls are protected by copyrigh

    The information and/or data may only be rebroadcast or republish

    with full and proper credit and attribution to “Mainstreet/Postmed

    ALBERTANS THINK MOST PIPELINES WILL BE BUILT

    October 7, 2015 (Toronto, ON) – A New Mainstreet/Postmedia poll finds most Albertans believe m

    pipelines will eventually be built. The Mainstreet Postmedia poll has a margin of error of +/- 1.71%, 19 tiout of 20.

    Meanwhile Albertans are more pessimistic about the state of the provincial economy - though they more optimistic about their own personal affairs.

    The pipeline numbers are very interesting,” said Quito Maggi, President of Mainstreet Research. A majoof Albertans think most projects will be built - apart from the Keystone XL pipeline.”

    All the talk about Energy East in the election campaign clearly has had an effect - more than 60%Albertans (63%) believe Energy East will eventually be built.”

    Mainstreet asked British Columbians the same questions last month for the proposed Kinder Morgan Northern Gateway pipelines.

    ”The numbers for Kinder Morgan are very similar, while the numbers for Northern Gateway are differ

    More British Columbians than Albertans believe that project won’t suceed,” continued Maggi.

    When asked about the provincial economy, 21% of Albertans are optimistic (-), 64% are pessimistic (+nd 16% are not sure (-7%).

    When asked about their personal finances, 53% of Albertans are optimistic (+13%), 31% are pessim+4%) and 16% are not sure (-16%).

    The trend we’ve seen for the last few months is that Albertans are much more optimistic about their opersonal situation than that of the province. There has been bleak economic news for Alberta so this dnot come as a surprise,” finished Maggi.

    About Mainstreet Research

    Mainstreet is a national public research firm based in Toronto. With 20 years of political experience ahree levels of government, President and CEO Quito Maggi is a respected commentator on Canad

    public affairs.

    Differentiated by its large sample sizes, Mainstreet has consistently provided accurate snapshots of pu

    opinion, having predicted an NDP majority government in Alberta (2015), aLiberal majority governmen

    Ontario (2014) and a Liberal majority government in British Columbia (2013). Most recently, Mainstreet he most accurate pollster of last November’s Toronto mayoral election.

    -30-

    Available for Interview from Toronto: Quito Maggi, [email protected] more information: David Valentin, (613) 698-5524 - [email protected]

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    LEANING AND DECIDED

    YESNONOT SURESAMPLE

    18-34

    63%

    12%

    25%

    474

    35-4951%19%30%508

    50-64

    41%

    21%

    38%

    1062

    65+38%17%45%1214

    Fem4914%37%195

    Male

    52%

    20%

    28%

    1306

    Regardless of your approval or disapproval, do you think the Kinder Morgan Pipeline will be built or n

    YESNONOT SURE

    SAMPLE

    Edmonton48%19%33%

    938

    Rest of Albe53%16%31%

    1050

    Calgary

    47%

    17%

    36%

    1270

    51%

    17%

    33%

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    LEANING AND DECIDEDRegardless of your approval or disapproval, do you think the Keystone XL Pipeline will be built or not?

    YESNONOT SURESAMPLE

    18-34

    53%

    18%

    29%

    474

    35-4945%31%24%508

    50-64

    36%

    33%

    32%

    1062

    65+33%22%45%1214

    Fem4321%35195

    Male

    44%

    31%

    25%

    1306

    YESNONOT SURE

    SAMPLE

    Edmonton42%28%30%

    938

    Rest of Albe46%25%30%

    1050

    Calgary

    40%

    27%

    32%

    1270

    44%

    26%

    30%

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    LEANING AND DECIDEDRegardless of your approval or disapproval, do you think the Energy East Pipeline will be built or not?

    YESNONOT SURESAMPLE

    18-34

    74%

    12%

    15%

    474

    35-4959%16%25%508

    50-64

    56%

    16%

    28%

    1062

    65+55%10%35%1214

    Fem5713%30195

    Male

    68%

    15%

    17%

    1306

    YESNONOT SURE

    SAMPLE

    Edmonton65%13%23%

    938

    Rest of Albe63%14%23%

    1050

    Calgary

    61%

    14%

    26%

    1270

    63%14%

    24%

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    YESNONOT SURESAMPLE

    18-34

    52%

    16%

    32%

    474

    35-4953%17%30%508

    50-64

    53%

    17%

    30%

    1062

    65+52%16%32%1214

    Fem5218%30195

    Male

    53%

    15%

    32%

    1306

    YESNONOT SURE

    SAMPLE

    Edmonton51%16%32%

    938

    Rest of Albe52%17%31%

    1050

    Calgary

    55%

    16%

    29%

    1270

    53%

    16%

    31%

    LEANING AND DECIDEDRegardless of your approval or disapproval, do you think the Northern Gateway Pipeline will be built or no

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    KINDER MORGAN - BC vs AB

    NORTHERN GATEWAY - BC vs AB

    44%

    28%

    29%

    53%

    16%

    31%

    51%

    17%

    33%

    53

    18%

    29%

    ALBERTA BRITISH COLUMBIA

    ALBERTA BRITISH COLUMBIA

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    LEANING AND DECIDEDThinking about the next 12 months, would you say you feel optimistic or pessimistic about your own familyfinancial situation?

    OPTIMISTICPESSIMISTICNOT SURESAMPLE

    18-34

    59%

    28%

    13%

    474

    35-4947%39%14%508

    50-64

    52%

    34%

    14%

    1062

    65+50%21%29%1214

    Fem51%2920195

    Male

    54%

    34%

    12%

    1306

    OPTIMISTICPESSIMISTICNOT SURE

    SAMPLE

    Edmonton55%29%16%

    938

    Rest of Albe52%32%16%

    1050

    Calgary

    53%

    31%

    16%

    1270

    53%

    31%

    16%

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    Thinking about the next 12 months, would you say you feel optimistic or pessimistic about yoown family’s financial situation?

    15

    20

    25

    30

    35

    40

    45

    50

    55

     January May August October

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    LEANING AND DECIDEDThinking about the next 12 months, would you say you feel optimistic or pessimistic about the state of Albeconomy?

    OPTIMISTICPESSIMISTICNOT SURESAMPLE

    18-34

    17%

    63%

    20%

    474

    35-4919%72%9%508

    50-64

    24%

    63%

    13%

    1062

    65+27%52%22%1214

    Fem206416%195

    Male

    21%

    63%

    15%

    1306

    OPTIMISTICPESSIMISTICNOT SURE

    SAMPLE

    Edmonton23%61%16%

    938

    Rest of Albe19%65%16%

    1050

    Calgary

    22%

    63%

    15%

    1270

    21%

    64%

    16%

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    Thinking about the next 12 months, would you say you feel optimistic or pessimistic about thstate of the Alberta economy?

    10

    15

    20

    25

    30

    35

    40

    45

    50

    55

    60

    65

    70

     January May August October

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    A

    Regardless of your approval or disapproval, do you think the Kinder Morgan Pipeline will be

    built or not?

    YesNo

    Not Sure

    And, regardless of your approval or disapproval, do you think the Keystone XL Pipeline will

    built or not?

    YesNo

    Not Sure

    And, regardless of your approval or disapproval, do you think the Energy East Pipeline will b

    built or not?

    YesNo

    Not Sure

    And, regardless of your approval or disapproval, do you think the Northern Gateway Pipelin

    will be built or not?

    YesNo

    Not Sure

    Thinking about the next 12 months, would you say you feel optimistic or pessimistic about

    your own family's financial situation?

    OptimisticPessimisticNot Sure

    Thinking about the next 12 months, would you say you feel optimistic or pessimistic about th

    state of Alberta economy?

    OptimisticPessimisticNot Sure

  • 8/20/2019 Mainstreet - Alberta October B

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    Mainstreet is a national public research firm. With 20 years of political experience at allthree levels of government, President and CEO Quito Maggi is a respected commentatoron Canadian public affairs.

    Differentiated by its large sample sizes, Mainstreet has provided accurate snapshots ofpublic opinion, having predicted a majority NDP government in Alberta (2015), a majorityLiberal government in British Columbia, and a majority Liberal government in Ontario.Most recently, Mainstreet was the most accurate pollster of November’s Toronto mayoralelection.