Mainstreet surveyed a random sample of 2,853 Saskatchewan residents by Smart IVR™ on October 6, 2015. A mixture of landlines and cell phones were surveyed. Margin of error: +/-

1.83%, 19 times out of 20. Regional margins of error: Regina: +/-3.19%; Saskatoon: +/-2.96%; rest of Saskatchewan: +/-3.5%; 19 times out of 20. Results were weighed by age and

gender based on the 2011 Canadian Census.

"Exclusive Mainstreet/Postmedia polls are protected by copyright. The information and/or data may only be rebroadcast or republished with full and proper credit and attribution to “Mainstreet/Postmedia”.

October 9, 2015 (Toronto, ON) – A new Mainstreet/Postmedia poll find the Conservatives leading in Saskatchewan with the NDP leading in Saskatoon and a three-way race underway in Regina. The Mainstreet/Postmedia Poll has a margin of error of +/- 1.83, 19 times out of 20.

“For a long while now Saskatchewan has only been represented by Conservative MPs, we expect that to change on Election Night,” said Quito Maggi, President of Mainstreet Research.

“Redistribution has made urban seats in Regina and Saskatoon prime targets for the NDP and Liberals and we can see from the regional numbers that they are well positioned.”

“In Saskatoon, The NDP leads with 31% compared to 28% for the Conservatives with the Liberals in third at 21% - only 10% separates the three parties. In Regina, there is a three-way race taking place with the Conservatives at 29%, the NDP at 24% and the Liberals at 23%. This is going to make for some very interesting riding campaigns particularly in Regina where the Conservatives might be able to run up the middle and win on vote splits.”

“Outside the cities, the Conservatives continue to dominate with a 17% lead over the NDP. For the NDP, Saskatchewan is a bright spot in the challenging national landscape they now face though they will need to hold onto this support or it could be the Liberals who end up making gains.”

“We asked Saskatchewanians what was most important in basing their vote and almost half, 47%, said it was the party followed by 25% who said it was the party leader. Only 15% said it would be their local candidate.”

“We also asked about strategic voting and almost a third said they will vote strategically this election. This will be di�cult to execute well however because the regional numbers are so tight. In some districts it will make sense to vote NDP and in others it will make more sense to vote Liberal, regardless it will be di�cult to know what kind of district you are in. Making things more complicated the numbers are constantly changing.”

“Provincially, Brad Wall and the Saskatchewan Party hold a commanding lead with the support of 57% of decided voters, that’s almost 60%. The Provincial NDP are performing best in Saskatoon right now (36%) and are outperforming their federal cousins in Saskatoon by 5% (31% for Federal NDP). The Liberals and Green Party are trailing far back provincially at 7% and 2% respectively.

”With a provincial election coming up in 2016, we’ll certainly be keeping an eye on the province,” finished Maggi.

About Mainstreet ResearchMainstreet is a national public research firm. With 20 years of political experience at all three levels of government, President and CEO Quito Maggi is a respected commentator on Canadian public a�airs.

Di�erentiated by its large sample sizes, Mainstreet has provided accurate snapshots of public opinion, having predicted a majority NDP government in Alberta (2015), a majority Liberal government in British Columbia, and a majority Liberal government in Ontario. Most recently, Mainstreet was the most accurate pollster of November’s Toronto mayoral election.

-30-

Available for Interview from Toronto: Quito Maggi, quito@mainstreetresearch.caFor more information: David Valentin, (613) 698-5524 - david@mainstreetresearch.ca

A2

A3

LEANING AND DECIDED

CONSERVATIVENDPLIBERALGREENUNDECIDEDSAMPLE

18-3427%27%19%4%

24%422

35-4933%25%18%4%

20%737

50-6438%21%18%4%19%807

65+40%20%17%2%21%887

Female31%24%17%4%24%1586

Male36%24%19%4%17%1267

If a Federal Election were today, which party would you support?

CONSERVATIVENDPLIBERALGREENUNDECIDEDSAMPLE

Regina29%24%23%4%19%943

Rest of SK37%20%15%3%25%784

Saskatoon28%31%21%6%13%1126

Conservative NDP Liberal Green Undecided

All Voters Decided Only

34%

24%

18%

4% 21%

43%

30%

23%

5%

A4

LEANING AND DECIDEDRegional

Saskatoon

28%

31%

21%

6% 13%

Regina

29%

24%

23%

4% 19%

Rest of Saskatchewan

37%

20%

15%

3% 25%

A5

And who would be your second choice?

CONSERVATIVENDPLIBERALGREENUNDECIDED

18-3416%28%32%12%13%

35-4921%20%33%9%17%

50-6416%21%30%14%20%

65+15%21%31%12%21%

Female18%23%30%12%18%

Male16%22%33%12%17%

CONSERVATIVENDPLIBERALGREENUNDECIDEDSAMPLE

Regina19%24%31%11%26%

Rest of SK18%21%29%12%20%

Saskatoon15%25%37%12%11%

Conservative NDP Liberal Green Undecided

17%

22%

31%

12%

17%

A6

And if a provincial election were held today which party would you support?

SASKATCHEWANNDPLIBERALGREENUNDECIDEDSAMPLE

18-3441%22%9%4%23%422

35-4945%30%6%3%16%737

50-6448%27%5%3%18%807

65+54%25%3%1%17%887

Female45%27%5%2%19%1586

Male48%24%7%4%18%1267

SASKATCHEWANNDPLIBERALGREENUNDECIDEDSAMPLE

Regina41%30%6%5%19%943

Rest of SK50%21%6%3%21%784

Saskatoon42%36%7%3%12%1126

Saskatchewan NDP Liberal Green Undecided

All Voters Decided Only

46%

26%

6% 3% 19%

57%

32%

7% 4%

A7

Lobby groups have been asking people to vote strategically in this election or to cast a ballot for a party other than a sincere preference to help stop another party from winning. Do you plan to vote strategically in this election?

YESNONOT SURESAMPLE

18-3439%48%13%422

35-4926%49%26%737

50-6422%51%27%807

65+25%48%27%887

Female30%46%24%1586

Male27%51%21%1267

YESNONOT SURESAMPLE

Yes No Not Sure

Regina28%49%23%943

Rest of SK27%50%23%784

Saskatoon31%48%20%1126

28%

49%

22%

A8

When casting your vote, which of the following is more important: The Party, The Party Leader, or the Local Candidate?

THE PARTYTHE PARTY LEADERTHE LOCAL CANDIDATENOT SURESAMPLE

Regina46%29%13%12%943

Rest of SK48%23%16%13%784

Saskatoon47%28%15%10%1126

THE PARTYTHE PARTY LEADERTHE LOCAL CANDIDATENOT SURESAMPLE

18-3449%21%20%10%422

35-4948%27%9%17%737

50-6445%27%17%11%807

65+47%27%15%11%887

Female48%26%15%11%

1586

Male47%25%15%13%1267

Party Party Leader Local Candidate Undecided

47%

25%

15%

12%

A9

And, which of these is the most important issue in deciding your vote in the Federal election? Is it, the Economy, Childcare, Health Care, Agriculture, Immigration, or another issue?

ECONOMYCHILDCAREHEALTH CAREAGRICULTUREIMMIGRATIONSOMETHING ELSENOT SURE

Regina39%4%15%3%2%

23%15%

Rest of SK41%5%17%2%3%16%15%

Saskatoon37%6%15%2%2%

23%15%

ECONOMYCHILDCAREHEALTH CAREAGRICULTUREIMMIGRATIONSOMETHING ELSENOT SURE

18-3431%11%12%2%0%23%21%

35-4943%4%16%1%5%18%13%

50-6445%2%18%1%3%18%12%

65+41%2%

20%7%2%12%12%

Female32%4%

20%3%3%18%20%

Male47%7%12%2%2%

20%10%

40%

5%16%

2%2%

19%

15%

Economy Immigration Education Agriculture Childcare Something else Not sure

A10

SCRIPT

If the Federal Election were today, which party would you support?

The Conservative Party led by Stephen HarperThe NDP led by Tom Mulcair

The Liberal Party led by Justin TrudeauThe Green Party led by Elizabeth May

Undecided

And who would be your second choice?

The Conservative Party led by Stephen HarperThe NDP led by Tom Mulcair

The Liberal Party led by Justin TrudeauThe Green Party led by Elizabeth May

Undecided

And if a provincial election were held today which party would you support?

Saskatchewan Party led by Brad Wall NDP led by Cam Broten

Liberal Party led by Darrin LamoureuxGreen Party led by Victor Lau

Undecided

Lobby groups have been asking people to vote strategically in this election or to cast a ballot for a party other than a sincere preference to help stop another party from winning. Do you plan to vote

strategically in this election?

YesNo

Not sure

A11

SCRIPT

When casting your vote, which of the following is more important: The Party, The Party Leader, or the Local Candidate?

The PartyThe Party Leader

The Local CandidateNot sure

And, which of these is the most important issue in deciding your vote in the Federal election? Is it, the Economy, Childcare, Health Care, Agriculture, Immigration, or something else?

EconomyChildcare

Health careAgricultureImmigration

Something ElseNot sure

Mainstreet is a national public research firm. With 20 years of political experience at all three levels of government, President and CEO Quito Maggi is a respected commentator on Canadian public a�airs.

Di�erentiated by its large sample sizes, Mainstreet has provided accurate snapshots of public opinion, having predicted a majority NDP government in Alberta (2015), a majority Liberal government in British Columbia, and a majority Liberal government in Ontario. Most recently, Mainstreet was the most accurate pollster of November’s Toronto mayoral election.