managing climate extremes in mena: monitoring and ... · managing climate extremes in mena:...
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![Page 1: Managing climate extremes in MENA: monitoring and ... · Managing climate extremes in MENA: monitoring and mitigating drought impacts today and tomorrow Rachael McDonnell, Karim Bergaoui,](https://reader033.vdocument.in/reader033/viewer/2022053012/5f0fc73e7e708231d445d651/html5/thumbnails/1.jpg)
Managing climate extremes in MENA:
monitoring and mitigating drought impacts
today and tomorrow
Rachael McDonnell, Karim Bergaoui, Makram Belhaj Fraj,
Rashyd Zaaboul
Adapting to climate change:
Assessment, vulnerability and action – SWW 2017
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Drought in MENA2016
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Climate change already bringing increased drought
55% natural variability
45% human induced change
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Understanding the likely new
climate conditions
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Future climate conditions
DOMAIN RESOLUTION
MENA 50 km
Morocco / Tunisia / UAE / Palestine / Lebanon /
Jordan / Yemen15 km
(1951 – 2005) (2021 – 2100)
Current projected
• For North Africa and Middle East
projections from 10 Regional Climate
Models
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Climate indices for vulnerability assessment
Consecutive Summer Days Index
Consecutive Dry Days Index
Climate indices at
different scales to
support adaptation
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Managing droughts – today and
tomorrow
Monitoring and mitigating
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MENA RDMS – Morocco, Tunisia, Lebanon and
Jordan
• Water SECURITY
initiative with USAID
• Water SCARCITY
initiative with FAO, LAS
endorsed, UNDP
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Composite Drought Index (CDI)
• Monthly map of drought
grid cell anomalies for
• Precipitation
• Evapotranspiration
• Soil Moisture
• Vegetation stress
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CDI Technology transfer and
capacity building
• >65 users from Tunisia, Jordan,
Morocco and Lebanon
• 28 institutions involved in drought
management (including NGOs)
were represented
• e-groups provides remote technical
support)
• Drought maps are now generated
locally
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Conducting drought vulnerability and
impact assessments
• Where, which sectors
and communities were
most impacted in past
droughts
• Where and who is most
at risk today and
tomorrow? Prioritize impacts and identify
mitigation actions and
interventions
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A unique Center of Excellence looking at Agriculture
for Tomorrow
Thank you
[email protected] more information and ICBA publications visit www.biosaline.org
International Center for Biosaline Agriculture (ICBA) is an international, non-profit organization that aims to strengthen agricultural productivity in
marginal and saline environments through identifying, testing and facilitating access to sustainable solutions for food, nutrition and income security.